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1.
Virus Evol ; 10(1): veae034, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38859985

ABSTRACT

Seasonal influenza virus predominantly evolves through antigenic drift, marked by the accumulation of mutations at antigenic sites. Because of antigenic drift, influenza vaccines are frequently updated, though their efficacy may still be limited due to strain mismatches. Despite the high levels of viral diversity observed across populations, most human studies reveal limited intrahost diversity, leaving the origin of population-level viral diversity unclear. Previous studies show host characteristics, such as immunity, might affect within-host viral evolution. Here we investigate influenza A viral diversity in children aged between 6 months and 18 years. Influenza virus evolution in children is less well characterized than in adults, yet may be associated with higher levels of viral diversity given the lower level of pre-existing immunity and longer durations of infection in children. We obtained influenza isolates from banked influenza A-positive nasopharyngeal swabs collected at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia during the 2017-18 influenza season. Using next-generation sequencing, we evaluated the population of influenza viruses present in each sample. We characterized within-host viral diversity using the number and frequency of intrahost single-nucleotide variants (iSNVs) detected in each sample. We related viral diversity to clinical metadata, including subjects' age, vaccination status, and comorbid conditions, as well as sample metadata such as virus strain and cycle threshold. Consistent with previous studies, most samples contained low levels of diversity with no clear association between the subjects' age, vaccine status, or health status. Further, there was no enrichment of iSNVs near known antigenic sites. Taken together, these findings are consistent with previous observations that the majority of intrahost influenza virus infection is characterized by low viral diversity without evidence of diversifying selection.

2.
Virus Evol ; 10(1): veae030, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38808037

ABSTRACT

Since the influenza pandemic in 1968, influenza A(H3N2) viruses have become endemic. In this state, H3N2 viruses continuously evolve to overcome immune pressure as a result of prior infection or vaccination, as is evident from the accumulation of mutations in the surface glycoproteins hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA). However, phylogenetic studies have also demonstrated ongoing evolution in the influenza A(H3N2) virus RNA polymerase complex genes. The RNA polymerase complex of seasonal influenza A(H3N2) viruses produces mRNA for viral protein synthesis and replicates the negative sense viral RNA genome (vRNA) through a positive sense complementary RNA intermediate (cRNA). Presently, the consequences and selection pressures driving the evolution of the polymerase complex remain largely unknown. Here, we characterize the RNA polymerase complex of seasonal influenza A(H3N2) viruses representative of nearly 50 years of influenza A(H3N2) virus evolution. The H3N2 polymerase complex is a reassortment of human and avian influenza virus genes. We show that since 1968, influenza A(H3N2) viruses have increased the transcriptional activity of the polymerase complex while retaining a close balance between mRNA, vRNA, and cRNA levels. Interestingly, the increased polymerase complex activity did not result in increased replicative ability on differentiated human airway epithelial (HAE) cells. We hypothesize that the evolutionary increase in polymerase complex activity of influenza A(H3N2) viruses may compensate for the reduced HA receptor binding and avidity that is the result of the antigenic evolution of influenza A(H3N2) viruses.

3.
FEMS Microbiol Rev ; 48(3)2024 May 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734891

ABSTRACT

Avian influenza viruses evolve antigenically to evade host immunity. Two influenza A virus surface glycoproteins, the haemagglutinin and neuraminidase, are the major targets of host immunity and undergo antigenic drift in response to host pre-existing humoral and cellular immune responses. Specific sites have been identified as important epitopes in prominent subtypes such as H5 and H7, which are of animal and public health significance due to their panzootic and pandemic potential. The haemagglutinin is the immunodominant immunogen, it has been extensively studied, and the antigenic reactivity is closely monitored to ensure candidate vaccine viruses are protective. More recently, the neuraminidase has received increasing attention for its role as a protective immunogen. The neuraminidase is expressed at a lower abundance than the haemagglutinin on the virus surface but does elicit a robust antibody response. This review aims to compile the current information on haemagglutinin and neuraminidase epitopes and immune escape mutants of H5 and H7 highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses. Understanding the evolution of immune escape mutants and the location of epitopes is critical for identification of vaccine strains and development of broadly reactive vaccines that can be utilized in humans and animals.


Subject(s)
Birds , Epitopes , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus , Influenza in Birds , Neuraminidase , Neuraminidase/immunology , Neuraminidase/genetics , Animals , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/immunology , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/chemistry , Epitopes/immunology , Epitopes/genetics , Birds/virology , Influenza in Birds/immunology , Influenza in Birds/virology , Antigenic Drift and Shift/immunology , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/immunology , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza, Human/immunology , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Viral Proteins/immunology , Viral Proteins/genetics , Viral Proteins/chemistry , Influenza A virus/immunology , Influenza A virus/genetics
4.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 20(1): 2336357, 2024 Dec 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38619079

ABSTRACT

Influenza remains a public health threat, partly due to suboptimal effectiveness of vaccines. One factor impacting vaccine effectiveness is strain mismatch, occurring when vaccines no longer match circulating strains due to antigenic drift or the incorporation of inadvertent (eg, egg-adaptive) mutations during vaccine manufacturing. In this review, we summarize the evidence for antigenic drift of circulating viruses and/or egg-adaptive mutations occurring in vaccine strains during the 2011-2020 influenza seasons. Evidence suggests that antigenic drift led to vaccine mismatch during four seasons and that egg-adaptive mutations caused vaccine mismatch during six seasons. These findings highlight the need for alternative vaccine development platforms. Recently, vaccines based on mRNA technology have demonstrated efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory syncytial virus and are under clinical evaluation for seasonal influenza. We discuss the potential for mRNA vaccines to address strain mismatch, as well as new multi-component strategies using the mRNA platform to improve vaccine effectiveness.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , Humans , Influenza Vaccines/genetics , mRNA Vaccines , Seasons , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , RNA, Messenger/genetics
5.
6.
Virol J ; 21(1): 57, 2024 03 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38448981

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a marked reduction in influenza infections globally. The absence of influenza has raised concerns of waning immunity, and potentially more severe influenza seasons after the pandemic. METHODS: To evaluate immunity towards influenza post-COVID-19 pandemic we have assessed influenza A epidemics in Norway from October 2016 to June 2023 and measured antibodies against circulating strains of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) in different age groups by hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) assays in a total of 3364 serum samples collected in 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023. RESULTS: Influenza epidemics in Norway from October 2016 until June 2023 were predominately influenza As, with a mixture of A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) subtype predominance. We did not observe higher numbers of infections during the influenza epidemics following the COVID-19 pandemic than in pre-COVID-19 seasons. Frequencies of protective HAI titers against A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses were reduced in sera collected in 2021 and 2022, compared to sera collected in 2019. The reduction could, however, largely be explained by antigenic drift of new virus strains, as protective HAI titers remained stable against the same strain from one season to the next. However, we observed the development of an immunity gap in the youngest children during the pandemic which resulted in a prominent reduction in HAI titers against A(H1N1)pdm09 in 2021 and 2022. The immunity gap was partially closed in sera collected in 2023 following the A(H1N1)pdm09-dominated influenza seasons of 2022/2023. During the 2022/2023 epidemic, drift variants of A(H1N1)pdm09 belonging to the 5a.2a.1 clade emerged, and pre-season HAI titers were significantly lower against this clade compared to the ancestral 5a.2 clade. CONCLUSION: The observed reduction in protective antibodies against A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses post COVID-19 is best explained by antigenic drift of emerging viruses, and not waning of antibody responses in the general population. However, the absence of influenza during the pandemic resulted in an immunity gap in the youngest children. While this immunity gap was partially closed following the 2022/2023 influenza season, children with elevated risk of severe infection should be prioritized for vaccination.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Child , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Cross-Sectional Studies , Antigenic Drift and Shift , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics
7.
Viruses ; 16(3)2024 03 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38543823

ABSTRACT

Avian influenza viruses (AIVs) have posed a significant pandemic threat since their discovery. This review mainly focuses on the epidemiology, virology, pathogenesis, and treatments of avian influenza viruses. We delve into the global spread, past pandemics, clinical symptoms, severity, and immune response related to AIVs. The review also discusses various control measures, including antiviral drugs, vaccines, and potential future directions in influenza treatment and prevention. Lastly, by summarizing the insights from previous pandemic control, this review aims to direct effective strategies for managing future influenza pandemics.


Subject(s)
Influenza A virus , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza in Birds , Influenza, Human , Animals , Humans , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Pandemic Preparedness , Influenza A virus/genetics , Pandemics/prevention & control
8.
Front Microbiol ; 15: 1345794, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38314434

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Seasonal influenza A H3N2 viruses are constantly changing, reducing the effectiveness of existing vaccines. As a result, the World Health Organization (WHO) needs to frequently update the vaccine strains to match the antigenicity of emerged H3N2 variants. Traditional assessments of antigenicity rely on serological methods, which are both labor-intensive and time-consuming. Although numerous computational models aim to simplify antigenicity determination, they either lack a robust quantitative linkage between antigenicity and viral sequences or focus restrictively on selected features. Methods: Here, we propose a novel computational method to predict antigenic distances using multiple features, including not only viral sequence attributes but also integrating four distinct categories of features that significantly affect viral antigenicity in sequences. Results: This method exhibits low error in virus antigenicity prediction and achieves superior accuracy in discerning antigenic drift. Utilizing this method, we investigated the evolution process of the H3N2 influenza viruses and identified a total of 21 major antigenic clusters from 1968 to 2022. Discussion: Interestingly, our predicted antigenic map aligns closely with the antigenic map generated with serological data. Thus, our method is a promising tool for detecting antigenic variants and guiding the selection of vaccine candidates.

9.
Curr Med Res Opin ; 40(2): 335-343, 2024 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38054898

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Influenza is associated with significant disease burden in the US and is currently best controlled by vaccination programs. Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) is low and may be reduced by several factors, including egg adaptations. Although non-egg-based influenza vaccines reportedly have greater VE in egg-adapted seasons, evidence for egg adaptations' reduction of VE is indirect and dissociated, apart from two previous European consensuses. METHODS: This study replicated the methodology used in a 2020 literature review and European consensus, providing an updated review and consensus opinion of 10 US experts on the evidence for a mechanistic basis for reduction of VE due to egg-based manufacturing methods. A mechanistic basis was assumed if sufficient evidence was found for underlying principles proposed to give rise to such an effect. Evidence for each principle was brought forward from the 2020 review and identified here by structured literature review and expert panel. Experts rated the strength of support for each principle and a mechanistic basis for reduction of VE due to egg-based influenza vaccine manufacture in a consensus method (consensus for strong/very strong evidence = ≥ 3.5 on 5-point Likert scale). RESULTS: Experts assessed 251 references (from previous study: 185; this study: 66). The majority of references for all underlying principles were rated as strong or very strong supporting evidence (52-86%). Global surveillance, WHO candidate vaccine virus selection, and manufacturing stages involving eggs were identified as most likely to impact influenza VE. CONCLUSION: After review of extensive evidence for reduction of VE due to egg-based influenza vaccine manufacture, influenza experts in the US joined those in Europe in unanimous agreement for a mechanistic basis for the effect. Vaccine providers and administrators should consider use of non-egg-based influenza vaccine manufacture to reduce the risk of egg adaptations and likely impact on VE.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Consensus , Vaccine Efficacy , Europe , Seasons , Vaccination/methods
10.
Front Immunol ; 14: 1269916, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38111576

ABSTRACT

Purpose: Antigenic drift is the biggest challenge for mutagenic RNA virus vaccine development. The primary purpose is to determine the IEMM (immune escape mutation map) of 20 amino acids' replacement to reveal the rule of the viral immune escape. Methods: To determine the relationship between epitope mutation and immune escape, we use universal protein tags as a linear epitope model. To describe and draw amino acid linkage diagrams, mutations of protein tags are classified into four categories: IEM (immune escape mutation), ADERM (antibody-dependent enhancement risk mutation), EQM (equivalent mutation), and IVM (invalid mutation). To overcome the data limitation, a general antigen-antibody (Ag-Ab) interaction map was constructed by analyzing the published three-dimensional (3D) Ag-Ab interaction patterns. Results: (i) One residue interacts with multiple amino acids in antigen-antibody interaction. (ii) Most amino acid replacements are IVM and EQM. (iii) Once aromatic amino acids replace non-aromatic amino acids, the mutation is often IEM. (iv) Substituting residues with the same physical and chemical properties easily leads to IVM. Therefore, this study has important theoretical significance for future research on antigenic drift, antibody rescue, and vaccine renewal design. Conclusion: The antigenic epitope mutations were typed into IEM, ADERM, EQM, and IVM types to describe and quantify the results of antigenic mutations. The antigen-antibody interaction rule was summarized as a one-to-many interaction rule. To sum up, the epitope mutation rules were defined as IVM and EQM predomination rules and the aryl mutation escape rule.


Subject(s)
Amino Acids , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus , Amino Acids/genetics , Antibodies, Viral , Mutation , Epitopes
11.
Front Vet Sci ; 10: 1314903, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38146498

ABSTRACT

The infectious bursal disease virus (IBDV) is a member of the viruses that can induce immunosuppression in chickens. In recent years, more and more IBDV-infected cases by the novel variant IBDV were reported in China, and it has been demonstrated that currently used vaccines could not provide complete protection against these new IBDV variants. However, a lack of comprehensive analysis of the genomic characteristics of the novel variant strain IBDV has hampered its vaccine development. In this study, a strain of IBDV, designated HB202201, was phylogenetically analyzed, and it was found that the hypervariable region (HVR) of VP2 belonged to the novel variant strain. Furthermore, the 5'- and 3'-ends of segments A and B were analyzed using the rapid amplification of cDNA end (RACE) method. After the full-length of segment A and segment B were determined, the phylogenetic analysis of the segment A and segment B showed that the isolated HB202201 belonged to A2dB1 genotype, which demonstrated the HB202201 belonged to the novel variant strain. In addition, the specific mutations in VP1-VP5 amino acids were analyzed, which showed that there were multiple typical mutations in novel variant IBDV proteins, including VP1 (G24, I141, V163, and E240), VP2 (K221, and I252), VP3 (Q167 and L196), and VP5 (R7, P44, R92, G104, and E147), whereas there was no typical mutation in VP4. This study provides insights into the genomic and antigenic characteristics of the novel variant IBDV, which will promote the development of novel vaccine against the novel variant IBDV.

12.
bioRxiv ; 2023 Nov 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37986780

ABSTRACT

Glycan binding properties of respiratory viruses have been difficult to probe due to a lack of biological relevant glycans for binding studies. Here, a stop-and-go chemoenzymatic methodology is presented that gave access to a panel of 32 asymmetrical bi-antennary N-glycans having various numbers of N-acetyl lactosamine (LacNAc) repeating units capped by α2,3- or α2,6-sialosides resembling structures found in airway tissues. It exploits that the branching enzymes MGAT1 and MGAT2 can utilize unnatural UDP-2-deoxy-2-trifluoro-N-acetamido-glucose (UDP-GlcNTFA) as donor. The TFA moiety of the resulting glycans can be hydrolyzed to give GlcNH2 at one of the antennae that temporarily blocks extension by glycosyl transferases. The N-glycans were printed as a microarray that was probed for receptor binding specificities of evolutionary distinct human A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses. It was found that not only the sialoside type but also the length of the LacNAc chain and presentation at the α1,3-antenna of N-glycans is critical for binding. Early A(H3N2) viruses bound to 2,6-sialosides at a single LacNAc moiety at the α1,3-antenna whereas later viruses required the sialoside to be presented at a tri-LacNAc moiety. Surprisingly, most of the A(H3N2) viruses that appeared after 2021 regained binding capacity to sialosides presented at a di-LacNAc moiety. As a result, these viruses agglutinate erythrocytes again, commonly employed for antigenic characterization of influenza viruses. Human A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses have similar receptor binding properties as recent A(H3N2) viruses. The data indicates that an asymmetric N-glycan having 2,6-sialoside at a di-LacNAc moiety is a commonly employed receptor by human influenza A viruses.

13.
J Virol ; 97(10): e0105623, 2023 10 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37830816

ABSTRACT

IMPORTANCE: The number of known virus species has increased dramatically through metagenomic studies, which search genetic material sampled from a host for non-host genes. Here, we focus on an important viral family that includes influenza viruses, the Orthomyxoviridae, with over 100 recently discovered viruses infecting hosts from humans to fish. We find that one virus called Wǔhàn mosquito virus 6, discovered in mosquitoes in China, has spread across the globe very recently. Surface proteins used to enter cells show signs of rapid evolution in Wǔhàn mosquito virus 6 and its relatives which suggests an ability to infect vertebrate animals. We compute the rate at which new orthomyxovirus species discovered add evolutionary history to the tree of life, predict that many viruses remain to be discovered, and discuss what appropriately designed future studies can teach us about how diseases cross between continents and species.


Subject(s)
Genome, Viral , Orthomyxoviridae , Evolution, Molecular , Orthomyxoviridae/genetics , Phylogeny , Metagenomics
14.
Viruses ; 15(10)2023 09 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37896808

ABSTRACT

Swine influenza is a respiratory disease that affects the pork industry and is a public health threat. It is caused by type A influenza virus (FLUAV), which continuously undergoes genetic and antigenic variations. A large amount of information regarding FLUAV in pigs is available worldwide, but it is limited in Latin America. The HA sequences of H1 subtype FLUAV-positive samples obtained from pigs in Colombia between 2008-2021 were analyzed using sequence-based antigenic cartography and N-Glycosylation analyses. Of the 12 predicted global antigenic groups, Colombia contained five: four corresponding to pandemic strains and one to the classical swine H1N1 clade. Circulation of these clusters was observed in some regions during specific years. Ca2 was the immunodominant epitope among Colombian viruses. The counts of N-Glycosylation motifs were associated with the antigenic cluster ranging from three to five. The results show for the first time the existence of antigenic diversity of FLUAV in Colombia and highlight the impact of spatial and temporal factors on this diversity. This study provides information about FLUAV variability in pigs under natural conditions in the absence of vaccination and emphasizes the need for surveillance of its phylogenetic and antigenic characteristics.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Orthomyxoviridae Infections , Swine Diseases , Swine , Animals , Humans , Colombia/epidemiology , Phylogeny , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/veterinary , Antigenic Variation , Swine Diseases/epidemiology
15.
Euro Surveill ; 28(37)2023 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37707981

ABSTRACT

BackgroundCOVID-19 pandemic mitigation measures, including travel restrictions, limited global circulation of influenza viruses. In Australia, travel bans for non-residents and quarantine requirements for returned travellers were eased in November 2021, providing pathways for influenza viruses to be re-introduced.AimWe aimed to describe the epidemiological and virological characteristics of the re-emergence of influenza in Victoria, Australia to inform public health interventions.MethodsFrom 1 November 2021 to 30 April 2022, we conducted an epidemiological study analysing case notification data from the Victorian Department of Health to describe case demographics, interviewed the first 200 cases to establish probable routes of virus reintroduction and examined phylogenetic and antigenic data to understand virus diversity and susceptibility to current vaccines.ResultsOverall, 1,598 notifications and 1,064 positive specimens were analysed. The majority of cases (61.4%) occurred in the 15-34 years age group. Interviews revealed a higher incidence of international travel exposure during the first month of case detections, and high levels of transmission in university residential colleges were associated with return to campus. Influenza A(H3N2) was the predominant subtype, with a single lineage predominating despite multiple importations.ConclusionEnhanced testing for respiratory viruses during the COVID-19 pandemic provided a more complete picture of influenza virus transmission compared with previous seasons. Returned international travellers were important drivers of influenza reemergence, as were young adults, a group whose role has previously been under-recognised in the establishment of seasonal influenza epidemics. Targeting interventions, including vaccination, to these groups could reduce future influenza transmission.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Young Adult , Humans , Victoria/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Pandemics , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Phylogeny , COVID-19/epidemiology
16.
Emerg Microbes Infect ; 12(2): 2246582, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37550992

ABSTRACT

Vaccination is a crucial prevention and control measure against H9N2 avian influenza viruses (AIVs) that threaten poultry production and public health. However, H9N2 AIVs in China undergo continuous antigenic drift of hemagglutinin (HA) under antibody pressure, leading to the emergence of immune escape variants. In this study, we investigated the molecular basis of the current widespread antigenic drift of H9N2 AIVs. Specifically, the most prevalent h9.4.2.5-lineage in China was divided into two antigenic branches based on monoclonal antibody (mAb) hemagglutination inhibition (HI) profiling analysis, and 12 antibody escape residues were identified as molecular markers of these two branches. The 12 escape residues were mapped to antigenic sites A, B, and E (H3 was used as the reference). Among these, eight residues primarily increased 3`SLN preference and contributed to antigenicity drift, and four of the eight residues at sites A and B were positively selected. Moreover, the analysis of H9N2 strains over time and space has revealed the emergence of a new antigenic branch in China since 2015, which has replaced the previous branch. However, the old antigenic branch recirculated to several regions after 2018. Collectively, this study provides a theoretical basis for understanding the molecular mechanisms of antigenic drift and for developing vaccine candidates that contest with the current antigenicity of H9N2 AIVs.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H9N2 Subtype , Influenza in Birds , Animals , Humans , Hemagglutinins , Influenza A Virus, H9N2 Subtype/genetics , Immunodominant Epitopes , Antigens, Viral/genetics , Antigenic Drift and Shift , Chickens , Antibodies , China , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics
17.
Vaccine X ; 14: 100287, 2023 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37063306

ABSTRACT

Background: Influenza viruses are constantly evolving through antigenic drift, which makes vaccines potentially ill-matched to circulating strains due to the time between strain selection and distribution. mRNA technology could improve vaccine effectiveness (VE) by reducing this time. Significant private and public investments would be required to accommodate accelerated vaccine development and approval. Hence, it is important to understand the potential impact of mRNA technology on influenza hospitalizations and mortality. Methods: We developed an age-stratified dynamic model of influenza transmission to evaluate the potential impact of increased VE (increased protection against either infection or only hospitalization) on hospitalizations and mortality in the United States. We assume that mRNA technology allows for delaying the time to strain choice, which might increase efficacy, but it does not reduce the time needed for distribution and administration, which might reduce availability. To assess this tradeoff, we evaluated two scenarios where strain choice was delayed until late summer resulting in a more effective vaccine available to (1) all age groups by October, or (2) adults 65 years and older starting in August. Results: If not available until October, the vaccine would need a minimum of 95% effectiveness against infection to see a decrease in hospitalizations and deaths in all age groups. When delayed until November, even a 100% effective vaccine had no significant impact. For the elderly, the minimum required VE (against infection) was 50% to reduce hospitalizations and deaths. Moreover, a vaccine with 80% VE against infection available in August for the 65 + age group was better than a 95% effective vaccine available in October for all ages. Conclusions: As the majority of influenza-associated hospitalizations and deaths are in adults 65 years and older, a combination policy targeting higher VE and coverage for this age group in the short term would be the most efficacious.

19.
mBio ; 14(3): e0008423, 2023 06 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37070986

ABSTRACT

Immune imprinting is a driver known to shape the anti-hemagglutinin (HA) antibody landscape of individuals born within the same birth cohort. With the HA and neuraminidase (NA) proteins evolving at different rates under immune selection pressures, anti-HA and anti-NA antibody responses since childhood influenza virus infections have not been evaluated in parallel at the individual level. This is partly due to the limited knowledge of changes in NA antigenicity, as seasonal influenza vaccines have focused on generating neutralizing anti-HA antibodies against HA antigenic variants. Here, we systematically characterized the NA antigenic variants of seasonal A(H1N1) viruses from 1977 to 1991 and completed the antigenic profile of N1 NAs from 1977 to 2015. We identified that NA proteins of A/USSR/90/77, A/Singapore/06/86, and A/Texas/36/91 were antigenically distinct and mapped N386K as a key determinant of the NA antigenic change from A/USSR/90/77 to A/Singapore/06/86. With comprehensive panels of HA and NA antigenic variants of A(H1N1) and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses, we determined hemagglutinin inhibition (HI) and neuraminidase inhibition (NI) antibodies from 130 subjects born between 1950 and 2015. Age-dependent imprinting was observed for both anti-HA and anti-NA antibodies, with the peak HI and NI titers predominantly detected from subjects at 4 to 12 years old during the year of initial virus isolation, except the age-independent anti-HA antibody response against A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses. More participants possessed antibodies that reacted to multiple antigenically distinct NA proteins than those with antibodies that reacted to multiple antigenically distinct HA proteins. Our results support the need to include NA proteins in seasonal influenza vaccine preparations. IMPORTANCE Seasonal influenza vaccines have aimed to generate neutralizing anti-HA antibodies for protection since licensure. More recently, anti-NA antibodies have been established as an additional correlate of protection. While HA and NA antigenic changes occurred discordantly, the anti-HA and anti-NA antibody profiles have rarely been analyzed in parallel at the individual level, due to the limited knowledge on NA antigenic changes. By characterizing NA antigenic changes of A(H1N1) viruses, we determined the anti-HA and anti-NA antibody landscape against antigenically distinct A(H1N1) and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses using sera of 130 subjects born between 1950 and 2015. We observed age-dependent imprinting of both anti-HA and anti-NA antibodies against strains circulated during the first decade of life. A total of 67.7% (88/130) and 90% (117/130) of participants developed cross-reactive antibodies to multiple HA and NA antigens at titers ≥1:40. With slower NA antigenic changes and cross-reactive anti-NA antibody responses, including NA protein in influenza vaccine preparation may enhance vaccine efficacy.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Humans , Child , Child, Preschool , Hemagglutinins , Antibody Formation , Neuraminidase/genetics , Antibodies, Viral , Antibodies, Neutralizing , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics
20.
Viruses ; 15(2)2023 01 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36851547

ABSTRACT

Human-to-swine transmission of influenza A (H3N2) virus occurs repeatedly and plays a critical role in swine influenza A virus (IAV) evolution and diversity. Human seasonal H3 IAVs were introduced from human-to-swine in the 1990s in the United States and classified as 1990.1 and 1990.4 lineages; the 1990.4 lineage diversified into 1990.4.A-F clades. Additional introductions occurred in the 2010s, establishing the 2010.1 and 2010.2 lineages. Human zoonotic cases with swine IAV, known as variant viruses, have occurred from the 1990.4 and 2010.1 lineages, highlighting a public health concern. If a variant virus is antigenically drifted from current human seasonal vaccine (HuVac) strains, it may be chosen as a candidate virus vaccine (CVV) for pandemic preparedness purposes. We assessed the zoonotic risk of US swine H3N2 strains by performing phylogenetic analyses of recent swine H3 strains to identify the major contemporary circulating genetic clades. Representatives were tested in hemagglutination inhibition assays with ferret post-infection antisera raised against existing CVVs or HuVac viruses. The 1990.1, 1990.4.A, and 1990.4.B.2 clade viruses displayed significant loss in cross-reactivity to CVV and HuVac antisera, and interspecies transmission potential was subsequently investigated in a pig-to-ferret transmission study. Strains from the three lineages were transmitted from pigs to ferrets via respiratory droplets, but there were differential shedding profiles. These data suggest that existing CVVs may offer limited protection against swine H3N2 infection, and that contemporary 1990.4.A viruses represent a specific concern given their widespread circulation among swine in the United States and association with multiple zoonotic cases.


Subject(s)
Influenza A virus , Influenza, Human , Viral Vaccines , Humans , Animals , Swine , Ferrets , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/genetics , Phylogeny , Immune Sera , Influenza, Human/epidemiology
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