Herpes Simplex Virus Serotyping in Pregnant Women With a History of Genital Herpes and an Outbreak in the Third Trimester of Pregnancy: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate whether serotyping women with a history of genital herpes simplex virus (HSV) and an outbreak during the third trimester of pregnancy is cost effective compared with no serotyping. METHODS: We designed a decision-analytic model using TreeAge Pro software to assess an approach of routine HSV serotyping in a theoretical cohort of 63,582 women (an estimate of the number of women in the United States with a history of genital HSV and an outbreak during the third trimester of pregnancy). Outcomes included mild, moderate, and severe neonatal HSV, neonatal death, costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for both the woman and neonate. Probabilities, utilities, and costs were derived from the literature, and we used a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the results. RESULTS: In our theoretical cohort, HSV serology screening resulted in 519, 8, and 15 cases of mild, moderate, and severe neonatal HSV, whereas no serology screening resulted in 745, 65, and 85 cases, respectively. Thus, HSV serology screening led to 226, 57, and 70 fewer cases of mild, moderate, and severe neonatal HSV, respectively, as well as 91 fewer neonatal deaths. Additionally, serology screening saved $61 million and gained 7,900 QALYs, making it a dominant strategy. Univariate sensitivity analysis demonstrated that serology screening was cost effective until the chance of progression from neonatal HSV infection to disease despite empiric antiviral treatment was greater than 23%. CONCLUSION: Serology screening in pregnant women with an outbreak in the third trimester of pregnancy and a history of genital HSV resulted in improved outcomes and decreased costs.

Cost analysis of treatment strategies for the control of HSV-2 infection in the U.S.: A mathematical modeling-based case study.

Infection of Herpes Simplex Virus type 2 (HSV-2) is a lifelong sexually transmitted disease. According to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 11.9% of the United States (U.S.) population was infected with HSV-2 in 2015-2016. The HSV-2 pathogen establishes latent infections in neural cells and can reactivate causing lesions later in life, a strategy that increases pathogenicity and allows the virus to evade the immune system. HSV-2 infections are currently treated by Acyclovir only in the non-constitutional stage, marked by genital skin lesions and ulcers. However, patients in the constitutional stage expressing mild and common (with other diseases) symptoms, such as fever, itching and painful urination, remain difficult to detect and are untreated. In this study, we develop and analyze a mathematical model to study the transmission and control of HSV-2 among the U.S. population between the ages of 15-49 when there are options to treat individuals in different stages of their pathogenicity. In particular, the goals of this work are to study the effect on HSV-2 transmission dynamics and to evaluate and compare the cost-effectiveness of treating HSV-2 infections in both constitutional and non-constitutional stages (new strategy) against the current conventional treatment protocol for treating patients in the non-constitutional stage (current strategy). Our results distinguish model parameter regimes where each of the two treatment strategies can optimize the available resources and consequently gives the long-term reduced cost associated with each treatment and incidence. Moreover, we estimated that the public health cost of HSV-2 with the proposed most cost-effective treatment strategy would increase by approximately 1.63% in 4 years of implementation. However, in the same duration, early treatment via the new strategy will reduce HSV-2 incidence by 42.76% yearly and the reproduction number will decrease to 0.84 from its current estimate of 2.5. Thus, the proposed new strategy will be significantly cost-effective in controlling the transmission of HSV-2 if the strategy is properly implemented.

Cash transfers and HIV/HSV-2 prevalence: A replication of a cluster randomized trial in Malawi.

INTRODUCTION: In this paper we perform a replication analysis of "Effect of a cash transfer programme for schooling on prevalence of HIV and herpes simplex type 2 in Malawi: a cluster randomised trial" by Sarah Baird and others published in "The Lancet" in 2012. The original study was a two-year cluster randomized intervention trial of never married girls aged 13-22 in Malawi. Enumeration areas were randomized to either an intervention involving cash transfer (conditional or unconditional of school enrollment) or control. The study included 1708 Malawian girls, who were enrolled at baseline and had biological testing for HIV and herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) at 18 months. The original findings showed that in the cohort of girls enrolled in school at baseline, the intervention had an effect on school enrollment, sexual outcomes, and HIV and HSV-2 prevalence. However, in the baseline school dropout cohort, the original study showed no intervention effect on HIV and HSV-2 prevalence. METHODS: We performed a replication of the study to investigate the consistency and robustness of key results reported. A pre-specified replication plan was approved and published online. Cleaned data was obtained from the original authors. A pure replication was conducted by reading the methods section and reproducing the results and tables found in the original paper. Robustness of the results were examined with alternative analysis methods in a measurement and estimation analysis (MEA) approach. A theory of change analysis was performed testing a causal pathway, the effect of intervention on HIV awareness, and whether the intervention effect depended on the wealth of the individual. RESULTS: The pure replication found that other than a few minor discrepancies, the original study was well replicated. However, the randomization and sampling weights could not be verified due to the lack of access to raw data and a detailed sample selection plan. Therefore, we are unable to determine how sampling influenced the results, which could be highly dependent on the sample. In MEA it was found that the intervention effect on HIV prevalence in the baseline schoolgirls cohort was somewhat sensitive to model choice, with a non-significant intervention effect for HIV depending on the statistical model used. The intervention effect on HSV-2 prevalence was more robust in terms of statistical significance, however, the odds ratios and confidence intervals differed from the original result by more than 10%. A theory of change analysis showed no effect of intervention on HIV awareness. In a causal pathway analysis, several variables were partial mediators, or potential mediators, indicating that the intervention could be working through its effect on school enrollment or selected sexual behaviors. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of intervention on HIV prevalence in the baseline schoolgirls was sensitive to the model choice; however, HSV-2 prevalence results were confirmed. We recommend that the results from the original published analysis indicating the impact of cash transfers on HIV prevalence be treated with caution.

Financial implications of male circumcision scale-up for the prevention of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections in a sub-Saharan African community.

BACKGROUND: The financial implications of male circumcision (MC) scale-up in sub-Saharan Africa associated with reduced HIV have been evaluated. However, no analysis has incorporated the expected reduction of a comprehensive set of other sexually transmitted infections including human papillomavirus, herpes simplex virus type 2, genital ulcer disease, bacterial vaginosis, and trichomoniasis. METHODS: A Markov model tracked a dynamic population undergoing potential MC scale-up, as individuals experienced MC procedures, procedure-related adverse events, and MC-reduced sexually transmitted infections and accrued any associated costs. Rakai, Uganda, was used as a prototypical rural sub-Saharan African community. Monte Carlo microsimulations evaluated outcomes under 4 alternative scale-up strategies to reach 80% MC coverage among men aged 15 to 49 years, in addition to a baseline strategy defined by current MC rates in central Uganda. Financial outcomes included direct medical expenses only and were evaluated over 5 and 25 years. Costs were discounted to the beginning of each period, coinciding with the start of MC scale-up, and expressed in US $2012. RESULTS: Cost savings from infections averted by MC vary from US $197,531 after 5 years of a scale-up program focusing on adolescent/adult procedures to more than US $13 million after 25 years, under a strategy incorporating increased infant MCs. Over a 5-year period, reduction in HIV contributes to 50% of cost savings, and for 25 years, this contribution rises to nearly 90%. CONCLUSIONS: Sexually transmitted infections other than HIV contribute to cost savings associated with MC scale-up. Previous analyses, focusing exclusively on the financial impact through averted HIV, may have underestimated true cost savings by 10% to 50%.

Utilization and cost of diagnostic methods for sexually transmitted infection screening among insured American youth, 2008.

BACKGROUND: Private sector utilization and cost information on testing for sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in the United States is limited. METHODS: We used current procedural terminology codes for tests for HIV, human papillomavirus (HPV), genital herpes simplex virus type 2, hepatitis B virus, chlamydia, gonorrhea, trichomoniasis, and syphilis. We extracted outpatient claims for persons aged 15 to 24 years in 2008 from the MarketScan database. Utilization was measured as the number of claims per 100,000 enrollees for tests specific to a given infection. We estimated claims rates and average costs by sex, compared these with Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) fees, and estimated the overall total cost of STI testing. RESULTS: The claims rate for HPV was higher than for any other STI (P < 0.001) at 18,085/100,000, whereas that for trichomoniasis was lower than all other STIs (P < 0.001) at 517/100,000. Claims rates for females were higher than for males (P < 0.001) for all STIs. Average costs were as follows: $24 (HIV), $34 (HPV), $29 (hepatitis B virus), $25 (herpes simplex virus type 2), $43 (chlamydia), $42 (gonorrhea), $28 (trichomoniasis), and $24 (syphilis). Costs exceeded CMS fees for 67 of 78 current procedural terminologies by an average of 40%. The estimated total cost for all STIs was $403.1 million for the privately insured population aged 15 to 24 years. CONCLUSIONS: We found that the utilization rates and many test costs varied by sex. Private insurers typically paid more than the CMS fee schedule for testing.

The estimated direct medical cost of selected sexually transmitted infections in the United States, 2008.

BACKGROUND: Millions of cases of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) occur in the United States each year, resulting in substantial medical costs to the nation. Previous estimates of the total direct cost of STIs are quite dated. We present updated direct medical cost estimates of STIs in the United States. METHODS: We assembled recent (i.e., 2002-2011) cost estimates to determine the lifetime cost per case of 8 major STIs (chlamydia, gonorrhea, hepatitis B virus, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), human papillomavirus, genital herpes simplex virus type 2, trichomoniasis and syphilis). The total direct cost for each STI was computed as the product of the number of new or newly diagnosed cases in 2008 and the estimated discounted lifetime cost per case. All costs were adjusted to 2010 US dollars. RESULTS: Results indicated that the total lifetime direct medical cost of the 19.7 million cases of STIs that occurred among persons of all ages in 2008 in the United States was $15.6 (range, $11.0-$20.6) billion. Total costs were as follows: chlamydia ($516.7 [$258.3-$775.0] million), gonorrhea ($162.1 [$81.1-$243.2] million), hepatitis B virus ($50.7 [$41.3-$55.6] million), HIV ($12.6 [$9.5-$15.7] billion), human papillomavirus ($1.7 [$0.8-$2.9] billion), herpes simplex virus type 2 ($540.7 [$270.3-$811.0] million), syphilis ($39.3 [$19.6-$58.9] million), and trichomoniasis ($24.0 [$12.0-$36.0] million). Costs associated with HIV infection accounted for more than 81% of the total cost. Among the nonviral STIs, chlamydia was the most costly infection. CONCLUSIONS: Sexually transmitted infections continue to impose a substantial cost burden on the payers of medical care in the United States. The burden of STIs would be even greater in the absence of STI prevention and control efforts.

Modelling the cost per ulcer treated of incorporating episodic treatment for HSV-2 into the syndromic algorithm for genital ulcer disease.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of genital ulcer disease (GUD) due to herpes simplex virus type-2 (HSV-2) has increased in sub-Saharan Africa. The most recent 2003 WHO syndromic GUD algorithm includes antiviral treatment for HSV-2 for anyone with "typical" symptoms/signs, and suggests that all GUD patients receive treatment for HSV-2 in settings where HSV-2 GUD aetiology is greater than 30%. The previous algorithm (1994) only targeted Haemophilus ducreyi (HD) and Treponema pallidum (TP). METHODS: A static deterministic model was used to compare the cost per ulcer treated of using the 1994 and 2003 algorithms amongst individuals presenting with GUD, with sensitivity analyses for different economic and epidemiological scenarios. RESULTS: Except when the proportion of ulcers due to HD/TP (defined as ulcer prevalence) is high (>40%), and HSV-2 ulcer prevalence is low (<30%), the 2003 algorithm should result in more patients receiving the correct treatment (correct drugs for the syndrome) than the 1994 algorithm, and it will cost less per ulcer treated if HSV-2 treatment costs less than US$2. Greatest impact in terms of ulcers treated is achieved with the 2003 algorithm if HSV-2 treatment is given to all GUD patients. The incremental and/or relative cost per ulcer treated of doing this, compared to only treating those with typical symptoms/signs, is reduced if the HSV-2 ulcer prevalence is high and/or the HSV-2 treatment cost or sensitivity of HSV-2 ulcer diagnosis (using symptoms/signs) is low. CONCLUSIONS: In certain scenarios, including HSV-2 treatment can increase the number of ulcers treated and reduce the cost per ulcer treated of GUD syndromic management.

Acyclovir prophylaxis for pregnant women with a known history of herpes simplex virus: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Previous literature has shown acyclovir to be cost-effective as prophylaxis for women with genital symptomatic herpes simplex virus infection recurrence during pregnancy. We extend this analysis by adding quality-adjusted life year measurements and considering women with a diagnosed history of herpes simplex virus infection but without recurrence in pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: A decision analytic model was designed that compared acyclovir prophylaxis versus no acyclovir for women with a history of diagnosed genital herpes simplex virus infection but without recurrence in pregnancy. Sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo simulations were performed to test for robustness. RESULTS: We found that 22,286 women must be treated to prevent 1 neonatal death, 8985 women to prevent 1 affected child, and 177 women to prevent 1 cesarean delivery. As compared with no acyclovir, acyclovir prophylaxis at 36 weeks of gestation saves approximately dollar 20 per person and increases total quality-adjusted life years by 0.01. In univariate sensitivity analysis, this result was robust to all reasonable probability and quality-adjusted life year estimates. Monte Carlo simulation demonstrated acyclovir to be cost-effective 100% of the time and cost saving >99% of the time. CONCLUSION: Acyclovir prophylaxis versus no treatment for pregnant women with a diagnosed history of genital herpes simplex virus infection but without recurrence during pregnancy is cost-effective over a wide range of assumptions.

Cost-effectiveness of herpes simplex virus type 2 serologic testing and antiviral therapy in pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether serologic testing for herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) in pregnant women and their partners is cost-effective. STUDY DESIGN: A decision analysis model was developed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of providing type-specific serologic testing at week 15 of pregnancy for all women unaware of their HSV-2 status, and offering antiviral suppressive therapy from week 36 until delivery to all seropositive women. This scenario was compared with current care, in which only a minority of women diagnosed with genital herpes (GH) receives antiviral suppressive therapy (AST). In a third scenario, testing is offered to partners of pregnant women who test seronegative, and antiviral suppressive therapy is offered to the partners who test seropositive. RESULTS: Compared with current care, offering testing and antiviral suppressive therapy to 100,000 pregnant women resulted in an incremental cost of $3.1 million, 15.7 fewer cases of neonatal herpes, 186 fewer cesarean deliveries, and an incremental cost per quality-adjusted life- year gained (QALY) of $18,680. Offering testing and suppressive therapy to both the pregnant women and their partners resulted in an increased cost of $8.6 million, 16.8 fewer cases of neonatal herpes, 192 fewer cesarean deliveries, and an incremental cost per QALY of $48,946 compared with no testing. CONCLUSION: Compared with commonly accepted benchmarks for cost-effectiveness (<$50,000/QALY), type-specific HSV-2 serologic testing of pregnant women may be a cost-effective strategy.

Estimating the costs and benefits of screening monogamous, heterosexual couples for unrecognised infection with herpes simplex virus type 2.

OBJECTIVES: Herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) is the most common cause of ulcerative genital disease in the United States, but infection is commonly unrecognised. Serological screening tests could identify discordantly infected couples and permit targeted interventions to limit HSV-2 transmission. Our objective was to evaluate the projected cost effectiveness of strategies to prevent HSV-2 transmission in couples with no history of HSV-2 infection. METHODS: We created a mathematical model to simulate the natural history and costs of HSV-2 transmission, and the expected impact of HSV-2 prevention strategies in monogamous, heterosexual couples. Strategies evaluated included (i) no screening; (ii) universal condom use; and (iii) serological screening for HSV-2 with condom use targeted to discordant couples. Screening tests considered included western blot (WB), ELISA, and ELISA with confirmation of positive test results using WB (ELISA-->WB). RESULTS: Compared to no screening, the use of ELISA-->WB prevented 38 future infections per 1000 couples, with a cost effectiveness ratio of $8200 per infection averted. The use of WB in all couples had an incremental cost effectiveness ratio of $63 600 per infection averted. Strategies of ELISA alone and universal condom use were not cost effective. The cost effectiveness of ELISA-->WB improved with increasing prevalence of HSV-2, but worsened with decreasing condom compliance. Screening with ELISA alone was a reasonable strategy only when ELISA specificity increased to 99%. CONCLUSIONS: Serological screening for unrecognised HSV-2 infection in monogamous, heterosexual couples is expected to decrease the incidence of HSV-2 infection, but increase healthcare costs. For couples choosing to be screened, a two step testing strategy (ELISA-->WB) is recommended. Recommendations for a national policy to conduct serological screening will depend on the value placed on averting an incident HSV-2 infection.

The potential role of suppressive therapy for sex partners in the prevention of neonatal herpes: a health economic analysis.

BACKGROUND: The development of suppressive therapy and type specific tests for herpes infections allow for screening to reduce the risk of neonatal herpes. OBJECTIVES: To assess the potential effectiveness, cost effectiveness, and benefit of suppressive therapy among herpes simplex virus serodiscordant sex partners during pregnancy. METHODS: Decision and economic analyses are used to compare the incidence and costs of neonatal herpes in California (2000) for three interventions: (1) no management; (2) current guidelines (caesarean delivery for women with lesions); (3) screening for women at risk and use of suppressive treatment in sex partners. RESULTS: Screening and suppressive therapy are the most effective interventions, while current guidelines have limited effectiveness, but the latter provide the most cost effective results. CONCLUSIONS: While current guidelines are cost saving, they forgo a potential 82% decrease in neonatal herpes incidence that would be possible with screening and suppressive therapy if society were willing to pay the necessary US$363 000 per case prevented. To evaluate HSV screening and drug therapy completely, clinical trials and an economic assessment of infant mortality "value" to society are required.

Projection of the future dimensions and costs of the genital herpes simplex type 2 epidemic in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Infection with herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) currently affects approximately 22% of adult Americans and increased markedly in prevalence between the late 1970s and early 1990s. Although some estimates of the costs of prevalent disease due to HSV-2 are available, selection of interventions to prevent HSV-2 infection, as well as evaluation of their potential cost-effectiveness, should take into account projected future costs that will result if the epidemic is left unchecked. GOAL: The goal was to estimate the future health and economic consequences attributable to the HSV-2 epidemic in the absence of interventions to slow the epidemic. STUDY DESIGN: A mathematical model was constructed to project future increases in HSV-2 seroprevalence in the United States. The probability of heterosexual transmission of HSV-2 was estimated from cross-sectional estimates of infection prevalence reported by the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Per-infection expected costs were calculated on the basis of data obtained from the published medical literature. RESULTS Without intervention, the prevalence of HSV-2 infection among individuals aged 15 to 39 years was projected to increase to 39% among men and 49% among women by 2025. Annual incidence was projected to increase steadily between 2000 and 2025, from 9 to 26 infections per 1,000 men and from 12 to 32 infections per 1,000 women in this age group. The cost of incident infections in the year 2000 were estimated to be $1.8 billion; the cost of incident infections was predicted to rise to $2.5 billion by 2015 and $2.7 billion by 2025. The projected cumulative cost of incident HSV-2 infections occurring over the next 25 years was estimated to be $61 billion; at a 3% discount rate, this sum has a present value of $43 billion. CONCLUSION: The costs of incident HSV-2 infection in the United States are substantial and can be expected to increase as both the incidence and prevalence of this disease increase in the first half of the century. The level of resource allocation for HSV-2 prevention strategies should reflect the economic benefits that would result from control of this epidemic.

Patient and physician partnerships in managing genital herpes.

Genital herpes simplex virus infections are widespread throughout the world and are characterized by stigma, myth, and anxiety by patients and the public but are perceived as trivial by most physicians. Surveys in the United States, Europe, Australia, and South Africa have measured the unfavorable effect of genital herpes on infected patients, health care resources, and workplace productivity. These surveys identified limited satisfaction of patients with current care and support (41% satisfied), although satisfaction scores were greater for patients receiving suppressive antiviral therapy (56% satisfied). Bridging the gap between patients and physicians is vital for improving the management of genital herpes. Key to facilitating patient-physician partnerships is education and recognition by physicians that patients with genital herpes may have expert knowledge. In effective partnerships, physicians and patients can have informed constructive discussions such that patients share in the responsibility for managing their disease and in therapeutic decision making.

Debate: the argument against. Should every STD clinic patient be considered for type-specific serological screening for HSV?

While initially attractive, the idea that all individuals attending sexually transmitted disease or genitourinary medicine clinics should be offered type-specific screening for herpes simplex virus may be impractical, and even undesirable, for a number of reasons. These include the lack of a cost-effective and sufficiently specific and sensitive screening test, the absence of an intervention that benefits the health of the individual or reduces the risk of onward transmission and, not least, the psychological, social and sexual sequelae of an unexpectedly positive result.

The estimated economic burden of genital herpes in the United States. An analysis using two costing approaches.

BACKGROUND: Only limited data exist on the costs of genital herpes (GH) in the USA. We estimated the economic burden of GH in the USA using two different costing approaches. METHODS: The first approach was a cross-sectional survey of a sample of primary and secondary care physicians, analyzing health care resource utilization. The second approach was based on the analysis of a large administrative claims data set. Both approaches were used to generate the number of patients with symptomatic GH seeking medical treatment, the average medical expenditures and estimated national costs. Costs were valued from a societal and a third party payer's perspective in 1996 US dollars. RESULTS: In the cross-sectional study, based on an estimated 3.1 million symptomatic episodes per year in the USA, the annual direct medical costs were estimated at a maximum of $984 million. Of these costs, 49.7% were caused by drug expenditures, 47.7% by outpatient medical care and 2.6% by hospital costs. Indirect costs accounted for further $214 million. The analysis of 1,565 GH cases from the claims database yielded a minimum national estimate of $283 million direct medical costs. CONCLUSIONS: GH appears to be an important public health problem from the health economic point of view. The observed difference in direct medical costs may be explained with the influence of compliance to treatment and possible undersampling of subpopulations in the claims data set. The present study demonstrates the validity of using different approaches in estimating the economic burden of a specific disease to the health care system.

Sexually transmitted diseases and the increased risk for HIV transmission: implications for cost-effectiveness analyses of sexually transmitted disease prevention interventions.

We estimated the annual number and cost of new HIV infections in the United States attributable to other sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). We used a mathematical model of HIV transmission to estimate the probability that a given STD infection would facilitate HIV transmission from an HIV-infected person to his or her partner and to calculate the number of HIV infections due to these facilitative effects. In 1996, an estimated 5,052 new HIV cases were attributable to the four STDs considered here: chlamydia (3,249 cases), syphilis (1,002 cases), gonorrhea (430 cases), and genital herpes (371 cases). These new HIV cases account for approximately $985 million U.S. in direct HIV treatment costs. The model suggested that syphilis is far more likely than the other STDs (on a per-case basis) to facilitate HIV transmission. This analysis provides a framework for incorporating STD-attributable HIV treatment costs into cost-effectiveness analyses of STD prevention programs.

Medical care expenditures for genital herpes in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Approximately 45 million Americans have serologic evidence of HSV-2 infection and HSV-2 seroprevalence in the United States has increased 30% over the past two decades. Despite rapid increases in HSV-2 prevalence, the last estimate of the U.S. national direct medical cost for genital herpes (GH) was completed in 1985. The objective of this study is to assess the U.S. direct medical expenditures for GH and its complications to assist policy makers in allocating limited STD resources efficiently. METHODS: We estimated the number of GH-related clinical visits and pharmacy claims from several national and state sources, estimated the average direct medical cost per visit from two administrative claims databases, and calculated the U.S. national direct medical costs for GH by applying the average direct medical cost per visit to the number of clinical visits and pharmacy claims. RESULTS: The U.S. national number of GH-related clinical visits was estimated to be 499,655 and there were approximately 2,056,1180 pharmacy claims annually. Of those clinical visits, private office-based physician and public STD clinic visits alone accounted for 89%. The U.S. national direct medical costs were estimated at $166 million annually for 1992-1994, which represents $207 million in 1999 dollars. Of the total cost, medical care accounted for 36% and drug treatment for 64%. CONCLUSIONS: The medical costs of pharmacy claims and office-based physician visits account for the majority of the medical expenditures for GH. Our estimates, based on the best available data on medical expenditure, indicate that GH is a major public health problem with a substantial economic burden.

Acyclovir prophylaxis in late pregnancy to prevent neonatal herpes: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost-effectiveness of oral acyclovir prophylaxis in late pregnancy to the current strategy of cesarean delivery for genital herpes lesions in the prevention of neonatal herpes transmission from mothers with recurrent genital infections. METHODS: Decision analysis was used to evaluate the clinical outcomes and direct costs of a prevention program from the health care payer's perspective. Probabilities were obtained from the literature and experts. Cost data were based on hospital costs and a cohort of herpes-infected neonates. RESULTS: Acyclovir prophylaxis during late pregnancy followed by cesarean delivery for genital lesions at delivery in women with recurrent genital herpes requires 1818 women to follow this strategy to prevent one neonatal infection and 7.4 women to take acyclovir to prevent one outbreak of genital herpes at delivery, at a cost (above no intervention) of over $493,000 per neonatal infection prevented, $1.1 million per neonatal death or disability prevented, and $1444 per maternal outbreak prevented. Cesarean delivery for genital herpes lesions requires 386 women with recurrent herpes to undergo cesareans to prevent one neonatal infection, at a cost of more than $1.3 million per neonatal infection prevented and more than $3 million per neonatal death or disability prevented. If acyclovir is given and herpes lesions still occur, the incremental cost of requiring cesarean delivery for these women over vaginal delivery with culture and follow-up of exposed infants is more than $1.4 million per neonatal infection prevented. CONCLUSION: Oral acyclovir prophylaxis in late pregnancy for women with recurrent genital herpes is more cost-effective than the current strategy of cesarean delivery for all women presenting with genital herpes lesions.