Predictive Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Algorithms on Electronic Health Record Data: Advantages and Challenges.

The rapid adoption of electronic health record (EHR) systems in US hospitals from 2008 to 2014 produced novel data elements for analysis. Concurrent innovations in computing architecture and machine learning (ML) algorithms have made rapid consumption of health data feasible and a powerful engine for clinical innovation. In critical care research, the net convergence of these trends has resulted in an exponential increase in outcome prediction research. In the following article, we explore the history of outcome prediction in the intensive care unit (ICU), the growing use of EHR data, and the rise of artificial intelligence and ML (AI) in critical care.

Radiologic Assessment of Lung Edema Score as a Predictor of Clinical Outcome in Children with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

PURPOSE: The radiographic assessment of lung edema (RALE) score enables objective quantification of lung edema and is a valuable prognostic marker of adult acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). We aimed to evaluate the validity of RALE score in children with ARDS. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The RALE score was measured for its reliability and correlation to other ARDS severity indices. ARDS-specific mortality was defined as death from severe pulmonary dysfunction or the need for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy. The C-index of the RALE score and other ARDS severity indices were compared via survival analyses. RESULTS: Among 296 children with ARDS, 88 did not survive, and there were 70 ARDS-specific non-survivors. The RALE score showed good reliability with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.809 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.760-0.848]. In univariable analysis, the RALE score had a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.19 (95% CI, 1.18-3.11), and the significance was maintained in multivariable analysis adjusting with age, ARDS etiology, and comorbidity, with an HR of 1.77 (95% CI, 1.05-2.91). The RALE score was a good predictor of ARDS-specific mortality, with a C-index of 0.607 (95% CI, 0.519-0.695). CONCLUSION: The RALE score is a reliable measure for ARDS severity and a useful prognostic marker of mortality in children, especially for ARDS-specific mortality. This score provides information that clinicians can use to decide the proper time of aggressive therapy targeting severe lung injury and to appropriately manage the fluid balance of children with ARDS.

Clinical impact of carbapenems in critically ill patients with valproic acid therapy: A propensity-matched analysis.

Background: Valproic acid (VPA) is one of the most widely used broad-spectrum antiepileptic drugs, and carbapenems (CBPs) remain the drug of choice for severe infection caused by multidrug-resistant bacteria in critically ill patients. The interaction between VPA and CBPs can lead to a rapid depletion of serum VPA level. This may then cause status epilepticus (SE), which is associated with significant mortality. However, the prognostic impact of drug interactions in critically ill patients remains an under-investigated issue. Objective: The aim of this study was to compare the prognosis of critically ill patients treated with VPA and concomitant CBPs or other broad-spectrum antibiotics. Methods: Adult patients admitted to a medical center intensive care unit between January 2007 and December 2017 who concomitantly received VPA and antibiotics were enrolled. The risk of reduced VPA serum concentration, seizures and SE, mortality rate, length of hospital stay (LOS), and healthcare expenditure after concomitant administration were analyzed after propensity score matching. Results: A total of 1,277 patients were included in the study, of whom 264 (20.7%) concomitantly received VPA and CBPs. After matching, the patients who received CBPs were associated with lower VPA serum concentration (15.8 vs. 60.8 mg/L; p < 0.0001), a higher risk of seizures (51.2 vs. 32.4%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.19; 95% CI, 1.48-3.24; p < 0.0001), higher risk of SE (13.6 vs. 4.7%; aOR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.51-6.74; p = 0.0014), higher in-hospital mortality rate (33.8 vs. 24.9%; aOR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.03-2.20; p = 0.036), longer LOS after concomitant therapy (41 vs. 30 days; p < 0.001), and increased healthcare expenditure (US$20,970 vs. US$12,848; p < 0.0001) than those who received other broad-spectrum antibiotics. Conclusion: The administration of CBPs in epileptic patients under VPA therapy was associated with lower VAP serum concentration, a higher risk of seizures and SE, mortality, longer LOS, and significant utilization of healthcare resources. Healthcare professionals should pay attention to the concomitant use of VPA and CBPs when treating patients with epilepsy. Further studies are warranted to investigate the reason for the poor outcomes and whether avoiding the co-administration of VPA and CBP can improve the outcomes of epileptic patients.

Neurocritical care management supported by multimodal brain monitoring after acute brain injury / Abordagem de cuidados neurocríticos apoiada por monitorização cerebral multimodal após lesão cerebral aguda

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the association between different intensive care units and levels of brain monitoring with outcomes in acute brain injury. Methods: Patients with traumatic brain injury and subarachnoid hemorrhage admitted to intensive care units were included. Neurocritical care unit management was compared to general intensive care unit management. Patients managed with multimodal brain monitoring and optimal cerebral perfusion pressure were compared with general management patients. A good outcome was defined as a Glasgow outcome scale score of 4 or 5. Results: Among 389 patients, 237 were admitted to the neurocritical care unit, and 152 were admitted to the general intensive care unit. Neurocritical care unit management patients had a lower risk of poor outcome (OR = 0.228). A subgroup of 69 patients with multimodal brain monitoring (G1) was compared with the remaining patients (G2). In the G1 and G2 groups, 59% versus 23% of patients, respectively, had a good outcome at intensive care unit discharge; 64% versus 31% had a good outcome at 28 days; 76% versus 50% had a good outcome at 3 months (p < 0.001); and 77% versus 58% had a good outcome at 6 months (p = 0.005). When outcomes were adjusted by SAPS II severity score, using good outcome as the dependent variable, the results were as follows: for G1 compared to G2, the OR was 4.607 at intensive care unit discharge (p < 0.001), 4.22 at 28 days (p = 0.001), 3.250 at 3 months (p = 0.001) and 2.529 at 6 months (p = 0.006). Patients with optimal cerebral perfusion pressure management (n = 127) had a better outcome at all points of evaluation. Mortality for those patients was significantly lower at 28 days (p = 0.001), 3 months (p < 0.001) and 6 months (p = 0.001). Conclusion: Multimodal brain monitoring with autoregulation and neurocritical care unit management were associated with better outcomes and should be considered after severe acute brain injury.

RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar a associação entre diferentes tipos de unidades de cuidados intensivos e os níveis de monitorização cerebral com desfechos na lesão cerebral aguda. Métodos: Foram incluídos doentes com traumatismo craniencefálico e hemorragia subaracnoide internados em unidades de cuidados intensivos. A abordagem na unidade de cuidados neurocríticos foi comparada à abordagem na unidade de cuidados intensivos polivalente geral. Os doentes com monitorização cerebral multimodal e pressão de perfusão cerebral ótima foram comparados aos que passaram por tratamento geral. Um bom desfecho foi definido como pontuação de 4 ou 5 na Glasgow outcome scale. Resultados: Dos 389 doentes, 237 foram admitidos na unidade de cuidados neurocríticos e 152 na unidade de cuidados intensivos geral. Doentes com abordagem em unidades de cuidados neurocríticos apresentaram menor risco de um mau desfecho (Odds ratio = 0,228). Um subgrupo de 69 doentes com monitorização cerebral multimodal (G1) foi comparado aos demais doentes (G2). Em G1 e G2, respectivamente, 59% e 23% dos doentes apresentaram bom desfecho na alta da unidade de cuidados intensivos; 64% e 31% apresentaram bom desfecho aos 28 dias; 76% e 50% apresentaram bom desfecho aos 3 meses (p < 0,001); e 77% e 58% apresentaram bom desfecho aos 6 meses (p = 0,005). Quando os desfechos foram ajustados para o escore de gravidade do SAPS II, usando o bom desfecho como variável dependente, os resultados foram os seguintes: para o G1, em comparação ao G2, a odds ratio foi de 4,607 na alta da unidade de cuidados intensivos (p < 0,001), 4,22 aos 28 dias (p = 0,001), 3,250 aos 3 meses (p = 0,001) e 2,529 aos 6 meses (p = 0,006). Os doentes com abordagem da pressão de perfusão cerebral ótima (n = 127) apresentaram melhor desfecho em todos os momentos de avaliação. A mortalidade desses doentes foi significativamente menor aos 28 dias (p = 0,001), aos 3 meses (p < 0,001) e aos 6 meses (p = 0,001). Conclusão: A monitorização cerebral multimodal com autorregulação e abordagem na unidade de cuidados neurocríticos foi associado a melhores desfechos e deve ser levado em consideração após lesão cerebral aguda grave.

Physiological variables of the "metabolic component" of acid-base balance and mortality in intensive care patients / Variables fisiológicas del "componente metabólico" del estado ácido base y mortalidad en pacientes de cuidados intensivos

Abstract Introduction: Metabolic acidosis is a frequent pathophysiological condition in critically ill patients. It can be assessed using different physiological variables, but their prognostic value has not yet been well established. Objective: To evaluate the association between the variables that allow assessing the metabolic component of acid-base balance (ABB) and 28-day mortality in patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) in Bogotá, D.C., Colombia. Materials and methods: Prospective cohort study conducted in 122 patients admitted to an ICU between January and June 2013 and with a stay >24 hours. On admission to the ICU, blood samples were taken, and an arterial blood gas test was performed in order to calculate the following variables: anion gap (AG), corrected anion gap (AGc), standard base excess (BEst), metabolic H+, base excess-unmeasurable anions (BEua), arterial pH, arterial lactate, standard HCO3-st, and strong ion difference (SID). APACHE II and SOFA scores were also calculated. A bivariate analysis was performed in which ORs and their respective 95%CI were calculated, and then a multivariate analysis was conducted using a logistic regression model to identify the variables associated with 28-day mortality; a significance level of p<0.05 was considered. Results: Out of the 122 patients, 33 (27.05%) died at 28 days and 51 (48.80%) were women. Participants' mean age was 46.5 years (±15.7). The following variables were significantly associated with 28-day mortality in the bivariate analysis: SID (OR=1.150; p=0.008), BEua (OR=0.897; p=0.023), AG (OR=1.231; p=0.002), AGc (OR=1.232; p=0.003), blood pH (OR=0.001; p=0.023), APACHE II (OR=1.180; p=0.001), HCO3-st (OR=0.841; p=0.015). In the multivariate analysis, only the APACHE II score variable was significantly associated with 28-day mortality (OR=1.188; p=0.008). Conclusion: The physiological variables that allow assessing the metabolic component of ABB, both from the Henderson model and the Stewart model, were not significantly associated with 28-day mortality.

Resumen Introducción. La acidosis metabólica es una condición fisiopatológica frecuente en pacientes críticamente enfermos. Esta alteración es evaluada mediante diferentes variables fisiológicas; sin embargo, su valor pronóstico aún no está bien definido. Objetivo. Evaluar la asociación entre, por una parte, las variables del componente metabólico que permiten valorar el estado ácido base (EAB) y, por la otra, la mortalidad a 28 días en pacientes hospitalizados en una unidad de cuidados intensivos (UCI) en Bogotá D.C., Colombia. Materiales y métodos. Estudio de cohorte prospectivo realizado en 122 pacientes hospitalizados en una UCI entre enero y junio de 2013 y con una estancia mayor a 24 horas. Se tomaron muestras sanguíneas y gases arteriales de ingreso a UCI para el cálculo de las siguientes variables: anion gap (AG), anion gap corregido (AGc), base exceso estándar (BEst), H+ metabólicos, base exceso-aniones no medibles (BEua), pH arterial, lactato arterial, HCO3-st y brecha de iones fuertes (BIF). También se calcularon el puntaje APACHE II y el puntaje SOFA. Se realizó un análisis bivariado en el que se calcularon OR y sus respectivos IC95%, y luego uno multivariado, mediante un modelo de regresión logística, para identificar las variables asociadas con la mortalidad a 28 días; se consideró un nivel de significancia de p<0.05 Resultados. De los 122 pacientes, 33 (27.05%) fallecieron a 28 días y 51 (48.80%) eran mujeres. La edad promedio fue 46.5 años (±15.7). En el análisis bivariado, las siguientes variables se asociaron significativamente con la mortalidad a 28 días: BIF (OR=1.150; p=0.008), BEua (OR=0.897; p=0.023), AG (OR=1.231; p=0.002), AGc (OR=1.232; p=0.003), pH arterial (OR=0.001; p=0.023), APACHE II (OR=1.180;p=0.001), HCO3-st (OR=0.841;p=0.015). En el análisis multivariado, solo el puntaje APACHE II se asoció significativamente con la mortalidad a 28 días (OR=1.188; p=0.008). Conclusión. Las variables fisiológicas que permiten evaluar el componente metabólico del EAB, tanto las del modelo de Henderson, como las del modelo de Stewart, no se asociaron significativamente con la mortalidad a 28 días.

Clinical Characteristics and outcome analysis of SARS-CoV-2 patients admitted to different Critical Care Units in Nepal.

BACKGROUND: The clinical presentation, biochemical characteristics, and outcomes of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 can vary in different populations. The purpose of the study is to assess the clinical presentation and identify predictors of mortality among patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome admitted to different critical care units in Nepal. METHODS: An observational study was conducted among the confirmed SARS-CoV-2 patients admitted to different critical care units in seven provinces of Nepal. Retrospective data was collected for the period of three months (April 14, 2021 to July 15, 2021) in relation to the peak of the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic in Nepal. Clinical, biochemical and mortality data were collected from the admitted patients of different critical care units. Univariate logistic regression analysis was done among the selected variables at 5% significance. Final predictor variables were identified after multiple regression analysis. RESULTS: Out of total of 646 patients admitted to critical care units of different provinces of Nepal, there was a male predominance 420 (65%). A total of 232(35.91 %) patients were non-survivors with the majority of mortality occurring in patients > 50 years of age. Cough (72.3 %), shortness of breath (70.9%) and fever (56 %) were the most common presenting clinical features. Increasing age, presence of comorbidity, critical COVID-19 cases, respiratory rate, temperature, serum urea and alanine aminotransferase were identified as predictors of mortality after multiple regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 36 % of the confirmed SARS-CoV-2 patient admitted to critical care units did not survive. There was a male preponderance with most casualties occurring in patients more than 50 years of age. Cough, shortness of breath and fever were the most common presenting features. After multiple regression analysis of the identified clinical and biochemical factors, age, presence of comorbidity, respiratory rate, temperature, severity grade as per the World Health Organization classification, serum urea and alanine aminotransferase were identified as the predictors of mortality.

Postdischarge health resource use in pediatric survivors of prolonged mechanical ventilation for acute respiratory illness.

We aimed to identify characteristics associated with postdischarge health resource use in children without medical complexity who survived an episode of prolonged mechanical ventilation for respiratory illness. We hypothesized that longer durations of mechanical ventilation, noncomplex chronic conditions, and severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) would be associated with readmission or an Emergency Department (ED) visit. In this retrospective cohort, we evaluated children without a complex chronic condition who survived a respiratory illness requiring ≥3 days of mechanical ventilation and who had insurance eligibility within the Colorado All Payers Claims Database. We used insurance claims to characterize health resource use and multivariable logistic regression to identify characteristics associated with readmission or an ED visit during the postdischarge year. We evaluated 82 children, median age 12.8 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.0-24.1), 20 (24%) with a noncomplex chronic condition and 62 (76%) without any chronic conditions. Bronchiolitis (60%) and pneumonia/aspiration pneumonitis (17%) were the most common etiologies of respiratory failure and 47 (57%) patients had severe ARDS. Forty-six (56%) patients had an ED visit or readmission. Among the 18 readmitted patients, 16/18 (89%) readmissions were for respiratory illness. Forty (49%) patients had ≥2 outpatient pulmonary visits and 45 (55%) filled a pulmonary medication prescription. In analyses controlling for age, illness severity and mechanical ventilation duration, severe ARDS was predictive of ED visit or readmission (odds ratio [OR]: 5.53 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.79, 19.09]). Children who survive prolonged mechanical ventilation for respiratory disease experience high rates of postdischarge health resource use, particularly those surviving severe ARDS.

A machine learning model to predict critical care outcomes in patient with chest pain visiting the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Currently, the risk stratification of critically ill patient with chest pain is a challenge. We aimed to use machine learning approach to predict the critical care outcomes in patients with chest pain, and simultaneously compare its performance with HEART, GRACE, and TIMI scores. METHODS: This was a retrospective, case-control study in patients with acute non-traumatic chest pain who presented to the emergency department (ED) between January 2017 and December 2019. The outcomes included cardiac arrest, transfer to ICU, and death during treatment in ED. In the randomly sampled training set (70%), a LASSO regression model was developed, and presented with nomogram. The performance was measured in both training set (70% participants) and testing set (30% participants), and findings were compared with the three widely used scores. RESULTS: We proposed a LASSO regression model incorporating mode of arrival, reperfusion therapy, Killip class, systolic BP, serum creatinine, creatine kinase-MB, and brain natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of critical care outcomes in patients with chest pain. Our model significantly outperformed the HEART, GRACE, TIMI score with AUC of 0.953 (95%CI: 0.922-0.984), 0.754 (95%CI: 0.675-0.832), 0.747 (95%CI: 0.664-0.829), 0.735 (95%CI: 0.655-0.815), respectively. Consistently, our model demonstrated better outcomes regarding the metrics of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1 score. Similarly, the decision curve analysis elucidated a greater net benefit of our model over the full ranges of clinical thresholds. CONCLUSION: We present an accurate model for predicting the critical care outcomes in patients with chest pain, and provide substantial support to its application as a decision-making tool in ED.

Multidisciplinary team approach in critically ill COVID-19 patients reduced pronation-related complications rate: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In the pandemic scenario, critically ill COVID-19 patients' management presented an increased workload for Intensive Care Unit (ICU) nursing staff, particularly during pronation maneuvers, with high risk of complications. In this contest, some authors described an increase in complications incidence after pronation. An ICU Pronation Team (IPT) was implemented to support this maneuver. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis was conducted on consecutive critically ill COVID-19 patients in COVID-19 Center in southern Switzerland, between March and April 2020. Aim of the study was to determine rates and characteristics of pronation-related complications managed by IPT according to standard protocols. RESULTS: Forty-two patients undergoing mechanical ventilation (MV) were enrolled; 296 prone/supine positioning were performed, with 3.52 cycles/patient. All patients were equipped with arterial line, central venous catheter, urinary catheter, 28 (66%) endotracheal tube, 8 (19%), tracheostomy, 6 (14%) dialysis catheter, 3 (7%) abdominal drainage and 8 (19%) femoral thermodilution catheter; mean BMI was 28.3 kg/m2. One (0.3%) major complication was observed, while fourteen (33.3%) patients developed minor complications (pressure injuries). ICU length-of-stay and MV days correlated with both incidence (p = 0.029 and p = 0.015 respectively) and number (p = 0.001 and p = 0.001 respectively) of pressure sores (n = 27). Propensity matching score analysis did not show any protective factor of pronation regarding pressure injuries (p = 0.448). No other significant correlation was found. CONCLUSION: Multidisciplinary healthcare professional management can reduce most severe complication related to pronation in critical care setting. Rather than from pronation, the persistent high rate of minor complications appeared to be related to disease severity.

Response of patients with acute respiratory failure caused by COVID-19 to awake-prone position outside the intensive care unit based on pulmonary involvement

OBJECTIVES: Since there are difficulties in establishing effective treatments for COVID-19, a vital way to reduce mortality is an early intervention to prevent disease progression. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of patients with COVID-19 with acute hypoxic respiratory failure according to pulmonary impairment in the awake-prone position, outside of the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study was conducted on COVID-19 patients under noninvasive respiratory support. Clinical and laboratory data were obtained for each patient before the treatment and after they were placed in the awake-prone position. To identify responders and non-responders after the first prone maneuver, receiver operating characteristic curves with sensitivity and specificity of the PaO2/FiO2 and SpO2/FiO2 indices were analyzed. The maneuver was considered positive if the patient did not require endotracheal intubation for ventilatory assistance. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients were included, and 64.6% were categorized as responders. The SpO2/FiO2 index was effective for predicting endotracheal intubation in COVID-19 patients regardless of lung parenchymal damage (area under the curve 0.84, cutoff point 165, sensitivity 85%, specificity 75%). Responders had better outcomes with lower hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR]=0.107, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.012-0.93) and a shorter length of stay (median difference 6 days, HR=0.30, 95% CI: 0.13-0.66) after adjusting for age, body mass index, sex, and comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: The awake-prone position for COVID-19 patients outside the ICU can improve oxygenation and clinical outcomes regardless of the extent of pulmonary impairment. Furthermore, the SpO2/FiO2 index discriminates responders from non-responders to the prone maneuver predicting endotracheal intubation with a cutoff under or below 165.

The delayed detection of an acute neurological worsening increases traumatic brain injury lethality / [La detección tardía del deterioro neurológico agudo incrementa la letalidad por trauma craneoencefálico.]

Introduction: Traumatic brain injury is a leading worldwide cause of death and disability in young people. Severity classification is based on the Glasgow Coma Scale. However, the neurological worsening in an acute setting does not always correspond to the initial severity suggesting an underestimation of the real magnitude of the injury. Objective: To study the correlation between the initial severity according to the Glasgow Coma Scale and the patient outcome in the context of different clinical and tomography variables. Materials and methods: We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 490 patients with closed traumatic brain injury requiring a stay in the intensive care unit of two third-level hospitals in Barranquilla. The risk was estimated by calculating the OR (95% CI). The significance level was established at an alpha value of 0.05. Results: Forty-one percent of all patients required orotracheal intubation; 51.2% were initially classified with moderate trauma and 6,0% as mild. The delay in the aggressive management of the traumas affected mainly those patients with traumas classified as moderate in whom lethality increased to 100% when there was delay in the detection of the neurological worsening and in the establishment of the aggressive treatment beyond 4 to 8 hours while the lethality in patients who received this treatment within the first hour reduced to <20%. Conclusions: The risk of lethality in traumatic brain injury increases with the delayed detection of neurological worsening in an acute setting, especially when aggressive management is performed after the first hour post-trauma.

Introducción. El trauma craneoencefálico es una de las principales causas de muerte y discapacidad en adultos jóvenes. Su gravedad se define según la escala de coma de Glasgow. Sin embargo, el deterioro neurológico agudo no siempre concuerda con la gravedad inicial indicada por la escala, lo que implica una subestimación de la magnitud real de la lesión. Objetivo. Estudiar la correlación entre la gravedad inicial del trauma craneoencefálico según la escala de coma de Glasgow y la condición final del paciente, en el contexto de diferentes variables clínicas y de los hallazgos de la tomografía. Materiales y métodos. Se analizó una cohorte retrospectiva de 490 pacientes con trauma craneoencefálico cerrado que requirieron atención en la unidad de cuidados intensivos de dos centros de tercer nivel de Barranquilla. La estimación del riesgo se estableció con la razón de momios (odds ratio, OR) y un intervalo de confianza (IC) del 95 %. Se utilizó un alfa de 0,05 como nivel de significación. Resultados. El 41,0 % de los pacientes requirió intubación endotraqueal; el 51,2 % había presentado traumas inicialmente clasificados como moderados y, el 6,0 %, como leves. El retraso en la implementación de un tratamiento agresivo afectó principalmente a aquellos con trauma craneoencefálico moderado, en quienes la letalidad aumentó al 100 % cuando no se detectó a tiempo el deterioro neurológico y, por lo tanto, el tratamiento agresivo se demoró más de 4 a 8 horas. Por el contrario, la letalidad fue de menos de 20 % cuando se brindó el tratamiento agresivo en el curso de la primera hora después del trauma. Conclusiones. El riesgo de letalidad del trauma craneoencefálico aumentó cuando el deterioro neurológico se detectó tardíamente y el tratamiento agresivo se inició después de transcurrida la primera hora a partir del trauma.

La detección tardía del deterioro neurológico agudo incrementa la letalidad por trauma craneoencefálico / The delayed detection of an acute neurological worsening increases traumatic brain injury lethality

Introducción. El trauma craneoencefálico es una de las principales causas de muerte y discapacidad en adultos jóvenes. Su gravedad se define según la escala de coma de Glasgow. Sin embargo, el deterioro neurológico agudo no siempre concuerda con la gravedad inicial indicada por la escala, lo que implica una subestimación de la magnitud real de la lesión. Objetivo. Estudiar la correlación entre la gravedad inicial del trauma craneoencefálico según la escala de coma de Glasgow y la condición final del paciente, en el contexto de diferentes variables clínicas y de los hallazgos de la tomografía. Materiales y métodos. Se analizó una cohorte retrospectiva de 490 pacientes con trauma craneoencefálico cerrado que requirieron atención en la unidad de cuidados intensivos de dos centros de tercer nivel de Barranquilla. La estimación del riesgo se estableció con la razón de momios (odds ratio, OR) y un intervalo de confianza (IC) del 95 %. Se utilizó un alfa de 0,05 como nivel de significación. Resultados. El 41,0 % de los pacientes requirió intubación endotraqueal; el 51,2 % había presentado traumas inicialmente clasificados como moderados y, el 6,0 %, como leves. El retraso en la implementación de un tratamiento agresivo afectó principalmente a aquellos con trauma craneoencefálico moderado, en quienes la letalidad aumentó al 100 % cuando no se detectó a tiempo el deterioro neurológico y, por lo tanto, el tratamiento agresivo se demoró más de 4 a 8 horas. Por el contrario, la letalidad fue de menos de 20 % cuando se brindó el tratamiento agresivo en el curso de la primera hora después del trauma. Conclusiones. El riesgo de letalidad del trauma craneoencefálico aumentó cuando el deterioro neurológico se detectó tardíamente y el tratamiento agresivo se inició después de transcurrida la primera hora a partir del trauma.

Introduction: Traumatic brain injury is a leading worldwide cause of death and disability in young people. Severity classification is based on the Glasgow Coma Scale. However, the neurological worsening in an acute setting does not always correspond to the initial severity suggesting an underestimation of the real magnitude of the injury. Objective: To study the correlation between the initial severity according to the Glasgow Coma Scale and the patient outcome in the context of different clinical and tomography variables. Materials and methods: We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 490 patients with closed traumatic brain injury requiring a stay in the intensive care unit of two third-level hospitals in Barranquilla. The risk was estimated by calculating the OR (95% CI). The significance level was established at an alpha value of 0.05. Results: Forty-one percent of all patients required orotracheal intubation; 51.2% were initially classified with moderate trauma and 6,0% as mild. The delay in the aggressive management of the traumas affected mainly those patients with traumas classified as moderate in whom lethality increased to 100% when there was delay in the detection of the neurological worsening and in the establishment of the aggressive treatment beyond 4 to 8 hours while the lethality in patients who received this treatment within the first hour reduced to <20%. Conclusions: The risk of lethality in traumatic brain injury increases with the delayed detection of neurological worsening in an acute setting, especially when aggressive management is performed after the first hour post-trauma.

Vasoactive-ventilation-renal score in predicting outcome postcardiac surgery in children.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate vasoactive-ventilation-renal (VVR) score to predict outcome postcardiac surgery in children and establish the time at which the score is best to predict outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective cohort included children ≤18 years recovering from cardiac surgery for congenital heart disease. Data were collected from the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS) and VVR scores calculated at admission, 24 h, and 48 h postoperatively. Outcome of interest was prolonged length of ICU stay (defined as length of stay [LOS] in the upper 25th percentile) and ICU mortality. Correlation between the outcome and scores was obtained and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves generated. Independent association of the scores with the outcome was also established. RESULTS: One thousand ninety-seven patients were enrolled with a median age of 24 months (range: 2 days-18 years) including 14.6% with single ventricle physiology. Pediatric ICU LOS >89 h was considered prolonged, and mortality was 2.2%. VVR score correlated better with outcome and had greater area under the curve (AUC) for ROC curve than the corresponding VIS at each study time point. The AUC of ROC curve for VVR score was greatest at 48 h for predicting both prolonged LOS (0.87) and mortality (0.92). VVR score at 48 h remains strongly associated with both prolonged LOS (odds ratio [OR] - 1.24; P = 0.000) and mortality (OR - 1.16; P = 0.000). CONCLUSION: VVR score is effective and robust bedside method to predict prolonged LOS and mortality postpediatric cardiac surgery. VVR score at 48 h was the best to predict outcome.

Association Between Neurological Outcomes Related to Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage and Onsite Access to Neurointerventional Radiology.

OBJECTIVE: An onsite access to neurointerventional radiology (NIR) may be useful for managing patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) after the aneurysm-securing procedure. We aimed to assess the association between neurological outcomes related to aSAH and onsite access to NIR service. METHODS: This was a sequential period study of 47 patients with aSAH admitted consecutively during the pre-NIR period (January 2010 to June 2012) compared with 81 patients with aSAH admitted consecutively during the post-NIR period (January 2013 to June 2015) at an academic tertiary referral intensive care unit (ICU). The primary end point was the incidence of poor neurological outcome, defined as modified Rankin scale of ≥3 at 6 months from ictus. Secondary outcomes included incidence of symptomatic vasospasm (SV) and length of stay in ICU/hospital. RESULTS: The primary end point was observed in 18 of 47 (38%) patients during the pre-NIR period versus 25 of 81 (31%) patients during the post-NIR period (P = 0.39). The post-NIR period did not have an independent impact on neurological outcomes (adjusted odds ratio = 0.8, 95% confidence interval 0.3-2.1; P = 0.66). Of the patients who developed SV, 10 of 47 (21%) were during the pre-NIR period versus 33 of 81 (41%) during the post-NIR period (P = 0.02). The post-NIR period and higher Fisher grade were independent predictors of SV. Patients with SV had similar outcomes, but with longer stay in ICU during the post-NIR period compared with the pre-NIR period. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with aSAH, the post-NIR period was associated with more frequent detection of SV, more endovascular procedures, longer hospital stay, but with no appreciable improvement in neurological outcomes either overall or in the subset of patients with SV. STUDY REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12616000201471.

Characteristics, incidence, and outcome of patients admitted to the intensive care unit with myasthenia gravis.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on the characteristics, incidence, and mortality of patients with myasthenia gravis (MG) admitted to the ICU. AIMS: To study the epidemiology, characteristics and outcome of patients with MG in Australian and New Zealand (ANZ) ICUs over a decade. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational, cross sectional study of data from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) Adult Patient Database (APD). We collected data on all adult patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of MG to 159 Australian and 19 New Zealand ICUs between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2015.We extracted detailed relevant data and performed statistical assessment. RESULTS: We identified 245 patients admitted to ICU with the primary diagnosis of MG, with an incidence increasing from 1 to 2.5 per thousand ICU admissions (P<0.0001) and from 1 to 2.2 per million people (P=0.02). Mean age was 60years with more patients being female (53.7% vs 47.3%) and 91 (37.1%) patients received mechanical ventilation. Hospital mortality occurred in 13 (5.3%) patients with a mortality rate lower than in other ICU patients. CONCLUSIONS: In ANZ, the ICU and population incidence of MG has increased over the last decade. However, its mortality rate was low.

Pediatric Hypothermic Submersion Injury and Protective Factors Associated with Optimal Outcome: A Case Report and Literature Review.

Drowning is the 3rd leading cause of unintentional injury death worldwide, with the highest rates of fatality among young children. Submersion injuries with cardiac arrest can lead to long-term neurologic morbidity. Severe hypothermic submersion injuries have complex treatment courses and survivors have variable neurocognitive outcomes. We describe the course of a hypothermic submersion injury in a 6-year-old previously healthy boy. The description includes premorbid and post-injury neurocognitive functioning. A review of the literature of pediatric cold-water submersion injury was performed. Despite prolonged cardiopulmonary resuscitation (>100 min) and water temperature well above freezing, our patient had an optimal neurocognitive outcome following hypothermic submersion injury. Available literature is limited but suggests that increased submersion time, increased duration of resuscitation, and higher water temperatures are associated with worse outcomes. Care guidelines have been created, but outcomes related to these guidelines have not been studied. Our case highlights potential important determinants of outcome after drowning. Incident specific characteristics and therapeutic interventions should be considered when evaluating this population. Treatment guidelines based on currently available literature may fail to incorporate all potential variables, and consideration should be given to prolonged resuscitative efforts based on individual case characteristics until further data is available.

Relationship of on Admission Hypocalcaemia and Illness Severity as Measured by APACHE-II and SOFA Score in Intensive Care Patients'.

INTRODUCTION: Hypocalcaemia is very much prevalent in critically ill patients yet very less is known about its association with severity of illness. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) are two commonly used and validated scoring tool used to assess the severity of illness in critically ill patients. AIM: To analyze the relation of on admission hypocalcaemia with severity of illness as measured by APACHE-II and SOFA scores. MATERIALS AND METHODS: After institute approval, 111 patients admitted during May to June 2016 were evaluated. Age, sex, on admission, ionized calcium (iCa0) levels, first day APACHE-II and SOFA scores were collected. Data were then divided in different classes based on iCa0 levels (i.e., normocalcaemic, mild, moderate and severe hypocalcaemic), APACHE-II and SOFA scores and their relationship was assessed using INSTAT software (GraphPad Software, Inc, La Zolla, CA, USA) with appropriate statistical tests. RESULTS: Seventy eight (70.27%) patients were having hypocalcaemia on admission (<1.15 mmol/L). The mean APACHE-II score of normocalcaemic patients were significantly (p<0.05) lower as compared to moderate and severe hypocalcaemic patients (15.57±6.85 versus 21.72±6.37 and 15.57±6.85 versus 22.34±7.53, respectively). The mean iCa0 level in patients with APACHE-II > 20 were significantly lower than patients with APACHE-II < 9 (0.88±0.26 versus 1.09±0.24, p <0.05) but the mean iCa0 level in patients with SOFA > 9 were not significantly lower than patients with SOFA < 4 (0.99±0.41 versus 1.04±0.23, p > 0.05). The relative risk of on admission hypocalcaemia across increasing illness severity was also not statistically significant. Both relative risk of mortality and length of ICU stay were higher in on admission moderate hypocalcaemic patients as compared to normocalcaemic but the difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: On admission, hypocalcaemia has inconsistent correlation with increasing illness severity in adult intensive care patients. iCa0 of 0.81-0.90 mmol/L appears to have maximum deleterious effect with regard to mortality and length of ICU stay.

Using population-based critical care data to evaluate trauma outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The analysis of mortality is an integral part of the evaluation of trauma care. When specific data are not available, general prediction models can be used to adjust for case mix. The aim of this study was to evaluate the feasibility of conducting a population-based analysis of trends in trauma mortality, using critical care audit data, and to investigate whether such data could provide a benchmark for the assessment of service reconfiguration. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of adult trauma patients, requiring admission to a critical care unit in Scotland, 2002-2011, using nationally collected data. Results are presented as standardised mortality ratios of observed mortality divided by APACHE II predicted mortality. Tests for trends in numbers and ratios over time were performed using linear regression. FINDINGS: 4503 patients were identified. There was a significant increase in the number of trauma patients admitted per year (p = 0.011). The median predicted probability of in-hospital death was 7% (interquartile range 1-13%), against an actual mortality was 11.6%. There was no significant change in the standardised mortality ratios of trauma patients (p = 0.1224). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the feasibility of utilising critical care unit audit data for analysing outcomes from trauma care. It also showed the potential of such an approach to establish a baseline against which to compare the impact of future service reconfiguration. In contrast to healthcare systems with regionalised trauma care, there appears to have been little change in the mortality of trauma patients requiring critical care unit admission in Scotland.

Assessing nutrition in the critically ill elderly patient: A comparison of two screening tools.

CONTEXT: Few malnutrition screening tests are validated in the elderly Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patient. AIM: Having previously established malnutrition as a cause of higher mortality in this population, we compared two screening tools in elderly patients. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: For this prospective study, 111 consecutive patients admitted to the ICU and > 65 years underwent the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST), and the Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI) screening tests. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Standard definition of malnutrition risk was taken as the gold standard to evaluate the sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of the tools. The k statistic was calculated to measure the agreement between the tools. The Shrout classification was used to interpret its values. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients screened was 74.7 ± 8.4 (65-97 years). The standard definition, MUST and GNRI identified 52.2%, 65.4%, and 64.9% to be malnourished, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the tests were 96.5% computed tomography (CI) (87.9-99.5%) and 72.3% CI (57.5-84.5%) for MUST and 89.5% CI (75.2-96.7%) and 55.0% CI (75.2-96.9%) for GNRI, respectively. Screening was not possible by GNRI and MUST tool in 31% versus 4% of patients, respectively. The agreement between the tools was moderate for Standard-MUST k = 0.65 and MUST-GNRI k = 0.60 and fair for Standard-GNRI k = 0.43. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of malnutrition is high among our patients as identified by all the tools. Both GNRI and MUST showed a high sensitivity with MUST showing a higher specificity and greater applicability.