Pre-first-line chemotherapy risk stratification for overall survival in advanced urothelial carcinoma in sequential therapy era.

PURPOSE: To explore pre-treatment risk factors for overall survival (OS) in advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) patients treated with first-line (1L) chemotherapy in sequential therapy (ST) era. Additionally, to evaluate the proportion of patients who were not able to undergo subsequent immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy according to the subgroups stratified by the risk factors. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective study was conducted. Metastatic or locally advanced UC patients treated between 2017 and 2022 were included. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression models were used to address OS. RESULTS: Three hundred and fourteen patients treated with 1L chemotherapy were included in the study and 57 (18.2%) patients were not able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy. Pre-chemotherapy risk factors for OS in 314 patients were ECOG-PS 1 or more, having no primary site resection, C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 3 mg/dL or more, and non-cisplatin-based regimen. Patients having 3 or 4 risk factors had higher risk for not being able to receive ST (Mann-Whitney U test, P < 0.001). As risk factors for OS in 230 patients who were able to receive ST, having no primary site resection, a neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio of 3 or more, and the presence of liver metastasis were identified. CONCLUSION: We reported the risk factors for OS in advanced UC patients treated with 1L chemotherapy in ST era. Patients with high risk for OS may not be able to proceed to subsequent ICI therapy even in the ST era.

Cost-effectiveness of avelumab first-line maintenance therapy for adult patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma in France.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of avelumab first-line (1L) maintenance therapy plus best supportive care (BSC) versus BSC alone for adults with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC) that had not progressed following platinum-based chemotherapy in France. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to assess the lifetime costs and effects of avelumab plus BSC versus BSC alone. Data from the phase 3 JAVELIN Bladder 100 trial (NCT02603432) were used to inform estimates of clinical and utility values considering a 10-year time horizon and a weekly cycle length. Cost data were estimated from a collective perspective and included treatment acquisition, administration, follow-up, adverse event-related hospitalization, transport, post-progression, and end-of-life costs. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and life-years gained. Costs and clinical outcomes were discounted at 2.5% per annum. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were used to compare cost-effectiveness and willingness to pay in France. Uncertainty was assessed using a range of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Avelumab plus BSC was associated with a gain of 2.49 QALYs and total discounted costs of €136,917; BSC alone was associated with 1.82 QALYs and €39,751. Although avelumab plus BSC was associated with increased acquisition costs compared with BSC alone, offsets of -€20,424 and -€351 were observed for post-progression and end-of-life costs, respectively. The base case analysis ICER was €145,626/QALY. Sensitivity analyses were consistent with the reference case and showed that efficacy parameters (overall survival, time to treatment discontinuation), post-progression time on immunotherapy, and post-progression costs had the largest impact on the ICER. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis demonstrated that avelumab plus BSC is associated with a favorable cost-effectiveness profile for patients with la/mUC who are eligible for 1L maintenance therapy in France.

Survival benefit of nephroureterectomy in systemic therapy exposed metastatic upper tract urinary urothelial carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether the stage of the primary may influence the survival (OS) of metastatic upper tract urothelial carcinoma (mUTUC) patients treated with nephroureterectomy (NU) and systemic therapy (ST). We tested this hypothesis within a large-scale North American cohort. METHODS: Within Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database 2000-2020, all mUTUC patients treated with ST+NU or with ST alone were identified. Kaplan-Maier plots depicted OS. Multivariable Cox regression (MCR) models tested for differences between ST+NU and ST alone predicting overall mortality (OM). All analyses were performed in localized (T1-T2) and then repeated in locally advanced (T3-T4) patients. RESULTS: Of all 728 mUTUC patients, 187 (26%) harbored T1-T2 vs 541 (74%) harbored T3-T4. In T1-T2 patients, the median OS was 20 months in ST+NU vs 10 months in ST alone. Moreover, in MCR analyses that also relied on 3 months' landmark analyses, the combination of ST+NU independently predicted lower OM (HR 0.37, p < 0.001). Conversely, in T3-T4 patients, the median OS was 12 in ST+NU vs 10 months in ST alone. Moreover, in MCR analyses that also relied on 3 months' landmark analyses, the combination of ST+NU was not independently associated with lower OM (HR 0.85, p = 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: In mUTUC patients, treated with ST, NU drastically improved survival in T1-T2 patients, even after strict methodological adjustments (multivariable and landmark analyses). However, this survival benefit did not apply to patients with locally more advanced disease (T3-T4).

Identification of cuproptosis-related long non-coding RNA and construction of a novel prognostic signature for bladder cancer: An observational study.

Bladder Urothelial Carcinoma (BLCA), a prevalent and lethal cancer, lacks understanding regarding the roles and prognostic value of cuproptosis-related lncRNAs (CRLs), a novel form of cell death induced by copper. We collected RNA-seq data, clinical information, and prognostic data for 414 BLCA samples and 19 matched controls from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Using multivariate and univariate Cox regression analyses, we identified CRLs to create a prognostic signature. Patients were then divided into low- and high-risk groups based on their risk scores. We analyzed overall survival using the Kaplan-Meier method, evaluated stromal and immune scores, and explored functional differences between these risk groups with gene set enrichment analysis. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were also conducted to understand the links between CRLs and BLCA development. We developed a prognostic signature using 4 independent CRLs: RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1. This signature independently predicted the prognosis of BLCA patients. High-risk patients had worse outcomes, with gene set enrichment analysis revealing enrichment in tumor- and immune-related pathways in the high-risk group. Notably, high-risk patients exhibited enhanced responses to immunotherapy and conventional chemotherapy drugs like sunitinib, paclitaxel, and gemcitabine. The independent prognostic signature variables RC3H1-IT1, SPAG5-AS1, FAM13A-AS1, and GNG12-AS1 predicted the prognoses of BLCA patients and provided a basis for the study of the mechanism of CRLs in BLCA development and progression, and the guidance of clinical treatments for patients with BLCA.

The identification of a N6-methyladenosin-modifed immune pattern to predict immunotherapy response and survival in urothelial carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Dysregulation of the immune system and N6-methyladenosine (m6A) contribute to immune therapy resistance and cancer progression in urothelial carcinoma (UC). This study aims to identify immune-related molecules, that are m6A-modified, and that are associated with tumor progression, poor prognosis, and immunotherapy response. METHODS: We identified prognostic immune genes (PIGs) using Cox analysis and random survival forest variable hunting algorithm (RSF-VH) on immune genes retrieved from the Immunology Database and Analysis Portal database (ImmPort). The RM2Target database and MeRIP-seq analysis, combined with a hypergeometric test, assessed m6A methylation in these PIGs. We analyzed the correlation between the immune pattern and prognosis, as well as their association with clinical factors in multiple datasets. Moreover, we explored the interplay between immune patterns, tumor immune cell infiltration, and m6A regulators. RESULTS: 28 PIGs were identified, of which the 10 most significant were termed methylated prognostic immune genes (MPIGs). These MPIGs were used to create an immune pattern score. Kaplan-Meier and Cox analyses indicated this pattern as an independent risk factor for UC. We observed significant associations between the immune pattern, tumor progression, and immune cell infiltration. Differential expression analysis showed correlations with m6A regulators expression. This immune pattern proved effective in predicting immunotherapy response in UC in real-world settings. CONCLUSION: The study identified a m6A-modified immune pattern in UC, offering prognostic and therapeutic response predictions. This emphasizes that immune genes may influence tumor immune status and progression through m6A modifications.

Prognostic role of circulating cytokines and inflammation indexes for avelumab maintenance in metastatic urothelial carcinoma.

Background: Avelumab maintenance after first-line platinum-based chemotherapy represents a cornerstone for the treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). However, identifying prognostic biomarkers is paramount for optimizing patients' benefits while minimizing toxicity. Cytokines represent circulating mediators of the complex interaction between cancer, the immune system, and inflammation. Inflammation, a hallmark of cancer, can be expressed by circulating factors. In different tumor subtypes, peripheral blood biomarkers, such as circulating cytokines, and systemic inflammatory indexes, have been addressed as potential prognostic factors for immune checkpoint inhibitors. However, their role in mUC still needs to be determined. Methods: Between February 2021 and April 2023, we prospectively collected plasma cytokines and inflammation indexes in 28 patients with mUC before starting avelumab as first-line maintenance. The primary endpoint was the relationship between baseline cytokines and inflammatory indexes with the clinical benefit (CB), defined as the number of Responders. Secondary endpoints included the correlation of baseline cytokines and inflammatory indexes with progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and the number and grade of immune-related adverse events. Results: High pre-treatment levels of interferon (IFN)-γ and interleukin (IL)-2, and low levels of IL-6, IL-8, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and systemic-inflammation index (SII) were associated with clinical benefit and longer survival. In the multivariate analysis, low IL-8, NLR, and SII levels maintained a positive prognostic value for OS. Conclusion: Our data suggest that, in mUC patients receiving avelumab, pre-treatment levels of plasma cytokines and inflammatory indexes may serve as potential prognostic biomarkers for response and efficacy. In particular, patients with signs of pre-therapeutic inflammation showed a significantly lower response and survival to avelumab. On the contrary, low systemic inflammation and high levels of cytokines characterized responders and longer survivors.

Endoscopic intervention versus radical nephroureterectomy for the management of localized upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies.

OBJECTIVE: Localized Upper Urinary Tract Urothelial Carcinoma (UTUC) is an uncommon cancer typically detected at an advanced stage. Currently, radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) with bladder cuff excision is the standard treatment for high-risk UTUC. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the 5-year overall and cancer-specific survival and bladder recurrence rates in studies comparing endoscopic kidney-sparing surgeries (E-KSS) with RNU in localized UTUC. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION: We performed a literature search on 20th April 2023 through PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. The PICOS model was used for study inclusion: P: adult patients with localized UTUC; I: E-KSS. C: RNU; O: primary: overall survival (OS); secondary: cancer-specific survival (CSS), bladder recurrence rate, and metastasis-free survival (MFS). S: retrospective, prospective, and randomized studies. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: Overall, 11 studies involving 2284 patients were eligible for this meta-analysis, 737 in the E-KSS group and 1547 in the RNU group. E-KSS showed a similar overall 5-year OS between E-KSS and RNU, and for low-grade tumors, while 5-year OS favored RNU for high-grade tumors (RR 1.84, 95% CI 1.26-2.69, p = 0.002). No difference emerged for 5-year CSS between the two groups, even when the results were stratified for low- and high grade tumors. Bladder recurrence rate and 5-year MFS were also similar between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our review showed that E-KSS is a viable option for patients with localized UTUC with non-inferior oncological outcomes as compared with RNU, except for 5-year OS in high-grade tumors which favoured RNU.

Comparing survival in trial- versus routine-care advanced urothelial cancer patients on immune checkpoint blockade.

PURPOSE: Although recent trials involving first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors have expanded treatment options for patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma (aUC) who are ineligible for standard cisplatin-based chemotherapy, there exists limited evidence for whether trial efficacy translates into real-world effectiveness for patients seen in routine care. This retrospective cohort study compares differences in overall survival (OS) between KEYNOTE-052 trial participants and routine-care patients receiving first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy. METHODS: A routine-care patient cohort was constructed from the Flatiron Health database using trial eligibility criteria and was weighted to balance EHR and trial patient characteristics using matching-adjusted indirect comparisons. RESULTS: The routine-care cohort was older, more likely to be female, and more often cisplatin-ineligible due to renal dysfunction. ECOG performance status was comparable between the cohorts. Median OS was 9 months (95% CI 7-16) in the weighted routine-care cohort and 11.3 months (9.7-13.1) in the trial cohort. No significant differences between the Kaplan-Meier OS curves were detected (p = 0.76). Survival probabilities were similar between the weighted routine-care and trial cohorts at 12-, 24-, and 36- months (0.45 vs. 0.47, 0.31 vs. 0.31, 0.26 vs. 0.23, respectively). Notably, routine care patients had modestly lower survival at 3 months compared to trial participants (0.69 vs. 0.83, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our results provide reassurance that cisplatin-ineligible aUC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy in routine care experience similar benefits to those observed in trial patients.

Association Between Serum Magnesium Levels and Outcomes of Atezolizumab in Patients With Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Evidence suggests that serum magnesium levels are associated with outcomes of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). However, this association remains under-explored in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) treated with ICIs. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This prognostic study used individual participant-level data from 1,281 patients with locally advanced or metastatic UC treated with atezolizumab (N=855) or chemotherapy (N=426) who participated in the IMvigor210 and the IMvigor211 trials. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression models were used to examine the association of baseline serum magnesium levels with overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and immune-related adverse events (irAEs). RESULTS: No evidence of an association was found between baseline serum magnesium levels and PFS or OS in patients treated with atezolizumab [PFS, hazard ratio (HR)=1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.78-1.35; OS, HR=1.13, 95%CI=0.84-1.51] or chemotherapy (PFS, HR=0.93, 95%CI=0.62-1.40; OS, HR=0.91, 95%CI=0.59-1.40). We also found no evidence of association with irAEs (subdistribution HR=1.29, 95%CI=0.81-2.07) in patients receiving atezolizumab. CONCLUSION: This study found no evidence of an association between baseline serum magnesium levels and treatment outcomes or irAEs in patients with metastatic UC receiving atezolizumab. Contrary to previous research suggesting a role for magnesium in cancer therapy, these results indicate that serum magnesium levels may not serve as a biomarker to predict outcomes in these patients.

C-reactive protein (CRP) as a prognostic biomarker in patients with urothelial carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

C-reactive protein (CRP) may reflect a pro-inflammatory tumor microenvironment and could represent a biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma more likely to benefit from therapies directed at modulating tumor-promoting inflammation. We performed a systematic review to evaluate survival outcomes based on pre-treatment CRP values in urothelial carcinoma. The hazard ratios (HRs) of survival such as overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) between groups with high versus low CRP values were pooled by the random-effect model meta-analyses. Overall, 28 studies comprising 6789 patients were identified for meta-analyses. High CRP levels were associated with shorter OS (HR=1.96 [95% CI: 1.64-2.33], p < 0.01), particularly in advanced disease treated with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB, HR=1.78 [1.47-2.15], p < 0.01). Similar findings were observed in ICB-treated patients with PFS. These findings suggest that CRP could be an attractive biomarker to select patients with urothelial carcinoma for strategies seeking to modulate tumor-promoting inflammation.

Open versus minimally invasive nephroureterectomy in octogenarians: An analysis of surgical approach trends, outcomes, and survival analysis with propensity matching.

INTRODUCTION: Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is a rare disease accounting only for 5%-10% of urothelial carcinoma (UC). For localized high-risk disease, radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) is the standard of care. While minimally invasive (MIS) RNU has not been shown to decisively improve overall survival (OS) compared to open surgery, MIS RNU has been associated with reduced hospital length of stay (LOS), blood transfusion requirements and improved recovery, which are important considerations when treating older patients. The purpose of this study is to examine trends in surgical approach selection and outcomes of open vs. MIS RNU in patients aged ≥80 years. METHODS: Using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), patients aged ≥80 years who underwent open or MIS (either robotic or laparoscopic) RNU were identified from 2010 to 2019. Demographic, patient-related, and disease-specific factors associated with either open or MIS RNU were assessed using multivariate logistic regression models. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox-proportional hazard regression. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was utilized to adjust for confounding variables. Survival analysis was also conducted on the IPTW adjusted cohort using Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox-proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: 5,687 patients were identified, with 1,431 (25.2%) and 4,256 (74.8%) patients undergoing open and MIS RNU respectively. The proportion of RNU performed robotically has increased from 12.5% in 2010 to 50.4% in 2019. MIS was associated with a shorter hospital LOS (4.7 days versus 5.9 days, SMD 23.7%). Multivariate analysis revealed that MIS was associated with a significant reduction in 90-day mortality (OR: 0.571; 95%CI: 0.34-0.96, P = 0.033) and improved median OS (53.8 months [95%CI: 50.9-56.9] vs 42.35 months [95%CI: 38.6-46.8], P < 0.001) compared to open surgery. IPTW-adjusted survival analysis revealed improved median OS with MIS when compared to open surgery, with a survival benefit of 46.1 months (95%CI: 40.2-52.4 months) versus 37.7 months (95%CI: 32.6-46.5 months, P = 0.0034) respectively. IPTW-adjusted cox proportional hazard analysis demonstrated that MIS was significantly associated with reduced mortality (HR 0.76, 95%CI: 0.66-0.87, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In octogenarians undergoing RNU, MIS is associated with improved median OS and 90-day mortality.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting overall survival of upper-tract urothelial carcinoma with bone metastasis: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Bone metastasis (BM) carries a poor prognosis for patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). This study aims to identify survival predictors and develop a prognostic nomogram for overall survival (OS) in UTUC patients with BM. METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to select patients with UTUC between 2010 and 2019. The chi-square test was used to assess the baseline differences between the groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to assess OS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors for nomogram establishment. An independent cohort was used for external validation of the nomogram. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using concordance index (C-index), area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 23.0 and R software 4.2.2. RESULTS: The mean OS for UTUC patients with BM was 10 months (95% CI: 8.17 to 11.84), with 6-month OS, 1-year OS, and 3-year OS rates of 41%, 21%, and 3%, respectively. Multi-organ metastases (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.66 to 2.95, P < 0.001), surgery (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.56 to 0.91, P = 0.007), and chemotherapy (HR = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.3 to 0.46, P < 0.001) were identified as independent prognostic factors. The C-index was 0.725 for the training cohort and 0.854 for the validation cohort, and all AUC values were > 0.679. The calibration curve and DCA curve showed the accuracy and practicality of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: The OS of UTUC patients with BM was poor. Multi-organ metastases was a risk factor for OS, while surgery and chemotherapy were protective factors. Our nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in evaluating the OS of UTUC patients with BM.

Association between comorbidities and survival in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to investigate the relationship between comorbidities and survival in patients with mUC treated with pembrolizumab as a second-line treatment. METHODS: From February 2018 to October 2021, we analyzed the data of 185 consecutive patients with metastatic UC who received pembrolizumab as second-line therapy at The Jikei University Hospital and five affiliated hospitals. We used the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to assess the comorbidities. The outcomes of interest were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). To compare the survival differences, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model were used. RESULTS: After IPTW adjustment, patient characteristics were well-balanced between patients with high CCI and those with low CCI. The IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves of PFS and OS based on CCI revealed that the patients with high CCI (2 or more) had a shorter PFS (median, 1.6 vs. 2.8 months) and a shorter OS (median, 12.4 vs. 18.8 months) (0-1). Similarly, in the IPTW-adjusted Cox regression hazards model, patients with high CCI had significantly shorter PFS [HR, 1.84 (95% CI 1.26-2.68; p = 0.002)] and OS [HR, 1.98 (95% CI 1.20-3.27; p = 0.008)] than those with lower CCI. CONCLUSIONS: High CCI was associated with a higher risk of disease progression as well as overall mortality in mUC patients treated with second-line pembrolizumab.

The effect of enhanced recovery after surgery on oncologic outcome following radical cystectomy for urothelial bladder carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Limited data are available regarding the effect of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) protocols on the long-term outcomes of radical cystectomy (RC) in bladder cancer patients. The aim of this study is to evaluate the oncological outcomes in patients who underwent RC with ERAS protocol. METHODS: We reviewed the records of patients who underwent RC for primary urothelial bladder carcinoma with curative intent from January 2003 to August 2022. The primary and secondary outcomes were recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of ERAS on oncological outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 967 ERAS patients and 1144 non-ERAS patients were included in this study. The RFS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years after RC were 81%, 71.5%, and 69% in the ERAS cohort, respectively. This rate in the non-ERAS group was 81%, 71%, and 67% at 1, 3, and 5 years after RC, respectively (P = 0.50). However, ERAS patients had significantly better OS with 86%, 73%, and 67% survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years compared to 84%, 68%, and 59.5% survival rates in the non-ERAS group, respectively (P = 0.002). In multivariable analysis adjusting for other relevant factors, ERAS was no longer independently associated with recurrence-free (HR = 0.96, 95% CI 0.76-1.22, P = 0.75) or overall survival (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.66-1.09, P = 0.28) following RC. CONCLUSION: ERAS protocols are associated with a shorter hospital stay, yet with no impact on long-term oncologic outcomes in patients undergoing RC for bladder cancer.

The Overall Survival Benefit in EV-302: Is Enfortumab Vedotin plus Pembrolizumab the New Frontline Standard of Care for Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma?

Recent findings reported for the phase 3 EV-302 trial indicate a survival benefit from enfortumab vedotin plus pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy in metastatic urothelial carcinoma. We discuss several key points regarding post-protocol therapies, extending the duration of therapy, toxicity, and costs, all of which may have a bearing on how physicians and patients balance the benefit against the potential harms associated with this regimen.

Real-world sequential treatment patterns and clinical outcomes among patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: Immune checkpoint inhibitors and enfortumab vedotin have opened new avenues for sequential treatment strategies for locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC). In the pre-enfortumab vedotin era, many patients could not receive third-line treatment owing to rapid disease progression and poor general status. This study aimed to analyze real-world sequential treatment practices for la/mUC in Japan, with a focus on patients who do not receive third-line treatment. METHODS: We analyzed data for 1023 la/mUC patients diagnosed between January 2020 and December 2021 at 54 institutions from a Japanese nationwide cohort. RESULTS: At the median follow-up of 28.5 months, the median overall survival from first-line initiation for 905 patients who received systemic anticancer treatment was 19.1 months. Among them, 81% and 32% received second- and third-line treatment. Notably, 52% had their treatment terminated before the opportunity for third-line treatment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that low performance status (≥1), elevated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥3), and low body mass index (<21 kg/m2) at the start of first-line treatment were independent risk factors for not proceeding to third-line treatment (p = 0.0024, 0.0069, and 0.0058, respectively). In this cohort, 33% had one of these factors, 36% had two, and 15% had all three. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the high frequency of factors associated with poor tolerance to anticancer treatment in la/mUC patients. The findings suggest the need to establish optimal sequential treatment strategies, maximizing efficacy within time and tolerance constraints, while concurrently providing strong supportive care, considering immunological and nutritional aspects.

TP53 disruptive mutation predicts platinum-based chemotherapy and PD-1/PD-L1 blockade response in urothelial carcinoma.

TP53 mutation is one of the most common genetic alterations in urothelial carcinoma (UrCa), and heterogeneity of TP53 mutants leads to heterogeneous clinical outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the clinical relevance of specific TP53 mutations in UrCa. In this study, a total of eight cohorts were enrolled, along with matched clinical annotation. TP53 mutations were classified as disruptive and nondisruptive according to the degree of disturbance of p53 protein function and structure. We evaluated the clinical significance of TP53 mutations in our local datasets and publicly available datasets. The co-occurring events of TP53 mutations in UrCa, along with their therapeutic indications, functional effects, and the tumor immune microenvironment, were also investigated. TP53 mutations were identified in 49.7% of the UrCa patients. Within this group, 25.1% of patients carried TP53Disruptive mutations, a genetic alteration correlated with a significantly poorer overall survival (OS) when compared to individuals with TP53Nondisruptive mutations and those with wild-type TP53. Significantly, patients with TP53Disruptive mutations exhibit an increased probability of responding favorably to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade and chemoimmunotherapy. Meanwhile, there was no noteworthy distinction in OS among patients with varying TP53 mutation status who underwent chemotherapy. Samples with TP53Disruptive mutations showed an enriched APOBEC- and POLE-related mutational signature, as well as an elevated tumor mutation burden. The sensitivity to immunotherapy in tumors carrying TP53Disruptive mutation may be attributed to the inflamed tumor microenvironment characterized by increased CD8+T cell infiltration and interferon-gamma signaling activation. In conclusion, UrCa patients with TP53Disruptive mutations have shown reduced survival rates, yet they may respond well to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade therapy and chemoimmunotherapy. By distinguishing specific TP53 mutations, we can improve risk stratification and offer personalized genomics-guided therapy to UrCa patients. © 2024 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Recent trends in incidence, mortality, survival, and treatment of upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: To examine the recent trends in incidence, incidence-based mortality, survival, and treatment of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) from 2004 to 2019 and investigate whether patients would benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS: Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified 18,422 patients diagnosed with UTUC from 2004 to 2019. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to test the trends in annual percentage change (APC) for statistical significance. RESULTS: From 2004 to 2019, the incidence of all UTUC decreased from 1.46 to 1.27 per 100,000 person-years [APC: -1.11, P<0.001]. In subgroup analysis, the incidence decreased for localized, regional and stage I-II, but increased for distant. Over the study period, changes in trend for 5-year cancer specific survival [APC: -0.21, P=0.676] and 5-year overall survival [APC: 0.18, P=0.751] of all UTUC were not significant. The 5-year cancer specific survival and 5-year overall survival for regional and stage III cancer improved significantly from 2004 to 2014. Since 2004, rates of treatment with nephroureterectomy combined with chemotherapy increased significantly [APC: 7.38, P<0.001], while rates of treatment with nephroureterectomy alone decreased significantly [APC: -1.89, P<0.001]. CONCLUSION: The overall incidence of UTUC is reduced, with a significant reduction in the incidence of early stage UTUC but an increase in the incidence of late stage UTUC. No significant change in IBM was observed over the study period. No significant improvement in survival for early stage UTUC. Significant improvements in regional and stage III survival were observed with active adjuvant chemotherapy. There is also an excess of combination therapy. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 8.

Improved Disease-Free Survival With Adjuvant Chemotherapy After Nephroureterectomy for Upper Tract Urothelial Cancer: Final Results of the POUT Trial.

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co-primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported.POUT was a phase III, randomized, open-label trial, including 261 patients with muscle-invasive or lymph node-positive, nonmetastatic upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) randomly assigned after radical nephroureterectomy to platinum-based chemotherapy (132) or surveillance (129). Primary outcome analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy improved disease-free survival (DFS). At that time, the planned secondary outcome analysis of overall survival (OS) was immature. By February 2022, 50 and 67 DFS events had occurred in the chemotherapy and surveillance groups, respectively, at a median follow-up of 65 months. The 5-year DFS was 62% versus 45%, univariable hazard ratio (HR), 0.55 (95% CI, 0.38 to 0.80, P = .001). The restricted mean survival time (RMST) was 18 months longer (95% CI, 6 to 30) in the chemotherapy arm. There were 46 and 60 deaths in the chemotherapy and control arms, respectively. The 5-year OS was 66% versus 57%, with univariable HR, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.46 to 1.00, P = .049) and RMST difference 11 months (95% CI, 1 to 21). Treatment effects were consistent across chemotherapy regimens (carboplatin or cisplatin) and disease stage. Toxicities were similar to those previously reported, and there were no clinically relevant differences in quality of life between arms. In summary, although OS was not the primary outcome measure, the updated results add further support for the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with UTUC, suggesting long-term benefits.

Comparative Effectiveness of Neoadjuvant Pembrolizumab Versus Cisplatin-based Chemotherapy or Upfront Radical Cystectomy in Patients with Muscle-invasive Urothelial Bladder Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recent progresses in the use of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) have challenged the therapeutic standards in patients with muscle-invasive urothelial bladder carcinoma (MIBC). OBJECTIVE: To compare neoadjuvant pembrolizumab followed by radical cystectomy (RC) versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and RC or upfront RC, according to cisplatin eligibility. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted two separate analyses for cisplatin-eligible and cisplatin-ineligible cT2-4N0M0 MIBC patients. We used a propensity score adjustment that relied on inverse probability of treatment-weighting (IPTW). INTERVENTION: Pembrolizumab within the PURE-01 trial, and NAC and RC or upfront RC from a high-volume tertiary care referral center. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary endpoint in both analyses was event-free survival (EFS), defined as freedom from recurrence, and/or death from any cause indexed from the date of treatment initiation or RC. The secondary endpoints included EFS in propensity score-matched patients, pathologic response rate, and recurrence-free survival (RFS) after RC. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 458 patients who underwent RC, with or without NAC, at Moffitt Cancer Center between October 2005 and October 2020, and 146 patients enrolled in PURE-01 were analyzed. In cisplatin-ineligible patients, EFS was superior in those receiving pembrolizumab (p < 0.001). The estimated 3-yr EFS was 77.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 63.5-95.2) for pembrolizumab and RC, and 36.1% (95% CI: 28.6-45.5) for upfront RC. EFS remained superior in those receiving neoadjuvant ICI (NICI) following IPTW (p < 0.001). In cisplatin-eligible patients, EFS was superior in those receiving pembrolizumab and RC (p < 0.001). The estimated 3-yr EFS was 86.9% (95% CI: 80.9-93.3) for pembrolizumab and 63.5% (95% CI: 56.5-71.4) for NAC. EFS remained superior in those receiving NICI following IPTW (p < 0.001). Pathologic responses and RFS in pembrolizumab-treated patients were also superior to those in NAC-treated patients. Results are limited by the retrospective nature of the study. CONCLUSIONS: In the first ever reported comprehensive comparison of outcomes between neoadjuvant ICI and NAC, followed by RC, or upfront RC, we report increased responses and improved oncologic outcomes with neoadjuvant ICI in patients with MIBC. PATIENT SUMMARY: We compared the results obtained from the use of pembrolizumab and radical cystectomy with standard-of-care treatments in patients with bladder carcinoma infiltrating the muscle layer. We reported increased response and survival rates possibilities with the use of immunotherapy, anticipating the possibility to set new therapeutic standards in these patients, pending the results of ongoing randomized studies.