Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 20 de 42.002
Filter
1.
BMJ Paediatr Open ; 8(1)2024 May 31.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823799

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Body temperature for a known ambient temperature is not known for infants born at term. We aimed to determine the normal range and the incidences of hypothermia and hyperthermia during the first 24 hours of life in healthy term-born infants nursed according to WHO recommendations. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Norwegian single centre district hospital. Infants were observed during skin-to-skin care or when dressed in cots. PARTICIPANTS: Convenience sample of 951 healthy infants born at term. METHODS: Delivery room temperature was aimed at 26-30°C and rooming-in temperature at 24°C. We measured rectal and room temperatures at 2, 4, 8, 16 and 24 hours of age. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Percentile curves for rectal temperature. Proportions and risk factors for hypothermia and hyperthermia. RESULTS: The mean (SD) room temperature was 24.0°C (1.1), 23.8°C (1.0), 23.8°C (1.0)., 23.7°C (0.9) and 23.8°C (0.9). The median (2.5, 97.5 percentile) rectal temperature was 36.9°C (35.7-37.9), 36.8°C (35.9-37.5), 36.9°C (36.1-37.5), 37.0°C (36.4-37.7) and 37.1°C (36.5-37.7). Hypothermia (<36.5°C) occurred in 28% of the infants, 82% of incidents during the first 8 hours. Risk factors for hypothermia were low birth weight (OR 3.1 (95% CI, 2.0 to 4.6), per kg), male sex, being born at night and nursed in a cot versus skin to skin. Hyperthermia (>37.5°C) occurred in 12% and most commonly in large infants after 8 hours of life. Risk factors for hyperthermia were high birth weight (OR 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.5), per kg), being awake, nursed skin to skin and being born through heavily stained amniotic fluid. CONCLUSIONS: Term-born infants were at risk of hypothermia during the first hours after birth even when nursed in an assumed adequate thermal environment and at risk of hyperthermia after 8 hours of age.


Subject(s)
Body Temperature , Hypothermia , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Male , Female , Risk Factors , Hypothermia/epidemiology , Hypothermia/etiology , Prospective Studies , Hyperthermia/epidemiology , Norway/epidemiology , Reference Values , Term Birth , Delivery Rooms , Fever/epidemiology , Kangaroo-Mother Care Method
2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(6): e2414340, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38829616

ABSTRACT

Importance: Results from long-term follow-up after biliopancreatic diversion with duodenal switch (DS) are scarce. Objective: To compare weight loss, health outcomes, and quality of life 10 years or more after Roux-en-Y-gastric bypass (RYGB) and DS surgery in patients with severe obesity-that is, a body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) of 50 to 60. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open-label randomized clinical trial was conducted at 2 academic bariatric centers in Sweden and Norway. Sixty patients with a BMI of 50 to 60 were included from March 1, 2006, to August 31, 2007. Data were analyzed from August 12, 2022, to January 25, 2023. Interventions: Laparoscopic RYGB or laparoscopic DS. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was change in BMI after 10 or more years. Secondary outcomes included anthropometric measures, lipid and glycemic profiles, bone mass density, adverse events, gastrointestinal tract symptoms, and health-related quality of life. Results: Forty-eight of the original 60 patients (80%) were assessed after a median of 12 (range, 9-13) years (mean [SD] age, 48.0 [6.0] years; 35 women [73%]). At follow-up, the mean BMI reductions were 11.0 (95% CI, 8.3-13.7) for RYGB and 20.3 (95% CI, 17.6-23.0) for DS, with a mean between-group difference of 9.3 (95% CI, 5.4-13.1; P < .001). Total weight loss was 20.0% (95% CI, 15.3%-24.7%) for RYGB and 33.9% (95% CI, 27.8%-40.0%) for DS (P = .001). Mean serum lipid levels, except high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and hemoglobin A1c, improved more in the DS group during follow-up. Bone mass was reduced for both groups from 5 to 10 years, with lower bone mass after DS at 10 years. Quality-of-life scores (Obesity-Related Problem Scale and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey) were comparable across groups at 10 years. The total number of adverse events was higher after DS (135 vs 97 for RYGB; P = .02). More patients in the DS group developed vitamin deficiencies (21 vs 11 for RYGB; P = .008) including 25-hydroxyvitamin D deficiency (19 for DS vs 9 for RYGB; P = .005). Four of 29 patients in the DS group (14%) developed severe protein-caloric malnutrition, of whom 3 (10%) underwent revisional surgery. Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial, BMI reduction was greater after DS, but RYGB had a better risk profile over 10 years. Biliopancreatic diversion with DS may not be a better surgical strategy than RYGB for patients with a BMI of 50 to 60. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00327912.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Gastric Bypass , Obesity, Morbid , Quality of Life , Weight Loss , Humans , Gastric Bypass/methods , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Adult , Obesity, Morbid/surgery , Treatment Outcome , Sweden , Norway , Duodenum/surgery , Laparoscopy/methods , Biliopancreatic Diversion/methods
3.
PLoS One ; 19(6): e0291704, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38829864

ABSTRACT

This study identified latent trajectories of physical aggression (TPA) from infancy to preschool age and evaluated (a) effects of early parent, parenting and child predictors on TPA as well as on social, behavioral, and academic functioning in Grade 2, and (b) TPA effects net of early predictor effects on Grade 2 functioning. We used data from the Behavior Outlook Norwegian Developmental Study (BONDS), which included 1,159 children (559 girls). Parents reported on risk and protective factors, and on physical aggression from 1 to 5 years of age; teachers reported on Grade 2 outcomes. We employed latent class growth curve analyses and identified nine TPA. In fully adjusted models simultaneously testing all associations among predictors, trajectories, and outcomes, maternal and paternal harsh parenting, child gender, and sibling presence predicted TPA, which significantly predicted externalizing and academic competence in Grade 2. Child gender had a pervasive influence on all outcomes as well as on TPA. To our knowledge, this is the first trajectory study to determine which predictors are most proximal, more distal, or just confounded, with their relative direct effect sizes, and to link early paternal as well as maternal harsh parenting practices with children's TPA. Our findings underscore the need to include fathers in developmental research and early prevention and intervention efforts.


Subject(s)
Aggression , Parenting , Humans , Female , Male , Child, Preschool , Aggression/psychology , Infant , Parenting/psychology , Norway , Child , Child Behavior/psychology , Schools
6.
Tidsskr Nor Laegeforen ; 144(7)2024 Jun 04.
Article in Norwegian | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38832611

Subject(s)
Governing Board , Humans , Norway
8.
Tidsskr Nor Laegeforen ; 144(7)2024 Jun 04.
Article in Norwegian | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38832615
10.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 15: 1354385, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38694943

ABSTRACT

Background and aims: Diabetes-related foot ulcers (DFU) are a persistent healthcare challenge, impacting both patients and healthcare systems, with adverse effects on quality of life and productivity. Our primary aim was to examine the trends in lifetime prevalence of DFU, as well as other micro- and macrovascular complications in the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) in Norway. Methods: This study consists of individuals ≥20 years with diabetes participating in the population-based cross-sectional HUNT surveys (1995-2019). Prevalence ratios, comparing the lifetime prevalence of DFU and other relevant micro- and macrovascular complications between the HUNT surveys, were calculated using Poisson regression. Results: The lifetime prevalence (95% confidence interval (CI)) of a DFU requiring three or more weeks to heal was 11.0% (9.5-12.7) in HUNT2, 7.5% (6.3-8.8) in HUNT3 and 5.3% (4.4-6.3) in HUNT4. The decrease in DFU prevalence from 1995 to 2019 was observed in both men and women, for all age groups, and for both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. The highest lifetime prevalence of DFU was found among those with type 1 diabetes. The decrease in HbA1c from HUNT2 to HUNT4 did not differ between those with and without a DFU. The prevalence of chronic kidney disease (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (eGFR categories G3-G5)) increased in both individuals with and without a DFU. Conclusion: Results from the HUNT surveys show a substantial decline in the lifetime prevalence of DFU from 1995 to 2019.


Subject(s)
Diabetic Foot , Humans , Norway/epidemiology , Male , Female , Cross-Sectional Studies , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Diabetic Foot/epidemiology , Aged , Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Young Adult , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications
11.
Acta Odontol Scand ; 83: 219-229, 2024 May 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38699922

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Health complaints attributed to dental amalgam fillings comprise both intraoral and general health complaints. There are data suggesting that patients with medically unexplained physical symptoms (MUPS) attributed to amalgam fillings show improvement in symptoms after removal of all amalgam fillings. However, data indicating changes of specific health complaints are limited. This study evaluated the changes of health complaints after removal of amalgam restorations in patients with health complaints attributed to dental amalgam fillings. METHOD: Patients with MUPS attributed to dental amalgam (Amalgam cohort) had all their amalgam fillings removed. The participants indicated an intensity of 11 local and 12 general health complaints on numeric rating scales before the treatment and at follow-up after 1 and 5 years. The comparison groups comprising a group of healthy individuals and a group of patients with MUPS without symptom attribution to dental amalgam did not have their amalgam restorations removed. RESULTS: In the Amalgam cohort, mean symptom intensity was lower for all 23 health complaints at follow-up at 1 year compared to baseline. Statistically significant changes were observed for specific health complaints with effect sizes between 0.36 and 0.68. At the 5-year follow-up, the intensity of symptoms remained consistently lower compared to before the amalgam removal. In the comparison groups, no significant changes of intensity of symptoms of health complaints were observed. CONCLUSION: After removal of all amalgam restorations, both local and general health complaints were reduced. Since blinding of the treatment was not possible, specific and non-specific treatment effects cannot be separated.


Subject(s)
Dental Amalgam , Dental Restoration, Permanent , Humans , Dental Amalgam/adverse effects , Norway , Female , Male , Prospective Studies , Middle Aged , Adult , Dental Restoration, Permanent/methods , Cohort Studies
12.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0302519, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696495

ABSTRACT

The world's elderly population is growing at a rapid pace. This has led to an increase in demand on the health and welfare systems due to age-related disorders, with musculoskeletal complaints driving the need for rehabilitation services. However, there are concerns about health services' ability to meet this demand. While chiropractic care is gaining recognition for its benefits in treating older adults with musculoskeletal disorders, there is limited scientific literature on chiropractors' role and experiences in this area. To bridge this gap, we interviewed 21 chiropractors in Great Britain, the Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden. Inductive qualitative content analysis was used to analyse the interviews, and despite differences in integration and regulation between the countries, several common facilitators and barriers in caring for and managing older patients with musculoskeletal complaints emerged. While participants expressed optimism about future collaborations with other healthcare professionals and the integration of chiropractic into national healthcare systems, they also highlighted significant concerns regarding the existing healthcare infrastructure. The participants also felt that chiropractors, with their non-surgical and holistic approach, were well-positioned to be the primary point of contact for older patients. However, there were some common barriers, such as the affordability of care, limited integration of chiropractic, and the need to prioritise musculoskeletal complaints within public healthcare. Our findings suggest that chiropractors experience their clinical competencies as an underutilised resource in the available healthcare systems and that they could contribute to and potentially reduce the escalating burden of musculoskeletal complaints and associated costs among older patients. Additionally, our findings highlight the desire among the participants to foster collaboration among healthcare professionals and integrate chiropractic into the national public healthcare system. Integrating chiropractors as allied health professionals was also perceived to improve coordinated, patient-centred healthcare for older adults.


Subject(s)
Chiropractic , Musculoskeletal Diseases , Humans , Musculoskeletal Diseases/therapy , Musculoskeletal Diseases/psychology , Aged , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Sweden , United Kingdom , Adult , Norway , Netherlands , Health Personnel/psychology , Delivery of Health Care , Cooperative Behavior
13.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 567, 2024 May 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698483

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a growing recognition of multidisciplinary practices as the most rational approach to providing better and more efficient healthcare services. Pharmacists are increasingly integrated into primary care teams, but there is no universal approach to implementing pharmacist services across healthcare settings. In Norway, most pharmacists work in pharmacies, with very few employed outside this traditional setting. The home care workforce is primarily made up of nurses, assistant nurses, and healthcare assistants. General practitioners (GPs) are not based in the same location as home care staff. This study utilized the Normalization Process Theory (NPT) to conduct a process evaluation of the integration of pharmacists in a Norwegian home care setting. Our aim was to identify barriers and facilitators to optimal utilization of pharmacist services within a multidisciplinary team. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews (n = 9) were conducted with home care unit leaders, ward managers, registered nurses, and pharmacists in Norway, in November 2022-February 2023. Constructs from the NPT were applied to qualitative data. RESULTS: Findings from this study pertain to the four constructs of the NPT. Healthcare professionals struggled to conceptualize the pharmacists' competencies and there were no collectively agreed-upon objectives of the intervention. Consequently, some participants questioned the necessity of pharmacist integration. Further, participants reported conflicting preferences regarding how to best utilize medication-optimizing services in everyday work. A lack of stakeholder empowerment was reported across all participants. Moreover, home care unit leaders and managers reported being uninformed of their roles and responsibilities related to the implementation process. However, the presence of pharmacists and their services were well received in the setting. Moreover, participants reported that pharmacists' contributions positively impacted the multidisciplinary practice. CONCLUSION: Introducing new work methods into clinical practice is a complex task that demands expertise in implementation. Using the NTP model helped pinpoint factors that affect how pharmacists' skills are utilized in a home care setting. Insights from this study can inform the development of tailored implementation strategies to improve pharmacist integration in a multidisciplinary team.


Subject(s)
Home Care Services , Interviews as Topic , Patient Care Team , Pharmacists , Qualitative Research , Humans , Home Care Services/organization & administration , Norway , Patient Care Team/organization & administration , Male , Female , Professional Role , Attitude of Health Personnel , Adult , Middle Aged
14.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(5): e17308, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38721885

ABSTRACT

At high latitudes, the suitable window for timing reproductive events is particularly narrow, promoting tight synchrony between trophic levels. Climate change may disrupt this synchrony due to diverging responses to temperature between, for example, the early life stages of higher trophic levels and their food resources. Evidence for this is equivocal, and the role of compensatory mechanisms is poorly understood. Here, we show how a combination of ocean warming and coastal water darkening drive long-term changes in phytoplankton spring bloom timing in Lofoten Norway, and how spawning time of Northeast Arctic cod responds in synchrony. Spring bloom timing was derived from hydrographical observations dating back to 1936, while cod spawning time was estimated from weekly fisheries catch and roe landing data since 1877. Our results suggest that land use change and freshwater run-off causing coastal water darkening has gradually delayed the spring bloom up to the late 1980s after which ocean warming has caused it to advance. The cod appear to track phytoplankton dynamics by timing gonadal development and spawning to maximize overlap between offspring hatch date and predicted resource availability. This finding emphasises the importance of land-ocean coupling for coastal ecosystem functioning, and the potential for fish to adapt through phenotypic plasticity.


Subject(s)
Climate Change , Phytoplankton , Seasons , Phytoplankton/physiology , Phytoplankton/growth & development , Animals , Norway , Reproduction , Gadus morhua/physiology , Gadus morhua/growth & development , Seawater , Temperature
15.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(5): e17273, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727723

ABSTRACT

Rapid warming at high latitudes triggers poleward shifts of species' distributions that impact marine biodiversity. In the open sea, the documented redistributions of fish lead to a borealization of Arctic fauna. A climate-driven borealization and increased species diversity at high latitudes are also expected in coastal fish communities, but they have not been previously documented on a large, biogeographic scale. Here, we investigate the impact of temperature change over the last 25 years on fish communities along the coast of Norway. The study area, spanning different ecoclimatic zones between 62° and 71° N, harbors over 200 species of boreal and Arctic fish. Several of these fish species are harvested by coastal and indigenous communities, influencing settlement geography and livelihood. The long-term data on coastal water temperatures and fish species were obtained from monitoring stations and scientific surveys. Water temperature measured at three fixed sampling stations distributed along the coast show increased temperatures during the study period. The fish species distribution and abundance data were obtained from the annually standardized scientific bottom trawl survey program. Fish species richness, which was highest in the south, increased with warming first in the south and then, gradually, further north, eventually affecting biodiversity in the whole study area. Fish community composition showed a distinct latitudinal pattern early in the study, with Arctic fish species confined to the north and boreal species dominating the south. The poleward shifts eventually eroded this zoogeographic pattern, resulting in more boreal fish species in the north and an increased homogenization of species composition along the Norwegian coast. The climate-driven reorganization of fish communities affects coastal ecosystems that are exposed to fisheries, aquaculture, and other rapidly expanding human activities, stressing the urgent need for a climate adaptation of integrated coastal management.


Subject(s)
Biodiversity , Climate Change , Fishes , Temperature , Animals , Fishes/physiology , Norway , Arctic Regions
16.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 10154, 2024 05 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38698067

ABSTRACT

In the face of global ecosystem changes driven by anthropogenic activities, effective biomonitoring strategies are crucial for mitigating impacts on vulnerable aquatic habitats. Time series analysis underscores a great significance in understanding the dynamic nature of marine ecosystems, especially amidst climate change disrupting established seasonal patterns. Focusing on Norway's Oslo fjord, our research utilises eDNA-based monitoring for temporal analysis of aquatic biodiversity during a one year period, with bi-monthly sampling along a transect. To increase the robustness of the study, a taxonomic assignment comparing BLAST+ and SINTAX approaches was done. Utilising MiFish and Elas02 primer sets, our study detected 63 unique fish species, including several commercially important species. Our findings reveal a substantial increase in read abundance during specific migratory cycles, highlighting the efficacy of eDNA metabarcoding for fish composition characterization. Seasonal dynamics for certain species exhibit clear patterns, emphasising the method's utility in unravelling ecological complexities. eDNA metabarcoding emerges as a cost-effective tool with considerable potential for fish community monitoring for conservation purposes in dynamic marine environments like the Oslo fjord, contributing valuable insights for informed management strategies.


Subject(s)
Biodiversity , DNA Barcoding, Taxonomic , Estuaries , Fishes , Seasons , Animals , Fishes/genetics , Fishes/classification , Norway , DNA Barcoding, Taxonomic/methods , Ecosystem , Environmental Monitoring/methods , DNA, Environmental/genetics , DNA, Environmental/analysis
17.
Subst Abuse Treat Prev Policy ; 19(1): 26, 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711108

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Physical or mental health comorbidities are common among people with substance use disorders undergoing opioid agonist therapy. As both a preventive and treatment strategy, exercise offers various health benefits for several conditions. Exercise interventions to people with substance use disorders receiving opioid agonist therapy are limited. This study aims to explore experiences with physical activity, perceived barriers, and facilitators among people receiving opioid agonist therapy. METHOD: Fourteen qualitative interviews were conducted with individuals receiving opioid agonist therapy in outpatient clinics in Western Norway. RESULTS: Most were males in the age range 30 to 60 years. Participants had diverse and long-term substance use histories, and most received buprenorphine-based opioid agonist therapy. The identified themes were (1) Physical limitations: Participants experienced health-related problems like breathing difficulties, pain, and reduced physical function. (2) Social dynamics: Social support was essential for participating in physical activities and many argued for group exercises, but some were concerned about the possibility of meeting persons influenced by substances in a group setting, fearing temptations to use substances. (3) Shift in focus: As participants felt the weight of the health burden, their preference for activities shifted from sports aiming for "adrenaline" to a health promoting focus. (4) COVID-19's impact on exercise: because of the pandemic, group activities were suspended, and participants described it as challenging to resume. (5) Implementation preferences in clinics: Not interfering with opioid medication routines was reported to be essential. CONCLUSION: This study offers valuable insights for the development of customized exercise interventions aimed at enhancing the health and well-being of patients undergoing opioid agonist therapy. These findings underscore the significance of addressing social dynamics, overcoming physical limitations, and implementing a practical and effective exercise regimen.


Subject(s)
Exercise , Opiate Substitution Treatment , Opioid-Related Disorders , Qualitative Research , Humans , Male , Adult , Middle Aged , Female , Opioid-Related Disorders/drug therapy , Opioid-Related Disorders/psychology , Opiate Substitution Treatment/psychology , Norway , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , COVID-19/psychology , Buprenorphine/therapeutic use , Social Support
18.
BMC Prim Care ; 25(1): 155, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714964

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Huntington's disease (HD) has substantial impact on patients and carers' lives. Managing patients in the advanced phase of HD may be challenging to primary health care professionals. The aim of this study is to elicit health care professionals' experiences of managing the challenges with patients with advanced HD in primary health care. METHODS: We did a qualitative study, collecting data from four focus group interviews with 22 primary health care professionals who had experience with caring for patients with HD in Norway. The data were analysed using a qualitative content analysis method, systematic text condensation. RESULTS: We found that health care professionals who care for patients with HD in primary health care experience challenges related to patients' behaviour, family members and caregivers, professionals' individual competency, and the organizational context. They conveyed that successful care and management of patients with advanced HD was dependent on individuals' competency and "everyday tactics", well-functioning teams, and leadership and organizational support. CONCLUSION: In addition to individual competencies, including being personally suitable for the job, well-functioning primary care teams, and organization support and training is important for health care professionals' ability to manage patients with advanced HD in primary health care.


Subject(s)
Focus Groups , Health Personnel , Huntington Disease , Primary Health Care , Qualitative Research , Humans , Huntington Disease/therapy , Huntington Disease/psychology , Male , Female , Norway , Adult , Health Personnel/psychology , Middle Aged , Attitude of Health Personnel , Caregivers/psychology , Clinical Competence
19.
Accid Anal Prev ; 202: 107612, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703590

ABSTRACT

The paper presents an exploratory study of a road safety policy index developed for Norway. The index consists of ten road safety measures for which data on their use from 1980 to 2021 are available. The ten measures were combined into an index which had an initial value of 50 in 1980 and increased to a value of 185 in 2021. To assess the application of the index in evaluating the effects of road safety policy, negative binomial regression models and multivariate time series models were developed for traffic fatalities, fatalities and serious injuries, and all injuries. The coefficient for the policy index was negative, indicating the road safety policy has contributed to reducing the number of fatalities and injuries. The size of this contribution can be estimated by means of at least three estimators that do not always produce identical values. There is little doubt about the sign of the relationship: a stronger road safety policy (as indicated by index values) is associated with a larger decline in fatalities and injuries. A precise quantification is, however, not possible. Different estimators of effect, all of which can be regarded as plausible, yield different results.


Subject(s)
Accidents, Traffic , Safety , Accidents, Traffic/mortality , Accidents, Traffic/prevention & control , Accidents, Traffic/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Norway , Wounds and Injuries/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Public Policy , Models, Statistical , Regression Analysis , Automobile Driving/legislation & jurisprudence , Automobile Driving/statistics & numerical data
20.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303254, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709776

ABSTRACT

One of the key tools to understand and reduce the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is testing. The total number of tests, the number of positive tests, the number of negative tests, and the positivity rate are interconnected indicators and vary with time. To better understand the relationship between these indicators, against the background of an evolving pandemic, the association between the number of positive tests and the number of negative tests is studied using a joint modeling approach. All countries in the European Union, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and Norway are included in the analysis. We propose a joint penalized spline model in which the penalized spline is reparameterized as a linear mixed model. The model allows for flexible trajectories by smoothing the country-specific deviations from the overall penalized spline and accounts for heteroscedasticity by allowing the autocorrelation parameters and residual variances to vary among countries. The association between the number of positive tests and the number of negative tests is derived from the joint distribution for the random intercepts and slopes. The correlation between the random intercepts and the correlation between the random slopes were both positive. This suggests that, when countries increase their testing capacity, both the number of positive tests and negative tests will increase. A significant correlation was found between the random intercepts, but the correlation between the random slopes was not significant due to a wide credible interval.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Testing , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , United Kingdom/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing/methods , Norway/epidemiology , Models, Statistical , Switzerland/epidemiology , Pandemics , European Union
SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...