ABSTRACT
Objective@#To establish a hypertension risk assessment model among the middle-aged and elderly populations based on residents' electronic healthcare records of the basic public health service program, so as to provide insights into prevention of hypertension.@*Methods@#Demographic features and physical examinations were collected among residents at ages of 40 years and older from residents' electronic healthcare records of the basic public health service program in a county of Zhejiang Province from 2019 to 2020. The risk factors of hypertension were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, and the odds ratio (OR) for each risk factor was transformed into approximate relative risk (RR), which was included in the formula for calculation of the disease risk proposed by Harvard School of Public Health to create a hypertension risk assessment model. The predictive value of the model was evaluated using a receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve.@*Results@#Totally 7 275 subjects were enrolled, with a mean age of (66.15±7.91) years, and the participants included 3 189 males and 4 086 females, with a male-to-female ratio of 0.78∶1. There were 190 cases with new-onset hypertension (2.61%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that overweight, obesity, central obesity, borderline high triacylglycerol (TG), elevated TG, abnormal fasting plasma glucose (FPG), prehypertension and family history of hypertension were included in the hypertension risk assessment model, with approximate RR values of 1.66, 1.96, 1.54, 1.17, 1.64, 1.45, 1.69 and 1.11. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.678 (95%CI: 0.641-0.715, P<0.001), and the optimal positive cut-off was 0.899. The model predicted 139 subjects with RR>0.899 for hypertension, with a sensitivity of 73.16% and specificity of 55.79%.@*Conclusions@#The hypertension risk assessment model created in this study is feasible to predict the RR for developing hypertension among the middle-aged and elderly populations, which has a predictive value in healthcare management.
ABSTRACT
This paper examines the effects of the "Equalization Program of Basic Public Health and Family Planning Services for Migrants" (EHFPSM), a novel internal migrant-targeted public health policy, of China implemented in 2013. By combining the individual-level data from the "China Migrants Dynamic Survey" and city-level statistical data, we find that EHFPSM contributes to a 6.9% statistically significant increase in the probability of electronic health records coverage and a 7.2% increase in the probability of reimbursement in the last inpatient visit, as well as a 1.2% decrease in the probability of one-year prevalence. The mechanism test shows that this program promotes the migrants' understanding of the policies and social insurance coverage to enhance their health status. EHFPSM brings about more significant decreases in disease prevalence for male and less-educated migrants, and higher reimbursement probability for urban hukou migrants. Our paper facilitates better understanding of the role of public health policies in promoting the internal migrants' health from the perspective of China.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Public health system plays a vital role in the development of health sector in China and protects the health of Chinese people. However, there are few comprehensive reviews and studies focusing on its evolution and reform. It is worthwhile to pay attention to the public health development in China, given that the history and structure of public health system have their own characteristics in China. METHODS: The study is a retrospective review of the development public health over seven decades in China. It presents the findings from some national or provincial survey data, interviews with key informants, reviews of relevant published papers and policy contents. RESULTS: This study identified four key stages that public health experienced in China: the initial stage centering on prevention, the stage of deviation with more attention to treatment but little to prevention, the recovery stage after SARS(Severe Acute Respiratory Syndromes) Crisis, and the new stage to an equitable and people-centered system. In the latest stage, the National Basic Public Health Service Program (NBPHSP) is implemented to respond the threat of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) and has achieved some initial results, while there are still many challenges including service quality, poor integration among service items and IT system, lack of quality professionals and insufficient intersectoral endeavor. DISCUSSION: There are unique Chinese wisdom and remarkable achievements as well as twists and turns on the development of China's public health. Prevention-first, flexible structure of the system, multi-agency collaboration and mass mobilization and society participation are the main experience of public health in early stage. Despite twists and turns since 1980s, public health system in China shows substantial resilience which may be from the government's continuous commitment to social development and people's livelihoods and its flexible governance. In 2010s, in order to achieve the well-off society, Chinese government pays unprecedented attention to health sector, which bring a new wave of opportunities to public health such as remaining the NBPHSP for priority. The evolution and reform of China's public health is based on its national condition, accumulates rich experience but also faces many common worldwide challenges. Getting this development and reform right is important to China's social and economic development in future, and China's experience in public health may provide many lessons for other countries. CONCLUSION: Public health in China needs to focus on prevention, strengthen multi-agency coordination mechanism, improve the quality of public health services in the future.
