Effects of fuel and driving conditions on particle number emissions of China-VI gasoline vehicles: based on corrections to test results.

The increasing number of vehicles are emitting a large amount of particles into the atmosphere, causing serious harm to the ecological environment and human health. This study conducted the Worldwide Harmonized Light Vehicles Test Cycle (WLTC) to investigate the emission characteristics of particle number (PN) of China-VI gasoline vehicles with different gasoline. The gasoline with lower aromatic hydrocarbons and olefins reduced particulate matter (PM) and PN emissions by 24% and 52% respectively. The average PN emission rate of the four vehicles during the first 300 s (the cold start period) was 7.2 times that of the 300 s-1800s. Additionally, because the particle transmission time and instrument response time, the test results of instantaneous emissions of PN were not synchronized with vehicle specific power (VSP). By calculating the Spearman correlation coefficient between pre-average vehicle specific power (PAVSP) and the test results of PN instantaneous emissions, the delay time was determined as 10s. After the PN emissions results were corrected, the PN emissions were found to be more related to VSP. By analyzing the influence of driving status on emission, this study found that vehicles in acceleration mode increased PN emissions by 76% compared to those in constant speed mode.

Air quality on UK diesel and hybrid trains.

Concentrations of particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5), ultrafine (UFP), particle number (PNC), black carbon (BC), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOX) were measured in train carriages on diesel and bi-mode trains on inter-city and long-distance journeys in the United Kingdom (UK) using a high-quality mobile measurement system. Air quality on 15 different routes was measured using highly-time resolved data on a total of 119 journeys during three campaigns in winter 2020 and summer 2021; this included 13 different train classes. Each journey was sampled 4-10 times with approximatively 11,000 min of in-train concentrations in total. Mean-journey concentrations were 7.552 µg m-3 (PM10); 3.936 µg m-3 (PM2.5); 333-11,300 # cm-3 (PNC); 225-9,131 # cm-3 (UFP); 0.6-11 µg m-3 (BC); 28-201 µg m-3 (NO2); and 130-3,456 µg m-3 (NOX). The impact of different factors on in-train concentrations was evaluated. The presence of tunnels was the factor with the largest impact on the in-train particle concentrations with enhancements by a factor of 40 greater than baseline for BC, and a factor 6 to 7 for PM and PNC. The engine fuel mode was the factor with the largest impact on NO2 with enhancements of up to 14-times larger when the train run on diesel compared to the times running on electric on hybrid trains. Train classes with an age < 10 years observed the lowest in-train PM, BC and NOX concentrations reflecting improvements in aspects of rail technology in recent years. Air quality on UK diesel trains is higher than ambient concentrations but has lower PM2.5 and PNC than most other transport modes, including subway systems, diesel and petrol cars. This paper adds significantly to the evidence on exposure to poor air quality in transport micro-environments and provides the industry and regulatory bodies with reference-grade measurements on which to establish in-train air quality guidelines.

Impacts of ethanol blended fuels and cold temperature on VOC emissions from gasoline vehicles in China.

The Chinese central government has initiated pilot projects to promote the adoption of gasoline containing 10%v ethanol (E10). Vehicle emissions using ethanol blended fuels require investigation to estimate the environmental impacts of the initiative. Five fuel formulations were created using two blending methods (splash blending and match blending) to evaluate the impacts of formulations on speciated volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from exhaust emissions. Seven in-use vehicles covering China 4 to China 6 emission standards were recruited. Vehicle tests were conducted using the Worldwide Harmonized Test Cycle (WLTC) in a temperature-controlled chamber at 23 °C and -7 °C. Splash blended E10 fuels led to significant reductions in VOC emissions by 12%-75%. E10 fuels had a better performance of reducing VOC emissions in older model vehicles than in newer model vehicles. These results suggested that E10 fuel could be an option to mitigate the VOC emissions. Although replacing methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) with ethanol in regular gasoline had no significant effects on VOC emissions, the replacement led to lower aromatic emissions by 40%-60%. Alkanes and aromatics dominated approximately 90% of VOC emissions for all vehicle-fuel combinations. Cold temperature increased VOC emissions significantly, by 3-26 folds for all vehicle/fuel combinations at -7 °C. Aromatic emissions were increased by cold temperature, from 2 to 26 mg/km at 23 °C to 33-238 mg/km at -7 °C. OVOC emissions were not significantly affected by E10 fuel or cold temperature. The ozone formation potential (OFP) and secondary organic aerosol formation potential (SOAFP) of splash blended E10 fuels decreased by up to 76% and 81%, respectively, compared with those of E0 fuels. The results are useful to update VOC emission profiles of Chinese vehicles using ethanol blended gasoline and under low-temperature conditions.

Emission performance evaluation of urban passenger car fleet through field investigation data in a megacity.

Continued improvements in living standards and the economic well-being in the megacities have led to a huge surge in vehicular density. The worst environmental outcome of the same has been persistent unsafe urban air quality, thanks to vehicular emission. Further, the existing inspection and maintenance programs, conceived to check such emission remain largely ineffective, particularly in developing countries. This is due to the absence of a thorough assessment of the vehicle's compliance with the in-use emission norms generated through reliable field investigation data. To address this gap, the present comprehensive study collected real-time tailpipe emission data from 2040 cars in Delhi, India. Exhaust emission parameters, namely, CO (carbon monoxide), HC (hydrocarbon), and SE (smoke emission), were recorded from both petrol and diesel-driven cars of private ownership, in collaboration with the emission compliance test centers. The performance of cars was assessed in terms of their compliance with the in-use BS (Bharat Stage) emission norms. The one-of-its-kind study reported the petrol cars to be highly compliant toward the BS IV norm while faring even better toward BS II for both CO and HC emissions (80-90%). The conformance to the HC norm was found to be typically better than that for CO (85-90% versus 75-80%). For the diesel-driven cars, BS III compliance levels were reported relatively better compared to BS IV (90% in the case of the former against 80% in the latter's case). Further, the study puts forward a clear indication that the in-use emission norm and maintenance status of cars have a direct and negative relationship with tailpipe emission parameters. Cars of both overseas and domestic origin have almost equal degrees of compliance with the emission norms (over 80% in any case). The study recommends the incorporation of these two critical vehicular variables, i.e., maintenance status and in-use emission standard in the emission certification policy.

Hydrocarbon adsorption mechanism of modern automobile engines and methods of reducing hydrocarbon emissions during cold start process: A review.

With the global emphasis on environmental protection and increasingly stringent emission regulations for internal combustion engines, there is an urgent need to overcome the problem of large hydrocarbon (HC) emissions caused by unstable engine cold starts. Synergistic engine pre-treatment (reducing hydrocarbon production) as well as after-treatment devices (adsorbing and oxidizing hydrocarbons) is the fundamental solution to emissions. In this paper, the improvement of hydrocarbon emissions is summarized from two aspects: pre-treatment and after-treatment. The pre-treatment for engine cold start mainly focuses on summarizing the intake control, fuel, and engine timing parameters. The after-treatment mainly focuses on summarizing different types of adsorbents and modifications (mainly including different molecular sieve structures and sizes, preparation conditions, silicon aluminum ratio, ion exchange modification, and heterogeneity, etc.), adsorptive catalysts (mainly including optimization of catalytic performance and structure), and catalytic devices (mainly including coupling with thermal management equipment and HC trap devices). In this paper, a SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunity, and threat) analysis of pre-treatment and after-treatment measures is conducted. Researchers can obtain relevant research results and seek new research directions and approaches for controlling cold start HC emissions.

Influence of ambient temperature on the CO2 emitted of light-duty vehicle.

Because of global warming, people have paid more attention to greenhouse gas emitted by vehicles. To quantify the impact of temperature on vehicle CO2 emissions, this study was conducted using the world light vehicle test cycle on two light-duty E10 gasoline vehicles at ambient temperatures of -10, 0, 23, and 40℃, and found that CO2 emission factors of Vehicle 1 in the low-speed phase were 22.07% and 20.22% higher than those of Vehicle 2 at cold start and hot start under -10℃. The reason was vehicle 1 had a larger displacement and more friction pairs than vehicle 2. There was the highest CO2 emission at the low-speed phase due to low average speed, frequent acceleration, and deceleration. The CO2 temperature factor and the ambient temperature had a strong linear correlation (R2 = 0.99). According to CO2 temperature factors and their relationships, CO2 emission factors of other ambient temperatures could be calculated when the CO2 emission factor of 23℃ was obtained, and the method also could be used to obtain the CO2 temperature factors of different vehicles. To separate the effect of load setting and temperature variation on CO2 emission quantitatively, a method was proposed. And results showed that the load setting was dominant for the CO2 emission variation. Compared with 23℃, the CO2 emission for vehicle 1 caused by load setting variation were 62.83 and 47.42 g/km, respectively at -10 and 0℃, while those for vehicle 2 were 45.01 and 35.63 g/km, respectively.

An integrated approach for wastewater treatment and algae cultivation: Nutrient removal analysis, biodiesel extraction, and energy and environmental metrics enhancement.

Human urine is rich in nitrogen and phosphorus, and the presence of these elements in wastewater significantly disrupts the biogeochemical cycle. Meanwhile, green algal biomass cultivation is unfeasible without these nutrients. Hence, the present study integrates wastewater treatment and algae cultivation to extract biodiesel and improve its performance through fuel modification. Chlorella vulgaris algae was cultivated in different dilution ratios of water and urine, and the nutrient removal rate was analyzed. Chlorella vulgaris algae biodiesel (CAB) was derived through Bligh and Dyer's method followed by transesterification, and its functional and elemental groups were analyzed. The various volume concentrations of CAB were blended with regular diesel fuel (RDF), and 10% water was added to a 30% CAB blended RDF to evaluate the combustion performance and environmental impacts. The results of the experiments demonstrated that the algae cultivation effectively removed the wastewater nutrients. The functional and elemental groups of CAB are identical to those of RDF. The engine characteristics of test fuels report that the CAB-blend RDF fuel mixtures generate low carbon footprints, whereas negative impacts have been drawn for performance metrics and oxides of nitrogen emissions. The water-emulsified fuel outweighed the unfavorable effects and promoted more efficient and cleaner combustion.

Cleaning up while Changing Gears: The Role of Battery Design, Fossil Fuel Power Plants, and Vehicle Policy for Reducing Emissions in the Transition to Electric Vehicles.

Plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) can reduce air emissions when charged with clean power, but prior work estimated that in 2010, PEVs produced 2 to 3 times the consequential air emission externalities of gasoline vehicles in PJM (the largest US regional transmission operator, serving 65 million people) due largely to increased generation from coal-fired power plants to charge the vehicles. We investigate how this situation has changed since 2010, where we are now, and what the largest levers are for reducing PEV consequential life cycle emission externalities in the near future. We estimate that PEV emission externalities have dropped by 17% to 18% in PJM as natural gas replaced coal, but they will remain comparable to gasoline vehicle externalities in base case trajectories through at least 2035. Increased wind and solar power capacity is critical to achieving deep decarbonization in the long run, but through 2035 we estimate that it will primarily shift which fossil generators operate on the margin at times when PEVs charge and can even increase consequential PEV charging emissions in the near term. We find that the largest levers for reducing PEV emissions over the next decade are (1) shifting away from nickel-based batteries to lithium iron phosphate, (2) reducing emissions from fossil generators, and (3) revising vehicle fleet emission standards. While our numerical estimates are regionally specific, key findings apply to most power systems today, in which renewable generators typically produce as much output as possible, regardless of the load, while dispatchable fossil fuel generators respond to the changes in load.

Electrification of Transit Buses in the United States Reduces Greenhouse Gas Emissions.

The transportation sector is the largest emitter of greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) in the United States. Increased use of public transit and electrification of public transit could help reduce these emissions. The electrification of public transit systems could also reduce air pollutant emissions in densely populated areas, where air pollution disproportionally burdens vulnerable communities with high health impacts and associated social costs. We analyze the life cycle emissions of transit buses powered by electricity, diesel, gasoline, and compressed natural gas and model GHGs and air pollutants mitigated for a transition to a fully electric U.S. public transit bus fleet using transit agency-level data. The electrification of the U.S. bus fleet would reduce several conventional air pollutants and has the potential to reduce transit bus GHGs by 33-65% within the next 14 years depending on how quickly the transition is made and how quickly the electricity grid decarbonizes. A levelized cost of driving analysis shows that with falling capital costs and an increase in annual passenger-kilometers of battery electric buses, the technology could reach levelized cost parity with diesel buses when electric bus capital costs fall below about $670 000 per bus.

Will changes in charging and gasoline prices affect electric vehicle sales? Evidence from China.

Electric vehicles and gasoline vehicles are substitutes for each other, and the cost of fuel is an important factor when consumers are faced with choices. Understanding the influence of changes in gasoline prices and charging prices on electric vehicle sales is of reference significance for promoting electric vehicles in the private sector. This paper uses data covering 212 prefecture-level cities from January, 2020, to August, 2022, for analysis, and the results show that different income groups have different sensitivities to the difference in oil and electricity prices. Additionally, changes in gasoline prices and charging prices will significantly affect electric vehicle sales in low-income and middle-income cities, electric vehicle sales in high-income cities will not be affected. Compared with nonpilot cities, residents of pilot cities are more sensitive to fuel price changes, indicating that the policy basis has a certain positive effect on the promotion of electric vehicles. It is recommended to consider the income status of regional residents when formulating policies for the use of electric vehicles. At the same time, publicity efforts should be increased to highlight the gap between the cost of fuel vehicles and electric vehicles.

Comparing different methods for olefin quantification in pygas and plastic pyrolysis oils: Gas chromatography-vacuum ultraviolet detection versus comprehensive gas chromatography versus bromine number titration.

In steam cracking, upstream pyrolysis oil hydroprocessing, and in many downstream processes, olefinic content is key to assess process performance and process safety risk associated with highly exothermic reactions. When looking to plastic pyrolysis oils as a potential feedstock, as well as downstream products such as pyrolysis gasoline (pygas), these materials contain unsaturated hydrocarbons which are not present in fossil feedstocks. Pygas is a product of pyrolysis and exhibits a large number of chemical structural similarities with plastic pyrolysis oils, especially in terms of olefins structure. Quantification of the unsaturation content (olefins and di-olefins) is extremely important in industry, hence the focus of this manuscript. Detailed hydrocarbon analysis with flame ionization detection is inadequate to fully characterize the hydrocarbon composition of such samples, especially when peaks are closely eluting, or even co-eluting. In this study, the gas chromatography coupled to vacuum ultraviolet (GC-VUV) detection method previously described for the analysis of liquid hydrocarbon streams1 and plastic pyrolysis oils2 has been compared with comprehensive gas chromatography (GC × GC) and the industry standard for olefin quantification (i.e., bromine number titration). Although based on different methodologies, a correlation between the olefin content obtained from GC-VUV and the bromine number titration method is hereby presented.

Instantaneous CO2 emission modelling for a Euro 6 start-stop vehicle based on portable emission measurement system data and artificial intelligence methods.

One of the increasingly common methods to counteract the increased fuel consumption of vehicles is start-stop technology. This paper introduces a methodology which presents the process of measuring and creating a computational model of CO2 emissions using artificial intelligence techniques for a vehicle equipped with start-stop technology. The method requires only measurement data of velocity, acceleration of vehicle, and gradient of road to predict the emission of CO2. In this paper, three methods of machine learning techniques were analyzed, while the best prediction results are shown by the gradient boosting method. For the developed models, the results were validated using the coefficient of determination, the mean squared error, and based on visual evaluation of residual and instantaneous emission plots and CO2 emission maps. The developed models present a novel methodology and can be used for microscale environmental analysis.

Sex-specific metabolic adaptations from in utero exposure to particulate matter derived from combustion of petrodiesel and biodiesel fuels.

Maternal exposure to particulate matter derived from diesel exhaust has been shown to cause metabolic dysregulation, neurological problems, and increased susceptibility to diabetes in the offspring. Diesel exhaust is a major source of air pollution and the use of biodiesel (BD) and its blends have been progressively increasing throughout the world; however, studies on the health impact of BD vs. petrodiesel combustion-generated exhaust have been controversial in part, due to differences in the chemical and physical nature of the associated particulate matter (PM). To explore the long-term impact of prenatal exposure, pregnant mice were exposed to PM generated by combustion of petrodiesel (B0) and a 20% soy BD blend (B20) by intratracheal instillation during embryonic days 9-17 and allowed to deliver. Offspring were then followed for 52 weeks. We found that mother's exposure to B0 and B20 PM manifested in striking sex-specific phenotypes with respect to metabolic adaptation, maintenance of glucose homeostasis, and medial hypothalamic glial cell makeup in the offspring. The data suggest PM exposure limited to a narrower critical developmental window may be compensated for by the mother and/or the fetus by altered metabolic programming in a marked sex-specific and fuel-derived PM-specific manner, leading to sex-specific risk for diseases related to environmental exposure later in life.

Exceedances of Secondary Aerosol Formation from In-Use Natural Gas Heavy-Duty Vehicles Compared to Diesel Heavy-Duty Vehicles.

This work, for the first time, assessed the secondary aerosol formation from both in-use diesel and natural gas heavy-duty vehicles of different vocations when they were operated on a chassis dynamometer while the vehicles were exercised on different driving cycles. Testing was performed on natural gas vehicles equipped with three-way catalysts (TWCs) and diesel trucks equipped with diesel oxidation catalysts, diesel particulate filters, and selective catalytic reduction systems. Secondary aerosol was measured after introducing dilute exhaust into a 30 m3 environmental chamber. Particulate matter ranged from 0.18 to 0.53 mg/mile for the diesel vehicles vs 1.4-85 mg/mile for the natural gas vehicles, total particle number ranged from 4.01 × 1012 to 3.61 × 1013 for the diesel vehicles vs 5.68 × 1012-2.75 × 1015 for the natural gas vehicles, and nonmethane organic gas emissions ranged from 0.032 to 0.05 mg/mile for the diesel vehicles vs 0.012-1.35 mg/mile for the natural gas vehicles. Ammonia formation was favored in the TWC and was found in higher concentrations for the natural gas vehicles (ranged from ∼0 to 1.75 g/mile) than diesel vehicles (ranged from ∼0 to 0.4 g/mile), leading to substantial secondary ammonium nitrate formation (ranging from 8.5 to 98.8 mg/mile for the natural gas vehicles). For the diesel vehicles, one had a secondary ammonium nitrate of 18.5 mg/mile, while the other showed essentially no secondary ammonium nitrate formation. The advanced aftertreatment controls in diesel vehicles resulted in almost negligible secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation (ranging from 0.046 to 2.04 mg/mile), while the natural gas vehicles led to elevated SOA formation that was likely sourced from the engine lubricating oil (ranging from 3.11 to 39.7 mg/mile). For two natural gas vehicles, the contribution of lightly oxidized lubricating oil in the primary organic aerosol was dominant (as shown in the mass spectra analysis), leading to enhanced SOA mass. Heavily oxidized lubricating oil was also observed to contribute to the SOA formation for other natural gas vehicles.

China 6 EGR gasoline vehicles without a GPF may struggle to meet the potential SPN10 limit.

Particles larger than 10 nm from engine exhaust are gaining global concerns. In light of this, to investigate how EGR affects gasoline vehicle SPN10 (solid particles larger than 10 nm) emissions, seven gasoline vehicles (hybrid or conventional) were studied experimentally. The results revealed that EGR vehicles risk failing the current limit (6 * 1011 #/km) more than those without EGR if the cut-off size was tightened from 23 nm to 10 nm. More specifically, during the WLTC test, EGR increased the SPN10 emission factors by 2 âˆ¼ 3 times depending on vehicle powertrains (conventional or hybrid). Notably, SPN10 emissions increased significantly when EGR was actively engaged but showed a decrease when the EGR rate remained constant. EGR and the enriched fuel-air mixture are the critical reasons for the increased SPN10.

Novel insights into the NOx emissions characteristics in PEMS tests of a heavy-duty vehicle under different payloads.

Real Drive Emission (RDE) test with Portable Emission Measurement System (PEMS) is a widely adopted way to assess vehicle emission compliance. However, the current NOx emissions calculation method stipulated in the China VI emission standard easily ignores the NOx emissions during cold start and low-power operation. To study the effect of cold start and low-power operation on the calculation of NOx emissions in the PEMS test, in this study, a China VI Heavy-Duty Vehicle (HDV) for urban use was used to conduct PEMS tests under various vehicle payload conditions. The data analysis results show that the increase in vehicle payload is beneficial to reducing the specific NOx emissions and passing the NOx emission compliance test because the increased payload improves the NOx conversion efficiency of the SCR system. Cold start duration has no obvious relationship with vehicle payload, accounting for only about 4∼6% in each test, but contributing more than 30% of NOx emissions. Due to the effect of the power threshold and the 90th cumulative percentile, the cold start data has little influence on the result of the NOx emissions assessment and the maximum variation of the NOx emissions result in this study is an 8% rise. For the HDV for urban use, the variation of the power threshold resulting from vehicle payload is small, no more than 2% in this study. The presence of the power threshold makes almost only the low-power operation in the second half of urban driving have an impact on the NOx emissions calculation, which may make more than 50% of NOx emissions in the PEMS test be neglected. The impact of the low-power operation on NOx emissions calculation result will be significantly enhanced if all windows are considered in the Moving Average Window (MAW) method. In the meantime, the degree of variation is closely related to the NOx emissions level during the first half of urban driving. The maximum deterioration of NOx emission assessment result can be more than 90% in this study.

The impact on passenger car emissions associated with the promotion and demise of diesel fuel.

The promotion and growth in the use of diesel fuel in passenger cars in the UK and Europe over the past two decades led to considerable adverse air quality impacts in urban areas and more widely. In this work, we construct a multi-decade analysis of passenger car emissions in the UK based on real driving emissions data. An important part of the study is the use of extensive vehicle emission remote sensing data covering multiple measurement locations, time periods, environmental conditions and consisting of over 600,000 measurements. These data are used to consider two scenarios: first, that diesel fuel use was not promoted in the early 2000s for climate mitigation reasons, and second, that there was not a dramatic decline in diesel fuel use following the Dieselgate scandal. The strong growth of diesel fuel use coincided with a time when diesel NOx emissions were high and, conversely, the strong decrease of diesel fuel use coincided with a time when diesel vehicle after-treatment systems for NOx control were effective. We estimate that the growth in diesel car use in the UK results in excess NOx emissions of 721 kt over a three decade period; equivalent to over 7 times total annual passenger car NOx emissions and greater than total UK NOx emissions of 681.8 kt in 2021 and with an associated damage cost of £5.875 billion. However, the sharp move away from diesel fuel post-Dieselgate only reduced NOx emissions by 41 kt owing to the effectiveness of modern diesel aftertreatment systems.

Characterization of Biodiesel and Diesel Combustion Particles: Chemical Composition, Lipid Metabolism, and Implications for Health and Environment.

Biodiesel, derived from alkyl esters of vegetable oils or animal fats, has gained prominence as a greener alternative to diesel due to its reduced particle mass. However, it remains debatable whether biodiesel exposure has more severe health issues than diesel. This study performed high-resolution mass spectrometry to examine the detailed particle chemical compositions and lipidomics analysis of human lung epithelial cells treated with emissions from biodiesel and diesel fuels. Results show the presence of the peak substances of CHO compounds in biodiesel combustion that contain a phthalate ester (PAEs) structure (e.g., n-amyl isoamyl phthalate and diisobutyl phthalate). PAEs have emerged as persistent organic pollutants across various environmental media and are known to possess endocrine-disrupting properties in the environment. We further observed that biodiesel prevents triglyceride storage compared to diesel and inhibits triglycerides from becoming phospholipids, particularly with increased phosphatidylglycerols (PGs) and phosphatidylethanolamines (PEs), which potentially could lead to a higher probability of cancer metastasis.

Improved Spatial Resolution in Modeling of Nitrogen Oxide Concentrations in the Los Angeles Basin.

The extent to which emission control technologies and policies have reduced anthropogenic NOx emissions from motor vehicles is large but uncertain. We evaluate a fuel-based emission inventory for southern California during the June 2021 period, coinciding with the Re-Evaluating the Chemistry of Air Pollutants in CAlifornia (RECAP-CA) field campaign. A modified version of the Fuel-based Inventory of Vehicle Emissions (FIVE) is presented, incorporating 1.3 km resolution gridding and a new light-/medium-duty diesel vehicle category. NOx concentrations and weekday-weekend differences were predicted using the WRF-Chem model and evaluated using satellite and aircraft observations. Model performance was similar on weekdays and weekends, indicating appropriate day-of-week scaling of NOx emissions and a reasonable distribution of emissions by sector. Large observed weekend decreases in NOx are mainly due to changes in on-road vehicle emissions. The inventory presented in this study suggests that on-road vehicles were responsible for 55-72% of the NOx emissions in the South Coast Air Basin, compared to the corresponding fraction (43%) in the planning inventory from the South Coast Air Quality Management District. This fuel-based inventory suggests on-road NOx emissions that are 1.5 ± 0.4, 2.8 ± 0.6, and 1.3 ± 0.7 times the reference EMFAC model estimates for on-road gasoline, light- and medium-duty diesel, and heavy-duty diesel, respectively.

Should Transportation Be Transitioned to Ethanol with Carbon Capture and Pipelines or Electricity? A Case Study.

An important issue today is whether gasoline vehicles should be replaced by flex-fuel vehicles (FFVs) that use ethanol-gasoline blends (e.g., E85), where some carbon dioxide (CO2) from ethanol's production is captured and piped, or battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) powered by wind or solar. This paper compares the options in a case study. It evaluates a proposal to capture fermentation CO2 from 34 ethanol refineries in 5 U.S. states and build an elaborate pipeline to transport the CO2 to an underground storage site. This "ethanol plan" is compared with building wind farms at the same cost to provide electricity for BEVs ("wind plan A"). Compared with the ethanol plan, wind plan A may reduce 2.4-4 times the CO2, save drivers in the five states $40-$66 billion (USD 2023) over 30 years even when BEVs initially cost $21,700 more than FFVs, require 1/400,000th the land footprint and 1/10th-1/20th the spacing area, and decrease air pollution. Even building wind to replace coal ("wind plan B") may avoid 1.5-2.5 times the CO2 as the ethanol plan. Thus, ethanol with carbon capture appears to be an opportunity cost that may damage climate and air quality, occupy land, and saddle consumers with high fuel costs for decades.