Establishment and risk factor assessment of the abnormal body temperature probability prediction model (ABTP) for dairy cattle.

The study aims to develop an abnormal body temperature probability (ABTP) model for dairy cattle, utilizing environmental and physiological data. This model is designed to enhance the management of heat stress impacts, providing an early warning system for farm managers to improve dairy cattle welfare and farm productivity in response to climate change. The study employs the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm to analyze environmental and physiological data from 320 dairy cattle, identifying key factors influencing body temperature anomalies. This method supports the development of various models, including the Lyman Kutcher-Burman (LKB), Logistic, Schultheiss, and Poisson models, which are evaluated for their ability to predict abnormal body temperatures in dairy cattle effectively. The study successfully validated multiple models to predict abnormal body temperatures in dairy cattle, with a focus on the temperature-humidity index (THI) as a critical determinant. These models, including LKB, Logistic, Schultheiss, and Poisson, demonstrated high accuracy, as measured by the AUC and other performance metrics such as the Brier score and Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test. The results highlight the robustness of the models in capturing the nuances of heat stress impacts on dairy cattle. The research develops innovative models for managing heat stress in dairy cattle, effectively enhancing detection and intervention strategies. By integrating advanced technologies and novel predictive models, the study offers effective measures for early detection and management of abnormal body temperatures, improving cattle welfare and farm productivity in changing climatic conditions. This approach highlights the importance of using multiple models to accurately predict and address heat stress in livestock, making significant contributions to enhancing farm management practices.

Spatial prediction of plant invasion using a hybrid of machine learning and geostatistical method.

Modeling ecological patterns and processes often involve large-scale and complex high-dimensional spatial data. Due to the nonlinearity and multicollinearity of ecological data, traditional geostatistical methods have faced great challenges in model accuracy. As machine learning has increased our ability to construct models on big data, the main focus of the study is to propose the use of statistical models that hybridize machine learning and spatial interpolation methods to cope with increasingly large-scale and complex ecological data. Here, two machine learning algorithms, boosted regression tree (BRT) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), were combined with ordinary kriging (OK) to model plant invasions across the eastern United States. The accuracies of the hybrid models and conventional models were evaluated by 10-fold cross-validation. Based on an invasive plants dataset of 15 ecoregions across the eastern United States, the results showed that the hybrid algorithms were significantly better at predicting plant invasion when compared to commonly used algorithms in terms of RMSE and paired-samples t-test (with the p-value < .0001). Besides, the additional aspect of the combined algorithms is to have the ability to select influential variables associated with the establishment of invasive cover, which cannot be achieved by conventional geostatistics. Higher accuracy in the prediction of large-scale biological invasions improves our understanding of the ecological conditions that lead to the establishment and spread of plants into novel habitats across spatial scales. The results demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the hybrid BRTOK and LASOK that can be used to analyze large-scale and high-dimensional spatial datasets, and it has offered an optional source of models for spatial interpolation of ecology properties. It will also provide a better basis for management decisions in early-detection modeling of invasive species.

Analysis of gene expression in microglial apoptotic cell clearance following spinal cord injury based on machine learning algorithms.

Spinal cord injury (SCI) is a severe neurological complication following spinal fracture, which has long posed a challenge for clinicians. Microglia play a dual role in the pathophysiological process after SCI, both beneficial and detrimental. The underlying mechanisms of microglial actions following SCI require further exploration. The present study combined three different machine learning algorithms, namely weighted gene co-expression network analysis, random forest analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis, to screen for differentially expressed genes in the GSE96055 microglia dataset after SCI. It then used protein-protein interaction networks and gene set enrichment analysis with single genes to investigate the key genes and signaling pathways involved in microglial function following SCI. The results indicated that microglia not only participate in neuroinflammation but also serve a significant role in the clearance mechanism of apoptotic cells following SCI. Notably, bioinformatics analysis and lipopolysaccharide + UNC569 (a MerTK-specific inhibitor) stimulation of BV2 cell experiments showed that the expression levels of Anxa2, Myo1e and Spp1 in microglia were significantly upregulated following SCI, thus potentially involved in regulating the clearance mechanism of apoptotic cells. The present study suggested that Anxa2, Myo1e and Spp1 may serve as potential targets for the future treatment of SCI and provided a theoretical basis for the development of new methods and drugs for treating SCI.

Construction of the prediction model for multiple myeloma based on machine learning.

INTRODUCTION: The global burden of multiple myeloma (MM) is increasing every year. Here, we have developed machine learning models to provide a reference for the early detection of MM. METHODS: A total of 465 patients and 150 healthy controls were enrolled in this retrospective study. Based on the variable screening strategy of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), three prediction models, logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF), were established combining complete blood count (CBC) and cell population data (CPD) parameters in the training set (210 cases), and were verified in the validation set (90 cases) and test set (165 cases). The performance of each model was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) were applied to evaluate the models. Delong test was used to compare the AUC of the models. RESULTS: Six parameters including RBC (1012/L), RDW-CV (%), IG (%), NE-WZ, LY-WX, and LY-WZ were screened out by LASSO to construct the model. Among the three models, the AUC of RF model in the training set, validation set, and test set were 0.956, 0.892, and 0.875, which were higher than those of LR model (0.901, 0.849, and 0.858) and SVM model (0.929, 0.868, and 0.846). Delong test showed that there were significant differences among the models in the training set, no significant differences in the validation set, and significant differences only between SVM and RF models in the test set. The calibration curve and DCA showed that the three models had good validity and feasibility, and the RF model performed best. CONCLUSION: The proposed RF model may be a useful auxiliary tool for rapid screening of MM patients.

Predicting Acupuncture Efficacy in Chronic Prostatitis/Chronic Pelvic Pain Syndrome: A Study on Model Development and Result Visualization.

INTRODUCTION: Acupuncture is one of primary treatment options for chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome (CP/CPPS), but its efficacy varies among patients. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the efficacy of acupuncture in CP/CPPS. METHODS: This study enrolled 220 patients with CP/CPPS who received acupuncture. Patients were divided into a responder group and nonresponder group based on the reduction in the National Institutes of Health Chronic Prostatitis Symptom Index (NIH-CPSI). Potential variables were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and a nomogram was established using the multivariable logistic regression model. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves. RESULTS: Two Hundred Twenty men were randomly assigned to the training cohort (n = 154) and the internal test cohort (n = 66). The developed nomogram included age, current drinking status, sedentary lifestyle, habit of staying up late, expectations for acupuncture, comorbidities, NIH-CPSI pain subscale and total scores. The area under the curve of the prediction model was 0.777 (95% CI: 0.702-0.851) in the training cohort, 0.752 (95% CI: 0.616-0.888) in the internal test cohort, demonstrating satisfactory discriminative ability as indicated by the calibration curve. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram accurately identified CP/CPPS patients who would benefit from acupuncture. Factors such as youth, abstention from alcohol, avoiding sedentary habits and staying up late, having high expectations for acupuncture, being free from comorbidities, and baseline high scores on both the NIH-CPSI pain subscale and total scores may positively affect the efficacy of acupuncture. Further validation of our findings requires multicenter and large-sample prospective studies.

External Validation of Updated Prediction Models for Neurological Outcomes at 90 Days in Patients With Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

BACKGROUND: Few prediction models for individuals with early-stage out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have undergone external validation. This study aimed to externally validate updated prediction models for OHCA outcomes using a large nationwide dataset. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a secondary analysis of the JAAM-OHCA (Comprehensive Registry of In-Hospital Intensive Care for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival and the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest) registry. Previously developed prediction models for patients with cardiac arrest who achieved the return of spontaneous circulation were updated. External validation was conducted using data from 56 institutions from the JAAM-OHCA registry. The primary outcome was a dichotomized 90-day cerebral performance category score. Two models were updated using the derivation set (n=3337). Model 1 included patient demographics, prehospital information, and the initial rhythm upon hospital admission; Model 2 included information obtained in the hospital immediately after the return of spontaneous circulation. In the validation set (n=4250), Models 1 and 2 exhibited a C-statistic of 0.945 (95% CI, 0.935-0.955) and 0.958 (95% CI, 0.951-0.960), respectively. Both models were well-calibrated to the observed outcomes. The decision curve analysis showed that Model 2 demonstrated higher net benefits at all risk thresholds than Model 1. A web-based calculator was developed to estimate the probability of poor outcomes (https://pcas-prediction.shinyapps.io/90d_lasso/). CONCLUSIONS: The updated models offer valuable information to medical professionals in the prediction of long-term neurological outcomes for patients with OHCA, potentially playing a vital role in clinical decision-making processes.

Identifying long-term survivors and those at higher or lower risk of relapse among patients with cytogenetically normal acute myeloid leukemia using a high-dimensional mixture cure model.

Patients with cytogenetically normal acute myeloid leukemia (CN-AML) may harbor prognostically relevant gene mutations and thus be categorized into one of the three 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) genetic-risk groups. Nevertheless, there remains heterogeneity with respect to relapse-free survival (RFS) within these genetic-risk groups. Our training set included 306 adults on Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology studies with de novo CN-AML aged < 60 years who achieved a complete remission and for whom centrally reviewed cytogenetics, RNA-sequencing, and gene mutation data from diagnostic samples were available (Alliance trial A152010). To overcome deficiencies of the Cox proportional hazards model when long-term survivors are present, we developed a penalized semi-parametric mixture cure model (MCM) to predict RFS where RNA-sequencing data comprised the predictor space. To validate model performance, we employed an independent test set from the German Acute Myeloid Leukemia Cooperative Group (AMLCG) consisting of 40 de novo CN-AML patients aged < 60 years who achieved a complete remission and had RNA-sequencing of their pre-treatment sample. For the training set, there was a significant non-zero cure fraction (p = 0.019) with 28.5% of patients estimated to be cured. Our MCM included 112 genes associated with cure, or long-term RFS, and 87 genes associated with latency, or shorter-term time-to-relapse. The area under the curve and C-statistic were respectively, 0.947 and 0.783 for our training set and 0.837 and 0.718 for our test set. We identified a novel, prognostically relevant molecular signature in CN-AML, which allows identification of patient subgroups independent of 2022 ELN genetic-risk groups.Trial registration Data from companion studies CALGB 8461, 9665 and 20202 (trials registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as, respectively, NCT00048958, NCT00899223, and NCT00900224) were obtained from Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology under data sharing study A152010. Data from the AMLCG 2008 trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01382147.

Further Clarification of Pain Management Complexity in Radiotherapy: Insights from Modern Statistical Approaches.

BACKGROUND: The primary objective of this study was to assess the adequacy of analgesic care in radiotherapy (RT) patients, with a secondary objective to identify predictive variables associated with pain management adequacy using a modern statistical approach, integrating the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm and the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis. METHODS: This observational, multicenter cohort study involved 1387 patients reporting pain or taking analgesic drugs from 13 RT departments in Italy. The Pain Management Index (PMI) served as the measure for pain control adequacy, with a PMI score < 0 indicating suboptimal management. Patient demographics, clinical status, and treatment-related factors were examined to discern the predictors of pain management adequacy. RESULTS: Among the analyzed cohort, 46.1% reported inadequately managed pain. Non-cancer pain origin, breast cancer diagnosis, higher ECOG Performance Status scores, younger patient age, early assessment phase, and curative treatment intent emerged as significant determinants of negative PMI from the LASSO analysis. Notably, pain management was observed to improve as RT progressed, with a greater discrepancy between cancer (33.2% with PMI < 0) and non-cancer pain (73.1% with PMI < 0). Breast cancer patients under 70 years of age with non-cancer pain had the highest rate of negative PMI at 86.5%, highlighting a potential deficiency in managing benign pain in younger patients. CONCLUSIONS: The study underscores the dynamic nature of pain management during RT, suggesting improvements over the treatment course yet revealing specific challenges in non-cancer pain management, particularly among younger breast cancer patients. The use of advanced statistical techniques for analysis stresses the importance of a multifaceted approach to pain management, one that incorporates both cancer and non-cancer pain considerations to ensure a holistic and improved quality of oncological care.

Establishment and verification of a prediction model based on clinical characteristics and computed tomography radiomics parameters for distinguishing benign and malignant pulmonary nodules.

Background: The radiographic classification of pulmonary nodules into benign versus malignant categories is a pivotal component of early lung cancer diagnosis. The present study aimed to investigate clinical and computed tomography (CT) clinical-radiomics nomogram for preoperative differentiation of benign and malignant pulmonary nodules. Methods: This retrospective study included 342 patients with pulmonary nodules who underwent high-resolution CT (HRCT) examination. We assigned them to a training dataset (n=239) and a validation dataset (n=103). There are 1781 tumor characteristics quantified by extracted features from the lesion segmented from patients' CT images. The features with poor reproducibility and high redundancy were removed. Then a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model with 10-fold cross-validation was used to further select features and build radiomics signatures. The independent predictive factors were identified by multivariate logistic regression. A radiomics nomogram was developed to predict the malignant probability. The performance and clinical utility of the clinical-radiomics nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: After dimension reduction by the LASSO algorithm and multivariate logistic regression, four radiomic features were selected, including original_shape_Sphericity, exponential_glcm_Maximum Probability, log_sigma_2_0_mm_3D_glcm_Maximum Probability, and ogarithm_firstorder_90Percentile. Multivariate logistic regression showed that carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) [odds ratio (OR) 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40 (1.09-1.88)], CT rad score [OR (95% CI): 2.74 (2.03-3.85)], and cytokeratin-19-fragment (CYFRA21-1) [OR (95% CI): 1.80 (1.14-2.94)] were independent influencing factors of malignant pulmonary nodule (all P<0.05). The clinical-radiomics nomogram combining CEA, CYFRA21-1 and radiomics features achieved an area of curve (AUC) of 0.85 and 0.76 in the training group and verification group for the prediction of malignant pulmonary nodules. The clinical-radiomics nomogram demonstrated excellent agreement and practicality, as evidenced by the calibration curve and DCA. Conclusions: The clinical-radiomics nomogram combined of CT-based radiomics signature, along with CYFRA21-1 and CEA, demonstrated strong predictive ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness in distinguishing between benign and malignant pulmonary nodules. The use of CT-based radiomics has the potential to assist clinicians in making informed decisions prior to biopsy or surgery while avoiding unnecessary treatment for non-cancerous lesions.

Association of exposure to multiple perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances and glucose metabolism in National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2018.

Objective: To investigate the relationships between perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) exposure and glucose metabolism indices. Methods: Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-2018 waves were used. A total of 611 participants with information on serum PFASs (perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA); perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA); perfluoroundecanoic acid (PFUA); perfluorohexane sulfonic acid (PFHxS); perfluorooctane sulfonates acid (PFOS); perfluorodecanoic acid (PFDeA)), glucose metabolism indices (fasting plasma glucose (FPG), homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and insulin) as well as selected covariates were included. We used cluster analysis to categorize the participants into three exposure subgroups and compared glucose metabolism index levels between the subgroups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), multiple linear regression analysis and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) were used to assess the effects of single and mixed PFASs exposures and glucose metabolism. Results: The cluster analysis results revealed overlapping exposure types among people with higher PFASs exposure. As the level of PFAS exposure increased, FPG level showed an upward linear trend (p < 0.001), whereas insulin levels demonstrated a downward linear trend (p = 0.012). LASSO and multiple linear regression analysis showed that PFNA and FPG had a positive relationship (>50 years-old group: ß = 0.059, p < 0.001). PFOA, PFUA, and PFHxS (≤50 years-old group: insulin ß = -0.194, p < 0.001, HOMA-IR ß = -0.132, p = 0.020) showed negative correlation with HOMA-IR/insulin. PFNA (>50 years-old group: insulin ß = 0.191, p = 0.018, HOMA-IR ß = 0.220, p = 0.013) showed positive correlation with HOMA-IR/insulin, which was essentially the same as results that obtained for the univariate exposure-response map in the BKMR model. Association of exposure to PFASs on glucose metabolism indices showed positive interactions between PFOS and PFHxS and negative interactions between PFOA and PFNA/PFOS/PFHxS. Conclusion: Our study provides evidence that positive and negative correlations between PFASs and FPG and HOMA-IR/insulin levels are observed, respectively. Combined effects and interactions between PFASs. Given the higher risk of glucose metabolism associated with elevated levels of PFAS, future studies are needed to explore the potential underlying mechanisms.

Chest CT radiomics is feasible in evaluating bone changes in chronic kidney diseases.

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive imaging methods are still lacking for evaluating bone changes in chronic kidney diseases (CKD). PURPOSE: To investigate the feasibility of chest CT radiomics in evaluating bone changes caused by CKD. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In total, 75 patients with stage 1 CKD (CKD1) and 75 with stage 5 CKD (CKD5) were assessed using the chest CT radiomics method. Radiomics features of bone were obtained using 3D Slicer software and were then compared between CKD1 and CKD5 cases. The methods of maximum correlation minimum redundancy (mRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to establish a prediction model to determine CKD. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the performance of the model. RESULTS: Cases of CKD1 and CKD5 differed in 40 radiomics features (P <0.05). Using the mRMR and LASSO methods, five features were finally selected to establish a predication model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model in the determination of CKD1 and CKD5 was 0.903 and 0.854, respectively, for the training and validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: Chest CT radiomics is feasible in evaluating bone changes caused by CKD.

A prognostic nomogram integrating carcinoembryonic antigen levels for predicting overall survival in elderly patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer.

Background: With the aging of the population, colorectal surgeons will have to face more elderly colorectal cancer (CRC) patients in the future. We aim to analyze independent risk factors affecting overall survival in elderly (age ≥65 years) patients with stage II-III CRC and construct a nomogram to predict patient survival. Methods: A total of 3,016 elderly CRC patients with stage II-III were obtained from the SEER database. Univariate Cox regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were used to screen independent prognostic factors, and a survival prediction nomogram was constructed based on the results. The consistency index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to compare the predictive ability between the nomogram and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage system. All patients were classified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on risk scores calculated by nomogram. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare the survival differences between two groups. Results: The 3- and 5-year area under the curve (AUC) values of the prediction nomogram model were 76.6% and 74.8%, respectively. The AIC, BIC, and C-index values of the nomogram model were 6,032.502, 15,728.72, and 0.707, respectively, which were better than the TNM staging system. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a significant survival difference between high-risk and low-risk groups (P<0.0001). Conclusions: We constructed a prediction nomogram for stage II-III elderly CRC patients by combining pre-treatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, which can accurately predict patient survival. This facilitates clinicians to accurately assess patient prognosis and identify high-risk patients to adopt more aggressive and effective treatment strategies.

A prognostic nomogram based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression in patients with pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma.

Background: Pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) is a rare subtype of breast cancer with a poor prognosis. Despite its rarity, it is important to gain a better understanding of the epidemiological, clinical, and prognostic features of pulmonary LCNEC. The purpose of this study was to design, construct, and validate a new nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) in patients with pulmonary LCNEC. Methods: In total, the data of 1,864 LCNEC patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, which is maintained by the National Cancer Institute in the United States and serves as a comprehensive source of cancer-related information. Of these patients, 556 served as the validation group and 1,308 served as the training cohort. We constructed a new nomogram with the training cohort that included the independent factors for OS as identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression. Five independent factors were ultimately selected by the stepwise regression. Every factor of the Cox regression was included in the nomogram. Analyses of the calibration curve, decision curve, area under the curve, and concordance index (C-index) values were performed to assess the effectiveness and discriminative ability of the nomogram. Results: Five optimal predictive factors for OS were selected and merged to construct a 3- and 5-year OS nomogram. The nomogram had C-index values of 0.716 and 0.708 in the training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. The actual OS rates and the calibration curves showing the predictions of the nomogram were in good agreement. Conclusions: The prognostic nomogram may be very helpful in estimating the OS of patients with pulmonary LCNEC.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for predicting post-discharge mortality risk in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI).

BACKGROUND: Accurately predicting post-discharge mortality risk in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) remains a complex and critical challenge. The primary objective of this study was to develop and validate a robust risk prediction model to assess the 12-month and 24-month mortality risk in STEMI patients after hospital discharge. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on 664 STEMI patients who underwent PPCI at Xiangtan Central Hospital Chest Pain Center between 2020 and 2022. The dataset was randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 464) and a validation cohort (n = 200) using a 7:3 ratio. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality following hospital discharge. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was employed to identify the optimal predictive variables. Based on these variables, a regression model was constructed to determine the significant predictors of mortality. The performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The prognostic model was developed based on the LASSO regression results and further validated using the independent validation cohort. LASSO regression identified five important predictors: age, Killip classification, B-type natriuretic peptide precursor (NTpro-BNP), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and the usage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ACEI/ARB/ARNI). The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) for the training and validation cohorts were 0.863 (95% CI: 0.792-0.934) and 0.888 (95% CI: 0.821-0.955), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for the training cohort at 12 months and 24 months was 0.785 (95% CI: 0.771-0.948) and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.772-0.940), respectively, while the corresponding values for the validation cohort were 0.864 (95% CI: 0.604-0.965) and 0.845 (95% CI: 0.705-0.951). These results confirm the stability and predictive accuracy of our model, demonstrating its reliable discriminative ability for post-discharge all-cause mortality risk. DCA analysis exhibited favorable net benefit of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: The developed nomogram shows potential as a tool for predicting post-discharge mortality in STEMI patients undergoing PPCI. However, its full utility awaits confirmation through broader external and temporal validation.

CDKN1A regulation on chondrogenic differentiation of human chondrocytes in osteoarthritis through single-cell and bulk sequencing analysis.

Objective: Chondrocyte death is the hallmark of cartilage degeneration during osteoarthritis (OA). However, the specific pathogenesis of cell death in OA chondrocytes has not been elucidated. This study aims to validate the role of CDKN1A, a key programmed cell death (PCD)-related gene, in chondrogenic differentiation using a combination of single-cell and bulk sequencing approaches. Design: OA-related RNA-seq data (GSE114007, GSE55235, GSE152805) were downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus database. PCD-related genes were obtained from GeneCards database. RNA-seq was performed to annotate the cell types in OA and control samples. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among those cell types (scRNA-DEGs) were screened. A nomogram of OA was constructed based on the featured genes, and potential drugs targeting the featured genes were predicted. The presence of key genes was confirmed using Real-Time Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-qPCR), Western blot (WB), and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Micromass culture and Alcian blue staining were used to determine the effect of CDKN1A on chondrogenesis. Results: Six cell types, namely HomC, HTC, RepC, preFC, FC, and RegC, were annotated in scRNA-seq data. Five featured genes (JUN, CDKN1A, HMGB2, DDIT3, and DDIT4) were screened by multiple biological information analysis methods. TAXOTERE had the highest ability to dock with DDIT3. Functional analysis indicated that CDKN1A was enriched in processes related to collagen catabolism and acts as a positive regulator of autophagy. Additionally, CDKN1A was found to be associated with several KEGG pathways, including those involved in acute myeloid leukemia and autoimmune thyroid disease. CDKN1A was confirmed down-regulated in the joint tissues of OA mouse model and OA model cell. Inhibiting the expression of CDKN1A can significantly suppress the differentiation of OA chondrocytes. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the critical role of CDKN1A in promoting cartilage formation in both in vivo and in vitro and suggest its potential as a therapeutic target for OA treatment.

Comprehensive Nomograms Using Routine Biomarkers Beyond Eosinophil Levels: Enhancing Predictability of Corticosteroid Treatment Outcomes in AECOPD.

Purpose: Patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) exhibit heterogeneous responses to corticosteroid treatment. We aimed to determine whether combining eosinophil levels with other routine clinical indicators can enhance the predictability of corticosteroid treatment outcomes and to come up with a scoring system. Patients and Methods: Consecutive patients admitted with AECOPD receiving corticosteroid treatment between July 2013 and March 2022 at Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Data on patients' demographics, smoking status, hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, comorbidities, blood laboratory tests, in-hospital treatment and clinical outcomes were collected. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and backward logistic regression were used for predictor selection, and predictive nomograms were developed. The discrimination and calibration of the nomograms were assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Internal validation was performed using the 500-bootstrap method, and clinical utility was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Among the 3254 patients included, 804 (24.7%) had treatment failure. A nomogram of eosinophils, platelets, C-reactive protein (CRP), low density lipoprotein cholesterol, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), hospitalization for AECOPD in the previous year, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed to predict treatment failure for patients with a smoking history. For patients without a smoking history, a nomogram of CRP, PNI, ischemic heart diseases and chronic hepatic disease was developed. Although the AUCs of these two nomograms were only 0.644 and 0.647 respectively, they were significantly superior to predictions based solely on blood eosinophil levels. Conclusion: We developed easy-to-use comprehensive nomograms utilizing readily available clinical biomarkers related to inflammation, nutrition and immunity, offering modestly enhanced predictive value for treatment outcomes in corticosteroid-treated patients with AECOPD. Further investigations into novel biomarkers and additional patient data are imperative to optimize the predictive performance.

Predictability comparison of sizing parameters for postoperative vault after implantable Collamer lens implantation.

PURPOSE: This study aims to assess the accuracy of three parameters (white-to-white distance [WTW], angle-to-angle [ATA], and sulcus-to-sulcus [STS]) in predicting postoperative vault and to formulate an optimized predictive model. METHODS: In this retrospective study, a cohort of 465 patients (comprising 769 eyes) who underwent the implantation of the V4c implantable Collamer lens with a central port (ICL) for myopia correction was examined. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and classification models were used to predict postoperative vault. The influences of WTW, ATA, and STS on predicting the postoperative vault and ICL size were analyzed and compared. RESULTS: The dataset was randomly divided into training (80%) and test (20%) sets, with no significant differences observed between them. The screened variables included only seven variables which conferred the largest signal in the model, namely, lens thickness (LT, estimated coefficients for logistic least absolute shrinkage of -0.20), STS (-0.04), size (0.08), flat K (-0.006), anterior chamber depth (0.15), spherical error (-0.006), and cylindrical error (-0.0008). The optimal prediction model depended on STS (R2=0.419, RMSE=0.139), whereas the least effective prediction model relied on WTW (R2=0.395, RMSE=0.142). In the classified prediction models of the vault, classification prediction of the vault based on STS exhibited superior accuracy compared to ATA or WTW. CONCLUSIONS: This study compared the capabilities of WTW, ATA, and STS in predicting postoperative vault, demonstrating that STS exhibits a stronger correlation than the other two parameters.

Age Prediction Using Resting-State Functional MRI.

The increasing lifespan and large individual differences in cognitive capability highlight the importance of comprehending the aging process of the brain. Contrary to visible signs of bodily ageing, like greying of hair and loss of muscle mass, the internal changes that occur within our brains remain less apparent until they impair function. Brain age, distinct from chronological age, reflects our brain's health status and may deviate from our actual chronological age. Notably, brain age has been associated with mortality and depression. The brain is plastic and can compensate even for severe structural damage by rewiring. Functional characterization offers insights that structural cannot provide. Contrary to the multitude of studies relying on structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), we utilize resting-state functional MRI (rsfMRI). We also address the issue of inclusion of subjects with abnormal brain ageing through outlier removal. In this study, we employ the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) to identify the 39 most predictive correlations derived from the rsfMRI data. The data is from a cohort of 176 healthy right-handed volunteers, aged 18-78 years (95/81 male/female, mean age 48, SD 17) collected at the Mind Research Imaging Center at the National Cheng Kung University. We establish a normal reference model by excluding 68 outliers, which achieves a leave-one-out mean absolute error of 2.48 years. By asking which additional features that are needed to predict the chronological age of the outliers with a smaller error, we identify correlations predictive of abnormal aging. These are associated with the Default Mode Network (DMN). Our normal reference model has the lowest prediction error among published models evaluated on adult subjects of almost all ages and is thus a candidate for screening for abnormal brain aging that has not yet manifested in cognitive decline. This study advances our ability to predict brain aging and provides insights into potential biomarkers for assessing brain age, suggesting that the role of DMN in brain aging should be studied further.

A prognostic four-gene signature and a therapeutic strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma: Construction and analysis of a circRNA-mediated competing endogenous RNA network.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a poor long-term prognosis. The competition of circular RNAs (circRNAs) with endogenous RNA is a novel tool for predicting HCC prognosis. Based on the alterations of circRNA regulatory networks, the analysis of gene modules related to HCC is feasible. METHODS: Multiple expression datasets and RNA element targeting prediction tools were used to construct a circRNA-microRNA-mRNA network in HCC. Gene function, pathway, and protein interaction analyses were performed for the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in this regulatory network. In the protein-protein interaction network, hub genes were identified and subjected to regression analysis, producing an optimized four-gene signature for prognostic risk stratification in HCC patients. Anti-HCC drugs were excavated by assessing the DEGs between the low- and high-risk groups. A circRNA-microRNA-hub gene subnetwork was constructed, in which three hallmark genes, KIF4A, CCNA2, and PBK, were subjected to functional enrichment analysis. RESULTS: A four-gene signature (KIF4A, CCNA2, PBK, and ZWINT) that effectively estimated the overall survival and aided in prognostic risk assessment in the The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohort was developed. CDK inhibitors, PI3K inhibitors, HDAC inhibitors, and EGFR inhibitors were predicted as four potential mechanisms of drug action (MOA) in high-risk HCC patients. Subsequent analysis has revealed that PBK, CCNA2, and KIF4A play a crucial role in regulating the tumor microenvironment by promoting immune cell invasion, regulating microsatellite instability (MSI), and exerting an impact on HCC progression. CONCLUSIONS: The present study highlights the role of the circRNA-related regulatory network, identifies a four-gene prognostic signature and biomarkers, and further identifies novel therapy for HCC.

CT-based non-invasive identification of the most common gene mutation status in patients with non-small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) are mutually exclusive, and they are two important genes that are most prone to mutation in patients with non-small cell lung cancer. PURPOSE: This retrospective study investigated the ability of radiomics to predict the mutation status of EGFR and KRAS in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and guide precision medicine. METHODS: Computed tomography images of 1045 NSCLC patients from five different institutions were collected, and 1204 imaging features were extracted. In the training set (EGFR: 678, KRAS: 246), Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression were used to screen radiomics features. The combination of selected radiomics features and clinical factors was used to establish the combined models in identifying EGFR and KRAS mutation status, respectively, through stepwise logistic regression. Then, on two independent external validation sets (EGFR: 203/164, KRAS: 123/95), the performance of each model was evaluated separately, and then the overall performance of predicting the two mutation states was calculated. RESULTS: In the EGFR and KRAS groups, radiomics signatures comprised 14 and 10 radiomics features, respectively. They were mutually exclusive between the tumors with positive EGFR mutation and those with positive KRAS mutation in imaging phenotype. For the EGFR group, the area under the curve (AUC) of the combined model in the two validation sets was 0.871 (95% CI: 0.821-0.926) and 0.861 (95% CI: 0.802-0.911), respectively, whereas the AUC of the combined model in the two validation sets was 0.798 (95% CI: 0.739-0.850) and 0.778 (95% CI: 0.735-0.821), respectively, for the KRAS group. Considering both EGFR and KRAS, the overall precision, recall, and F1-score of the combined model in the two validation sets were 0.704, 0.844, and 0.768, as well as 0.754, 0.693, and 0.722, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates the potential of radiomics in the non-invasive identification of EGFR and KRAS mutation status, which may guide patients with non-small cell lung cancer to choose the most appropriate personalized treatment. This method can be used when biopsy will bring unacceptable risk to patients with NSCLC.