Efficacy and safety of first-line regimens for advanced HER2-positive breast cancer: A Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Background: The current standard of care for advanced human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer is pertuzumab plus trastuzumab and docetaxel as first-line therapy. However, with the development of newer treatment regimens, there is a lack of evidence regarding which is the optimal treatment strategy. The aim of this network meta-analysis was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of first-line regimens for advanced HER2-positive breast cancer by indirect comparisons. Methods: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis were conducted. The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for relevant articles published through to December 2023. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% credible interval (CrI) were used to compare progression-free survival (PFS) between treatments, and the odds ratio and 95% CrI were used to compare the objective response rate (ORR) and safety. Results: Twenty randomized clinical trials that included 15 regimens and 7094 patients were analyzed. Compared with the traditional trastuzumab and docetaxel regimen, PFS was longer on the pyrotinib and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen (HR: 0.41, 95% CrI: 0.22-0.75) and the pertuzumab and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen (HR: 0.65, 95% CrI: 0.43-0.98). Consistent with the results for PFS, the ORR was better on the pyrotinib and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen and the pertuzumab and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen than on the traditional trastuzumab and docetaxel regimen. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve indicated that the pyrotinib and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen was most likely to rank first in achieving the best PFS and ORR. Comparable results were found for grade ≥3 AE rates of ≥10%. Conclusions: Our results suggest that the pyrotinib and trastuzumab plus docetaxel regimen is most likely to be the optimal first-line therapy for patients with HER2-positive breast cancer.

Optimal dosage ranges of various exercise types for enhancing timed up and go performance in Parkinson's disease patients: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Objective: To examine the dose-response relationship between specific types of exercise for alleviating Timed up and Go (TUG) in Parkinson's disease PD. Design: Systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis. Data sources: PubMed, Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched from inception until February 5th, 2024. Study analysis: Data analysis was conducted using R software with the MBNMA package. Effect sizes of outcome indicators were expressed as mean deviation (MD) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CrI). The risk of bias in the network was evaluated independently by two reviewers using ROB2. Results: A total of 73 studies involving 3,354 PD patients. The text discusses dose-response relationships in improving TUG performance among PD patients across various exercise types. Notably, Aquatic (AQE), Mix Exercise (Mul_C), Sensory Exercise (SE), and Resistance Training (RT) demonstrate effective dose ranges, with AQE optimal at 1500 METs-min/week (MD: -8.359, 95% CI: -1.398 to -2.648), Mul_C at 1000 METs-min/week (MD: -4.551, 95% CI: -8.083 to -0.946), SE at 1200 METs-min/week (MD: -5.145, 95% CI: -9.643 to -0.472), and RT at 610 METs-min/week (MD: -2.187, 95% CI: -3.161 to -1.278), respectively. However, no effective doses are found for Aerobic Exercise (AE), Balance Gait Training (BGT), Dance, and Treadmill Training (TT). Mind-body exercise (MBE) shows promise with an effective range of 130 to 750 METs-min/week and an optimal dose of 750 METs-min/week (MD: -2.822, 95% CI: -4.604 to -0.996). According to the GRADE system, the included studies' overall quality of the evidence was identified moderate level. Conclusion: This study identifies specific exercise modalities and dosages that significantly enhance TUG performance in PD patients. AQE emerges as the most effective modality, with an optimal dosage of 1,500 METs-min/week. MBE shows significant benefits at lower dosages, catering to patients with varying exercise capacities. RT exhibits a nuanced "U-shaped" dose-response relationship, suggesting an optimal range balancing efficacy and the risk of overtraining. These findings advocate for tailored exercise programs in PD management, emphasizing personalized prescriptions to maximize outcomes.Systematic Review Registration: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (CRD42024506968).

Comparison of stimulation protocols for dose determination of gonadotropins: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis based on randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: To date, evidence regarding the effectiveness and safety of individualized controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) compared with standard dose COS has been inadequate. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the updated evidence from published randomized controlled trials (RCTs) about the efficacy and safety of individualized COS with different ovarian reserve test biomarkers or clinical experience versus standard dose COS. SEARCH STRATEGY: Terms and descriptors related to COS, individualized or standard, and RCT were combined to search, and only English language studies were included. Conference abstracts and comments were excluded. SELECTION CRITERIA: RCTs with comparison between different individualized COS strategies and standard starting dose strategy were included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two reviews independently assessed the eligibility of retrieved citations in a predefined standardized manner. Relative risk (RRs) and the weighted mean difference (WMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled using a random-effects model on R software version 4.2.2. MAIN RESULTS: Compared with the standard dose COS strategy in pairwise meta-analysis, the individualized COS strategy was associated with a notable lower risk of ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome (OHSS; 174/2384 [7.30%] vs 114/2412 [4.73%], RR 0.66, 95% CI: 0.47-0.93, I2 = 46%), a significantly lower risk of hyperresponse to stimulation (hyperresponse; 476/2402 [19.82%] vs 331/2437 [13.58%], RR 0.71, 95% CI: 0.57-0.90, I2 = 61%), and a slightly longer ovarian stimulation days (duration of stimulation; WMD 0.20, 95% CI: 0.01-0.40, I2 = 66%). Bayesian network meta-analysis also found that biomarker-tailored strategy had a significantly lower risk of OHSS than standard dose strategy (OHSS; RR 0.63, 95% CI: 0.41-0.97, I2 = 47.5%). CONCLUSION: Compared with standard dose COS strategy, individualized COS strategy could significantly reduce the risks of OHSS and hyperresponse to stimulation, but the duration of stimulation was slightly longer. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: CRD42023358439.

Short-Term Outcomes Analysis Comparing Open, Laparoscopic, Laparoscopic-Assisted, and Robotic Distal Gastrectomy for Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer: A Randomized Trials Network Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Minimally invasive surgery for the treatment of locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC) is debated. The aim of this study was to execute a comprehensive assessment of principal surgical treatments for resectable distal gastric cancer. METHODS: Systematic review and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) network meta-analysis. Open (Op-DG), laparoscopic-assisted (LapAs-DG), totally laparoscopic (Lap-DG), and robotic distal gastrectomy (Rob-DG) were compared. Pooled effect-size measures were the risk ratio (RR), the weighted mean difference (WMD), and the 95% credible intervals (CrIs). RESULTS: Ten RCTs (3823 patients) were included. Overall, 1012 (26.5%) underwent Lap-DG, 902 (23.6%) LapAs-DG, 1768 (46.2%) Op-DG, and 141 (3.7%) Rob-DG. Anastomotic leak, severe complications (Clavien-Dindo > 3), and in-hospital mortality were comparable. No differences were observed for reoperation rate, pulmonary complications, postoperative bleeding requiring transfusion, surgical-site infection, cardiovascular complications, number of harvested lymph nodes, and tumor-free resection margins. Compared to Op-DG, Lap-DG and LapAs-DG showed a significantly reduced intraoperative blood loss with a trend toward shorter time to first flatus and reduced length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: LapAs-DG, Lap-DG, and Rob-DG performed in referral centers by dedicated surgeons have comparable short-term outcomes to Op-DG for locally AGC.

Efficacy and safety study of targeted small-molecule drugs in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: Targeted small-molecule drugs in the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have attracted increasing attention from clinical investigators. However, there is still a lack of evidence on the difference in the efficacy and safety of different targeted small-molecule drugs. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the efficacy and safety of different targeted small-molecule drugs for SLE. METHODS: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on targeted small-molecule drugs in the treatment of SLE in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched as of April 25, 2023. Risk of bias assessment was performed for included studies using the Cochrane's tool for evaluating the risk of bias. The primary outcome indicators were SRI-4 response, BICLA response, and adverse reaction. Because different doses and courses of treatment were used in the included studies, Bayesian network meta-regression was used to investigate the effect of different doses and courses of treatment on efficacy and safety. RESULTS: A total of 13 studies were included, involving 3,622 patients and 9 targeted small-molecule drugs. The results of network meta-analysis showed that, in terms of improving SRI-4, Deucravacitinib was significantly superior to that of Baricitinib (RR = 1.32, 95% CI (1.04, 1.68), P < 0.05). Deucravacitinib significantly outperformed the placebo in improving BICLA response (RR = 1.55, 95% CI (1.20, 2.02), P < 0.05). In terms of adverse reactions, targeted small-molecule drugs did not significantly increase the risk of adverse events as compared to placebo (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Based on the evidence obtained in this study, the differences in the efficacy of targeted small-molecule drugs were statistically significant as compared to placebo, but the difference in the safety was not statistically significant. The dose and the course of treatment had little impact on the effect of targeted small-molecule drugs. Deucravacitinib could significantly improve BICLA response and SRI-4 response without significantly increasing the risk of AEs. Therefore, Deucravacitinib is very likely to be the best intervention measure. Due to the small number of included studies, more high-quality clinical evidence is needed to further verify the efficacy and safety of targeted small-molecule drugs for SLE.

A comparison of cenobamate with other newer antiseizure medications for adjunctive treatment of focal-onset seizures: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To compare the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of cenobamate with other newer anti-seizure medications (ASMs) including brivaracetam, eslicarbazepine, lacosamide, perampanel, and zonisamide, approved for adjunctive treatment of drug-resistant focal-onset seizures (FOS) in adults with epilepsy. METHODS: A systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted to obtain relevant efficacy, safety, and tolerability data for ASMs for the treatment of drug-resistant FOS. All studies were thoroughly assessed for potential sources of heterogeneity and analysed via Bayesian network meta-analyses (NMAs). Efficacy outcomes were ≥50 % responder rate and seizure freedom during the maintenance period, which were modelled simultaneously using a multinomial Bayesian NMA. Safety and tolerability outcomes were the proportion of patients who experienced at least one treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE) and the proportion who experienced at least one TEAE leading to discontinuation. RESULTS: The SLR identified 76 studies, of which 23 were included in the Bayesian NMAs. Cenobamate was associated with statistically significant higher rates for the ≥50 % responder rate and seizure freedom outcomes compared with all ASMs analysed. The point estimates indicated that cenobamate was associated with higher rates of experiencing at least one TEAE and at least one TEAE leading to discontinuation compared with brivaracetam, lacosamide, and zonisamide; however, no results were statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Cenobamate was associated with increased efficacy compared with all ASMs analysed. There were no statistically significant differences in the safety and tolerability outcomes. The results presented corroborate the conclusions drawn from previous published NMAs, which also highlight the notable efficacy of cenobamate in comparison with other ASMs.

Can botulinum toxin injection alleviate the pain of bruxism? A Bayesian network analysis and a single-arm analysis.

Background/purpose: There is inconsistent evidence regarding whether the botulinum toxin A (BTA) injection can relieve pain caused by bruxism. This study aimed to estimate the efficiency of BTA injection in relieving pain caused by bruxism at different follow-up periods. Materials and methods: Five electronic databases were searched from 2005 to 2022 using search terms related to botulinum toxin and bruxism. Only controlled clinical trials were included. Two investigators reviewed each article and discussed any disagreements until a consensus was reached. Pain outcomes as evaluated by the visual analogue scale (VAS) were subjected to single-arm and Bayesian network meta-analyses. Pooling data were measured by a random-effects model. Results: Eleven studies with a total of 365 bruxism patients were included. According to the single-arm analyses of the pooled data, the reduction in bruxism-related pain after BTA injection measured 4.06 points (95% CI = 3.37 to 4.75) on the VAS, and the pain relief was significant in the first 6 months after treatment (P < 0.01). According to the Bayesian analysis, BTA also resulted in significantly greater pain relief than oral splinting (mean difference (MD), -1.5; 95% credible interval (CrI) = -2.7 to -0.19) or saline injection (MD, -3.3; 95% CrI = -6.2 to -0.32). Conclusion: BTA significantly relieves the pain of bruxism for 6 months after injection, and its therapeutic efficacy was higher than that of oral splinting. Nevertheless, further long-term follow-up randomized controlled trials comparing BTA with other management or drugs are warranted.

Chinese herbal medicines for the treatment of depression: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Objectives: Amidst rising global burden of depression and the associated challenges with conventional antidepressant therapies, there is a growing interest in exploring the efficacy and safety of alternative treatments. This study uses a Bayesian network meta-analysis to rigorously evaluate the therapeutic potential of Chinese herbal medicines in the treatment of depression, focusing on their comparative efficacy and safety against standard pharmacological interventions. Methods: Five databases (PubMed, Wanfang Data, EMBASE, CNKI, and the Cochrane Library) and grey literature were searched from inception to end of July 2023 to identify studies that assessed the efficacy and safety of Chinese herbal medicines in treating depression. The response rate, Hamilton Depression Scale (HAMD) scores, and rates of adverse events were assessed through both direct and indirect comparisons. Data extraction and risk of bias assessment were meticulously performed. Statistical analysis used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, with effect size estimates provided as odd ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. Results: A total of 198 RCTs involving 8,923 patients were analyzed, assessing 17 Chinese herbal medicines. Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking results indicated that the top three treatments with the best response rate were possibly Guipiwan, Ease Pill, and Chaihu Jia Longgu Muli Decoction; the top three treatments on the reduction of HAMD scores were Chai Hu Shu Gan San, Xingnao Jieyu Decoction, and Xiaoyao Powder; and the top three treatments with the lowest adverse effects rates were Xiaoyao Powder, Alprazolam, and Xingnao Jieyu Decoction. Interestingly, commonly used synthetic drugs such as Fluoxetine, Escitalopram, Amitriptyline, Sertraline, Flupentixol and Melitracen, and Venlafaxine, not only appeared to be less effective than specific Chinese herbal medicines (Gan Mai Da Zao Decoction, Chaihu Jia Longgu Muli Decoction, Chai Hu Shu Gan San, Danzhi-Xiaoyao-San, and Xingnao Jieyu Decoction), but they were also related to substantially higher risk of adverse events. Conclusion: Our findings elucidate the promising therapeutic potential of Chinese herbal medicines as viable alternatives in the treatment of depression, with certain herbs demonstrating enhanced efficacy and safety profiles. The outcomes of this study advocate for the integration of these alternative modalities into contemporary depression management paradigms. However, it underscores the necessity for larger, methodologically robust trials to further validate and refine these preliminary findings. Systematic review registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42023452109.

Efficacy and safety of thermal ablation modalities for the treatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: Systematic Review and network meta-analysis.

Background: Thermal ablation (TA) modalities such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA), microwave ablation (MWA), and laser ablation (LA) have been widely used in the treatment of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients. Based on previous small-sample meta-analyses, this network meta was designed to further compare the efficacy and safety of these thermal ablation methods in PTMC patients. Methods: China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched to retrieve relevant studies published before May 2022. The efficacy outcomes was recurrence and lymph node metastasis (LNM), the safety outcome included operation time, intra-operative blood loss, hospital stays and complications. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was selected for the risk of bias assessment. Stata 14.0 was used for statistical analysis. Results: Twenty-nine articles were included. Based on as least 6 months follow up, our analysis discovered no significant statistical differences in all efficacy and safety outcomes between MWA, RFA, and LA groups. Moreover, three TA treatments all produced significant least operation time, hospital stays, and complications than surgery group. Additionally, our study found that RFA showed relatively less complications, LNM, operation time and intra-operative blood loss, compared with other TA treatments. MWA indicated the lowest probability of recurrence, LA showed the longest hospital stays. Conclusions: MWA, RFA, and LA are all effective treatment strategies for patients with PTMC, but could not completely replace conventional surgical treatment.

The efficacy of Chinese herbal drugs for adults with angina pectoris: Bayesian network meta-analysis of 331 RCTs involving 36,467 individuals.

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE: Hundreds of randomized controlled trials (RCT) on Chinese herbal drugs (CHDs) including Shexiang baoxin pill (BXP), compound Danshen dripping pill (DSP), compound Danshen tablet (DST), Suxiao jiuxin pill (JXP), Naoxintong capsule (NXT), Tongxinluo capsule (TXL), and Di'ao xinxuekang capsule (XXK) and conventional chemical drugs, such as isosorbide dinitrate (ISDN), for angina pectoris are available but have not been evaluated by a PRISMA-compliant network meta-analysis (NMA). AIM OF THE STUDY: This study aimed to compare the efficacy of nine anti-anginal drugs through NMA on RCTs. METHODS: RCTs of drug treatment for adult patients with angina pectoris for improvements in symptoms and electrocardiography were retrieved. Odds ratios and 95% credible intervals were computed to measure effect sizes. RCT quality was evaluated with the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Evidence synthesis was performed with Bayesian NMA. Essential analyses including subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, meta-regression analysis, publication bias analysis, and ranking analysis were conducted to assess the robustness of efficacies. Evidence strength was assessed with the GRADE approach. RESULTS: A total of 331 RCTs with 36,467 participants were eligible. The overall quality of all included RCTs was low. Overall efficacy estimates from different approaches of evidential synthesis found that BXP, TXL, and DSP were more efficacious than DST and ISDN. Essential analyses indicated consistent efficacy estimates, insignificant publication bias, and corroborative ranking results. The overall GRADE evidence strength was low. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive Bayesian NMA found BXP, TXL, and DSP to be the top three candidates among the seven tested CHDs for treating adults suffering from angina pectoris. However, the quality and the evidence strength of eligible RCTs were low. Further high-quality RCTs with more outcome measures and their NMAs are warranted. REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42014007035.

Efficacy and safety of GLP-1RAs for people with obesity: A systematic review based on RCT and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) reduce glucagon and glycogen secretion, inhibit appetite and slow gastric empties and have recently been approved to treat obesity. OBJECTIVE: To explore the safety and efficacy of GLP-1RAs in the treatment of obesity and clarify the optimal GLP-1RAs treatment regimen. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were searched for English randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on GLP-1RAs in the treatment and management of obesity published before July 18, 2023. Literature screening and data extraction were performed independently by three researchers. Bayesian random effect model was used to compare the effects of interventions. Continuous variables were expressed as mean difference with 95% CI, and dichotomous variables were reported as RR with 95% CI. RESULTS: A total of 29 studies with 10,333 participants were included in the present study. The combination of cagrilintide and semaglutide (short for cagrANDsema) was an optimal strategy for weight loss and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) reduction. Compared to placebo, cagrANDsema reduced weight by - 14.13 kg (95% CI: -16.49, -11.73) and HbA1c by - 0.33% (95% CI: -0.41, -0.25). Moreover, this study indicated that orforglipron and semaglutide also had relatively good effects on weight loss. Meta-regression results indicated that higher dose levels might have better effects on weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: CagrANDsema exerts the best effect for weight loss. In terms of current dose levels, a higher dose gets better weight-loss effects without increasing the risk of adverse events.

Which is the best treatment for melanoma brain metastases? A Bayesian network meta-analysis and systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Melanoma has a high degree of central nervous system tropism, and there are many treatment modalities for melanoma brain metastases (MBM). The efficacy and toxicity of various treatments are still controversial. Therefore, they were evaluated by direct and indirect comparison to assist clinical decision-making in this study. METHOD: A total of 7 therapeutic modalities for MBM were studied. Retrieval was conducted through Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Library and Web of science databases and the quality of the included literature was evaluated. Meta-analysis and Bayesian network meta-analysis were performed using Review Manager and R language. RESULTS: A total of 10 articles were included with 836 MBM patients. Direct comparison showed that stereotactic radiotherapy combined with immunotherapy (SRS + IT) was superior to IT (HR = 0.66, 95%CI = 0.52-0.84) or SRS (HR = 0.81, 95%CI = 0.63-1.03) alone in improving intracranial progression-free survival (PFS). In terms of overall survival (OS), SRS + IT was superior to SRS alone (HR = 0.64, 95%CI = 0.49-0.83), or IT (HR = 0.59, 95%CI = 0.29-1.21). Rank probability and surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) by indirect comparison showed that SRS + IT had the best effect on improving intracranial PFS (0.88) and OS (0.98). Additionally, various combination therapies, especially SRS + IT (0.72), increased the incidence of radiation necrosis (RN). In direct comparisons, SRS + IT (RR = 0.93, 95%CI = 0.47-1.83) and SRS + TT (targeted therapy) (RR = 0.24, 95%CI = 0.10-0.56) did not increase intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) compared with SRS. CONCLUSIONS: SRS + IT treatment was the best choice for MBM patients in both intracranial PFS and OS, even though it also led to an increased probability of RN.

Effectiveness and Safety of Chinese Herbal Injections Combined with SOX Chemotherapy Regimens for Advanced Gastric Cancer: a Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis.

Background: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that combining Chinese herbal injections (CHIs) with oxaliplatin plus tegafur (SOX) chemotherapy regimens improves clinical effectiveness and reduces adverse reactions in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). These RCTs highlight the potential applications of CHIs and their impact on AGC patient prognosis. However, there is insufficient comparative evidence on the clinical effectiveness and safety of different CHIs when combined with SOX. Therefore, we performed a network meta-analysis to rank the clinical effectiveness and safety of different CHIs when combined with SOX chemotherapy regimens. This study aimed to provide evidence for selecting appropriate CHIs in the treatment of patients with AGC. Methods: We searched eight databases from their inception until March 2023. Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking Curve (SUCRA) probability values were used to rank the treatment measures, and the Confidence in Network Meta-Analysis (CINeMA) software assessed the grading of evidence. Results: A total of 51 RCTs involving 3,703 AGC patients were identified. Huachansu injections + SOX demonstrated the highest clinical effectiveness (SUCRA: 78.17%), significantly reducing the incidence of leukopenia (93.35%), thrombocytopenia (80.19%), and nausea and vomiting (95.15%). Shenfu injections + SOX improved Karnofsky's Performance Status (75.59%) and showed a significant reduction in peripheral neurotoxicity incidence (88.26%). Aidi injections + SOX were most effective in reducing the incidence of liver function damage (75.16%). According to CINeMA, most confidence rating results were classified as "low". Conclusion: The combination of CHIs and SOX shows promising effects in the treatment of AGC compared to SOX alone. Huachansu and Shenfu injections offer the greatest overall advantage among the CHIs, while Aidi injections are optimal for reducing the incidence of liver damage. However, further rigorous RCTs with larger sample sizes and additional pharmacological studies are necessary to reinforce these findings.

Regenerative therapies for femoral head necrosis in the past two decades: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Regenerative techniques combined with core decompression (CD) are commonly used to treat osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH). However, no consensus exists on regeneration therapy combined with CD that performs optimally. Therefore, we evaluated six regenerative therapies combined with CD treatment using a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA). METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases. Six common regeneration techniques were categorized into the following groups with CD as the control group: (1) autologous bone graft (ABG), (2) autologous bone graft combined with bone marrow aspirate concentrate (ABG + BMAC), (3) bone marrow aspirate concentrate (BMAC), (4) free vascular autologous bone graft (FVBG), (5) expanded mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs), and (6) platelet-rich plasma (PRP). The conversion rate to total hip arthroplasty (THA) and progression rate to femoral head necrosis were compared among the six treatments. RESULT: A total of 17 literature were included in this study. In the NMA, two of the six treatment strategies demonstrated higher response in preventing the progression of ONFH than CD: MSCs (odds ratio [OR]: 0.098, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0087-0.87) and BMAC (OR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.073-0.73). Additionally, two of the six treatment strategies were effective techniques in preventing the conversion of ONFH to THA: MSCs (OR: 0.062, 95% CI: 0.0038-0.40) and BMAC (OR: 0.32, 95% CI: 0.1-0.074). No significant difference was found among FVBG, PRP, ABG + BMAC, ABG, and CD in preventing ONFH progression and conversion to THA (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our NMA found that MSCs and BMAC were effective in preventing ONFH progression and conversion to THA among the six regenerative therapies. According to the surface under the cumulative ranking value, MSCs ranked first, followed by BMAC. Additionally, based on our NMA results, MSCs and BMAC following CD may be necessary to prevent ONFH progression and conversion to THA. Therefore, these findings provide evidence for the use of regenerative therapy for ONFH.

Association between interpregnancy interval and risk of autism spectrum disorder: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Although the risk of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has been reported to be associated with interpregnancy intervals (IPIs), their association remains debatable due to inconsistent findings in existing studies. Therefore, the present study aimed to explore their association. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were systematically retrieved up to May 25, 2022. An updated search was performed on May 25, 2023, to encompass recent studies. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Our primary outcome measures were expressed as adjusted odds ratios (ORs). Given various control measures for IPI and diverse IPI thresholds in the included studies, a Bayesian network meta-analysis was performed. Eight studies were included, involving 24,865 children with ASD and 2,890,289 children without ASD. Compared to an IPI of 24 to 35 months, various IPIs were significantly associated with a higher risk of ASD (IPIs < 6 months: OR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.53-1.74, n = 5; IPIs of 6-11 months: OR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.42-1.59, n = 4; IPIs of 12-23 months: OR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.12-1.23, n = 10; IPIs of 36-59 months: OR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.99, n = 2; IPIs of 60-119 months: OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.10-1.20, n = 4; IPIs > 120 months: OR = 1.57, 95% CI 1.43-1.72, n = 4). After adjusting confounding variables, our analysis delineated a U-shaped restricted cubic spline curve, underscoring that both substantially short (< 24 months) and excessively long IPIs (> 72 months) are significantly correlated with an increased risk of ASD.  Conclusion: Our analysis indicates that both shorter and longer IPIs might predispose children to a higher risk of ASD. Optimal childbearing health and neurodevelopmental outcomes appear to be associated with a moderate IPI, specifically between 36 and 60 months. What is Known: • An association between autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and interpregnancy intervals (IPIs) has been speculated in some reports. • This association remains debatable due to inconsistent findings in available studies. What is New: • Our study delineated a U-shaped restricted cubic spline curve, suggesting that both shorter and longer IPIs predispose children to a higher risk of ASD. • Optimal childbearing health and neurodevelopmental outcomes appear to be associated with a moderate IPI, specifically between 36 and 60 months.

Evaluation and comparison of efficacy and safety of tirzepatide and semaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A Bayesian network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: As new antidiabetic drugs, tirzepatide (Tir) and semaglutide (Sem) are progressively applied in clinical practice. However, their efficacy and safety profiles have not been comprehensively assessed. Therefore, a Bayesian network meta-analysis was used to evaluate and compare the efficacy and safety of Tir and Sem in treating type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and ClinicalTrials.gov were systematically searched from inception to April 3rd, 2023. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing the efficacy and safety of Tir and Sem with placebo or the other antidiabetic drugs in treating T2DM were included. The efficacy outcomes included changes in glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), body weight (BW), body mass index (BMI), and the proportion of participants with HbA1c< 7 %. The safety outcome was the proportion of participants experiencing gastrointestinal adverse events (GIAEs). RESULTS: A total of 38 studies involving 34,166 participants were included. Compared to 1 mg of subcutaneous Sem (Sem SC), 5 mg, 10 mg and 15 mg of Tir demonstrated superior efficacy in reducing HbA1c (mean difference (MD), [95 % CI], -0.22 [-0.40, -0.03] %, -0.42 [-0.60, -0.24] % and -0.53 [-0.71, -0.35] %, respectively) and BW (MD [95 % CI], -1.48 [-2.53, -0.43] kg, -4.00 [-5.05, -2.95] kg and -5.71 [-6.73, -4.68] kg, respectively). Conversely, 7 mg and 14 mg of oral Sem (Sem PO) displayed inferior efficacy in reducing HbA1c (MD [95 % CI], 0.47 [0.26, 0.68] % and 0.35 [0.16, 0.54] %, respectively) and BW (MD [95 % CI], 2.36 [1.24, 3.48] kg and 1.11 [0.10, 2.13] kg). However, 20 mg and 40 mg of Sem PO were non-inferior in reducing HbA1c (MD [95 % CI], 0.13 [-0.29, 0.55] % and 0.01 [-0.38, 0.40] %, respectively) and BW (MD [95 % CI], -0.41 [-2.71, 1.90] kg and -1.32 [-3.58, 0.92] kg). In terms of safety, compared to 1 mg of Sem SC, 5 mg, 10 mg and 15 mg of Tir did not significantly increase the incidence of GIAEs (odd ratio (OR) [95 % CI], 0.70 [0.42, 1.10], 0.87 [0.52, 1.36] and 0.99 [0.60, 1.54], respectively), while 7 mg of Sem PO showed a lower incidence of GIAEs (OR [95 % CI], 0.48 [0.25, 0.83]). Compared to insulin, 0.5 mg of Sem SC, 1 mg of Sem SC, 5 mg of Tir, 10 mg of Tir and 15 mg of Tir displayed better efficacy in lowering HbA1c (MD [95 % CI], -0.40 [-0.63, -0.18] %, -0.69 [-0.90, -0.48] %, -0.91 [-1.10, -0.72] %, -1.11 [-1.30, -0.92] % and -1.22 [-1.41, -1.03] %, respectively) and BW (MD [95 % CI], -5.34[-6.60, -4.09] kg, -6.70 [-7.90,-5.51] kg, -8.18 [-9.27, -7.10] kg, -10.70 [-11.79, -9.61] kg and -12.41 [-13.49,-11.33] kg, respectively). According to the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) value, among all the included interventions, 15 mg of Tir exhibited the most potent effect in reducing HbA1c (99.81 %) and BW (99.98 %), followed by 10 mg of Tir (96.83 % and 95.72 %), 5 mg of Tir (92.88 % and 86.04 %), 1 mg of Sem SC (85.85 % and 74.97 %), 40 mg of Sem PO (83.66 % and 84.31 %), 20 mg of Sem PO (76.98 % and 77.12 %), 300 mg of Can (49.93 % and 60.89 %), insulin (36.38 % and 0.22 %) and 100 mg of Sit (12.28 % and 18.51 %) respectively. Meanwhile, 5 mg, 10 mg, and 15 mg of Tir (48.32 %, 30.96 %, and 21.07 %, respectively), 0.5 mg and 1 mg of Sem SC (33.54 % and 24.77 %, respectively) significantly increased the incidence of GIAEs. CONCLUSION: Both Tir and Sem demonstrated favorable antidiabetic effects and were particularly suitable for T2DM patients who were obese or overweight. Despite a high incidence of GIAEs, their safety profile was deemed acceptable. Tir was the best option among all the included interventions.

Cardiovascular benefits and safety of sotagliflozin in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with heart failure or cardiovascular risk factors: a bayesian network meta-analysis.

Background: As an antidiabetic agent, sotagliflozin was recently approved for heart failure (HF). However, its cardiovascular benefits in type 2 diabetic mellitus (T2DM) patients with HF or cardiovascular (CV) risk factors have not been systematically evaluated. The aim of this study is to evaluate the cardiovascular benefits and safety of sotagliflozin in T2DM patients with HF or CV risk factors using Bayesian network meta-analysis. Methods: Data were retrieved from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov, and Cochrane Library from their inception to 16 August 2023. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing sotagliflozin with a placebo, dapagliflozin, and empagliflozin in adult T2DM patients with HF or CV risks for at least 12 weeks were included in the study. Data analysis was conducted using R 4.2.3 and Stata 17.0. Cardiovascular efficacy outcomes included HF events (hospitalization or urgent visits for HF), MACE (deaths from CV causes, hospitalizations for HF, nonfatal myocardial infarctions, and strokes), cardiovascular death, the decrease in SBP, and weight loss. Safety outcomes are urinary tract infection, diarrhea, and diabetic ketoacidosis. Results: Eleven studies with 30,952 patients were included. Compared to dapagliflozin and empagliflozin, 200 mg of sotagliflozin showed the best effect in reducing HF events [OR (95% CI), 0.79 (0.66, 0.94) and 0.90 (0.63, 1.27)]. Compared to dapagliflozin, 200 mg of sotagliflozin [OR (95% CI), 0.76 (0.66, 0.87)] was superior in preventing MACE. Compared to empagliflozin, 200 mg of sotagliflozin [OR (95% CI), 1.46 (1.04, 2.05)] was inferior in preventing CV death. Sotagliflozin showed a poorer SBP decreasing effect than empagliflozin and dapagliflozin [MD (95% CI), 1.30 (0.03, 2.56) and 2.25 (0.35, 4.14), respectively]. There was no significant difference between sotagliflozin and other interventions in weight loss. Sotagliflozin exhibited no increased risk for diabetic ketoacidosis or urinary tract infection among all interventions, however, it showed a mild risk for diarrhea than placebo [OR (95% CI), 1.47 (1.28, 1.69)]. Conclusion: Sotagliflozin displayed moderate CV benefits and acceptable safety. Sotagliflozin can be one of the recommended options for T2DM patients with HF or CV risk factors, which will be important for evidence-based use of sotagliflozin as well as decision-making of T2DM medication.

Effectiveness of acupuncture for pain relief in shoulder-hand syndrome after stroke: a systematic evaluation and Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Background: Shoulder-hand syndrome (SHS) is a common complication after stroke, and SHS-induced pain significantly hampers patients' overall recovery. As an alternative therapy for pain relief, acupuncture has certain advantages in alleviating pain caused by SHS after stroke. However, choosing the best treatment plan from a variety of acupuncture options is still a serious challenge in clinical practice. Therefore, we conducted this Bayesian network meta-analysis to comprehensively compare the effectiveness of various acupuncture treatment methods. Methods: We systematically searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of acupuncture treatment in patients with post-stroke SHS published in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science until 9 March 2023. We used the Cochrane bias risk assessment tool to assess the bias risk in the included original studies. Results: A total of 50 RCTs involving 3,999 subjects were included, comprising 19 types of effective acupuncture interventions. Compared to single rehabilitation training, the top three interventions for VAS improvement were floating needle [VAS = -2.54 (95% CI: -4.37 to -0.69)], rehabilitation + catgut embedding [VAS = -2.51 (95% CI: -4.33 to -0.68)], and other multi-needle acupuncture combinations [VAS = -2.32 (95% CI: -3.68 to -0.94)]. The top three interventions for improving the Fugl-Meyer score were eye acupuncture [Meyer = 15.73 (95% CI: 3.4627.95)], other multi-needle acupuncture combinations [Meyer = 12.22 (95% CI: 5.1919.34)], and traditional western medicine + acupuncture + traditional Chinese medicine [Meyer = 11.96 (95% CI: -0.59 to 24.63)]. Conclusion: Multiple acupuncture methods are significantly effective in improving pain and upper limb motor function in post-stroke SHS, with relatively few adverse events; thus, acupuncture can be promoted. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, CRD42023410957.

A Systematic Review and Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis on the Effect of Different Anticoagulants on the Prophylaxis of Post-Thrombotic Syndrome after Deep Venous Thrombosis.

BACKGROUND: Postthrombotic syndrome (PTS) has a major impact on the quality of life after deep venous thrombosis (DVT). From clinical practice and related trials, anticoagulants show potential for reducing the occurrence and alleviating the symptoms of PTS. METHODS: A systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) were conducted by combing the literature from the databases of MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Libraries, and ClinicalTrials, through a variety of medical subject headings (Mesh) and PTS keywords. With regard to PTS prophylaxis, all anticoagulant-related randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies were assessed. The network model was conducted through the R software, and further comparisons were conducted using the Bayesian hierarchical random effects model. The odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% CI were calculated for analysis. RESULTS: Data from two RCTs and nine non-randomized studies meeting the selection criteria were included in the Bayesian analysis model, which incorporated seven anticoagulants. Edoxaban (OR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.18-1.0) and rivaroxaban (OR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.38-0.76) were significantly more effective than warfarin in the prevention of PTS (Villalta score ≥ 5). A subgroup analysis based on the severity of PTS showed that rivaroxaban was more effective than warfarin, with OR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.41-0.84 (Villalta score 5 to 14) and OR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.22-0.9 (Villalta score ≥ 15, ulceration), respectively. Edoxaban had the highest probability (80.1%) of providing preventive benefits for PTS. For mild/moderate and severe PTS, rivaroxaban provided the highest benefits in preventing PTS (89.3% and 85.6%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Edoxaban demonstrated a better prophylactic effect on PTS (Villalta score > 5), while rivaroxaban displayed a better effect against mild/moderate (Villalta score 5 to 14) and severe PTS (Villalta score ≥ 15, ulceration).

Comparative effectiveness of multiple different treatment regimens for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and Bayesian network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are closely related and mutually contribute to the disease's development. There are many treatment options available to patients. We provide a comprehensive overview of the evidence on the treatment effects of several potential interventions for NAFLD with T2DM. METHODS: This systematic review and network meta-analysis included searches of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from inception to June 30, 2023, for randomised controlled trials of treatment of NAFLD with T2DM. We performed Bayesian network meta-analyses to summarise effect estimates of comparisons between interventions. We applied the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) frameworks to rate all comparative outcomes' certainty in effect estimates, categorise interventions, and present the findings. This study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022342373. RESULTS: Four thousand three hundred and sixty-nine records were retrieved from the database and other methods, of which 24 records were eligible for studies enrolling 1589 participants. Eight clinical indicators and 14 interventions were finally in focus. Referring to the lower surface under the cumulative ranking curves (SUCRA) and the league matrix table, exenatide and liraglutide, which are also glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), showed excellent potential to reduce liver fat content, control glycemia, reduce body weight, and improve liver function and insulin resistance. Exenatide was more effective in reducing glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (mean difference (MD) 0.32, 95%CI 0.12 to 0.52), lowering BMI (MD 0.81, 95%CI 0.18 to 1.45), and lowering alanine transaminase (ALT) (MD 10.96, 95%CI 5.27 to 16.66) compared to liraglutide. However, this evidence was assessed as low certainty. Omega-3 was the only intervention that did not have a tendency to lower HbA1c, with standard-treatment (STA-TRE) as reference (MD - 0.17, 95%CI - 0.42 to 0.07). Glimepiride is the only intervention that causes an increase in ALT levels, with standard-treatment (STA-TRE) as reference (MD - 11.72, 95%CI - 17.82 to - 5.57). Based on the available evidence, the treatment effects of pioglitazone, dapagliflozin, and liraglutide have a high degree of confidence. CONCLUSIONS: The high confidence mandates the confident application of these findings as guides for clinical practice. Dapagliflozin and pioglitazone are used for glycaemic control in patients with NAFLD combined with T2DM, and liraglutide is used for weight loss therapy in patients with abdominal obesity. The available evidence does not demonstrate the credibility of the effectiveness of other interventions in reducing liver fat content, visceral fat area, ALT, and insulin resistance. Future studies should focus on the clinical application of GLP-1Ras and the long-term prognosis of patients.