Temporal and spatial variations in the sub-daily precipitation structure over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP).

Precipitation is a vital component of the global atmospheric and hydrological cycles and influencing the distribution of water resources. Even subtle changes in precipitation can significantly impact ecosystems, energy cycles, agricultural production, and food security. Therefore, understanding the changes in the precipitation structure under climate change is essential. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is a region sensitive to global climate change and profoundly impacts the atmospheric water cycle in Asia and even globally, rendering it a hot topic in climate change research in recent years. Few studies have examined on the sub-daily scale precipitation structure over the QTP. In this paper, the characteristics of sub-daily precipitation on the QTP were systematically investigated from multiple perspectives, including the concentration index, skewness (the third standardized moment of a distribution), and kurtosis (the fourth standardized moment of a distribution). The results indicated that the frequency of moderate-intensity nighttime precipitation on the QTP generally increased, and the analysis of both the concentration index and kurtosis (skewness) suggested that extreme precipitation was more frequent in the southwestern foothills of the QTP. Furthermore, potential high-risk areas for natural disasters were identified on the QTP, and found that the southeastern part of the plateau constituted a potential hotspot area for flood disasters. Given the complexity of climate change, a comprehensive analysis of the spatiotemporal characteristics of diurnal and nighttime precipitation changes on the QTP could help reveal the regularity of precipitation changes. This has significant implications for forecasting, warning, disaster preparedness, and mitigation efforts on the QTP.

Predicting Disparity between ASF-Managed Areas and Wild Boar Habitats: A Case of South Korea.

African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious viral disease affecting both domestic and wild boars. Since its first outbreak in South Korea in 2019, substantial efforts have been made to prevent ASF transmission by reducing the wild boar population and eliminating infected carcasses; however, the persistence of ASF transmission has posed challenges to these efforts. To improve ASF management strategies, the limitations of current management strategies must be identified by considering disparities between wild boar habitats and ASF-managed areas with environmental and anthropogenic characteristics of wild boars and their management strategies. Here, ensemble species distribution models were used to estimate wild boar habitats and potential ASF-managed areas, with elevation, distance to urban areas, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index as important variables. Binary maps of wild boar habitats and potential ASF-managed areas were generated using the maxSSS as the threshold criterion. Disparity areas of ASF management were identified by overlying regions evaluated as wild boar habitats with those not classified as ASF-managed areas. Dense forests near urban regions like Chungcheongbuk-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Gyeongsangnam-do were evaluated as disparity areas having high risk of ASF transmission. These findings hold significant potential for refining ASF management strategies and establishing proactive control measures.

Accumulation pattern and risk assessment of potentially toxic elements in selected wastewater-irrigated soils and plants in Vehari, Pakistan.

There are scarce data about the accumulation pattern and risk assessment of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in soil and associated potential ecological risks, especially in less-developed countries. This study aims to assess the pollution levels and potential ecological risks of PTEs (As, Cr, Cd, Cu, Ni, Mn, Pb and Zn) in wastewater-irrigated arable soils and different edible-grown plants in selected areas of Vehari, Pakistan. The results revealed that the values of PTEs in soil samples were higher than their respective limit values by 20% for As, 87% for Cd, 15% for Cu, 2% for Cr, 83% for Mn, 98% for Fe, and 7% for Zn. The values of soil risk indices such as the potential ecological risk (PERI >380 for all samples), pollution load index (PLI >4 for 94% of studied samples), and degree of contamination (Dc > 24 for all samples) showed severe soil contamination in the study area. Some vegetables exhibited a high metal accumulation index (e.g., 8.1 for onion), signifying potential associated health hazards. Thus, long-term wastewater irrigation has led to severe soil contamination, which can pose potential ecological risks via PTE accumulation in crops, particularly Cd. Therefore, to ensure food safety, frequent wastewater irrigation practices need to be minimized and managed in the study area.

Ensemble evaluation of the potential risk areas of yellow-legged hornet distribution.

Invasion of alien species facilitated by climate change and human assistant is one of global threats that cause irreversible damages on the local flora and fauna. One of these issued species, Vespa velutina nigrithorax du Buysson, 1905 (Hymenoptera:Vespidae), is a significant threat to entomofauna, including honeybees, in the introduced regions. This wasp is still expanding its habitats, prioritizing the development of a reliable species distribution model based on recently updated occurrence data. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the potential areas that are climatically exposed to V. v. nigrithorax invasion globally and in South Korea, where the wasp has caused severe damage to local ecosystems and apiculture after its recent introduction. We developed a new global scale ensemble model based on CLIMEX and Maxent models and applied it to South Korea using field survey data. As a result, risky areas were predicted to be temperate and subtropical climate regions, including the eastern USA, western Europe, Far East Asia, and small areas in South America and Australia. In particular, South Korea has a high potential risk throughout the country. We expect that this study would provide fundamental data for monitoring the environmental risks caused by V. v. nigrithorax using advanced species distribution modeling.

Identification of the potential risk areas for soil heavy metal pollution based on the source-sink theory.

From the perspective of the mechanism of soil pollution, it is difficult to explain the process of predicting the spatial distributions of soil heavy metal pollution using traditional geostatistical methods at a regional scale. Furthermore, few methods are available to proactively identify potential risk areas for preventing soil contamination. In this study, we selected 13 environmental factors related to the accumulation of soil heavy metals based on the source-sink theory. Then, the fuzzy k-means method in combination with the random forest (RF) method was used to classify potential risk areas. The concentrations and spatial distributions of the heavy metals were well predicted by RF, and the average values of the root mean square error of the prediction and R2 were 4.84 mg kg-1 and 0.57, respectively. The results indicated that the soil pH, fine particulate matter, and proximity to polluting enterprises significantly influenced the heavy metal pollution in soils, and the environmental variables varied significantly across the identified subregions. This study provides a theoretical basis for the sustainable management and control of soil pollution at the regional scale.

Identification and risk monitoring of potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area / 中华疾病控制杂志

Objective To identify and monitor potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area. Methods With remote sensing (RS)and geographic information system(GIS) technology, potential risk areas of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area were extracted by using spectral characteristics and environmental factors. Based on epidemiological data and land use data, the regional epidemic index and environmental susceptibility index were fused with potential epidemic risk areas in the grid system of Dongting Lake area to form the epidemic risk surveillance map of schistosomiasis in Dongting Lake area from 2006 to 2016. Results From 2006 to 2016, the high risk areas of schistosomiasis epidemic in Dongting Lake area were concentrated in the central and Northern lakeside areas of Changde City (Annual average epidemic index R-=0.330 5, Regional average susceptibility index Y-=2.458 2), the sensitive land types were Lake area (Sensitivity coefficient β=1.236 6), the surrounding area of Datong Lake in Nanxian and Northern Yuanjiang City (R-=0.426 0, Y-=0.836 8), paddy field area (β=0.202 1) and other construction land (β=0.308 0). The extremely high risk areas were concentrated in some lake-facing areas in Jinshi (R-=0.449 1, Y-=3.917 0) and the sensitive land type is woodland(β=1.234 5). The risk of river basin from high to low was respectively the Lishui River, the Yuanjiang River, the Zijiang River and the Xiangjiang River. Conclusions The high-risk and extremely high-risk areas should be the focus of future epidemic control. The snail control and environmental renovation of epidemic-sensitive areas such as sparse woodland, grassland with high coverage, reservoir pits and ponds should be done well in Dongting Lake area.