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1.
Environ Res ; 170: 178-186, 2019 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30583127

ABSTRACT

Preterm birth (PTB) is a predictor of infant mortality and later-life morbidity. Despite recent declines, PTB rates remain high in the United States. Growing research suggests a possible relationship between a mother's exposure to common air pollutants, including fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and PTB of her baby. Many policy actions to reduce exposure to common air pollutants require benefit-cost analysis (BCA), and it's possible that PTB will need to be included in BCA in the future. However, an estimate of the willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid PTB risk is not available, and a comprehensive alternative valuation of the health benefits of reducing pollutant-related PTB currently does not exist. This paper demonstrates an approach to assess potential economic benefits of reducing PTB resulting from environmental exposures when an estimate of WTP to avoid PTB risk is unavailable. We utilized a recent meta-analysis, county-level air quality data and county-level PTB prevalence data to estimate the potential health and economic benefits of a reduction in air pollution-related PTB, with PM2.5 as our case study pollutant. Using this method, a simulated nationwide 10% decrease from 2008 PM2.5 levels resulted in an estimated reduction of 5016 PTBs and benefits of at least $339 million, potentially reaching over one billion dollars when considering later-life effects of PTB.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Maternal Exposure/prevention & control , Particulate Matter , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Environmental Exposure , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Maternal Exposure/economics , Maternal Exposure/statistics & numerical data , Pregnancy , United States
2.
Int J Hyg Environ Health ; 221(2): 269-275, 2018 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29175300

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: In utero exposure to perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) has been associated with decreases in birth weight. We aimed to estimate the proportion of PFOA-attributable low birth weight (LBW) births and associated costs in the US from 2003 to 2014, a period during which there were industry-initiated and regulatory activities aimed at reducing exposure. METHODS: Serum PFOA levels among women 18-49 years were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) for 2003-2014; birth weight distributions were obtained from the Vital Statistics Natality Birth Data. The exposure-response relationship identified in a previous meta-analysis (18.9g decrease in birth weight per 1ng/mL of PFOA) was applied to quantify PFOA-attributable LBW (reference level of 3.1ng/mL for our base case, 1 and 3.9ng/mL for sensitivity analyses). Hospitalization costs and lost economic productivity were also estimated. RESULTS: Serum PFOA levels remained approximately constant from 2003-2004 (median: 3.3ng/mL) to 2007-2008 (3.5ng/mL), and declined from 2009-2010 (2.8ng/mL) to 2013-2014 (1.6ng/mL). In 2003-2004, an estimated 12,764 LBW cases (4% of total for those years) were potentially preventable if PFOA exposure were reduced to the base case reference level (10,203 cases in 2009-2010 and 1,491 in 2013-2014). The total cost of PFOA-attributable LBW for 2003 through 2014 was estimated at $13.7 billion, with $2.97 billion in 2003-2004, $2.4 billion in 2009-2010 and $347 million in 2013-2014. CONCLUSIONS: Serum PFOA levels began to decline in women of childbearing age in 2009-2010. Declines were of a magnitude expected to meaningfully reduce the estimated incidence of PFOA-attributable LBW and associated costs.


Subject(s)
Caprylates/toxicity , Fluorocarbons/toxicity , Infant, Low Birth Weight , Maternal Exposure/economics , Caprylates/blood , Costs and Cost Analysis , Female , Fluorocarbons/blood , Humans , Models, Theoretical , Pregnancy , United States
3.
Environ Health Perspect ; 123(12): 1337-44, 2015 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26024213

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The assessment of neurodevelopmental effects in children associated with prenatal methylmercury exposure, from contaminated fish and seafood in the maternal diet, has recently been strengthened by adjustment for the negative confounding resulting from co-exposure to beneficial polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of a periconceptional screening program of blood mercury concentration for women planning to become pregnant in Ontario, Canada. Fish intake recommendations would be provided for those found to have blood mercury levels above the intervention threshold. METHODS: Analysis was conducted using a combined decision tree/Markov model to compare the proposed screening intervention with standard care from a societal perspective over a lifetime horizon. We used the national blood mercury distributions of women 20-49 years of age reported in the Canadian Health Measures Survey from 2009 through 2011 to determine the cognitive deficits associated with prenatal methylmercury exposure for successful planned pregnancies. Outcomes modeled included the loss in quality of life and the remedial education costs. Value of information analysis was conducted to assess the underlying uncertainty around the model results and to identify which parameters contribute most to this uncertainty. RESULTS: The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for the proposed screening intervention was estimated to be Can$18,051, and the expected value for a willingness to pay of Can$50,000/QALY to be Can$0.61. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the proposed periconceptional blood mercury screening program for women planning a pregnancy would be highly cost-effective from a societal perspective. The results of a value of information analysis confirm the robustness of the study's conclusions.


Subject(s)
Mass Screening/economics , Maternal Exposure/economics , Methylmercury Compounds/blood , Prenatal Exposure Delayed Effects/economics , Adult , Cognition Disorders/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Humans , Markov Chains , Maternal-Fetal Exchange , Methylmercury Compounds/toxicity , Middle Aged , Ontario , Pregnancy , Quality of Life , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Remedial Teaching/economics , Uncertainty
4.
Birth Defects Res A Clin Mol Teratol ; 100(11): 822-5, 2014 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25045059

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: According to the 2014 Surgeon General's Report, smoking in early pregnancy can cause orofacial clefts. We sought to examine the implications of this causal link for the potential prevention of orofacial clefts in the United States. METHODS: Using published data on the strength of the association between orofacial clefts and smoking in early pregnancy and the prevalence of smoking at the start of pregnancy, we estimated the attributable fraction for smoking as a cause of orofacial clefts. We then used the prevalence of orofacial clefts in the United States to estimate the number of orofacial clefts that could be prevented in the United States each year by eliminating exposure to smoking during early pregnancy. We also estimated the financial impact of preventing orofacial clefts caused by maternal smoking based on a published estimate of attributable healthcare costs through age 10 for orofacial clefts. RESULTS: The estimated attributable fraction of orofacial clefts caused by smoking in early pregnancy was 6.1% (95% uncertainty interval 4.4%, 7.7%). Complete elimination of smoking in early pregnancy could prevent orofacial clefts in approximately 430 infants per year in the United States, and could save an estimated $40.4 million in discounted healthcare costs through age 10 for each birth cohort. CONCLUSION: Understanding the magnitude of the preventable burden of orofacial clefts related to maternal smoking could help focus smoking cessation efforts on women who might become pregnant.


Subject(s)
Cleft Lip/prevention & control , Cleft Palate/prevention & control , Maternal Exposure/prevention & control , Models, Statistical , Smoking Cessation/economics , Smoking Prevention , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Cleft Lip/economics , Cleft Lip/epidemiology , Cleft Lip/etiology , Cleft Palate/economics , Cleft Palate/epidemiology , Cleft Palate/etiology , Female , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Infant , Maternal Exposure/adverse effects , Maternal Exposure/economics , Pregnancy , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Smoking/adverse effects , Smoking Cessation/statistics & numerical data , Surgeons , United States/epidemiology
5.
Environ Health ; 12: 3, 2013 Jan 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23289875

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Due to global mercury pollution and the adverse health effects of prenatal exposure to methylmercury (MeHg), an assessment of the economic benefits of prevented developmental neurotoxicity is necessary for any cost-benefit analysis. METHODS: Distributions of hair-Hg concentrations among women of reproductive age were obtained from the DEMOCOPHES project (1,875 subjects in 17 countries) and literature data (6,820 subjects from 8 countries). The exposures were assumed to comply with log-normal distributions. Neurotoxicity effects were estimated from a linear dose-response function with a slope of 0.465 Intelligence Quotient (IQ) point reduction per µg/g increase in the maternal hair-Hg concentration during pregnancy, assuming no deficits below a hair-Hg limit of 0.58 µg/g thought to be safe. A logarithmic IQ response was used in sensitivity analyses. The estimated IQ benefit cost was based on lifetime income, adjusted for purchasing power parity. RESULTS: The hair-mercury concentrations were the highest in Southern Europe and lowest in Eastern Europe. The results suggest that, within the EU, more than 1.8 million children are born every year with MeHg exposures above the limit of 0.58 µg/g, and about 200,000 births exceed a higher limit of 2.5 µg/g proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO). The total annual benefits of exposure prevention within the EU were estimated at more than 600,000 IQ points per year, corresponding to a total economic benefit between €8,000 million and €9,000 million per year. About four-fold higher values were obtained when using the logarithmic response function, while adjustment for productivity resulted in slightly lower total benefits. These calculations do not include the less tangible advantages of protecting brain development against neurotoxicity or any other adverse effects. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates document that efforts to combat mercury pollution and to reduce MeHg exposures will have very substantial economic benefits in Europe, mainly in southern countries. Some data may not be entirely representative, some countries were not covered, and anticipated changes in mercury pollution all suggest a need for extended biomonitoring of human MeHg exposure.


Subject(s)
Environmental Exposure/economics , Environmental Pollutants/analysis , Hair/chemistry , Methylmercury Compounds/analysis , Neurotoxicity Syndromes/economics , Child , Environmental Exposure/prevention & control , Europe , Female , Humans , Intelligence , Maternal Exposure/economics , Maternal Exposure/prevention & control , Neurotoxicity Syndromes/metabolism , Neurotoxicity Syndromes/prevention & control , Pregnancy
6.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 12(2): 111-6, 2002 Aug.
Article in Spanish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12243696

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Chickenpox is a common infection of childhood in countries that have not included the corresponding vaccination in their immunization schedules. Chickenpox is usually benign in immunocompetent children, and treatment is not needed. The objectives of this study were to investigate the frequency and characteristics of chickenpox complications that require hospital treatment in immunocompetent children and the clinical progression in children of mothers with perinatal chickenpox. In addition, the hospital costs associated with chickenpox in the studied children were calculated. METHODS: This was a retrospective study using the clinical records of children with chickenpox hospitalized at the Children's Hospital of Panama, from January 1991 through December 2000. We analyzed the types of complications, the clinical progression, and the hospital costs of the chickenpox patients. RESULTS: Of 5 203 children seen in outpatient consultations, 568 of them (11%) were hospitalized. We included 513 children in our study: 381 (74%) with chickenpox acquired in the community, 92 (18%) the children of mothers with chickenpox, and 40 (8%) with nosocomial chickenpox. The most frequent complications were cutaneous and subcutaneous infections (45%), respiratory infections (25%), and neurological changes (7%). The respiratory and cutaneous complications occurred sooner and among younger patients than did the neurological changes. Overall, 13 of the children (2.5%) died. The case fatality rate was 8% for chickenpox with respiratory and neurological complications and 0% for chickenpox with cutaneous complications. Of the 92 children with a mother with chickenpox, 60 of them (65%) did not develop the disease, and none of the 92 died. In contrast, 2 of the 32 neonates (6%) with perinatal chickenpox died. The mean length of hospitalization was 8.9 days (standard deviation, +/- 17.4 days). Parenteral pharmacotherapy was used with the great majority of the children, particularly antibiotics (54%), acyclovir (17%), and intravenous immunoglobulin (14%). The mean per-patient cost of hospitalization was US$ 1 209. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that chickenpox is associated with a sizable number of expensive complications and a not-insignificant case fatality rate in immunocompetent children. Routine vaccination against chickenpox could reduce the impact of this disease on the health of children in Panama


Subject(s)
Chickenpox/complications , Immunocompetence , Acyclovir/economics , Acyclovir/therapeutic use , Antiviral Agents/economics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Central Nervous System Diseases/etiology , Chickenpox/drug therapy , Chickenpox/economics , Child , Child, Preschool , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Female , Hospitalization/economics , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Immunization , Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/economics , Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/therapeutic use , Infant , Infant Mortality/trends , Infant, Newborn , Male , Maternal Exposure/adverse effects , Maternal Exposure/economics , Respiratory Tract Infections/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Skin Diseases/etiology
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