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1.
Comput Biol Chem ; 112: 108127, 2024 Jun 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38870559

ABSTRACT

Spatial transcriptomics, a groundbreaking field in cellular biology, faces the challenge of effectively deciphering complex spatial-temporal gene expression patterns. Traditional data analysis methods often fail to capture the intricate nuances of this data, limiting the depth of understanding in spatial distribution and gene interactions. In response, we present Spatial-Temporal Patterns for Downstream Analysis (STPDA), a sophisticated computational framework tailored for spatial transcriptomic data analysis. STPDA leverages high-resolution mapping to bridge the gap between genomics and histopathology, offering a comprehensive perspective on the spatial dynamics of gene expression within tissues. This approach enables a view of cellular function and organization, marking a paradigm shift in our comprehension of biological systems. By employing Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, STPDA effectively deciphers both global and local spatio-temporal dynamics in cellular environments. This integration of spatial-temporal patterns for downstream analysis offers a transformative approach to spatial transcriptomics data analysis. STPDA excels in various single-cell analytical tasks, including the identification of ligand-receptor interactions and cell type classification. Its ability to harness spatial-temporal patterns not only matches but frequently surpasses the performance of existing state-of-the-art methods. To ensure widespread usability and impact, we have encapsulated STPDA in a scalable and accessible Python package, addressing single-cell tasks through advanced spatial-temporal pattern analysis. This development promises to enhance our understanding of cellular biology, offering novel insights and therapeutic strategies, and represents a substantial advancement in the field of spatial transcriptomics.

2.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 13561, 2024 Jun 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38866892

ABSTRACT

In various practical situations, the information about the process distribution is sometimes partially or completely unavailable. In these instances, practitioners prefer to use nonparametric charts as they don't restrict the assumption of normality or specific distribution. In this current article, a nonparametric double homogeneously weighted moving average control chart based on the Wilcoxon signed-rank statistic is developed for monitoring the location parameter of the process. The run-length profiles of the newly developed chart are obtained by using Monte Carlo simulations. Comparisons are made based on various performance metrics of run-length distribution among proposed and existing nonparametric counterparts charts. The extra quadratic loss is used to evaluate the overall performance of the proposed and existing charts. The newly developed scheme showed comparatively better results than its existing counterparts. For practical implementation of the suggested scheme, the real-world dataset related to the inside diameter of the automobile piston rings is also used.

3.
Infect Agent Cancer ; 19(1): 29, 2024 Jun 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38943144

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The proportional trends of HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) according to various factors have not been analyzed in detail in previous studies. We aimed to evaluate the trends of HPV-associated OPSCC in the United States. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 13,081 patients with OPSCC from large population-based data using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 2010-2017 database, 17 Registries. Patients were diagnosed with OPSCC primarily in the base of tongue (BOT), posterior pharyngeal wall (PPW), soft palate (SP), and tonsil and were tested for HPV infection status. We analyzed how the proportional trends of patients with OPSCC changed according to various demographic factors. Additionally, we forecasted and confirmed the trend of HPV (+) and (-) patients with OPSCC using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. RESULTS: The proportion of patients who performed the HPV testing increased every year, and it has exceeded 50% since 2014 (21.95% and 51.37% at 2010 and 2014, respectively). The HPV-positive rates tended to increase over past 7 years (66.37% and 79.32% at 2010 and 2016, respectively). Positivity rates of HPV were significantly higher in OPSCC located in the tonsil or BOT than in those located in PPW or SP. The ARIMA (2,1,0) and (0,1,0) models were applied to forecast HPV (+) and (-) patients with OPSCC, respectively, and the predicted data generally matched the actual data well. CONCLUSION: This large population-based study suggests that the proportional trends of HPV (+) patients with OPSCC has increased and will continue to increase. However, the trends of HPV (+) and (-) patients differed greatly according to various demographic factors. These results present a direction for establishing appropriate preventive measures to deal with HPV-related OPSCC in more detail.

4.
Biochem Med (Zagreb) ; 34(2): 020707, 2024 Jun 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38882581

ABSTRACT

Introduction: We compared the quality control efficiency of artificial intelligence-patient-based real-time quality control (AI-PBRTQC) and traditional PBRTQC in laboratories to create favorable conditions for the broader application of PBRTQC in clinical laboratories. Materials and methods: In the present study, the data of patients with total thyroxine (TT4), anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), total cholesterol (TC), urea, and albumin (ALB) over five months were categorized into two groups: AI-PBRTQC group and traditional PBRTQC group. The Box-Cox transformation method estimated truncation ranges in the conventional PBRTQC group. In contrast, in the AI-PBRTQC group, the PBRTQC software platform intelligently selected the truncation ranges. We developed various validation models by incorporating different weighting factors, denoted as λ. Error detection, false positive rate, false negative rate, average number of the patient sample until error detection, and area under the curve were employed to evaluate the optimal PBRTQC model in this study. This study provides evidence of the effectiveness of AI-PBRTQC in identifying quality risks by analyzing quality risk cases. Results: The optimal parameter setting scheme for PBRTQC is TT4 (78-186), λ = 0.03; AMH (0.02-2.96), λ = 0.02; ALT (10-25), λ = 0.02; TC (2.84-5.87), λ = 0.02; urea (3.5-6.6), λ = 0.02; ALB (43-52), λ = 0.05. Conclusions: The AI-PBRTQC group was more efficient in identifying quality risks than the conventional PBRTQC. AI-PBRTQC can also effectively identify quality risks in a small number of samples. AI-PBRTQC can be used to determine quality risks in both biochemistry and immunology analytes. AI-PBRTQC identifies quality risks such as reagent calibration, onboard time, and brand changes.


Subject(s)
Quality Control , Humans , Artificial Intelligence , Thyroxine/blood , Anti-Mullerian Hormone/blood , Alanine Transaminase/blood , Cholesterol/blood , Urea/blood , Laboratories, Clinical
5.
Sci Prog ; 107(2): 368504241251655, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38819418

ABSTRACT

The water availability concerns have been increasing due to significant impacts of land use land cover change, and climate variability. In terms of developing countries, it is one of the biggest challenges to overcome and manage sustainability in the present and future. This study aims to evaluate the change in hydrological components and simulation of sediment yield and water yield on the large-scale basin of Kotri barrage with a change in runoff due to a change in land use land cover. This study has been done on the watershed as well as the sub-watershed level to have an accurate estimation and simulation by finding the response of hydrological components toward its natural and human-induced factors using the Soil and Water Assessment tool with high-resolution geospatial-temporal inputs over the Kotri catchment. The sediment and water yield were quantified using 42 years of simulation (1981-2022) on the sub-basin level, projected to land use land cover 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2022. The increase in deforestation, agriculture, and settlement areas resulted increase in sediment load in the catchment. The sub-basins 14, 11, 12, and 13, with a high elevation and slope and with less vegetation showed higher sediment load and water yield than the sub-basins with gentle slope and with high natural vegetation cover. The sub-basins 10, 4, and 1 showed high water yield availability compared to basins 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9. This may be the result of vegetation differences. However, contained less sediment load than basins 14, 11, 12, and 13. The main objective was to quantify the significant changes affecting catchment and sub-catchment areas, to have a better understanding of the management plan regarding land use land cover. The simulated data was further projected to prediction using machine algorithms (autoregressive integrated moving average) model for precipitation prediction, and (seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors) model to predict the sediment yield and water yield in the catchment to 2060.

6.
J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol ; 35(7): 1360-1367, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38715310

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Numerous P-wave indices have been explored as biomarkers to assess atrial fibrillation (AF) risk and the impact of therapy with variable success. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the utility of P-wave alternans (PWA) to track the effects of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) and to predict atrial arrhythmia recurrence. METHODS: This medical records study included patients who underwent PVI for AF ablation at our institution, along with 20 control subjects without AF or overt cardiovascular disease. PWA was assessed using novel artificial intelligence-enabled modified moving average (AI-MMA) algorithms. PWA was monitored from the 12-lead ECG at ~1 h before and ~16 h after PVI (n = 45) and at the 4- to 17-week clinically indicated follow-up visit (n = 30). The arrhythmia follow-up period was 955 ± 112 days. RESULTS: PVI acutely reduced PWA by 48%-63% (p < .05) to control ranges in leads II, III, aVF, the leads with the greatest sensitivity in monitoring PWA. Pre-ablation PWA was ~6 µV and decreased to ~3 µV following ablation. Patients who exhibited a rebound in PWA to pre-ablation levels at 4- to 17-week follow-up (p < .01) experienced recurrent atrial arrhythmias, whereas patients whose PWA remained reduced (p = .85) did not, resulting in a significant difference (p < .001) at follow-up. The AUC for PWA's prediction of first recurrence of atrial arrhythmia was 0.81 (p < .01) with 88% sensitivity and 82% specificity. Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated atrial arrhythmia-free survival (p < .01) with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.4 (95% CI: 1.47-5.24, p < .02). CONCLUSION: A rebound in PWA to pre-ablation levels detected by AI-MMA in the 12-lead ECG at standard clinical follow-up predicts atrial arrhythmia recurrence.


Subject(s)
Action Potentials , Atrial Fibrillation , Catheter Ablation , Electrocardiography , Heart Rate , Predictive Value of Tests , Pulmonary Veins , Recurrence , Humans , Pulmonary Veins/surgery , Pulmonary Veins/physiopathology , Atrial Fibrillation/physiopathology , Atrial Fibrillation/surgery , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Male , Female , Catheter Ablation/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Aged , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies , Case-Control Studies
7.
Heliyon ; 10(10): e31030, 2024 May 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38803863

ABSTRACT

Recently, several memory-type mean estimators (including ratio, product, and logarithmic) have been developed. These estimators rely on exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), which incorporate both historical and present sample data. In this article, we propose EWMA type calibrated estimators under single and double stratified random sampling (StRS). Because calibration method enhances the estimates by modifying the stratification weight, taking advantage of supplementary information. To evaluate the performance of estimators, various real-world time-scaled data sets pertaining to stock market and weather are taken into account. Additionally, we also conduct a simulation study using a bivariate symmetric data set. The numerical results show the superiority of proposed estimators (y¯TM,y¯TaM) over the adapted ones (y¯PM,y¯PaM).

8.
MethodsX ; 12: 102723, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38660034

ABSTRACT

Currently, India has become one of the largest economies of the world in which tourism and hospitality have significantly contributed; however, the growth rate of tourism industry has been greatly affected during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we have used the modeling approach to analyze and understand the growth pattern of Indian tourism industry. To achieve this, we consider the data of international tourist arrivals before and after the lockdown. The Dickey-Fuller test, AIC and BIC methods are used to obtain the best fitted model and further, the accuracy of obtained model is also analyzed. Data and forecasting indicate that the weather and public holidays significantly affect the tourism industry.

9.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 432, 2024 Apr 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38654199

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Influenza-like illness (ILI) imposes a significant burden on patients, employers and society. However, there is no analysis and prediction at the hospital level in Chongqing. We aimed to characterize the seasonality of ILI, examine age heterogeneity in visits, and predict ILI peaks and assess whether they affect hospital operations. METHODS: The multiplicative decomposition model was employed to decompose the trend and seasonality of ILI, and the Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average with exogenous factors (SARIMAX) model was used for the trend and short-term prediction of ILI. We used Grid Search and Akaike information criterion (AIC) to calibrate and verify the optimal hyperparameters, and verified the residuals of the multiplicative decomposition and SARIMAX model, which are both white noise. RESULTS: During the 12-year study period, ILI showed a continuous upward trend, peaking in winter (Dec. - Jan.) and a small spike in May-June in the 2-4-year-old high-risk group for severe disease. The mean length of stay (LOS) in ILI peaked around summer (about Aug.), and the LOS in the 0-1 and ≥ 65 years old severely high-risk group was more irregular than the others. We found some anomalies in the predictive analysis of the test set, which were basically consistent with the dynamic zero-COVID policy at the time. CONCLUSION: The ILI patient visits showed a clear cyclical and seasonal pattern. ILI prevention and control activities can be conducted seasonally on an annual basis, and age heterogeneity should be considered in the health resource planning. Targeted immunization policies are essential to mitigate potential pandemic threats. The SARIMAX model has good short-term forecasting ability and accuracy. It can help explore the epidemiological characteristics of ILI and provide an early warning and decision-making basis for the allocation of medical resources related to ILI visits.


Subject(s)
Forecasting , Influenza, Human , Seasons , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , China/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Forecasting/methods , Child , Child, Preschool , Adult , Aged , Infant , Adolescent , Young Adult , Infant, Newborn , Male , Female , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical
10.
Comput Methods Programs Biomed ; 249: 108157, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38582037

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: T-wave alternans (TWA) is a fluctuation in the repolarization morphology of the ECG. It is associated with cardiac instability and sudden cardiac death risk. Diverse methods have been proposed for TWA analysis. However, TWA detection in ambulatory settings remains a challenge due to the absence of standardized evaluation metrics and detection thresholds. METHODS: In this work we use traditional TWA analysis signal processing-based methods for feature extraction, and two machine learning (ML) methods, namely, K-nearest-neighbor (KNN) and random forest (RF), for TWA detection, addressing hyper-parameter tuning and feature selection. The final goal is the detection in ambulatory recordings of short, non-sustained and sparse TWA events. RESULTS: We train ML methods to detect a wide variety of alternant voltage from 20 to 100 µV, i.e., ranging from non-visible micro-alternans to TWA of higher amplitudes, to recognize a wide range in concordance to risk stratification. In classification, RF outperforms significantly the recall in comparison with the signal processing methods, at the expense of a small lost in precision. Despite ambulatory detection stands for an imbalanced category context, the trained ML systems always outperform signal processing methods. CONCLUSIONS: We propose a comprehensive integration of multiple variables inspired by TWA signal processing methods to fed learning-based methods. ML models consistently outperform the best signal processing methods, yielding superior recall scores.


Subject(s)
Arrhythmias, Cardiac , Electrocardiography, Ambulatory , Humans , Electrocardiography, Ambulatory/methods , Heart Rate , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/diagnosis , Death, Sudden, Cardiac , Signal Processing, Computer-Assisted , Electrocardiography/methods
11.
Animals (Basel) ; 14(8)2024 Apr 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38672374

ABSTRACT

In response to the high breakage rate of pigeon eggs and the significant labor costs associated with egg-producing pigeon farming, this study proposes an improved YOLOv8-PG (real versus fake pigeon egg detection) model based on YOLOv8n. Specifically, the Bottleneck in the C2f module of the YOLOv8n backbone network and neck network are replaced with Fasternet-EMA Block and Fasternet Block, respectively. The Fasternet Block is designed based on PConv (Partial Convolution) to reduce model parameter count and computational load efficiently. Furthermore, the incorporation of the EMA (Efficient Multi-scale Attention) mechanism helps mitigate interference from complex environments on pigeon-egg feature-extraction capabilities. Additionally, Dysample, an ultra-lightweight and effective upsampler, is introduced into the neck network to further enhance performance with lower computational overhead. Finally, the EXPMA (exponential moving average) concept is employed to optimize the SlideLoss and propose the EMASlideLoss classification loss function, addressing the issue of imbalanced data samples and enhancing the model's robustness. The experimental results showed that the F1-score, mAP50-95, and mAP75 of YOLOv8-PG increased by 0.76%, 1.56%, and 4.45%, respectively, compared with the baseline YOLOv8n model. Moreover, the model's parameter count and computational load are reduced by 24.69% and 22.89%, respectively. Compared to detection models such as Faster R-CNN, YOLOv5s, YOLOv7, and YOLOv8s, YOLOv8-PG exhibits superior performance. Additionally, the reduction in parameter count and computational load contributes to lowering the model deployment costs and facilitates its implementation on mobile robotic platforms.

12.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(21): 31343-31354, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38632194

ABSTRACT

In this study, three different univariate municipal solid waste (MSW) disposal rate forecast models (SARIMA, Holt-Winters, Prophet) were examined using different testing periods in four North American cities with different socioeconomic conditions. A review of the literature suggests that the selected models are able to handle seasonality in a time series; however, their ability to handle outliers is not well understood. The Prophet model generally outperformed the Holt-Winters model and the SARIMA model. The MAPE and R2 of the Prophet model during pre-COVID-19 were 4.3-22.2% and 0.71-0.93, respectively. All three models showed satisfactory predictive results, especially during the pre-COVID-19 testing period. COVID-19 lockdowns and the associated regulatory measures appear to have affected MSW disposal behaviors, and all the univariate models failed to fully capture the abrupt changes in waste disposal behaviors. Modeling errors were largely attributed to data noise in seasonality and the unprecedented event of COVID-19 lockdowns. Overall, the modeling errors of the Prophet model were evenly distributed, with minimum modeling biases. The Prophet model also appeared to be versatile and successfully captured MSW disposal rates from 3000 to 39,000 tons/month. The study highlights the potential benefits of the use of univariate models in waste forecast.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cities , Refuse Disposal , COVID-19/epidemiology , North America , Solid Waste , Humans , Models, Theoretical , SARS-CoV-2
13.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 386, 2024 Apr 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38594638

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since December 2019, COVID-19 has spread rapidly around the world, and studies have shown that measures to prevent COVID-19 can largely reduce the spread of other infectious diseases. This study explored the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak and interventions on the incidence of HFMD. METHODS: We gathered data on the prevalence of HFMD from the Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University. An autoregressive integrated moving average model was constructed using HFMD incidence data from 2014 to 2019, the number of cases predicted from 2020 to 2022 was predicted, and the predicted values were compared with the actual measurements. RESULTS: From January 2014 to October 2022, the Children's Hospital of Zhengzhou University admitted 103,995 children with HFMD. The average number of cases of HFMD from 2020 to 2022 was 4,946, a significant decrease from 14,859 cases from 2014 to 2019. We confirmed the best ARIMA (2,0,0) (1,1,0)12 model. From 2020 to 2022, the yearly number of cases decreased by 46.58%, 75.54%, and 66.16%, respectively, compared with the forecasted incidence. Trends in incidence across sexes and ages displayed patterns similar to those overall. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 outbreak and interventions reduced the incidence of HFMD compared to that before the outbreak. Strengthening public health interventions remains a priority in the prevention of HFMD.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease , Child , Humans , Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology , Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/prevention & control , Retrospective Studies , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Incidence , China/epidemiology
14.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 7958, 2024 Apr 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38575656

ABSTRACT

Control charts have been used to monitor product manufacturing processes for decades. The exponential distribution is commonly used to fit data in research related to healthcare and product lifetime. This study proposes an exponentially weighted moving average control chart with a variable sampling interval scheme to monitor the exponential process, denoted as a VSIEWMA-exp chart. The performance measures are investigated using the Markov chain method. In addition, an algorithm to obtain the optimal parameters of the model is proposed. We compared the proposed control chart with other competitors, and the results showed that our proposed method outperformed other competitors. Finally, an illustrative example with the data concerning urinary tract infections is presented.

15.
Environ Pollut ; 347: 123718, 2024 Apr 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38447651

ABSTRACT

Air pollution has emerged as a significant global concern, particularly in urban centers. This study aims to investigate the temporal distribution of air pollutants, including PM2.5, PM10, and O3, utilizing multiple linear regression modeling. Additionally, the research incorporates the calculation of the Air Quality Index (AQI) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series modeling to predict the AQI for PM2.5 and PM10. The concentrations and AQI values for PM2.5 ranged from 0 to 93.6 µg/m3 and 0 to 171, respectively, surpassing the Word Health Organization's (WHO) acceptable threshold levels. Similarly, concentrations and AQI values for PM10 ranged from 0.1 to 149.27 µg/m3 and 2-98 µg/m3, respectively, also exceeding WHO standards. Particulate matter pollution exhibited notable peaks during summer and winter. Key meteorological factors, including dew point temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall, showed a significant negative association with all pollutants, while ambient temperature exhibited a significant positive correlation with particulate matter. Multiple linear regression models of particulate matter for winter season demonstrated the highest model performance, explaining most of the variation in particulate matter concentrations. The annual multiple linear regression model for PM2.5 exhibited the most robust performance, explaining 60% of the variation, while the models for PM10 and O3 explained 45% of the variation in their concentrations. Time series modeling projected an increasing trend in the AQI for particulate matter in 2022. The precise and accurate results of this study serve as a valuable reference for developing effective air pollution control strategies and raising awareness of AQI in Myanmar.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Environmental Pollutants , Air Pollutants/analysis , Myanmar , Air Pollution/analysis , Particulate Matter/analysis , Environmental Monitoring
16.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 6458, 2024 Mar 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38499630

ABSTRACT

In recent years, deep learning methods have been widely used in combination with control charts to improve the monitoring efficiency of complete data. However, due to time and cost constraints, data obtained from reliability life tests are often type-I right censored. Traditional control charts become inefficient for monitoring this type of data. Thus, researchers have proposed various control charts with conditional expected values (CEV) or conditional median (CM) to improve efficiency for right-censored data under normal and non-normal conditions. This study combines the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) CEV and CM chart with deep learning methods to increase efficiency for gamma type-I right-censored data. A statistical simulation and a real-world case are presented to assess the proposed method, which outperforms the traditional EWMA charts with CEV and CM in various skewness coefficient values and censoring rates for gamma type-I right-censored data.

17.
JMIR Cardio ; 8: e45130, 2024 Mar 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38427393

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hospitalizations account for almost one-third of the US $4.1 trillion health care cost in the United States. A substantial portion of these hospitalizations are attributed to readmissions, which led to the establishment of the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program (HRRP) in 2012. The HRRP reduces payments to hospitals with excess readmissions. In 2018, >US $700 million was withheld; this is expected to exceed US $1 billion by 2022. More importantly, there is nothing more physically and emotionally taxing for readmitted patients and demoralizing for hospital physicians, nurses, and administrators. Given this high uncertainty of proper home recovery, intelligent monitoring is needed to predict the outcome of discharged patients to reduce readmissions. Physical activity (PA) is one of the major determinants for overall clinical outcomes in diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, heart failure, cancer, and mental health issues. These are the exact comorbidities that increase readmission rates, underlining the importance of PA in assessing the recovery of patients by quantitative measurement beyond the questionnaire and survey methods. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop a remote, low-cost, and cloud-based machine learning (ML) platform to enable the precision health monitoring of PA, which may fundamentally alter the delivery of home health care. To validate this technology, we conducted a clinical trial to test the ability of our platform to predict clinical outcomes in discharged patients. METHODS: Our platform consists of a wearable device, which includes an accelerometer and a Bluetooth sensor, and an iPhone connected to our cloud-based ML interface to analyze PA remotely and predict clinical outcomes. This system was deployed at a skilled nursing facility where we collected >17,000 person-day data points over 2 years, generating a solid training database. We used these data to train our extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)-based ML environment to conduct a clinical trial, Activity Assessment of Patients Discharged from Hospital-I, to test the hypothesis that a comprehensive profile of PA would predict clinical outcome. We developed an advanced data-driven analytic platform that predicts the clinical outcome based on accurate measurements of PA. Artificial intelligence or an ML algorithm was used to analyze the data to predict short-term health outcome. RESULTS: We enrolled 52 patients discharged from Stanford Hospital. Our data demonstrated a robust predictive system to forecast health outcome in the enrolled patients based on their PA data. We achieved precise prediction of the patients' clinical outcomes with a sensitivity of 87%, a specificity of 79%, and an accuracy of 85%. CONCLUSIONS: To date, there are no reliable clinical data, using a wearable device, regarding monitoring discharged patients to predict their recovery. We conducted a clinical trial to assess outcome data rigorously to be used reliably for remote home care by patients, health care professionals, and caretakers.

18.
Sci Prog ; 107(1): 368504241236557, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38490223

ABSTRACT

We introduce a comprehensive analysis of several approaches used in stock price forecasting, including statistical, machine learning, and deep learning models. The advantages and limitations of these models are discussed to provide an insight into stock price forecasting. Traditional statistical methods, such as the autoregressive integrated moving average and its variants, are recognized for their efficiency, but they also have some limitations in addressing non-linear problems and providing long-term forecasts. Machine learning approaches, including algorithms such as artificial neural networks and random forests, are praised for their ability to grasp non-linear information without depending on stochastic data or economic theory. Moreover, deep learning approaches, such as convolutional neural networks and recurrent neural networks, can deal with complex patterns in stock prices. Additionally, this study further investigates hybrid models, combining various approaches to explore their strengths and counterbalance individual weaknesses, thereby enhancing predictive accuracy. By presenting a detailed review of various studies and methods, this study illuminates the direction of stock price forecasting and highlights potential approaches for further studies refining the stock price forecasting models.

19.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 5443, 2024 Mar 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38443440

ABSTRACT

Due to the alternating loads on pumping units and the integration of new energy sources, multisource DC microgrid pumping unit well groups experience increased fluctuations in voltage and power as well as superimposed peak and valley values. This work presents a distributed control strategy for pumping unit well groups on a multisource DC microgrid based on the weighted moving average algorithm. A centralized control program is implanted in the RTU of the single-well controller of each pumping unit, and communication with each well is realized via SCADA and multicast communication, resulting in a distributed well group system. The real-time power values of the pumping well group are calculated by grouping the power values, and each group is weighted using the total power fluctuation threshold of the well group as the control target. Then, a weighted moving average algorithm is used to predict the next power value and form a table of predicted real-time power spectra. According to the power values in the community power spectrum table, the inverter frequency is proportionally adjusted downwards to reach the power peak before deceleration; after the power peak is crossed, the frequency is increased in the same way to reach the power valley before acceleration. Finally, the peak and valley power values of the bus system level off and further learn to reach the set impulse; ultimately, a stable impulse is formed. In laboratory testing and field application in the Shengli Oilfield XIN-11 block, the group control software module effectively suppressed the active power peak and valley values and voltage fluctuations of the bus system, the active power fluctuation rate range decreased by more than 70%, and the DC bus voltage fluctuation range decreased by more than 80%; moreover, the active power decreased by approximately 6% without additional hardware costs.

20.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 6759, 2024 Mar 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38514721

ABSTRACT

This research designed a distribution-free mixed exponentially weighted moving average-moving average (EWMA-MA) control chart based on signed-rank statistic to effectively identify changes in the process location. The EWMA-MA charting statistic assigns more weight to information obtained from the recent w samples and exponentially decreasing weights to information accumulated from all other past samples. The run-length profile of the proposed chart is obtained by employing Monte Carlo simulation techniques. The effectiveness of the proposed chart is evaluated under symmetrical distributions using a variety of individual and overall performance measures. The analysis of the run-length profile indicates that the proposed chart performs better than the existing control charts discussed in the literature. Additionally, an application from a gas turbine is provided to demonstrate how the proposed chart can be used in practice.

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