The Effect of Risk Accumulation on Childhood Stunting: A Matched Case-Control Study in China.

Background: Childhood stunting is still a public health issue in developing countries. However, the traditional risk factors in underdeveloped areas are not suitable for developed areas. Moreover, childhood stunting is influenced by several aspects, including genetic factors, perinatal conditions, maternal conditions, and feeding practices, but researchers have not yet clearly determined which aspect of risk accumulation exerts the strongest effect on stunting. A matched case-control study was performed to assess the effect of different aspects of risk accumulation on childhood stunting. Methods: In total, 173 non-stunted children aged under 7 years were matched in our study from June 2015 to August 2015. The children's heights and weights were measured, and a self-administered questionnaire was used to collect information from the children and their parents. The risk factors were assigned to the following five aspects: genetic factors, family socioeconomic status, perinatal conditions, maternal conditions, and feeding practices. The risk accumulation (cumulative risk score) in each aspect was defined as the total number of risk factors that occurred in a certain aspect. A conditional logistic regression model was used to assess the effect of risk accumulation in different aspects on stunting, and a decision-tree model was used to predict the children's stunting based on the cumulative risk scores. Results: Risk accumulation in perinatal conditions, genetic factors, maternal conditions, and feeding practices was significant in the conditional logistic regression model (P < 0.05). Perinatal conditions showed the strongest association with stunting in both the regression analysis and the decision-tree model. The risk of stunting increased by 1.199 times if the cumulative risk score for perinatal conditions increased by one, and the probability of stunting was 75.8% if the cumulative risk score for perinatal conditions was ≥1. Conclusion: Risk accumulation in perinatal conditions, genetic factors, maternal conditions, and feeding practices substantially increased the probability of stunting in childhood. Perinatal conditions were the main aspect associated with stunting. Prevention and intervention measures should be adopted to avoid risk accumulation in stunting.

Does urbanization make emergence of zoonosis more likely? Evidence, myths and gaps.

Rapid urbanization in the global South is adding epidemiological and nutritional challenges and increasing disease and health burdens for citizens. Greater movement of people, animals, food and trade often provides favourable grounds for the emergence of infectious diseases, including zoonoses. We conduct a rapid evidence scan to explore what is known and hypothesized about the links between urbanization and zoonosis emergence. This points to rapid demographic growth, migration and density, increased movement of people and animals, and changes in land uses as the main processes linked to the prevalence of zoonosis in the urban global South. We argue that this emerging global health challenge is also deeply connected with the urbanization of poverty and inequalities within cities. Tackling the micro-level causal relationships between urbanization and zoonosis requires urgent attention to living conditions, as well as the wider socioenvironmental transitions and structural drivers that produce and reproduce risk accumulation in urban settings.

A Longitudinal Study of Allostatic Load in Later Life: The Role of Sex, Birth Cohorts, and Risk Accumulation.

Are challenging life courses associated with more wear and tear on the biological level? This study investigates this question from a life-course perspective by examining the influence of life-course risk accumulation on allostatic load (AL), considering the role of sex and birth cohorts. Using biomarker data collected over three waves (2004, 2008, and 2012) of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing ( N = 3,824) in a growth curve framework, AL trajectories over a period of 8 years are investigated. Our results illustrate that AL increases substantially in later life. Men have higher AL than women, but increases are similar for both sexes. Older cohorts have both higher levels and a steeper increase of AL over time. Higher risk accumulation over the life course goes hand in hand with higher AL levels and steeper trajectories, contributing to the body of evidence on cumulative (dis)advantage processes in later life.

Advanced epidemiologic and analytical methods.

Observational studies are indispensable for etiologic research, and are key to test life-course hypotheses and improve our understanding of neurologic diseases that have long induction and latency periods. In recent years a plethora of advanced design and analytic techniques have been developed to strengthen the robustness and ultimately the validity of the results of observational studies, and to address their inherent proneness to bias. It is the responsibility of clinicians and researchers to critically appraise and appropriately contextualize the findings of the exponentially expanding scientific literature. This critical appraisal should be rooted in a thorough understanding of advanced epidemiologic methods and techniques commonly used to formulate and test relevant hypotheses and to keep bias at bay.