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1.
PLoS One ; 10(6): e0128993, 2015.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26053385

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite vaccines and improved medical intensive care, clinicians must continue to be vigilant of possible Meningococcal Disease in children. The objective was to establish if the procalcitonin test was a cost-effective adjunct for prodromal Meningococcal Disease in children presenting at emergency department with fever without source. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Data to evaluate procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and white cell count tests as indicators of Meningococcal Disease were collected from six independent studies identified through a systematic literature search, applying PRISMA guidelines. The data included 881 children with fever without source in developed countries.The optimal cut-off value for the procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and white cell count tests, each as an indicator of Meningococcal Disease, was determined. Summary Receiver Operator Curve analysis determined the overall diagnostic performance of each test with 95% confidence intervals. A decision analytic model was designed to reflect realistic clinical pathways for a child presenting with fever without source by comparing two diagnostic strategies: standard testing using combined C-reactive protein and white cell count tests compared to standard testing plus procalcitonin test. The costs of each of the four diagnosis groups (true positive, false negative, true negative and false positive) were assessed from a National Health Service payer perspective. The procalcitonin test was more accurate (sensitivity=0.89, 95%CI=0.76-0.96; specificity=0.74, 95%CI=0.4-0.92) for early Meningococcal Disease compared to standard testing alone (sensitivity=0.47, 95%CI=0.32-0.62; specificity=0.8, 95% CI=0.64-0.9). Decision analytic model outcomes indicated that the incremental cost effectiveness ratio for the base case was £-8,137.25 (US $ -13,371.94) per correctly treated patient. CONCLUSIONS: Procalcitonin plus standard recommended tests, improved the discriminatory ability for fatal Meningococcal Disease and was more cost-effective; it was also a superior biomarker in infants. Further research is recommended for point-of-care procalcitonin testing and Markov modelling to incorporate cost per QALY with a life-time model.


Subject(s)
Calcitonin/blood , Calcitonin/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Meningococcal Infections/blood , Meningococcal Infections/diagnosis , Protein Precursors/blood , Protein Precursors/economics , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide , Critical Pathways , Decision Trees , Humans , Leukocyte Count , ROC Curve
2.
Crit Care ; 18(6): 640, 2014 Nov 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25407928

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Although the clinical application of procalcitonin (PCT) as an infection marker in patients with impaired renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2)) has been increasing recently, it is unclear whether PCT is more accurate than C-reactive protein (CRP). We investigated the clinical value of CRP and PCT based on renal function. METHODS: From November 2008 to July 2011, a total of 493 patients who simultaneously underwent CRP and PCT tests were enrolled. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and characteristics of both markers were analyzed according to infection severity and renal function. RESULTS: In patients with impaired renal function, the area under the ROC curve was 0.876 for CRP and 0.876 for PCT. In patients with infection, CRP levels differed depending on whether the infection was localized, septic, or severely septic, whereas PCT levels were higher in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock. In patients without infection, CRP did not correlate with eGFR, while PCT was negatively correlated with eGFR. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that CRP is accurate for predicting infection in patients with impaired renal function. The study suggests that in spite of its higher cost, PCT is not superior to CRP as an infection marker in terms of diagnostic value.


Subject(s)
C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Calcitonin/blood , Protein Precursors/blood , Renal Insufficiency/blood , Renal Insufficiency/diagnosis , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Biomarkers/blood , C-Reactive Protein/economics , Calcitonin/economics , Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Protein Precursors/economics , Renal Insufficiency/economics , Sepsis/blood , Sepsis/diagnosis , Sepsis/economics
3.
J Gen Intern Med ; 29(4): 579-86, 2014 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24234394

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Two clinical trials suggest that procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy can safely reduce antibiotic prescribing in outpatient management of acute respiratory tract infections (ARTIs) in adults. Yet, it remains unclear whether procalcitonin testing is cost-effective in this setting. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy in outpatient management of ARTIs in adults. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness model based on results from two published European clinical trials, with all parameters varied widely in sensitivity analyses. PATIENTS: Two hypothetical cohorts were modeled in separate trial-based analyses: adults with ARTIs judged by their physicians to require antibiotics and all adults with ARTIs. INTERVENTIONS: Procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy protocols versus usual care. MAIN MEASURES: Costs and cost per antibiotic prescription safely avoided. KEY RESULTS: We estimated the health care system willingness-to-pay threshold as $43 (range $0­$333) per antibiotic safely avoided, reflecting the estimated cost of antibiotic resistance per outpatient antibiotic prescribed. In the cohort including all adult ARTIs judged to require antibiotics by their physicians, procalcitonin cost $31 per antibiotic prescription safely avoided and the likelihood of procalcitonin use being favored compared to usual care was 58.4 % in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. In the analysis that included all adult ARTIs, procalcitonin cost $149 per antibiotic prescription safely avoided and the likelihood of procalcitonin use being favored was 2.8 %. CONCLUSIONS: Procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy for outpatient management of ARTIs in adults would be cost-effective when the costs of antibiotic resistance are considered and procalcitonin testing is limited to adults with ARTIs judged by their physicians to require antibiotics.


Subject(s)
Ambulatory Care/economics , Anti-Bacterial Agents/economics , Calcitonin/economics , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Models, Economic , Protein Precursors/economics , Respiratory Tract Infections/economics , Acute Disease , Adult , Ambulatory Care/methods , Animals , Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use , Calcitonin/therapeutic use , Calcitonin Gene-Related Peptide , Child , Cohort Studies , Cost-Benefit Analysis/methods , Disease Management , Humans , Protein Precursors/therapeutic use , Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy
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