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1.
Viruses ; 16(5)2024 05 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38793686

ABSTRACT

Parrot bornavirus (PaBV) is an infectious disease linked with proventricular dilatation disease (PDD) with severe digestive and neurological symptoms affecting psittacine birds. Despite its detection in 2008, PaBV prevalence in Taiwan remains unexplored. Taiwan is one of the leading psittacine bird breeders; hence, understanding the distribution of PaBV aids preventive measures in controlling spread, early disease recognition, epidemiology, and transmission dynamics. Here, we aimed to detect the prevalence rate of PaBV and assess its genetic variation in Taiwan. Among 124 psittacine birds tested, fifty-seven were PaBV-positive, a prevalence rate of 45.97%. Most of the PaBV infections were adult psittacine birds, with five birds surviving the infection, resulting in a low survival rate (8.77%). A year of parrot bornavirus surveillance presented a seasonal pattern, with peak PaBV infection rates occurring in the spring season (68%) and the least in the summer season (25%), indicating the occurrence of PaBV infections linked to seasonal factors. Histopathology reveals severe meningoencephalitis in the cerebellum and dilated cardiomyopathy of the heart in psittacine birds who suffered from PDD. Three brain samples underwent X/P gene sequencing, revealing PaBV-2 and PaBV-4 viral genotypes through phylogenetic analyses. This underscores the necessity for ongoing PaBV surveillance and further investigation into its pathophysiology and transmission routes.


Subject(s)
Bird Diseases , Bornaviridae , Mononegavirales Infections , Phylogeny , Psittaciformes , Animals , Taiwan/epidemiology , Bornaviridae/genetics , Bornaviridae/classification , Bornaviridae/isolation & purification , Mononegavirales Infections/veterinary , Mononegavirales Infections/virology , Mononegavirales Infections/epidemiology , Bird Diseases/virology , Bird Diseases/epidemiology , Prevalence , Psittaciformes/virology , Seasons , Genetic Variation , Parrots/virology , Epidemiological Monitoring/veterinary
2.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0301344, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768237

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: During the COVID-19 pandemic, a set of social measures were adopted for the preservation of business activity and the protection of workers. One of these measures was issuing the Temporary Disability (TD) for COVID-19 cases, close contacts, and especially vulnerable workers. OBJETIVE: This study analyzes whether the TD registry could be used as a complementary source to traditional epidemiological surveillance. METHODS: A longitudinal study of time series was carried out with a cross-correlation analysis of TD and COVID-19 cases reported to the National Epidemiological Surveillance Network (RENAVE). The analysis included six pandemic waves between 10/03/2020 and 31/12/2021 in Spain. Cross-correlation coefficients (r) were calculated using a time lag of -14 days. RESULTS: During the study period, 2,253,573 TD processes were recorded in Spain and 4,894,802 COVID-19 cases were reported to RENAVE. Significant positive correlations were observed at time lags of -7, -10, and -14, indicating that TD notification preceded RENAVE notification. In the first and sixth pandemic waves, TD notification preceded RENAVE by 12 and 7 days, respectively. Negative correlations between the two series were observed in the second and fourth waves, coinciding with a lower number of reported cases. In the third and fifth waves, TD notification also preceded RENAVE (lags -1, -5 and -14, -7, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The results confirm the usefulness of TD registry as a complementary system to traditional epidemiological surveillance in Spain, by detecting COVID-19 cases in the 7, 10, and 14 days prior. A better positive correlation is observed in waves where more cases were reported.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemics , Registries , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Spain/epidemiology , Longitudinal Studies , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Epidemiological Monitoring , Disabled Persons/statistics & numerical data
3.
Malar J ; 23(1): 162, 2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783318

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health information systems (HIS) are a pivotal element in epidemiological surveillance. In Brazil, malaria persists as a public health challenge, with 99% of its occurrences concentrated in the Amazon region, where cases are reported through the HIS Sivep-Malaria. Recent technological advancements indicate that case notifications can be expedited through more efficient systems with broader coverage. The objective of this study is to analyse opportunities for notification within Sivep-Malaria and explore the implementation of mobile electronic devices and applications to enhance the performance of malaria case notifications and use. METHODS: This descriptive study analyses data on malaria-positive cases in the Brazilian Amazon from 2004 to 2022. Malaria Epidemiological Surveillance System (Sivep-Malaria) data were used. The Brazilian Amazon region area is approximately 5 million km2 across nine different states in Brazil. Data entry opportunities were assessed by considering the time difference between the 'date of data entry' and the 'date of notification.' Descriptive statistics, including analyses of means and medians, were conducted across the entire Amazon region, and for indigenous population villages and gold mining areas. RESULTS: Between 2004 and 2022, 6,176,878 new malaria cases were recorded in Brazil. The average data entry opportunity throughout the period was 17.9 days, with a median of 8 days. The most frequently occurring value was 1 day, and 99% of all notifications were entered within 138 days, with 75.0% entered within 20 days after notification. The states with the poorest data entry opportunities were Roraima and Tocantins, with averages of 31.3 and 31.0 days, respectively. For indigenous population villages and gold mining areas, the median data entry opportunities were 23 and 15 days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In malaria elimination, where surveillance is a primary strategy for evaluating each reported case, reducing notification time, enhancing data quality and being able to follow-up cases through computerized reports offer significant benefits for cases investigation. Technological improvements in Sivep-Malaria could yield substantial benefits for malaria control in Brazil, aiding the country in achieving disease elimination and fulfilling the Sustainable Development Goals.


Subject(s)
Malaria , Brazil/epidemiology , Malaria/prevention & control , Malaria/epidemiology , Humans , Disease Notification/statistics & numerical data , Disease Notification/methods , Disease Eradication/statistics & numerical data , Disease Eradication/methods , Epidemiological Monitoring , Health Information Systems/statistics & numerical data
4.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(5): e0012154, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713728

ABSTRACT

Rabies remains a burden in Africa, disproportionately affecting the most vulnerable despite the availability of effective vaccines. Nigeria, the most populous African country, needs rapid disease control actions and commitments to achieve the goal of eliminating dog-mediated rabies by 2030. Surveillance is an essential element of effective disease control strategies. This study examined the current state of operationality of the rabies surveillance system for early case detection and management in Gombe state, Nigeria, through a One Health lens. It further examined the barriers impeding the effectiveness of the surveillance based on the perception of surveillance workers. Qualitative and quantitative methods were used to assess the structure of the system and its functioning. Data on dog bite and rabid cases obtained from the veterinary services in Gombe state were analysed descriptively. A total of 13 key informants were interviewed using a semi-structured interview guide. Qualitative data were analysed using thematic analysis to explore in depth the factors that influenced the operationality of the system. A total of 157 potential human exposures to rabies were identified in this study, out of which two people reportedly died at the health facility after showing symptoms highly suggestive of rabies. In terms of rabies surveillance and control, cross-sectoral collaboration was found between the human health and veterinary sectors for risk assessment of potential rabies exposures and its management. Some identified factors affecting the operations of the surveillance were inadequate funding, lack of infrastructure, lack of feedback from higher authorities and insufficient knowledge of rabies prevention and management. To improve the capacity for case detection and management within the state, the appropriate authorities may focus on increasing awareness about the disease to the populace to increase the number of cases identified by the system, employ more workers and strengthen the surveillance capability of existing workers.


Subject(s)
Rabies , Rabies/epidemiology , Rabies/prevention & control , Rabies/veterinary , Nigeria/epidemiology , Humans , Animals , Dogs , Dog Diseases/epidemiology , Dog Diseases/prevention & control , Dog Diseases/virology , Female , Male , Adult , Bites and Stings/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Epidemiological Monitoring , Young Adult , Adolescent , One Health
5.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 13(1): 54, 2024 May 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38769515

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Currently, different guidelines recommend using different methods to determine whether deduplication is necessary when determining the detection rates of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs). However, few studies have investigated the effect of deduplication on MDRO monitoring data. In this study, we aimed to investigate the influence of deduplication on the detection rates of MDROs in different specimens to assess its impact on infection surveillance outcomes. METHODS: Samples were collected from hospitalized patients admitted between January 2022 and December 2022; four types of specimens were collected from key monitored MDROs, including sputum samples, urine samples, blood samples, and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) samples. In this study, we compared and analysed the detection rates of carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP), carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli (CRECO), carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB), carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA), and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) under two conditions: with and without deduplication. RESULTS: When all specimens were included, the detection rates of CRKP, CRAB, CRPA, and MRSA without deduplication (33.52%, 77.24%, 44.56%, and 56.58%, respectively) were significantly greater than those with deduplication (24.78%, 66.25%, 36.24%, and 50.83%, respectively) (all P < 0.05). The detection rates in sputum samples were significantly different between samples without duplication (28.39%, 76.19%, 46.95%, and 70.43%) and those with deduplication (19.99%, 63.00%, 38.05%, and 64.50%) (all P < 0.05). When deduplication was not performed, the rate of detection of CRKP in urine samples reached 30.05%, surpassing the rate observed with deduplication (21.56%) (P < 0.05). In BALF specimens, the detection rates of CRKP and CRPA without deduplication (39.78% and 53.23%, respectively) were greater than those with deduplication (31.62% and 42.20%, respectively) (P < 0.05). In blood samples, deduplication did not have a significant impact on the detection rates of MDROs. CONCLUSION: Deduplication had a significant effect on the detection rates of MDROs in sputum, urine, and BALF samples. Based on these data, we call for the Infection Prevention and Control Organization to align its analysis rules with those of the Bacterial Resistance Surveillance Organization when monitoring MDRO detection rates.


Subject(s)
Cross Infection , Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Sputum , Humans , Cross Infection/microbiology , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Klebsiella pneumoniae/genetics , Klebsiella pneumoniae/isolation & purification , Klebsiella pneumoniae/drug effects , Sputum/microbiology , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/isolation & purification , Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus/genetics , Acinetobacter baumannii/drug effects , Acinetobacter baumannii/isolation & purification , Acinetobacter baumannii/genetics , Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/drug effects , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/isolation & purification , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/genetics , Bronchoalveolar Lavage Fluid/microbiology , Carbapenems/pharmacology , Escherichia coli/isolation & purification , Escherichia coli/drug effects , Escherichia coli/genetics , Epidemiological Monitoring , Hospitals
6.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(5): e13315, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38798083

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Novel influenza viruses pose a potential pandemic risk, and rapid detection of infections in humans is critical to characterizing the virus and facilitating the implementation of public health response measures. METHODS: We use a probabilistic framework to estimate the likelihood that novel influenza virus cases would be detected through testing in different community and healthcare settings (urgent care, emergency department, hospital, and intensive care unit [ICU]) while at low frequencies in the United States. Parameters were informed by data on seasonal influenza virus activity and existing testing practices. RESULTS: In a baseline scenario reflecting the presence of 100 novel virus infections with similar severity to seasonal influenza viruses, the median probability of detecting at least one infection per month was highest in urgent care settings (72%) and when community testing was conducted at random among the general population (77%). However, urgent care testing was over 15 times more efficient (estimated as the number of cases detected per 100,000 tests) due to the larger number of tests required for community testing. In scenarios that assumed increased clinical severity of novel virus infection, median detection probabilities increased across all healthcare settings, particularly in hospitals and ICUs (up to 100%) where testing also became more efficient. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that novel influenza virus circulation is likely to be detected through existing healthcare surveillance, with the most efficient testing setting impacted by the disease severity profile. These analyses can help inform future testing strategies to maximize the likelihood of novel influenza detection.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , United States/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae/isolation & purification , Orthomyxoviridae/genetics , Orthomyxoviridae/classification , Epidemiological Monitoring
7.
Epidemiol Serv Saude ; 33: e2024008, 2024.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38808901

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To create a protocol for performing minimally invasive autopsies (MIA) in detecting deaths from arboviruses and report preliminary data from its application in Ceará state, Brazil. METHODS: Training was provided to medical pathologists on MIA. RESULTS: A protocol was established for performing MIA, defining criteria for sample collection, storage methods, and diagnoses to be carried out according to the type of biological sample; 43 MIAs were performed in three months. Of these, 21 (48.8%) arrived at the Death Verification Service (SVO) with arboviruses as a diagnostic hypothesis, and seven (16.3%) were confirmed (six chikungunya cases and one dengue case); cases of COVID-19 (n = 9), tuberculosis (n = 5), meningitis (n = 4), cryptococcosis (n = 1), Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (n = 1), breast cancer (n = 1), and human rabies (n = 1) were also confirmed. CONCLUSION: The protocol implemented enabled identification of a larger number of suspected arbovirus-related deaths, as well as confirmation of other diseases of interest for surveillance. MAIN RESULTS: A protocol was developed to perform minimally invasive autopsies (MIAs) in Death Verification Services (SVO), capable of expanding the system's capacity to identify a greater number of deaths suspected to be due to arboviruses. IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES: The experience suggests that in-service trained health professionals are able to perform MIA, and that use of this technique in SVOs has been shown to be capable of increasing the system's sensitivity in detecting deaths of interest to public health. PERSPECTIVES: Trained professionals will be able to collect biological material in hospitals, through MIA, in cases of interest for health surveillance and when family members do not allow a complete conventional autopsy to be performed.


Subject(s)
Arbovirus Infections , Autopsy , Humans , Brazil/epidemiology , Autopsy/methods , Arbovirus Infections/epidemiology , Arbovirus Infections/diagnosis , Arbovirus Infections/pathology , Female , Sensitivity and Specificity , Male , Middle Aged , Adult , Adolescent , Young Adult , Arboviruses/isolation & purification , Aged , Population Surveillance/methods , Epidemiological Monitoring , Cause of Death , Child , Child, Preschool
8.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(6): 1086-1094, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38705061

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of different types/subtypes varies across seasons and countries for seasonal influenza viruses, indicating underlying interactions between types/subtypes. The global interaction patterns and determinants for seasonal influenza types/subtypes need to be explored. METHODS: Influenza epidemiological surveillance data, as well as multidimensional data that include population-related, environment-related, and virus-related factors from 55 countries worldwide were used to explore type/subtype interactions based on Spearman correlation coefficient. The machine learning method Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and interpretable framework SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) were utilized to quantify contributing factors and their effects on interactions among influenza types/subtypes. Additionally, causal relationships between types/subtypes were also explored based on Convergent Cross-mapping (CCM). RESULTS: A consistent globally negative correlation exists between influenza A/H3N2 and A/H1N1. Meanwhile, interactions between influenza A (A/H3N2, A/H1N1) and B show significant differences across countries, primarily influenced by population-related factors. Influenza A has a stronger driving force than influenza B, and A/H3N2 has a stronger driving force than A/H1N1. CONCLUSION: The research elucidated the globally complex and heterogeneous interaction patterns among influenza type/subtypes, identifying key factors shaping their interactions. This sheds light on better seasonal influenza prediction and model construction, informing targeted prevention strategies and ultimately reducing the global burden of seasonal influenza.


Subject(s)
Global Health , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Influenza B virus , Influenza, Human , Seasons , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Machine Learning , Epidemiological Monitoring , Prevalence
9.
J Infect Public Health ; 17(6): 1125-1133, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38723322

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, analytics and predictive models built on regional data provided timely, accurate monitoring of epidemiological behavior, informing critical planning and decision-making for health system leaders. At Atrium Health, a large, integrated healthcare system in the southeastern United States, a team of statisticians and physicians created a comprehensive forecast and monitoring program that leveraged an array of statistical methods. METHODS: The program utilized the following methodological approaches: (i) exploratory graphics, including time plots of epidemiological metrics with smoothers; (ii) infection prevalence forecasting using a Bayesian epidemiological model with time-varying infection rate; (iii) doubling and halving times computed using changepoints in local linear trend; (iv) death monitoring using combination forecasting with an ensemble of models; (v) effective reproduction number estimation with a Bayesian approach; (vi) COVID-19 patients hospital census monitored via time series models; and (vii) quantified forecast performance. RESULTS: A consolidated forecast and monitoring report was produced weekly and proved to be an effective, vital source of information and guidance as the healthcare system navigated the inherent uncertainty of the pandemic. Forecasts provided accurate and precise information that informed critical decisions on resource planning, bed capacity and staffing management, and infection prevention strategies. CONCLUSIONS: In this paper, we have presented the framework used in our epidemiological forecast and monitoring program at Atrium Health, as well as provided recommendations for implementation by other healthcare systems and institutions to facilitate use in future pandemics.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Humans , Delivery of Health Care/organization & administration , Forecasting/methods , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , Epidemiological Monitoring , Models, Statistical
10.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 13(1): 35, 2024 May 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38783374

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Lao PDR has made significant progress in malaria control. The National Strategic Plans outline ambitious targets, aiming for the elimination of Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax malaria from all northern provinces by 2025 and national elimination by 2030. This article presents an overview of malaria epidemiology, surveillance, and response systems in Lao PDR, emphasizing experiences and achievements in transmission reduction. METHODS: Data on surveillance, monitoring and evaluation systems, human resources, infrastructure, and community malaria knowledge during 2010-2020 were systematically gathered from the national program and relevant documents. The collected information was synthesized, and discussions on challenges and future prospects were provided. RESULTS: Malaria control and elimination activities in Lao PDR were implemented at various levels, with a focus on health facility catchment areas. There has been significant progress in reducing malaria transmission throughout the country. Targeted interventions, such as case management, vector control, and community engagement, using stratification of control interventions by catchment areas have contributed to the decline in malaria cases. In elimination areas, active surveillance strategies, including case and foci investigation, are implemented to identify and stop transmission. The surveillance system has facilitated timely detection and response to malaria cases, enabling these targeted interventions in higher-risk areas. CONCLUSIONS: The malaria surveillance and response system in Lao PDR has played a crucial role in reducing transmission and advancing the country towards elimination. Challenges such as importation, drug resistance, and sustaining support require ongoing efforts. Further strengthening surveillance, improving access to services, and addressing transmission determinants are key areas of focus to achieve malaria elimination and enhance population health in Lao PDR.


Subject(s)
Disease Eradication , Laos/epidemiology , Humans , Disease Eradication/methods , Malaria/epidemiology , Malaria/prevention & control , Malaria/transmission , Epidemiological Monitoring , Malaria, Vivax/epidemiology , Malaria, Vivax/prevention & control , Population Surveillance , Malaria, Falciparum/epidemiology , Malaria, Falciparum/prevention & control
11.
Viruses ; 16(5)2024 04 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38793574

ABSTRACT

Influenza viruses are constantly evolving and are therefore monitored worldwide in the hope to reduce the burden of disease by annual updates to vaccine recommendations. We conducted genomic sequencing of 110 influenza A and 30 influenza B viruses from specimens collected between October 2023 and February 2024 in Arizona, USA. We identified mutations in the hemagglutinin (HA) antigenic sites as well as the neuraminidase (NA) gene in our samples. We also found no unique HA and NA mutations in vaccinated yet influenza-infected individuals. Real-time genomic sequencing surveillance is important to ensure influenza vaccine effectiveness.


Subject(s)
Genome, Viral , Influenza A virus , Influenza B virus , Influenza, Human , Mutation , Neuraminidase , Arizona/epidemiology , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Neuraminidase/genetics , Influenza B virus/genetics , Influenza A virus/genetics , Influenza A virus/classification , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Genomics/methods , Phylogeny , Adult , Epidemiological Monitoring , Child , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Male , Female , Child, Preschool , Aged , Influenza Vaccines/immunology , Influenza Vaccines/genetics , Young Adult , Whole Genome Sequencing
12.
Article in English | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-59400

ABSTRACT

[ABSTRACT]. Objectives. To describe the characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 cases in Jamaica and to explore the risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 from 9 March to 31 December 2020. Methods. A cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data was conducted using confirmed COVID-19 cases in Jamaica. Definitions of a confirmed case, disease severity, and death were based on World Health Organization guidelines. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used to determine association with outcomes. Logistic regression models were used to determine predictors of severe COVID-19. Results. This analysis included 12 169 cases of COVID-19 (median age, 36 years; 6 744 females [ 55.4%]) of which 512 cases (4.2%) presented with severe disease, and of those, 318 patients (62.1%) died (median age at death, 71.5 years). Severe disease was associated with being male (OR 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.7) and 40 years or older (OR, 6.5; 95% CI, 5.1-8.2). COVID-19 death was also associated with being male (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.7), age 40 years or older (OR, 17.9; 95% CI, 11.6-27.7), and in the Western versus South East Health Region (OR 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.3). Conclusions. The findings of this cross-sectional analysis indicate that confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Jamaica were more likely to be female and younger individuals, whereas COVID-19 deaths occurred more frequently in males and older individuals. There is increased risk of poor COVID-19 outcomes beginning at age 40, with males disproportionately affected. COVID-19 death also varied by geographic region. This evidence could be useful to other countries with similar settings and to policymakers charged with managing outbreaks and health.


[RESUMEN]. Objetivos. Describir las características y los resultados de los casos de COVID-19 en Jamaica y explorar los factores de riesgo asociados a la COVID-19 grave desde el 9 de marzo hasta el 31 de diciembre del 2020. Métodos. Se realizó un análisis transversal de datos nacionales de vigilancia a partir de los casos confirma- dos de COVID-19 en Jamaica. Las definiciones de caso confirmado, gravedad de la enfermedad y muerte se basaron en las directrices de la Organización Mundial de la Salud. Para determinar la asociación con los criterios de valoración se utilizó la prueba de χ2 y la prueba exacta de Fisher. Se usaron modelos de regresión logística para determinar los factores predictivos de la COVID-19 grave. Resultados. Se incluyeron en el análisis 12 169 casos de COVID-19 (mediana de edad, 36 años; 6 744 mujeres [55,4%]), de los que 512 (4,2%) fueron de enfermedad grave. De estos pacientes, 318 (62,1%) fall- ecieron (mediana de edad al morir, 71,5 años). Se observó una asociación de la enfermedad grave con el sexo masculino (OR de 1,4; IC del 95 %, 1,2-1,7) y con la edad igual o superior a 40 años (OR de 6,5; IC del 95 %, 5,1-8,2). La muerte por COVID-19 también mostró una asociación con el sexo masculino (OR de 1,4; IC del 95%, 1,1-1,7), con la edad igual o superior a 40 años (OR de 17,9; IC del 95%, 11,6-27,7) y con la Región de Atención de Salud Occidental en comparación con la Sudoriental (OR de 1,7; IC del 95%, 1,2-2,3). Conclusiones. Los resultados de este análisis transversal indican que los casos confirmados de COVID-19 en Jamaica correspondieron una mayor probabilidad a mujeres y personas más jóvenes, mientras que las muertes por COVID-19 fueron más frecuentes en varones y personas de mayor edad. Hay un mayor riesgo de evolución desfavorable de la COVID-19 a partir de los 40 años, que afecta de manera desproporcionada a los varones. Las muertes por COVID-19 también variaron según la región geográfica. Esta evidencia podría ser de utilidad para otros países con entornos similares y para los responsables de la formulación de políticas en materia de gestión de brotes y salud.


[RESUMO]. Objetivos. Descrever as características e os desfechos dos casos de COVID-19 na Jamaica e explorar os fatores de risco associados à COVID-19 grave de 9 de março a 31 de dezembro de 2020. Métodos. Análise transversal de dados de vigilância nacional usando casos confirmados de COVID-19 na Jamaica. As definições de caso confirmado, gravidade da doença e morte foram baseadas nas recomendações da Organização Mundial da Saúde. Foram usados testes de qui-quadrado e exato de Fisher para determinar a associação com os desfechos. Modelos de regressão logística foram usados para deter- minar os preditores de COVID-19 grave. Resultados. Esta análise incluiu 12.169 casos de COVID-19 (idade mediana: 36 anos; 6 744 do sexo feminino [55,4%]), dos quais 512 casos (4,2%) apresentaram doença grave; desses, 318 pacientes (62,1%) morreram (idade mediana ao morrer: 71,5 anos). A doença grave estava associada a ser do sexo masculino (razão de chances [RC]: 1,4; intervalo de confiança de 95% [IC 95%]: 1,2–1,7) e ter 40 anos ou mais de idade (RC: 6,5; IC 95%: 5,1–8,2). A morte por COVID-19 também estava associada a ser sexo masculino (RC: 1,4; IC 95%: 1,1–1,7), ter 40 anos ou mais (RC: 17,9; IC 95%: 11,6–27,7) e estar na Região Sanitária Oeste em comparação com a Região Sanitária Sudeste (RC: 1,7; IC 95%: 1,2–2,3). Conclusões. Os achados desta análise transversal indicam que a probabilidade de casos confirmados de COVID-19 na Jamaica era maior em indivíduos do sexo feminino e mais jovens, ao passo que as mortes por COVID-19 ocorreram com mais frequência em indivíduos do sexo masculino e mais velhos. Há um risco maior de resultados desfavoráveis em relação à COVID-19 a partir dos 40 anos, e indivíduos do sexo masculino são desproporcionalmente mais afetados. A morte por COVID-19 também variou de acordo com a região geográ- fica. Essas evidências podem ser úteis para outros países com cenários semelhantes e para os formuladores de políticas encarregados de manejar surtos e gerenciar a saúde.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Communicable Diseases, Emerging , Epidemiological Monitoring , Diagnosis of Health Situation , Caribbean Region , Communicable Diseases, Emerging , Epidemiological Monitoring , Diagnosis of Health Situation , Caribbean Region , Noncommunicable Diseases , Epidemiological Monitoring , Diagnosis of Health Situation , Caribbean Region
13.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0289188, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38683803

ABSTRACT

To control the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, healthcare systems have focused on ramping up their capacity for epidemiological surveillance through viral whole genome sequencing. In this paper, we tested the performance of two protocols of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid enrichment, an amplicon enrichment using different versions of the ARTIC primer panel and a hybrid-capture method using KAPA RNA Hypercap. We focused on the challenge of the Omicron variant sequencing, the advantages of automated library preparation and the influence of the bioinformatic analysis in the final consensus sequence. All 94 samples were sequenced using Illumina iSeq 100 and analysed with two bioinformatic pipelines: a custom-made pipeline and an Illumina-owned pipeline. We were unsuccessful in sequencing six samples using the capture enrichment due to low reads. On the other hand, amplicon dropout and mispriming caused the loss of mutation G21987A and the erroneous addition of mutation T15521A respectively using amplicon enrichment. Overall, we found high sequence agreement regardless of method of enrichment, bioinformatic pipeline or the use of automation for library preparation in eight different SARS-CoV-2 variants. Automation and the use of a simple app for bioinformatic analysis can simplify the genotyping process, making it available for more diagnostic facilities and increasing global vigilance.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing , SARS-CoV-2 , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing/methods , Genome, Viral , RNA, Viral/genetics , Mutation , Epidemiological Monitoring , Computational Biology/methods , Whole Genome Sequencing/methods
14.
Actual. Sida Infectol. (En linea) ; 32(114): 63-78, 20240000. fig, graf
Article in Spanish | LILACS, BINACIS | ID: biblio-1552316

ABSTRACT

La encefalitis equina del oeste (WEEV, por su sigla en inglés, Western Equine Encephalitis) es una enfermedad reemergente en Argentina a partir del año 2023. La co-municación inicial fue en 1933, las últimas epizootias ocurrieron en 1983 y el último caso humano se registró en 1996. Se revisan las características del agente causal, la ecología con especial referencia a los vectores iden-tificados en el país, su competencia en la transmisión y el ciclo así como los factores de riesgo para adquirir la enfermedad. La situación epidemiológica en equinos y humanos desde noviembre 2023 hasta marzo 2024 es analizada. Se describen las formas clínicas de presen-tación de la enfermedad humana, las posibilidades evo-lutivas, los datos disponibles en los casos confirmados y el tratamiento. La metodología y algoritmo empleados para el diagnóstico etiológico en el Centro Nacional de Referencia son detallados. Las estrategias para la pre-vención y el control se basan en la vacunación de los equinos, el saneamiento ambiental y el control del foco ante la presentación de la enfermedad animal (vigilancia epidemiológica activa)


Western equine encephalitis (WEE) is a re-emerging dis-ease in Argentina starting in 2023. Since the initial notifi-cation in 1933, the last epizootics occurred in 1983, and the last human case was recorded in 1996.The charac-teristics of the causative agent, the ecology with special reference to vectors identified in the country, their compe-tence in transmission, and the cycle as well as the risks factors for acquiring the disease, are reviewed.The epidemiological situation in horses and humans from November 2023 to March 2024 is analyzed. The clinical presentation of the human disease, its evolutionary po-tential, available data in confirmed cases, and the treat-ment are described.The methodology and algorithm used for the etiological diagnosis at the National Reference Center are detailed. Strategies for prevention and control are based on vaccination of horses, environmental sani-tation and outbreak control in the presence of the animal disease (active epidemiological surveillance)


Subject(s)
Humans , Animals , Male , Female , Sanitation/legislation & jurisprudence , Risk Factors , Encephalomyelitis, Western Equine/epidemiology , Encephalitis Virus, Western Equine/immunology , Epidemiological Monitoring/veterinary
16.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3508, 2024 Apr 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38664380

ABSTRACT

Dengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral disease in humans, and cases are continuing to rise globally. In particular, islands in the Caribbean have experienced more frequent outbreaks, and all four dengue virus (DENV) serotypes have been reported in the region, leading to hyperendemicity and increased rates of severe disease. However, there is significant variability regarding virus surveillance and reporting between islands, making it difficult to obtain an accurate understanding of the epidemiological patterns in the Caribbean. To investigate this, we used travel surveillance and genomic epidemiology to reconstruct outbreak dynamics, DENV serotype turnover, and patterns of spread within the region from 2009-2022. We uncovered two recent DENV-3 introductions from Asia, one of which resulted in a large outbreak in Cuba, which was previously under-reported. We also show that while outbreaks can be synchronized between islands, they are often caused by different serotypes. Our study highlights the importance of surveillance of infected travelers to provide a snapshot of local introductions and transmission in areas with limited local surveillance and suggests that the recent DENV-3 introductions may pose a major public health threat in the region.


Subject(s)
Dengue Virus , Dengue , Disease Outbreaks , Serogroup , Travel , Dengue Virus/genetics , Dengue Virus/classification , Dengue Virus/isolation & purification , Dengue/epidemiology , Dengue/virology , Dengue/transmission , Humans , Caribbean Region/epidemiology , Travel/statistics & numerical data , Phylogeny , Epidemiological Monitoring
17.
J Antimicrob Chemother ; 79(6): 1418-1422, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38661223

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Artemisinin-resistant Plasmodium falciparum malaria is currently spreading globally, including in Africa. Artemisinin resistance also leads to resistance to partner drugs used in artemisinin-based combination therapies. Sequencing of kelch13, which is associated with artemisinin resistance, culture-based partner drug susceptibility tests, and ELISA-based growth measurement are conventionally used to monitor resistance; however, their application is challenging in resource-limited settings. METHODS: An experimental package for field studies with minimum human/material requirements was developed. RESULTS: First, qPCR-based SNP assay was applied in artemisinin resistance screening, which can detect mutations within 1 h and facilitate sample selection for subsequent processes. It had 100% sensitivity and specificity compared with DNA sequencing in the detection of the two common artemisinin resistance mutations in Uganda, C469Y and A675V. Moreover, in the partner drug susceptibility test, the cultured samples were dry-preserved on a 96-well filter paper plate and shipped to the central laboratory. Parasite growth was measured by ELISA using redissolved samples. It well reproduced the results of direct ELISA, reducing significant workload in the field (Pearson correlation coefficient: 0.984; 95% CI: 0.975-0.990). CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale and sustainable monitoring is required urgently to track rapidly spreading drug-resistant malaria. In malaria-endemic areas, where research resources are often limited, simplicity and feasibility of the procedure is especially important. Our approach combines a qPCR-based rapid test, which is also applicable to point-of-care diagnosis of artemisinin resistance and centralized analysis of ex vivo culture. The approach could improve efficiency of field experiments and accelerate global drug resistance surveillance.


Subject(s)
Antimalarials , Artemisinins , Drug Resistance , Malaria, Falciparum , Plasmodium falciparum , Artemisinins/pharmacology , Plasmodium falciparum/drug effects , Plasmodium falciparum/genetics , Humans , Antimalarials/pharmacology , Drug Resistance/genetics , Malaria, Falciparum/parasitology , Malaria, Falciparum/drug therapy , Uganda , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide , Parasitic Sensitivity Tests/methods , Epidemiological Monitoring , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Sensitivity and Specificity , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Protozoan Proteins/genetics , Resource-Limited Settings
18.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(4): e0012111, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38626188

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Human African trypanosomiasis (HAT) is a neglected tropical disease that usually occurs in rural areas in sub-Saharan Africa. It caused devastating epidemics during the 20th century. Sustained, coordinated efforts by different stakeholders working with national sleeping sickness control programmes (NSSCPs) succeeded in controlling the disease and reducing the number of cases to historically low levels. In 2012, WHO targeted the elimination of the disease as a public health problem by 2020. This goal has been reached and a new ambitious target was stated in the WHO road map for NTDs 2021-2030 and endorsed by the 73rd World Health Assembly: the elimination of gambiense HAT transmission (i.e. reducing the number of reported cases to zero). The interruption of transmission was not considered as an achievable goal for rhodesiense HAT, as it would require vast veterinary interventions rather than actions at the public health level. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Data reported to WHO by NSSCPs were harmonized, verified, georeferenced and included in the atlas of HAT. A total of 802 cases were reported in 2021 and 837 in 2022. This is below the target for elimination as a public health problem at the global level (< 2000 HAT cases/year); 94% of the cases were caused by infection with T. b. gambiense. The areas reporting ≥ 1 HAT case/10 000 inhabitants/year in 2018-2022 cover a surface of 73 134 km2, with only 3013 km2 at very high or high risk. This represents a reduction of 90% from the baseline figure for 2000-2004, the target set for the elimination of HAT as a public health problem. For the surveillance of the disease, 4.5 million people were screened for gambiense HAT with serological tests in 2021-2022, 3.6 million through active screening and 0.9 million by passive screening. In 2021 and 2022 the elimination of HAT as a public health problem was validated in Benin, Uganda, Equatorial Guinea and Ghana for gambiense HAT and in Rwanda for rhodesiense HAT. To reach the next goal of elimination of transmission of gambiense HAT, countries have to report zero cases of human infection with T. b. gambiense for a period of at least 5 consecutive years. The criteria and procedures to verify elimination of transmission have been recently published by WHO. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: HAT elimination as a public health problem has been reached at global level, with seven countries already validated as having reached this goal. This achievement was made possible by the work of NSSCPs, supported by different public and private partners, and coordinated by WHO. The new challenging goal now is to reach zero cases by 2030. To reach this goal is crucial to maintain the engagement and support of donors and stakeholders and to keep the involvement and coordination of all partners. Along with the focus on elimination of transmission of gambiense HAT, it is important not to neglect rhodesiense HAT, which is targeted for elimination as a public health problem in the WHO road map for NTDs 2021-2030.


Subject(s)
Disease Eradication , Trypanosomiasis, African , World Health Organization , Trypanosomiasis, African/prevention & control , Trypanosomiasis, African/epidemiology , Trypanosomiasis, African/transmission , Humans , Trypanosoma brucei gambiense , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Neglected Diseases/prevention & control , Neglected Diseases/epidemiology , Animals , Epidemiological Monitoring
19.
Ticks Tick Borne Dis ; 15(4): 102343, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615554

ABSTRACT

The burden of tick-borne diseases continues to increase in the United States. Tick surveillance has been implemented to monitor changes in the distribution and prevalence of human disease-causing pathogens in ticks that frequently bite humans. Such efforts require accurate identification of ticks to species and highly sensitive and specific assays that can detect and differentiate pathogens from genetically similar microbes in ticks that have not been demonstrated to be pathogenic in humans. We describe a modification to a next generation sequencing pathogen detection assay that includes a target that accurately identifies Ixodes ticks to species. We show that the replacement of internal control primers used to ensure assay performance with primers that also act as an internal control and can additionally differentiate tick species, retains high sensitivity and specificity, improves efficiency, and reduces costs by eliminating the need to run separate assays to screen for pathogens and for tick identification.


Subject(s)
High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing , Ixodes , Ixodes/microbiology , Animals , United States , High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing/methods , Tick-Borne Diseases/microbiology , Epidemiological Monitoring , Sensitivity and Specificity
20.
J Hosp Infect ; 148: 112-118, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615718

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Surveillance of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) in Australia is disparate, resource intensive, unsustainable, and provides limited information. Traditional HAI surveillance is time intensive and agreement levels between clinicians have been shown to be variable. AIM: To compare two methods: a semi-automated algorithm, and coding data, against traditional surgical site infection (SSI) surveillance methods. METHODS: This retrospective multi-centre cohort study included all patients undergoing a hip (HPRO) or knee (KPRO) prosthesis and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery during a two-year period at two large metropolitan hospitals. Routine SSI data were obtained via the infection prevention and control (IPC) team, a previously developed algorithm was applied to all patient records, and the ICD-10-AM data were searched for those categorized as having an SSI. FINDINGS: Overall, 1447, 1416, and 1026 patients who underwent HPRO, KPRO, and CABG, respectively, were included. The highest sensitivity values were generated by the algorithm: HPRO deep or organ-space (D/O) 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.66-0.96), CABG 0.86 (0.64-0.96), and HPRO all SSI 0.77 (0.57-89); the lowest sensitivity was Code CABG D/O 0.03 (0.00-0.21). The highest PPV values were generated by the algorithm: HPRO D/O 0.97 (0.77-0.99), CABG D/O 0.97 (0.76-0.99), and the Code HPRO D/O 0.9 (0.66-0.99). Both the algorithm and coding data resulted in a substantial reduction in the number of medical records required to review. CONCLUSION: The application of algorithms to enhance SSI surveillance demonstrates high accuracy in identifying patient records that require review by IPC teams to determine the presence of an SSI. Coding data alone should not be used to identify SSIs.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Epidemiological Monitoring , Surgical Wound Infection , Humans , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Australia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Epidemiologic Methods
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