Using machine-learning models to predict extubation failure in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia.

AIM: To develop a decision-support tool for predicting extubation failure (EF) in neonates with bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) using a set of machine-learning algorithms. METHODS: A dataset of 284 BPD neonates on mechanical ventilation was used to develop predictive models via machine-learning algorithms, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest, support vector machine, naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and k-nearest neighbor. The top three models were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and their performance was tested by decision curve analysis (DCA). Confusion matrix was used to show the high performance of the best model. The importance matrix plot and SHapley Additive exPlanations values were calculated to evaluate the feature importance and visualize the results. The nomogram and clinical impact curves were used to validate the final model. RESULTS: According to the AUC values and DCA results, the XGboost model performed best (AUC = 0.873, sensitivity = 0.896, specificity = 0.838). The nomogram and clinical impact curve verified that the XGBoost model possessed a significant predictive value. The following were predictive factors for EF: pO2, hemoglobin, mechanical ventilation (MV) rate, pH, Apgar score at 5 min, FiO2, C-reactive protein, Apgar score at 1 min, red blood cell count, PIP, gestational age, highest FiO2 at the first 24 h, heart rate, birth weight, pCO2. Further, pO2, hemoglobin, and MV rate were the three most important factors for predicting EF. CONCLUSIONS: The present study indicated that the XGBoost model was significant in predicting EF in BPD neonates with mechanical ventilation, which is helpful in determining the right extubation time among neonates with BPD to reduce the occurrence of complications.

Two-year survival after scheduled extubation in patients with pneumonia or ARDS: a prospective observational study.

PURPOSE: To report two-year survival after scheduled extubation in patients with pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). METHODS: This was a prospective observational study performed in a respiratory ICU of a teaching hospital. Pneumonia or ARDS patients who successfully completed a spontaneous breathing trial were enrolled. Data were collected before extubation. Patients were followed up to two years by phone every 3 months. RESULTS: A total of 230 patients were enrolled in final analysis. One-, 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival was 77.4%, 63.8%, 61.3%, 57.8%, and 47.8%, respectively. Cox regression shows that Charlson comorbidity index (hazard ratio: 1.20, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.32), APACHE II score before extubation (1.11, 1.05-1.17), cough peak flow before extubation (0.993, 0.986-0.999), and extubation failure (3.96, 2.51-6.24) were associated with two-year mortality. To predict death within two years, the area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic was 0.79 tested by Charlson comorbidity index, 0.75 tested by APACHE II score, and 0.75 tested by cough peak flow. Two-year survival was 31% and 77% in patients with Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 1 and < 1, 28% and 62% in patients with APACHE II score ≥ 12 and < 12, and 64% and 17% in patients with cough peak flow > 58 and ≤ 58 L/min, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity, disease severity, weak cough and extubation failure were associated with increased two-year mortality in pneumonia or ARDS patients who experienced scheduled extubation. It provides objective information to caregivers to improve decision-making process during hospitalization and post discharge.

Central venous pressure waveform analysis during sleep/rest: a novel approach to enhance intensive care unit post-extubation monitoring of extubation failure.

This pilot study aimed to investigate the relation between cardio-respiratory parameters derived from Central Venous Pressure (CVP) waveform and Extubation Failure (EF) in mechanically ventilated ICU patients during post-extubation period. This study also proposes a new methodology for analysing these parameters during rest/sleep periods to try to improve the identification of EF. We conducted a prospective observational study, computing CVP-derived parameters including breathing effort, spectral analyses, and entropy in twenty critically ill patients post-extubation. The Dynamic Warping Index (DWi) was calculated from the respiratory component extracted from the CVP signal to identify rest/sleep states. The obtained parameters from EF patients and patients without EF were compared both during arbitrary periods and during reduced DWi (rest/sleep). We have analysed data from twenty patients of which nine experienced EF. Our findings may suggest significantly increased respiratory effort in EF patients compared to those successfully extubated. Our study also suggests the occurrence of significant change in the frequency dispersion of the cardiac signal component. We also identified a possible improvement in the differentiation between the two groups of patients when assessed during rest/sleep states. Although with caveats regarding the sample size, the results of this pilot study may suggest that CVP-derived cardio-respiratory parameters are valuable for monitoring respiratory failure during post-extubation, which could aid in managing non-invasive interventions and possibly reduce the incidence of EF. Our findings also indicate the possible importance of considering sleep/rest state when assessing cardio-respiratory parameters, which could enhance respiratory failure detection/monitoring.

The Value of Ischemic Cardiac Biomarkers to Predict Spontaneous Breathing Trial or Extubation Failure: A Systematic Review.

Background: It is unclear whether other cardiac biomarkers than NT-proBNP can be useful in the risk stratification of patients weaning from mechanical ventilation. The aim of this study is to summarize the role of ischemic cardiac biomarkers in predicting spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) or extubation failure. Methods: We systematically searched Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central for studies published before January 2024 that reported the association between ischemic cardiac biomarkers and SBT or extubation failure. Data were extracted using a standardized form and methodological assessment was performed using the QUIPS tool. Results: Seven observational studies investigating four ischemic cardiac biomarkers (Troponin-T, Troponin-I, CK-MB, Myoglobin) were included. One study reported a higher peak Troponin-I in patients with extubation failure compared to extubation success (50 ng/L [IQR, 20-215] versus 30 ng/L [IQR, 10-86], p = 0.01). A second study found that Troponin-I measured before the SBT was higher in patients with SBT failure in comparison to patients with SBT success (100 ± 80 ng/L versus 70 ± 130 ng/L, p = 0.03). A third study reported a higher CK-MB measured at the end of the SBT in patients with weaning failure (SBT or extubation failure) in comparison to weaning success (8.77 ± 20.5 ng/mL versus 1.52 ± 1.42 ng/mL, p = 0.047). Troponin-T and Myoglobin as well as Troponin-I and CK-MB measured at other time points were not found to be related to SBT or extubation failure. However, most studies were underpowered and with high risk of bias. Conclusions: The association with SBT or extubation failure is limited for Troponin-I and CK-MB and appears absent for Troponin-T and Myoglobin, but available studies are hampered by significant methodological drawbacks. To more definitively determine the role of ischemic cardiac biomarkers, future studies should prioritize larger sample sizes, including patients at risk of cardiac disease, using stringent SBTs and structured timing of laboratory measurements before and after SBT.

Predicting Extubation Readiness in Preterm Infants Utilizing Machine Learning: A Diagnostic Utility Study.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to predict extubation readiness in preterm infants using machine learning analysis of bedside pulse oximeter and ventilator data. STUDY DESIGN: This is an observational study with prospective recordings of oxygen saturation (SpO2) and ventilator data from infants <30 weeks of gestation age. Research pulse oximeters collected SpO2 (1 Hz sampling rate) to quantify intermittent hypoxemia (IH). Continuous ventilator metrics were collected (4-5-minute sampling) from bedside ventilators. Data modeling was completed using unbiased machine learning algorithms. Three model sets were created using the following data source combinations: (1) IH and ventilator (IH + SIMV), (2) IH, and (3) ventilator (SIMV). Infants were also analyzed separated by postnatal age (infants <2 or ≥2 weeks of age). Models were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: A total of 110 extubation events from 110 preterm infants were analyzed. Infants had a median gestation age and birth weight of 26 weeks and 825 g, respectively. Of the 3 models presented, the IH + SIMV model achieved the highest AUC of 0.77 for all infants. Separating infants by postnatal age increased accuracy further achieving AUC of 0.94 for <2 weeks of age group and AUC of 0.83 for ≥2 weeks group. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning analysis has the potential to enhance prediction accuracy of extubation readiness in preterm infants while utilizing readily available data streams from bedside pulse oximeters and ventilators.

Predictors of Extubation Failure in Very Low Birth Weight Infants at a Tertiary Care Hospital in Al Ain: A Retrospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify and analyze the factors leading to extubation failure among very low birth weight infants in a specific tertiary care setting in Al Ain, emphasizing clinical and demographic variables. The study used medical data of Very Low Birth Weight (VLBW) infants admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) from 1st January 2015 to 31st December 2019, and evaluated the incidence and risk factors associated with extubation failure. METHODS: Data was collected from the hospital's electronic records and tabulated in Excel sheets, with extubation failure defined as reintubation due to deterioration of respiratory condition within seven days post-extubation. The data was collected from the period of 1st January 2015 to 31st December 2019. Inclusion criteria included babies admitted to the NICU with a gestational age of ≤ 32 weeks, or of birth weight ≤1500 grams who were intubated within the first seven days of life. Results were analyzed using SPSS software, version 9.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago) to determine the risk factors for extubation failure and short-term outcomes. RESULTS: Gestational age, birth weight, antenatal steroids, mode of delivery, number of Survanta® (beractant intratracheal suspension) doses, Positive End-Expiratory Pressure (PEEP), Mean Airway Pressure (MAP), Mean Arterial Pressure (Blood Pressure (BP)), and Infectious Diseases (ID) (indicated by a positive blood culture) were found to be the key predictors of extubation failure in very low birth weight infants at a tertiary care hospital in Al Ain. The most common reasons for reintubation were FiO2 > 50% (23.53%), followed by Respiratory Acidosis (20.59%). Other factors, including maternal chorioamnionitis, Apgar scores, indication for intubation, caffeine, and pre-and post-extubation laboratory values, comorbidities, and hemoglobin (Hgb), creatinine and sodium levels were found to have no effect on the success of extubations. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this research indicate that factors such as gestational age, birth weight, prenatal steroid use, delivery method, the quantity of Survanta® doses, PEEP, MAP, MAP (BP), and ID (+ve blood culture) were the primary determinants of unsuccessful extubation in VLBW babies at a tertiary healthcare facility in Al Ain. The predominant cause for needing reintubation was a FiO2 level above 50%, followed by Respiratory Acidosis. Additional ®®investigations are required to validate these findings and pinpoint other potential predictors of extubation failure within this demographic.

Association of Caffeine Daily Dose With Respiratory Outcomes in Preterm Neonates: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Apnea and poor respiratory drive increase the risk of extubation failure (EF) and prolonged invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in preterm neonates (pre-nates) with respiratory distress. Caffeine citrate (CC) is often prescribed for pre-nates in doses of 5-10 mg/kg in 24 h. This study aimed to evaluate the most effective dosage regimen (5 mg/kg/day vs >5-10 mg/kg/day) to prevent apnea and EF with minimal caffeine-associated potential side effects (CC-APSEs) in pre-nates. This one-year retrospective cohort study included all the eligible neonates admitted to NICU and received CC-therapy till 28 days of life (DOL) or discharge. Based on CC-daily dose formed LD-caffeine-group (5 mg/kg/day) and HD-caffeine-group (>5-10 mg/kg/day). Antenatal, prenatal, and postnatal characteristics, CC-regimen, comorbidities, and CC-APSEs were compared between the groups. Predictors of apnea and EF were analyzed through logistic regression. There were 181 and 72 neonates in the LD and HD-caffeine-groups respectively. In HD-caffeine-group daily CC-dose was 7 to 7.5 mg/kg/day in 93% of neonates and >7.5 to 10 mg/kg/day in only 7%. Significantly fewer neonates experienced apnea and EF in the HD-caffeine-group till 28DOL or discharge. This difference was even greater in the subgroup of ≤28 weeks GA (15.6% vs 40.0%; P < .01). In HD-caffeine-group the incidence of severe/moderate-BPD was significantly lower and the frequency of CC-APSEs was higher. Multivariate analysis showed that; the smaller the GA higher the risk of apnea (AOR = 0.510, 95% CI 0.483-0.999) and EF (AOR = 0.787, 95% CI 0.411-0.997). The HD-caffeine was inversely associated with developing apnea (AOR = 0.244, 95% CI 0.053-0.291) and EF (AOR = 0.103, 95% CI 0.098-2.976). IMV-duration before extubation (AOR = 2.229, 95% CI 1.672-2.498) and severe/moderate-BPD (AOR = 2.410, 95%CI 1.104-2.952) had a high risk of EF. Initiating early HD-caffeine may prevent apnea and extubation failure in preterm neonates. Optimization of caffeine initiation time and dosages can be a safe and feasible approach to decrease the burden of neonatal respiratory morbidities.

High-Risk ERT for Children With Cardiac Critical Illness.

BACKGROUND: A protocolized extubation readiness test (ERT), including a spontaneous breathing trial (SBT), is recommended for patients who are intubated. This quality-improvement project aimed to improve peri-extubation outcomes by using a high-risk ERT protocol in intubated cardiac patients in addition to a standard-risk protocol. METHODS: After baseline data collection, we implemented a standard-risk ERT protocol (pressure support plus PEEP), followed by a high-risk ERT protocol (PEEP alone) in cardiac subjects who were intubated. The primary outcome, a composite of extubation failure and rescue noninvasive respiratory support, was compared between phases. Ventilator duration and use of postextubation respiratory support were balancing measures. RESULTS: A total of 213 cardiac subjects who were intubated were studied, with extubation failure and rescue noninvasive respiratory support occurring in 10 of 213 (4.7%) and 8 of 213 (3.8%), respectively. We observed a reduction in the composite outcome among the 3 consecutive phases (5/29 [17.2%], 10/110 [9.1%] vs 3/74 [4.1%]; P = .10), but this did not reach statistical significance. In the logistic regression model when adjusting for admission type, the high-risk ERT protocol was associated with a significant reduction of the composite outcome (adjusted odds ratio 0.20, 95% CI 0.04-0.091; P = .037), whereas the standard-risk ERT protocol was not (adjusted odds ratio 0.48, 95% CI 0.15-1.53; P = .21). This was not accompanied by a longer ventilator duration (2.0 [1.0, 3.0], 2.0 [1.0, 4.0] vs 2.0 [1.0, 6.0] days; P = .99). CONCLUSIONS: In this quality-improvement project, a high-risk ERT protocol was implemented with improvement in peri-extubation outcomes among cardiac subjects.

Development of a clinical prediction tool for extubation failure in pediatric cardiac intensive care unit.

Introduction/objective: Extubation failure in pediatric patients with congenital or acquired heart diseases increases morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to develop a clinical risk score for predicting extubation failure to guide proper clinical decision-making and management. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study. This clinical prediction score was developed using data from the Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care Unit (PCICU) of the Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Thailand, from July 2016 to May 2022. Extubation failure was defined as the requirement for re-intubation within 48 h after extubation. Multivariable logistic regression was used for modeling. The score was evaluated in terms of discrimination and calibration. Results: A total of 352 extubation events from 270 patients were documented. Among these, 40 events (11.36%) were extubation failure. Factors associated with extubation failure included history of pneumonia (OR: 4.14, 95% CI: 1.83-9.37, p = 0.001), history of re-intubation (OR: 5.99, 95% CI: 2.12-16.98, p = 0.001), and high saturation in physiologic cyanosis (OR: 5.94, 95% CI: 1.87-18.84, p = 0.003). These three factors were utilized to develop the risk score. The score showed acceptable discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.86), and good calibration. Conclusion: The derived Pediatric CMU Extubation Failure Prediction Score (Ped-CMU ExFPS) could satisfactorily predict extubation failure in pediatric cardiac patients. Employing this score could promote proper personalized care. We suggest conducting further external validation studies before considering implementation in practice.

Effectiveness of high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) versus bilevel positive airway pressure (BiPAP) in preventing tracheal reintubation in patients with high risk of extubation failure in intensive care unit - A randomised comparative trial.

Background and Aims: The incidence of tracheal extubation failure in high-risk patients is higher, and non-invasive ventilation is suggested to avoid tracheal reintubation. This study compares the effectiveness of bilevel positive airway pressure (BiPAP) and high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) to reduce the rate of reintubation in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with increased risk of extubation failure. Methods: This randomised comparative trial was conducted on 60 high-risk patients on mechanical ventilators admitted to the ICU, ready for weaning after a spontaneous breathing trial. They were randomised to Group H for HFNC and Group B for BiPAP therapy. Designated therapy was administered in these high-risk patients for up to 48 hours after tracheal extubation. Haemodynamic parameters [mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate (HR), respiratory rate (RR), a saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2), electrocardiogram (ECG)], arterial blood gas analysis (ABG) parameter [potential of hydrogen (pH), partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2), partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen (paO2/FiO2) ratio], the effectiveness of cough, comfort level was recorded and continuous monitoring for signs of respiratory distress and failure was done. Results: Most of the patients were obese and had more than two risk factors for extubation failure. Several patients in Group B have significantly higher successful extubation than in Group H (P = 0.044). Most of the reintubation took place within 24 hours. The HFNC therapy was more comfortable and acceptable to patients. Conclusion: BiPAP therapy was more efficient than HFNC in preventing tracheal reintubation among patients with a high risk of extubation failure.

Diaphragm atrophy during invasive mechanical ventilation is related to extubation failure in preterm infants: An ultrasound study.

BACKGROUND: Diaphragm dysfunction is associated with poor outcomes in critically ill patients. Ventilator-induced diaphragmatic dysfunction (VIDD), including diaphragm atrophy (DA), is poorly studied in newborns. We aimed to assess VIDD and its associations in newborns. METHODS: Single-center prospective study. Diaphragm thickness was measured at end-inspiration (TDI) and end-expiration (TDE) on the right midaxillary line. DA was defined as decrease in TDE ≥ 10%. Daily measurements were recorded in preterm newborns on invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for ≥2 days. Clinical characteristics of patients and extubation failure were recorded. Univariate analysis, logistic regression, and mixed models were performed to describe VIDD and associated factors. RESULTS: We studied 17 patients (median gestational age 270/7 weeks) and 22 IMV cycles (median duration 9 days). Median TDE decreased from 0.118 cm (interquartile range [IQR] 0.094-0.165) on the first IMV day to 0.104 cm (IQR 0.083-0.120) on the last IMV day (p = .092). DA occurred in 11 IMV cycles (50%) from 10 infants early during IMV (median: second IMV day). Mean airway pressure (MAP) and lung ultrasound score (LUS) on the first IMV day were significantly higher in patients who developed DA. DA was more frequent in patients with extubation failure than in those with extubation success within 7 days (83.3 vs. 33.3%, p = .038). CONCLUSIONS: DA, significantly associated with extubation failure, occurred in 58.8% of the study infants on IMV. Higher MAP and LUS at IMV start were associated with DA. Our results suggest a potential role of diaphragm ultrasound to assess DA and predict extubation failure in clinical practice.

Extubation failure: Upper airway obstruction by chewing gum. A case report.

Extubation failure can result from different complications, mostly well described in the literature such as laryngeal edema. Airway obstruction by foreign bodies is a less frequent and unexpected complication and its detection remains a challenge to healthcare professionals. In this case-report, we describe a patient admitted in an intensive care unit following a motor vehicle accident and who underwent an extubation failure and tracheostomy placement due to a misdiagnosed obstruction of a foreign body in the upper airway. Thus, screening of foreign bodies should be considered with a careful interpretation of medical imagery and clinical evaluation in these patients. Finally, cuff leak test, ultrasonography and videolaryngoscopy can be important adjuvants to the identification of suspected foreign bodies.

Predictors of extubation failure and prolonged mechanical ventilation among patients with intracerebral hemorrhage after surgery.

BACKGROUND: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a condition associated with high mortality and morbidity. Survivors may require prolonged intubation with mechanical ventilation (MV). The aim of this study was to analyze the predictors of extubation failure and prolonged MV in patients who undergo surgical evacuation. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted on adult patients with ICH who underwent MV for at least 48 h and survived > 14 days after surgery. The demographics, clinical characteristics, laboratory tests, and Glasgow Coma Scale score were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 134 patients with ICH were included in the study. The average age of the patients was 60.34 ± 15.59 years, and 79.9% (n = 107) were extubated after satisfying the weaning parameters. Extubation failure occurred in 11.2% (n = 12) and prolonged MV in 48.5% (n = 65) patients. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that a white blood cell count > 10,000/mm3 at the time of extubation was an independent predictor of reintubation. Meanwhile, age and initial Glasgow Coma Scale scores were predictors of prolonged MV. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided the first comprehensive characterization and analysis of the predictors of extubation failure and prolonged MV in patients with ICH after surgery. Knowledge of potential predictors is essential to improve the strategies for early initiation of adequate treatment and prognosis assessment in the early stages of the disease.

Weaning and extubation failure in myasthenic crisis: a multicenter analysis.

Myasthenic crisis (MC) requiring mechanical ventilation is a serious complication of myasthenia gravis (MG). Here we analyze the frequency and risk factors of weaning- and extubation failure as well as its impact on the clinical course in a large cohort. We performed a retrospective chart review on patients treated for MC in 12 German neurological departments between 2006 and 2015. Weaning failure (WF) was defined as negative spontaneous breathing trial, primary tracheostomy, or extubation failure (EF) (reintubation or death). WF occurred in 138 episodes (64.2%). Older Age (p = 0.039), multiple comorbidities (≥ 3) (p = 0.007, OR = 4.04), late-onset MG (p = 0.004, OR = 2.84), complications like atelectasis (p = 0.008, OR = 3.40), pneumonia (p < 0.0001, OR = 3.45), cardio-pulmonary resuscitation (p = 0.005, OR = 5.00) and sepsis (p = 0.02, OR = 2.57) were associated with WF. WF occurred often in patients treated with intravenous immungloblins (IVIG) (p = 0.002, OR = 2.53), whereas WF was less often under first-line therapy with plasma exchange or immunoadsorption (p = 0.07, OR = 0.57). EF was observed in 58 of 135 episodes (43.0%) after first extubation attempt and was related with prolonged mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit stay and hospital stay (p ≤ 0.0001 for all). Extubation success was most likely in a time window for extubation between day 7 and 12 after intubation (p = 0.06, OR = 2.12). We conclude that WF and EF occur very often in MC and are associated with poor outcome. Older age, multiple comorbidities and development of cardiac and pulmonary complications are associated with a higher risk of WF and EF. Our data suggest that WF occurs less frequently under first-line plasma exchange/immunoadsorption compared with first-line use of IVIG.

Higher Cumulative Dose of Opioids and Other Sedatives are Associated with Extubation Failure in Norwood Patients.

BACKGROUND: The primary purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between sedation usage and extubation failure, and to control for the effects of hemodynamic, oximetric indices, clinical characteristics, ventilatory settings pre- and post-extubation, and echocardiographic (echo) findings in neonates with hypoplastic left heart syndrome (HLHS) post-Norwood procedure. METHODS: Single-center, retrospective analysis of Norwood patients during their first extubation post-surgery from January 2015 to July 2021. Extubation failure was defined as reintubation within 48 h of extubation. Demographics, clinical characteristics, ventilatory settings, echo findings (right ventricular function, tricuspid regurgitation), and cumulative dose of sedation medications before extubation were compared between patients with successful or failed extubation. RESULTS: The analysis included 130 patients who underwent the Norwood procedure with 121 (93%) successful and 9 (7%) failed extubations. Univariate analyses showed that vocal cord anomaly (p = 0.05), lower end-tidal CO2 (p < 0.01), lower pulse-to-respiratory quotient (p = 0.02), and ketamine administration (p = 0.04) were associated with extubation failure. The use of opioids, benzodiazepines, dexmedetomidine, and ketamine are mutually correlated in this cohort. On multivariable analysis, the vocal cord anomaly (OR = 7.31, 95% CI 1.25-42.78, p = 0.027), pre-extubation end-tidal CO2 (OR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.65-0.97, p = 0.025), and higher cumulative dose of opioids (OR = 10.16, 95% CI 1.25-82.43, p = 0.030) were independently associated with extubation failure while also controlling for post-extubation respiratory support (CPAP/BiPAP/HFNC vs NC), intubation length, and echo results. CONCLUSION: Higher cumulative opioid doses were associated with a greater incidence of extubation failure in infants post-Norwood procedure. Therefore, patients with higher cumulative doses of opioids should be more closely evaluated for extubation readiness in this population. Low end-tidal CO2 and low pulse-to-respiratory quotient were also associated with failed extubation. Consideration of the pulse-to-respiratory quotient in the extubation readiness assessment can be beneficial in the Norwood population.

Predictors of extubation failure in newborns: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Extubation failure (EF) is a significant concern in mechanically ventilated newborns, and predicting its occurrence is an ongoing area of research. To investigate the predictors of EF in newborns undergoing planned extubation, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library for studies published in English from the inception of each database to March 2023. The PRISMA guidelines were followed in all phases of this systematic review. The Risk of Bias Assessment for Nonrandomized Studies tool was used to assess methodological quality. Thirty-four studies were included, 10 of which were overall low risk of bias, 15 of moderate risk of bias, and 9 of high risk of bias. The studies reported 43 possible predictors in six broad categories (intrinsic factors; maternal factors; diseases and adverse conditions of the newborn; treatment of the newborn; characteristics before and after extubation; and clinical scores and composite indicators). Through a qualitative synthesis of 43 predictors and a quantitative meta-analysis of 19 factors, we identified five definite factors, eight possible factors, and 22 unclear factors related to EF. Definite factors included gestational age, sepsis, pre-extubation pH, pre-extubation FiO2, and respiratory severity score. Possible factors included age at extubation, anemia, inotropic use, mean airway pressure, pre-extubation PCO2, mechanical ventilation duration, Apgar score, and spontaneous breathing trial. With only a few high-quality studies currently available, well-designed and more extensive prospective studies investigating the predictors affecting EF are still needed. In the future, it will be important to explore the possibility of combining multiple predictors or assessment tools to enhance the accuracy of predicting extubation outcomes in clinical practice.

Time definition of reintubation most relevant to patient outcomes in critically ill patients: a multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Reintubation is a common complication in critically ill patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Although reintubation has been demonstrated to be associated with patient outcomes, its time definition varies widely among guidelines and in the literature. This study aimed to determine the association between reintubation and patient outcomes as well as the consequences of the time elapsed between extubation and reintubation on patient outcomes. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of critically ill patients conducted between April 2015 and March 2021. Adult patients who underwent mechanical ventilation and extubation in intensive care units (ICUs) were investigated utilizing the Japanese Intensive Care PAtient Database. The primary and secondary outcomes were in-hospital and ICU mortality. The association between reintubation and clinical outcomes was studied using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the patients who underwent reintubation, a Cox proportional hazard analysis was conducted to evaluate patient outcomes according to the number of days from extubation to reintubation. RESULTS: Overall, 184,705 patients in 75 ICUs were screened, and 1849 patients underwent reintubation among 48,082 extubated patients. After adjustment for potential confounders, multivariable analysis revealed a significant association between reintubation and increased in-hospital and ICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.520, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.359-1.700, and adjusted HR 1.325, 95% CI 1.076-1.633, respectively). Among the reintubated patients, 1037 (56.1%) were reintubated within 24 h after extubation, 418 (22.6%) at 24-48 h, 198 (10.7%) at 48-72 h, 111 (6.0%) at 72-96 h, and 85 (4.6%) at 96-120 h. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that in-hospital and ICU mortality was highest in patients reintubated at 72-96 h (adjusted HR 1.528, 95% CI 1.062-2.197, and adjusted HR 1.334, 95% CI 0.756-2.352, respectively; referenced to reintubation within 24 h). CONCLUSIONS: Reintubation was associated with a significant increase in in-hospital and ICU mortality. The highest mortality rates were observed in patients who were reintubated between 72 and 96 h after extubation. Further studies are warranted for the optimal observation of extubated patients in clinical practice and to strengthen the evidence for mechanical ventilation.

Lung aeration estimated by chest electrical impedance tomography and lung ultrasound during extubation.

BACKGROUND: This study hypothesized that patients with extubation failure exhibit a loss of lung aeration and heterogeneity in air distribution, which could be monitored by chest EIT and lung ultrasound. Patients at risk of extubation failure were included after a successful spontaneous breathing trial. Lung ultrasound [with calculation of lung ultrasound score (LUS)] and chest EIT [with calculation of the global inhomogeneity index, frontback center of ventilation (CoV), regional ventilation delay (RVD) and surface available for ventilation] were performed before extubation during pressure support ventilation (H0) and two hours after extubation during spontaneous breathing (H2). EIT was then repeated 6 h (H6) after extubation. EIT derived indices and LUS were compared between patients successfully extubated and patients with extubation failure. RESULTS: 40 patients were included, of whom 12 (30%) failed extubation. Before extubation, when compared with patients with successful extubation, patients who failed extubation had a higher LUS (19 vs 10, p = 0.003) and a smaller surface available for ventilation (352 vs 406 pixels, p = 0.042). After extubation, GI index and LUS were higher in the extubation failure group, whereas the surface available for ventilation was lower. The RVD and the CoV were not different between groups. CONCLUSION: Before extubation, a loss of lung aeration was observed in patients who developed extubation failure afterwards. After extubation, this loss of lung aeration persisted and was associated with regional lung ventilation heterogeneity. Trial registration Clinical trials, NCT04180410, Registered 27 November 2019-prospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04180410 .

Sonometric assessment of cough predicts extubation failure: SonoWean-a proof-of-concept study.

BACKGROUND: Extubation failure is associated with increased mortality. Cough ineffectiveness may be associated with extubation failure, but its quantification for patients undergoing weaning from invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) remains challenging. METHODS: Patients under IMV for more than 24 h completing a successful spontaneous T-tube breathing trial (SBT) were included. At the end of the SBT, we performed quantitative sonometric assessment of three successive coughing efforts using a sonometer. The mean of the 3-cough volume in decibels was named Sonoscore. RESULTS: During a 1-year period, 106 patients were included. Median age was 65 [51-75] years, mainly men (60%). Main reasons for IMV were acute respiratory failure (43%), coma (25%) and shock (17%). Median duration of IMV at enrollment was 4 [3-7] days. Extubation failure occurred in 15 (14%) patients. Baseline characteristics were similar between success and failure extubation groups, except percentage of simple weaning which was lower and MV duration which was longer in extubation failure patients. Sonoscore was significantly lower in patients who failed extubation (58 [52-64] vs. 75 [70-78] dB, P < 0.001). After adjustment on MV duration and comorbidities, Sonoscore remained associated with extubation failure. Sonoscore was predictive of extubation failure with an area under the ROC curve of 0.91 (IC95% [0.83-0.99], P < 0.001). A threshold of Sonoscore < 67.1 dB predicted extubation failure with a sensitivity of 0.93 IC95% [0.70-0.99] and a specificity of 0.82 IC95% [0.73-0.90]. CONCLUSION: Sonometric assessment of cough strength might be helpful to identify patients at risk of extubation failure in patients undergoing IMV.

Risk Factors for Extubation Failure After Pediatric Cardiac Surgery and Impact on Outcomes: A Multicenter Analysis.

IMPORTANCE: Extubation failure (EF) after pediatric cardiac surgery is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVES: We sought to describe the risk factors associated with early (< 48 hr) and late (48 hr ≤ 168 hr) EF after pediatric cardiac surgery and the clinical implications of these two types of EF. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study using prospectively collected clinical data for the Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium (PC4) Registry. Pediatric patients undergoing Society of Thoracic Surgeons benchmark operation or heart transplant between 2013 and 2018 available in the PC4 Registry were included. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We analyzed demographics and risk factors associated with EFs (primary outcome) including by type of surgery. We identified potentially modifiable risk factors. Clinical outcomes of mortality and length of stay (LOS) were reported. RESULTS: Overall 18,278 extubations were analyzed. Unplanned extubations were excluded from the analysis. The rate of early EF was 5.2% (948) and late EF was 2.5% (461). Cardiopulmonary bypass time, ventilator duration, airway anomaly, genetic abnormalities, pleural effusion, and diaphragm paralysis contributed to both early and late EF. Extubation during day remote from shift change and nasotracheal route of initial intubation was associated with decreased risk of early EF. Extubation in the operating room was associated with an increased risk of early EF but with decreased risk of late EF. Across all operations except arterial switch, EF portrayed an increased burden of LOS and mortality. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: Both early and late EF are associated with significant increase in LOS and mortality. Study provides potential benchmarking data by type of surgery. Modifiable risk factors such as route of intubation, time of extubation as well as treatment of potential contributors such as diaphragm paralysis or pleural effusion can serve as focus areas for reducing EFs.