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1.
Arch. argent. pediatr ; 122(3): e202310130, jun. 2024. tab, graf
Article in English, Spanish | LILACS, BINACIS | ID: biblio-1554608

ABSTRACT

Introducción. Durante 2020 y 2021, la circulación de los virus influenza se mantuvo por debajo de lo esperado en todo el mundo. En Argentina, en el año 2022 observamos una circulación ininterrumpida de influenza todo el año. Nuestros objetivos fueron describir los patrones de circulación y las características clínicas de niños internados con influenza. Población y métodos. Estudio retrospectivo, analítico, observacional. Se incluyeron todos los niños internados en un centro pediátrico con detección del virus influenza durante los años 2019-2022. Resultados. Se internaron 138 pacientes en 4 años; en 2019 se observó una tasa del 4,5/1000 egresos hospitalarios mientras que en 2022, fue del 15,1/1000. En 2020 y 2021 no hubo casos. En el 2019 la mayoría de los casos ocurrieron en invierno, la causa de la internación fue la infección respiratoria aguda baja (IRAB) en el 79 % y se detectó influenza A en el 92 % de los casos. En el 2022, la mayoría de los casos ocurrieron en primavera, el 62 % presentó IRAB y en el 56 % se detectó influenza A. Ambos períodos tuvieron similares frecuencias de vacunación y de comorbilidades. Conclusiones. En el 2022 se registraron más internaciones por influenza, lo que podría corresponder a que se realizaron métodos diagnósticos moleculares, que son más sensibles, y se observó un cambio en la estacionalidad con más casos en primavera. En 2019 predominó influenza A en infecciones del tracto respiratorio inferior, mientras que en el 2022 influenza A y B fueron similares, y hubo más formas extrapulmonares.


Introduction. During 2020 and 2021, the circulation of influenza virus remained below expectations worldwide. In Argentina, in 2022, we observed an uninterrupted circulation of influenza all year round. Our objectives were to describe the circulation patterns and clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with influenza. Population and methods. Retrospective, analytical, observational study. All children with influenza virus admitted to a children's hospital during the 2019­2022 period were included. Results. A total of 138 patients were admitted over 4 years; in 2019, the rate of hospital discharges was 4.5/1000, compared to 15.1/1000 in 2022. No cases were recorded in 2020 and 2021. In 2019, most cases were observed in the winter; in 79%, the cause was acute lower respiratory tract infection (ALRTI); influenza A was detected in 92%. In 2022, most cases occurred in the spring; 62% developed ALRTI; and influenza A was detected in 56%. Similar rates of vaccination and comorbidities were observed in both periods. Conclusions. In 2022, more hospitalizations due to influenza were recorded, which may have correlated with the use of more sensitive molecular diagnostic testing and a change in seasonality, with more cases observed in the spring. In 2019, influenza A predominated in lower respiratory tract infections, while in 2022, cases of influenza A and B were similar, with more extra-pulmonary forms.


Subject(s)
Humans , Child, Preschool , Child , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , Argentina/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Pandemics , Hospitalization , Hospitals
2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 550, 2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38824508

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Influenza A virus infections can occur in multiple species. Eurasian avian-like swine influenza A (H1N1) viruses (EAS-H1N1) are predominant in swine and occasionally infect humans. A Eurasian avian-like swine influenza A (H1N1) virus was isolated from a boy who was suffering from fever; this strain was designated A/Shandong-binzhou/01/2021 (H1N1). The aims of this study were to investigate the characteristics of this virus and to draw attention to the need for surveillance of influenza virus infection in swine and humans. METHODS: Throat-swab specimens were collected and subjected to real-time fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT‒PCR). Positive clinical specimens were inoculated onto Madin-Darby canine kidney (MDCK) cells to isolate the virus, which was confirmed by a haemagglutination assay. Then, whole-genome sequencing was carried out using an Illumina MiSeq platform, and phylogenetic analysis was performed with MEGA X software. RESULTS: RT‒PCR revealed that the throat-swab specimens were positive for EAS-H1N1, and the virus was subsequently successfully isolated from MDCK cells; this strain was named A/Shandong-binzhou/01/2021 (H1N1). Whole-genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis revealed that A/Shandong-binzhou/01/2021 (H1N1) is a novel triple-reassortant EAS-H1N1 lineage that contains gene segments from EAS-H1N1 (HA and NA), triple-reassortant swine influenza H1N2 virus (NS) and A(H1N1) pdm09 viruses (PB2, PB1, PA, NP and MP). CONCLUSIONS: The isolation and analysis of the A/Shandong-binzhou/01/2021 (H1N1) virus provide further evidence that EAS-H1N1 poses a threat to human health, and greater attention should be given to the surveillance of influenza virus infections in swine and humans.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Phylogeny , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/classification , China/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Animals , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Dogs , Madin Darby Canine Kidney Cells , Child , Swine , Whole Genome Sequencing , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/veterinary , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Genome, Viral
3.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e48464, 2024 Jun 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38857068

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic represented a great stimulus for the adoption of telehealth and many initiatives in this field have emerged worldwide. However, despite this massive growth, data addressing the effectiveness of telehealth with respect to clinical outcomes remain scarce. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of the adoption of a structured multilevel telehealth service on hospital admissions during the acute illness course and the mortality of adult patients with flu syndrome in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in two Brazilian cities where a public COVID-19 telehealth service (TeleCOVID-MG) was deployed. TeleCOVID-MG was a structured multilevel telehealth service, including (1) first response and risk stratification through a chatbot software or phone call center, (2) teleconsultations with nurses and medical doctors, and (3) a telemonitoring system. For this analysis, we included data of adult patients registered in the Flu Syndrome notification databases who were diagnosed with flu syndrome between June 1, 2020, and May 31, 2021. The exposed group comprised patients with flu syndrome who used TeleCOVID-MG at least once during the illness course and the control group comprised patients who did not use this telehealth service during the respiratory illness course. Sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and clinical outcomes data were extracted from the Brazilian official databases for flu syndrome, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (due to any respiratory virus), and mortality. Models for the clinical outcomes were estimated by logistic regression. RESULTS: The final study population comprised 82,182 adult patients with a valid registry in the Flu Syndrome notification system. When compared to patients who did not use the service (n=67,689, 82.4%), patients supported by TeleCOVID-MG (n=14,493, 17.6%) had a lower chance of hospitalization during the acute respiratory illness course, even after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics and underlying medical conditions (odds ratio [OR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.94; P=.005). No difference in mortality was observed between groups (OR 0.99, 95% CI 0.86-1.12; P=.83). CONCLUSIONS: A telehealth service applied on a large scale in a limited-resource region to tackle COVID-19 was related to reduced hospitalizations without increasing the mortality rate. Quality health care using inexpensive and readily available telehealth and digital health tools may be delivered in areas with limited resources and should be considered as a potential and valuable health care strategy. The success of a telehealth initiative relies on a partnership between the involved stakeholders to define the roles and responsibilities; set an alignment between the different modalities and levels of health care; and address the usual drawbacks related to the implementation process, such as infrastructure and accessibility issues.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Telemedicine , Humans , COVID-19/mortality , Brazil/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Telemedicine/statistics & numerical data , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Influenza, Human/mortality , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Cohort Studies
4.
Med Sci Monit ; 30: e945315, 2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38822579

ABSTRACT

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus subtypes have been increasingly identified in poultry and wild birds since 2021. Between 2020-2023, 26 countries have reported that the H5N1 virus had infected more than 48 mammalian species. On 1 April 2024, a public health alert was issued in Texas when the first confirmed case of human infection with the H5N1 influenza virus was reported in a dairy worker. Cases of H5N1, clade 2.3.4.4b in dairy cows have been reported in several states in the US but were unexpected, even though H5N1 was previously identified in mammalian species, including cats, dogs, bears, foxes, tigers, coyotes, goats, and seals. On 29 April 2024, almost one month after the first reported cases of H5N1 infection in dairy cows, measures were to be implemented by the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) to prevent the progression of H5N1 viral transmission. This editorial summarizes what is currently known about the epidemiology, transmission, and surveillance of the HPAI virus of the H5N1 subtype in birds, mammals, and dairy cows, and why there are concerns regarding transmission to humans.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype , Influenza in Birds , Influenza, Human , Animals , Cattle , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/pathogenicity , Humans , Influenza in Birds/virology , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/transmission , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Birds/virology , Mammals/virology , Dairying
5.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 12698, 2024 06 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830955

ABSTRACT

In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates regime-shift detection with a mechanistic model to forecast the peak times of seasonal influenza. The key benefit of this approach is its ability to detect regime shifts from non-epidemic to epidemic states, which is particularly beneficial with the year-round presence of non-zero Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) data. This integration allows for the incorporation of external factors that trigger the onset of the influenza season-factors that mechanistic models alone might not adequately capture. Applied to ILI data collected in Korea from 2005 to 2020, our method demonstrated stable peak time predictions for seasonal influenza outbreaks, particularly in years characterized by unusual onset times or epidemic magnitudes.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Influenza, Human , Seasons , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Humans , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Public Health/methods , Forecasting/methods
6.
MSMR ; 31(5): 9-15, 2024 May 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38847656

ABSTRACT

In the last week of September 2023, a surge of influenza-like illness was observed among students of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) Health Service Education and Training Center, where 48 (27 males and 21 females; age in years: mean 33, range 27-41) of 247 military students at the Center presented with respiratory symptoms. Between September 25 and October 10, 2023, all 48 symptomatic students were evaluated with real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction and sequencing for both influenza and SARS-CoV-2. Thirteen (27%) students were found positive for influenza A/H3 only, 6 (13%) for SARS-CoV-2 only, and 4 (8%) were co-infected with influenza A/H3 and SARS-CoV-2. Seventeen influenza A/ H3N2 viruses belonged to the same clade, 3C.2a1b.2a.2a.3a, and 4 SARSCoV-2 sequences belonged to the JE1.1 lineage, indicating a common source outbreak for both. The influenza A/H3N2 circulating virus belonged to a different clade than the vaccine strain for 2023 (3C.2a1b.2a.2a). Only 4 students had received the influenza vaccine for 2023. In response, the AFP Surgeon General issued a memorandum to all military health institutions on October 19, 2023 that mandated influenza vaccination as a prerequisite for enrollment of students at all education and training centers, along with implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions and early notification and testing of students exhibiting influenza-like-illness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Disease Outbreaks , Influenza, Human , Military Personnel , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Philippines/epidemiology , Female , Male , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Adult , COVID-19/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/genetics
7.
Vopr Virusol ; 69(2): 101-118, 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38843017

ABSTRACT

The family Orthomyxoviridae consists of 9 genera, including Alphainfluenza virus, which contains avian influenza viruses. In two subtypes H5 and H7 besides common low-virulent strains, a specific type of highly virulent avian virus have been described to cause more than 60% mortality among domestic birds. These variants of influenza virus are usually referred to as «avian influenza virus¼. The difference between high (HPAI) and low (LPAI) virulent influenza viruses is due to the structure of the arginine-containing proteolytic activation site in the hemagglutinin (HA) protein. The highly virulent avian influenza virus H5 was identified more than 100 years ago and during this time they cause outbreaks among wild and domestic birds on all continents and only a few local episodes of the disease in humans have been identified in XXI century. Currently, a sharp increase in the incidence of highly virulent virus of the H5N1 subtype (clade h2.3.4.4b) has been registered in birds on all continents, accompanied by the transmission of the virus to various species of mammals. The recorded global mortality rate among wild, domestic and agricultural birds from H5 subtype is approaching to the level of 1 billion cases. A dangerous epidemic factor is becoming more frequent outbreaks of avian influenza with high mortality among mammals, in particular seals and marine lions in North and South America, minks and fur-bearing animals in Spain and Finland, domestic and street cats in Poland. H5N1 avian influenza clade h2.3.4.4b strains isolated from mammals have genetic signatures of partial adaptation to the human body in the PB2, NP, HA, NA genes, which play a major role in regulating the aerosol transmission and the host range of the virus. The current situation poses a real threat of pre-adaptation of the virus in mammals as intermediate hosts, followed by the transition of the pre-adapted virus into the human population with catastrophic consequences.


Subject(s)
Birds , Disease Outbreaks , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype , Influenza in Birds , Influenza, Human , Animals , Influenza in Birds/virology , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/transmission , Humans , Birds/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/mortality , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/pathogenicity , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Virulence
8.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 20(1): 2363076, 2024 Dec 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38847280

ABSTRACT

To optimize seasonal influenza control and prevention programs in regions with potentially complicated seasonal patterns. Descriptive epidemiology was used to analyze the etiology of influenza, and chi-square tests were used to compare the epidemic patterns among different influenza virus types and subtypes/lineages. From January 2010 to December 2019, a total of 63,626 ILI cases were reported in Chongqing and 14,136 (22.22%) were laboratory-confirmed influenza cases. The proportions of specimens positive for influenza A and influenza B were 13.32% (8,478/63,626) and 8.86% (5,639/63,626), respectively. The proportion of positive specimens for influenza A reached the highest in winter (23.33%), while the proportion of positive specimens for influenza B reached the highest in spring (11.88%). Children aged 5-14 years old had the highest proportion of positive specimens for influenza. The influenza virus types/subtypes positive was significantly different by seasons and age groups (P<.001), but not by gender (p = .436). The vaccine strains were matched to the circulating influenza virus strains in all other years except for 2018 (vaccine strain was B/Colorado/06/2017; circulating strain was B/Yamagata). The study showed significant variations in epidemic patterns, including seasonal epidemic period and age distributions, among different influenza types, subtypes/lineages in Chongqing. Influenza vaccines matched to the circulating influenza virus strain in nine of the ten years. To prevent and mitigate the influenza outbreaks in this area, high risk population, especially children aged 5-14 years, are encouraged to get vaccinated against influenza before the epidemic seasons.


Subject(s)
Influenza B virus , Influenza, Human , Seasons , Humans , Child , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/virology , China/epidemiology , Adolescent , Child, Preschool , Male , Female , Influenza B virus/classification , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Infant , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Influenza A virus/classification , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Epidemics , Infant, Newborn
9.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 572, 2024 Jun 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38851739

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Every year in Italy, influenza affects about 4 million people. Almost 5% of them are hospitalised. During peak illness, enormous pressure is placed on healthcare and economic systems. This study aims to quantify the clinical and economic burden of severe influenza during 5 epidemic seasons (2014-2019) from administrative claims data. METHODS: Patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of influenza between October 2014, and April 2019, were analyzed. Clinical characteristics and administrative information were retrieved from health-related Administrative Databases (ADs) of 4 Italian Local Health Units (LHUs). The date of first admission was set as the Index Date (ID). A follow-up period of six months after ID was considered to account for complications and re-hospitalizations, while a lookback period (2 years before ID) was set to assess the prevalence of underlying comorbidities. RESULTS: Out of 2,333 patients with severe influenza, 44.1% were adults ≥ 65, and 25.6% young individuals aged 0-17. 46.8% had comorbidities (i.e., were at risk), mainly cardiovascular and metabolic diseases (45.3%), and chronic conditions (24.7%). The highest hospitalization rates were among the elderly (≥ 75) and the young individuals (0-17), and were 37.6 and 19.5/100,000 inhabitants/year, respectively. The average hospital stay was 8 days (IQR: 14 - 4). It was higher for older individuals (≥ 65 years, 11 days, [17 - 6]) and for those with comorbidities (9 days, [16 - 6]), p-value < 0.001. Similarly, mortality was higher in elderly and those at risk (p-value < 0.001). Respiratory complications occurred in 12.7% of patients, and cardiovascular disorders in 5.9%. Total influenza-related costs were €9.7 million with hospitalization accounting for 95% of them. 47.3% of hospitalization costs were associated with individuals ≥ 65 and 52.9% with patients at risk. The average hospitalisation cost per patient was € 4,007. CONCLUSIONS: This retrospective study showed that during the 2014-2019 influenza seasons in Italy, individuals of extreme ages and those with pre-existing medical conditions, were more likely to be hospitalized with severe influenza. Together with complications and ageing, they worsen patient's outcome and may lead to a prolonged hospitalization, thus increasing healthcare utilization and costs. Our data generate real-world evidence on the burden of influenza, useful to inform public health decision-making.


Subject(s)
Hospitalization , Influenza, Human , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/economics , Influenza, Human/mortality , Aged , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Child , Adult , Child, Preschool , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/economics , Infant , Young Adult , Infant, Newborn , Aged, 80 and over , Seasons , Comorbidity , Cost of Illness , Databases, Factual
11.
Respir Res ; 25(1): 234, 2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38840154

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The concurrent circulation of SARS-CoV-2 with other respiratory viruses is unstoppable and represents a new diagnostic reality for clinicians and clinical microbiology laboratories. Multiplexed molecular testing on automated platforms that focus on the simultaneous detection of multiple respiratory viruses in a single tube is a useful approach for current and future diagnosis of respiratory infections in the clinical setting. METHODS: Two time periods were included in the study: from February to April 2022, an early 2022 period, during the gradual lifting of COVID-19 prevention measures in the country, and from October 2022 to April 2023, the 2022/23 respiratory infections season. We analysed a total of 1,918 samples in the first period and 18,131 respiratory samples in the second period using a multiplex molecular assay for the simultaneous detection of Influenza A (Flu-A), Influenza B (Flu-B), Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (HRSV) and SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS: The results from early 2022 showed a strong dominance of SARS-CoV-2 infections with 1,267/1,918 (66.1%) cases. Flu-A was detected in 30/1,918 (1.6%) samples, HRSV in 14/1,918 (0.7%) samples, and Flu-B in 2/1,918 (0.1%) samples. Flu-A/SARS-CoV-2 co-detections were observed in 11/1,267 (0.9%) samples, and HRSV/SARS-CoV-2 co-detection in 5/1,267 (0.4%) samples. During the 2022/23 winter respiratory season, SARS-CoV-2 was detected in 1,738/18,131 (9.6%), Flu-A in 628/18,131 (3.5%), Flu-B in 106/18,131 (0.6%), and HRSV in 505/18,131 (2.8%) samples. Interestingly, co-detections were present to a similar extent as in early 2022. CONCLUSION: The results show that the multiplex molecular approach is a valuable tool for the simultaneous laboratory diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2, Flu-A/B, and HRSV in hospitalized and outpatients. Infections with Flu-A/B, and HRSV occurred shortly after the COVID-19 control measures were lifted, so a strong reoccurrence of various respiratory infections and co-detections in the post COVID-19 period was to be expected.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A virus , Influenza B virus , Influenza, Human , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/diagnosis , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Influenza B virus/genetics , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/diagnosis , Influenza, Human/virology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/isolation & purification , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human/genetics , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Influenza A virus/genetics , Male , Female , Coinfection/epidemiology , Coinfection/diagnosis , Middle Aged , Adult , Molecular Diagnostic Techniques/methods , Seasons , Aged
12.
PeerJ ; 12: e17523, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38846750

ABSTRACT

Background: Influenza A(H3N2) virus evolves continuously. Its hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA) genes have high genetic variation due to the antigenic drift. This study aimed to investigate the characteristics and evolution of HA and NA genes of the influenza A(H3N2) virus in Thailand. Methods: Influenza A positive respiratory samples from 2015 to 2018 were subtyped by multiplex real-time RT-PCR. Full-length HA and NA genes from the positive samples of influenza A(H3N2) were amplified and sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis with the maximum likelihood method was used to investigate the evolution of the virus compared with the WHO-recommended influenza vaccine strain. Homology modeling and N-glycosylation site prediction were also performed. Results: Out of 443 samples, 147 (33.18%) were A(H1N1)pdm09 and 296 (66.82%) were A(H3N2). The A(H3N2) viruses circulating in 2015 were clade 3C.2a whereas sub-clade 3C.2a1 and 3C.2a2 dominated in 2016-2017 and 2018, respectively. Amino acid substitutions were found in all antigenic sites A, B, C, D, and E of HA but the majority of the substitutions were located at antigenic sites A and B. The S245N and N329S substitutions in the NA gene affect the N-glycosylation. None of the mutations associated with resistance to NA inhibitors were observed. Mean evolutionary rates of the HA and NA genes were 3.47 × 10 -3 and 2.98 × 10-3 substitutions per site per year. Conclusion: The influenza A(H3N2) virus is very genetically diverse and is always evolving to evade host defenses. The HA and NA gene features including the evolutionary rate of the influenza A(H3N2) viruses that were circulating in Thailand between 2015 and 2018 are described. This information is useful for monitoring the genetic characteristics and evolution in HA and NA genes of influenza A(H3N2) virus in Thailand which is crucial for predicting the influenza vaccine strains resulting in high vaccine effectiveness.


Subject(s)
Evolution, Molecular , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Neuraminidase , Phylogeny , Thailand/epidemiology , Neuraminidase/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype/genetics , Humans , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Amino Acid Substitution
15.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses ; 18(6): e13304, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38845386

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Influenza may contribute to coronary/cerebrovascular events and exacerbate underlying conditions. METHODS: We used self-controlled case series (SCCS) design to analyze data from US Veterans ≥18 years with coronary/cerebrovascular or exacerbation event +/-1 year of lab-confirmed influenza (LCI) during 2010-2018. We estimated the incidence ratio (IR) (95% CI) of the event for risk interval (Days 1-7 post-LCI) versus control interval (all other times +/-1 year of LCI) with fixed-effects conditional Poisson regression. We included biomarker data for mediation analysis. RESULTS: We identified 3439 episodes with coronary/cerebrovascular-related hospitalizations. IRs (95% CI) for LCI risk versus control interval were STEMI 0.6 (0.1, 4.4), NSTEMI 7.3 (5.8, 9.2), ischemic stroke 4.0 (3.0, 5.4), hemorrhagic stroke 6.2 (3.4, 11.5), and coronary spasm 1.3 (0.5, 3.0). IR significantly increased for NSTEMI and ischemic stroke among those ≥ 65 years. IR for NSTEMI and ischemic stroke dropped 26% and 10%, respectively, when white blood cell (WBC) and platelet count were considered. LCI was significantly associated with exacerbation of preexisting asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and congestive heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: We found significant association between LCI and hospitalization for NSTEMI, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke, the latter possibly due to unaccounted time-varying confounding in SCCS design.


Subject(s)
Influenza, Human , Veterans , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/complications , Veterans/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , United States/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Cerebrovascular Disorders/epidemiology , Incidence , Risk Factors
16.
J Med Virol ; 96(5): e29657, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727035

ABSTRACT

The H1N1pdm09 virus has been a persistent threat to public health since the 2009 pandemic. Particularly, since the relaxation of COVID-19 pandemic mitigation measures, the influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 have been concurrently prevalent worldwide. To determine the antigenic evolution pattern of H1N1pdm09 and develop preventive countermeasures, we collected influenza sequence data and immunological data to establish a new antigenic evolution analysis framework. A machine learning model (XGBoost, accuracy = 0.86, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.89) was constructed using epitopes, physicochemical properties, receptor binding sites, and glycosylation sites as features to predict the antigenic similarity relationships between influenza strains. An antigenic correlation network was constructed, and the Markov clustering algorithm was used to identify antigenic clusters. Subsequently, the antigenic evolution pattern of H1N1pdm09 was analyzed at the global and regional scales across three continents. We found that H1N1pdm09 evolved into around five antigenic clusters between 2009 and 2023 and that their antigenic evolution trajectories were characterized by cocirculation of multiple clusters, low-level persistence of former dominant clusters, and local heterogeneity of cluster circulations. Furthermore, compared with the seasonal H1N1 virus, the potential cluster-transition determining sites of H1N1pdm09 were restricted to epitopes Sa and Sb. This study demonstrated the effectiveness of machine learning methods for characterizing antigenic evolution of viruses, developed a specific model to rapidly identify H1N1pdm09 antigenic variants, and elucidated their evolutionary patterns. Our findings may provide valuable support for the implementation of effective surveillance strategies and targeted prevention efforts to mitigate the impact of H1N1pdm09.


Subject(s)
Antigens, Viral , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/genetics , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/immunology , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/immunology , Antigens, Viral/genetics , Antigens, Viral/immunology , Machine Learning , Evolution, Molecular , Epitopes/genetics , Epitopes/immunology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/virology , COVID-19/immunology , Pandemics/prevention & control , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/genetics , Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/immunology , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/immunology
17.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e40792, 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709551

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A comprehensive description of the combined effect of SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory viruses other than SARS-CoV-2 (ORVs) on acute respiratory infection (ARI) hospitalizations is lacking. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare the viral etiology of ARI hospitalizations before the pandemic (8 prepandemic influenza seasons, 2012-13 to 2019-20) and during 3 pandemic years (periods of increased SARS-CoV-2 and ORV circulation in 2020-21, 2021-22, and 2022-23) from an active hospital-based surveillance network in Quebec, Canada. METHODS: We compared the detection of ORVs and SARS-CoV-2 during 3 pandemic years to that in 8 prepandemic influenza seasons among patients hospitalized with ARI who were tested systematically by the same multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay during periods of intense respiratory virus (RV) circulation. The proportions of infections between prepandemic and pandemic years were compared by using appropriate statistical tests. RESULTS: During prepandemic influenza seasons, overall RV detection was 92.7% (1384/1493) (respiratory syncytial virus [RSV]: 721/1493, 48.3%; coinfections: 456/1493, 30.5%) in children (<18 years) and 62.8% (2723/4339) (influenza: 1742/4339, 40.1%; coinfections: 264/4339, 6.1%) in adults. Overall RV detection in children was lower during pandemic years but increased from 58.6% (17/29) in 2020-21 (all ORVs; coinfections: 7/29, 24.1%) to 90.3% (308/341) in 2021-22 (ORVs: 278/341, 82%; SARS-CoV-2: 30/341, 8.8%; coinfections: 110/341, 32.3%) and 88.9% (361/406) in 2022-23 (ORVs: 339/406, 84%; SARS-CoV-2: 22/406, 5.4%; coinfections: 128/406, 31.5%). In adults, overall RV detection was also lower during pandemic years but increased from 43.7% (333/762) in 2020-21 (ORVs: 26/762, 3.4%; SARS-CoV-2: 307/762, 40.3%; coinfections: 7/762, 0.9%) to 57.8% (731/1265) in 2021-22 (ORVs: 179/1265, 14.2%; SARS-CoV-2: 552/1265, 43.6%; coinfections: 42/1265, 3.3%) and 50.1% (746/1488) in 2022-23 (ORVs: 409/1488, 27.5%; SARS-CoV-2: 337/1488, 22.6%; coinfections: 36/1488, 2.4%). No influenza or RSV was detected in 2020-21; however, their detection increased in the 2 subsequent years but did not reach prepandemic levels. Compared to the prepandemic period, the peaks of RSV hospitalization shifted in 2021-22 (16 weeks earlier) and 2022-23 (15 weeks earlier). Moreover, the peaks of influenza hospitalization shifted in 2021-22 (17 weeks later) and 2022-23 (4 weeks earlier). Age distribution was different compared to the prepandemic period, especially during the first pandemic year. CONCLUSIONS: Significant shifts in viral etiology, seasonality, and age distribution of ARI hospitalizations occurred during the 3 pandemic years. Changes in age distribution observed in our study may reflect modifications in the landscape of circulating RVs and their contribution to ARI hospitalizations. During the pandemic period, SARS-CoV-2 had a low contribution to pediatric ARI hospitalizations, while it was the main contributor to adult ARI hospitalizations during the first 2 seasons and dropped below ORVs during the third pandemic season. Evolving RVs epidemiology underscores the need for increased scrutiny of ARI hospitalization etiology to inform tailored public health recommendations.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hospitalization , Respiratory Tract Infections , Humans , Quebec/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Infections/virology , Child , Adult , Adolescent , Middle Aged , Female , COVID-19/epidemiology , Male , Aged , Child, Preschool , Infant , Young Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Aged, 80 and over , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Infant, Newborn , Pandemics
18.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 10660, 2024 05 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38724525

ABSTRACT

Influenza Like Illness (ILI) and Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) cases are more prone to Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 infection. Accordingly, we genetically characterized Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in 633 ILI and SARI cases by rRT-PCR and WGS. ILI and SARI cases showed H1N1pdm09 prevalence of 20.9% and 23.2% respectively. 135 (21.3%) H1N1pdm09 and 23 (3.6%) H3N2 and 5 coinfection (0.78%) of H1N1pdm09 and SARS-CoV-2 were detected. Phylogenetic analysis revealed H1N1pdm09 resemblance to clade 6B.1A.5a.2 and their genetic relatedness to InfA/Perth/34/2020, InfA/Victoria/88/2020 and InfA/Victoria/2570/2019. Pan 24 HA and 26 NA nonsynonymous mutations and novel HA (G6D, Y7F, Y78H, P212L, G339R, T508K and S523T) and NA (S229A) mutations were observed. S74R, N129D, N156K, S162N, K163Q and S164T alter HA Cb and Sa antibody recognizing site. Similarly, M19T, V13T substitution and multiple mutations in transmembrane and NA head domain drive antigenic drift. SARS-CoV-2 strains genetically characterized to Omicron BA.2.75 lineage containing thirty nonsynonymous spike mutations exhibited enhanced virulence and transmission rates. Coinfection although detected very minimal, the mutational changes in H1N1pdm09 and SARS-CoV-2 virus infected individuals could alter antibody receptor binding sites, allowing the viruses to escape immune response resulting in better adaptability and transmission. Thus continuous genomic surveillance is required to tackle any future outbreak.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human , Phylogeny , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Influenza, Human/virology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Adult , Middle Aged , Male , Female , Adolescent , Young Adult , Genome, Viral/genetics , Aged , Coinfection/virology , Coinfection/epidemiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/virology , Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome/epidemiology , Mutation , Infant
19.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1222, 2024 May 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38702667

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza epidemics have a substantial public health and economic burden, which can be alleviated through vaccination. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a 75% vaccination coverage rate (VCR) in: older adults (aged ≥ 65 years), individuals with chronic conditions, pregnant women, children aged 6-24 months and healthcare workers. However, no European country achieves this target in all risk groups. In this study, potential public health and economic benefits achieved by reaching 75% influenza VCR was estimated in risk groups across four European countries: France, Italy, Spain, and the UK. METHODS: A static epidemiological model was used to estimate the averted public health and economic burden of increasing the 2021/2022 season VCR to 75%, using the efficacy data of standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine. For each country and risk group, the most recent data on population size, VCR, pre-pandemic influenza epidemiology, direct medical costs and absenteeism were identified through a systematic literature review, supplemented by manual searching. Outcomes were: averted influenza cases, general practitioner (GP) visits, hospitalisations, case fatalities, number of days of work lost, direct medical costs and absenteeism-related costs. RESULTS: As of the 2021/2022 season, the UK achieved the highest weighted VCR across risk groups (65%), followed by Spain (47%), France (44%) and Italy (44%). Based on modelling, the 2021/2022 VCR prevented an estimated 1.9 million influenza cases, avoiding 375,200 GP visits, 73,200 hospitalisations and 38,400 deaths. To achieve the WHO 75% VCR target, an additional 24 million at-risk individuals would need to be vaccinated, most of which being older adults and patients with chronic conditions. It was estimated that this could avoid a further 918,200 influenza cases, 332,000 GP visits, 16,300 hospitalisations and 6,300 deaths across the four countries, with older adults accounting for 52% of hospitalisations and 80% of deaths. An additional €84 million in direct medical costs and €79 million in absenteeism costs would be saved in total, with most economic benefits delivered in France. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults represent most vaccine-preventable influenza cases and deaths, followed by individuals with chronic conditions. Health authorities should prioritise vaccinating these populations for maximum public health and economic benefits.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Public Health , Humans , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/economics , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza Vaccines/economics , Aged , Female , Public Health/economics , Adult , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Spain/epidemiology , Italy/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Child, Preschool , France/epidemiology , Male , Seasons , Adolescent , Infant , Europe/epidemiology , Young Adult , Child , Pregnancy , Vaccination/economics , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Vaccination Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Vaccination Coverage/economics
20.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3763, 2024 May 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38704386

ABSTRACT

Under long-standing threat of seasonal influenza outbreaks, it remains imperative to understand the drivers of influenza dynamics which can guide mitigation measures. While the role of absolute humidity and temperature is extensively studied, the possibility of ambient ozone (O3) as an environmental driver of influenza has received scant attention. Here, using state-level data in the USA during 2010-2015, we examined such research hypothesis. For rigorous causal inference by evidence triangulation, we applied 3 distinct methods for data analysis: Convergent Cross Mapping from state-space reconstruction theory, Peter-Clark-momentary-conditional-independence plus as graphical modeling algorithms, and regression-based Generalised Linear Model. The negative impact of ambient O3 on influenza activity at 1-week lag is consistently demonstrated by those 3 methods. With O3 commonly known as air pollutant, the novel findings here on the inhibition effect of O3 on influenza activity warrant further investigations to inform environmental management and public health protection.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Influenza, Human , Ozone , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/transmission , Influenza, Human/virology , United States/epidemiology , Seasons , Disease Outbreaks , Algorithms
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