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1.
Port J Card Thorac Vasc Surg ; 31(1): 17-22, 2024 May 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743515

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Cardiac disease is associated with a risk of death, both by the cardiac condition and by comorbidities. The waiting time for surgery begins with the onset of symptoms and includes referral, completion of the diagnosis and surgical waiting list (SWL). This study was conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic, which affected surgical capacity and patients' morbidities. METHODS: The cohort includes 1914 consecutive adult patients (36.6% women, mean age 67 ±11 years), prospectively registered in the official SWL from January 2019 to December 2021. We analyzed waiting times ranging from 4 days to one year to exclude urgencies and outliers. Priority was classified by the national criteria for non-oncologic or oncology surgery. RESULTS: During the study period, 74% of patients underwent surgery, 19.2% were still waiting, and 4.3% dropped out. Most cases were valvular (41.2%) or isolated bypass procedures (34.2%). Patients were classified as non-priority in 29.7%, priority in 61.8%, and high priority in 8.6%, with significantly different SWL mean times between groups (p<0.001). The overall mean waiting time was 167 ± 135 days. Mortality on SWL was 2.5%, or 1.1 deaths per patient/weeks. There were two mortality independent predictors: age (HR 1.05) and the year 2021 versus 2019 (HR 2.07) and a trend toward higher mortality in priority patients versus non-priority (p=0.065). The overall risk increased with time with different slopes for each year. Using the time limits for SWL in oncology, there would have been a significant risk reduction (p=0.011). CONCLUSION: The increased risk observed in 2021 may be related to the pandemic, either by increasing waiting time or by direct mortality. Since risk stratification is not entirely accurate, waiting time emerges as the most crucial factor influencing mortality, and implementing stricter time limits could have led to lower mortality rates.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Heart Diseases , Waiting Lists , Humans , Female , Waiting Lists/mortality , Male , COVID-19/epidemiology , Aged , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Middle Aged , Heart Diseases/surgery , Heart Diseases/mortality , Heart Diseases/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Time Factors , Risk Assessment , Pandemics , Time-to-Treatment/statistics & numerical data
2.
Ulus Travma Acil Cerrahi Derg ; 30(5): 328-336, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38738671

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aims to identify the factors influencing 30-day morbidity and mortality in patients aged 65 and older undergoing cardiovascular surgery. METHODS: Data from 360 patients who underwent cardiac surgery between January 2012 and August 2021 in the Cardiovascular Surgery Intensive Care Unit (CVS ICU) were analyzed. Patients were categorized into two groups: "mortality+" (33 patients) and "mortality-" (327 patients). Factors influencing mortality, including preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative risk factors, complications, and outcomes, were assessed. RESULTS: Significant differences were observed between the two groups in factors affecting mortality, including extubation time, ICU stay duration, blood transfusion, surgical reexploration, aortic clamp duration, glomerular filtration rate (GFR), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatinine, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, and the lowest systolic blood pressure during the first 24 hours in the ICU (p<0.05). The "mortality+" group had longer extubation times and ICU stays, required more blood transfusions, and had higher BUN-creatinine ratios, but lower systolic blood pressures, GFR, and HbA1c levels. Mortality was also higher in patients needing noradrenaline infusions and those who underwent reoperation for bleeding (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: By optimizing preoperative renal function, minimizing extubation time, shortening ICU stays, and carefully managing blood transfusions, surgical reexplorations, aortic clamp duration, and HbA1c levels, we believe that the mortality rate can be reduced in elderly patients. Key strategies include shortening aortic clamp times, reducing perioperative blood transfusions, and ensuring effective bleeding control.


Subject(s)
Intensive Care Units , Humans , Aged , Male , Female , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Aged, 80 and over , Postoperative Complications/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Cardiovascular Surgical Procedures/mortality , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Hospital Mortality
3.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 65(4)2024 Mar 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38579237

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the early outcomes and risk factors of paediatric patients requiring extracorporeal membrane oxygenation after cardiac surgery (post-cardiotomy). METHODS: Retrospective binational cohort study from the Australia and New Zealand Congenital Outcomes Registry for Surgery database. All patients younger than 18 years of age who underwent a paediatric cardiac surgical procedure from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2021 and required post-cardiotomy extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (PC-ECMO) in the same hospital admission were included in the study. RESULTS: Of the 12 290 patients included in the study, 376 patients required post-cardiotomy ECMO (3%). Amongst these patients, hospital mortality was 35.6% and two-thirds of patients experienced a major complication. Hypoplastic left heart syndrome was the most common diagnosis (17%). The Norwood procedure and modified Blalock-Taussig shunts had the highest incidence of requiring PC-ECMO (odds ratio of 10 and 6.8 respectively). Predictors of hospital mortality after PC-ECMO included single-ventricle physiology, intracranial haemorrhage and chylothorax. CONCLUSIONS: In the current era, one-third of patients who required PC-ECMO after paediatric cardiac surgery in Australia and New Zealand did not survive to hospital discharge. The Norwood procedure and isolated modified Blalock-Taussig shunt had the highest incidence of requiring PC-ECMO. Patients undergoing the Norwood procedure had the highest mortality (48%). Two-thirds of patients on PC-ECMO developed a major complication.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation , Heart Defects, Congenital , Hospital Mortality , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/adverse effects , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/methods , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Infant , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Infant, Newborn , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Heart Defects, Congenital/mortality , Child, Preschool , Child , New Zealand/epidemiology , Australia/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , Adolescent , Registries
4.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38684395

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Goal-directed perfusion (GDP) refers to individualized goal-directed therapy using comprehensive monitoring and optimizing the delivery of oxygen during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). This study aims to determine whether the intraoperative GDP protocol method has better outcomes compared to conventional methods. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Central, and Scopus databases up to October 12, 2023. We primarily examined the GDP protocol in adult cardiac surgery, using CPB with oxygen delivery index (DO2I) and cardiac index (CI) as the main parameters. RESULTS: In all, 1128 participants from seven studies were included in our analysis. The results showed significant differences in the duration of intensive care unit (ICU) stays (p = 0.01), with a mean difference of -0.33 (-0.59 to 0.07), and hospital length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.0002), with a mean difference of -0.84 (-1.29 to -0.39). There was also a notable reduction in postoperative complications (p <0.00001), odds ratio (OR) of 0.43 (0.32-0.60). However, there was no significant decrease in mortality rate (p = 0.54), OR of 0.77 (0.34-1.77). CONCLUSION: Postoperative acute kidney injury and ICU and hospital LOS are significantly reduced when GDP protocols with indicators of flow management, oxygen delivery index, and CI are used in intraoperative cardiac surgery using CPB.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Cardiopulmonary Bypass , Length of Stay , Humans , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Treatment Outcome , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Oxygen/blood , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Risk Factors , Male , Aged , Middle Aged , Intraoperative Care , Female , Time Factors , Monitoring, Intraoperative/methods , Predictive Value of Tests , Clinical Decision-Making , Cardiac Output
5.
Int J Artif Organs ; 47(4): 313-317, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38462690

ABSTRACT

Reliable stratification of the risk of early mortality after postcardiotomy veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A-ECMO) remains elusive. In this study, we externally validated the PC-ECMO score, a specific risk scoring method for prediction of in-hospital mortality after postcardiotomy V-A-ECMO. Overall, 614 patients who required V-A-ECMO after adult cardiac surgery were gathered from an individual patient data meta-analysis of nine studies on this topic. The AUC of the logistic PC-ECMO score in predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.678 (95%CI 0.630-0.726; p < 0.0001). The AUC of the logistic PC-ECMO score in predicting on V-A-ECMO mortality was 0.652 (95%CI 0.609-0.695; p < 0.0001). The Brier score of the logistic PC-ECMO score for in-hospital mortality was 0.193, the slope 0.909, the calibration-in-the-large 0.074 and the expected/observed mortality ratio 0.979. 95%CIs of the calibration belt of fit relationship between observed and predicted in-hospital mortality were never above or below the bisector (p = 0.072). The present findings suggest that the PC-ECMO score may be a valuable tool in clinical research for stratification of the risk of patients requiring postcardiotomy V-A-ECMO.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Risk Assessment/methods , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Risk Factors
6.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 65(4)2024 Mar 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38521543

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cardiac surgery for infective endocarditis (IE) is associated with significant hospital mortality, and female sex may be associated with worse outcomes. However, the impact of sex on the presenting characteristics, management, and outcomes of patients operated on for acute infective endocarditis (IE) has not been adequately studied. OBJECTIVES: The goal of our study was to analyse differences in management and outcome of IE between women and men who undergo surgery. METHODS: Clinical data of 717 patients undergoing cardiac surgery for IE between December 2005 and December 2019 were prospectively collected. Sex-related postoperative outcomes including in-hospital mortality were recorded. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify potential sex-related determinant of in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: In all, 532 male patients (74.2%) and 185 female patients (25.8%) underwent surgery for IE. At baseline, women had more frequent mitral regurgitation with 63 patients (34.1%) than men with 135 patients (25.4%) (P = 0.002). Female sex was associated with higher in-hospital mortality (23.2% versus 17.3%, P = 0.049). However, multivariable analysis revealed age (P < 0.01), antibiotics < 7 days before surgery (P = 0.01) and staphylococcal IE (P < 0.01) but not female sex (P = 0.99) as independent determinants of hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In this study of patients operated-on for IE, female sex was associated with more severe manifestations of IE and significantly higher in-hospital mortality. However, after multivariable analysis, initial presentation, but not sex, seemed to determine clinical outcomes.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Endocarditis , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Sex Factors , Aged , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Endocarditis/surgery , Endocarditis/mortality , Treatment Outcome , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Prospective Studies
7.
J Cardiovasc Pharmacol ; 83(6): 580-587, 2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38467037

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Multimers of von Willebrand factor play a critical role in various processes inducing morbidity and mortality in cardiovascular-risk patients. With the ability to reduce von Willebrand factor multimers, N-acetylcysteine (NAC) could reduce mortality in patients undergoing coronary catheterization or cardiac surgery. However, its impact in perioperative period has never been studied so far in regard of its potential cardiovascular benefits. Then, 4 databases were searched for randomized controlled trials that compared in-hospital mortality between an experimental group, with NAC, and a control group without NAC, in patients undergoing coronary catheterization or cardiac surgery. The primary efficacy outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were the occurrence of thrombotic events, major cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, and contrast-induced nephropathy. The safety outcome was occurrence of hemorrhagic events. Nineteen studies totaling 3718 patients were included. Pooled analysis demonstrated a reduction of in-hospital mortality associated with NAC: odds ratio, 0.60; 95% confidence interval, 0.39-0.92; P = 0.02. The occurrence of secondary outcomes was not significantly reduced with NAC except for contrast-induced nephropathy. No difference was reported for hemorrhagic events. Subgroup analyses revealed a life-saving effect of NAC in a dose-dependent manner with reduction of in-hospital mortality for the NAC high-dose group, but not for the NAC standard-dose (<3500-mg) group. In conclusion, without being able to conclude on the nature of the mechanism involved, our review suggests a benefit of NAC in cardiovascular-risk patients in perioperative period in terms of mortality and supports prospective confirmatory studies.


Subject(s)
Acetylcysteine , Cardiac Catheterization , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Cardiac Catheterization/adverse effects , Cardiac Catheterization/mortality , Acetylcysteine/adverse effects , Acetylcysteine/therapeutic use , Acetylcysteine/administration & dosage , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Treatment Outcome , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment , Female , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Male , Aged , Middle Aged
8.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 117(6): 1187-1193, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38290594

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lower institutional volume has been associated with inferior pediatric cardiac surgery outcomes. This study explored the variation in mortality rates among low-, mid-, and high-volume hospitals performing pediatric cardiac surgery in the United States. METHODS: The Kids' Inpatient Database was explored for the years 2016 and 2019. Hospitals performing only off-bypass coarctation and ventricular septal defect repair were omitted. The hospitals were divided into 3 groups by their annual case volume. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit to obtain risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality rates. RESULTS: A total of 25,749 operations performed by 235 hospitals were included in the study. The risk-adjusted mortality rate for the entire sample was 1.9%. There were 140 hospitals in the low-volume group, 64 hospitals in the mid-volume group, and 31 in the high-volume group. All groups had low-mortality (mortality <1.9%) and high-mortality (mortality >1.9%) hospitals. Among low-volume hospitals, 53% were low-mortality (n = 74) and 47% were high-mortality (n = 66) hospitals. Among mid-volume hospitals, 58% were low-mortality (n = 37) and 42% were high-mortality (n = 27) hospitals. Among high-volume hospitals, 68% were low-mortality (n = 21) and 32% were high-mortality (n = 10) hospitals. There was no statistically significant difference in risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality when comparing low-, mid-, and high-volume centers for 7 Society of Thoracic Surgeons benchmark procedures. CONCLUSIONS: This national, real-world, risk-adjusted volume outcome analysis highlights that volume alone may not be the sole arbiter to predict quality of pediatric cardiac surgery outcomes. Using case volume alone as a surrogate for quality may unfairly asperse high-performing, low-volume programs.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Hospital Mortality/trends , Male , Female , United States , Infant , Child , Hospitals, High-Volume/statistics & numerical data , Child, Preschool , Heart Defects, Congenital/surgery , Heart Defects, Congenital/mortality , Hospitals, Low-Volume/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Infant, Newborn , Hospitals, Pediatric/statistics & numerical data
10.
Curr Med Res Opin ; 40(1): 27-34, 2024 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37999982

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The cumulative effect of drugs with anticholinergic properties may pose a significant risk in the post-discharge period of patients who have undergone elective cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between anticholinergic burden and 6-month postdischarge mortality in older cardiac surgery patients. METHODS: This study performed a retrospective longitudinal analysis of patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery at a tertiary care centre from January 2021 to January 2022. The Deyo-Charlson comorbidity index (D-CCI) was used to estimate the burden of comorbidities. The anticholinergic burden was assessed using the Anticholinergic Cognitive Burden scale (ACB) and Drug Burden Index (DBI) scale. All-cause postdischarge mortality was determined from electronic medical records. RESULTS: A total of 255 older adults who had undergone elective cardiac surgery and had been followed up for at least 6 months were included in this study. Approximately 12.5% (n = 32) of older patients died within 6 months of discharge. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, ACB (HR:1.31, 95%CI:1.10-1.56 p = 0.01) and DBI (HR:2.08, 95%CI:1.27-3.39 p = 0.01) showed significantly increased risk of 6-month postdischarge mortality after adjusting for several possible confounders (age, gender, D-CCl, and American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) score). Overall event-free survival differed significantly between patients undergoing cardiac surgery based on anticholinergic burden according to the group-stratified ACB and DBI scales (χ2: 5.907, log-rank test, p = 0.015 and χ2: 15.389, log-rank test, p < 0.001 respectively). CONCLUSION: The anticholinergic burden is associated with 6-month all-cause post-discharge mortality in older cardiac surgery patients. A deprescribing approach should be considered, especially for older adults in the perioperative period. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial was retrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov. Identifier: NCT05312684 Registered on 5 April 2022.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Cholinergic Antagonists , Aged , Humans , Aftercare , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Cholinergic Antagonists/adverse effects , Patient Discharge , Retrospective Studies
11.
Hawaii J Health Soc Welf ; 82(10 Suppl 1): 84-88, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37901671

ABSTRACT

Studies that examine racial disparities in health outcomes often include analyses that account or adjust for baseline differences in co-morbid conditions. Often, these conditions are defined as dichotomous (Yes/No) variables, and few analyses include clinical and/or laboratory data that could allow for more nuanced estimates of disease severity. However, disease severity - not just prevalence - can differ substantially by race and is an underappreciated mechanism for health disparities. Thus, relying on dichotomous disease indicators may not fully describe health disparities. This study explores the effect of substituting continuous clinical and/or laboratory data for dichotomous disease indicators on racial disparities, using data from the Queen's Medical Center's (QMC) cardiac surgery database (a subset of the national Society of Thoracic Surgeon's cardiothoracic surgery database) as an example case. Two logistic regression models predicting in-hospital mortality were constructed: (I) a baseline model including race and dichotomous (Yes/No) indicators of disease (diabetes, heart failure, liver disease, kidney disease), and (II) a more detailed model with continuous laboratory values in place of the dichotomous indicators (eg, including Hemoglobin A1c level rather than just diabetes yes/no). When only dichotomous disease indicators were used in the model, Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander (NHPI) race was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.57[1.29,2.47], P=.04). Yet when the more specific laboratory values were included, NHPI race was no longer associated with in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.67[0.92,2.28], P=.28). Thus, researchers should be thoughtful in their choice of independent variables and understand the potential impact of how clinical measures are operationalized in their research.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Diabetes Mellitus , Health Inequities , Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander , Patient Acuity , Humans , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Diabetes Mellitus/ethnology , Pacific Island People , Comorbidity , Hospital Mortality/ethnology
14.
Rev. urug. cardiol ; 38(1): e202, 2023. graf, tab
Article in Spanish | LILACS, UY-BNMED, BNUY | ID: biblio-1450408

ABSTRACT

Introducción: la mortalidad posoperatoria ha sido el indicador principal de los resultados a corto y mediano plazo en la evaluación de la cirugía cardíaca. Una forma de analizar dicho evento es mediante los modelos de ajuste del riesgo que identifican variables que predicen su ocurrencia. Uno de los más utilizados es el EuroSCORE I que pro-porciona la probabilidad de morir de cada individuo y que está constituido por 18 variables de riesgo. Objetivos: presentar los resultados de la aplicación y la validación del modelo EuroSCORE I en Uruguay entre los años 2003 y 2020. Metodología: inicialmente se desarrolló una validación externa del EuroSCORE I en la población uruguaya adulta tomando como población de referencia la intervenida entre los años 2003 y 2006. Una vez que se validó el EuroSCORE I, este se aplicó prospectivamente durante los años 2007 al 2020 en su versión original y con el ajuste desarrollado con población del período 2003-2006. Resultados: la aplicación del modelo original encontró que hubo 5 años en los que la razón de mortalidad observada y esperada (MO/ME) fue significativamente mayor que 1. En el período 2007-2020 el EuroScore I no calibró en 6 oca-siones, y fue aplicada la versión ajustada en la evaluación de las instituciones de medicina altamente especializada. La aplicación del modelo ajustado mostró una buena calibración para el período 2007-2020, salvo en el año 2013, y mostró una buena discriminación (área bajo la curva ROC) en todo el período evaluado. Conclusiones: las escalas de riesgo son herramientas metodológicas y estadísticas que tienen gran utilidad para la toma de decisiones en salud. Este trabajo tiene como fortaleza el de presentar datos nacionales aplicando un modelo de riesgo ampliamente utilizado en todo el mundo, lo que nos permite comparar nuestros resultados con los obte-nidos a nivel internacional (EuroSCORE I logístico original) y, por otro lado, evaluar la performance comparativa interna a lo largo de un largo período de tiempo (EuroSCORE I logístico ajustado). Para el futuro resta el desafío de comparar estos resultados, ya sea con un modelo propio o con otros internacionales de elaboración más reciente.


Introduction: postoperative mortality has been the main indicator of short- and medium-term results in the eva luation of cardiac surgery. One way to analyze such outcomes is through risk adjustment models that identify varia bles that predict the occurrence. One of the most used is the EuroSCORE I, which provides the probability of death for each individual and is made up of 18 risk variables. Objectives: present the results of the application and validation of the EuroSCORE I model in Uruguay between 2003 and 2020. Methodology: initially, an external validation of the EuroSCORE I was developed in the Uruguayan adult popula tion, taking as reference population the intervened population between 2003 and 2006. Once the EuroSCORE I was validated, it was applied prospectively during the years 2007 to 2020 in its original version and with the adjustment developed with the population of the period 2003 to 2006. Results: the application of the original model found that there were 5 years during which the observed versus ex pected mortality ratio (OM/ME) was significantly greater than 1. In the period 2007 to 2020, the EuroScore I did not calibrate on 6 occasions, the adjusted version being applied in the evaluation of highly specialized medicine institu tions. The application of the adjusted model showed a good calibration for the period 2007-2020 except in the year 2013 and showed good discrimination (area under the ROC curve) throughout the evaluated period. Conclusions: risk scales are methodological and statistical tools that are very useful for decision-making in health care. This work has the strength of presenting national data applying a risk model widely used across the world, which allows it to be compare with results at an international level (original logistical Euroscore I) and, on the other hand, to evaluate the internal comparative performance over long period of time (adjusted logistic Euroscore I). Up next is the challenge of comparing these results either with our own model or with other more recent international ones.


Introdução: a mortalidade pós-operatória tem sido o principal indicador de resultados a curto e médio prazo na avaliação da cirurgia cardíaca. Uma forma de analisar esse evento é por meio de modelos de ajuste de risco que identificam variáveis que predizem a ocorrência do evento. Um dos mais utilizados é o EuroSCORE I, que fornece a probabilidade de morrer para cada indivíduo e é composto por 18 variáveis de risco. Objetivos: apresentar os resultados da aplicação e validação do modelo EuroSCORE I no Uruguai entre os anos de 2003 e 2020. Metodologia: inicialmente, foi realizada uma validação externa do EuroSCORE I na população uruguaia adulta, tomando como referência a população operada entre 2003 e 2006. Uma vez validado o EuroSCORE I, foi aplicado prospectivamente durante os anos de 2007 a 2020 em sua versão original e com o ajuste desenvolvido com a popu lação do período de 2003 a 2006. Resultados: a aplicação do modelo original constatou que houve 5 anos em que a razão de mortalidade observada versus esperada (MO/ME) foi significativamente maior que 1. No período de 2007 a 2020, o EuroScore I não calibrou em 6 ocasiões, sendo a versão ajustada aplicada na avaliação de instituições médicas altamente especializadas. A aplicação do modelo ajustado mostrou uma boa calibração para o período 2007-2020 exceto no ano de 2013 e apre sentou boa discriminação (área sob a curva ROC) em todo o período avaliado. Conclusões: as escalas de risco são ferramentas metodológicas e estatísticas muito úteis para a tomada de decisões em saúde. O ponto forte deste trabalho é apresentar dados nacionais aplicando um modelo de risco amplamente uti lizado em todo o mundo, que permite comparar com resultados a nível internacional (original Logistic Euroscore I) e, por outro lado, avaliar o comparativo interno desempenho durante um longo período de tempo (Euroscore Logístico I ajustado). Para o futuro, fica o desafio de comparar esses resultados, seja com um modelo próprio ou com outros internacionais de elaboração mais recente.


Subject(s)
Humans , Risk Assessment/methods , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Uruguay , Calibration , Logistic Models , ROC Curve , Validation Study
15.
J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth ; 36(12): 4313-4319, 2022 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36207199

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LOS) on hospital mortality and non-home discharge for patients undergoing cardiac surgery over a 16-year period in Australia and New Zealand. DESIGN: A retrospective, multicenter cohort study covering the period January 1, 2004 to December 31, 2019. SETTING: One hundred one hospitals in Australia and New Zealand that submitted data to the Australia New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database. PARTICIPANTS: Adult patients (aged >18) who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting, valve surgery, or combined valve + coronary artery surgery. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The authors analyzed 252,948 cardiac surgical patients from 101 hospitals, with a median age of 68.3 years (IQR 60-75.5), of whom 74.2% (187,632 of 252,948) were male patients. A U-shaped relationship was observed between ICU LOS and hospital mortality, with significantly elevated mortality at short (<20 hours) and long (>5 days) ICU LOS, which persisted after adjustment for illness severity and across clinically important subgroups (odds ratio for mortality with ICU LOS >5 days = 3.21, 95% CI 2.88-3.58, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged duration of ICU LOS after cardiac surgery is associated with increased hospital mortality in a U-shaped relationship. An ICU LOS >5 days should be considered a meaningful definition for prolonged ICU stay after cardiac surgery.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Intensive Care Units , Length of Stay , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Hospital Mortality , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , New Zealand/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Australia/epidemiology
16.
Ann Card Anaesth ; 25(4): 485-489, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36254915

ABSTRACT

Background: High preoperative fibrinogen levels are associated with reduced bleeding rates after cardiac surgery. Fibrinogen is directly involved in inflammatory processes and is a cardiovascular risk factors. Whether high fibrinogen levels before cardiac surgery are a risk factor for mortality or morbidity remains unclear. Aims: This study aimed to examine the association between preoperative fibrinogen levels and mortality and morbidity rates after cardiac surgery. Settings and Design: This is a single-center retrospective study. Material and Methods: Patients (n = 1628) were divided into high (HFGr) and normal (NFGr) fibrinogen level groups, based on the cutoff value of 3.3 g/L, derived from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality rate. The rates of postoperative complications, including postoperative bleeding and transfusion rates, were examined. Statistical Analysis: Between-group comparisons were performed with the Mann-Whitney U test and Chi-squared test, as suitable. Model discriminative power was examined with the area under the ROC curve. Results: The HFGr and NFGr included 1103 and 525 patients, respectively. Mortality rate was higher in the HFGr than in the NFGr (2.7% vs. 1.1%, P = 0.04). The 12-h bleeding volume (280 mL [195-400] vs. 305 mL [225-435], P = 0.0003) and 24-h bleeding volume values (400 mL [300-550] vs. 450 mL [340-620], P < 0.0001) were lower in the HFGr than in the NFGr. However, the rate of red blood cell transfusion during hospitalization was higher in the HFGr than in the NFGr (21.7% vs. 5.9%, P = 0.0103). Major complications were more frequent in the HFGr than in the NFGr. Conclusion: High fibrinogen levels were associated with reduced postoperative bleeding volume and increased mortality and morbidity rates.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Fibrinogen , Postoperative Hemorrhage , Humans , Blood Transfusion , Fibrinogen/analysis , Morbidity , Postoperative Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality
17.
Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci ; 26(10): 3686-3694, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35647850

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to investigate the relationship between postoperative infection-related mortality and lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR), a newly defined parameter with the combination of inflammatory and immune parameters, in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between January 2016 and November 2021, 236 patients who underwent on-pomp cardiac surgery with median sternotomy and developed postoperative infection were analyzed retrospectively. Patients were divided into six groups according to the types of postoperative infection. Preoperative, perioperative, and postoperative variables of the patient groups were compared, and factors affecting postoperative mortality were evaluated. RESULTS: The mortality rate in the patient group we included in the study was 22.9%. Mortality rates did not differ significantly between the infection groups. However, when the LCR value was evaluated between the groups, there was a statistically significant difference (p<0.001). The preoperative LCR cut-off value, which predicts postoperative infection-related mortality, was determined as 133.46 (area under the curve (AUC): 0.607, p=0.017, 48.1% sensitivity, and 47.8% specificity). In the multivariate analysis, postoperative cerebrovascular event (OR: 78.365, 95% CI: 12.367-496.547, p<0.001) and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) stay (odds ratio (OR): 1.136, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.004-1.284, p=0.042) variables were found to be independent predictive factors of postoperative infection-related mortality in the model. There was no positive differentiation of the type of infection in predicting mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The calculated LCR value is a novel and remarkable parameter in estimating postoperative infection-related mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.


Subject(s)
C-Reactive Protein , Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Humans , Lymphocytes , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology
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