COVID-19 pandemic in Taiz Governorate, Yemen, between 2020 and 2023.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is highly contagious and causes a series of health problems, particularly in Yemen, which has a fragile healthcare system and cannot handle public health emergencies. AIMS: This analysis aimed to determine the epidemiological status of COVID-19 in the Taiz governorate between April 2020 and December 2023. METHODS: A retrospective study based on surveillance data from the Taiz governorate was used. The required data were gathered from the Ministry of Health and Population in Aden and analyzed using SPSS. RESULTS: Out of 5826 suspected of COVID-19 cases, 1933 (33.18%) cases were positive for COVID-19 infection. The high rates of COVID-19 cases were reported at 35.40% in males, 37.80% in people aged 35-44 years, 47.20% in 2020, 72.73% in Dhubab district, and 27.78% in March 2021. The overall incidence rate of cases was reported at 6.2 per 10,000 people in Taiz governorate (8.85 in males and 3.80 in females). In addition, the high incidence rate of COVID-19 was observed among age groups ≥ 65 years, in 2021, and in Al-Mukha districts. In total, the rate of fatality cases was 14.12%, the higher rate of fatality cases was 15.46% among males and 32.23% among individuals aged ≥ 65 years, and 26.97% in 2020. CONCLUSION: In this finding, the incidence rate of COVID-19 is high. It is necessary to increase the public's awareness of the transmission and prevention methods of COVID-19, as well as implement appropriate strategies to protect populations from infectious diseases.

Global and regional mortality statistics of nipah virus from 1994 to 2023: a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis.

The mortality rate of Nipah virus (NiV) can vary in different regions, and its pattern across timelines has yet to be assessed. The primary objective is to perform a comparative analysis of mortality rates across different timelines and countries. Articles reporting NiV mortality from inception to November 2023 were analyzed in PubMed, Ovid Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases. A meta-analysis utilizing random-effects models determined the mortality rate secondary to NiV complications. The initial search strategy yielded 1213 records, of which 36 articles met the inclusion criteria, comprising 2736 NiV patients. The Global mortality rate of the Nipah virus in the 2014-2023 decade was 80.1% (CI: 68.7-88.1%), indicating a significant 24% increase compared to the preceding decade (2004-2013) with a mortality rate of 54.1% (CI: 35.5-71.6%). Among the countries analyzed for overall mortality from 1994-2023, India experienced the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (CI: 74.6-88.6%), followed by Bangladesh at 62.1% (CI: 45.6-76.2%), Philippines at 52.9% (CI: 30-74.5%), Malaysia at 28.9% (CI: 21.4-37.9%), and Singapore at 21% (CI: 8-45%). Subgroup analysis revealed that India consistently had the highest mortality rate for the past two decades (91.7% and 89.3%). The primary complication leading to mortality was encephalitis, accounting for 95% of cases. This systematic review and meta-analysis revealed a noteworthy surge in NiV mortality rates, particularly in the current decade (2014-2023). The escalation, with India reporting a concerning level of mortality of 89.3-91.7% in the past decades, signifies a pressing public health challenge.

Retrospective Analysis of Cholera/Acute Watery Diarrhea Outbreaks in Ethiopia From 2001 To 2023: Incidence, Case Fatality Rate, and Seasonal and Multiyear Epidemic Patterns.

BACKGROUND: The Ethiopian government has developed the multisectoral cholera elimination plan (NCP) with an aim of reducing cholera incidence and case fatality rate (CFR). To better understand and monitor the progress of this plan, a comprehensive review of national cholera epidemiology is needed. METHODS: Reported data on cholera/acute watery diarrhea (AWD) cases in the past 20 years were extracted from the Ethiopian Public Health Institute and World Health Organization databases. Descriptive statistics, Pearson χ2, and logistic regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: From January 2001 to November 2023, a total of 215 205 cholera/AWD cases, 2355 deaths with a cumulative CFR of 1.10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.092-1.095), and a mean annual incidence rate of 8.9/100 000 (95% CI, 6.5-11.3) were reported. Two major upsurges of cholera epidemics were found in the last two decades with mean attack rate (AR) of 20.57/100 000 in 2006-2010 and 14.83/100 000 in 2016-2020. Another resurgence of outbreaks occured in 2021-2023 (mean AR, 8.63/100 000). In 2015-2023, 54.0% (53 990/99 945) of cases were aged 15-44 years. National cholera CFR (3.13% [95% CI: 2.1-4.5]) was the highest in 2022. The 2015-2023 cumulative cholera CFR was different across regions: Benishangul Gumuz (6.07%), Gambela (1.89%), Sidama (1.42%), Southern Nation, Nationalities, and Peoples' (1.34%), Oromia (1.10%), and Amhara (1.09%). Cholera/AWD patients in older adults (≥45 years), severe dehydration, peak rainy season (June-August), and outpatients were associated with higher risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: Cholera has been a public health problem in Ethiopia with case fatalities still above the global target. Case management needs to be improved particularly in outpatients and older populations. Outbreak preparedness should be rolled out well in advance of the typical rainy seasons. Significant investments are essential to advance the cholera surveillance system at healthcare setting and community level. Underlying factors of cholera deaths per areas should be further investigated to guide appropriate interventions to meet the NCP target by 2028.

Machine learning prediction of the case-fatality of COVID-19 and risk factors for adverse outcomes in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

Background: Since the emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) across the globe, patients with cancer have been found to have an increased risk of infection with COVID-19 and are highly likely to experience a severe disease course. This study analyzed the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and identified the risk factors for adverse outcomes. Methods: The study included patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between January 2020 and April 2022 at the Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, Republic of Korea, who have a history of NSCLC. The case-fatality rate and risk factors for COVID-19 were analyzed using a machine-learning prediction method. Additionally, the study investigated the effect of COVID-19 on the systemic treatment of patients with advanced-stage NSCLC. Results: Overall, 1,127 patients were included in this study, with 10.3% of the patients being older than 75 years; of these patients, 51.8% were ex- or current smokers. Among the 584 patients cured after surgery, 91 had stable disease after concurrent chemo-radiotherapy, and 452 had recurrent or metastatic NSCLC. Among 452 patients with recurrent or metastatic NSCLC, 387 received systemic treatment in a palliative setting during COVID-19. Of these, 188 received targeted therapy, 111 received cytotoxic chemotherapy, 63 received immunotherapy +/- chemotherapy, and 26 received other agents. Among them, 94.6% of patients continued systemic treatment after the COVID-19 infection. Only one patient discontinued treatment because of complications of the COVID-19 infection, and 18 patients changed their systemic treatment because of disease progression. The case fatality rates were 0.86% for patients with early-stage NSCLC, 4.4% for patients with locally advanced NSCLC, and 9.96% for patients with advanced NSCLC. The factors associated with fatalities included palliative chemotherapy, type of palliative chemotherapy, age (≥75 years), diabetes, smoking history, history of lung radiotherapy, hypertension, sex, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The predictive model using logistic regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) performed well [area under the curve (AUC) for logistic regression =0.84 and AUC for XGB =0.84]. Conclusions: The case fatality rate in patients with NSCLC was 4.8%, while most patients with advanced NSCLC continued to receive systemic treatment. However, patients with risk factors require careful management of COVID-19 complications.

Prevalence and associated risk factors for noma in Nigerian children: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence, case-fatality rate, and associated risk-factors of Noma in children in Nigeria. METHODS: Search was conducted in PubMed, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Library databases. Data were extraction using a double-blind approach. Discrepancies were resolved by a third reviewer. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2 statistics. Random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis and subgroup analysis was conducted. The study quality was evaluated using standard Critical-Appraisal-Checklist. RESULTS: Of the 1652 articles identified, 12 studies that met the inclusion criteria included 871 cases of Noma. Two studies had high-risk of bias and were excluded in the meta-analysis. Pooled prevalence of Noma was 2.95% (95%CI:2.19-3.71; Z = 7.60; p < 0.00001, I2:100.0). Case fatality was reported in one study. Sex-distribution had a male-to-female ratio of 1.1:1. Malnutrition (88.42%, 95%CI:52.84-124.00; I2:100.0), measles (40.60%; 95% CI:31.56-49.65; I2:100.0) and malaria (30.75%; 95% CI:30.06-31.45; I2:100.0) were the most notable associated risk-factors. Prevalence of Noma was non-significantly lower in southern (1.96%,95%CI:1.49-2.44;6 studies) than in northern (4.43%; 95%CI:-0.98-9.83; 4 studies) Nigeria. One study reported the prevalence of Noma in children younger than 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: About every 3 in 100 children in Nigeria had Noma and the prevalence was non-significantly higher in northern than southern Nigeria. Malnutrition, measles, and malaria were major associated risk-factors. Case-fatality rate and prevalence based on different age-groups were inconclusive.

Country-specific determinants for COVID-19 case fatality rate and response strategies from a global perspective: an interpretable machine learning framework.

BACKGROUND: There are significant geographic inequities in COVID-19 case fatality rates (CFRs), and comprehensive understanding its country-level determinants in a global perspective is necessary. This study aims to quantify the country-specific risk of COVID-19 CFR and propose tailored response strategies, including vaccination strategies, in 156 countries. METHODS: Cross-temporal and cross-country variations in COVID-19 CFR was identified using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) including 35 factors from seven dimensions in 156 countries from 28 January, 2020 to 31 January, 2022. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to further clarify the clustering of countries by the key factors driving CFR and the effect of concurrent risk factors for each country. Increases in vaccination rates was simulated to illustrate the reduction of CFR in different classes of countries. FINDINGS: Overall COVID-19 CFRs varied across countries from 28 Jan 2020 to 31 Jan 31 2022, ranging from 68 to 6373 per 100,000 population. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the determinants of CFRs first changed from health conditions to universal health coverage, and then to a multifactorial mixed effect dominated by vaccination. In the Omicron period, countries were divided into five classes according to risk determinants. Low vaccination-driven class (70 countries) mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America, and include the majority of low-income countries (95.7%) with many concurrent risk factors. Aging-driven class (26 countries) mainly distributed in high-income European countries. High disease burden-driven class (32 countries) mainly distributed in Asia and North America. Low GDP-driven class (14 countries) are scattered across continents. Simulating a 5% increase in vaccination rate resulted in CFR reductions of 31.2% and 15.0% for the low vaccination-driven class and the high disease burden-driven class, respectively, with greater CFR reductions for countries with high overall risk (SHAP value > 0.1), but only 3.1% for the ageing-driven class. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence from this study suggests that geographic inequities in COVID-19 CFR is jointly determined by key and concurrent risks, and achieving a decreasing COVID-19 CFR requires more than increasing vaccination coverage, but rather targeted intervention strategies based on country-specific risks.

Adjunctive Statin Therapy in Patients with Covid-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of adjunctive statin therapy in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) remains uncertain. METHODS: We systematically searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane, and ClinicalTrial.gov databases from March 2020 to late April 2024 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing statin versus no statin use in patients hospitalized with Covid-19. We pooled risk ratios (RRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) applying a random-effects model. R version 4.3.1 was used for statistical analyses. RESULTS: We included 7 RCTs comprising 4,262 patients, of whom 2,645 (62%) were randomized to receive statin therapy. Compared with no statin, statin use significantly reduced case-fatality rate (RR 0.88; 95% CI 0.80-0.98; I2=0%). In a time-to-event analysis, we found similar results (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.75-0.99; I2=0%). Statin use also significantly reduced World Health Organization (WHO) scale at 14 days (mean difference -0.27; 95% CI -0.54 to -0.01; I2=0%). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in length of hospital stay, elevation of liver enzymes, and C-reactive protein levels. CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalized with Covid-19, statins significantly reduced case-fatality rate and WHO scale score. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: No funding was used for this work. REGISTRATION: A prospective register was recorded in International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) with the number CRD42023479007.

[Reduction in malaria case-fatality rate after implementation of an emergency plan for improved case management in the Bittou health district, Burkina Faso]. / Réduction de la létalité du paludisme après la mise en œuvre d'un plan d'urgence pour l'amélioration de la prise en charge des cas dans le district sanitaire de Bittou, Burkina Faso.

Objective: To observe the evolution in malaria case-fatality rate among children under 5 years of age receiving care at the Bittou district hospital (CMA) after an improvement of the care practices. The management team implemented an emergency plan in 2016 with 5 components: i) health facilities staff sensitization to enable rapid referral of severe malaria cases to CMA; ii) reorganization of CMA paediatric emergencies to make a physician as the mainpoint of contact; iii) ensuring availability of supplies for severe malaria case management, including the availability of blood; iv) daily medical check-ups of hospitalized patients; v) reinforcement of clinical staff skills at all peripheral health facilities. At the same time were introduced i) free care for children under 5 years; ii) municipality involvement to finance ambulance fuel for the referrals of patients; iii) free blood collection in professional schools and soldiers; iv) a free telephone line between the health structures; v) presence of 5 medical doctors at the CMA. Material and methods: Analysis of data collected from the statistical yearbooks of the Ministry of Health of Burkina Faso from 2014 to 2021. Results: The malaria case-fatality rate (CFR) in under-five in the Bittou health district (1.39% and 1.52% in 2014 and 2015) was higher than the average for all districts in this region (1.08%). After implementation of the emergency plan, the malaria CFR in Bittou declined to 0% in 2016 and 2017, 0.2% in 2018, 0% in 2019, 0.07% in 2020 and 0.05% in 2021. The same trend was observed at the CMA level with 2.94% and 2.59% in 2014 and 2015, 0% in 2016 and 2017, 0.38% in 2018, 0% in 2019, then 0.17% and 0.47% in 2020 and 2021. Conclusion: Malaria control remains a challenge in Burkina Faso. However, the improved malaria CFRs observed in Bittou show that effective involvement of health district teams could potentially contribute to substantial reductions in malaria case-fatality risk.

COVID-19 Case Fatality Rates in the Texas Prison System.

The case fatality rate (CFR) is an important metric in the correctional setting because it permits assessment of the lethality of an infectious agent independent of its underlying variations in transmissibility and incidence. Several studies have reported that incarceration is associated with both increased COVID-19 incidence and mortality. CFR, sometimes referred to as infection fatality rate for COVID-19, was used to compare mortality in a population at two points in time. A retrospective cohort study design was used to assess age-adjusted mortality among people diagnosed with COVID-19 in the Texas prison system and the Texas nonincarcerated population from January 1, 2020, through December 31, 2021. For each 6-month period under study, the Texas prison population had a substantially lower age-adjusted CFR compared with the Texas nonincarcerated population. However, in the absence of information on underlying COVID-19 severity, comorbidities, and other potential confounding factors in these two populations, it is difficult to make strong inferences based on a comparison of their CFRs. Future research, with careful attention to bias and confounding, should examine the specific health system factors that may be used to reduce morbidity and mortality associated with infectious disease outbreaks in prisons.

Effect of tocilizumab plus corticosteroid on clinical outcome in patients hospitalized with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging viral hemorrhagic fever with high fatality rates. The blockade of pro-inflammatory cytokines presents a promising therapeutic strategy. METHODS: We conducted a randomized clinical trial at the 154th hospital, Xinyang, Henan Province. Eligible patients with severe SFTS disease were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio to receive either a single intravenous infusion of tocilizumab plus usual care; or usual care only. The primary outcome was the clinical status of death/survival at day 14, while secondary outcomes included improvement from baseline in liver and kidney damage and time required for hospital discharge. The efficacy of tocilizumab plus corticosteroid was compared to those receiving corticosteroid alone. The trial is registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry website (ChiCTR2300076317). RESULTS: 63 eligible patients were assigned to the tocilizumab group and 126 to the control group. The addition of tocilizumab to usual care was associated with a reduced death rate (9.5%) compared to those received only usual care (23.0%), with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 0.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.15 to 0.91, P = 0.029). Combination therapy of tocilizumab and corticosteroids was associated with a significantly reduced fatality (aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.56; P = 0.002) compared to those receiving corticosteroids alone. CONCLUSIONS: A significant benefit of reducing fatality in severe SFTS patients was observed by using tocilizumab. A combined therapy of tocilizumab plus corticosteroids was recommended for the therapy of severe SFTS.

Covid-19 patterns among adults with intellectual and developmental disability and the general population in New York state during the first year of the pandemic.

BACKGROUND: People with intellectual and developmental disabilities (IDD) in the US, especially those living in group homes, experienced comparatively higher Covid-19 case/case fatality rates than the general population during the first year of the pandemic. There is no information about the patterns of case/case fatality rates during this time. OBJECTIVE: This study compared Covid-19 case/case fatality rates among people with IDD living in residential group homes to the general population across the first year of the pandemic in New York State (NYS). METHODS: Covid-19 positive cases and deaths collected from New York Disability Advocates (NYDA), a coalition of organizations serving individuals with IDD, was compared to data for the NYS general population from the first pandemic year. Case rates/100,000 and case fatality rates were calculated for the study period. Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software was used to analyze patterns in weekly case/case fatality rates. RESULTS: Case fatality rates for people with IDD were higher than for the overall state population throughout the pandemic's first year. Case rates were higher among people with IDD across most of this year. Although the patterns in rates were similar, there was a sharp increase in cases for those with IDD during Fall 2020 beginning eight weeks before the general NYS population and a significant decrease in fatalities in late December 2020 into January 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Consistently higher case fatality rates and significant differences in case/case fatality rates for people with IDD living in group homes require further consideration. Planning for future emergencies will require an enhanced federal/state understanding of the needs of people with IDD and a responsive surveillance system.

NIPAH Virus Encephalitis: Unveiling the Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Clinical Outcomes - A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Objective: This study assessed Nipah virus (NiV) encephalitis epidemiology, clinical outcomes, and risk variables to inform treatment and prevention. Methodology: In a PubMed systematic search, 929 citations were found. After screening and eligibility, 22 studies were included. This study obtained age, gender, geographic regions, diagnostic methods, data collection methods, and bias risk. The case fatality rate (CFR) and NiV infection risk variables were evaluated by meta-analysis. Results: Southeast Asia, especially Bangladesh and Malaysia, had the most NiV cases. The major diagnostic method was blood and cerebrospinal fluid IgM and IgG antibody tests, and males predominated. Proxy respondents and matched controls were utilized for risk factor analyses when patients could not answer. The pooled CFR for NiV encephalitis was 61.0%, indicating severity. Risk factors included pigs, nighttime bats near homes, tree climbing, and male gender. Conclusion: Southeast Asian public health is plagued by NiV encephalitis. The high CFR calls for better diagnosis, treatment, and prevention. NiV's multiple risk factors must be understood for targeted therapy. Future research should fill knowledge gaps and improve NiV infection prevention.

Country-based modelling of COVID-19 case fatality rate: A multiple regression analysis.

BACKGROUND: The spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 outbreak worldwide has caused concern regarding the mortality rate caused by the infection. The determinants of mortality on a global scale cannot be fully understood due to lack of information. AIM: To identify key factors that may explain the variability in case lethality across countries. METHODS: We identified 21 Potential risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case fatality rate for all the countries with available data. We examined univariate relationships of each variable with case fatality rate (CFR), and all independent variables to identify candidate variables for our final multiple model. Multiple regression analysis technique was used to assess the strength of relationship. RESULTS: The mean of COVID-19 mortality was 1.52 ± 1.72%. There was a statistically significant inverse correlation between health expenditure, and number of computed tomography scanners per 1 million with CFR, and significant direct correlation was found between literacy, and air pollution with CFR. This final model can predict approximately 97% of the changes in CFR. CONCLUSION: The current study recommends some new predictors explaining affect mortality rate. Thus, it could help decision-makers develop health policies to fight COVID-19.

Efecto de la variante Ómicron sobre la incidencia y la letalidad durante la 6 onda epidémica COVID-19 en España / Effect of the Omicron variant on cumulative incidence of infection and lethality during the sixth wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Spain

La pandemia COVID-19 ha puesto a prueba los sistemas sanitarios a nivel mundial. Las sucesivas ondas epidémicas han mostrado características diferentes. La variante Ómicron del SARS-CoV-2 modificó el comportamiento epidémico que habían seguido las variantes previas. El objetivo de este análisis fue determinar las características epidemiológicas de la COVID-19 durante la 6.ª onda epidémica y sus diferencias según predominara las variantes Delta u Ómicron. Se analizaron los datos epidemiológicos correspondientes a la 6.ª onda epidémica publicados por los organismos oficiales, y se analizaron la incidencia acumulada de infección (IA-I) y las tasas de letalidad (TL), tanto del conjunto de España como de las diferentes Comunidades Autónomas, en el conjunto de la población y por grupos etarios. Los resultados mostraron que la IA-I era mayor con la variante Ómicron (10,89 vs. 0,75% con Delta) mientras que la TL lo era con la variante Delta (4,2 vs. 1,3‰ con Ómicron), así como una mayor tasa de hospitalización e ingreso en UCI con la variante Delta.(AU)

The COVID-19 pandemic has strained healthcare systems globally. The successive epidemic waves have shown different characteristics. The Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 modified the epidemic behavior that previous variants had followed. The aim of this analysis was to determine the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 during the sixth epidemic wave and its differences according to the predominance of the Delta or Omicron variants. The epidemiological data corresponding to the sixth wave of the epidemic published by official organizations were analyzed, and the cumulative incidence of infection (CI-I) and case fatality rates (CFR) were calculated, both for Spain as a whole and for the different Autonomous Communities, in the population as a whole and by age groups. The results showed that the CI-I was higher with the Ómicron variant (10.89% vs 0.75% with Delta) while the CFR was higher with the Delta variant (4.2‰ vs 1.3‰ with Ómicron), as well as a higher rate of hospitalization and ICU admission with the Delta variant.(AU)

Case fatality rates of COVID-19 during epidemic periods of variants of concern: A meta-analysis by continents.

OBJECTIVES: To calculate the case fatality rates (CFR) of COVID-19 during epidemic periods of different variants of concern (VOC) by continents. METHODS: We systematically searched five authoritative databases (Web of Science, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and MedRxiv) for epidemiological studies on the CFR of COVID-19 published between January 1, 2020, and March 31, 2023. After identifying the epidemic trends of variants, we used a random-effects model to calculate the pooled CFRs during periods of different VOCs. This meta-analysis was conducted following the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) and registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023431572). RESULTS: There were variations in the CFRs among different variants of COVID-19 (Alpha: 2.62%, Beta: 4.19%, Gamma: 3.60%, Delta: 2.01%, Omicron: 0.70%), and disparities in CFRs also existed among continents. On the whole, the CFRs of COVID-19 in Europe and Oceania were slightly lower than in other continents. There was a statistically significant association between the variant, HDI value, age distribution, coverage of full vaccination of cases, and the CFR. CONCLUSIONS: The CFRs of COVID-19 varied across the epidemic periods of different VOCs, and disparities existed among continents. The CFR value reflected combined effects of various factors within a certain context. Caution should be exercised when comparing CFRs due to disparities in testing capabilities and age distribution among countries, etc.

Sex Differences in the Epidemiology of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over 10 Years in a Population-Based Stroke Registry.

BACKGROUND: We investigated incidence and outcome of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in a population-based stroke registry and provided data to inform on the figures of the disease in women and in men. METHODS AND RESULTS: Our prospective population-based registry included patients with first-ever ICH occurring from January 2011 to December 2020. Incidence rates were standardized to the 2011 Italian and European population, and incidence rate ratios were calculated. Multivariate hazard ratios for 30-day and 1-year fatality were estimated with Cox regression, including components of the ICH score and sex. We included 748 first-ever ICHs (41.3% women). Women were significantly older than men at ICH onset (78.9±12.6 versus 73.2±13.6 years; P<0.001) and showed higher clinical severity on presentation (median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 11 [interquartile range, 6-20] versus 9 [interquartile range, 4-15], respectively; P=0.016). The crude annual incidence rate was 20.2 (95% CI, 18.0-22.6) per 100 000 person-years in women and 30.2 (95% CI, 27.4-33.2) per 100 000 person-years in men); incidence was lower in women versus men (incidence rate ratio, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.58-0.78]; P<0.001) and did not change over time in both sexes (P for trend=0.073 and 0.904, respectively). Unadjusted comparison showed higher 1-year case-fatality rates in women versus men (48.5% versus 40.1%; P=0.026). After adjusting for components of the ICH score, female sex lost significance as a predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: We found lower ICH incidence in women than in men. However, women showed a higher 1-year case-fatality rate versus men, which was likely related to older age at ICH onset and higher clinical severity. Identification of factors explaining the reported differences is important to develop targeted interventions.

Mortality of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease following Introduction of the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Greenland.

Before the incorporation of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) into the childhood vaccination regimen in Greenland in 2010, Inuit populations experienced a substantial prevalence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). The PCV13 introduction has been shown to markedly reduce the incidence of IPD. This current study estimated the impact of PCV13 introduction on IPD mortality in Greenland. This was a nationwide register-based study using all available data on IPD cases 1995-2020 in Greenland. Thirty-one-day IPD case fatality rates (CFR), and all-cause and mortality rates associated with IPD during the period before the introduction of PCV13 (January 1995 to September 2010) were compared with those observed in the post-PCV13 era (September 2010 to October 2020). Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) expressed differences in mortality by sex, age, region, ethnicity, comorbidity, and serotype. IPD CFR decreased with 24.5% from the pre- to the post-PCV13 period. SMR in IPD patients decreased by 57% (95% CI, 36-75%), and a reduction occurred in all age groups. While SMR in IPD persons ≥60 years remained virtually unchanged, there were no IPD-related deaths in persons ≤39 years in the post-PCV13 period. In conclusion, IPD-related mortality has decreased in Greenland following PCV13 introduction in 2010 in the country.

Incidence and case fatality of stroke in Korea, 2011-2020.

OBJECTIVES: Stroke remains the second leading cause of death in Korea. This study was designed to estimate the crude, age-adjusted and age-specific incidence rates, as well as the case fatality rate of stroke, in Korea from 2011 to 2020. METHODS: We utilized data from the National Health Insurance Services from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2020, to calculate incidence rates and 30-day and 1-year case fatality rates of stroke. Additionally, we determined sex and age-specific incidence rates and computed age-standardized incidence rates by direct standardization to the 2005 population. RESULTS: The crude incidence rate of stroke hovered around 200 (per 100,000 person-years) from 2011 to 2015, then surged to 218.4 in 2019, before marginally declining to 208.0 in 2020. Conversely, the age-standardized incidence rate consistently decreased by 25% between 2011 and 2020. When stratified by sex, the crude incidence rate increased between 2011 and 2019 for both sexes, followed by a decrease in 2020. Age-standardized incidence rates displayed a downward trend throughout the study period for both sexes. Across all age groups, the 30-day and 1-year case fatality rates of stroke consistently decreased from 2011 to 2019, only to increase in 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a decrease in the age-standardized incidence rate, the total number of stroke events in Korea continues to rise due to the rapidly aging population. Moreover, 2020 witnessed a decrease in incidence but an increase in case fatality rates.

Incidence and case fatality of acute myocardial infarction in Korea, 2011-2020.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiovascular diseases are a leading cause of mortality worldwide, and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is particularly fatal condition. We evaluated the incidence and case fatality rates of AMI in Korea from 2011 to 2020. METHODS: We utilized data from the National Health Insurance Services to calculate crude, age-standardized, and age-specific incidence rates, along with 30-day and 1-year case fatality rates, of AMI from 2011 to 2020. Age-standardized incidence rates were determined using direct standardization to the 2005 population. RESULTS: The crude incidence rate of AMI per 100,000 person-years consistently increased from 44.7 in 2011 to 68.3 in 2019, before decreasing slightly to 66.2 in 2020. The age-standardized incidence rate of AMI displayed a 19% rise from 2011 to 2019, followed by a slight decline in 2020. The increasing trend for AMI incidence was more pronounced in males than in females. Both 30-day and 1-year case fatality rates remained stable among younger individuals but showed a decrease among older individuals. There was a minor surge in case fatality in 2020, particularly among recurrent AMI cases. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, the AMI incidence rate in Korea has consistently increased, with a slight downturn in 2020. The case fatality rate has remained relatively stable except for a minor increase in 2020. This study provides data for continuous surveillance, the implementation of targeted interventions, and the advancement of research aimed at AMI in Korea.

Changes in the intrinsic severity of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 according to the emerging variant: a nationwide study from February 2020 to June 2022, including comparison with vaccinated populations.

BACKGROUND: As the population acquires immunity through vaccination and natural infection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), understanding the intrinsic severity of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is becoming challenging. We aimed to evaluate the intrinsic severity regarding circulating variants of SARS-CoV-2 and to compare this between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. METHODS: With unvaccinated and initially infected confirmed cases of COVID-19, we estimated the case severity rate (CSR); case fatality rate (CFR); and mortality rate (MR), including severe/critical cases and deaths, stratified by age and compared by vaccination status according to the period regarding the variants of COVID-19 and vaccination. The overall rate was directly standardized with age. RESULTS: The age-standardized CSRs (aCSRs) of the unvaccinated group were 2.12%, 5.51%, and 0.94% in the pre-delta, delta, and omicron period, respectively, and the age-standardized CFRs (aCFRs) were 0.60%, 2.49%, and 0.63% in each period, respectively. The complete vaccination group had lower severity than the unvaccinated group over the entire period showing under 1% for the aCSR and 0.5% for the aCFR. The age-standardized MR of the unvaccinated group was 448 per million people per month people in the omicron period, which was 11 times higher than that of the vaccinated group. In terms of age groups, the CSR and CFR sharply increased with age from the 60 s and showed lower risk reduction in the 80 s when the period changed to the omicron period. CONCLUSIONS: The intrinsic severity of COVID-19 was the highest in the delta period, with over 5% for the aCSR, whereas the completely vaccinated group maintained below 1%. This implies that when the population is vaccinated, the impact of COVID-19 will be limited, even if a new mutation appears. Moreover, considering the decreasing intrinsic severity, the response to COVID-19 should prioritize older individuals at a higher risk of severe disease.