ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To determine risk factors for waitlist mortality in children with biliary atresia listed for liver transplantation. STUDY DESIGN: There were 2704 children with biliary atresia (<12 years of age) listed for a first liver transplant (2002-2018) in the United Network for Organ Sharing database. Fine-Gray regression models for competing risks analysis (main risk = waitlist mortality/delisting owing to too sick; competing risk = liver transplantation) were implemented to identify risk factors for waitlist mortality. RESULTS: The median waitlist time was 83 days (IQR, 34-191). The cumulative incidence of waitlist mortality was 5.2%. In multivariable analysis (n = 2253), increasing bilirubin level (P < .001), portal vein thrombosis (P = .03), and ventilator dependence (P < .001) at listing were associated with a higher risk, whereas weight ≥10 kg at listing (P = .009) was associated with a lower risk of waitlist mortality. When ascites at listing was included in multivariable analysis (n = 1376), it was associated with a higher risk for the composite outcome (P = .03). Encephalopathy at listing was not associated with waitlist mortality (n = 1376; P = .15). CONCLUSIONS: These parameters can be used to more objectively prioritize children with biliary atresia awaiting liver transplantation and identify children with biliary atresia-related end-stage liver disease at high-risk of mortality.
Subject(s)
Biliary Atresia/surgery , Liver Transplantation , Waiting Lists/mortality , Biliary Atresia/diagnosis , Biliary Atresia/mortality , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Severity of Illness Index , Survival Rate/trends , United States/epidemiologyABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION AND AIM: The MELD score has been established as an efficient and rigorous prioritization system for liver transplant (LT). Our study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the MELD score as a system for prioritization for LT, in terms of decreasing the dropout rate in the waiting list and maintaining an adequate survival post-LT in Chile. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the Chilean Public Health Institute liver transplant registry of candidates listed from October 15th 2011 to December 31st 2014. We included adult candidates (>15 years old) listed for elective cadaveric LT with a MELD score of 15 or higher. Statistical analysis included survival curves (Kaplan-Meier), log-rank statistics and multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: 420 candidates were analyzed. Mean age was 53.6±11.8 years, and 244 were men (58%). Causes of LT included: Liver cirrhosis without exceptions (HC) 177 (66.4%); hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) 111 (26.4%); cirrhosis with non-HCC exceptions 102 (24.3%) and non-cirrhotic candidates 30 (7.2%). LT rate was 43.2%. The dropout rate was 37.6% at 1-year. Even though the LT rate was higher, the annual dropout rate was significantly higher in cirrhotic candidates (without exceptions) compared with cirrhotics with HCC, and non-HCC exceptions plus non-cirrhotic candidates (47.9%; 37.2% and 24.2%, respectively, with p=0.004). Post-LT survival was 84% per year, with no significant differences between the three groups (p=0.95). CONCLUSION: Prioritization for LT using the MELD score system has not decreased the dropout rate in Chile (persistent low donor's rate). Exceptions generate inequities in dropout rate, disadvantaging patients without exceptions.
Subject(s)
Cooperative Behavior , Decision Support Techniques , Health Status Indicators , Healthcare Disparities/organization & administration , Interdisciplinary Communication , Liver Transplantation , Tissue and Organ Procurement/organization & administration , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Chile , Clinical Decision-Making , Female , Graft Survival , Humans , Liver Transplantation/adverse effects , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Dropouts , Patient Selection , Registries , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , Waiting Lists , Young AdultABSTRACT
Liver disease is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT) is the most effective treatment for end stage liver disease. Available resources and social circumstances have led to different ways of implementing LT around the world. The experience with pediatric LT corroborates the hypothesis that a combination of surgical strategies can be beneficial. The goal of this manuscript is to describe the strategies used by LT centers in North America, Europe and Asia and how these strategies can be applied to reduce waitlist mortality and increase access to LT.