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1.
J Biomed Inform ; 156: 104688, 2024 Jul 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002866

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Survival analysis is widely utilized in healthcare to predict the timing of disease onset. Traditional methods of survival analysis are usually based on Cox Proportional Hazards model and assume proportional risk for all subjects. However, this assumption is rarely true for most diseases, as the underlying factors have complex, non-linear, and time-varying relationships. This concern is especially relevant for pregnancy, where the risk for pregnancy-related complications, such as preeclampsia, varies across gestation. Recently, deep learning survival models have shown promise in addressing the limitations of classical models, as the novel models allow for non-proportional risk handling, capturing nonlinear relationships, and navigating complex temporal dynamics. METHODS: We present a methodology to model the temporal risk of preeclampsia during pregnancy and investigate the associated clinical risk factors. We utilized a retrospective dataset including 66,425 pregnant individuals who delivered in two tertiary care centers from 2015 to 2023. We modeled the preeclampsia risk by modifying DeepHit, a deep survival model, which leverages neural network architecture to capture time-varying relationships between covariates in pregnancy. We applied time series k-means clustering to DeepHit's normalized output and investigated interpretability using Shapley values. RESULTS: We demonstrate that DeepHit can effectively handle high-dimensional data and evolving risk hazards over time with performance similar to the Cox Proportional Hazards model, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78 for both models. The deep survival model outperformed traditional methodology by identifying time-varied risk trajectories for preeclampsia, providing insights for early and individualized intervention. K-means clustering resulted in patients delineating into low-risk, early-onset, and late-onset preeclampsia groups-notably, each of those has distinct risk factors. CONCLUSION: This work demonstrates a novel application of deep survival analysis in time-varying prediction of preeclampsia risk. Our results highlight the advantage of deep survival models compared to Cox Proportional Hazards models in providing personalized risk trajectory and demonstrating the potential of deep survival models to generate interpretable and meaningful clinical applications in medicine.

2.
Comput Biol Chem ; 112: 108150, 2024 Jul 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39018587

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is the most common subtype of non-small cell lung cancer. Understanding the molecular mechanisms underlying tumor progression is of great clinical significance. This study aims to identify novel molecular markers associated with LUAD subtypes, with the goal of improving the precision of LUAD subtype classification. Additionally, optimization efforts are directed towards enhancing insights from the perspective of patient survival analysis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We propose an innovative feature-selection approach that focuses on LUAD classification, which is comprehensive and robust. The proposed method integrates multi-omics data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and leverages a synergistic combination of max-relevance and min-redundancy, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and Boruta algorithms. These selected features were deployed in six machine-learning classifiers: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, naive Bayes, k-Nearest Neighbor, and XGBoost. RESULTS: The proposed approach achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.9958 for LR. Notably, the accuracy and AUC of a composite model incorporating copy number, methylation, as well as RNA- sequencing data for expression of exons, genes, and miRNA mature strands surpassed the accuracy and AUC metrics of models with single-omics data or other multi-omics combinations. Survival analyses, revealed the SVM classifier to elicit optimal classification, outperforming that achieved by TCGA. To enhance model interpretability, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were utilized to elucidate the impact of each feature on the predictions. Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analysis identified significant biological processes, molecular functions, and cellular components associated with LUAD subtypes. CONCLUSION: In summary, our feature selection process, based on TCGA multi-omics data and combined with multiple machine learning classifiers, proficiently identifies molecular subtypes of lung adenocarcinoma and their corresponding significant genes. Our method could enhance the early detection and diagnosis of LUAD, expedite the development of targeted therapies and, ultimately, lengthen patient survival.

3.
Eur J Cancer ; 208: 114209, 2024 Jul 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39018631

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with Ewing sarcoma have a worse prognosis than children. Population-based survival evaluations stratifying findings by important clinical factors are, however, limited. This Dutch population study comprehensively compared survival of children and AYAs with Ewing sarcoma over three decades considering diagnostic period, tissue of origin, tumor site, and disease stage. METHODS: Data on all children (0-17 years, N = 463) and AYAs (18-39 years, N = 379) diagnosed with Ewing sarcoma in the Netherlands between 1990-2018 were collected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry with follow-up until February 2023. Five-year relative survival was calculated using the cohort method. Multivariable analyses were conducted through Poisson regression. RESULTS: Children with Ewing sarcoma had a significantly higher 5-year relative survival than AYAs (65 % vs. 44 %). An increasing trend in survival was noted reaching 70 % in children and 53 % in AYAs in 2010-2018. Results were similar for Ewing bone sarcoma and extraosseous Ewing sarcoma. AYAs had a poorer prognosis than children for most tumor sites and regardless of disease stage. Survival probabilities were 60 % vs. 78 % for localized disease and 20 % vs. 33 % for metastatic disease. Multivariable-regression analysis, adjusted for follow-up time, diagnostic period, sex, disease stage, and tumor site, confirmed increased excess mortality among AYAs compared with children (excess HR: 1.7, 95 % CI: 1.3-2.1). CONCLUSIONS: Despite survival improvements since the 1990s, AYAs with Ewing sarcoma in the Netherlands continue to fare considerably worse than children. This survival disparity was present irrespective of tissue of origin, tumor site, and disease stage.

4.
Eur J Cancer ; 208: 114228, 2024 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39018632

ABSTRACT

RATIONALE: We report a phase II trial (OSAD93) testing CDDP with ifosfamide (IFO), without doxorubicin in neoadjuvant phase, in adult osteosarcoma with a 25 years follow-up. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a multicentric phase II study of neoadjuvant chemotherapy with IFO and CDDP in localized high-grade osteosarcoma of patients. Patients received 4 pre-operative courses of IFO 9 g/m2 and CDDP 100 mg/m2 on day 4 (SHOC regimen), followed by local treatment. Doxorubicin was added post-operatively (HOCA regimen) in patients with > 10 % residual tumor cells. A Good Histological Response (GHR), ie ≤ 10 % residual tumor cells in > 30 % of patients, was the primary objective. Disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS) and toxicity were secondary objectives. RESULTS: From Jan 1994 to Jun 1998, 60 patients were included. Median age was 27 (range: 16-63). Primary tumor sites were limbs (76 %), trunk, head or neck (24 %). After neoadjuvant SHOC, grade 3-4 and febrile neutropenia, thrombopenia, and re-hospitalization occurred in 58 %, 17 %, 17 % and 22 % of SHOC courses and in 76 %, 28 %, 47 %, 47 % of HOCA courses, respectively. GHR was obtained in 16/60 (27.5 %) patients. With a median follow-up of 322 months, the DFS and OS were 51.8 % and 64.4 % at 5 years. At 10 years, DFS and OS were 49.9 % and 64.4 %. At 25 years, DFS and OS were 47.8 % and 55.9 %. No long-term cardiac toxicity was observed. Three patients developed a second malignancy (one fatal) after 300 months. CONCLUSION: Though the primary endpoint of OSAD93 was not met, this pre-operative doxorubicin-free regimen led to excellent long-term survival with limited toxicity in localized osteosarcoma.

5.
Oral Oncol ; 157: 106957, 2024 Jul 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39018695

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Advancements in immunotherapy for recurrent head and neck cancer have necessitated a better understanding of salvage surgical outcomes. This study aimed to determine patterns of failure following salvage head and neck surgery. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted of 280 patients who underwent salvage surgery for recurrent mucosal squamous cell carcinoma from 1997 to 2018. Cumulative incidence was calculated using the nonparametric Aalen-Johansen estimator. Time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate associated factors. RESULTS: The 2 and 5-year cumulative incidence rates of second recurrence were 48.3 % (95 % CI 42.4-54.3) and 54.9 % (95 % CI 48.9-60.8), respectively. At 5 years, second locoregional recurrence was twice as common as distant recurrence (41.5 % [95 % CI 35.6-47.4] vs. 21.7 % [95 % CI 16.8-26.6]). The median TTR was 21.1 months (95 % CI 4.4-34.8), which varied by site (38.2 larynx/hypopharynx, 13.9 oral cavity, 8.3 sinonasal, and 7.8 oropharynx, P=.0001). The median OS was 32.1 months (95 % CI 24.1-47.6) and was worse for patients who were Black (hazard ratio [HR] 2.15, 95 % CI 1.19-3.9), current smokers (HR 2.73, 95 % CI 1.53-4.88), former smokers (HR 2.00, 95 % CI 1.19-3.35), ≥ 60 years of age (HR 1.41, 95 % CI 1.01-1.97), or received multimodal primary therapy (HR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.26-3.13). CONCLUSION: Rates of recurrence and mortality after salvage surgery were poor but worse for patients who were Black, older, smoked, had initial multimodal therapy, or had sinonasal or oropharyngeal cancers.

6.
J Comp Pathol ; 213: 1-9, 2024 Jul 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39018987

ABSTRACT

Morphological and immunohistochemical studies of solid arrangement canine mammary carcinomas have shown that the different histological types may be characterized by proliferation of epithelial and/or myoepithelial cells. However, little is known about immunophenotypes and the importance of inflammation as prognostic factors in these neoplasms. The objective of the present study was to characterize the immunophenotype and degree of inflammation in the solid type of canine mammary neoplasm and to investigate their association with metastasis, Ki-67 index, tumour size, necrosis and survival. Sixty-five carcinomas with solid pattern, basaloid carcinomas, solid papillary carcinomas, malignant adenomyoepitheliomas (MAMEs) or malignant myoepitheliomas (MMEs) were investigated. Luminal A, luminal B HER2 negative and HER2 positive, HER2 overexpressed and triple negative immunophenotypes were immunolabelled as were Ki-67 protein and cyclooxygenase-2 (Cox-2). Histological peritumoural and intratumoural inflammatory infiltrates were graded (distribution × intensity) and the presence of necrosis identified. We found a statistical difference between histological types and immunophenotypes, with MME and MAME having a higher occurrence of luminal A, whereas most neoplasms had the luminal B HER-negative immunophenotype. There was no correlation between immunophenotype and degree of peri- and intratumoural inflammation, nodal metastasis, necrosis or tumour size. An increased degree of peri- and intratumoural inflammation was significantly associated with lymph node metastasis, and more severe intratumoural inflammation was associated with the presence of tumour necrosis. Tumour size, Ki-67 index and Cox-2 score were not associated with inflammation in either peri- or intratumoural regions. No difference was observed in survival in relation to immunophenotype or degree of inflammation, but the Cox regression model revealed that nodal metastasis influenced the risk of death.

7.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw ; : 1-6, 2024 Jul 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39019060

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recurrence score (RS) based on a 21-gene genomic assay is frequently used to estimate risk of distant recurrence for choice of adjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer. It remains unclear whether RS is an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) in the TAILORx trial population. METHODS: We evaluated the association of RS with BCSS and OS plus recurrence-free interval (RFI) and invasive disease-free survival (DFS) using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, adjusting for clinicopathologic measures, in 8,916 patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer. Likelihood ratio (LR) test was used to assess the relative amount of prognostic information provided by RS to BCSS, OS, RFI, and DFS, comparatively. RESULTS: Event rates for BCSS, OS, RFI, and DFS were 1.7%, 5.2%, 5.6%, and 12.6%, respectively, by up to 11.6 years of follow-up. Compared with low-range RS (0-10), patients with midrange (11-25) and high-range (26-100) RS had inferior BCSS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 5.12 [95% CI, 2.09-16.92] and 8.03 [95% CI, 2.91-28.47], respectively) and RFI (aHR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.23-2.36] and 3.05 [95% CI, 2.02-4.67], respectively), independent of clinicopathologic factors. High-range score was associated with an increased risk of DFS (aHR, 1.56 [95% CI, 1.20-2.04]) but not significantly associated with OS (aHR, 1.44 [95% CI, 0.95-2.18]). Midrange score was associated with neither DFS (aHR, 1.15 [95% CI, 0.96-1.38]) nor OS (HR 1.14 [95% CI, 0.87-1.52]). LR-χ2 values were 83.0 and 65.1 for RFI and BCSS, respectively, and 17.5 and 33.6 for OS and DFS, respectively (P<.0001). CONCLUSIONS: RS is an independent measure for BCSS and recurrence prognoses relative to OS in early-stage breast cancer. It carries more prognostic information for breast cancer-specific outcomes.

8.
Intern Med ; 2024 Jul 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39019603

ABSTRACT

Objective Abstaining from alcohol improves the outcome of alcohol-related cirrhosis. This study evaluated the effect of alcohol abstinence on the outcomes of patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis recruited from a core hospital in Boso Peninsula, Japan. Methods This single-center retrospective study recruited 116 patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis who were admitted to our department between April 2014 and October 2022. Taking the day of discharge as day 0, the patients were divided into two groups based on their subsequent behavior (abstinence/non-abstinence from alcohol). The study analysis included 98 patients after excluding 13 who died during hospitalization and 5 for whom follow-up at our hospital ended after discharge. We evaluated differences in the patient survival between the abstaining and drinking groups. Results The abstaining and drinking groups comprised 57 and 41 patients, respectively. We excluded from the analysis 10 and 6 patients with viable hepatocellular carcinoma in the abstaining and drinking groups, respectively. The findings revealed that the survival rate plateaued in the abstaining group from the third year onward, whereas the survival rate in the drinking group gradually decreased with time. Conclusion Our findings suggest that at least two years of alcohol abstinence is required to sustain the survival of patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis. The data collected by our hospital retrospectively demonstrated the importance of abstinence on a timescale of years of sustained abstinence.

9.
Extremophiles ; 28(3): 31, 2024 Jul 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39020126

ABSTRACT

The present study investigates the low temperature tolerance strategies of thermophilic bacterium Anoxybacillus rupiensis TPH1, which grows optimally at 55 °C , by subjecting it to a temperature down-shift of 10 °C (45 °C) for 4 and 6 h followed by studying its growth, morphophysiological, molecular and proteomic responses. Results suggested that although TPH1 experienced increased growth inhibition, ROS production, protein oxidation and membrane disruption after 4 h of incubation at 45 °C yet maintained its DNA integrity and cellular structure through the increased expression of DNA damage repair and cell envelop synthesizing proteins and also progressively alleviated growth inhibition by 20% within two hours i.e., 6 h, by inducing the expression of antioxidative enzymes, production of unsaturated fatty acids, capsular and released exopolysaccharides and forming biofilm along with chemotaxis proteins. Conclusively, the adaptation of Anoxybacillus rupiensis TPH1 to lower temperature is mainly mediated by the synthesis of large numbers of defense proteins and exopolysaccharide rich biofilm formation.


Subject(s)
Adaptation, Physiological , Anoxybacillus , Bacterial Proteins , Anoxybacillus/metabolism , Anoxybacillus/physiology , Bacterial Proteins/metabolism , Bacterial Proteins/genetics , Cold Temperature , Biofilms/growth & development
10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39020129

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: To investigate the long-term prognosis of appendiceal tumours incidentally detected at appendicectomy for suspicion of benign appendicitis. METHODS: A retrospective register-based single centre cohort study was carried out, using data from the local acute appendicectomy quality register of cases operated on at the Department of Surgery, South General Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. The local colorectal cancer register was also used to identify appendix tumours. The study period was between January 2004 and January 2023. Survival was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: A total of 11,888 patients were registered in the acute acute appendicectomy register, 54% males and 46% females, median age 32 (Q1 = 21, Q3 = 47) (with 33.7% were 41 years or older). From the appendicectomy and colorectal registers 148 (1.2% of the total cohort) appendiceal tumours were found; 60% in females and 40% in males, median age 56 (Q1 = 43, Q3 = 70) (with 78.4% being 41 years or older). Tumours found were: Low grade Appendiceal Mucinous Neoplasms (LAMN, N = 64); Neuroendocrine Tumours (NET N = 24); adenocarcinomas or other form of carcinomas (N = 57); and adenomas (N = 3). The overall 5-year survival in patients operated for LAMN was 96.8%, for NET 93.3% and for adenocarcinoma 69.7%. The overall 5-year survival for all tumour patients was 85.7%. For the younger patients (< 51 years) with LAMN and NET, almost all survived to the end of follow-up. Survival of patients in the carcinoma group was statistically significantly lower than for the LAMN and NET groups, especially in females 51 years or older. In the group of tumour patients undergoing surgery (n = 146), primary surgery was laparoscopic in 47% and open in 52%. Two patients did not undergo surgery due to widespread disease. In 64% of cases operation was acute, whereas it was delayed and/or planned in 34%. Most procedures were laparoscopic appendicectomy 36%, followed by open appendicectomy 30%, right-sided hemicolectomy 14.6% (open 11.6% and laparoscopic 3%, acute operation 5.5%), ileocaecal resection 5% (acute operation 3.4%), and staging laparoscopy 7%. In 38% of the operated patients the tumour was discovered incidentally at histopathology examination. Two patients had CRS and HIPEC as the initial operation. Forthy-three per cent of the 146 tumour patients operated underwent a second procedure: CRS and HIPEC in 23.3% and right-sided hemicolectomy in 13.6% (laparoscopic 8.2% open 5.4%). CONCLUSION: Survival was high for patients with incidentally detected appendiceal LAMN or NET, but not so for carcinoma. Survival was lower in the carcinoma group older than 50 years, especially those sick and females.

11.
Int J Colorectal Dis ; 39(1): 105, 2024 Jul 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38995409

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Few studies have focused on anastomotic recurrence (AR) in colon cancer. This study aimed to clarify the association of resection margin distance with AR and compare the prognosis with nonanastomotic local recurrence (NAR). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included the clinical data of patients who underwent radical colon cancer surgery between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2019. RESULTS: A total of 1958 colon cancer patients were included in the study. 34 of whom (1.7%) had AR and 105 of whom (5.4%) had NAR. Multivariate analysis revealed that the lower distal resection margin distance, advanced N stage, and number of lymph nodes dissected were risk factors for AR. In the proximal resection margin, the risk of AR was lowest at a distance of 6 cm or greater, with a 3-year rate of 1.3%. In the distal resection margin, the 3-year AR risk increased rapidly if the distance was less than 3 cm. The prognosis of patients in the AR group was similar to that of patients in the NAR group, regardless of synchronous distant metastases. Furthermore, the radical surgery rate for AR was significantly higher than that for NAR, but the prognosis of AR was comparable to that of NAR. CONCLUSIONS: The distal resection margin distance, advanced N stage, and less number of lymph nodes dissected are associated with AR of colon cancer. The prognosis of patients with AR was similar to that of patients with NAR. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trial Numbers NCT04074538 ( clinicaltrials.gov ), August 26, 2019, registered, retrospectively registered.


Subject(s)
Anastomosis, Surgical , Colonic Neoplasms , Margins of Excision , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Neoplasm Staging , Humans , Male , Female , Colonic Neoplasms/surgery , Colonic Neoplasms/pathology , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Middle Aged , China/epidemiology , Aged , Anastomosis, Surgical/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Retrospective Studies , Prognosis
13.
Reprod Domest Anim ; 59(7): e14676, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39021341

ABSTRACT

Studies investigating physiological deviations from normality in newborn calves derived from in vitro fertilization procedures remain important for the understanding of factors that reduce calf survival after birth. The aim of this study was to investigate parameters affecting health and welfare of newborn Flemish calves derived from in vitro embryo production (IVP) in the first hours of life in comparison to in vivo-derived calves. Physical traits of newborn calves and fetal membranes (FM) were recorded soon after birth. Newborn venous blood samples were collected at several time points within the first 24 h of life for analyses of energy substrates, electrolytes, blood gases, acid-base balance, blood chemistry, and haematology. A liver biopsy was taken within the first hour after birth for analysis of gene expression of key enzymes of the fructolytic and glycolytic pathways. Newborn IVP calves were heavier and larger at birth, which was associated with heavier FM. At several time points during the first 24 h of life, IVP-derived calves had altered rectal temperature, blood gases, electrolyte concentrations, blood parameters for liver, kidney and muscle function, and acid-base balance, plasma lipid metabolism, and hemogram parameters. The relative mRNA abundances for triokinase and lactate dehydrogenase-B were greater in IVP calves. In summary, IVP-derived newborn calves were at higher risk of clinical problems after birth, which was markedly greater in heavier and larger calves. Such animals take longer to adapt to extrauterine life and should receive a special attention during the immediate neonatal period.


Subject(s)
Animals, Newborn , Energy Metabolism , Animals , Cattle/physiology , Liver/metabolism , Female , Fertilization in Vitro/veterinary , Extraembryonic Membranes/metabolism , Male , Acid-Base Equilibrium
14.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 2024 Jul 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39021354

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To investigate the impact of various clinical factors associated with Graves' disease on the success rate of radioiodine (RAI) therapy for Graves' disease within 3 years, and to determine the optimal range of iodine dosage per unit volume that yields the highest cure rate for Graves' disease within 1 year. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included patients diagnosed with Graves' disease who underwent RAI therapy at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between October 2012 and October 2022. The cumulative success rate was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to evaluate factors associated with successful treatment of Graves' disease. Outcomes were categorized as either success or failure for all patients. RESULTS: Overall, 1994 patients were enrolled in this study, including 594 (29.8%) male and 1399 (70.2%) female patients. The success and failure groups comprised 1645 (82.4%) and 349 patients (17.6%), respectively, after a 3-year follow-up period. Multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that sex, antithyroid drug (ATD) use before RAI therapy, age, thyroid receptor antibody (TRAb) levels, iodine dose, thyroid mass, and early ATD use before RAI therapy were independent influencing factors for Graves' disease cure. CONCLUSIONS: We found that female patients and those with TRAbs ≥31.83 IU/L and thyroid mass ≥ 73.42 g had a lower cure rate. Therefore, thyroid size, disease severity, and duration of disease should be comprehensively considered when making treatment decisions and iodine dose selection in clinical practice.

16.
Clin Transplant ; 38(7): e15403, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023089

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The application of posttransplant predictive models is limited by their poor statistical performance. Neglecting the dynamic evolution of demographics and medical practice over time may be a key issue. OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to develop and validate era-specific predictive models to assess whether these models could improve risk stratification compared to non-era-specific models. METHODS: We analyzed the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database including first noncombined heart transplantations (2001-2018, divided into four transplant eras: 2001-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2015, 2016-2018). The endpoint was death or retransplantation during the 1st-year posttransplant. We analyzed the dynamic evolution of major predictive variables over time and developed era-specific models using logistic regression. We then performed a multiparametric evaluation of the statistical performance of era-specific models and compared them to non-era-specific models in 1000 bootstrap samples (derivation set, 2/3; test set, 1/3). RESULTS: A total of 34 738 patients were included, 3670 patients (10.5%) met the composite endpoint. We found a significant impact of transplant era on baseline characteristics of donors and recipients, medical practice, and posttransplant predictive models, including significant interaction between transplant year and major predictive variables (total serum bilirubin, recipient age, recipient diabetes, previous cardiac surgery). Although the discrimination of all models remained low, era-specific models significantly outperformed the statistical performance of non-era-specific models in most samples, particularly concerning discrimination and calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Era-specific models achieved better statistical performance than non-era-specific models. A regular update of predictive models may be considered if they were to be applied for clinical decision-making and allograft allocation.


Subject(s)
Heart Transplantation , Humans , Heart Transplantation/adverse effects , Heart Transplantation/mortality , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Follow-Up Studies , Prognosis , Risk Factors , Graft Survival , Tissue and Organ Procurement/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Survival Rate , Graft Rejection/etiology , Graft Rejection/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Risk Assessment/methods , Retrospective Studies
17.
J Econ Entomol ; 2024 Jul 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023256

ABSTRACT

Social insect pests, particularly leaf-cutting ants, present a considerable challenge in terms of control. Leaf-cutting ants are significant agricultural, forestry, and pasture pests, and understanding their behavior and defense mechanisms is essential for managing their colonies effectively. While toxic ant baits are a primary control method, the limited availability of effective insecticides and concerns over their hazardous nature has spurred the search for alternative solutions, particularly natural compounds, which aligns with the goals of forest certification groups. In the light of previous evidence demonstrating the efficacy of nasturtium leaves (Tropaeolum majus L. (Brassicales: Tropaeolaceae)) in suppressing leaf-cutting ant colonies, this study investigates 2 active components of nasturtium leaf extracts: diphenyl disulfide and lyral. We tested their impact on Atta sexdens (L.) (Hymenoptera: Formicidae), the most prevalent leaf-cutter ant species in Brazil, and their symbiotic fungus, Leucoagaricus gongylophorus (Möller) Singer (Agaricales: Agaricaceae). We conducted experiments with increasing concentrations of diphenyl disulfide and lyral, assessing their effects on the symbiotic fungus and on forager workers and gardeners of A. sexdens colonies. Our findings revealed no fungicidal activity, and ant mortality was minimal in both topical and ingestion bioassays with the exception of gardeners topically exposed to diphenyl sulfide. Furthermore, the compounds did not affect leaf ingestion, but diphenyl disulfide did increase interactions among foragers. These results suggest that neither diphenyl disulfide nor lyral are the primary contributors to the suppression of leaf-cutting ant colonies by nasturtium leaves. However, they may enhance the formicidal activity of other compounds present in nasturtium leaves.

18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023485

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular assist device (LVAD) recipients have a higher incidence of ventricular tachycardia (VT). However, the role of VT ablation in this population is not well-established. OBJECTIVES: This single-center retrospective cohort study sought to examine the impact of post-LVAD implant VT ablation on survival. METHODS: This retrospective study examined a cohort of patients that underwent LVAD implantation at Baylor St. Luke's Medical Center and Texas Heart Institute between January 2011 and January 2021. All-cause estimated mortality was compared across LVAD recipients based on the incidence of VT, timing of VT onset, and the occurrence and timing of VT ablation utilizing Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Post-implant VT occurred in 53% of 575 LVAD recipients. Higher mortality was seen among patients with post-implant VT within a year of implantation (HR: 1.62 [95% CI: 1.15-2.27]). Among this cohort, patients who were treated with a catheter ablation had superior survival compared with patients treated with medical therapy alone for the 45 months following VT onset (HR: 0.48 [95% CI: 0.26-0.89]). Moreover, performance of an ablation in this population aligned mortality rates with those who did not experience post-implant VT (HR: 1.18 [95% CI: 0.71-1.98]). CONCLUSIONS: VT occurrence within 1 year of LVAD implantation was associated with worse survival. However, performance of VT ablation in this population was correlated with improved survival compared with medical management alone. Among patients with refractory VT, catheter ablation aligned survival with other LVAD participants without post-implant VT. Catheter ablation of VT is associated with improved survival in LVAD recipients, but further prospective randomized studies are needed to compare VT ablation to medical management in LVAD recipients.

19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023496

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The HeartMate 3 survival risk score was recently validated in the Multicenter study Of MagLev Technology in Patients Undergoing Mechanical Circulatory Support Therapy with HeartMate 3 to predict patient-specific survival in HeartMate 3 left ventricular assist device candidates. The HeartMate 3 survival risk score stratifies individuals into tertiles according to survival probability. METHODS: We performed a single-center retrospective review of all HeartMate 3 left ventricular assist device recipients between September 2017 and August 2022. Baseline characteristics were collected from the electronic medical records. HeartMate 3 survival risk scores were calculated for all eligible patients. One- and 2-year Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were conducted. A univariate and multivariable Cox regression model was used to identify predictors. RESULTS: A total of 181 patients were included in this final analysis. The median age was 62 years, 83% were male, and 26% were Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support Profile 1. The mean HeartMate 3 survival risk score for the entire cohort was 2.66 ± 0.66. Two-year survivals in the high, average, and low survival groups were 93.5% ± 3.2%, 81.6% ± 7.4%, and 82.0% ± 6.6%, respectively. As a continuous variable, the unadjusted HeartMate 3 survival risk score was a significant predictor of mortality (hazard ratio, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.08-4.45; P = .029). The areas under the curve were 0.70 and 0.66 at 1 and 2 years, respectively. We were unable to demonstrate the discriminatory ability of the HeartMate 3 survival risk score using the original stratification, but we found significantly increased survival in the high survival group using a binary cutoff (hazard ratio, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.01-20.9; P = .038). CONCLUSIONS: The unadjusted HeartMate 3 survival risk score was associated with postimplant survival in patients outside of the Multicenter study Of MagLev Technology in Patients Undergoing Mechanical Circulatory Support Therapy with HeartMate 3 but did not remain an independent predictor after adjusting for ischemic etiology and severe diabetes. The HeartMate 3 survival risk score was able to identify patients at high survival using a binary cutoff, but we were unable to demonstrate its discriminatory ability among the previously published risk tertiles.

20.
Langenbecks Arch Surg ; 409(1): 223, 2024 Jul 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39023651

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Our study aimed to assess the ability of high-sensitivity modified Glasgow prognostic Score (HS-mGPS) predicting survival in patients undergoing radical surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to compare the impact with other Inflammation-Based prognostic scoring systems including Glasgow prognostic Score (GPS) and modified GPS (mGPS). METHODS: Our study evaluated 293 patients with HCC who had undergone hepatectomy at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between 2010 and 2018. The HS-mGPS, mGPS, and GPS were calculated based on particular cut-off values of preoperative C-reactive protein and albumin, and the correlations between HS-mGPS and clinicopathological parameters were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were conducted by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model. To evaluate the discrimination ability of each prognostic score, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were generated and the areas under the curve (AUC) were measured and compared. RESULT: The study results indicated a correlation between elevated HS-mGPS scores and adverse clinical factors, including higher BCLC stage, C-P grade, multiple tumors, and larger tumor diameter. Kaplan-Meier and univariate survival analyses revealed that higher scores of HS-mGPS, GPS, and mGPS were all associated with significantly reduced overall survival (OS) (all p < 0.001). In multivariate survival analysis, HS-mGPS emerged as an independent risk factor for poor OS in patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC (p = 0.010), along with factors including maximal tumor diameter (p < 0.001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (p = 0.008), and BCLC stage (p = 0.001). The analysis of ROC curves and the AUC values indicated that HS-mGPS outperforms GPS and mGPS in predicting the long-term prognosis of patients with resectable HCC. CONCLUSION: Preoperative HS-mGPS proves superior in predicting adverse long-term outcomes in HCC patients undergoing radical surgery.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatectomy , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/blood , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/blood , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Survival Rate , C-Reactive Protein/analysis
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