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1.
Am J Reprod Immunol ; 92(1): e13896, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38994889

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent data in nonpregnant individuals suggest a protective effect of influenza vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 infection and its severity. OBJECTIVES: Our primary objective was to evaluate whether influenza vaccination was associated with COVID-19 severity and pregnancy and neonatal outcomes among those infected with SARS-CoV-2. The secondary objective was to examine the association between influenza vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a multicenter retrospective cohort of pregnant people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between March and August 2020, and a cohort of random deliveries during the same time period. The associations between 2019 influenza vaccination and the primary outcome of moderate-to-critical COVID-19 as well as maternal and perinatal outcomes were examined among all people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between March and August 2020. The association between 2019 influenza vaccination and having a positive SARS-CoV-2 test was examined among a cohort of individuals who delivered on randomly selected dates between March and August 2020. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed. RESULTS: Of 2325 people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 1068 (45.9%) were vaccinated against influenza in 2019. Those who received the influenza vaccine were older, leaner, more likely to have private insurance, and identify as White or Hispanic. They were less likely to smoke tobacco and identify as Black. Overall, 419 (18.0%) had moderate, 193 (8.3%) severe, and 52 (2.2%) critical COVID-19. There was no association between influenza vaccination and moderate-to-critical COVID-19 (29.2% vs. 28.0%, adjusted OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.90-1.34) or adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes among those who tested positive. Of 8152 people who delivered in 2020, 4658 (57.1%) received the influenza vaccine. Prior vaccination was not associated with a difference in the odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection (3.8% vs. 4.2%, adjusted OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.74-1.19). CONCLUSION: Prior influenza vaccination was not associated with decreased severity of COVID-19 or lower odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnancy.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination , Humans , Female , Pregnancy , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , Influenza Vaccines/immunology , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Adult , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology , Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Pregnancy Outcome , Infant, Newborn , Young Adult , Severity of Illness Index
4.
Emerg Microbes Infect ; 13(1): 2368202, 2024 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38970562

ABSTRACT

Influenza A viruses (IAV) impose significant respiratory disease burdens in both swine and humans worldwide, with frequent human-to-swine transmission driving viral evolution in pigs and highlighting the risk at the animal-human interface. Therefore, a comprehensive One Health approach (interconnection among human, animal, and environmental health) is needed for IAV prevention, control, and response. Animal influenza genomic surveillance remains limited in many Latin American countries, including Colombia. To address this gap, we genetically characterized 170 swine specimens from Colombia (2011-2017). Whole genome sequencing revealed a predominance of pandemic-like H1N1 lineage, with a minority belonging to H3N2 and H1N2 human seasonal-like lineage and H1N1 early classical swine lineages. Significantly, we have identified reassortant and recombinant viruses (H3N2, H1N1) not previously reported in Colombia. This suggests a broad genotypic viral diversity, likely resulting from reassortment between classical endemic viruses and new introductions established in Colombia's swine population (e.g. the 2009 H1N1 pandemic). Our study highlights the importance of a One Health approach in disease control, particularly in an ecosystem where humans are a main source of IAV to swine populations, and emphasizes the need for continued surveillance and enhanced biosecurity measures. The co-circulation of multiple subtypes in regions with high swine density facilitates viral exchange, underscoring the importance of monitoring viral evolution to inform vaccine selection and public health policies locally and globally.


Subject(s)
Evolution, Molecular , Genetic Variation , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Orthomyxoviridae Infections , Phylogeny , Swine Diseases , Animals , Swine , Colombia/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/veterinary , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Swine Diseases/virology , Swine Diseases/epidemiology , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/classification , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/classification , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , One Health , Humans , Influenza A virus/genetics , Influenza A virus/classification , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Whole Genome Sequencing , Genome, Viral , Epidemiological Monitoring , Reassortant Viruses/genetics , Reassortant Viruses/classification , Reassortant Viruses/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H1N2 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H1N2 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H1N2 Subtype/classification , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology
6.
Environ Microbiol Rep ; 16(4): e13303, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38982659

ABSTRACT

The development of effective methods for the surveillance of seasonal respiratory viruses is required for the timely management of outbreaks. We aimed to survey Influenza-A, Influenza-B, RSV-A, Rhinovirus and SARS-CoV-2 surveillance in a tertiary hospital and a campus over 5 months. The effectiveness of air screening as an early warning system for respiratory viruses was evaluated in correlation with respiratory tract panel test results. The overall viral positivity was higher on the campus than in the hospital (55.0% vs. 38.0%). Influenza A was the most prevalent pathogen in both locations. There were two influenza peaks (42nd and 49th weeks) in the hospital air, and a delayed peak was detected on campus in the 1st-week of January. Panel tests indicated a high rate of Influenza A in late December. RSV-A-positivity was higher on the campus than the hospital (21.6% vs. 7.4%). Moreover, we detected two RSV-A peaks in the campus air (48th and 51st weeks) but only one peak in the hospital and panel tests (week 49). Although rhinovirus was the most common pathogen in panel tests, rhinovirus positivity was low in air samples. The air screening for Influenza-B and SARS-Cov-2 revealed comparable positivity rates with panel tests. Air screening can be integrated into surveillance programs to support infection control programs for potential epidemics of respiratory virus infections except for rhinoviruses.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Rhinovirus , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Rhinovirus/isolation & purification , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/virology , Aerosols/analysis , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/diagnosis , Air Microbiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Air Pollution, Indoor/analysis , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Seasons , Epidemics , Environmental Monitoring/methods , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Viruses/isolation & purification , Viruses/classification , Viruses/genetics
7.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 15563, 2024 Jul 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38971866

ABSTRACT

Influenza viruses are responsible for a high number of infections and hospitalizations every year. In this study, we aimed to identify clinical and host-specific factors that influence the duration of hospitalization and the progression to acute respiratory failure (ARF) in influenza. We performed an analysis of data from a prospective active influenza surveillance study that was conducted over five seasons (2018/19 to 2022/23). A total of 1402 patients with influenza were included in the analysis, the majority of which (64.5%) were children (under 18 years), and 9.1% were elderly. At least one chronic condition was present in 29.2% of patients, and 9.9% of patients developed ARF. The median hospital stay was 4 days (IQR: 3, 6 days). The most important predictors of prolonged hospital stay and development of ARF were extremes of age (infants and elderly), presence of chronic diseases, particularly the cumulus of at least 3 chronic diseases, and late presentation to hospital. Among the chronic diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes, obesity, and chronic kidney disease were strongly associated with a longer duration of hospitalization and occurrence of ARF. In this context, interventions aimed at chronic disease management, promoting influenza vaccination, and improving awareness and access to health services may contribute to reducing the impact of influenza not only in Romania but globally. In addition, continued monitoring of the circulation of influenza viruses is essential to limit their spread among vulnerable populations.


Subject(s)
Comorbidity , Hospitalization , Influenza, Human , Length of Stay , Respiratory Insufficiency , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/complications , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Infant , Young Adult , Respiratory Insufficiency/epidemiology , Prospective Studies , Age Factors , Acute Disease , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors
8.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 103(29): e39032, 2024 Jul 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39029002

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to compare the 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular adverse outcomes of patients with influenza with and without preexisting cardiovascular disease (preCVD) treated with oral antiviral agents in the outpatient clinic. Oral antiviral agents are routinely prescribed to treat influenza infection with a positive rapid-antigen test in the outpatient clinic; however, influenza-associated cardio-cerebrovascular outcomes have not yet been characterized in patients with preCVD treated with oral antiviral agents. Data between 2006 and 2016 were extracted from the National Health Database of South Korea. A total of 865,522 patients with influenza treated with oral antiviral agents were selected in South Korea and classified as preexisting ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), or atrial fibrillation (AF), and 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular outcomes were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Among the participants, 96,433 had preCVD (11.1%; mean age, 46 years) including IHD (86.4%), HF (23.1%), and AF (12.5%). The incidence of new-onset IHD, AF, HF, and death was similar between patients with influenza with and without preCVD. The incidences of IHD and stroke were 0.489 and 0.047 per 100-person year in the preCVD group, respectively. The incidence of cardiovascular mortality was 0.489 per 100-person year in the preCVD group, and the hazard ratio for cardiovascular mortality in the preCVD group was not significantly different from that in patients without preCVD. Based on the national health data, 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular adverse outcomes were not significantly different between patients with and without preCVD treated with oral antiviral agents.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Cardiovascular Diseases , Influenza, Human , Humans , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Influenza, Human/complications , Influenza, Human/mortality , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/administration & dosage , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Adult , Administration, Oral , Aged , Incidence , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Myocardial Ischemia/drug therapy , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Atrial Fibrillation/drug therapy , Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Atrial Fibrillation/complications , Proportional Hazards Models
9.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16655, 2024 Jul 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39030290

ABSTRACT

Intensive care unit-acquired infections are complicating events in critically ill patients. In this study we analyzed the incidence, microbiological patterns, and outcome in patients with COVID-19 versus influenza in the intensive care unit (ICU). We included all adult patients treated with invasive mechanical ventilation due to (1) COVID-19 between January 2020 and March 2022, and (2) influenza between January 2015 and May 2023 at Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Sweden. Of the 480 participants included in the final analysis, 436 had COVID-19. The incidence rates of ICU-acquired infections were 31.6/1000 and 9.9/1000 ICU-days in the COVID-19 and influenza cohorts, respectively. Ventilator-associated lower respiratory tract infections were most common in both groups. In patients with COVID-19, corticosteroid treatment was associated with an increased risk of ICU-acquired infections and with higher 90-day mortality in case of infection. Furthermore, ICU-acquired infection was associated with a prolonged time in the ICU, with more difficult-to-treat gram-negative infections in late versus early ventilator-associated lower respiratory tract infections. Further research is needed to understand how the association between corticosteroid treatment and incidence and outcome of ICU-acquired infections varies across different patient categories.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cross Infection , Influenza, Human , Intensive Care Units , Humans , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/complications , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Incidence , Cross Infection/epidemiology , Sweden/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Respiration, Artificial , Adult , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/adverse effects , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Ventilator-Associated/drug therapy , Critical Illness , Aged, 80 and over
10.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1938, 2024 Jul 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39030529

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Influenza is a contagious respiratory disease posing a huge burden of disease for children around the world. The purpose of this study was to investigate the epidemiologic changes in childhood influenza in Zhengzhou, China, before, during, and after the COVID-19 outbreak. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak and related prevention and control policies on the children's influenza epidemiological trend. METHODS: All influenza report card data from the Children's Hospital Affiliated with Zhengzhou University's Disease Surveillance Reporting Management System were collected and analyzed monthly from January 2018 to December 2023. The period of the study was divided into three phases for comparison: the pre-pandemic period, the pandemic period, and the post-pandemic period. RESULTS: Between January 2018 and December 2023, a total of 82,030 children with influenza were diagnosed at our hospital, including 46,453 males and 35,577 females. A total of 11,833 of them had to be hospitalized for influenza, and 321 of them were brought to the ICU. Influenza showed low-level epidemiologic status during the COVID-19 pandemic, and there was a substantial rise in influenza and a surge in the number of cases after the COVID-19 pandemic period. The year 2023 will had the most influenza cases (40,785). The peak incidence of influenza changes in 2022, from July to October, and in 2023, from February to April and from October to December. During the post-pandemic period, the proportion of new-borns and young children among influenza patients decreased, while the proportion of school-age children increased significantly, and the proportion of influenza patients hospitalized and the proportion of ICU admissions decreased. CONCLUSION: Influenza showed low-level epidemiologic status during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the post-pandemic period, there is a large increase in influenza incidence, with a double peak in influenza incidence. The proportion of school-age children with influenza has also increased. As a result, we recommend that influenza vaccination for key populations, particularly school-age children, be completed by October of each year in Henan Province, and that the government and schools increase education about nonpharmacological influenza prevention approaches.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Humans , China/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Male , Child , Female , Child, Preschool , Infant , Adolescent , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Infant, Newborn , Incidence
11.
Ann Fam Med ; 22(4): 279-287, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39038980

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: COVID-19 is a condition that can lead to other chronic conditions. These conditions are frequently diagnosed in the primary care setting. We used a novel primary care registry to quantify the burden of post-COVID conditions among adult patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis across the United States. METHODS: We used the American Family Cohort, a national primary care registry, to identify study patients. After propensity score matching, we assessed the prevalence of 17 condition categories individually and cumulatively, comparing patients having COVID-19 in 2020-2021 with (1) historical control patients having influenza-like illness in 2018 and (2) contemporaneous control patients seen for wellness or preventive visits in 2020-2021. RESULTS: We identified 28,215 patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis and 235,953 historical control patients with influenza-like illness. The COVID-19 group had higher prevalences of breathing difficulties (4.2% vs 1.9%), type 2 diabetes (12.0% vs 10.2%), fatigue (3.9% vs 2.2%), and sleep disturbances (3.5% vs 2.4%). There were no differences, however, in the postdiagnosis monthly trend in cumulative morbidity between the COVID-19 patients (trend = 0.026; 95% CI, 0.025-0.027) and the patients with influenza-like illness (trend = 0.026; 95% CI, 0.023-0.027). Relative to contemporaneous wellness control patients, COVID-19 patients had higher prevalences of breathing difficulties and type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show a moderate burden of post-COVID conditions in primary care, including breathing difficulties, fatigue, and sleep disturbances. Based on clinical registry data, the prevalence of post-COVID conditions in primary care practices is lower than that reported in subspecialty and hospital settings.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Primary Health Care , Registries , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Male , Female , United States/epidemiology , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Prevalence , Chronic Disease/epidemiology
12.
Chaos ; 34(7)2024 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38949531

ABSTRACT

Higher-order interactions exist widely in mobile populations and are extremely important in spreading epidemics, such as influenza. However, research on high-order interaction modeling of mobile crowds and the propagation dynamics above is still insufficient. Therefore, this study attempts to model and simulate higher-order interactions among mobile populations and explore their impact on epidemic transmission. This study simulated the spread of the epidemic in a spatial high-order network based on agent-based model modeling. It explored its propagation dynamics and the impact of spatial characteristics on it. Meanwhile, we construct state-specific rate equations based on the uniform mixing assumption for further analysis. We found that hysteresis loops are an inherent feature of high-order networks in this space under specific scenarios. The evolution curve roughly presents three different states with the initial value change, showing different levels of the endemic balance of low, medium, and high, respectively. Similarly, network snapshots and parameter diagrams also indicate these three types of equilibrium states. Populations in space naturally form components of different sizes and isolations, and higher initial seeds generate higher-order interactions in this spatial network, leading to higher infection densities. This phenomenon emphasizes the impact of high-order interactions and high-order infection rates in propagation. In addition, crowd density and movement speed act as protective and inhibitory factors for epidemic transmission, respectively, and depending on the degree of movement weaken or enhance the effect of hysteresis loops.


Subject(s)
Epidemics , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/transmission , Computer Simulation
13.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 58(6): 924-930, 2024 Jun 06.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38955743

ABSTRACT

Public health and social measures (PHSMs) are one of the most important measures in the prevention and control of COVID-19 and have also been effective in suppressing the spread of influenza viruses, but their effectiveness has not been fully investigated. This study aimed to review the progress of research on the impact of PHSMs on influenza during the COVID-19 pandemic based on the latest evidence of the effectiveness of various PHSMs in controlling transmission of influenza viruses, to provide scientific evidence for optimizing influenza prevention and control strategies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Pandemics , Public Health , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control
14.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 58(6): 905-909, 2024 Jun 06.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38955740

ABSTRACT

To investigate the status and epidemiological characteristics of respiratory pathogens infections in children with influenza-like illnesses (ILI) in Beijing Children's Hospital from 2022 to 2023. A dual amplification technique was used to detect nucleic acids of seven common respiratory pathogens, including influenza A virus (Flu A), influenza B virus (Flu B), mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), parainfluenza virus (PIV), adenovirus (ADV), and Chlamydia pneumoniae (CP), in outpatient and inpatient children (aged 0-18 years) with influenza-like symptoms who sought medical care at Beijing Children's Hospital, from January 2022 to March 2023. A total of 43 663 children were included in the study, of which 27 903 tested positive for respiratory pathogens with a total detection rate of 63.91%. Flu A had the highest detection rate of 69.93% (27 332/39 084), followed by MP about 13.22% (380/2 875). The total detection rate of RSV, PIV and ADV was 7.69% (131/1 704). Flu B had a detection rate of 0.16% (64/39 084). No CP was detected in this study. A total of 7 cases of dual infections were detected, with a detection rate of 0.41% (7/1 704). The Chi-square test was used to analyze the differences in detection rates of pathogens among different genders, age groups, and different seasons. Among the seven pathogens, only Flu A had statistically significant differences in gender (χ2=16.712, P<0.001). The detection rates of Flu A and MP showed an increasing trend with age (both P trend<0.001), while the detection rates of RSV and PIV showed a decreasing trend with age (both P trend<0.001). Flu A had its epidemic peak in winter and spring, with detection rates of 61.30% (3 907/6 374) and 77.47% (23 207/29 958) respectively; MP and PIV had higher detection rates in autumn (25.14% and 7.64% respectively); RSV showed a relatively higher detection rate in winter (8.69%); Flu B and ADV had lower detection rates throughout the study period (0.16% and 1.17% respectively). In conclusion, children with ILI in 2022-2023 were mainly infected with a single respiratory pathogen, and occasionally dual pathogen infections were observed. Among them, the detection rate of Flu A was the highest, and only Flu A showed a gender difference in detection rate. As the age of the children patients increased, the detection rate of Flu A and MP showed an increasing trend, while RSV and PIV showed a decreasing trend. The prevalence of Flu A, Flu B, MP, PIV, and RSV were seasonal.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Respiratory Tract Infections , Humans , Child , Child, Preschool , Infant , Adolescent , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Male , Female , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Respiratory Tract Infections/microbiology , Beijing/epidemiology , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Mycoplasma pneumoniae/isolation & purification , Infant, Newborn , Respiratory Syncytial Viruses/isolation & purification , Hospitals, Pediatric , Chlamydophila pneumoniae/isolation & purification , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , China/epidemiology , Adenoviridae/isolation & purification
15.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 5593, 2024 Jul 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38961067

ABSTRACT

Human cases of avian influenza virus (AIV) infections are associated with an age-specific disease burden. As the influenza virus N2 neuraminidase (NA) gene was introduced from avian sources during the 1957 pandemic, we investigate the reactivity of N2 antibodies against A(H9N2) AIVs. Serosurvey of healthy individuals reveal the highest rates of AIV N2 antibodies in individuals aged ≥65 years. Exposure to the 1968 pandemic N2, but not recent N2, protected against A(H9N2) AIV challenge in female mice. In some older adults, infection with contemporary A(H3N2) virus could recall cross-reactive AIV NA antibodies, showing discernable human- or avian-NA type reactivity. Individuals born before 1957 have higher anti-AIV N2 titers compared to those born between 1957 and 1968. The anti-AIV N2 antibodies titers correlate with antibody titers to the 1957 N2, suggesting that exposure to the A(H2N2) virus contribute to this reactivity. These findings underscore the critical role of neuraminidase immunity in zoonotic and pandemic influenza risk assessment.


Subject(s)
Antibodies, Viral , Cross Reactions , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Neuraminidase , Pandemics , Neuraminidase/immunology , Neuraminidase/genetics , Animals , Humans , Antibodies, Viral/immunology , Antibodies, Viral/blood , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/immunology , Female , Cross Reactions/immunology , Mice , Influenza, Human/immunology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Aged , Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype/immunology , Influenza A Virus, H2N2 Subtype/genetics , Male , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/immunology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/veterinary , Birds/virology , Middle Aged , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/immunology , Influenza in Birds/virology , Influenza A Virus, H9N2 Subtype/immunology , Adult , Viral Proteins/immunology , Viral Proteins/genetics
16.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(7): e13352, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39005150

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Global influenza-associated acute respiratory infections contribute to 3-5 million severe illnesses requiring hospitalization annually, with 90% of hospitalizations occurring among children < 5 years in developing countries. In Bangladesh, the inadequate availability of nationally representative, robust estimates of influenza-associated hospitalizations limits allocation of resources for prevention and control measures. METHODS: This study used data from the hospital-based influenza surveillance (HBIS) system in Bangladesh from 2010 to 2019 and healthcare utilization surveys to determine hospital utilization patterns in the catchment area. We estimated annual influenza-associated hospitalization numbers and rates for all age groups in Bangladesh using WHO methods, adjusted for a 6-day-a-week enrollment schedule, selective testing of specimens from children under five, and healthcare-seeking behavior, based on the proportion of symptomatic community participants seeking healthcare within the past week. We then estimated national hospitalization rates by multiplying age-specific hospitalization rates with the corresponding annual national census population. RESULTS: Annual influenza-associated hospitalization rates per 100,000 population for all ages ranged from 31 (95% CI: 27-36) in 2011 to 139 (95% CI: 130-149) in 2019. Children < 5 years old had the highest rates of influenza-associated hospitalization, ranging from 114 (95% CI: 90-138) in 2011 to 529 (95% CI: 481-578) in 2019, followed by adults aged ≥ 65 years with rates ranging from 46 (95% CI: 34-57) in 2012 to 252 (95% CI: 213-292) in 2019. The national hospitalization estimates for all ages during 2010-2019 ranged from 47,891 to 236,380 per year. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of influenza-associated hospitalizations in Bangladesh may be considerable, particularly for young children and older adults. Targeted interventions, such as influenza vaccination for these age groups, should be prioritized and evaluated.


Subject(s)
Hospitalization , Influenza, Human , Humans , Bangladesh/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Child, Preschool , Child , Infant , Adult , Incidence , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Aged , Female , Male , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Infant, Newborn , Aged, 80 and over , Acute Disease/epidemiology
17.
PLoS One ; 19(7): e0307159, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39008489

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic and influenza outbreaks have underscored the critical need for predictive models that can effectively integrate spatial and temporal dynamics to enable accurate epidemic forecasting. Traditional time-series analysis approaches have fallen short in capturing the intricate interplay between these factors. Recent advancements have witnessed the incorporation of graph neural networks and machine learning techniques to bridge this gap, enhancing predictive accuracy and providing novel insights into disease spread mechanisms. Notable endeavors include leveraging human mobility data, employing transfer learning, and integrating advanced models such as Transformers and Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) to improve forecasting performance across diverse geographies for both influenza and COVID-19. However, these models often face challenges related to data quality, model transferability, and potential overfitting, highlighting the necessity for more adaptable and robust approaches. This paper introduces the Graph Attention-based Spatial Temporal (GAST) model, which employs graph attention networks (GATs) to overcome these limitations by providing a nuanced understanding of epidemic dynamics through a sophisticated spatio-temporal analysis framework. Our contributions include the development and validation of the GAST model, demonstrating its superior forecasting capabilities for influenza and COVID-19 spread, with a particular focus on short-term, daily predictions. The model's application to both influenza and COVID-19 datasets showcases its versatility and potential to inform public health interventions across a range of infectious diseases.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza, Human , Spatio-Temporal Analysis , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Neural Networks, Computer , SARS-CoV-2 , Forecasting/methods , Pandemics , Machine Learning , Epidemics
18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39021121

ABSTRACT

Abstract: Annual seasonal influenza epidemics cause substantial disease and economic burden worldwide. During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020 and 2021, influenza activity significantly declined. However, influenza resurged in Australia following the relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, with increased influenza virus circulation in early 2022 coinciding with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 variant wave. Together with other respiratory virus diseases, these disease impacts on the Australian population and healthcare system have re-emphasised the importance of influenza vaccination and control. We aim to provide an overview of the current seasonal influenza vaccination program in Australia and summarise evidence and considerations underpinning potential future immunisation strategies. Influenza causes disproportionately higher morbidity and mortality in young children and older adults. Other populations at elevated risk from influenza include Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, pregnant women, and people with certain underlying medical conditions. All Australians aged ≥ 6 months are recommended to receive influenza vaccine every year. The National Immunisation Program (NIP) provides free vaccine for eligible at-risk populations. While approximately 70% of older adults had received influenza vaccine in 2022, coverage in other age groups remains suboptimal. There are several key unmet needs and challenges, but also potential strategies for enhancing the influenza vaccination program in Australia. Improved monitoring and evaluation, including the use of relevant linked datasets for such purposes, is imperative to better understand variations in coverage and vaccination impact in specific populations. Adoption of evidence-based strategies, such as culturally appropriate resources that consider the characteristics of diverse Australian populations, may also help to achieve higher vaccine coverage rates. Additionally, greater vaccine uptake across the population could be facilitated by expanding the NIP-eligible population where cost-effective, and adopting the use of more effective and different types of vaccines when available.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Immunization Programs , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Humans , Australia/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza Vaccines/adverse effects , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2/immunology , Vaccination/adverse effects , Adult , Female , Child , Aged , Adolescent , Child, Preschool , Infant , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Annual Reports as Topic , Pregnancy , Male
19.
BMJ Open Gastroenterol ; 11(1)2024 Jun 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38897611

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate (1) the UK-wide inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV) uptake in adults with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), (2) the association between vaccination against influenza and IBD flare and (3) the effectiveness of IIV in preventing morbidity and mortality. DESIGN: Data for adults with IBD diagnosed before the 1 September 2018 were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Gold. We calculated the proportion of people vaccinated against seasonal influenza in the 2018-2019 influenza cycle. To investigate vaccine effectiveness, we calculated the propensity score (PS) for vaccination and conducted Cox proportional hazard regression with inverse-probability treatment weighting on PS. We employed self-controlled case series analysis to investigate the association between vaccination and IBD flare. RESULTS: Data for 13 631 people with IBD (50.4% male, mean age 52.9 years) were included. Fifty percent were vaccinated during the influenza cycle, while 32.1% were vaccinated on time, that is, before the seasonal influenza virus circulated in the community. IIV was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (aHR (95% CI): 0.73 (0.55,0.97) but not hospitalisation for pneumonia (aHR (95% CI) 0.52 (0.20-1.37), including in the influenza active period (aHR (95% CI) 0.48 (0.18-1.27)). Administration of the IIV was not associated with IBD flare. CONCLUSION: The uptake of influenza vaccine was low in people with IBD, and the majority were not vaccinated before influenza virus circulated in the community. Vaccination with the IIV was not associated with IBD flare. These findings add to the evidence to promote vaccination against influenza in people with IBD.


Subject(s)
Inflammatory Bowel Diseases , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Vaccines, Inactivated , Humans , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza Vaccines/adverse effects , Male , Female , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/complications , Adult , Vaccines, Inactivated/administration & dosage , Vaccines, Inactivated/adverse effects , Vaccine Efficacy/statistics & numerical data , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Vaccination/adverse effects , Vaccination/methods , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Proportional Hazards Models
20.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(7): 1410-1415, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38916572

ABSTRACT

Since May 2023, a novel combination of neuraminidase mutations, I223V + S247N, has been detected in influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses collected in countries spanning 5 continents, mostly in Europe (67/101). The viruses belong to 2 phylogenetically distinct groups and display ≈13-fold reduced inhibition by oseltamivir while retaining normal susceptibility to other antiviral drugs.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents , Drug Resistance, Viral , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Neuraminidase , Oseltamivir , Phylogeny , Oseltamivir/pharmacology , Oseltamivir/therapeutic use , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/drug effects , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/genetics , Humans , Antiviral Agents/pharmacology , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Neuraminidase/antagonists & inhibitors , Neuraminidase/genetics , Drug Resistance, Viral/genetics , Mutation
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