Dynamic Prediction of Mortality Using Longitudinally Measured Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Scores: A Joint Modeling Approach.

OBJECTIVES: The pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score was designed to track illness severity and predict mortality in critically ill children. Most commonly, pSOFA at a point in time is used to assess a static patient condition. However, this approach has a significant drawback because it fails to consider any changes in a patients' condition during their PICU stay and, especially, their response to initial critical care treatment. We aimed to evaluate the performance of longitudinal pSOFA scores for predicting mortality. DESIGN: Single-center, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Quaternary 40-bed PICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the PICU between 2015 and 2021 with at least 24 hours of ICU stay. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We calculated daily pSOFA scores up to 30 days, or until death or discharge from the PICU, if earlier. We used the joint longitudinal and time-to-event data model for the dynamic prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. The dataset, which included 9146 patients with a 30-day in-hospital mortality of 2.6%, was divided randomly into training (75%) and validation (25%) subsets, and subjected to 40 repeated stratified cross-validations. We used dynamic area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate the discriminative performance of the model. Compared with the admission-day pSOFA score, AUC for predicting mortality between days 5 and 30 was improved on average by 6.4% (95% CI, 6.3-6.6%) using longitudinal pSOFA scores from the first 3 days and 9.2% (95% CI, 9.0-9.5%) using scores from the first 5 days. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with admission-day pSOFA score, longitudinal pSOFA scores improved the accuracy of mortality prediction in PICU patients at a single center. The pSOFA score has the potential to be used dynamically for the evaluation of patient conditions.

The association between enteral nutrition with survival of critical patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) results in several complications and mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Limited studies have investigated the effect of enteral nutrition (EN) on the survival of COVID-19 patients in the ICU. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of EN with biochemical and pathological indices associated with mortality in ICU patients with COVID-19. METHODS: This case-control study was conducted on 240 patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in the ICU including 120 eventual nonsurvived as the cases and 120 survived patients as the controls. All of the patients received EN as a high protein high volume or standard formula. Data on general information, anthropometric measurements, and the results of lab tests were collected. RESULTS: The recovered patients received significantly more high protein (60.8% vs. 39.6%, p = .004) and high volume (61.6% vs. 42.3%, p = .005) formula compared to the nonsurvived group. Mortality was inversely associated with high volume (odds ratio [OR]: 0.45 confidence interval [CI]95%, p = .008) and high protein (OR: 0.42 CI95%, p = .003) formula. The results remained significant after adjusting for age and sex. Further adjustment for underlying diseases, smoking, body mass index, and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score did not change the results. CONCLUSION: The findings of the study showed that there was a significant inverse association between mortality and high volume and high protein formula in patients with COVID-19. Further investigation is warranted.

Braden score can independently predict 90-day mortality in critically ill patients with dementia.

BACKGROUND: Dementia is a significant cause of death in the older population and is becoming an important public health issue as the population ages and the prevalence of dementia increases. The Braden score is one of the most commonly used clinical tools to assess the risk of skin pressure injury in patients, and some studies have reported that it may reflect the state of frailty of patients. The present study attempted to explore the association between Braden score and 90-day mortality, pressure injury, and aspiration pneumonia in older patients with dementia in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: The study involved extracting crucial data from the Medical Information Market for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database using Structured Query Language, with a license certificate obtained after completing the necessary training and examination available on the MIMIC-IV website. A retrospective analysis was performed on older patients with dementia, aged 65 or older, who were first admitted to the ICU. Ninth and tenth revision International Classification of Diseases codes were used to identify patients with dementia. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between Braden score and death, and hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. Propensity score matching and E-value assessments were employed for sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2892 patients with a median age of approximately 85 years (interquartile range 78.74-89.59) were included, of whom 1625 were female (56.2%). Patients had a median Braden score of 14 (interquartile range 12-15) at ICU admission. Braden score at ICU admission was inversely associated with 90-day mortality risk after adjustment for demographics, severity of illness, treatment and medications, delirium, and sepsis (adjusted HR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.87-0.98, p = 0.006). Patients were divided into two groups with a cut-off value of 15: high-risk group and low-risk group. Compared to the low-risk group (Braden score >15), the risk of 90-day mortality was significantly increased in the high-risk group (Braden score ≤15) (adjusted HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.10-2.09, p = 0.011, E-value: 2.01), the risk of pressure injury (adjusted OR: 2.62, 95% CI: 2.02-3.43, E-value: 2.62) and aspiration pneumonia (adjusted OR: 2.55, 95% CI: 1.84-3.61, E-value: 2.57) was also significantly higher. CONCLUSIONS: The Braden score may be a quick and simple screening tool to identify the risk of adverse outcomes in critically ill older adults with dementia.

Early goal enteral nutrition associated with decreased in-hospital death in mechanically ventilated critically ill adults: a retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Early enteral nutrition (EN) in critically ill adult patients is thought to improve mortality and morbidity; expert guidelines recommend early initiation of EN in critically ill adults. However, the ideal schedule and dose of EN remain understudied. STUDY OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to evaluate the relationship between achieving 70% of recommended EN within 2 days of intubation ('early goal EN') and clinical outcomes in mechanically ventilated medically critically ill adults. We hypothesised that early goal EN would be associated with reduced in-hospital death. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of mechanically ventilated adult patients admitted to our medical intensive care unit during 2013-2019. We assessed the proportion of recommended total EN provided to the patient each day following intubation until extubation, death or 7 days whichever was shortest. Patients who received 70% or more of their recommended total daily EN within 2 days of intubation (ie, 'baseline period') were considered to have achieved 'early goal EN'; these patients were compared with patients who did not ('low EN'). The primary outcome was in-hospital death; secondary outcomes were successful extubation and discharge alive. RESULTS: 938 patients met eligibility criteria and survived the baseline period. During the 7-day postintubation period, 64% of all patients reached 70% of recommended daily calories; 33% of patients achieved early goal EN. In unadjusted and adjusted models, early goal EN versus low EN was associated with a lower incidence of in-hospital death (subdistribution HR (SHR) unadjusted=0.63, p=0.0003, SHR adjusted=0.73, p=0.02). Early goal EN was also associated with a higher incidence of successful extubation (SHR unadjusted=1.41, p<0.00001, SHR adjusted=1.27, p=0.002) and discharge alive (SHR unadjusted=1.54, p<0.00001, SHR adjusted=1.24, p=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Early goal EN was associated with significant improvement in clinical metrics of decreased in-hospital death, increased extubation and increased hospital discharge alive.

Early absolute lymphocyte count was associated with one-year mortality in critically ill surgical patients: A propensity score-matching and weighting study.

BACKGROUND: Absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) is a crucial indicator of immunity in critical illness, but studies focusing on long-term outcomes in critically ill patients, particularly surgical patients, are still lacking. We sought to explore the association between week-one ALC and long-term mortality in critically ill surgical patients. METHODS: We used the 2015-2020 critical care database of Taichung Veterans General Hospital (TCVGH), a referral hospital in central Taiwan, and the primary outcome was one-year all-cause mortality. We assessed the association between ALC and long-term mortality by measuring hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Furthermore, we used propensity score-matching and -weighting analyses, consisting of propensity score matching (PSM), inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), and covariate balancing propensity score (CBPS), to validate the association. RESULTS: A total of 8052 patients were enrolled, with their one-year mortality being 24.2%. Cox regression showed that low ALC was independently associated with mortality (adjHR 1.140, 95% CI 1.091-1.192). Moreover, this association tended to be stronger among younger patients, patients with fewer comorbidities and lower severity. The association between low ALC and mortality in original, PSM, IPTW, and CBPS populations were 1.497 (95% CI 1.320-1.697), 1.391 (95% CI 1.169-1.654), 1.512 (95% CI 1.310-1.744), and 1.511 (95% CI 1.310-1.744), respectively. Additionally, the association appears to be consistent, using distinct cutoff levels to define the low ALC. CONCLUSIONS: We identified that early low ALC was associated with increased one-year mortality in critically ill surgical patients, and prospective studies are warranted to confirm the finding.

Machine Learning for Predicting Risk and Prognosis of Acute Kidney Disease in Critically Ill Elderly Patients During Hospitalization: Internet-Based and Interpretable Model Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney disease (AKD) affects more than half of critically ill elderly patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), which leads to worse short-term outcomes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to establish 2 machine learning models to predict the risk and prognosis of AKD in the elderly and to deploy the models as online apps. METHODS: Data on elderly patients with AKI (n=3542) and AKD (n=2661) from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were used to develop 2 models for predicting the AKD risk and in-hospital mortality, respectively. Data collected from Xiangya Hospital of Central South University were for external validation. A bootstrap method was used for internal validation to obtain relatively stable results. We extracted the indicators within 24 hours of the first diagnosis of AKI and the fluctuation range of some indicators, namely delta (day 3 after AKI minus day 1), as features. Six machine learning algorithms were used for modeling; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), decision curve analysis, and calibration curve for evaluating; Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis for visually interpreting; and the Heroku platform for deploying the best-performing models as web-based apps. RESULTS: For the model of predicting the risk of AKD in elderly patients with AKI during hospitalization, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) showed the best overall performance in the training (AUROC=0.844, 95% CI 0.831-0.857), internal validation (AUROC=0.853, 95% CI 0.841-0.865), and external (AUROC=0.755, 95% CI 0.699-0.811) cohorts. In addition, LightGBM performed well for the AKD prognostic prediction in the training (AUROC=0.861, 95% CI 0.843-0.878), internal validation (AUROC=0.868, 95% CI 0.851-0.885), and external (AUROC=0.746, 95% CI 0.673-0.820) cohorts. The models deployed as online prediction apps allowed users to predict and provide feedback to submit new data for model iteration. In the importance ranking and correlation visualization of the model's top 10 influencing factors conducted based on the SHAP value, partial dependence plots revealed the optimal cutoff of some interventionable indicators. The top 5 factors predicting the risk of AKD were creatinine on day 3, sepsis, delta blood urea nitrogen (BUN), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and heart rate, while the top 5 factors determining in-hospital mortality were age, BUN on day 1, vasopressor use, BUN on day 3, and partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2). CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated 2 online apps for predicting the risk of AKD and its prognostic mortality in elderly patients, respectively. The top 10 factors that influenced the AKD risk and mortality during hospitalization were identified and explained visually, which might provide useful applications for intelligent management and suggestions for future prospective research.

Triglyceride-glucose index as a potential predictor for in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a multicenter, case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The correlation between the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) and the prognosis of ischemic stroke has been well established. This study aims to assess the influence of the TyG index on the clinical outcomes of critically ill individuals suffering from intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). METHODS: Patients diagnosed with ICH were retrospectively retrieved from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). Various statistical methods, including restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression, multivariable logistic regression, subgroup analysis, and sensitivity analysis, were employed to examine the relationship between the TyG index and the primary outcomes of ICH. RESULTS: A total of 791 patients from MIMIC-IV and 1,113 ones from eICU-CRD were analyzed. In MIMIC-IV, the in-hospital and ICU mortality rates were 14% and 10%, respectively, while in eICU-CRD, they were 16% and 8%. Results of the RCS regression revealed a consistent linear relationship between the TyG index and the risk of in-hospital and ICU mortality across the entire study population of both databases. Logistic regression analysis revealed a significant positive association between the TyG index and the likelihood of in-hospital and ICU death among ICH patients in both databases. Subgroup and sensitivity analysis further revealed an interaction between patients' age and the TyG index in relation to in-hospital and ICU mortality among ICH patients. Notably, for patients over 60 years old, the association between the TyG index and the risk of in-hospital and ICU mortality was more pronounced compared to the overall study population in both MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD databases, suggesting a synergistic effect between old age (over 60 years) and the TyG index on the in-hospital and ICU mortality of patients with ICH. CONCLUSIONS: This study established a positive correlation between the TyG index and the risk of in-hospital and ICU mortality in patients over 60 years who diagnosed with ICH, suggesting that the TyG index holds promise as an indicator for risk stratification in this patient population.

The association of arterial partial oxygen pressure with mortality in critically ill sepsis patients: a nationwide observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although several trials were conducted to optimize the oxygenation range in intensive care unit (ICU) patients, no studies have yet reached a universal recommendation on the optimal a partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood (PaO2) range in patients with sepsis. Our aim was to evaluate whether a relatively high arterial oxygen tension is associated with longer survival in sepsis patients compared with conservative arterial oxygen tension. METHODS: From the Korean Sepsis Alliance nationwide registry, patients treated with liberal PaO2 (PaO2 ≥ 80 mm Hg) were 1:1 matched with those treated with conservative PaO2 (PaO2 < 80 mm Hg) over the first three days after ICU admission according to the propensity score. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. RESULTS: The median values of PaO2 over the first three ICU days in 1211 liberal and 1211 conservative PaO2 groups were, respectively, 107.2 (92.0-134.0) and 84.4 (71.2-112.0) in day 1110.0 (93.4-132.0) and 80.0 (71.0-100.0) in day 2, and 106.0 (91.9-127.4) and 78.0 (69.0-94.5) in day 3 (all p-values < 0.001). The liberal PaO2 group showed a lower likelihood of death at day 28 (14.9%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.79; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.96; p-value = 0.017). ICU (HR, 0.80; 95% CI 0.67-0.96; p-value = 0.019) and hospital mortalities (HR, 0.84; 95% CI 0.73-0.97; p-value = 0.020) were lower in the liberal PaO2 group. On ICU days 2 (p-value = 0.007) and 3 (p-value < 0.001), but not ICU day 1, hyperoxia was associated with better prognosis compared with conservative oxygenation., with the lowest 28-day mortality, especially at PaO2 of around 100 mm Hg. CONCLUSIONS: In critically ill patients with sepsis, higher PaO2 (≥ 80 mm Hg) during the first three ICU days was associated with a lower 28-day mortality compared with conservative PaO2.

No benefit of higher protein dosing in critically ill patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

Purpose: The optimal range of protein dosage and effect of high-dose protein on critically ill patients remain controversial. We conducted a meta-analysis to compare higher and lower doses of protein supplementation for nutritional support in critically ill patients. Methods: We searched the PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane Library databases for randomized controlled trials that compared higher (≥1.2 g/kg per day) versus lower (<1.2 g/kg per day) doses of protein supplementation among critically ill adult patients. This search spanned from the inception of relevant databases to November 20, 2023. Our primary endpoint of interest was overall mortality, while secondary endpoints included length of stay in the intensive care unit, length of hospital stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, and incidence of acute kidney injury. Results: Seventeen studies including 2,965 critically ill patients were included in our meta-analysis. The pooled analyses showed no significant difference in overall mortality (RR 1.03, 95%CI [0.92-1.15], P = 0.65, I2 = 0%), length of intensive care unit stay (MD 0.19, 95%CI [-0.67 to 1.04], P = 0.66, I2 = 25%), length of hospital stay (MD 0.73, 95%CI [-1.59 to 3.04], P = 0.54, I2 = 27%), duration of mechanical ventilation (MD -0.14, 95%CI [-0.83 to 0.54], P = 0.68, I2 = 8%), and incidence of acute kidney injury (RR 1.11, 95%CI [0.87-1.41], P = 0.38, I2 = 0%) between critically ill patients receiving higher or lower doses of protein supplementation. Conclusions: For critically ill patients, the protein supplementation dose had no significant effect on clinical outcomes, including overall mortality, length of intensive care unit and hospital stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, and incidence of acute kidney injury.

In-hospital survival of critically ill COVID-19 patients treated with glucocorticoids: a multicenter real-world data study.

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a major challenge to healthcare systems globally. Millions of people have been infected, and millions of deaths have been reported worldwide. Glucocorticoids have attracted worldwide attention for their potential efficacy in the treatment of COVID-19. Various glucocorticoids with different dosages and treatment durations have been studied in patients with different severities, with a suitable dosage and treatment duration not yet defined. This study aimed to investigate whether in-hospital survival differs between critically ill patients treated with low-dose glucocorticoids, high-dose glucocorticoids or no glucocorticoids. All critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit of the Charité Hospital-Universitätsmedizin Berlin between February 2020 and December 2021 with COVID-19 pneumonia receiving supplemental oxygen were eligible to participate in this multicenter real-world data study. Patients were retrospectively assigned to one of three groups: the high corticosteroid dose (HighC) group (receiving 6 mg parenteral dexamethasone or an equivalent corticosteroid dosage for ten days), the low corticosteroid dose (LowC) group (receiving less than 6 mg parenteral dexamethasone or an equivalent corticosteroid dosage for ten days), or the no corticosteroid (NoC) group. Overall survival and risk effects were compared among groups within the total observation period, as well as at 35 days after the onset of COVID-19 symptoms. Adjusted multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to compare the risk of death between the treatment groups. Out of 1561 critically ill COVID-19 patients, 1014 were included in the baseline analysis. In the survival study, 1009 patients were assigned to the NoC (n = 346), HighC (n = 552), or LowC group (n = 111). The baseline characteristics were balanced between groups, except for age, BMI, APACHE II score, SOFA and SAPS II. While the 35-day survival did not show any differences, a landmark analysis of the patients surviving beyond 35 days revealed differences between groups. The restricted mean survival time was 112 days in the LowC group [95% CI: 97 - 128], 133 days in the HighC group [95% CI: 124 - 141] and 144 days in the NoC group [95% CI: 121 - 167]. The multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard analysis indicated that, regardless of age, sex, health status or invasive oxygenation, a low-dose treatment increased the hazard of death of critically ill COVID-19 patients by a factor of 2.09 ([95% CI: 0.99, 4.4], p = 0.05) and a high-dose corticosteroid treatment increased the risk by a factor of 1.07 ([95% CI: 0.53, 2.15], p = 0.85) compared to no treatment with glucocorticoids. The analysis reveals that corticosteroid treatment does not influence the survival of critically ill COVID-19 patients in the intensive care unit within 35 days. Our evaluations further suggest that regardless of ventilation status, the decision-making process for administering corticosteroid therapy should account for the individual severity of the illness.

Malignant tumor increases the risk of all causes in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic stroke (IS) and malignant tumor (MT) have high morbidity and mortality rates worldwide, and several associations exist between them. This study aimed to determine the effect of MT on hospital mortality in patients with IS. METHODS: Based on their MT status, participants with IS in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) were divided into two groups. The primary outcome was in-hospital all causes mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to evaluate the intergroup in-hospital mortality, and three Cox regression models were used to determine the association between MT and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1605 participants (749 males and 856 females) were included in the study. The mean age was 72.030 ± 15.463 years. Of these, 257 (16%) patients died in the hospital. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the MT group had a significantly lower possibility of in-hospital survival than the non-MT group. In the unadjusted model, in-hospital mortality among MT patients had a higher odds ratio (OR) of 1.905 (95% CI, 1.320-2.748; P < 0.001) than the non-MT group. After adjusting for basic information, vital signs, and laboratory data, MT was also associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR = 1.844, 95% CI: 1.255-2.708; P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Among the patients with IS, the risk of all causes in-hospital mortality was higher for MT than for patients non-MT. This finding can assist clinicians in more accurately assessing prognosis and making informed treatment decisions.

Cortisol Levels During First Admission Day Are Associated With Clinical Outcomes in Surgical Critically Ill Patients.

IMPORTANCE: To explore the correlation between cortisol levels during first admission day and clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVES: Although most patients exhibit a surge in cortisol levels in response to stress, some suffer from critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency (CIRCI). Literature remains inconclusive as to which of these patients are at greater risk of poor outcomes. DESIGN: A retrospective study. SETTING: A surgical ICU (SICU) in a tertiary medical center. PARTICIPANTS: Critically ill patients admitted to the SICU who were not treated with steroids. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Levels of cortisol taken within 24 hours of admission (day 1 [D1] cortisol) in 1412 eligible patients were collected and analyzed. Results were categorized into four groups: low (0-10 µg/dL), normal (10-25 µg/dL), high (25-50 µg/dL), and very high (above 50 µg/dL) cortisol levels. Primary endpoint was 90-day mortality. Secondary endpoints were the need for organ support (use of vasopressors and mechanical ventilation [MV]), ICU length of stay (LOS), and duration of MV. RESULTS: The majority of patients (63%) had high or very high D1 cortisol levels, whereas 7.6% had low levels and thus could be diagnosed with CIRCI. There were statistically significant differences in 90-day mortality between the four groups and very high levels were found to be an independent risk factor for mortality, primarily in patients with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) less than or equal to 3 or SOFA greater than or equal to 7. Higher cortisol levels were associated with all secondary endpoints. CIRCI was associated with favorable outcomes. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In critically ill surgical patients D1 cortisol levels above 50 mcg/dL were associated with mortality, need for organ support, longer ICU LOS, and duration of MV, whereas low levels correlated with good clinical outcomes even though untreated. D1 cortisol level greater than 50 mcg/dL can help discriminate nonsurvivors from survivors when SOFA less than or equal to 3 or SOFA greater than or equal to 7.

Association between high-flow nasal cannula use and mortality in patients with sepsis-induced acute lung injury: a retrospective propensity score-matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: High-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) has emerged as a promising noninvasive method for delivering oxygen to critically ill patients, particularly those with sepsis and acute lung injury. However, uncertainties persist regarding its therapeutic benefits in this specific patient population. METHODS: This retrospective study utilized a propensity score-matched cohort from the Medical Information Mart in Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database to explore the correlation between HFNC utilization and mortality in patients with sepsis-induced acute lung injury. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In the propensity score-matched cohort, the 28-day all-cause mortality rate was 18.63% (95 out of 510) in the HFNC use group, compared to 31.18% (159 out of 510) in the non-HFNC group. The use of HFNC was associated with a lower 28-day all-cause mortality rate (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.41-0.69; P < 0.001). HFNC use was also associated with lower ICU mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.38-0.71; P < 0.001) and lower in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.38-0.68; P < 0.001). Additionally, HFNC use was found to be associated with a statistically significant increase in both the ICU and overall hospitalization length. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that HFNC may be beneficial for reducing mortality rates among sepsis-induced acute lung injury patients; however, it is also associated with longer hospital stays.

Complementarity of nutrition screening with Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria for diagnosing malnutrition in critically ill patients: A comparison study of Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 and modified Nutrition Risk in the Critically Ill Score.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Critical illness induces hypermetabolism and hypercatabolism, increasing nutrition risk (NR). Early NR identification is crucial for improving outcomes. We assessed four nutrition screening tools (NSTs) complementarity with the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria in critically ill patients. METHODS: We conducted a comparative study using data from a cohort involving five intensive care units (ICUs), screening patients for NR using NRS-2002 and modified-NUTRIC tools, with three cutoffs (≥3, ≥4, ≥5), and malnutrition diagnosed by GLIM criteria. Our outcomes of interest included ICU and in-hospital mortality, ICU and hospital length of stay (LOS), and ICU readmission. We examined accuracy metrics and complementarity between NSTs and GLIM criteria about clinical outcomes through logistic regression and Cox regression. We established a four-category independent variable: NR(-)/GLIM(-) as the reference, NR(-)/GLIM(+), NR(+)/GLIM(-), and NR(+)/GLIM(+). RESULTS: Of the 377 patients analyzed (median age 64 years [interquartile range: 54-71] and 53.8% male), NR prevalence varied from 87% to 40.6%, whereas 64% presented malnutrition (GLIM criteria). NRS-2002 (score ≥4) showed superior accuracy for GLIM-based malnutrition. Multivariate analysis revealed mNUTRIC(+)/GLIM(+) increased >2 times in the likelihood of ICU and in-hospital mortality, ICU and hospital LOS, and ICU readmission compared with the reference group. CONCLUSION: No NST exhibited satisfactory complementarity to the GLIM criteria in our study, emphasizing the necessity for comprehensive nutrition assessment for all patients, irrespective of NR status. We recommend using mNUTRIC if the ICU team opts for nutrition screening, as it demonstrated superior prognostic value compared with NRS-2002, and applying GLIM criteria in all patients.

Optimizing patient outcomes: a comprehensive evaluation of protocolized sedation in intensive care settings: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Amidst the routine utilization of protocolized sedation in ventilated ICU patients, existing management guidelines exhibit a lack of unanimous recommendations for its widespread adoption. This study endeavors to comprehensively assess the effectiveness and safety of protocolized sedation in critically ill ventilated patients. OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of this study was to systematically review and conduct a meta-analysis of clinical trials comparing protocolized sedation with standard management in critically ill ventilated patients. Key outcomes under scrutiny include ICU and hospital mortality, ventilation days, duration of ICU stay, and incidents of self-extubation. The evaluation incorporates the Risk of Bias 2 (RoB2) tool to assess the quality of included studies. Data analysis utilizes a random-effects model for relative risk (RR) and mean differences. Subgroup analysis categorizes sedation protocols into algorithmic or daily interruption, addressing potential heterogeneity. Additionally, a GRADE evaluation is performed to ascertain the overall certainty of the evidence. RESULTS: From an initial pool of 1504 records, 10 studies met the inclusion criteria. Protocolized sedation demonstrated a reduced RR for mortality (RR: 0.80, 95% CI 0.68-0.93, p < 0.01, I2 = 0%) and a decrease in ventilation days (mean difference: - 1.12, 95% CI - 2.11 to - 0.14, p = 0.03, I2 = 84%). Furthermore, there was a notable reduction in ICU stay (mean difference: - 2.24, 95% CI - 3.59 to - 0.89, p < 0.01, I2 = 81%). However, incidents of self-extubation did not exhibit a significant difference (RR: 1.20, 95% CI 0.49-2.94, p = 0.69, I2 = 35%). Subgroup analyses effectively eliminated heterogeneity (I2 = 0%), and the GRADE evaluation yielded moderate results for mortality, ventilation days, and ICU duration. CONCLUSION: Protocolized sedation, whether implemented algorithmically or through daily interruption, emerges as a safe and effective approach when compared to standard management in ventilated ICU patients. The findings from this study contribute valuable insights to inform evidence-based practices in sedation management for this critical patient population.

Long-term survival in stroke patients: insights into triglyceride-glucose body mass index from ICU data.

BACKGROUND: The Triglyceride Glucose-Body Mass Index (TyG-BMI) has been established as a robust indicator of insulin resistance (IR), reflecting metabolic health across various populations. In general, lower TyG-BMI values are often associated with better metabolic health outcomes and a reduced risk of adverse health events in non-critically ill populations. Previous studies have highlighted a significant negative association between TyG-BMI and all-cause mortality (ACM) among critically ill atrial fibrillation patients. Given the high prevalence and severe outcomes associated with stroke, understanding how TyG-BMI at the time of ICU admission correlates with ACM in critically ill stroke patients becomes imperative. This study aims to assess the correlation between TyG-BMI and ACM in this specific patient cohort, exploring how traditional associations between TyG-BMI and metabolic health may differ in the context of acute, life-threatening illness. METHODS: Patient data were retrieved by accessing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV 2.2) database, categorizing patients into three groups on the basis of TyG-BMI tertiles. The study evaluated both primary and secondary outcomes: the primary outcomes included the 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year ACM, while secondary outcomes encompassed ICU, in-hospital, and 30-day ACM. Our study employed the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curve method for outcome comparison across the groups while utilizing multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS) to explore TyG-BMI association with these outcomes. Additionally, interaction and subgroup analyses were performed, focusing on different mortality time points. RESULTS: Among a cohort of 1707 individuals diagnosed with stroke, the average age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 58-78 years), with 946 (55.42%) of the participants being male. The analysis of K-M curves suggested that patients having a lower TyG-BMI level faced a heightened risk of long-term ACM, whereas the short-term ACM exhibited no statistically significant differences across the three TyG-BMI groups. Furthermore, Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis validated a statistically significant increased risk of long-term ACM among patients belonging to the lowest TyG-BMI tertile. Additionally, RCS analysis results demonstrated L-shaped correlations between the TyG-BMI index and both short- and long-term ACM. These findings underscore the TyG-BMI predictive value for long-term mortality in stroke patients, highlighting a nuanced relationship that varies over different time frames. The results revealed no interactions between TyG-BMI and the stratified variables, with the exception of age. CONCLUSION: In our study, lower TyG-BMI levels in critically ill stroke patients are significantly related to a higher risk of long-term ACM within the context of the United States. This finding suggests the potential of TyG-BMI as a marker for stratifying long-term risk in this patient population. However, it's crucial to note that this association was not observed for short-term ACM, indicating that the utility of TyG-BMI may be more pronounced in long-term outcome prediction. Additionally, our conclusion that TyG-BMI could serve as a reliable indicator for managing and stratifying stroke patients over the long term is preliminary. To confirm our findings and assess the universal applicability of TyG-BMI as a prognostic tool, it is crucial to conduct rigorously designed research across various populations.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND/AIM: We aimed to construct a validated nomogram model for predicting short-term (28-day) ischemic stroke mortality among critically ill populations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected raw data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database, a comprehensive repository renowned for its depth and breadth in critical care information. Subsequently, a rigorous analytical framework was employed, incorporating a 10-fold cross-validation procedure to ensure robustness and reliability. Leveraging advanced statistical methodologies, specifically the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, variables pertinent to 28-day mortality in ischemic stroke were meticulously screened. Next, binary logistic regression was utilized to establish nomogram, then applied concordance index to evaluate discrimination of the prediction models. Predictive performance of the nomogram was assessed by integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification index (NRI). Additionally, we generated calibration curves to assess calibrating ability. Finally, we evaluated the nomogram's net clinical benefit using decision curve analysis (DCA), in comparison with scoring systems clinically applied under common conditions. RESULTS: A total of 2089 individuals were identified and assigned into training (n = 1443) or validation (n = 646) cohorts. Various identified risk factors, including age, ethnicity, marital status, underlying metastatic solid tumor, Charlson comorbidity index, heart rate, Glasgow coma scale, glucose concentrations, white blood cells, sodium concentrations, potassium concentrations, mechanical ventilation, use of heparin and mannitol, were associated with short-term (28-day) mortality in ischemic stroke individuals. A concordance index of 0.834 was obtained in the training dataset, indicating that our nomogram had good discriminating ability. Results of IDI and NRI in both cohorts proved that our nomogram had positive improvement of predictive performance, compared to other scoring systems. The actual and predicted incidence of mortality showed favorable concordance on calibration curves (P > 0.05). DCA curves revealed that, compared with scoring systems clinically used under common conditions, the constructed nomogram yielded a greater net clinical benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Utilizing a comprehensive array of fourteen readily accessible variables, a prognostic nomogram was meticulously formulated and rigorously validated to provide precise prognostication of short-term mortality within the ischemic stroke cohort.

Association between arterial oxygen and mortality across critically ill patients with hematologic malignancies: results from an international collaborative network.

PURPOSE: Patients with hematological malignancies are at high risk for life-threatening complications. To date, little attention has been paid to the impact of hyperoxemia and excess oxygen use on mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between partial pressure of arterial oxygen (PaO2) and 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with hematologic malignancies. METHODS: Data from three international cohorts (Europe, Canada, Oceania) of patients who received respiratory support (noninvasive ventilation, high-flow nasal cannula, invasive mechanical ventilation) were obtained. We used mixed-effect Cox models to investigate the association between day one PaO2 or excess oxygen use (inspired fraction of oxygen ≥ 0.6 with PaO2 > 100 mmHg) on day-28 mortality. RESULTS: 11,249 patients were included. On day one, 5716 patients (50.8%) had normoxemia (60 ≤ PaO2 ≤ 100 mmHg), 1454 (12.9%) hypoxemia (PaO2 < 60 mmHg), and 4079 patients (36.3%) hyperoxemia (PaO2 > 100 mmHg). Excess oxygen was used in 2201 patients (20%). Crude day-28 mortality rate was 40.6%. There was a significant association between PaO2 and day-28 mortality with a U-shaped relationship (p < 0.001). Higher PaO2 levels (> 100 mmHg) were associated with day-28 mortality with a dose-effect relationship. Subgroup analyses showed an association between hyperoxemia and mortality in patients admitted with neurological disorders; however, the opposite relationship was seen across those admitted with sepsis and neutropenia. Excess oxygen use was also associated with subsequent day-28 mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.11[1.04-1.19]). This result persisted after propensity score analysis (matched HR associated with excess oxygen:1.31 [1.20-1.1.44]). CONCLUSION: In critically-ill patients with hematological malignancies, exposure to hyperoxemia and excess oxygen use were associated with increased mortality, with variable magnitude across subgroups. This might be a modifiable factor to improve mortality.

Body surface area is a predictor of 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury.

OBJECTIVE: To clarify the prognosis effect between body surface area (BSA) and patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), we attempted to analyze the association between BSA and 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI. METHODS: Clinical data of 9195 critically ill patients with AKI were retrieved from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database were then retrospectively analyzed. BSA were calculated using the Mosteller formula. We analyzed the correlation between BSA and 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI based on Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and adjusted Cox regression model. RESULTS: Of the 9195 critically ill patients with AKI, there were 3778 (41.1%) female patients and 2001 90-day all-cause deaths (female: 22.2%, male: 21.5%). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that a lower body surface area indicated a higher 90-day all-cause mortality in both male and female patients with AKI (log-rank P < 0.001). Cox regression model showed that a higher BSA was independently correlated with a lower 90-day all-cause mortality (female: hazard ratio=0.657, 95% confidence interval: 0.550-0.784, P < 0.001; male: hazard ratio=0.655, 95% confidence interval: 0.565-0.760, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: BSA was negatively correlated with 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI. BSA can therefore be used as a prognostic indicator for poor outcomes in critically ill patients with AKI.

Interfacility transfer of the critically ill: Transfer status does not influence survival.

PURPOSE: To estimate differences in case-mix adjusted hospital mortality between adult ICU patients who are transferred during their ICU-stay and those who are not. METHODS: 19,260 visits to 12 ICUs in Nova Scotia (NS), Canada April 2018-September 2023 were analyzed. Data were obtained from the NS Provincial ICU database. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to estimate differences in case-mix adjusted hospital mortality between patients who underwent transfer and those who did not. RESULTS: 1040/19,260 (5%) ICU visits involved interfacility-transfer. No difference in hospital mortality was identified between transferred and non-transferred patients by GAM (OR, 0.99, 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.19; p = 0.91). No mortality difference was observed between patients undergoing a single transfer versus multiple (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.45 to -1.69; p = 0.68). A GAM including the categories no transfer, one transfer, and multiple transfers identified a difference in hospital mortality for patients that underwent multiple transfers compared to non-transferred patients (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.46 to 1.00, p = 0.05), but no difference was identified in a post-hoc matched cohort sensitivity analysis (OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.46 to 1.01, p = 0.05). CONCLUSION: The transfer of critically ill patients between ICUs in Nova Scotia did not impact case-mix adjusted hospital mortality.