Real-world effectiveness of influenza vaccine over a decade during the 2011-2021 seasons-Implications of vaccine mismatch.

BACKGROUND: Influenza imposes a significant healthcare burden in Korea, leading the government to initiate a national immunization program. Previous studies on vaccine effectiveness (VE) were limited to single-season estimation in Korea. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study enrolled patients with influenza-like illnesses at 10 medical centers in Korea from 2011 to 2021. The demographic and clinical data were collected from questionnaire surveys and electronic medical records. Using a test-negative design, we aimed to investigate the effectiveness of a seasonal influenza vaccine for antigenic matching of the vaccine and circulating viral strains over 10 seasons. RESULTS: Overall, 5322 adults aged ≥65 years were enrolled. Only three (33.3 %) of nine seasons showed >70 % antigenic match between vaccine and circulating strains. Influenza VE was significantly variable by season, ranging from -46.9 % (95 %confidence interval [CI]: -127.6-5.2) in the 2011/12 season to 47.7 % (95 %CI: 22.6-64.7) in the 2016/17 season. A significant difference was observed in the VE depending on whether the vaccine strains matched with epidemic strains: 28.8 % (95 %CI: 8.8-44.8) in matched seasons versus -12.0 % (95 %CI: -30.0-3.7) in mismatched seasons. Across the study period, influenza-related hospitalizations were reduced by 13.6 % (95 %CI: 0.7-24.8) with vaccination. In a subgroup analysis, the VE against influenza-related hospitalization was 48.4 % (95 %CI 29.6-62.2) in A/H3N2 dominant seasons and 53.8 % (95 %CI: -73.4-87.7) in A/H1N1 dominant seasons, respectively. CONCLUSION: Influenza vaccine mismatch was frequent over the study period, leading to negligibly low VE in mismatched seasons. Influenza vaccination reduces the risk of influenza-related hospitalizations.

Evaluating COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness during pre-Delta, Delta and Omicron dominant periods among pregnant people in the U.S.: Retrospective cohort analysis from a nationally sampled cohort in National COVID Collaborative Cohort (N3C).

Objectives: To evaluate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccinations (initial and booster) during pre-Delta, Delta, and Omicron dominant periods among pregnant people via (1) COVID-19 incident and severe infections among pregnant people who were vaccinated vs. unvaccinated and (2) post-COVID-19 vaccination breakthrough infections and severe infections among vaccinated females who were pregnant vs. non-pregnant. Design: Retrospective cohort study using nationally sampled electronic health records data from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C), December 10, 2020, to June 07, 2022. Participants: Cohort 1 included pregnant people (15-55 years), and Cohort 2 included vaccinated females of reproductive age (15-55 years). Exposures: (1) COVID-19 vaccination and (2) pregnancy. Main outcome measures: Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for COVID-19 incident or breakthrough infections and severe infections (i.e., COVID-19 infections with related hospitalizations). Results: In Cohort 1, 301,107 pregnant people were included. Compared to unvaccinated pregnant people, the aHRs for pregnant people with initial vaccinations during pregnancy of incident COVID-19 were 0.77 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.96) and 0.88 (95%CI: 0.73, 1.07) and aHRs of severe COVID-19 infections were 0.65 (95% CI: 0.47, 0.90) and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.51, 1.21) during the Delta and Omicron periods, respectively. Compared to pregnant people with full initial vaccinations, the aHR of incident COVID-19 for pregnant people with booster vaccinations was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.58, 0.71) during the Omicron period. In Cohort 2, 934,337 vaccinated people were included. Compared to vaccinated non-pregnant females, the aHRs of severe COVID-19 infections for people with initial vaccinations during pregnancy was 2.71 (95% CI: 1.31, 5.60) during the Omicron periods. Conclusions: Pregnant people with initial and booster vaccinations during pregnancy had a lower risk of incident and severe COVID-19 infections compared to unvaccinated pregnant people across the pandemic stages. However, vaccinated pregnant people still had a higher risk of severe infections compared to non-pregnant females.

Effectiveness of the Bivalent mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine for Preventing Critical Infection From the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant in the Republic of Korea.

BACKGROUND: This retrospective observational matched cohort study assessed the differences in critical infections caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the omicron-predominant period of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We evaluated the vaccine effectiveness of bivalent mRNA vaccine compared to unvaccinated individuals. METHODS: We collected COVID-19 case data from the Korean COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness cohort. We calculated the probability of critical COVID-19 cases by comparing the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. RESULTS: The risk of being critically infected due to SAR-CoV-2 infection was 5.96 times higher (95% confidence interval, 5.63-6.38) among older individuals who were unvaccinated compared to those who received the bivalent COVID-19 vaccine. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that the bivalent vaccine reduces the disease burden of the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant, particularly among the older population. Further studies are warranted to determine the effectiveness of booster doses of vaccines for SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Effectiveness of influenza vaccines in children aged 6 to 59 months: a test-negative case-control study at primary care and hospital level, Spain 2023/24.

During 2023/24, all children aged 6 to 59 months were targeted for seasonal influenza vaccination in Spain nationally. Using a test-negative case-control design with sentinel surveillance data, we estimated adjusted influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against any influenza type to be 70% (95% confidence interval (CI): 51 to 81%) for primary care patients with acute respiratory illness (ARI) and 77% (95% CI: 21 to 93%) for hospitalised patients with severe ARI. In primary care, where most subtyped viruses (61%; 145/237) were A(H1N1), adjusted IVE was 77% (95% CI: 56 to 88%) against A(H1N1)pdm09.

Kinetics of humoral and cellular immune responses 5 months post-COVID-19 booster dose by immune response groups at the peak immunity phase: An observational historical cohort study using the Fukushima vaccination community survey.

Background: Understanding the waning of immunity after booster vaccinations is important to identify which immune-low populations should be prioritized. Methods: We investigated longitudinal cellular and humoral immunity after the third vaccine dose in both high- and low-cellular and humoral immunity groups at the peak immunity phase after the booster vaccination in a large community-based cohort. Blood samples were collected from 1045 participants at peak (T1: median 54 days post-third dose) and decay (T2: median 145 days post-third dose) phases to assess IgG(S), neutralizing activity, and ELISpot responses. Participants were categorized into high/low ELISpot/IgG(S) groups at T1. Cellular and humoral responses were tracked for approximately five months after the third vaccination. Results: In total, 983 participants were included in the cohort. IgG(S) geometric mean fold change between timepoints revealed greater waning in the >79 years age group (T2/T1 fold change: 0.27) and higher IgG(S) fold change in the low-ELISpot group at T1 (T2/T1 fold change: 0.32-0.33) than in the other groups, although ELISpot geometric mean remained stable. Conclusions: Antibody level of those who did not respond well to third dose vaccination waned rapidly than those who responded well. Evidence-based vaccine strategies are essential in preventing potential health issues caused by vaccines, including side-effects.

Monitoring the Effect of Vaccination on Mumps Cases Complications in the Czech Republic - Surveillance Data 2013-2022.

Introduction: Mumps data were analysed to assess the effect of vaccination on mumps complications and hospitalisation. Methods: The mumps cases reported to the Czech nationwide surveillance system from 2013 to 2022 were analysed using logistic regression with an odds ratio (aOR) adjusted for age, sex, year of onset and administrative region to measure the association between vaccination and complications or hospitalisation. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness (aVE) was calculated: aVE=(1-aOR)x100. Results: A total of 11,913 mumps cases were reported, of which 6,885 (58%) were male. The median age of the study participants was 16 (range: 0-89 years). No complications occurred in 91% of patients. Mumps orchitis occurred in 633 (9%) male cases. A total of 946 (8%) patients required hospitalisation. The highest proportion of complications and hospitalisations was in the age group 35-44 years. Two doses of vaccine reduced statistically significantly the risk of any complications and of hospitalisation compared with unvaccinated patients: aOR 0.48 (95% CI: 0.37, 0.62), aVE of 52% (95% CI: 38, 63); and aOR 0.43 (95% CI: 0.33, 0.56), aVE of 57% (95% CI: 44, 67), respectively. Two doses showed statistically significant aVE 50% (95% CI: 32, 64) against orchitis, and 59% (95% CI: 23, 79) against meningitis. Among the two-dose recipients, the proportion of complications increased gradually with the time from the second dose. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrated a protective effect of two-dose vaccination against mumps complications and hospitalisation for mumps. We recommend continuing routine childhood mumps vaccination and maintaining high MMR coverage in Czechia.

Personal characteristics and transmission dynamics associated with SARS-CoV-2 semi-quantitative PCR test results: an observational study from Belgium, 2021-2022.

Introduction: Following harmonization efforts by the Belgian National Reference Center for SARS-CoV-2, semi-quantitative PCR test (SQ-PCR) results, used as a proxy for viral load, were routinely collected after performing RT-qPCR tests. Methods: We investigated both the personal characteristics associated with SQ-PCR results and the transmission dynamics involving these results. We used person-level laboratory test data and contact tracing data collected in Belgium from March 2021 to February 2022. Personal characteristics (age, sex, vaccination, and laboratory-confirmed prior infection) and disease stage by date of symptom onset were analyzed in relation to SQ-PCR results using logistic regression. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) against a high viral load (≥107 copies/mL) was estimated from the adjusted probabilities. Contact tracing involves the mandatory testing of high-risk exposure contacts (HREC) after contact with an index case. Odds ratios for test positivity and high viral load in HREC were calculated based on the SQ-PCR result of the index case using logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, immunity status (vaccination, laboratory-confirmed prior infection), variant (Alpha, Delta, Omicron), calendar time, and contact tracing covariates. Results: We included 909,157 SQ-PCR results of COVID-19 cases, 379,640 PCR results from index cases, and 72,052 SQ-PCR results of HREC. High viral load was observed more frequently among recent cases, symptomatic cases, cases over 25 years of age, and those not recently vaccinated (>90 days). The vaccine effectiveness (VE) of the primary schedule in the first 30 days after vaccination was estimated at 47.3% (95%CI 40.8-53.2) during the Delta variant period. A high viral load in index cases was associated with an increased test positivity in HREC (OR 2.7, 95%CI 2.62-2.79) and, among those testing positive, an increased likelihood of a high viral load (OR 2.84, 95%CI 2.53-3.19).

Relative effectiveness of adjuvanted versus non-adjuvanted influenza vaccines in older adults with risk factors for influenza complications during the 2019-2020 U.S. influenza season.

This study estimated the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of the MF59®-adjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccine (aTIV) versus standard-dose nonadjuvanted egg-based quadrivalent influenza vaccines (QIVe) for the prevention of influenza-related medical encounters (IRMEs), outpatient IRMEs, and influenza- and pneumonia-related hospitalizations during the 2019-2020 US influenza season among adults ≥65 years of age who had ≥1 high-risk condition. A secondary objective evaluated the rVE of aTIV versus QIVe in preventing these outcomes among older adults with specific high-risk conditions. This retrospective cohort study included US adults ≥65 years of age vaccinated with aTIV or QIVe between August 1, 2019, and January 31, 2020. Exposures, covariates, risk factors, and outcomes were captured from a linked dataset comprised of electronic health records (EHR) (Veradigm Network EHR) linked to insurance claims (Komodo Healthcare Map). A doubly robust approach was applied wherein multivariable-adjusted odds ratios were derived using inverse probability of treatment-weighted samples to calculate rVEs and 95 % confidence interval independently for individuals ≥1 high-risk condition and those with specific high-risk conditions. The study included 954,707 aTIV and 719,125 QIVe recipients. For all outcomes, aTIV was more effective than QIVe among adults ≥65 years of age who had ≥1 high-risk condition (any IMRE: 23.6 % [20.9 %-26.1 %]), outpatient IRME: 23.3 % [20.4 %-26.1 %], and influenza- or pneumonia-related hospitalizations: 19.0 % [16.3 %-21.6 %]), during the 2019-2020 influenza season. Similarly, aTIV was more effective than QIVe at preventing outcomes among individuals with specific high-risk conditions except for body mass index ≥40. This study demonstrated higher effectiveness of aTIV versus QIVe in preventing any IRMEs, outpatient IRMEs, and influenza- or pneumonia-related hospitalizations among adults ≥65 years of age who had ≥1 high-risk condition.

Influenza Epidemiology and Vaccine Effectiveness Following Funded Influenza Vaccine in Queensland, Australia, 2022.

BACKGROUND: In 2022, publicly funded influenza vaccine was made available to all residents of Queensland, Australia. This study compared influenza epidemiology in 2022 with previous years (2017-2021) and estimated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) during 2022. METHODS: The study involved a descriptive analysis of influenza notifications and a case-control study to estimate VE. Cases were notifications of laboratory-confirmed influenza, and controls were individuals who were test negative for COVID-19. Cases and controls were matched on age, postcode and specimen collection date. VE against hospitalisation was investigated by matching hospitalised cases to controls. Conditional logistic regression models were adjusted for sex. RESULTS: In 2022, Queensland experienced an early influenza season onset (April-May) and high case numbers (n = 45,311), compared to the previous 5 years (annual average: 29,364) and 2020-2021 (2020:6047; 2021:301) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Adjusted VE (VEadj) against laboratory-confirmed influenza was 39% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 37-41), highest for children aged 30 months to < 5 years (61%, 95% CI: 49-70) and lowest for adults aged ≥ 65 years (24%, 95% CI: 17-30). VEadj against influenza-associated hospitalisation was 54% (95% CI: 48-59). Among children < 9 years of age, VEadj against laboratory-confirmed influenza (55%, 95% CI: 49-61) and hospitalisation (67%, 95% CI: 39-82) was higher in those who received a complete dose schedule. CONCLUSION: In Queensland, the 2022 influenza season started earlier than the previous 5 years. VE against influenza notifications varied across age groups. VE estimates against influenza-associated hospitalisation were higher than those against laboratory-confirmed influenza.

Effectiveness of inactivated COVID-19 vaccines in preventing COVID-19-related hospitalization during the Omicron BF.7-predominant epidemic wave in Beijing, China: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To estimate vaccine effectiveness(VE) against COVID-19-related hospitalization for inactivated vaccines during the Omicron BF.7-predominant epidemic wave in Beijing, China. METHODS: We recruited a cohort in Beijing on 17 and 18 December 2022, collected status of vaccination and COVID-19-related hospitalization since 1 November 2022 and prospectively followed until 9 January 2023. A Poisson regression model was used to estimate the VE. RESULTS: 16(1.15%) COVID-19-related hospitalizations were reported in 1391 unvaccinated participants; 7(0.25%) in 2765 participants with two doses, resulting in a VE of 70.89%(95% confidence interval[CI] 26.25 to 87.73); 32(0.27%) in 11,846 participants with three doses, with a VE of 65.25%(95% CI 32.24 to 81.83). The VE of three doses remained above 64% at 1 year or more since the last dose. Elderly people aged ≥ 60 years had the highest hospitalization incidence(0.66%), VE for two doses was 74.11%(95%CI: - 18.42 to 94.34) and VE for three doses was 80.98%(95%CI:52.83 to 92.33). We estimated that vaccination had averted 65,007(95%CI: 12,817 to 97,757) COVID-19-related hospitalizations among people aged ≥ 60 years during the BF.7-predominant period in Beijing. CONCLUSION: Inactivated COVID-19 vaccines were effective against COVID-19-related hospitalization, especially for the elderly population who have increased risk of severe disease owing to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

A population database analysis to estimate the varicella vaccine effectiveness in children < 14 years in a high vaccination coverage area from 2004 to 2022.

INTRODUCTION: In the Veneto Region of Italy, universal varicella vaccination (VV) started in 2007 with a two-dose schedule at 12-15 months and 5-6 years of age achieving 90 % coverage in 2019. The study aimed at evaluating the vaccine effectiveness (VE) in children using a primary-care database METHODS: This retrospective analysis used Pedianet, a comprehensive database of 73 family paediatricians in the Veneto Region. Incidence rates (IR) of varicella were evaluated in children aged <14 years enrolled since birth, between January 2004 to April 2022. Cases were classified as breakthrough if happening beyond 42 days post-VV. Complications and prescription were evaluated. Subject were followed up from 2004 or the enrollment date, until the end of assistance/study or the first or second VV dose. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used to compare the varicella incidence by vaccination status. Hazard ratios of varicella infection, adjusted (aHRs) for sex, vaccinal status, age group, prematurity and socioeconomic status were estimated with Cox's regression. VE for one and two VV doses was defined as 1-aHR*. RESULTS: 36,498 children, followed for 233,508 person-years from 2004 to 2022 experienced 1006 cases of varicella (13 complicated and 35 breakthrough). Younger children had a higher risk of experiencing varicella compared to children aged >7 years, irrespective of their vaccination status. Indeed, the IR increased from 5.5 to 19.5 × 1000 person-years and from 1.1 to 5.4 × 1000 person-years in unvaccinated and vaccinated children aged <12 months versus those aged 5-6 years, respectively. Varicella VE was 83.4 % and 94.7 % in those vaccinated with one and two doses. After six years, the cumulative probability of experiencing varicella was 10.7 % for unvaccinated subjects, and 2.5 % and 0.4 % for those vaccinated with one and two-doses (log-rank test, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Two-dose schedule VV is effective in drastically reduce varicella episodes. Breakthrough varicella episodes remain rare events.

Effectiveness of the ten- and thirteen-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines to prevent serotype 19A invasive pneumococcal disease in Quebec, Canada. A Canadian immunization research network (CIRN) study.

In the province of Quebec, Canada, a 2 + 1 dose pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) program for children was implemented in 2004. PCV7, PCV10, PCV13 and a mixed PCV10/PCV13 schedule were sequentially used without catch-up. The effectiveness of vaccination schedules to prevent serotype 19A invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in <5-year-old children was estimated by the indirect cohort method during 2009-2023. A total of 248 19A IPD cases and 457 IPD controls were included in the analysis. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VEa) for ≥1 dose was 57 % [95 %CI: -1 %,82 %] for PCV10 and 62 % [16 %,83 %] for PCV13. VEa for 3 doses was 69 % [17 %,88 %] for PCV10, 76 % [39 %,90 %] for PCV13 and 86 % [64 %,95 %] for the 2PCV10 + 1PCV13 schedule. Protection provided by the PCV10-only schedule tended to be of lower magnitude compared to the two other schedules. The mixed PCV10 + PCV13 schedule showed a protection against 19A IPD at least comparable to that of 3 PCV-13 doses.

Population-Based Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Against Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Infection in Southern China, 2023-2024 Season.

Background: In China, the 2022-2023 influenza season began earlier and was characterized by higher levels of influenza activity and co-circulation of various respiratory pathogens compared with seasons before the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Timely and precise estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against infections can be used to guide public health measures. Methods: A test-negative study was conducted to estimate IVE against laboratory-confirmed influenza using data from the CHinese Electronic health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study that prospectively integrated laboratory, vaccination, and health administrative data in Yinzhou, southern China. We included patients who presented influenza-like illness and received nucleic acid tests and/or antigen tests between October 2023 and March 2024. Estimates of IVE were adjusted for age, gender, month of specimen submitted, chronic comorbidities, and hospitalization status. Results: A total of 205 028 participants, including 96 298 influenza cases (7.6% vaccinated) and 108 730 influenza-negative controls (13.4% vaccinated), were eligible for this analysis. The estimates of IVE were 49.4% (95% CI, 47.8%-50.9%), 41.9% (95% CI, 39.8%-44.0%), and 59.9% (95% CI, 57.9%-61.9%) against overall influenza, influenza A, and influenza B, respectively. A lower IVE was observed for individuals aged 7-17 years (38.6%), vs 45.8% for 6 months-6 years, 46.7% for 18-64 years, and 46.1% for ≥65 years. Vaccination reduced the risk of infection by 44.4% among patients with chronic comorbidities. IVEs varied by epidemic weeks with the changes in influenza activity levels and the switch of dominant influenza strains. Conclusions: Influenza vaccination in the 2023-2024 season was protective against infection for the entire population.

The impact of the implementation of the two-dose varicella vaccine immunization strategy in Quzhou: A retrospective birth cohort study.

Varicella is a vaccine-preventable disease caused by the varicella zoster virus (VZV), but the varicella incidence among children has increased in recent years. This was a retrospective birth cohort study based on the Zhejiang Provincial Immune Information System (ZJIIS) and the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP) in Quzhou. A total of 1,291 clinically diagnosed varicella cases born from 2009 to 2014 were collected during 2009-2023, which were analyzed the impact of changes in vaccination strategy on the incidence of varicella based on the Cox-proportional hazards model. It was observed that the onset age of varicella shifted to the older age group and later to 9-11 years. After the change to the two-dose varicella vaccination strategy, the population affected by varicella was concentrated among students and received more than one dose of live attenuated varicella vaccine (VarV). Based on the Coxproportional hazards model and adjusting for all covariates, the risk of varicella infection in children decreased after the introduction of the two-dose varicella vaccination strategy (HR = 0.04, 95% CI: 0.03-0.05). Meanwhile, the Kaplan-Meier curves also showed that the hazards were lower after the change in vaccination strategy. It is recommended that two doses of VarV should be included in the national immunization schedule and that full vaccination should be completed approximately four years after the first dose.

Estimation of vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2-associated hospitalization using sentinel surveillance in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies leveraging systematic surveillance in sub-Saharan Africa are limited. We assessed the effectiveness of two vaccines (Pfizer BNT162b2 and Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S) against SARS-CoV-2-associated hospitalization in South African adults aged ≥18 years. METHODS: We conducted a test-negative case-control study using pneumonia surveillance data in South Africa. Inpatients with physician-diagnosed lower respiratory tract infection or suspected COVID-19, testing SARS-CoV-2 positive or negative from June 2021-March 2022, were cases or controls, respectively. Fully vaccinated individuals received one Ad26.COV2.S dose or two BNT162b2 doses ≥14-days before enrollment. VE was estimated using multivariable logistic regression for Delta- and Omicron BA.1/BA.2-predominant periods, stratified by age and HIV status. RESULTS: The study included 925 cases and 1890 controls; 38 (4%) cases and 186 (10%) controls were fully vaccinated with BNT162b2, and 30 (3%) cases and 94 (5%) controls with Ad26.COV2.S. The vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against SARS-CoV-2-associated hospitalization over Delta and Omicron BA.1/BA.2 periods was 91% (95% CI: 52%, 98%) and 33% (-16%, 86%), respectively. The vaccine effectiveness of Ad26.COV2.S against hospitalization over Delta and Omicron BA.1/BA.2 periods was 72% (-36% ,94%), and -19% (-130%, 39%), respectively. The vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against hospitalization over the Delta period was 94% (50%, 99%) and 89% (27%, 98%) among adults aged ≥60 years and HIV-uninfected, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The BNT162b2 vaccine was effective against SARS-CoV-2-associated hospitalization during the Delta period for adults aged ≥18 years, ≥60 years and those HIV-uninfected. VE for Ad26.COV2.S was inconclusive, potentially due to limited sample size or residual confounding. These findings highlight the utility of sentinel surveillance for estimating VE.

Comparative effectiveness of bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 mRNA booster vaccines among immunocompromised individuals across three Nordic countries: A nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the effectiveness and waning of the bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 mRNA booster vaccine against Covid-19-related hospitalization and death in immunocompromised individuals. METHODS: Nationwide analyses across Nordic countries from 1 September 2022 to 31 October 2023 using a matched cohort design. Individuals boosted with a BA.4-5 or BA.1 vaccine were matched 1:1 with unboosted individuals. The outcomes of interest were country-combined vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against Covid-19-related hospitalization and death at day 270 of follow-up. Waning was assessed in 45-day intervals. RESULTS: A total of 352,762 BA.4-5 and 191,070 BA.1 booster vaccine doses were included. At day 270, the comparative VE against Covid-19-related hospitalization was 34.2% (95% CI, 7.1% to 61.3%) for the bivalent BA.4-5 vaccine and 42.6% (95% CI, 31.3% to 53.9%) for the BA.1 vaccine compared with matched unboosted. The comparative VE against Covid-19-related death was 53.9% (95% CI, 38.6% to 69.3%) for the bivalent BA.4-5 vaccine and 57.9% (95% CI, 48.5% to 67.4%) for the BA.1 vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: In immunocompromised individuals, vaccination with bivalent BA.4-5 or BA.1 booster lowered the risk of Covid-19-related hospitalization and death over a follow-up period of 9 months. The effectiveness was highest during the first months since vaccination with subsequent gradual waning.

COVID-19 breakthrough infections in vaccinated individuals at BPKIHS, Nepal.

BACKGROUND: Although there have been reports of COVID-19 breakthrough infections in vaccinated individuals, the vaccines have demonstrated a high efficacy in preventing severe illness and death. Nepal has reported fewer studies of COVID-19 breakthrough infections. Hence, this study has objective to assess the prevalence, and to describe clinical characteristics of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV2) breakthrough infection. METHODS: This descriptive study was conducted from January to December 2022. The study enrolled 200 individuals who had received the recommended doses of the COVID-19 vaccine and they were RT-PCR positive diagnosed with vaccine breakthrough infections after 14 days of completing the vaccination course. The patient's demographic and clinical profiles, as well as their outcomes in terms of severity, length of hospital stay, and mortality were recorded. RESULTS: The prevalence of SARS-CoV2 infection was 6.3% (547/8682). Among fully vaccinated personnel, the prevalence of breakthrough infections was 6.2% (200/3175). This study found the Omicron variants in respondents. The mean age of the patients was 38.28 years, and 41.5% (83/200) of the breakthrough cases were healthcare workers. The mean time gap between the second dose of vaccination and a positive RT-PCR test was 354.68 days. Of the 200 breakthrough cases, 89% (178) had mild symptoms, 9% (17) had moderate symptoms requiring hospitalization, and 2% (4) were severe cases that required intensive care facility. Among the severe cases, 3 out 4 were above 60 years old. Furthermore, the patients greater than 60 years had longer hospital stays (p < 0.0001) however no deaths were recorded. CONCLUSION: Fully vaccinated individuals can experience COVID-19 breakthrough infections and the majority of cases present with mild symptoms. Elderly patients have a higher likelihood of severe disease and longer hospital stay compared to younger patients. The results of this study emphasize the importance of vaccination in mitigating the severity of the disease.

Indirect effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in the pre-omicron and omicron periods: A nation-wide test-negative case-control study in Brazil.

OBJECTIVES: Mass COVID-19 immunization campaigns altered the pandemic's progress by protecting the vaccine recipient and reducing transmission. However, evidence for indirect vaccine effectiveness (IVE) is limited due to the difficulties of ascertaining this type of protection. METHODS: Using linked national Brazilian databases, we adapted the test-negative design to evaluate the IVE against symptomatic infection. We analyzed data from January 1 to December 1, 2021 (pre-omicron) and January 1 to April 30, 2022 (omicron BA.1 and BA.2). We compared the probability of testing positive across various levels of second ancestral-strain monovalent COVID-19 vaccine dose coverage, including only unvaccinated individuals in the main analysis and both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in additional analyses. Sensitivity analysis focused on children younger than 12 years who did not have access to COVID-19 vaccines during the pre-omicron period. RESULTS: We included 11,039,315 unvaccinated individuals tested during the pre-omicron study period. IVE was minimal until 30% vaccination coverage (<10%), then it followed a dose-dependent pattern, peaking at 37.7 (95% confidence interval 32-42.8) at 70% coverage. For children younger than 12 years, IVE peaked at 59.8% (95% confidence interval 52.7-65.9) at 70% coverage. During the omicron period, IVE remained constant at about 5% across all comparisons. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings confirm that high vaccination coverage using vaccines that prevent infection indirectly protects the community. However, IVE was substantially higher during the pre-omicron period.

When to vaccinate for seasonal influenza? Check the peak forecast.

Background: Seasonal influenza infects 5-20% of people every year in the United States, resulting in hospitalizations, deaths, and adverse economic impacts. To mitigate these impacts, influenza vaccines are developed and distributed annually; however, growing evidence suggests that vaccine effectiveness (VE) wanes over the course of a flu season. Delaying influenza vaccination for older adults has attracted attention as a potential public health strategy. However, given the uncertainties in seasonal peak, vaccine effectiveness, and waning rates, postponing vaccination could also lead to increased morbidity, motivating an evaluation of a range of potential scenarios. Methods: We systematically investigated a broad range of vaccination start times for five age groups under six combinations of initial effectiveness and waning rates, based on influenza cases and vaccine uptake data from 10 influenza seasons. We defined the most favorable vaccination schedule as the one that resulted in the greatest reduction in disease burden. Results: In scenarios with fast waning, all age groups benefit from delaying vaccination regardless of initial VE and peak timing. In scenarios with slower waning, results are mixed. For the ≥65 group, high initial VE and slow waning suggests that in early-peaking seasons, early vaccination most effectively reduces disease burden, while in late-peaking seasons delaying vaccination is most effective. For the ≥65 group in medium and low initial VE, and slow waning scenarios, delaying vaccination appears to prevent the greatest number of cases, regardless of whether the season peaks early or late. Conclusion: The most favorable vaccination schedule is sensitive to changes in initial VE, waning rate, and peak timing. Given estimates of these quantities from statistical and immunological models and observations, our methods can inform vaccination recommendations in order to most effectively reduce the annual disease burden caused by seasonal influenza. Specifically, accurate peak timing forecasts for the upcoming season have the potential to guide decisions on when to vaccinate.

Evaluating the impact of extended dosing intervals on mRNA COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Extending the dosing interval of a primary series of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination has been employed to reduce myocarditis risk in adolescents, but previous evaluation of impact on vaccine effectiveness (VE) is limited to risk after second dose. METHODS: We quantified the impact of the dosing interval based on case notifications and vaccination uptake in Hong Kong from January to April 2022, based on calendar-time proportional hazards models and matching approaches. RESULTS: We estimated that the hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) of infections after the second dose for extended (28 days or more) versus regular (21-27 days) dosing intervals ranged from 0.86 to 0.99 from calendar-time proportional hazards models, and from 0.85 to 0.87 from matching approaches, respectively. Adolescents in the extended dosing groups (including those who did not receive a second dose in the study period) had a higher hazard of infection than those with a regular dosing interval during the intra-dose period (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.07, 2.59; p = 0.02) after the first dose. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing an extended dosing interval should consider multiple factors including the degree of myocarditis risk, the degree of protection afforded by each dose, and the extra protection achievable using an extended dosing interval.