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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38958673

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This population-based study explored emergency room visits (ERVs) from all-causes, circulatory and respiratory diseases among different occupational groups in Taiwan associated with ambient average temperature. METHOD: Daily area-age-sex specific ERVs records were obtained from the Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare from 2009 to 2018. Distributed lag-nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the exposure-response relationships between daily average temperature and ERVs for all-causes, circulatory and respiratory diseases by occupational groups. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool the overall cumulative relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: The exposure-response curves showed ERVs of all-cause and respiratory diseases increased with rising temperature across all occupational groups. These effects were consistently stronger among younger (20-64 years old) and outdoor workers. In contrast, ERVs risk from circulatory diseases increased significantly during cold snaps, with a substantially higher risk for female workers. Interestingly, female workers, regardless of indoor or outdoor work, consistently showed a higher risk of respiratory ERVs during hot weather compared to males. Younger workers (20-64 years old) exhibited a higher risk of ERVs, likely due to job profiles with greater exposure to extreme temperatures. Notably, the highest risk of all-causes ERVs was observed in outdoor male laborers (union members), followed by farmers and private employees, with the lowest risk among indoor workers. Conversely, female indoor workers and female farmers faced the highest risk of respiratory ERVs. Again, female farmers with consistent outdoor exposure had the highest risk of circulatory ERVs during cold conditions. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlighted the complexity of temperature-related health risks associated with different occupational contexts. The population-level insights into vulnerable occupational groups could provide valuable comprehension for policymakers and healthcare practitioners.

2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1681, 2024 Jun 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38914979

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Traumatic fractures occur frequently worldwide. However, research remains limited on the association between short-term exposure to temperature and traumatic fractures. This study aims to explore the impact of apparent temperature (AT) on emergency visits (EVs) due to traumatic fractures. METHODS: Based on EVs data for traumatic fractures and the contemporary meteorological data, a generalized Poisson regression model along with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) were undertaken to determine the impact of AT on traumatic fracture EVs. Subgroup analysis by gender and age and sensitivity analysis were also performed. RESULTS: A total of 25,094 EVs for traumatic fractures were included in the study. We observed a wide "J"-shaped relationship between AT and risk of traumatic fractures, with AT above 9.5 °C positively associated with EVs due to traumatic fractures. The heat effects became significant at cumulative lag 0-11 days, and the relative risk (RR) for moderate heat (95th percentile, 35.7 °C) and extreme heat (99.5th percentile, 38.8 °C) effect was 1.311 (95% CI: 1.132-1.518) and 1.418 (95% CI: 1.191-1.688) at cumulative lag 0-14 days, respectively. The cold effects were consistently non-significant on single or cumulative lag days across 0-14 days. The heat effects were higher among male and those aged 18-65 years old. The sensitivity analysis results remained robust. CONCLUSION: Higher AT is associated with cumulative and delayed higher traumatic fracture EVs. The male and those aged 18-65 years are more susceptible to higher AT.


Subject(s)
Emergency Service, Hospital , Fractures, Bone , Humans , Male , Female , Adult , China/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Adolescent , Young Adult , Fractures, Bone/epidemiology , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Temperature , Infant , Hot Temperature/adverse effects
3.
Toxics ; 12(6)2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38922061

ABSTRACT

Ischemic stroke (IS), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and diabetes mellitus (DM) account for a large burden of premature deaths. However, few studies have investigated the associations between fine particular matter (PM2.5) components and mortality of IS, COPD and DM. We aimed to examine these associations in Beijing, China. Data on daily mortality, air pollutants and meteorological factors from 2008 to 2011 in Beijing were collected. Daily concentrations of five PM2.5 components, namely, sulfate ion (SO42-), ammonium ion (NH4+), nitrate ion (NO3-), organic matter (OM) and black carbon (BC), were obtained from the Tracking Air Pollution (TAP) database in China. The association between PM2.5 components and daily deaths was explored using a quasi-Poisson regression with the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM). The average daily concentrations of SO42-, NH4+, NO3-, OM and BC were 11.24, 8.37, 12.00, 17.34 and 3.32 µg/m3, respectively. After adjusting for temperature, relative humidity, pressure, particulate matter less than 10 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulfur dioxide (SO2), an IQR increase in OM at lag day 2 and lag day 6 was associated with an increased DM mortality risk (RR 1.038; 95% CI: 1.005-1.071) and COPD mortality risk (RR 1.013; 95% CI: 1.001-1.026). An IQR increase in BC at lag day 0 and lag day 6 was associated with increased COPD mortality risk (RR 1.228; 95% CI: 1.017-1.48, RR 1.059; 95% CI: 1.001-1.121). Cumulative exposure to SO42- and NH4+ was associated with an increased mortality risk for IS, with the highest effect found for lag of 0-7 days (RR 1.085; 95% CI: 1.010-1.167, RR 1.083; 95% CI: 1.003-1.169). These effects varied by sex and age group. This study demonstrated associations of short-term exposure to PM2.5 components with increased risk of IS, COPD and DM mortality in the general population. Our study also highlighted susceptible subgroups.

4.
Int J Mol Sci ; 25(12)2024 Jun 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38928351

ABSTRACT

Understanding the transport mechanism is crucial for developing inhibitors that block allergen absorption and transport and prevent allergic reactions. However, the process of how beta-conglycinin, the primary allergen in soybeans, crosses the intestinal mucosal barrier remains unclear. The present study indicated that the transport of beta-conglycinin hydrolysates by IPEC-J2 monolayers occurred in a time- and quantity-dependent manner. The beta-conglycinin hydrolysates were absorbed into the cytoplasm of IPEC-J2 monolayers, while none were detected in the intercellular spaces. Furthermore, inhibitors such as methyl-beta-cyclodextrin (MßCD) and chlorpromazine (CPZ) significantly suppressed the absorption and transport of beta-conglycinin hydrolysates. Of particular interest, sodium cromoglycate (SCG) exhibited a quantity-dependent nonlinear suppression model on the absorption and transport of beta-conglycinin hydrolysates. In conclusion, beta-conglycinin crossed the IPEC-J2 monolayers through a transcellular pathway, involving both clathrin-mediated and caveolae-dependent endocytosis mechanisms. SCG suppressed the absorption and transport of beta-conglycinin hydrolysates by the IPEC-J2 monolayers by a quantity-dependent nonlinear model via clathrin-mediated and caveolae-dependent endocytosis. These findings provide promising targets for both the prevention and treatment of soybean allergies.


Subject(s)
Antigens, Plant , Chlorpromazine , Cromolyn Sodium , Globulins , Seed Storage Proteins , Soybean Proteins , Globulins/metabolism , Globulins/pharmacology , Globulins/chemistry , Seed Storage Proteins/metabolism , Seed Storage Proteins/pharmacology , Seed Storage Proteins/chemistry , Antigens, Plant/metabolism , Soybean Proteins/metabolism , Soybean Proteins/chemistry , Animals , Cromolyn Sodium/pharmacology , Chlorpromazine/pharmacology , Endocytosis/drug effects , beta-Cyclodextrins/pharmacology , beta-Cyclodextrins/chemistry , Cell Line , Biological Transport/drug effects , Glycine max/metabolism , Glycine max/chemistry , Intestinal Mucosa/metabolism , Intestinal Mucosa/drug effects , Swine
5.
Stat Med ; 2024 Jun 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38894557

ABSTRACT

The Cox regression model or accelerated failure time regression models are often used for describing the relationship between survival outcomes and potential explanatory variables. These models assume the studied covariates are connected to the survival time or its distribution or their transformations through a function of a linear regression form. In this article, we propose nonparametric, nonlinear algorithms (deepAFT methods) based on deep artificial neural networks to model survival outcome data in the broad distribution family of accelerated failure time models. The proposed methods predict survival outcomes directly and tackle the problem of censoring via an imputation algorithm as well as re-weighting and transformation techniques based on the inverse probabilities of censoring. Through extensive simulation studies, we confirm that the proposed deepAFT methods achieve accurate predictions. They outperform the existing regression models in prediction accuracy, while being flexible and robust in modeling covariate effects of various nonlinear forms. Their prediction performance is comparable to other established deep learning methods such as deepSurv and random survival forest methods. Even though the direct output is the expected survival time, the proposed AFT methods also provide predictions for distributional functions such as the cumulative hazard and survival functions without additional learning efforts. For situations where the popular Cox regression model may not be appropriate, the deepAFT methods provide useful and effective alternatives, as shown in simulations, and demonstrated in applications to a lymphoma clinical trial study.

6.
Epidemiol Health ; : e2024053, 2024 Jun 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38901828

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study investigated the seasonal impact of diurnal temperature range (DTR) on hospitalization rates for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in middle-aged and elderly adults. Methods: We collected data on the DTR and hospitalization records of ≥45-year-old patients with ICH in 2019 in Hunan Province, central China. Time-series analyses were performed using a distributed lag nonlinear model. Results: Overall, 54,690 hospitalizations for ICH were recorded. DTR showed a nonlinear relationship with ICH hospitalization in both middle-aged and elderly populations (45-59 and ≥60 years, respectively). During spring, a low DTR coupled with persistently low temperatures increased ICH risk in both age groups, while a high DTR was associated with an increased risk in the middle-aged group only (relative risk [RR], 1.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21 to 1.27). In the summer, a low DTR combined with persistently high temperatures was linked to a higher risk exclusively in the middle-aged group. A high DTR in the autumn was correlated with increased risk in both age groups. In winter, either a low DTR with a continuously low temperature or a high DTR elevated the risk solely in the elderly population (RR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.69). In the elderly group, the impact of DTR on hospitalization risk manifested within a 5-day period. Conclusion: The impact of DTR on ICH hospitalization risk differed significantly across seasons and between age groups. Elderly individuals demonstrated greater sensitivity to the impact of DTR. Weather forecasting services should emphasize DTR values, and interventions targeting sensitive populations are needed.

7.
Cogn Neurodyn ; 18(3): 1021-1032, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38826663

ABSTRACT

Two coordinated dynamic properties (adaptation and sensitization) are observed in retinal ganglion cells (RGCs) under the contrast stimulation. During sustained high-contrast period, adaptation decreases RGCs' responses while sensitization increases RGCs' responses. In mouse retina, adaptation and sensitization respectively show OFF- and ON-pathway-dominance. However, the mechanisms which drive the differentiation between adaptation and sensitization remain unclear. In the present study, multi-electrode recordings were conducted on isolated mouse retina under full-field contrast stimulation. Dynamic property was quantified based on the trend of RGC's firing rate during high-contrast period, light sensitivity was estimated by linear-nonlinear analysis and coding ability was estimated through stimulus reconstruction algorism. γ-Aminobutyric acid (GABA) receptors were pharmacologically blocked to explore the relation between RGCs' dynamic property and the activity of GABA receptors. It was found that GABAA and GABAC receptors respectively mediated the adaptation and sensitization processes in RGCs' responses. RGCs' dynamic property changes occurred after the blockage of GABA receptors were related to the modulation of the cells' light sensitivity. Further, the blockage of GABAA (GABAC) receptor significantly decreased RGCs' overall coding ability and eliminated the functional benefits of adaptation (sensitization). Our work suggests that the dynamic property of individual RGC is related to the balance between its GABAA-receptor-mediated inputs and GABAC-receptor-mediated inputs. Blockage of GABA receptors breaks the balance of retinal circuitry for signal processing, and down-regulates the visual information coding ability. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11571-023-09950-2.

8.
Soc Sci Med ; 352: 117030, 2024 May 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38852552

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: As a complementary means to urban public transit systems, public bike-sharing provides a green and active mode of sustainable mobility, while reducing carbon-dioxide emissions and promoting health. There has been increasing interest in factors affecting bike-sharing usage, but little is known about the effect of ambient air pollution. METHOD: To assess the short-term impact of daily exposure to multiple air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and O3) on the public bike-sharing system (PBS) usage in Seoul, South Korea (2018-2021), we applied a quasi-Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM). The model was adjusted for day of the week, holiday, temperature, relative humidity, and long-term trend. We also conducted stratification analyses to examine the potential effect modification by age group, seasonality, and COVID-19. RESULTS: We found that there was a negative association between daily ambient air pollution and the PBS usage level at a single lag day 1 (i.e., air quality a day before the event) across all four pollutants. Our results suggest that days with high levels of air pollutants (at 95th percentile) are associated with a 0.91% (0.86% to 0.96%) for PM2.5, 0.89% (0.85% to 0.94%) for PM10, 0.87% (0.82% to 0.91%) for O3, and 0.92% (0.87% to 0.98%) for NO2, reduction in cycling behavior in the next day compared to days with low levels of pollutants (at 25th percentile). No evidence of effect modification was found by seasonality, age nor the COVID-19 pandemic for any of the four pollutants. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that high concentrations of ambient air pollution are associated with decreased rates of PBS usage on the subsequent day regardless of the type of air pollutant measured.

9.
Arch Bronconeumol ; 2024 May 31.
Article in English, Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38876916

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death and the second most common cancer in both sexes worldwide, with tobacco being its main risk factor. The aim of this study is to establish the temporal relationship between smoking prevalence and lung cancer mortality in Spain. METHODS: To model the time dependence between smoking prevalence and lung cancer mortality, a distributed lag non-linear model was applied adjusting for sex, age, year of mortality and population at risk. Smoking prevalence data from 1991-2020 were used. Considering a maximum lag of 25 years, mortality data from 2016-2020 were included. The effect of prevalence on mortality for each lag is presented in terms of relative risk (RR). To identify the lag at which smoking prevalence has the greatest effect on mortality, the RR of the different lags were compared. RESULTS: The optimal lag observed between smoking prevalence and lung cancer mortality in Spain was 15 years. The maximum RR was 2.9 (95%CI: 2.0-4.3) for a prevalence of 71% and a 15-year lag. The RR was 1.8 for a prevalence of 33%, an approximate median value between 1991-2020, and a 15-year lag. CONCLUSIONS: In Spain, lung cancer mortality is affected by smoking prevalence 15 years prior. Knowing the evolution of the smoking prevalence series in a country and establishing a lag time is essential to predict how lung cancer incidence and mortality will evolve.

10.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e52221, 2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38837197

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) continues to pose a significant public health threat to the population in China. Previous epidemiological evidence indicates that HFRS is climate sensitive and influenced by meteorological factors. However, past studies either focused on too-narrow geographical regions or investigated time periods that were too early. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive analysis to interpret the epidemiological patterns of meteorological factors affecting the incidence of HFRS across diverse climate zones. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to describe the overall epidemic characteristics of HFRS and explore the linkage between monthly HFRS cases and meteorological factors at different climate levels in China. METHODS: The reported HFRS cases and meteorological data were collected from 151 cities in China during the period from 2015 to 2021. We conducted a 3-stage analysis, adopting a distributed lag nonlinear model and a generalized additive model to estimate the interactions and marginal effects of meteorological factors on HFRS. RESULTS: This study included a total of 63,180 cases of HFRS; the epidemic trends showed seasonal fluctuations, with patterns varying across different climate zones. Temperature had the greatest impact on the incidence of HFRS, with the maximum hysteresis effects being at 1 month (-19 ºC; relative risk [RR] 1.64, 95% CI 1.24-2.15) in the midtemperate zone, 0 months (28 ºC; RR 3.15, 95% CI 2.13-4.65) in the warm-temperate zone, and 0 months (4 ºC; RR 1.72, 95% CI 1.31-2.25) in the subtropical zone. Interactions were discovered between the average temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation in different temperature zones. Moreover, the influence of precipitation and relative humidity on the incidence of HFRS had different characteristics under different temperature layers. The hysteresis effect of meteorological factors did not end after an epidemic season, but gradually weakened in the following 1 or 2 seasons. CONCLUSIONS: Weather variability, especially low temperature, plays an important role in epidemics of HFRS in China. A long hysteresis effect indicates the necessity of continuous intervention following an HFRS epidemic. This finding can help public health departments guide the prevention and control of HFRS and develop strategies to cope with the impacts of climate change in specific regions.


Subject(s)
Cities , Epidemics , Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome , Meteorological Concepts , Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/epidemiology , Humans , China/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Cities/epidemiology , Male , Female , Incidence , Adult
11.
Environ Geochem Health ; 46(7): 217, 2024 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38849621

ABSTRACT

As an acute respiratory disease, scarlet fever has great harm to public health. Some evidence indicates that the time distribution pattern of heavy PM2.5 pollution occurrence may have an impact on health risks. This study aims to reveal the relation between scaling features in high-concentrations PM2.5 (HC-PM2.5) evolution and scarlet fever incidence (SFI). Based on the data of Hong Kong from 2012 to 2019, fractal box-counting dimension (D) is introduced to capture the scaling features of HC-PM2.5. It has been found that index D can quantify the time distribution of HC-PM2.5, and lower D values indicate more cluster distribution of HC-PM2.5. Moreover, scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 at different time scales has been discovered, which indicates that HC-PM2.5 occurrence is not random but follows a typical power-law distribution. Next, the exposure-response relationship between SFI and scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 is explored by Distributed lag non-linear model, in conjunction with meteorological factors. It has been discovered that scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 has a nonlinear effect on SFI. Low and moderate D values of HC-PM2.5 are identified as risk factors for SFI at small time-scale. Moreover, relative risk shows a decreasing trend with the increase of exposure time. These results suggest that exposure to short-term clustered HC-PM2.5 makes individual more prone to SFI than exposure to long-term uniform HC-PM2.5. This means that individuals in slightly-polluted regions may face a greater risk of SFI, once the PM2.5 concentration keeps rising. In the future, it is expected that the relative risk of scarlet fever for a specific region can be estimated based on the quantitative analysis of scaling features in high-concentrations PM2.5 evolution.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Particulate Matter , Scarlet Fever , Particulate Matter/analysis , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Scarlet Fever/epidemiology , Incidence , Air Pollutants/analysis , Environmental Exposure , Risk Factors , Air Pollution/adverse effects
12.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 13(1): 34, 2024 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38773558

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a pressing public health issue, posing a significant threat to individuals' well-being and lives. This study delves into the TB incidence in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021, aiming to gain deeper insights into their epidemiological characteristics and explore macro-level factors to enhance control and prevention. METHODS: TB incidence data in Chinese mainland from 2014 to 2021 were sourced from the National Notifiable Disease Reporting System (NNDRS). A two-stage distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was constructed to evaluate the lag and non-linearity of daily average temperature (℃, Atemp), average relative humidity (%, ARH), average wind speed (m/s, AWS), sunshine duration (h, SD) and precipitation (mm, PRE) on the TB incidence. A spatial panel data model was used to assess the impact of demographic, medical and health resource, and economic factors on TB incidence. RESULTS: A total of 6,587,439 TB cases were reported in Chinese mainland during 2014-2021, with an average annual incidence rate of 59.17/100,000. The TB incidence decreased from 67.05/100,000 in 2014 to 46.40/100,000 in 2021, notably declining from 2018 to 2021 (APC = -8.87%, 95% CI: -11.97, -6.85%). TB incidence rates were higher among males, farmers, and individuals aged 65 years and older. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed a significant cluster in Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Xizang from March 2017 to June 2019 (RR = 3.94, P < 0.001). From 2014 to 2021, the proportion of etiologically confirmed cases increased from 31.31% to 56.98%, and the time interval from TB onset to diagnosis shortened from 26 days (IQR: 10-56 days) to 19 days (IQR: 7-44 days). Specific meteorological conditions, including low temperature (< 16.69℃), high relative humidity (> 71.73%), low sunshine duration (< 6.18 h) increased the risk of TB incidence, while extreme low wind speed (< 2.79 m/s) decreased the risk. The spatial Durbin model showed positive associations between TB incidence rates and sex ratio (ß = 1.98), number of beds in medical and health institutions per 10,000 population (ß = 0.90), and total health expenses (ß = 0.55). There were negative associations between TB incidence rates and population (ß = -1.14), population density (ß = -0.19), urbanization rate (ß = -0.62), number of medical and health institutions (ß = -0.23), and number of health technicians per 10,000 population (ß = -0.70). CONCLUSIONS: Significant progress has been made in TB control and prevention in China, but challenges persist among some populations and areas. Varied relationships were observed between TB incidence and factors from meteorological, demographic, medical and health resource, and economic aspects. These findings underscore the importance of ongoing efforts to strengthen TB control and implement digital/intelligent surveillance for early risk detection and comprehensive interventions.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis , Humans , Incidence , China/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/prevention & control , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Child, Preschool , Child , Adolescent , Young Adult , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , East Asian People
13.
Int J Biometeorol ; 2024 May 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38802581

ABSTRACT

This study used the time series data of Ganzhou city to explore the individual and interaction effects of temperature and humidity on COPD death, and identify vulnerable subgroups of the population. We collected daily COPD mortality and meteorological data in Ganzhou from 2016 to 2019. The nonlinear distribution lag model was used to examine the associations and interaction between daily mean temperature and humidity and COPD mortality. For the total population, male and 65 years old or above, the relative risk (RR) for COPD mortality could be significant at extremely low temperature (3.3 ℃), reaching 1.799 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.216, 2.662), 1.894 (95% CI: 1.164, 3.084) and 1.779 (95% CI:1.185, 2.670). Also, at extremely low humidity (47.8%), the risk reached 1.888 (95% CI: 1.217, 2.930), 1.837 (95% CI: 1.066, 3.165) and 2.166 (95% CI: 1.375, 3.414). The cumulative COPD death risk for females was 3.524 (95% CI: 1.340, 9.267) at high temperature (30.7 ℃), 1.953(95% CI: 1.036, 3.683) at low humidity (47.8%) and 1.726 (95% CI: 1.048, 2.845) at high humidity (96.7%). For the total COPD deaths and subgroups, the interaction effects between daily temperature and humidity were not significant (p > 0.05). Both extremely low temperature and low humidity increased the risk of COPD death in Ganzhou city, especially for males and people over 65 years old. Females were more sensitive to extremely high temperature and humidity. Patients with COPD should pay attention to self-protection under extreme temperature and humidity weather conditions.

14.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1324191, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38716246

ABSTRACT

Objectives: The impact of climate change, especially extreme temperatures, on health outcomes has become a global public health concern. Most previous studies focused on the impact of disease incidence or mortality, whereas much less has been done on road traffic injuries (RTIs). This study aimed to explore the effects of ambient temperature, particularly extreme temperature, on road traffic deaths in Jinan city. Methods: Daily data on road traffic deaths and meteorological factors were collected among all residents in Jinan city during 2011-2020. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design with distributed lag nonlinear model to evaluate the association between daily mean temperature, especially extreme temperature and road traffic deaths, and its variation in different subgroups of transportation mode, adjusting for meteorological confounders. Results: A total of 9,794 road traffic deaths were collected in our study. The results showed that extreme temperatures were associated with increased risks of deaths from road traffic injuries and four main subtypes of transportation mode, including walking, Bicycle, Motorcycle and Motor vehicle (except motorcycles), with obviously lag effects. Meanwhile, the negative effects of extreme high temperatures were significantly higher than those of extreme low temperatures. Under low-temperature exposure, the highest cumulative lag effect of 1.355 (95% CI, 1.054, 1.742) for pedal cyclists when cumulated over lag 0 to 6 day, and those for pedestrians, motorcycles and motor vehicle occupants all persisted until 14 days, with ORs of 1.227 (95% CI, 1.102, 1.367), 1.453 (95% CI, 1.214, 1.740) and 1.202 (95% CI, 1.005, 1.438), respectively. Under high-temperature exposure, the highest cumulative lag effect of 3.106 (95% CI, 1.646, 5.861) for motorcycle occupants when cumulated over lag 0 to 12 day, and those for pedestrian, pedal cyclists, and motor vehicle accidents all peaked when persisted until 14 days, with OR values of 1.638 (95% CI, 1.281, 2.094), 2.603 (95% CI, 1.695, 3.997) and 1.603 (95% CI, 1.066, 2.411), respectively. Conclusion: This study provides evidence that ambient temperature is significantly associated with the risk of road traffic injuries accompanied by obvious lag effect, and the associations differ by the mode of transportation. Our findings help to promote a more comprehensive understanding of the relationship between temperature and road traffic injuries, which can be used to establish appropriate public health policies and targeted interventions.


Subject(s)
Accidents, Traffic , Cross-Over Studies , Nonlinear Dynamics , Temperature , Humans , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , China/epidemiology , Male , Female , Adult , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Cities , Middle Aged , Adolescent
15.
ISA Trans ; 150: 30-43, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38811311

ABSTRACT

This paper studies a multi-hydraulic system (MHS) synchronization control algorithm. Firstly, a general nonlinear asymmetric MHS state space entirety model is established and subsequently the model form is simplified by nonlinear feedback linearization. Secondly, an entirety model-type solution is proposed, integrating a nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) algorithm with a cross-coupling control (CCC) algorithm. Furthermore, a novel disturbance compensator based on the system's inverse model is introduced to effectively handle disturbances, encompassing unmodeled errors and noise. The proposed innovative controller, known as nonlinear model predictive control-cross-coupling control with deep neural network feedforward (NMPC-CCC-DNNF), is designed to minimize synchronization errors and counteract the impact of disturbances. The stability of the control system is rigorously demonstrated. Finally, simulation results underscore the efficacy of the NMPC-CCC-DNNF controller, showcasing a remarkable 60.8% reduction in synchronization root mean square error (RMSE) compared to other controllers, reaching up to 91.1% in various simulations. These results affirm the superior control performance achieved by the NMPC-CCC-DNNF controller.

16.
Neural Netw ; 176: 106364, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38754288

ABSTRACT

In practical industrial processes, the receding optimization solution of nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is always a very knotty problem. Based on adaptive dynamic programming, the accelerated value iteration predictive control (AVI-PC) algorithm is developed in this paper. Integrating iteration learning with the receding horizon mechanism of NMPC, a novel receding optimization solution pattern is exploited to resolve the optimal control law in each prediction horizon. Besides, the basic architecture and the specific form of the AVI-PC algorithm are demonstrated, including the relationship among the iterative learning process, the prediction process, and the control process. On this basis, the convergence and admissibility conditions are established, and the relevant properties are comprehensively analyzed when the accelerated factor satisfies the established conditions. Furthermore, the accelerated value iterative function is approximated through the single critic network constructed by utilizing the multiple linear regression method. Finally, the plentiful simulation experiments are conducted from various perspectives to verify the effectiveness and progressiveness of the AVI-PC algorithm.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Neural Networks, Computer , Nonlinear Dynamics , Computer Simulation , Humans , Machine Learning
17.
Heliyon ; 10(7): e27900, 2024 Apr 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38571664

ABSTRACT

Cardiovascular (CVD) + Respiratory diseases are recognized as the main cause of death worldwide. Fluctuations in temperature and air pollution have been reported as one of the most important causes of cardiovascular & respiratory diseases. Therefore, in the current study, we assessed the relationship between ambient air temperature and pollution on the number of total emergency hospital admission due to cardiovascular and respiratory conditions in the City of Bojnord, northeastern Iran. The meteorological data, including daily temperature, relative humidity and concentrations of five air pollutants CO, NO2, NOX SO2, and PM10 were obtained from online electronic sensors at the Bojnurd meteorological station from 21th March 2018 to 20th March 2020. Statistical analysis, penalized distributed lag non-linear method was applied using R Software. Also, sensitivity analysis test was calculated by using appropriate application. The results of the study revealed that the effect of higher and lower temperatures was observed immediately from the first day and the second week, respectively. Also result showed with increase and decrease temperature, significantly increased the risk of hospitalization by 36% (RR, 1.36; 95% CI (1), 0.95 to 1.95) and 17% (RR, 1.17; 95% CI (1), 0.88 to 1.55) until the lag 25th day, respectively. Based on the results, increasing temperature significantly increased the hospitalization rate of cardiopulmonary patients, but the effect of cold was not significant on the population as well as age and gender subgroups. Study have also proved that there is no significance correlation between air pollutant and Cardiovascular & respiratory diseases.

18.
Heliyon ; 10(7): e28387, 2024 Apr 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38586371

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to explore the characteristics of an active Free-Piston Stirling Engine (AFPSE) through the use of machine learning methods. Due to the time-intensive nature of extracting simulation results from complex thermal equations, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is utilized to expedite the process. To construct a nonlinear model, 5000 samples are extracted from simulation results. Input parameters included in the model are the hot and cold source temperatures, the voltage given to the DC motor, spring stiffness, and the mass of the power piston, while output parameters are the amplitude and frequency of power piston displacement. The proposed ANN model structure comprises two hidden layer with 10 and 20 neurons, respectively, indicating the applicability of the ANN model in estimating significant parameters of AFPSE in a shorter amount of time. The firefly optimization algorithm is utilized to determine the unknown input parameters of ANN and maximize the output power. Results indicate that a maximum output power of 23.07 W can be attained by applying 8.5 V voltage on the DC motor. This study highlights the potential of machine learning techniques to explore the primary features of AFPSE.

19.
Methods Protoc ; 7(2)2024 Mar 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38668135

ABSTRACT

This research focuses on the development of a state observer for performing indirect measurements of the main variables involved in the soybean oil transesterification reaction with a guishe biochar-based heterogeneous catalyst; the studied reaction takes place in a batch reactor. The mathematical model required for the observer design includes the triglycerides' conversion rate, and the reaction temperature. Since these variables are represented by nonlinear differential equations, the model is linearized around an operation point; after that, the pole placement and linear quadratic regulator (LQR) methods are considered for calculating the observer gain vector L(x). Then, the estimation of the conversion rate and the reaction temperature provided by the observer are used to indirectly measure other variables such as esters, alcohol, and byproducts. The observer performance is evaluated with three error indexes considering initial condition variations up to 30%. With both methods, a fast convergence (less than 3 h in the worst case) of the observer is remarked.

20.
ISA Trans ; 149: 348-364, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644075

ABSTRACT

The magnetic levitation (maglev) ball system is a prototypical Single-Input-Single-Output (SISO) system, characterized by its pronounced nonlinearity, rapid response, and open-loop instability. It serves as the basis for many industrial devices. For describing the dynamics of the maglev ball system precisely in the pseudo linear model, the long short-term memory (LSTM) based auto-regressive model with exogenous input variables (LSTM-ARX) is proposed. Firstly, the LSTM network is modified by incorporating the auto-regressive structure with respect to sequence input, allowing it to deduce a locally linearized model without the need for Taylor expansion. Then, the LSTM-ARX model is transformed into a linear parameter varying (LPV) state space model, and upon this foundation, a model predictive controller (MPC) is proposed. Specifically, when deducing the MPC, the deep learning-based model is linearized by fixing its state input at the current state, so that the nonlinear, non-convex optimization problem can be converted to a finite-horizon quadratic programming problem, thereby deriving the explicit form of MPC. To further enhance the efficiency of the controller in real-time control tasks, a predictive functional controller (PFC) is proposed. It employs multiple nonlinear functions to fit the control sequence, thereby reducing the number of decision variables of the on-line optimization problem in MPC. The proposed controller was successfully applied to the real-time control of the maglev ball system. Simulation and real-time control experiments have validated the improvement in transient performance and efficiency of the LSTM-ARX model-based PFC (LSTM-ARX-PFC).

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