Bidirectional causality between the levels of blood lipids and endometriosis: a two-sample mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Observational studies have found a correlation between the levels of blood lipids and the development and progression of endometriosis (EM). However, the causality and direction of this correlation is unclear. This study aimed to examine the bidirectional connection between lipid profiles and the risk of EM using publicly available genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics. METHODS: Eligible exposure variables such as levels of triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) were selected using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis method following a series of quality control procedures. Data on EM were obtained from the publicly available Finnish database of European patients. Inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR Egger, weighted median, and weighted mode methods were used to analyze the causal relationship between lipid exposure and EM, exclude confounders, perform sensitivity analyses, and assess the stability of the results. Reverse MR analyses were performed with EM as exposure and lipid results as study outcomes. RESULTS: IVW analysis results identified HDL as a protective factor for EM, while TG was shown to be a risk factor for EM. Subgroup analyses based on the site of the EM lesion identified HDL as a protective factor for EM of the uterus, while TG was identified a risk factor for the EM of the fallopian tube, ovary, and pelvic peritoneum. Reverse analysis did not reveal any effect of EM on the levels of lipids. CONCLUSION: Blood lipids, such as HDL and TG, may play an important role in the development and progression of EM. However, EM does not lead to dyslipidemia.

Exploring the causal relationship between immune cell and all-cause heart failure: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background and objectives: Heart failure (HF) is a disease with numerous genetic and environmental factors that affect it. The results of previous studies indicated that immune phenotypes are associated with HF, but there have been inconclusive studies regarding a causal relationship. Therefore, Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were undertaken to confirm the causal connections between immune phenotypes and HF, providing genetic evidence supporting the association of immune cell factors with HF risk. Methods: We selected instrumental variables that met the criteria based on data from the results of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of immune phenotype and all-cause HF. An evaluation of the causal association between 731 immune cell factors and HF risk was carried out using the inverse variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger regression (MR-Egger), and weighted median (WM) analysis methods. To determine the horizontal pleiotropy, heterogeneity, and stability of the genetic variants, the MR-Egger intercept test, Cochran's Q test, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out sensitivity analysis were performed. Results: MR principal method (IVW) analysis showed that a total of 38 immune cell-related factors were significantly causally associated with HF. Further analyses combining three methods (IVW, MR-Egger and WME) showed that six exposure factors significantly associated with heart failure, as shown below. The effect of Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell% Dendritic cell, CD39+ CD8+ T cell% CD8+ T cell, CD3 on Central Memory CD4+ T cell on heart failure was positive. Whereas, a reverse effect was observed for CD14+ CD16+ monocyte% monocyte. Conclusion: We investigated the causal relationship between immune phenotypes and all-cause HF. According to the results, Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell Absolute Count, CD62l- CD86+ myeloid Dendritic cell% Dendritic cell, CD39+ CD8+ T cell% CD8+ T cell, CD3 on Central Memory CD4+ T cell aggravate HF, and the risk of HF is decreased by CD14+ CD16+ monocyte% monocyte. These phenotypes may serve as new biomarkers, providing new therapeutic insights for the prevention and treatment of all-cause HF.

The association of maternal smoking around birth with chronic respiratory diseases in adult offspring: A Mendelian randomization study.

INTRODUCTION: Maternal smoking during pregnancy disturbs fetal lung development, and induces in their offspring childhood respiratory diseases. Whether it has a continued impact on offspring adult lung health and exerts a casual effect of chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs), remains uncertain. We seek to determine the causal relationships between maternal smoking around birth and offspring adult CRDs, using summary data from previously described cohorts. METHODS: Mendelian randomization (MR) study was used to analyze the genome-wide associations of maternal smoking around birth and offspring adult CRDs, including respiratory insufficiency, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), related respiratory insufficiency, emphysema, COPD, COPD hospital admissions, early onset of COPD, later onset of COPD, asthma, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), lung cancer (LC), small cell lung carcinoma (SCLC), and lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC). RESULTS: After removing single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with smoking by the offspring, maternal smoking around birth was associated with increased risk of offspring adult respiratory diseases (OR=1.14; 95% CI: 1.013-1.284; p=0.030), respiratory insufficiency (OR=2.413; 95% CI: 1.039-5.603; p=0.040), COPD (OR=1.14; 95% CI: 1.013-1.284; p=0.003), and asthma (OR=1.336; 95% CI: 1.161-1.538; p<0.001). Besides, maternal smoking during pregnancy was associated with a greater risk of LUSC (OR=1.229; 95% CI: 0.992-1.523; p=0.059) than the risk of IPF (OR=1.001; 95% CI: 0.999-1.003; p=0.224), LC (OR=1.203; 95% CI: 0.964-1.501; p=0.103), or SCLC (OR=1.11; 95% CI: 0.77-1.601; p=0.577). CONCLUSIONS: In this MR analysis, maternal smoking around birth caused a strong risk factor for the offspring to develop lung problems and CRDs in adulthood. The policy related to smoking cessation for mothers during pregnancy should be encouraged.

Causal effect of physical activity and sedentary behavior on the risk of alcohol dependence: A bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol dependence, influenced by physical activity (PA) and sedentary behavior, lacks clear causal clarity. This study aims to clarify causal relationships by estimating these effects using bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). METHODS: A bidirectional multivariable two-sample MR framework was employed to assess the causal effects of PA and sedentary behavior on alcohol dependence. Summarized genetic association data were analyzed for four PA-related activity patterns-moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA), vigorous physical activity (VPA), accelerometer-based physical activity with average acceleration (AccAve), and accelerometer-based physical activity with accelerations greater than 425 milli-gravities (Acc425)-and three sedentary behavior patterns-sedentary, TV watching, and computer use. The study was expanded to include the examination of the relationship between sedentary behavior or PA and general drinking behavior, quantified as drinks per week (DPW). We obtained summarized data on genetic associations with four PA related activity patterns (MVPA, VPA, AccAve and Acc425) and three sedentary behavior related behavior patterns (sedentary, TV watching and computer use). RESULTS: MR analysis found AccAve inversely associated with alcohol dependence risk (OR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.80-0.95; p < 0.001), MVPA positively associated (OR: 2.86; 95%CI: 1.45-5.66; p = 0.002). For sedentary behavior and alcohol dependence, only TV watching was positively associated with the risk of alcohol dependence (OR: 1.43; 95%CI: 1.09-1.88; p = 0.009). No causal links found for other physical or sedentary activities. Reverse analysis and sensitivity tests showed consistent findings without pleiotropy or heterogeneity. Multivariate MR analyses indicated that while MVPA, AccAve and TV watching are independently associated with alcohol dependence, DPW did not show a significant causal relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that AccAve is considered a protective factor against alcohol dependence, while MVPA and TV watching are considered risk factors for alcohol dependence. Conversely, alcohol dependence serves as a protective factor against TV watching. Only TV watching and alcohol dependence might mutually have a significant causal effect on each other.

Association of circulating vitamin levels with thyroid diseases: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Previous observational studies have shown conflicting results of vitamins supplementation for thyroid diseases. The causal relationships between vitamins and thyroid diseases are unclear. Therefore, we conducted a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study to explore association of circulating vitamin levels with thyroid diseases. Methods: We performed a bidirectional MR analysis using genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. Genetic tool variables for circulating vitamin levels include vitamins A, B9, B12, C, D, and E, Genetic tool variables of thyroid diseases include autoimmune hyperthyroidism, autoimmune hypothyroidism, thyroid nodules (TNs), and Thyroid cancer (TC). Inverse-variance weighted multiplicative random effects (IVW-RE) was mainly used for MR Analysis, weighted median (WM) and MR Egger were used as supplementary methods to evaluate the relationships between circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases. Sensitivity and pluripotency were evaluated by Cochran's Q test, MR-PRESSO, Radial MR, MR-Egger regression and leave-one-out analysis. Results: Positive MR evidence suggested that circulating vitamin C level is a protective factor in autoimmune hypothyroidism (ORIVW-RE=0.69, 95%CI: 0.58-0.83, p = 1.05E-04). Reverse MR Evidence showed that genetic susceptibility to autoimmune hyperthyroidism is associated with reduced level of circulating vitamin A(ORIVW-RE = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00, p = 4.38E-02), genetic susceptibility of TNs was associated with an increased level of circulating vitamin D (ORIVW-RE = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.00-1.03, p = 6.86E-03). No causal and reverse causal relationship was detected between other circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases. Conclusion: Our findings provide genetic evidence supporting a bi-directional causal relationship between circulating vitamin levels and thyroid diseases. These findings provide information for the clinical application of vitamins prevention and treatment of thyroid diseases.

Estimating the Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Parent-Child Relationships among Chinese Children with Oppositional Defiant Symptoms: A Machine Learning Approach.

Oppositional defiant symptoms are some of the most common developmental symptoms in children and adolescents with and without oppositional defiant disorder. Research has addressed the close association of the parent-child relationship (PCR) with oppositional defiant symptoms. However, it is necessary to further investigate the underlying mechanism for forming targeted intervention strategies. By using a machine learning-based causal forest (CF) model, we investigated the heterogeneous causal effects of the PCR on oppositional defiant symptoms in children in Chinese elementary schools. Based on the PCR improvement in two consecutive years, 423 children were divided into improved and control groups. The assessment of oppositional defiant symptoms (AODS) in the second year was set as the dependent variable. Additionally, several factors based on the multilevel family model and the baseline AODS in the first year were included as covariates. Consistent with expectations, the CF model showed a significant causal effect between the PCR and oppositional defiant symptoms in the samples. Moreover, the causality exhibited heterogeneity. The causal effect was greater in those children with higher baseline AODS, a worse family atmosphere, and lower emotion regulation abilities in themselves or their parents. Conversely, the parenting style played a positive role in causality. These findings enhance our understanding of how the PCR contributes to the development of oppositional defiant symptoms conditioned by factors from a multilevel family system. The heterogeneous causality in the observation data, established using the machine learning approach, could be helpful in forming personalized family-oriented intervention strategies for children with oppositional defiant symptoms.

Immune-mediated inflammatory diseases and periodontal disease: a bidirectional two-sample mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Previous observational studies have shown a bidirectional association between immune-mediated inflammatory disorders (IMID) and periodontal disease. However, evidence regarding the causal role of IMID and periodontal disease is still lacking. Therefore, we conducted a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to uncover the potential genetic causal effects between IMID and periodontal disease. METHODS: Bidirectional two-sample MR analysis was employed. Data for ten IMIDs were sourced from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) conducted by the FinnGen Consortium (range from 1023 to 36321 cases) and UK Biobank (UKB) (range from 150 to 17574 cases). Furthermore, GWAS data for periodontal disease were obtained from the FinnGen Consortium (87497 cases), UKB (458 cases), and Gene Lifestyle Interactions in Dental Endpoints (GLIDE) consortium (17,353 periodontitis cases). Subsequently, the causal relationships were analyzed by random effects inverse variance weighting, weighted median, and MR-Egger. Sensitivity analyses were performed using the Cochrane Q test, funnel plot, and Mr-Egger intercept test to ensure robustness. Eventually, replication analysis and meta-analysis across different databases were carried out. RESULTS: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) [IVW: OR = 1.079 (95% CI: 1.032-1.128) and P < 0.001], Sjogren syndrome [IVW: OR = 1.082 (95% CI: 1.012-1.157) and P = 0.022] and hypothyroidism [IVW: OR = 1.52 (95% CI: 1.13-2.04) and P = 0.005] may increase the risk of periodontal disease. In addition, periodontal disease may reduce the risk of SLE [IVW: OR = 0.8079 (95% CI: 0.6764-0.9650) and P = 0.019] and hyperthyroidism [IVW: OR = 5.59*10-9 (95% CI: 1.43*10-15-2.18*10-2) and P = 0.014]. Meta-analysis indicated a causal correlation between SLE and an increased risk of periodontal disease: [OR = 1.08 (95% CI: 1.03-1.13), P = 0.0009]. No significant evidence suggests bilateral causal relationships between other IMIDs and periodontal disease. No significant estimation of heterogeneity or pleiotropy is detected. CONCLUSIONS: Our study has confirmed a genetic causal relationship between IMIDs and periodontal disease, thereby unveiling novel potential mechanisms underlying IMIDs and periodontal disease. This discovery is promising in fostering interdisciplinary collaboration between clinicians and stomatologists to facilitate appropriate and precise screening, prevention, and early treatment of IMIDs and periodontal disease.

Sensitivity analysis for principal ignorability violation in estimating complier and noncomplier average causal effects.

An important strategy for identifying principal causal effects (popular estimands in settings with noncompliance) is to invoke the principal ignorability (PI) assumption. As PI is untestable, it is important to gauge how sensitive effect estimates are to its violation. We focus on this task for the common one-sided noncompliance setting where there are two principal strata, compliers and noncompliers. Under PI, compliers and noncompliers share the same outcome-mean-given-covariates function under the control condition. For sensitivity analysis, we allow this function to differ between compliers and noncompliers in several ways, indexed by an odds ratio, a generalized odds ratio, a mean ratio, or a standardized mean difference sensitivity parameter. We tailor sensitivity analysis techniques (with any sensitivity parameter choice) to several types of PI-based main analysis methods, including outcome regression, influence function (IF) based and weighting methods. We discuss range selection for the sensitivity parameter. We illustrate the sensitivity analyses with several outcome types from the JOBS II study. This application estimates nuisance functions parametrically - for simplicity and accessibility. In addition, we establish rate conditions on nonparametric nuisance estimation for IF-based estimators to be asymptotically normal - with a view to inform nonparametric inference.

Association between the gut microbiota and diabetic nephropathy: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Numerous studies have revealed a correlation between the risk of developing diabetic nephropathy (DN) and the gut microbiota (GM) composition. However, it remains uncertain whether the GM composition causes DN. We aimed to explore any potential causal links between the GM composition and the risk of developing DN. A meta-analysis conducted by the MiBioGen consortium of the largest genome-wide association study (GWAS) provided aggregated data on the GM. DN data were obtained from the IEU database. The inverse-variance weighting (IVW) method was employed as the primary analytical approach. The IVW analysis indicated that genus Dialister (OR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.34-0.77, p = 0.00118) was protective against DN. In addition, class Gammaproteobacteria (OR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.27-0.83, p = 0.0096), class Lentisphaeria (OR =0.76, 95% CI: 0.68-0.99, p = 0.04), order Victivallales (OR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.58-0.99, p = 0.04), and phylum Proteobacteria (OR = 0.53, 95% CI: 0.33-0.85, p = 0.00872) were negatively associated with the risk of developing DN. Genus LachnospiraceaeUCG008 (OR =1.45, 95% CI: 1.08-1.95, p = 0.01), order Bacteroidales (OR = 1.59, 95% CI: 1.02-2.49, p = 0.04), and genus Terrisporobacter (OR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.14-3.45, p = 0.015) were positively associated with the risk of developing DN. In this study, we established a causal relationship between the genus Dialister and the risk of developing DN. Further trials are required to confirm the protective effects of probiotics on DN and to elucidate the precise protective mechanisms involving genus Dialister and DN.

Evaluation of the causal effects of immune cells on ischemic stroke: a Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Ischemic stroke (IS) is a cerebrovascular disease caused by various factors, and its etiology remains inadequately understood. The role of immune system dysfunction in IS has been increasingly recognized. Our objective was to evaluate whether circulating immune cells causally impact IS risk. Methods: We conducted two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses to evaluate the causal effects of 731 immune cell traits on IS, utilizing publicly available genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics for 731 immune cell traits as exposure data, and two GWAS statistics for IS as outcome data. A set of sensitivity analyses, including Cochran's Q test, I 2 statistics, MR-Egger intercept test, MR-PRESSO global test, and leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, were performed to assess the robustness of the results. Additionally, meta-analyses were conducted to combine the results from the two different IS datasets. Finally, we extracted instrumental variables of immune cell traits with causal effects on IS in both IS datasets for SNP annotation. Results: A total of 41 and 35 immune cell traits were identified to have significant causal effects on IS based on two different IS datasets, respectively. Among them, the immune cell trait CD62L- plasmacytoid Dendritic Cell AC and CD4+ CD8dim T cell%leukocyte respectively served as risk factor and protective element in both IS datasets. The robustness of the causal effects was confirmed through the sensitivity analyses. The results of the meta-analyses further support the causal effects of CD62L- plasmacytoid Dendritic Cell AC (pooled OR=1.030, 95%CI: 1.011-1.049, P=0.002) and CD4+ CD8dim T cell%leukocyte (pooled OR=0.959, 95%CI: 0.935-0.984, P=0.001). Based on these two immune cell traits, 33 genes that may be related to the causal effects were mapped. Conclusions: Our study demonstrated the potential causal effects of circulating immune cells on IS, providing valuable insights for future studies aimed at preventing IS.

Water consumption and biodiversity: Responses to global emergency events.

Given that it was a once-in-a-century emergency event, the confinement measures related to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused diverse disruptions and changes in life and work patterns. These changes significantly affected water consumption both during and after the pandemic, with direct and indirect consequences on biodiversity. However, there has been a lack of holistic evaluation of these responses. Here, we propose a novel framework to study the impacts of this unique global emergency event by embedding an environmentally extended supply-constrained global multi-regional input-output model (MRIO) into the drivers-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) framework. This framework allowed us to develop scenarios related to COVID-19 confinement measures to quantify country-sector-specific changes in freshwater consumption and the associated changes in biodiversity for the period of 2020-2025. The results suggest progressively diminishing impacts due to the implementation of COVID-19 vaccines and the socio-economic system's self-adjustment to the new normal. In 2020, the confinement measures were estimated to decrease global water consumption by about 5.7% on average across all scenarios when compared with the baseline level with no confinement measures. Further, such a decrease is estimated to lead to a reduction of around 5% in the related pressure on biodiversity. Given the interdependencies and interactions across global supply chains, even those countries and sectors that were not directly affected by the COVID-19 shocks experienced significant impacts: Our results indicate that the supply chain propagations contributed to 79% of the total estimated decrease in water consumption and 84% of the reduction in biodiversity loss on average. Our study demonstrates that the MRIO-enhanced DSPIR framework can help quantify resource pressures and the resultant environmental impacts across supply chains when facing a global emergency event. Further, we recommend the development of more locally based water conservation measures-to mitigate the effects of trade disruptions-and the explicit inclusion of water resources in post-pandemic recovery schemes. In addition, innovations that help conserve natural resources are essential for maintaining environmental gains in the post-pandemic world.

Gut microbiota and functional dyspepsia: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Numerous studies have established that alterations in the gut microbiota (GM) constitute an embedded mechanism in functional dyspepsia (FD). However, the specific GM taxa implicated in the pathological process of FD have remained unclear. Methods: A two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis was initially conducted to examine the causal relationships between GM and FD, utilizing GWAS data from the MiBioGen Consortium (18,340 cases) and FinnGenn (8,875 cases vs. 320,387 controls). The MR study primarily employed the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test for heterogeneity and pleiotropy. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms of causal GM taxa were mapped to genes, which were subsequently assessed for causal relationships with FD employing the same methodology. Results: IVW results revealed that the genus Clostridium innocuum group (OR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.02-1.24, P = 0.020) and genus Ruminiclostridium 9 were positively associated with FD risk (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.03-1.57, P = 0.028), while the genus Lachnospiraceae FCS020 group tended to exert a negative effect on FD risk (OR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.73-0.98, P = 0.023). Among GM-related genes, a notable association was observed between RSRC1 and increased FD risk (OR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.07-1.20, P < 0.001). In sensitivity analyses, no significant pleiotropy or heterogeneity of the results was found. Conclusions: This study furnished evidence for distinct effects of specific GM taxa on FD risk and hinted at a potential biological mechanism, thereby offering theoretical underpinning for future microbiotherapy of FD.

Doubly robust estimation and sensitivity analysis for marginal structural quantile models.

The marginal structure quantile model (MSQM) provides a unique lens to understand the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on the full distribution of potential outcomes. Under the semiparametric framework, we derive the efficiency influence function for the MSQM, from which a new doubly robust estimator is proposed for point estimation and inference. We show that the doubly robust estimator is consistent if either of the models associated with treatment assignment or the potential outcome distributions is correctly specified, and is semiparametric efficient if both models are correct. To implement the doubly robust MSQM estimator, we propose to solve a smoothed estimating equation to facilitate efficient computation of the point and variance estimates. In addition, we develop a confounding function approach to investigate the sensitivity of several MSQM estimators when the sequential ignorability assumption is violated. Extensive simulations are conducted to examine the finite-sample performance characteristics of the proposed methods. We apply the proposed methods to the Yale New Haven Health System Electronic Health Record data to study the effect of antihypertensive medications to patients with severe hypertension and assess the robustness of the findings to unmeasured baseline and time-varying confounding.

Causal association between environmental variables and the excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia: are we looking to the wrong side?

Our main aim was to estimate and compare the effects of six environmental variables (air temperature, soil temperature, rainfall, runoff, soil moisture, and the enhanced vegetation index) on excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia. We used epidemiological data from the Colombian Public Health Surveillance System (January 2007 to December 2019). Environmental data were obtained from remote sensing sources including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer. Data on population were obtained from the TerriData dataset. We implemented a causal inference approach using a machine learning algorithm to estimate the causal association of the environmental variables on the monthly occurrence of excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis. The results showed that the largest causal association corresponded to soil moisture with a lag of 3 months, with an average increase of 8.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 7.7-8.3%) in the occurrence of excess cases. The temperature-related variables (air temperature and soil temperature) had a positive causal effect on the excess cases of cutaneous leishmaniasis. It is noteworthy that rainfall did not have a statistically significant causal effect. This information could potentially help to monitor and control cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia, providing estimates of causal effects using remote sensor variables.

Exploring causal effects of gut microbiota and metabolites on body fat percentage using two-sample Mendelian randomization.

AIM: The relationship between the gut microbiota, metabolites and body fat percentage (BFP) remains unexplored. We systematically assessed the causal relationships between gut microbiota, metabolites and BFP using Mendelian randomization analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with gut microbiota, blood metabolites and BFP were screened via a genome-wide association study enrolling individuals of European descent. Summary data from genome-wide association studies were extracted from the MiBioGen consortium and the UK Biobank. The inverse variance-weighted model was the primary method used to estimate these causal relationships. Sensitivity analyses were performed using pleiotropy, Mendelian randomization-Egger regression, heterogeneity tests and leave-one-out tests. RESULTS: In the aspect of phyla, classes, orders, families and genera, we observed that o_Bifidobacteriales [ß = -0.05; 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.07 to -0.03; false discovery rate (FDR) = 2.76 × 10-3], f_Bifidobacteriaceae (ß = -0.05; 95% CI: -0.07 to -0.07; FDR = 2.76 × 10-3), p_Actinobacteria (ß = -0.06; 95% CI: -0.09 to -0.03; FDR = 6.36 × 10-3), c_Actinobacteria (ß = -0.05; 95% CI: -0.08 to -0.02; FDR = 1.06 × 10-2), g_Bifidobacterium (ß = -0.05; 95% CI: -0.07 to -0.02; FDR = 1.85 × 10-2), g_Ruminiclostridium9 (ß = -0.03; 95% CI: -0.06 to -0.01; FDR = 4.81 × 10-2) were negatively associated with BFP. G_Olsenella (ß = 0.02; 95% CI: 0.01-0.03; FDR = 2.16 × 10-2) was positively associated with BFP. Among the gut microbiotas, f_Bifidobacteriales, o_Bifidobacteriales, c_Actinobacteria and p_Actinobacteria were shown to be significantly associated with BFP in the validated dataset. In the aspect of metabolites, we only observed that valine (ß = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.5-1.04; FDR = 8.65 × 10-6) was associated with BFP. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple gut microbiota and metabolites were strongly associated with an increased BFP. Further studies are required to elucidate the mechanisms underlying this putative causality. In addition, BFP, a key indicator of obesity, suggests that obesity-related interventions can be developed from gut microbiota and metabolite perspectives.

Causal effects and metabolites mediators between immune cell and risk of breast cancer: a Mendelian randomization study.

Introduction: The incidence and mortality of female breast cancer remain high, and the immune microenvironment of breast cancer has undergone significant alterations. However, the impact of blood immune cell levels on the risk of breast cancer is not fully understood. Therefor this study aims to investigate the causal relationship between blood immune cell levels and the risk of breast cancer. Methods: A Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was employed to assess the causal relationship between immune cells and the risk of breast cancer, as along with their potential mediating factors. Genetic statistics of metabolites breast cancer and immune cells were obtained from the GWAS Catalog, while the genome-wide association study (GWAS) statistics of breast cancer were extracted from the UK biobank. Two-sample MR analysis were performed using inverse-variance weighted (IVW) to ascertain the causal association between immune cells and the risk of breast cancer. Furthermore, 1,400 metabolites were analyzed for their mediating role between immune cells and the risk of breast cancer. Results: MR analysis through IVW method revealed that genetically predicted CD24+ CD27+ B cells were associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer (OR = 0.9978, 95% CI: 0.996-0.999, p = 0.001), while IgD- CD38+ B cells were linked to an increased risk of breast cancer (OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.001-1.004, p = 0.005). Additional CD14+ CD16+ monocytes were associated with an increased risk of breast cancer (OR = 1.000, 95% CI: 1.000-1.001, p = 0.005). Mediation analysis revealed a positive causal relationship between IgD- CD38+ B cells and Glycerate levels, with the latter also exhibiting a positive causal relationship with the risk of breast cancer (p < 0.05). Conversely, IgD- CD38+ B cells displayed a negative causal relationship with Succinoyltaurine levels, and the latter also demonstrated a negative causal relationship with the risk of breast cancer (p < 0.05). Conclusion: This MR study provides novel genetic evidence supporting a causal relationship between IgD- CD38+ B cells and the risk of BC. Moreover, it is identified that IgD- CD38+ B cells contribute to an increased risk of BC through both positive and negative mediation effects involving Glycerate and Succinoyltaurine.

Causal effects of gut microbiota on multiple sclerosis: A two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

BACKGROUND: Gut microbiota alterations in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients have been reported in observational studies, but whether these associations are causal is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We performed a Mendelian randomization study (MR) to assess the causal effects of gut microbiota on MS. METHODS: Independent genetic variants associated with 211 gut microbiota phenotypes were selected as instrumental variables from the largest genome-wide association studies (GWAS) previously published by the MiBioGen study. GWAS data for MS were obtained from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) for primary analysis and the FinnGen consortium for replication and collaborative analysis. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate heterogeneity and pleiotropy. RESULTS: After inverse-variance-weighted and sensitivity analysis filtering, seven gut microbiota with potential causal effects on MS were identified from the IMSGC. Only five metabolites remained significant associations with MS when combined with the FinnGen consortium, including genus Anaerofilum id.2053 (odds ratio [OR] = 1.141, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.021-1.276, p = .021), Ruminococcus2 id.11374 (OR = 1.190, 95% CI: 1.007-1.406, p = .042), Ruminococcaceae UCG003 id.11361 (OR = 0.822, 95% CI: 0.688-0.982, p = .031), Ruminiclostridium5 id.11355 (OR = 0.724, 95% CI: 0.585-0.895, p = .003), Anaerotruncus id.2054 (OR = 0.772, 95% CI: 0.634-0.940, p = .010). CONCLUSION: Our MR analysis reveals a potential causal relationship between gut microbiota and MS, offering promising avenues for advancing mechanistic understanding and clinical investigation of microbiota-mediated MS.

Genetic insights into the gut microbiota, herpes zoster, and postherpetic neuralgia: a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Background: An increasing amount of evidence suggests that gastrointestinal diseases are risk factors for herpes zoster (HZ) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). Among them, the gut microbiota may play a crucial role in this process. Therefore, this study aims to explore the potential causal association between the gut microbiota and HZ and PHN. Methods: Bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was used to detect the causal effect between HZ and PHN and the gut microbiota. Gut microbiota data were derived from the MiBioGen consortium, while HZ and PHN data were obtained from the FinnGen database. We selected single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as instrumental variables with a threshold of p < 1 × 10⁻5 for the association with the gut microbiota in forward MR analysis and p < 5 × 10⁻8 for the association with HZ or PHN in reverse MR analysis and then removed SNPs in linkage disequilibrium (r 2 < 0.001) within a distance of 10,000 kb for both the gut microbiota and HZ and PHN. These SNPs were utilized to assess the causal effect between exposures and outcomes using inverse-variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger, weighted mean, and weighted median tests. Results: The class Deltaproteobacteria, order Desulfovibrionales, family Desulfovibrionaceae, and genus Coprococcus 2 were found to reduce the risk of HZ, while the phylum Cyanobacteria, genus Eubacterium rectale group appeared to increase it. The class Coriobacteriia, order Coriobacteriales, family Coriobacteriaceae, genus Lachnospiraceae NK4A136 and genus Ruminococcaceae UCG011 were found to reduce the risk of PHN, while the genus Candidatus Soleaferrea, genus Eubacterium rectale group, and genus Methanobrevibacter appeared to increase it. Moreover, the onset of HZ was found to increase the level of the genus Eubacterium rectale group. These findings remained robust and unaffected by heterogeneity or horizontal pleiotropy among SNPs in both forward and reverse MR analysis. Conclusion: This MR study provided evidence supporting a potential causal relationship between the gut microbiota and HZ and PHN. Moreover, we found that the causal effect between the gut microbiota and HZ is bidirectional. Further studies are required to clarify the biological mechanisms linking the gut microbiota and these conditions.

Independent causal effect of migraines on Alzheimer's disease risk: a multivariate Mendelian randomization study.

Background: The observational studies investigated the impact of migraine on Alzheimer's Disease (AD). However, these findings were limited by confounding factors and reverse causation, leading to contradictory results. Methods: We utilized Univariable Mendelian Randomization (UVMR) to explore the link between migraine (13,971 cases/470,627 controls) and AD risk (Bellenguez et al., 39,106 cases/46,828 controls; FinnGen, 111,471 cases/111,471 controls). Meta-analysis was performed for comprehensive synthesis. Employing Multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR), we created models incorporating migraine and 35 potential AD risk factors, examining migraine's independent impact on AD onset risk under considering these factors. Results: The meta-analysis of inverse variance weighted MR results, combining data from Bellenguez et al. (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.5717 [1.1868-2.0814], p = 0.0016) and FinnGen (OR [95% CI]: 1.2904 [0.5419-3.0730], p = 0.5646), provided evidence for a causal relationship between genetically predicted migraine and the heightened risk of AD occurrence (OR [95% CI]: 1.54 [1.18, 2.00], p < 0.01). After adjusting for Diastolic blood pressure (OR [95% CI]: 1.4120 [0.8487-2.3493], p = 0.1840) and Tumor necrosis factor alpha (OR [95% CI]: 1.2411 [0.8352-1.8443], p = 0.2852), no discernible association was detected between migraine and the risk of AD. Conclusion: This study offers compelling evidence indicating a significant correlation between genetically predicted migraine and an elevated risk of AD.