Food Insecurity Pre- and Post the COVID-19 Pandemic and Economic Crisis in Lebanon: Prevalence and Projections.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has had serious repercussions on the global economy, work force, and food systems. In Lebanon, the pandemic overlapped with an economic crisis, which threatened to exacerbate food insecurity (FI). The present study aims to evaluate the trends and projections of FI in Lebanon due to overlapping health and economic crises. Data from Gallup World Poll (GWP) 2015-2017 surveys conducted in Lebanon on nationally representative adults (n = 3000) were used to assess FI trends and explore its sociodemographic correlates. Predictive models were performed to forecast trends in FI (2018-2022), using GWP data along with income reduction scenarios to estimate the impact of the pandemic and economic crises. Pre crises, trend analyses showed that FI could reach 27% considering wave year and income. Post crises, FI was estimated to reach on average 36% to 39%, considering 50-70% income reduction scenarios among Lebanese population. FI projections are expected to be higher among females compared to males and among older adults compared to younger ones (p < 0.05). These alarming findings call for emergency food security policies and evidence-based programs to mitigate the burden of multiple crises on the FI of Lebanese households and promote resilience for future shocks.

Fraudes financieros, salud y calidad de vida: un estudio cualitativo / Financial fraud and health: a qualitative approach

Los fraudes financieros asociados a la crisis económica se han manifestado en los países desarrollados con efectos en la salud física, psíquica y social de las personas afectadas. A partir de los estudios cuantitativos y las revisiones de la literatura, este trabajo pretende obtener evidencias sobre los efectos en la salud a través de la narrativa de las personas entrevistadas. Se ha obtenido una muestra intencional de 32 personas afectadas por fraudes financieros (hipotecas abusivas y multidivisa, participaciones preferentes y swap) en Madrid, para realizar un análisis del contenido. Las personas afectadas tienen, en general, unas condiciones de edad, sexo, nivel educativo y profesión que les pueden haber permitido, en su curso de vida, acumular recursos económicos para suscribir productos financieros devenidos fraudulentos, basados en la confianza en las instituciones financieras. El fraude ha propiciado la aparición de procesos de anomia, agrandados con el tiempo, que se manifiestan con dolencias físicas (diversas enfermedades) y síntomas y patologías mentales (ansiedad, depresión, ideas de suicidio), que afectan al modo de vida, los hábitos y las relaciones personales y sociales, y que llegan a afectar a otros miembros de la familia. El aumento del consumo de fármacos y del uso de servicios de salud sirve de corolario al desajuste producido en su salud. Las personas afectadas y la sociedad española en su conjunto demandan medidas de política pública sanitaria para su atenuación y la recuperación de su confianza en el sistema bancario y político

During the economic crisis, developed countries have experienced financial fraud, with effects on the physical and mental health of the people affected, and on social domains. Based on the theoretical framework in literature reviews and in quantitative studies, this paper aims to obtain evidence on the effects of financial fraud on health and on the family and social environments of those affected. An intentional sample of 32 people affected by abusive and multi-currency mortgages, preferred and swap stock in Madrid was approached. In-depth interviews were conducted, and the resulting data was analysed using content analysis. Fraud-affected individuals had conditions of age, sex, educational level and occupations that possibly allowed them to accumulate economic resources throughout the course of their lives and, predictably in many cases, to take out fraudulent financial products, based on trust in the financial institutions. Financial fraud has led to the emergence of various processes of anomia and adverse health effects. The consequences on health were physical ailments (symptoms and diseases in various systems and parts of the body) and mental disorders (anxiety, depression, suicidal ideation), all affecting lifestyles, behaviour and personal and social relationships, both in affected individuals and their families. The increase in the use of medical drugs and health services serves as a final corollary to the imbalances on the affected people's health. Individuals and the Spanish society demand public health policy measures to mitigate the effects on health and the recovery of their confidence in the banking and political system

Perceptions of Spanish nurses on economic crisis and the impacts on health care system.

OBJECTIVE: to analyze the perceptions of Spanish nurses regarding the country's economic crisis situation, and its impacts on nursing work, health system and population's health. METHODS: qualitative approach, with data collection using an internet-based questionnaire and individual in-depth interviews. Data were analyzed according to Thematic-Categorical Content Analysis, supported by Historical and Dialectical Materialism perspective. RESULTS: the categories produced discuss themes as: cutbacks in health care and the consequences of workforce non-replacement and work overload; salary impact; care model changes; negative impacts on population health. The impact on population health and work was discussed, especially regarding vulnerable groups, as well as in assistance model reconfiguration, reinforcing the biomedical and assistance perspective.

Determinants of soft budget constraints: How public debt affects hospital performance in Austria.

Soft budget constraints (SBCs) undermine reforms to increase hospital service efficiency when hospital management can count on being bailed out by (subnational) governments in case of deficits. Using cost accounting data on publicly financed, non-profit hospitals in Austria from 2002 to 2015, we analyse the association between SBCs and hospital efficiency change in a setting with negligible risk of hospital closure in a two-stage study design based on bias-corrected non-radial input-oriented data envelopment analysis and ordinary least squares regression. We find that the European debt crisis altered the pattern of hospital efficiency development: after the economic crisis, hospitals in low-debt states had a 1.1 percentage point lower annual efficiency change compared to hospitals in high-debt states. No such systematic difference is found before the economic crisis. The results suggest that sudden exogenous shocks to public finances can increase the budgetary pressure on publicly financed institutions, thereby counteracting a pre-existing SBC.

Mortality Risk among Cocaine Users before and after the Economic Recession: Results of a Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have highlighted 2 different groups of cocaine users (CUs): "socially integrated" (stable living conditions, regular employment, use cocaine alone or in combination with other psychoactive substances) and "socially marginalized" (socioeconomic and health problems, former or current heroin users, many injecting cocaine). These differences are also found in the elevated mortality risk for CUs, higher among subjects with cocaine and heroin use. This study targeted residents in Northern Italy who turned to a public treatment center for drug addiction following problems caused by primary cocaine use between 1982 and 2016. OBJECTIVES: To estimate mortality risk for subjects who have never used heroin (CUs) compared to that of subjects who have used heroin (HCUs). METHOD: Retrospective cohort study. We selected 1,993 subjects; 18,015 Person Years (PY). RESULTS: Over time, the quota of subjects injecting cocaine and using heroin decreased, while patients not using heroin increased. Both new patients and crude mortality rates (CMR) decreased during the years 2009-2012 and increased in the following period. CMRs were 5.55 per 1,000 PY, higher for HCUs, men and subjects aged over 44 years. Standardized mortality rates were 3.49, higher for women, injecting cocaine and HCUS. Among CUs, most of the deaths were from injury excluding drug related and tumors; among HCUs, from drug-related causes and diseases of the cardiovascular system. CONCLUSION: The study results show a change in the characteristics of SERD clients being treated for primary cocaine use, which are reflected both in mortality risk and causes of death. After a long period of a decrease, mortality risk increased in the period after the economic recession. Aspects concerning the effects of the economic recession on the problematic consumption of cocaine and on the risk of death are discussed.

Effect of economic recession and impact of health and social protection expenditures on adult mortality: a longitudinal analysis of 5565 Brazilian municipalities.

BACKGROUND: Economic recession might worsen health in low-income and middle-income countries with precarious job markets and weak social protection systems. Between 2014-16, a major economic crisis occurred in Brazil. We aimed to assess the association between economic recession and adult mortality in Brazil and to ascertain whether health and social welfare programmes in the country had a protective effect against the negative impact of this recession. METHODS: In this longitudinal analysis, we obtained data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics, the Ministry of Social Development and Fight Against Hunger, and the Information System for the Public Budget in Health to assess changes in state unemployment level and mortality among adults (aged ≥15 years) in Brazil between 2012 and 2017. Outcomes were municipal all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates for all adults and across population subgroups stratified by age, sex, and race. We used fixed-effect panel regression models with quarterly timepoints to assess the association between recession and changes in mortality. Mortality and unemployment rates were detrended using Hodrick-Prescott filters to assess cyclical variation and control for underlying trends. We tested interactions between unemployment and terciles of municipal social protection and health-care expenditure to assess whether the relationship between unemployment and mortality varied. FINDINGS: Between 2012 and 2017, 7 069 242 deaths were recorded among adults (aged ≥15 years) in 5565 municipalities in Brazil. During this time period, the mean crude municipal adult mortality rate increased by 8·0% from 143·1 deaths per 100 000 in 2012 to 154·5 deaths per 100 000 in 2017. An increase in unemployment rate of 1 percentage-point was associated with a 0·50 increase per 100 000 population per rter (95% CI 0·09-0·91) in all-cause mortality, mainly due to cancer and cardiovascular disease. Between 2012 and 2017, higher unemployment accounted for 31 415 excess deaths (95% CI 29 698-33 132). All-cause mortality increased among black or mixed race (pardo) Brazilians (a 0·46 increase [95% CI 0·15-0·80]), men (0·67 [0·22-1·13]), and individuals aged 30-59 years (0·43 [0·16-0·69] per 1 percentage-point increase in the unemployment rate. No significant association was identified between unemployment and all-cause mortality for white Brazilian, women, adolescents (aged 15-29 years), or older and retired individuals (aged ≥60 years). In municipalities with high expenditure on health and social protection programmes, no significant increases in recession-related mortality were observed. INTERPRETATION: The Brazilian recession contributed to increases in mortality. However, health and social protection expenditure seemed to mitigate detrimental health effects, especially among vulnerable populations. This evidence provides support for stronger health and social protection systems globally. FUNDING: None.

[Antidepressants, anxiolytics and hypnotics prescribed to young adults before and after an economic crisis in Iceland - A cross-sectional study at the Primary Health Care of Reykjavik capital area].

BACKGROUND: According to research findings, the financial crisis hitting Iceland in the autumn of 2008 caused both economic and health-related effects on the Icelandic population. It has been well known that the Icelandic population uses more antidepressants, anxiolytics and hypnotics compared to other Nordic countries. The aim of this research was to study the trend in prescription for these drugs by the Primary Health Care of Reykjavik capital area to young adults, during the years prior to and following the crisis. METHOD: In this cross-sectional study, data were gathered on all medical prescriptions of antidepressants, anxiolytics and hypnotics, prescribed by the Primary Health Care of Reykjavik capital area to people aged 18-35, during 2006-2016. While Reykjavík capital residents in the specified age group were approximately 55 thousand during the research period, this study included data on approximately 23 thousand individuals, received from the Icelandic electronical medical record system "Saga" used by the Primary Health Care. RESULTS: Research results demonstrate a significant average annual increase of prescribed defined daily doses (DDD) for all three medication categories during the research period; 3% (p<0,001) for anxiolytics, 1.6% (p<0,001) for hypnotics and 10.5% (p<0,001) for antidepressants. Between 2008-2009, prescribed daily doses of anxiolytics increased by 22.7% (p<0,001), where a 12.9% (p<0,001) increase was seen for women and 39.5% (p<0,001) increase for men. Of those men who were prescribed anxiolytics in 2009, 35% had no history of such prescriptions the previous year. From 2006-2008 an average annual increase of 13.6% (p<0,001) was seen in prescribed daily doses of hypnotics, whereof 24.4% (p<0,001) increase was seen for men and 7.8% (p<0,001) for women. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates a significant increase in prescribed amount of hypnotics and anxiolytics during the years prior and after the economic crisis, with more prominent results amongst men compared to women. This trend was however not observed for antidepressants, which could suggest an overall tendency towards short- and fast acting drug prescriptions as a treatment for challenging difficult personal circumstances during the economic crisis in Iceland.

[Economic crises and incidence of suicide in Iceland 1911-2017]. / Efnahagskreppur og tíðni sjálfsvíga á Íslandi 1911-2017

INTRODUCTION: Suicides are number 16 as a cause of death worldwide. Causes are not always known, often associated with depression or trauma. Suicide incidence has decreased world- wide in the past three decades. The economic crisis of 2008 led to an increase in many countries. Many confounding factors make comparisons between countries difficult. This study assesses the possible impact of economic crises in Iceland on suicide incidence. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The work is based on suicide data from 1911 to 2017 and six economic crises from 1918 to 2008. The incidence is calculated five and ten years before and after the index year of each crisis. Possible crisis impact was assessed by applying a quasi-Poisson model to the data. Variance can be greater than model shows, so overdispersion was assessed. The evolution over time is assessed by inspection of cumulative sum of squared -residuals (CUSUMSQ). RESULTS: Suicide incidence increased from 1930, beginning to decline around 1990. Given a small population size there are wide upwards incidence fluctuations, within and outside the crisis -periods. The crises of 1931 and 1948 showed an increase, wheras in the others there is no change or a decrease. The sizes of deviations from expected value are, for the whole period, in compliance with the quasi-poisson model for counts. CONCLUSION: There is no statistical correlation between the six economic crises and suicide incidence in the Icelandic data. The study is based on population incidence and does not preclude a negative impact of economic crises on individuals.

Environmental Kuznets Curve and Trade Openness in Turkey: Bootstrap ARDL Approach with a Structural Break.

In this study, the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis is examined with the newly developed bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach by incorporating the effects of trade openness for Turkey from 1969 to 2017. The bootstrap ARDL approach results show that there is a long-run relationship between per capita carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, per capita real income, and trade openness in the presence of one structural break. The results of the long-run estimators indicate that the inverted U-shaped EKC hypothesis is valid, and trade openness has an increasing impact on CO2 emissions. However, Turkey has not yet reached the level of income necessary to reduce pollution. The results of the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality test also show that unidirectional causality runs through per capita real income and trade openness to per capita CO2 emissions. In addition to these findings, it has been determined that the decrease in growth rate and production experienced during the 2001 financial crisis in Turkey reduced environmental pollution in both the short and long runs. Consequently, these results show that the scale and composition effects outweigh for economic growth and trade openness in Turkey.

The nurse work environment in Spanish nurses following an economic recession: From 2009 to 2014.

AIM: To detect possible changes in perception of the nurse work environment, job satisfaction and burnout between the years 2009 and 2014 among nurses working in the Spanish National Health System. BACKGROUND: The global economic crisis has had a great impact on nurses in the Spanish National Health Service: tougher working conditions, lower pay and a reduction in social benefits. It is not known whether these changes affect the nurses' work environment, job satisfaction and burnout. METHOD: Comparative, cross-sectional study performed in seven hospitals in the Spanish National Health System between 2009 and 2014, through 1,454 surveys of nurses working in internal medicine, surgery and intensive care. RESULTS: Nurses participating in the second period (2012-2014) were more satisfied with their current job (p = 0.001), perceived their work environment to be more favourable (p < 0.001) and had lower levels of burnout (p < 0.01). Professional factors as 'autonomy at work,' 'opportunities for advancement,' 'professional status' and 'nursing foundations for quality care,' as well as 'collegial nurse-physician relations' and 'nurse participation in hospital affairs' were the most important variables associated with these topics. CONCLUSIONS: Professional factors may influence these changes more than labour conditions and remuneration aspects. IMPLICATIONS FOR NURSING MANAGEMENT: In times of economic recession, encouraging interpersonal relationships, autonomy and participation in decision-making may improve the work environment, satisfaction and burnout of nurses.

Worldwide trends in suicide mortality from 1990 to 2015 with a focus on the global recession time frame.

OBJECTIVES: To report worldwide trends in suicide mortality during a period that covers 7 years after the 2008 global crisis. METHODS: We performed a time trend analysis with joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Over the 2000s, suicide mortality decreased with the largest declines observed in some Eastern European countries. The downward trends were followed by an increase in concomitance with the 2008 global crisis in some countries, including Greece (annual percentage change = + 6 in men and + 11.8 in women), the Netherlands (+ 4.2 in men and + 4.0 in women), and the UK (+ 1.6 in men), while the pre-crisis downward trends stopped in Germany, Italy, and Spain. The joinpoint analysis also revealed long-term rises in Brazil (+ 0.8 since 1990 in men and + 1.8 since 1999 in women), Mexico (+ 1.3 since 1995 in men and + 3.6 since 1990 in women), the USA (+ 1.7 since 2005 in men and + 4.2 since 2010 in women), and Australia (+ 1.8 in men and + 3.7 in women, since 2006 in both sexes). CONCLUSIONS: Despite downward trends in several areas of the world, in some countries suicide rates increased since the 2008 global crisis.

The effect of unemployment benefits on health: A propensity score analysis.

In the wake of the Great Recession, an expanding body of research has highlighted the role of social protection policies in mitigating the deleterious effects of adverse socioeconomic experiences. In this paper, we examine whether unemployment benefits - a key pillar of national social protection systems - can offset the negative health consequences of unemployment. Using cross-sectional nationally representative data from the Canadian Community Health Survey covering the period between 2009 and 2014, we employed propensity score matching to estimate the effect of receiving unemployment benefits on self-rated health among the unemployed. After matching benefit recipients to comparable non-recipient 'controls', we found that receiving unemployment benefits was associated with better health outcomes. In our main analyses, benefit recipiency reduced the probability of reporting poor self-rated health among the unemployed by up to 4.9% (95% CI -7.3, -2.5). Sensitivity analyses stratified by socioeconomic position revealed stronger treatment effects among lower income and less educated individuals. By contrast, treatment effects were small or negligible among higher income and more educated individuals. Our findings provide evidence that unemployment benefits can play an important role in offsetting the negative health consequences of unemployment among the socioeconomically disadvantaged. These findings lend support to recent calls, including many from within the field of public health, for governments to respond to current labor market trends by expanding the generosity and scope of social protection policies.

Austerity Policies and Mortality Rates in European Countries, 2011-2015.

OBJECTIVES: To assess time trends in mortality rates in European countries for the period 2011 to 2015 by level of austerity measures imposed by governments in response to the economic and financial crisis. METHODS: We analyzed standardized mortality rates (SMRs) for 2011 through 2015 in 15 European countries based on Eurostat data ( http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database ). We used the Cyclically Adjusted Primary Balance (CAPB) in terciles as an independent variable to represent the level of austerity adopted in each country. We conducted a longitudinal analysis of panel data using generalized estimating equation models of SMR. We included interaction terms to assess the influence of time period and level of austerity. RESULTS: SMRs generally declined in the study period, except in the last year of the study. In 2015, compared with countries in the low-austerity group, countries with intermediate austerity had excess mortality of 40.2 per 100 000 per year and those with high austerity had excess mortality of 31.22 per 100 000 per year. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest a negative effect on mortality in those countries that apply a higher level of austerity.