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1.
Resusc Plus ; 19: 100713, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39104443

ABSTRACT

Background: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) incidence and survival often vary within regions according to patient-related and contextual factors. This study aims to establish the overall spatial dependence of incidence, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (BCPR) and 48-h survival of OHCA with their associated demographic and socioeconomic characteristics in a Swiss region. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study using data of all OHCAs recorded between 2007 and 2019 in the canton of Vaud and, more specifically, in the Lausanne area. Provision of BCPR and 48-h survival were analysed using Getis-Ord Gi statistics and OHCA incidence by local Moran's I with empirical Bayes standardised rates. Demographic and socioeconomic characteristics were compared between incidence clusters generated by local Moran's I method. Results: Significant spatial variations of OHCA incidence, BCPR and 48-h mortality were observed. Although BCPR was statistically more likely in rural areas, 48-h survival was improved in a few main cities. At the cantonal level, postcode areas with a higher incidence of OHCAs were less densely inhabited with lower salary levels, more Swiss citizens, and an older population. At city level, small area variations were detected within urban neighbourhoods. The more affected hectares with more OHCAs were less inhabited, with a better median salary, more Swiss citizens, and off-centre. Conclusions: Spatial variations associated with demographic and socioeconomic factors were observed for OHCA incidence and survival, with sparsely populated areas particularly at risk. These data suggest an unmet need for targeted prevention interventions and structural modifications of the existing prehospital system at the cantonal level.

2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 2103, 2024 Aug 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39098915

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Black individuals in the U.S. face increasing racial disparities in drug overdose related to social determinants of health, including place-based features. Mobile outreach efforts work to mitigate social determinants by servicing geographic areas with low drug treatment and overdose prevention access but are often limited by convenience-based targets. Geographic information systems (GIS) are often used to characterize and visualize the overdose crisis and could be translated to community to guide mobile outreach services. The current study examines the initial acceptability and appropriateness of GIS to facilitate data-driven outreach for reducing overdose inequities facing Black individuals. METHODS: We convened a focus group of stakeholders (N = 8) in leadership roles at organizations conducting mobile outreach in predominantly Black neighborhoods of St. Louis, MO. Organizations represented provided adult mental health and substance use treatment or harm reduction services. Participants were prompted to discuss current outreach strategies and provided feedback on preliminary GIS-derived maps displaying regional overdose epidemiology. A reflexive approach to thematic analysis was used to extract themes. RESULTS: Four themes were identified that contextualize the acceptability and utility of an overdose visualization tool to mobile service providers in Black communities. They were: 1) importance of considering broader community context; 2) potential for awareness, engagement, and community collaboration; 3) ensuring data relevance to the affected community; and 4) data manipulation and validity concerns. CONCLUSIONS: There are several perceived benefits of using GIS to map overdose among mobile providers serving Black communities that are overburdened by the overdose crisis but under resourced. Perceived potential benefits included informing location-based targets for services as well as improving awareness of the overdose crisis and facilitating collaboration, advocacy, and resource allocation. However, as GIS-enabled visualization of drug overdose grows in science, public health, and community settings, stakeholders must consider concerns undermining community trust and benefits, particularly for Black communities facing historical inequities and ongoing disparities.


Subject(s)
Black or African American , Drug Overdose , Focus Groups , Geographic Information Systems , Humans , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Drug Overdose/prevention & control , Drug Overdose/ethnology , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , Community-Institutional Relations , Male , Female , Adult , Health Status Disparities , Stakeholder Participation
3.
JMA J ; 7(3): 319-327, 2024 Jul 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39114599

ABSTRACT

Introduction: This study evaluated the detection of monthly human mobility clusters and characteristics of cluster areas before the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak using spatial epidemiological methods, namely, spatial scan statistics and geographic information systems (GIS). Methods: The research area covers approximately 10.3 km2, with a population of about 350,000 people. Analysis was conducted using open data, with the exception of one dataset. Human mobility and population data were used on a 1-km mesh scale, and business location data were used to examine the area characteristics. Data from January to December 2019 were utilized to detect human mobility clusters before the COVID-19 pandemic. Spatial scan statistics were performed using SaTScan to calculate relative risk (RR). The detected clusters and other data were visualized in QGIS to explore the features of the cluster areas. Results: Spatial scan statistics identified 33 clusters. The detailed analysis focused on clusters with an RR exceeding 1.5. Meshes with an RR over 1.5 included one with clusters for 1 year which is identified in all months of the year, one with clusters for 9 months, three with clusters for 6 months, three with clusters for 3 months, and four with clusters for 1 month. September had the highest number of clusters (eight), followed by April and November (seven each). The remaining months had five or six clusters. Characteristically, the cluster areas included the vicinity of railway stations, densely populated business areas, ball game fields, and large-scale construction sites. Conclusions: Statistical analysis of human mobility clusters using open data and open-source tools is crucial for the advancement of evidence-based policymaking based on scientific facts, not only for novel infectious diseases but also for existing ones, such as influenza.

4.
Heliyon ; 10(12): e32812, 2024 Jun 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39022071

ABSTRACT

The abundance and recurrence of particulate matter in Abu Dhabi Emirate (ADE), are often derived from different emission sources such as the combustion of hydrocarbon, producing much of the PM2.5 found in outdoor air, as well as a significant proportion of PM10. Wind-blown dust from open desert areas and construction sites, landfills and agriculture, brush/waste burning, and industrial sources, has contributed markedly to the problem of the spread of haze and the long-range movement of pollutants in the country. In this study, the spatio-temporal characterization of PM10 concentration across the Emirate was analyzed utilizing geospatial interpolation, spanning the period between 2013 and 2017. The results suggest that the fluctuations of the PM10 concentration can be decomposed into three dominant types, each characterizing different spatial and temporal variations. First, the western region with PM10 showing a peak concentration during the summer season i.e., when the winds are predominantly northerlies or northwesterly, and a minimal concentration during the winter season. Second, the central region with the PM10 exhibiting a concentration surge in July-August, as a result of a mix of strong winds and high temperatures. Third, the eastern region with a low concentration of PM10. Seasonally, this component exhibits two concentration maxima during quarters 2 and 3 (summer), and two minima during quarters 1 and 4 (winter). Indeed, the seasonal variability of PM10 concentration in desertic countries like the UAE is closely linked to the seasonal variation of heat waves and dust storms, which are characteristic of the dryland climate. During the summer months, the UAE experiences high temperatures and arid conditions, creating favorable conditions for the formation of heat waves. Furthermore, it was noticed that the PM10 concentration also fluctuated markedly throughout the study period with anomalies detected in open desert areas and regions characterized by extensive industrial operations.

5.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39031991

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Individual-level social determinant of health (SDOH) measures alone may insufficiently explain disparities in edentulism among seniors. Therefore, the authors examined the correlation of census tract-level SDOH and residential racial segregation measures with edentulism in Californian adults aged ≥65 years old. METHODS: Explanatory variables were obtained from Healthy Places Index (HPI), the National Cancer Institute and diversitydatakids.org. The edentulism outcome variable was obtained from CDC's PLACES small area estimates from the 2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data. Pearson and Spearman rank correlations were estimated. Multiple linear regression and multi-collinearity evaluations were performed. The Global Moran's I statistic assessed partial autocorrelation within census tracts. RESULTS: Pearson and Spearman correlations were similar, supporting robustness. HPI, an area measure of advantage, strongly negatively correlated with edentulism prevalence [correlation coefficient: -0.87; 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.87, -0.86]. A change of 1.0 in HPI corresponded to an estimated decrease in edentulism prevalence of 5.9% (linear model adjusted R2 = 0.78). Racially segregated census tracts with Hispanics or Blacks alone were positively correlated with edentulism prevalence [0.60, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.62; and 0.33, 95% CI: 0.31, 0.35, respectively]. The converse was seen in census tracts with non-Hispanic Whites alone [-0.57, 95% CI: -0.58, -0.55]. Global Moran's I statistic for edentulism (0.13) and HPI scores (0.19) were significant (both p < .001) indicating geospatial autocorrelation. CONCLUSIONS: Higher disadvantage and minority racial segregation within census tracts were positively correlated with edentulism prevalence. Future research and policy should consider possible interventions improving SDOH to reduce oral health inequities.

6.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 15298, 2024 Jul 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38961179

ABSTRACT

Within the global architecture, engineering, and construction industry, the use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) technology has significantly expanded. However, given the unique characteristics of road infrastructure, the application of BIM technology is still being explored. This article focuses on the Yuanchen Expressway, exploring innovative applications of BIM technology in comprehensive construction management. The project employs advanced technologies, including BIM, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), and the Internet of Things (IoT), to precisely identify critical nodes and breakthroughs. Supported by a detailed BIM model and a multi-level, diversified digital management platform, the project effectively addresses construction challenges in multiple tunnels, bridges, and complex interchanges, achieving intelligent construction innovation throughout the Yuanchen Expressway with BIM technology. By guiding construction through BIM models, utilizing a BIM+GIS-based management cloud platform system, and employing VR safety briefings, the project effectively reduces the difficulty of communication and coordination in project management, shortens the project measurement cycle, improves on-site work efficiency, and ensures comprehensive control and safety management. This article provides an exemplary case for the application of full-line construction management using BIM technology in the highway sector both in China and globally, offering new perspectives and strategies for highway construction management.

7.
Prev Med ; 186: 108088, 2024 Jul 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39084414

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Fatal opioid-related overdoses (OOD) continue to be a leading cause of preventable death across the US. Opioid Overdose Education and Naloxone Distribution programs (OENDs) play a vital role in addressing morbidity and mortality associated with opioid use, but access to such services is often inequitable. We utilized a geographic information system (GIS) and spatial analytical methods to inform prioritized placement of OEND services in Massachusetts. METHODS: We obtained addresses for OEND sites from the Massachusetts Department of Public Health and address-level fatal OOD data for January 2019 to December 2021 from the Massachusetts Registry of Vital Records and Statistics. Using location-allocation approaches in ArcGIS Pro, we created p-median models using locations of existing OEND sites and fatal OOD counts to identify areas that should be prioritized for future OEND placement. Variables included in our analysis were transportation mode, distance from public schools, race and ethnicity, and location feasibility. RESULTS: Three Massachusetts communities - Athol, Dorchester, and Fitchburg - were identified as priority sites for new OEND locations using location-allocation models based on capacity to maximize OOD prevention. Communities identified by the models for OEND placement had similar demographics and overdose rates (42.8 per 100,000 vs 40.1 per 100,000 population) to communities with existing OEND programs but lower naloxone kit distribution rates (2589 doses per 100,000 vs 3704 doses per 100,000). Further models demonstrated differential access based on location and transportation. CONCLUSION: Our analyses identified key areas of Massachusetts with greatest need for OEND services. Further, these results demonstrate the utility of using spatial epidemiological methods to inform public health recommendations.

8.
Parasitol Res ; 123(7): 262, 2024 Jul 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38970660

ABSTRACT

Malaria poses a significant threat to global health, with particular severity in Nigeria. Understanding key factors influencing health outcomes is crucial for addressing health disparities. Disease mapping plays a vital role in assessing the geographical distribution of diseases and has been instrumental in epidemiological research. By delving into the spatiotemporal dynamics of malaria trends, valuable insights can be gained into population dynamics, leading to more informed spatial management decisions. This study focused on examining the evolution of malaria in Nigeria over twenty years (2000-2020) and exploring the impact of environmental factors on this variation. A 5-year-period raster map was developed using malaria indicator survey data for Nigeria's six geopolitical zones. Various spatial analysis techniques, such as point density, spatial autocorrelation, and hotspot analysis, were employed to analyze spatial patterns. Additionally, statistical methods, including Principal Component Analysis, Spearman correlation, and Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, were used to investigate relationships between indicators and develop a predictive model. The study revealed regional variations in malaria prevalence over time, with the highest number of cases concentrated in northern Nigeria. The raster map illustrated a shift in the distribution of malaria cases over the five years. Environmental factors such as the Enhanced Vegetation Index, annual land surface temperature, and precipitation exhibited a strong positive association with malaria cases in the OLS model. Conversely, insecticide-treated bed net coverage and mean temperature negatively correlated with malaria cases in the same model. The findings from this research provide valuable insights into the spatiotemporal patterns of malaria in Nigeria and highlight the significant role of environmental drivers in influencing disease transmission. This scientific knowledge can inform policymakers and aid in developing targeted interventions to combat malaria effectively.


Subject(s)
Geographic Information Systems , Malaria , Spatio-Temporal Analysis , Nigeria/epidemiology , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/transmission , Humans , Prevalence
9.
PeerJ ; 12: e17408, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38948203

ABSTRACT

Background: Over the last few decades, diabetes-related mortality risks (DRMR) have increased in Florida. Although there is evidence of geographic disparities in pre-diabetes and diabetes prevalence, little is known about disparities of DRMR in Florida. Understanding these disparities is important for guiding control programs and allocating health resources to communities most at need. Therefore, the objective of this study was to investigate geographic disparities and temporal changes of DRMR in Florida. Methods: Retrospective mortality data for deaths that occurred from 2010 to 2019 were obtained from the Florida Department of Health. Tenth International Classification of Disease codes E10-E14 were used to identify diabetes-related deaths. County-level mortality risks were computed and presented as number of deaths per 100,000 persons. Spatial Empirical Bayesian (SEB) smoothing was performed to adjust for spatial autocorrelation and the small number problem. High-risk spatial clusters of DRMR were identified using Tango's flexible spatial scan statistics. Geographic distribution and high-risk mortality clusters were displayed using ArcGIS, whereas seasonal patterns were visually represented in Excel. Results: A total of 54,684 deaths were reported during the study period. There was an increasing temporal trend as well as seasonal patterns in diabetes mortality risks with high risks occurring during the winter. The highest mortality risk (8.1 per 100,000 persons) was recorded during the winter of 2018, while the lowest (6.1 per 100,000 persons) was in the fall of 2010. County-level SEB smoothed mortality risks varied by geographic location, ranging from 12.6 to 81.1 deaths per 100,000 persons. Counties in the northern and central parts of the state tended to have high mortality risks, whereas southern counties consistently showed low mortality risks. Similar to the geographic distribution of DRMR, significant high-risk spatial clusters were also identified in the central and northern parts of Florida. Conclusion: Geographic disparities of DRMR exist in Florida, with high-risk spatial clusters being observed in rural central and northern areas of the state. There is also evidence of both increasing temporal trends and Winter peaks of DRMR. These findings are helpful for guiding allocation of resources to control the disease, reduce disparities, and improve population health.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Humans , Florida/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Female , Male , Bayes Theorem , Health Status Disparities , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Seasons , Aged , Adult
11.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e54250, 2024 Jun 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38904997

ABSTRACT

Geospatial data reporting from surveillance and immunization efforts is a key aspect of the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Polio Eradication Initiative in Africa. These activities are coordinated through the WHO Regional Office for Africa Geographic Information Systems Centre. To ensure the accuracy of field-collected data, the WHO Regional Office for Africa Geographic Information Systems Centre has developed mobile phone apps such as electronic surveillance (eSURV) and integrated supportive supervision (ISS) geospatial data collection programs. While eSURV and ISS have played a vital role in efforts to eradicate polio and control other communicable diseases in Africa, disease surveillance efforts have been hampered by incomplete and inaccurate listings of health care sites throughout the continent. To address this shortcoming, data compiled from eSURV and ISS are being used to develop, update, and validate a Health Facility master list for the WHO African region that contains comprehensive listings of the names, locations, and types of health facilities in each member state. The WHO and Ministry of Health field officers are responsible for documenting and transmitting the relevant geospatial location information regarding health facilities and traditional medicine sites using the eSURV and ISS form; this information is then used to update the Health Facility master list and is also made available to national ministries of health to update their respective health facility lists. This consolidation of health facility information into a single registry is expected to improve disease surveillance and facilitate epidemiologic research for the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, as well as aid public health efforts directed at other diseases across the African continent. This review examines active surveillance using eSURV at the district, country, and regional levels, highlighting its role in supporting polio surveillance and immunization efforts, as well as its potential to serve as a fundamental basis for broader public health initiatives and research throughout Africa.


Subject(s)
Health Facilities , Poliomyelitis , World Health Organization , Humans , Poliomyelitis/epidemiology , Poliomyelitis/prevention & control , Africa/epidemiology , Health Facilities/statistics & numerical data , Population Surveillance/methods , Geographic Information Systems , Disease Eradication/methods
12.
Heliyon ; 10(11): e31585, 2024 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38828286

ABSTRACT

The concept of ecotourism has experienced a significant surge in popularity over the past two decades, primarily driven by the multitude of adverse impacts associated with mass tourism. The objective of the study was to develop a comprehensive ecotourism suitability index to guide policymakers in implementing tourism development policies. Given the considerable appeal of the study area to both local and international tourists, it is essential to conduct a systematic evaluation to pinpoint suitable areas for ecotourism development. This necessity arises from the study area's placement within a fragile ecosystem and its proximity to a UNESCO World Heritage site. We employed a Geographic Information Systems (GIS) integrated environment coupled with a fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methodology. The GIS-MCDA integrated framework leverages the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and a weighted linear combination that seeks to amalgamate many features and criteria to assess ecotourism potential by integrating 20 criteria into six separate categories: landscape, topography, accessibility, climate, forest and wildlife, and negative factors. Weights were allocated to each criterion and factor based on the expert's opinions of their impact on the development of ecotourism. The final ecotourism suitability index comprised five unique classes: very high, high, moderate, less, and not suitable. Results reveal that out of the total areas, 45.4 % (259 km2) are within the high and very high suitable classes. The sensitivity analysis suggested that ecotourism potentials are more favorable to forest and accessibility variables. The generated index can be utilized as a road map since validation verified a 64 % accuracy. Given the dearth of earlier research, this study provides vital support for the development of sustainable ecotourism projects in the study area.

13.
Public Health Rev ; 45: 1606624, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38846333

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This paper systematically reviews how spatial analysis has been used to measure relationships between access to the built environment and Allostatic Load (AL) or biomarkers relevant to the stress pathway. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) facilitate objective measurement of built environment access that may explain unequal health outcomes linked to living in stressful environments. Methods: Systematic review, search date 13 July 2022 with methods published a priori. Included studies that quantitatively assessed associations between GIS measures of neighborhood attributes and biomarkers of stress. Results: 23 studies from 14 countries were included having used GIS measures to assess relationships between access to the built environment and biomarkers relevant to AL, with 17 being cross-sectional and 6 longitudinal. Just 2 studies explicitly assessed associations between GIS measures and AL, but 21 explored biomarkers relevant to the stress pathway. GIS was used to calculate density (how much of x within y) and proximity (how far from a to b) measures. Conclusion: GIS measures of greenspace, the food environment, area-level demographics, and land-use measures were found to influence biomarkers relevant to the stress pathway, highlighting the utility of this approach. GIS use is extremely limited when measuring the built environment and its influence on AL but has been widely used to consider effects on individual biomarkers of stress. Systematic Review Registration: [https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=348355], identifier [CRD42022348355].

14.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(6): ofae311, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38933739

ABSTRACT

Background: Early identification of newborns with congenital cytomegalovirus (CMV) is necessary to provide antiviral therapy and other interventions that can improve outcomes. Prior research demonstrates that universal newborn CMV screening would be the most cost-effective approach to identifying newborns who are infected. CMV is not uniformly prevalent, and it is uncertain whether universal screening would remain cost-effective in lower-prevalence neighborhoods. Our aim was to identify geographic heterogeneity in the cost-effectiveness of universal newborn CMV screening by combining a geospatial analysis with a preexisting cost-effectiveness analysis. Methods: This study used the CMV testing results and zip code location data of 96 785 newborns in 7 metropolitan areas who had been tested for CMV as part of the CMV and Hearing Multicenter Screening study. A hierarchical bayesian generalized additive model was constructed to evaluate geographic variability in the odds of CMV. The zip code-level odds of CMV were then used to weight the results of a previously published model evaluating universal CMV screening vs symptom-targeted screening. Results: The odds of CMV were heterogeneous over large geographic scales, with the highest odds in the southeastern United States. Universal screening was more cost-effective and afforded more averted cases of severe hearing loss than targeted testing. Universal screening remained the most cost-effective option even in areas with the lowest CMV prevalence. Conclusions: Universal newborn CMV screening is cost-effective regardless of underlying CMV prevalence and is the preferred strategy to reduce morbidity from congenital CMV.

15.
J Nutr ; 154(7): 2300-2314, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38795742

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Few national studies across the United States' rural-urban continuum examine neighborhood effects on snacks and sweets intake among adults. OBJECTIVES: This study examines associations of urbanicity/rurality-tailored measures of food store availability and neighborhood socioeconomic status (NSES) with the intake of snacks and sweets in a national sample of middle and older age adults. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used food frequency questionnaire data collected in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study (N = 21,204). What We Eat in America food group categorizations guided outcome classification into 1 main category (total snacks and sweets) and 4 subcategories (savory snacks and crackers; sweet bakery products; candy and desserts; nutrition bars and low-fat snacks and sweets). NSES and food store availability were determined using geographic information systems. Food store availability was characterized as geographic access to primary food stores (e.g., supermarkets, supercenters, and select food retailers) in urbanicity/rurality-tailored neighborhood-based buffers. Multiple linear regression was used to predict each outcome. RESULTS: Living in neighborhoods with a high density of primary food stores was associated with 8.6%, 9.5%, and 5.8% lower intake of total snacks and sweets, sweet bakery products, and candy and desserts, respectively. Living in the highest NSES quartile was associated with 11.3%, 5.8%, and 18.9% lower intake of total snacks and sweets, savory snacks and crackers, and sweet bakery products, respectively. Depending on primary food store availability, higher household income was associated with significantly greater intake of nutrition bars and low-fat snacks and sweets. Living in a United States Department of Agriculture-defined food desert was not associated with intake. CONCLUSIONS: In a geographically diverse sample of middle and older age United States adults, living in neighborhoods with no primary food stores or neighborhoods of low-SES was associated with higher intake of total snacks and sweets and subgroups of snacks and sweets.


Subject(s)
Residence Characteristics , Snacks , Humans , Middle Aged , Female , Male , Cross-Sectional Studies , United States , Aged , Social Environment , Food Supply/statistics & numerical data , Built Environment , Diet , Stroke/epidemiology
16.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(20): e168, 2024 May 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38804012

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: South Korea faces a critical challenge with its rapidly declining fertility rates and an increasingly aging population, which significantly impacts the country's blood supply and demand. Despite these nationwide trends, regional disparities in blood supply and demand have not been thoroughly studied. METHODS: This research utilized blood donation data from the Korean Red Cross and blood transfusion data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. We analyzed these datasets in conjunction with regional population projections to simulate blood supply and demand from 2021 to 2050 across South Korea. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of various factors, including the number of donors, age eligibility criteria for donations, frequency of donations, and blood discard rates. RESULTS: Our projections indicate a decreasing trend in blood supply, from 2.6 million units in 2021 to 1.4 million units by 2050, while demand is expected to peak at 5.1 million units by 2045 before declining. Metropolitan areas, particularly Gyeonggi Province, are projected to experience the most severe shortages. Sensitivity analyses suggest that increasing the donation frequency of existing donors and relaxing age eligibility criteria are more effective strategies in addressing these imbalances than merely increasing the number of new donors. Blood discard rates showed minimal impact on the overall blood shortage. CONCLUSION: The findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted strategies to mitigate national and regional blood supply shortages in South Korea. Encouraging frequent donations from experienced donors and broadening eligibility criteria are critical steps toward stabilizing the blood supply amidst demographic shifts. These strategies must be prioritized to address the impending regional disparities in blood availability.


Subject(s)
Blood Donors , Humans , Republic of Korea , Blood Donors/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Middle Aged , Female , Male , Adolescent , Young Adult , Aged
17.
Stroke ; 55(6): 1507-1516, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787926

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delays in hospital presentation limit access to acute stroke treatments. While prior research has focused on patient-level factors, broader ecological and social determinants have not been well studied. We aimed to create a geospatial map of prehospital delay and examine the role of community-level social vulnerability. METHODS: We studied patients with ischemic stroke who arrived by emergency medical services in 2015 to 2017 from the American Heart Association Get With The Guidelines-Stroke registry. The primary outcome was time to hospital arrival after stroke (in minutes), beginning at last known well in most cases. Using Geographic Information System mapping, we displayed the geography of delay. We then used Cox proportional hazard models to study the relationship between community-level factors and arrival time (adjusted hazard ratios [aHR] <1.0 indicate delay). The primary exposure was the social vulnerability index (SVI), a metric of social vulnerability for every ZIP Code Tabulation Area ranging from 0.0 to 1.0. RESULTS: Of 750 336 patients, 149 145 met inclusion criteria. The mean age was 73 years, and 51% were female. The median time to hospital arrival was 140 minutes (Q1: 60 minutes, Q3: 458 minutes). The geospatial map revealed that many zones of delay overlapped with socially vulnerable areas (https://harvard-cga.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=08f6e885c71b457f83cefc71013bcaa7). Cox models (aHR, 95% CI) confirmed that higher SVI, including quartiles 3 (aHR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.93-0.98]) and 4 (aHR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.91-0.95]), was associated with delay. Patients from SVI quartile 4 neighborhoods arrived 15.6 minutes [15-16.2] slower than patients from SVI quartile 1. Specific SVI themes associated with delay were a community's socioeconomic status (aHR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.74-0.85]) and housing type and transportation (aHR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.84-0.94]). CONCLUSIONS: This map of acute stroke presentation times shows areas with a high incidence of delay. Increased social vulnerability characterizes these areas. Such places should be systematically targeted to improve population-level stroke presentation times.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Registries , Time-to-Treatment , Humans , Female , Male , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Middle Aged , Stroke/therapy , Stroke/epidemiology , Ischemic Stroke/therapy , Ischemic Stroke/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
18.
Vet Sci ; 11(5)2024 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38787192

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Bovine tuberculosis is a zoonotic disease of significant impact, particularly in countries where a pastoral economy is predominant. Despite its importance, few studies have analysed the disease's behaviour in Colombia, and none have developed maps using geographic information systems (GIS) to characterise it; as such, we developed this study to describe the temporal-spatial distribution of bovine tuberculosis in Colombia over a period of 19 years. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional descriptive study, based on reports by the Colombian Agricultural Institute (ICA), surveillance of tuberculosis on cattle farms in Colombia from 2001 to 2019 was carried out. The data were converted into databases using Microsoft Access 365®, and multiple epidemiological maps were generated with the QGIS® version 3.36 software coupled to shape files of all the country's departments. RESULTS: During the study period, 5273 bovine tuberculosis cases were identified in multiple different departments of Colombia (with a mean of 278 cases/year). Regarding its temporal distribution, the number of cases varied from a maximum of 903 cases (17.12% of the total) in 2015 to a minimum of 0 between 2001 and 2004 and between 2017 and 2019 (between 2005 and 2016, the minimum was 46 cases, 0.87%). CONCLUSIONS: GIS are essential for understanding the temporospatial behaviour of zoonotic diseases in Colombia, as is the case for bovine tuberculosis, with its potential implications for the Human and One Health approaches.

19.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(6): 507, 2024 May 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703253

ABSTRACT

The mangrove forest in Macajalar Bay is regarded as an important coastal ecosystem since it provides numerous ecosystem services. Despite their importance, the clearing of mangroves has been rampant and has reached critical rates. Addressing this problem and further advancing its conservation require accurate mangrove mapping. However, current spatial information related to mangroves is sparse and insufficient to understand the historical change dynamics. In this study, the synergy of 1950 vegetation maps and Landsat images was explored to provide multidecadal monitoring of mangrove forest change dynamics in Macajalar Bay, Philippines. Vegetation maps containing the 1950 mangrove extent and Landsat images were used as input data to monitor the rates of loss over 70 years. In 2020, the mangrove forest cover was estimated to be 201.73 ha, equivalent to only 61.99% of the 325.43 ha that was estimated in 1950. Between 1950 and 2020, net mangrove loss in Macajalar Bay totaled 324.29 ha. The highest clearing rates occurred between 1950 and 1990 when it recorded a total of 258.51 ha, averaging 6.46 ha/year. The original mangrove forest that existed in 1950 only represents 8.56% of the 2020 extent, suggesting that much of the old-growth mangrove had been cleared before 2000 and the existing mangrove forest is mainly composed of secondary mangrove forest stands. Across Macajalar Bay, intensified clearing that happened between 1950 and 1990 has been driven by large-scale aquaculture developments. Mangrove gains on the other hand were evident and have increased the total extent by 79.84 ha since 2000 as a result of several afforestation programs. However, approximately half of these gains that were observed since 2010 exhibited low canopy cover. As of writing, approximately 85% of the 2020 mangrove forest stands fall outside the 1950 original mangrove extent. Examining the viability of the original mangrove forest for mangrove reforestation together with promoting site-species matching, and biophysical assessment are necessary undertakings to advance current mangrove conservation initiatives in Macajalar Bay.


Subject(s)
Conservation of Natural Resources , Environmental Monitoring , Geographic Information Systems , Remote Sensing Technology , Wetlands , Philippines , Bays , Ecosystem
20.
Sci Total Environ ; 937: 173396, 2024 Aug 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38796014

ABSTRACT

Costa Rica is at the forefront of environmental conservation in Central America, with its focus on sustainability and green practices. Building on this foundation, the country joins a cohort of middle-income developing countries that have set forth ambitious goals to eliminate plastic pollution and become plastics-free. Recycling remains one of the most effective ways of removing plastic waste from the environment. Although GIS has been utilized in environmental research, its use is still expanding in developing countries of the Global South. These countries are experiencing unprecedented adverse climate and ecological impacts while also pursuing fundamental socioeconomic growth. The application of more cost-effective and strategic technological solutions, as well as data-driven decision-making, could fast-track the achievement of their urgent environmental goals. Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) analysis, this study applies hot spot, location-allocation, and time-distance measures to examine Costa Rica's capacity to recycle plastic waste. Focusing specifically on availability and the public's access to recycling facilities, this article offers insights into the resource constraints and evolution of plastics governance in developing countries with environmentally-focused priorities. The findings of this study suggest that while Costa Rica is implementing progressive plastics regulatory policies, the ability to achieve plastics-free status is hampered by shortfalls in the number and distribution of recycling facilities and the public's access to recycling services. Expanding recycling infrastructure, including transportation, and adopting a less canton-centric waste administration system could contribute to resolving these challenges. This study contributes to discourses on global plastics governance and environmental change management in the Global South.


Subject(s)
Environmental Pollution , Geographic Information Systems , Plastics , Recycling , Costa Rica , Plastics/analysis , Environmental Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Spatial Analysis , Conservation of Natural Resources/methods , Environmental Monitoring
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