Causal inference for time-to-event data with a cured subpopulation.

When studying the treatment effect on time-to-event outcomes, it is common that some individuals never experience failure events, which suggests that they have been cured. However, the cure status may not be observed due to censoring which makes it challenging to define treatment effects. Current methods mainly focus on estimating model parameters in various cure models, ultimately leading to a lack of causal interpretations. To address this issue, we propose 2 causal estimands, the timewise risk difference and mean survival time difference, in the always-uncured based on principal stratification as a complement to the treatment effect on cure rates. These estimands allow us to study the treatment effects on failure times in the always-uncured subpopulation. We show the identifiability using a substitutional variable for the potential cure status under ignorable treatment assignment mechanism, these 2 estimands are identifiable. We also provide estimation methods using mixture cure models. We applied our approach to an observational study that compared the leukemia-free survival rates of different transplantation types to cure acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Our proposed approach yielded insightful results that can be used to inform future treatment decisions.

Case report: Two pediatric cases of long-term leukemia-free survival with relapsed acute T-lymphoblastic leukemia treated with donor CD7 CAR-T cells bridging to haploidentical stem cell transplantation.

Introduction: Patients with relapsed/refractory (r/r) acute T-lymphoblastic leukemia (T-ALL) have a poor prognosis. We developed donor CD7 chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) cells to salvage r/r T-ALL patients and obtained encouraging results. Patients who had not received allogeneic (allo-) hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) before CAR-T therapy would develop pancytopenia and immunodeficiency for a long period after CD7 CAR-T therapy; therefore, allo-HSCT is needed in these patients. Here, we report two pediatric r/r T-ALL patients who received donor CD7 CAR-T bridging to allo-HSCT with leukemia-free survival (LFS) and sustained negative minimal residual disease for >2 years. Case presentation: Patient 1 was a 10-year-old boy who visited our hospital because of a T-ALL relapse with multiple lymphadenopathies without discomfort. The patient did not achieve remission after one course of induction chemotherapy. The patient then received donor (his father) CD7 CAR-T cells and achieved complete remission (CR). Thirty days after the first CAR-T cell infusion, he received allo-HSCT, and his father was also the donor. His LFS was >3 years. Patient 2 was an 8-year-old boy who was admitted to our hospital with relapsed T-ALL with fever, cough, and mild dyspnea. He did not achieve remission after one course of induction chemotherapy; therefore, he received donor (his father) CD7 CAR-T cells and achieved CR. Twenty-six days after CAR-T cell infusion, the patient received allo-HSCT, with his father as the donor. He has survived for >2 years free of leukemia. At the last follow up, both patients were alive and presented a good quality of life. Conclusion: The long-term survival of these two patients supports the use of CD7 CAR-T therapy bridging to allo-HSCT as an effective and safe treatment with the capacity to make r/r T-ALL a curable disease, similar to r/r acute B-lymphoblastic leukemia.

Factors associated with treatment response to CD19 CAR-T therapy among a large cohort of B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

CD19-targeted chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cell therapy has demonstrated striking responses among B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL), but analyses of potential factors associated with poor response and relapse are lacking. Here, we summarize the long-term follow-up of 254 B-ALL treated with CD19 CAR-T cells from 5 clinical trials (NCT03173417, NCT02546739, and NCT03671460 retrospectively registered on May 23, 2017, March 1, 2018, and September 7, 2018, respectively, at www.clinicaltrials.gov ; ChiCTR-ONC-17012829, and ChiCTR1800016541 retrospectively registered on September 28, 2017, and June 7, 2018, at www.chictr.org.cn ). Our data showed that TP53 mutation, bone marrow blasts > 20%, prior CAR-T/blinatumomab treatment, and severe cytokine release syndrome (CRS) were associated with a lower complete remission (CR) rate while age, extramedullary disease, complex cytogenetics, history of prior transplant, prior courses of chemotherapy, CAR-T cell dose, and manufacturing source of the cellular product did not affect patients' CR rate. Risk factors related to leukemia-free survival (LFS) and overall survival (OS) were history of prior transplant, complex cytogenetics, TP53 mutation, severe CRS, neurotoxicity, and CAR-T therapy without consolidative allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Age and CAR-T cell dose did not influence LFS and OS. Patients with consolidative allo-HSCT after CAR-T therapy had a superior OS and LFS compared to those who did not. This benefit was also observed in both pediatric and adult patients as well as in patients either in high- or low-risk groups. This large study to identify risk factors of CR, LFS, and OS may help to maximize clinical outcomes of CAR-T therapy. Précis TP53 mutation and BM blasts > 20% are two independent factors associated with the CR rate. Patients with high tumor burden as well as those with bone marrow blasts < 5% can benefit from consolidative allo-HSCT post-CAR-T therapy.

The added value of multi-state modelling in a randomized controlled trial: The HOVON 102 study re-analyzed.

Clofarabine is an active antileukemic drug for subgroups of patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Multi-state models can provide additional insights to supplement the original intention-to-treat analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCT). We re-analyzed the HOVON102/SAKK30/09 phase III RCT for newly diagnosed AML patients, which randomized between standard induction chemotherapy with or without clofarabine. Using multi-state models, we evaluated the effects of induction chemotherapy outcomes (complete remission [CR], measurable residual disease [MRD]), and post-remission therapy with allogeneic stem cell transplantation [alloSCT] on relapse and death. Through the latter a consistent reduction in the hazard of relapse in the clofarabine arm compared to the standard arm was found, which occurred irrespective of MRD status or post-remission treatment with alloSCT, demonstrating a strong and persistent antileukemic effect of clofarabine. During the time period between achieving CR and possible post-remission treatment with alloSCT, non-relapse mortality was higher in patients receiving clofarabine. An overall net benefit of treatment with clofarabine was identified using the composite endpoint current leukemia-free survival (CLFS). In conclusion, these results enforce and extend the earlier reported beneficial effect of clofarabine in AML and show that multi-state models further detail the effect of treatment on competing and series of events.

Humanized Anti-CD19 CAR-T Cell Therapy and Sequential Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Achieved Long-Term Survival in Refractory and Relapsed B Lymphocytic Leukemia: A Retrospective Study of CAR-T Cell Therapy.

Early response could be obtained in most patients with relapsed or refractory B cell lymphoblastic leukemia (R/R B-ALL) treated with chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy, but relapse occurs in some patients. There is no consensus on treatment strategy post CAR-T cell therapy. In this retrospective study of humanized CD19-targeted CAR-T cell (hCART19s) therapy for R/R B-ALL, we analyzed the patients treated with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) or received a second hCART19s infusion, and summarized their efficacy and safety. We retrospectively studied 28 R/R B-ALL patients treated with hCART19s in the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from 2016 to 2020. After the first hCART19s infusion, 10 patients received allo-HSCT (CART+HSCT group), 7 patients received a second hCART19s infusion (CART2 group), and 11 patients did not receive HSCT or a second hCART19s infusion (CART1 group). The safety, efficacy, and long-term survival were analyzed. Of the 28 patients who received hCART19s treatment, 1 patient could not be evaluated for efficacy, and 25 (92.6%) achieved complete remission (CR) with 20 (74.7%) achieving minimal residual disease (MRD) negativity. Seven (25%) patients experienced grade 3-4 CRS, and one died from grade 5 CRS. No patient experienced ≥3 grade ICANS. The incidence of second CR is higher in the CART+HSCT group compared to the CART2 group (100% vs. 42.9%, p=0.015). The median follow-up time was 1,240 days (range: 709-1,770). Significantly longer overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival (LFS) were achieved in the CART+HSCT group (median OS and LFS: not reached, p=0.006 and 0.001, respectively) compared to the CART2 group (median OS: 482; median LFS: 189) and the CART1 group (median OS: 236; median LFS: 35). In the CART+HSCT group, the incidence of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) was 30% (3/10), and transplantation-related mortality was 30% (3/10). No chronic GVHD occurred. Multivariate analysis results showed that blasts ≥ 20% in the bone marrow and MRD ≥ 65.6% are independent factors for inferior OS and LFS, respectively, while receiving allo-HSCT is an independent factor associated with both longer OS and LFS. In conclusion, early allo-HSCT after CAR-T therapy can achieve long-term efficacy, and the adverse events are controllable.

LncRNAs serve as novel biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of childhood ALL.

BACKGROUND: Although some studies have demonstrated that lncRNAs are dysregulated in hematopoietic malignancies and may regulate the progression of leukemia, the detailed mechanism underlying tumorigenesis is still unclear. This study aimed to investigate lncRNAs that are differentially expressed in childhood B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) and T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (T-ALL) and their potential roles in the progression of childhood ALL. METHODS: Microarrays were used to detect differentially expressed lncRNAs and mRNAs. Several aberrantly expressed lncRNAs were validated by qRT-PCR. Leukemia-free survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method with a log-rank test. The co-expression correlations of lncRNAs and mRNAs were determined by Spearman's correlation coefficient. CCK-8 assays and flow cytometry were performed to measure cell proliferation and apoptosis. RESULTS: We revealed that many lncRNAs were abnormally expressed in B-ALL and T-ALL. LncRNA/mRNA co-expression and the gene locus network showed that dysregulated lncRNAs are involved in diverse cellular processes. We also assessed the diagnostic value of the differentially expressed lncRNAs and confirmed the optimal combination of TCONS_00026679, uc002ubt.1, ENST00000411904, and ENST00000547644 with an area under the curve of 0.9686 [95 % CI: 0.9369-1.000, P < 0.001], with 90.7 % sensitivity and 92.19 % specificity, at a cut-off point of -0.5700 to distinguish childhood B-ALL patients from T-ALL patients, implying that these specific lncRNAs may have potential to detect subsets of childhood ALL. Notably, we found that the 8-year leukemia-free survival of patients with high TCONS_00026679 (p = 0.0081), ENST00000522339 (p = 0.0484), ENST00000499583 (p = 0.0381), ENST00000457217 (p = 0.0464), and ENST00000451368 (p = 0.0298) expression levels was significantly higher than that of patients with low expression levels of these lncRNAs, while patients with high uc002ubt.1 (p = 0.0499) and ENST00000547644 (p = 0.0451) expression levels exhibited markedly shorter 8-year leukemia-free survival. In addition, some lncRNAs were found to play different roles in cell proliferation and apoptosis in T-ALL and B-ALL. CONCLUSIONS: Dysregulated lncRNAs involved in different regulatory mechanisms underlying the progression of childhood T-ALL and B-ALL might serve as novel biomarkers to distinguish ALL subsets and indicate poor outcomes.

Outcome of T-cell-replete haploidentical stem cell transplantation improves with time in adults with acute lymphoblastic leukemia: A study from the Acute Leukemia Working Party of the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The use of haploidentical hematopoietic cell transplantation (haplo-HCT) with posttransplantation cyclophosphamide prophylaxis is gaining traction in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). METHODS: The Acute Leukemia Working Party/European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry was used to evaluate the outcomes of adult patients with ALL who underwent haplo-HCT during 2011 through 2015 and compared them with the outcomes of those who underwent transplantation during 2016 through 2018. RESULTS: The analysis consisted of 195 patients, including 79 who underwent transplantation during 2011 through 2015 and 116 who underwent transplantation during 2016 through 2018. Overall, the 2-year leukemia-free survival and relapse incidence rates were 56.5% and 21%, respectively. The 100-day incidence of grade 2 through 4 acute graft-vs-host disease (GVHD) was 34.5%. The rates of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival (OS) were 22.5% and 64.7%, respectively. Patients who underwent transplantation during 2016 through 2018 experienced improved rates of leukemia-free survival (64.9% vs 47.3%; P = .019) and OS (75.5% vs 53.5%; P = .006). Patients who underwent transplantation during 2016 through 2018 developed more grade 2 through 4 acute GVHD (42% vs 26.4%; P = .047). The incidence of relapse, GVHD-free/relapse-free survival, grade 3 and 4 acute GVHD, chronic GVHD, and extensive chronic GVHD did not differ significantly between groups. In multivariate analysis, more recently transplanted patients had a significantly reduced risk of NRM (hazard ratio, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.22-0.89; P = .022) and improved OS (hazard ratio, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.26-0.86; P = .014). A comparable analysis of patients who had acute myeloid leukemia during the same timeframes did not reveal any statistically significant differences in any outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The outcome of adult patients with ALL who receive posttransplant cyclophosphamide has improved over time, with an impressive 2-year OS of 75% and, most recently, an NRM rate of only 17%.

Real-world data of chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: A chinese single-center retrospective study.

Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a rare disease of elderly people characterized by the presence of sustained peripheral blood monocytosis, overlapping features of myeloproliferation, and myelodysplasia. We present a large retrospective study of 156 CMML patients in China. Mean age at diagnosis was 68 years old (range 23-91). According to the CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CPSS), 10 patients (8.3%) were low risk, 27 patients (22.5%) were intermediate-1 risk, 72 patients (60%) were intermediate-2 risk, and 11 patients (9.2%) were high risk. A total of 90 patients (57.7%) received hypomethylating agents (HMAs) treatment, 19 patients (12.2%) received chemotherapy and 47 patients (30.1%) received the best supportive care. Seventeen patients (10.9%) underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-SCT) after HMAs treatment or chemotherapy. With a median follow-up of 35.3 months, overall response rate (ORR) was 69.5% in the HMAs ± chemotherapy group, 79.5% in the HMAs monotherapy group, 60.0% in the HMAs + chemotherapy group, and 37.5% in the chemotherapy group. HMAs monotherapy group had prolonged OS compared with the chemotherapy group (23.57 months vs. 11.73 months; p = 0.035). Patients who achieved ORR had prolonged OS (25.83 months vs. 8.00 months; p < 0.001) and LFS (20.53 months vs. 6.80 months; p < 0.001) compared with those not achieved ORR in the HMA ± chemotherapy group. By univariate analysis, only higher hemoglobulin (≥80 g/L) and lower serum LDH levels (<300 U/L) predicted for better OS and LFS. By multivariate analysis, only Hb ≥ 80 g/L predicted for prolonged OS, Hb ≥ 80 g/L, and monocytes < 3 × 109/L predicted for prolonged LFS. In summary, our study highlights the benefit of HMAs therapy in CMML, but we still need to develop novel therapeutics to achieve better outcomes.

Pre-transplant MRD negativity predicts favorable outcomes of CAR-T therapy followed by haploidentical HSCT for relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a multi-center retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Consolidative allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation is a controversial option for patients with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia after chimeric antigen receptor T cell (CAR-T) therapy. We performed a multicenter retrospective study to assess whether patients can benefit from haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation after CAR-T therapy. METHODS: A total of 122 patients after CAR-T therapy were enrolled, including 67 patients without subsequent transplantation (non-transplant group) and 55 patients with subsequent haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (transplant group). Long-term outcome was assessed, as was its association with baseline patient characteristics. RESULTS: Compared with the non-transplant group, transplantation recipients had a higher 2-year overall survival (OS; 77.0% versus 36.4%; P < 0.001) and leukemia-free survival (LFS; 65.6% versus 32.8%; P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that minimal residual disease (MRD) positivity at transplantation is an independent factor associated with poor LFS (P = 0.005), OS (P = 0.035), and high cumulative incidence rate of relapse (P = 0.045). Pre-transplant MRD-negative recipients (MRD- group) had a lower cumulative incidence of relapse (17.3%) than those in the non-transplant group (67.2%; P < 0.001) and pre-transplant MRD-positive recipients (MRD+ group) (65.8%; P = 0.006). The cumulative incidence of relapse in MRD+ and non-transplant groups did not differ significantly (P = 0.139). The 2-year LFS in the non-transplant, MRD+, and MRD- groups was 32.8%, 27.6%, and 76.1%, respectively. The MRD- group had a higher LFS than the non-transplantation group (P < 0.001) and MRD+ group (P = 0.007), whereas the LFS in the MRD+ and non-transplant groups did not differ significantly (P = 0.305). The 2-year OS of the MRD- group was higher than that of the non-transplant group (83.3% versus 36.4%; P < 0.001) but did not differ from that of the MRD+ group (83.3% versus 62.7%; P = 0.069). The OS in the non-transplant and MRD+ groups did not differ significantly (P = 0.231). CONCLUSION: Haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation with pre-transplant MRD negativity after CAR-T therapy could greatly improve LFS and OS in patients with relapsed/refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered in the Chinese clinical trial registry (ChiCTR1900023957).

Pre-transplant FLT3/ITD status predicts outcome in FLT3-mutated acute myeloid leukemia following allogeneic stem cell transplantation.

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with fetal liver tyrosine kinase 3 (FLT3) internal tandem duplication (ITD) is associated with poor prognosis, and allogeneic stem cell transplantation (Allo-SCT) seems to be the preferred therapeutic approach. However, the predictors of post-transplant outcomes were not well-defined. The aim of the study was to evaluate the significance of FLT3/ITD mutation by polymerase chain reaction as minimal residual disease (MRD) marker of outcomes after transplantation. We identified 43 patients (28 females and 15 males) with FLT3-mutated AML at the median age of 45 years who were allografted between 2009 and 2019. Hematological status at transplant was as follows: the first complete remission (CR1) in 29 patients, CR2 in 5, and 9 patients were transplanted in marrow aplasia (MA). Twenty-seven patients were FLT3 MRD negative at transplant. Median time from diagnosis to transplant was 16.7 months. Post-allograft CR rate was 88%. The relapse incidence (RI) was lower for patients who were FLT3 MRD negative at transplant when compared with those with FLT3 MRD positivity (41% vs 59%; p = 0.01). The patients who eradicated FLT3/ITD at day + 30 after transplant had lower RI than those with detectable FLT3/ITD (23% vs 76%; p = <0.001). The 2-year LFS and OS were 53% and 54%, with the median OS and LFS of 28 months and 27 months, respectively. Patients with CR1/2 and FLT3 MRD(-) had a 2-year OS of 80%. The FLT3 MRD negativity at transplant prolonged LFS in multivariate analysis (HR 5.3 95%CI 1.97-14.2); p < 0.001), whereas FLT3 MRD negativity and unrelated donor predicted favorable OS.

Prognostic value of hypoalbuminemia at diagnosis in de novo non-M3 acute myeloid leukemia.

The association between serum albumin level and clinical outcomes has been reported for several hematological malignancies. Our study aimed to identify the relationship between serum albumin level at the time of diagnosis and subsequent clinical outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemias (AMLs) other than acute promyelocytic leukemias (APLs). A total of 243 patients with de novo non-M3 AML were enrolled in this study. Variables including gender, age, serum albumin, white blood cell (WBC) count, hemoglobin (Hb), platelet (PLT) count, blasts at peripheral blood (PB) and bone marrow (BM), immunophenotype and cytogenetics at diagnosis, BM response after one course of chemotherapy and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) treatment were studied. We found that normal albumin level (serum albumin >3.5 g/dL) was significantly associated with superior overall survival (HR = 0.375, p < .001) and leukemia-free survival (HR = 0.411, p < .001). These results demonstrate that albumin could serve as a simple, cheap, and objective prognostication factor in refinement of AML regimens.

Iron chelation therapy for myelodysplastic syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Iron overload remains a concern in myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) patients especially those requiring recurrent blood transfusions. Whether iron chelating therapy (ICT) is beneficial to the long-term survival of myelodysplastic syndrome is still a controversial issue. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to clarify the relationship between ICT and long-term survival in patients with MDS. A total of 14 studies involving 7242 participants were identified; the outcomes revealed that for patients with MDS, ICT resulted in a lower risk of mortality compared to those with no ICT (HR 0.57; 95% CI 0.44-0.70; P < 0.001); what is more, ICT led to a lower risk of leukemia transformation (HR 0.70; 95% CI 0.52-0.93; P = 0.016). Results of subgroup analyses based on adequate ICT or any ICT, low/int-1 IPSS or unclassified IPSS and study types indicated that the ICT had a beneficial role in all these groups of patients.

Clinical Relevance of Immunobiology in Umbilical Cord Blood Transplantation.

Umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) has been an important donor source for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, especially for patients who lack suitable matched donors. UCBT provides unique practical advantages, such as lower risks of graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD), permissive HLA mismatch, and ease of procurement. However, there are clinical challenges in UCBT, including high infection rates and treatment-related mortality in selected patient groups. These clinical advantages and challenges are tightly linked with cell-type specific immune reconstitution (IR). Here, we will review IR, focusing on T and NK cells, and the impact of IR on clinical outcomes. Better understanding of the immune biology in UCBT will allow us to further advance this field with improved clinical practice.

Prognostic value of DNMT3A mutations in myelodysplastic syndromes: a meta-analysis.

Objectives: Although DNA (cytosine-5)-methyltransferase 3 alpha (DNMT3A) gene mutations have been widely reported in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), the prognostic significance of DNMT3A mutations is still controversial. In this study, we conducted a meta-analysis to determine the prognostic effect of DNMT3A mutations in patients with MDS. Methods: Eligible studies from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Clinical Trials and the Cochrane Library were searched. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival (LFS) were pooled to assess the effect of DNMT3A mutations on the prognosis in MDS patients. Results: A total of 12 studies with 2236 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled HRs for OS and LFS revealed that MDS patients with DNMT3A mutations had a significantly poor prognosis as compared with those without mutations (OS: HR = 1.654, 95% CI = 1.387-1.973, p < 0.001; LFS: HR = 4.624, 95% CI = 3.121-6.851, p < 0.001). Discussion and Conclusion: This meta-analysis showed an adverse prognostic effect of DNMT3A mutations in patients with MDS, which will contribute to risk stratification and prognostic assessment in the disease.

Outcome of Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Patients Age >69 Years with Acute Myelogenous Leukemia: On Behalf of the Acute Leukemia Working Party of the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation.

Reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) allows for the use of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in older patients with acute myelogenous leukemia (AML). We compared outcomes between 713 patients age ≥70 years and 16,161 patients age 50 to 69 years who underwent HSCT between 2004 and 2014. A higher proportion of the older patients were male and had secondary AML, active disease, a peripheral blood stem cell graft, a matched unrelated donor, an RIC regimen, and a lower Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) score (P< .001). In multivariate analysis, the incidences of acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease and relapse were similar in the 2 age groups. Nonrelapse mortality at 2 years was 34% (95% confidence interval [CI], 31% to 38%) in patients age ≥70 years and 24% (95% CI, 25% to 32%) in those age 50 to 69 years (P< .001). Survival at 2 years in the 2 groups was 38% (95% CI, 34% to 42%) and 50% (95% CI, 49% to 50%), respectively (P< .001). In patients with active disease, the corresponding percentages were 35% (95% CI, 29% to 41%) in those age ≥70 years and 33% (95% CI, 31% to 34%) in those age <70 years (P = .36). In patients age ≥70 years, a KPS score of ≥80% was associated with improved survival (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.14 to 2.06; P = .003). In summary, patients age ≥70 years had worse outcomes, except for those with active AML.

Individualized prediction of leukemia-free survival after autologous stem cell transplantation in acute myeloid leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is a potential consolidation therapy for acute myeloid leukemia (AML). This study was designed to develop a prediction model for leukemia-free survival (LFS) in a cohort of patients with de novo AML treated with ASCT during their first complete remission. METHODS: This was a registry study of 956 patients reported to the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation. The primary outcome was LFS. Multivariate Cox regression modeling with backward selection was used to select variables for the construction of the nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated with discrimination (the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) and calibration. RESULTS: Age and cytogenetic risk (with or without FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3 internal tandem duplication) were predictive of LFS and were used for the construction of the nomogram. Each factor in the nomogram was ascribed points according to its predictive weight. Through the calculation of the total score, the probability of LFS at 1, 3, and 5 years for each patient could be estimated. The discrimination of the nomogram, measured as the AUC, was 0.632 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.595-0.669), 0.670 (95% CI, 0.635-0.705), and 0.687 (95% CI, 0.650-0.724), respectively. Further validation with bootstrapping showed similar AUCs (0.629 [95% CI, 0.597-0.657], 0.667 [95% CI, 0.633-0.699], and 0.679 [95% CI, 0.647-0.712], respectively), and this suggested that the model was not overfitted. Calibration was excellent. Patients were stratified into 4 incremental 5-year prognostic groups, with the probabilities of LFS and overall survival ranging from 25% to 64% and from 33% to 79%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The Auto-AML nomogram score is a tool integrating individual prognostic factors to provide a probabilistic estimation of LFS after ASCT for patients with AML.

Oral arsenic trioxide incorporation into frontline treatment with all-trans retinoic acid and chemotherapy in newly diagnosed acute promyelocytic leukemia: A 5-year prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Strategies using oral arsenic trioxide (As2 O3 ) are efficacious in relapsed acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL), but they have not been examined in newly diagnosed cases. METHODS: Sixty-two consecutive patients (24 men and 38 women) with a median age of 52 years (range, 22-85 years), 36% of whom had high-risk features, underwent induction with all-trans retinoic acid at 45 mg/m2 /d, oral As2 O3 at 10 mg/d, and ascorbic acid at 1 g/d (the all-trans retinoic acid-arsenic trioxide-ascorbic acid [AAA] regimen) for 6 weeks (with patients younger than 70 years additionally receiving daunorubicin at 50 mg/m2 /d × 3); they then underwent consolidation with 2 monthly cycles of daunorubicin (50 mg/m2 /d × 2) and cytarabine (100 mg/m2 /d × 5) and received AAA maintenance (2 weeks every 8 weeks) for 2 years. A contemporaneous cohort of 37 newly diagnosed patients (15 men and 22 women) with a median age of 51 years (range, 23-78 years), not consenting to oral As2 O3 induction but receiving similar induction, consolidation, and AAA maintenance, served as a comparator group; 46% of these patients had high-risk features. RESULTS: The oral As2 O3 induction cohort showed a complete remission (CR) rate of 100%. After a median of 37 months (range, 13-82 months), there were no relapses, so conventional risks (age, leukocyte and platelet counts, and Fms-like tyrosine kinase 3 [FLT3] mutations) were not relevant. The leukemia-free survival (LFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 100% at 3 years and 94.1% at 5 years. The non-As2 O3 induction cohort showed a CR rate of 100%. After a median of 52 months (range, 14-77 months), there were 3 relapses (8%). Comparable patients in the oral As2 O3 induction and non-As2 O3 induction cohorts showed similar OS, but LFS was significantly superior in the oral As2 O3 induction cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The incorporation of oral As2 O3 into induction for newly diagnosed APL was safe and decreased relapses.

Haploidentical allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation increases the risk of cytomegalovirus infection in adult patients with acute leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Owing to the shortage of hematopoietic stem cells from matched sibling donors (MSD) and matched unrelated donors (MUD), the number of patients undergoing haploidentical allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) has rapidly increased. Despite a comparable overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival using this approach, some evidence suggests that haploidentical allo-HSCT recipients have a higher incidence of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection, though this has not been clearly established. METHODS: This study retrospectively compared the cumulative incidence of CMV DNAemia, 2-year OS, and leukemia-free survival rates in acute leukemia patients with MSD (n = 41), MUD (n = 18), and haploidentical donor allografts (n = 21). RESULTS: The cumulative incidences of CMV DNAemia at day 180 in the MSD, MUD, and haploidentical groups were 39.0, 55.6, and 85.7%, respectively (P < 0.000). As less than 50% of patients in the MSD group were detected to have CMV DNAemia, the median time to CMV DNAemia detection in patients allografted with MSD could not be obtained. However, it was 42 and 29 days, respectively, for the MUD and haploidentical groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that haploidentical allo-HSCT (MSD vs. haploidentical: HR: 0.26; 95% CI: 0.09-0.78; P = 0.017) and age (HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.06; P = 0.011) increased CMV infection. Finally, MSD, MUD, and haploidentical allo-HSCT provided comparable 2-year OS rates (52.1%, 65.5%, and 65.6%; P = 0.425) and 2-year leukemia-free survival rates (67.1%, 68.3%, and 80.7%, P = 0.837). CONCLUSION: The CMV incidence was higher for haploidentical allo-HSCT than for MSD and MUD allo-HSCT; this could be explained by graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis by multiple immunosuppressants.

Absolute Monocyte Count is Superior than Absolute Lymphocyte Count at Day 28 as an Independent Prognostic Factor in Acute Myeloid Leukemia.

Leukemia is one of leading causes of death despite the significant improvement of survival. This study aimed at assessing the impact of absolute monocytic count (AMC), and absolute lymphocytic count (ALC) recovery on overall survival (OS) and leukemia free survival (LFS) in AML. 83 de novo AML cases were enrolled in this study. The hemogram parameters including differential leukocyte counts were determined and collected sequentially at days 1, 14, 21 and 28. There was no significant difference regarding AMC or ALC at any time points in relation to the cytogenetics prognostic groups. High AMC ≥ 0.8 × 109/L at day 28 was associated with shorter OS and LFS, P value 0.012 and 0.003 respectively. On multivariate models, high AMC was shown as an independent prognostic factor associated with poor OS and LFS (HR 3, 95% CI 1.1-8.1 and P value 0.02) and (HR 5, 95% CI 1.5-17.4 and P value 0.01) respectively. High ALC-D28 (≥ 0.35 × 109/L) was associated with prolonged OS and LFS survival, P value 0.032 and 0.016 respectively. However, it failed to prove the same significance using multivariate analysis. It was concluded that low AMC is an emerging independent predictor of better outcome in AML.

Peripheral blood lymphocyte responses to cytomegalovirus seropositivity after allogeneic-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The main purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship among cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia, peripheral immune cells alternations, and leukemia prognosis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied 90 leukemia patients who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) from 2008 to 2015. Their complete clinical laboratory data were collected until 1 year after transplantation. RESULTS: All patients were serum CMV negative before allo-HSCT. After transplantation, the CMV reactivation group showed increased peripheral CD8+ T cells and decreased CD4+ T cells and B cells. However, CD8/CD4 ratio and B cells restored by control of CMV infection due to 2 months maximum course of ganciclovir treatment. CMV seropositivity was positively related to leukemia-free survival (LFS) of all recruited leukemia types. CONCLUSION: In summary, CMV drives immune cell post-transplantation fluctuation, which also favors LFS of leukemia partly resulted from CD8+ T cells.