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2.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 43(6): 813-821, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830161

ABSTRACT

Public health surveillance and data systems in the US remain an unnamed facet of structural racism. What gets measured, which data get collected and analyzed, and how and by whom are not matters of happenstance. Rather, surveillance and data systems are productions and reproductions of political priority, epistemic privilege, and racialized state power. This has consequences for how communities of color are represented or misrepresented, viewed, and valued and for what is prioritized and viewed as legitimate cause for action. Surveillance and data systems accordingly must be understood as both an instrument of structural racism and an opportunity to dismantle it. Here, we outline a critique of standard surveillance systems and practice, drawing from the social epidemiology, critical theory, and decolonial theory literatures to illuminate matters of power germane to epistemic and procedural justice in the surveillance of communities of color. We then summarize how community partners, academics, and state health department data scientists collaborated to reimagine survey practices in Oregon, engaging public health critical race praxis and decolonial theory to reorient toward antiracist surveillance systems. We close with a brief discussion of implications for practice and areas for continued consideration and reflection.


Subject(s)
Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Oregon , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Racism , Public Health , Colonialism , Health Equity
3.
NEJM Evid ; 3(5): EVIDra2300271, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38815175

ABSTRACT

AbstractAccurate diagnostics are critical in public health to ensure successful disease tracking, prevention, and control. Many of the same characteristics are desirable for diagnostic procedures in both medicine and public health: for example, low cost, high speed, low invasiveness, ease of use and interpretation, day-to-day consistency, and high accuracy. This review lays out five principles that are salient when the goal of diagnosis is to improve the overall health of a population rather than that of a particular patient, and it applies them in two important use cases: pandemic infectious disease and antimicrobial resistance.


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases , Public Health , Humans , Communicable Diseases/diagnosis , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Public Health Surveillance/methods , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Pandemics
5.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e47154, 2024 May 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38788212

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted the deployment of digital technologies for public health surveillance globally. The rapid development and use of these technologies have curtailed opportunities to fully consider their potential impacts (eg, for human rights, civil liberties, privacy, and marginalization of vulnerable groups). OBJECTIVE: We conducted a scoping review of peer-reviewed and gray literature to identify the types and applications of digital technologies used for surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic and the predicted and witnessed consequences of digital surveillance. METHODS: Our methodology was informed by the 5-stage methodological framework to guide scoping reviews: identifying the research question; identifying relevant studies; study selection; charting the data; and collating, summarizing, and reporting the findings. We conducted a search of peer-reviewed and gray literature published between December 1, 2019, and December 31, 2020. We focused on the first year of the pandemic to provide a snapshot of the questions, concerns, findings, and discussions emerging from peer-reviewed and gray literature during this pivotal first year of the pandemic. Our review followed the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews) reporting guidelines. RESULTS: We reviewed a total of 147 peer-reviewed and 79 gray literature publications. Based on our analysis of these publications, we identified a total of 90 countries and regions where digital technologies were used for public health surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic. Some of the most frequently used technologies included mobile phone apps, location-tracking technologies, drones, temperature-scanning technologies, and wearable devices. We also found that the literature raised concerns regarding the implications of digital surveillance in relation to data security and privacy, function creep and mission creep, private sector involvement in surveillance, human rights, civil liberties, and impacts on marginalized groups. Finally, we identified recommendations for ethical digital technology design and use, including proportionality, transparency, purpose limitation, protecting privacy and security, and accountability. CONCLUSIONS: A wide range of digital technologies was used worldwide to support public health surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings of our analysis highlight the importance of considering short- and long-term consequences of digital surveillance not only during the COVID-19 pandemic but also for future public health crises. These findings also demonstrate the ways in which digital surveillance has rendered visible the shifting and blurred boundaries between public health surveillance and other forms of surveillance, particularly given the ubiquitous nature of digital surveillance. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053962.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Digital Technology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Public Health Surveillance/methods
6.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1150, 2024 Apr 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38658902

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) experienced its largest Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in 2018-2020. As a result of the outbreak, significant funding and international support were provided to Eastern DRC to improve disease surveillance. The Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy has been used in the DRC as a framework to strengthen public health surveillance, and full implementation could be critical as the DRC continues to face threats of various epidemic-prone diseases. In 2021, the DRC initiated an IDSR assessment in North Kivu province to assess the capabilities of the public health system to detect and respond to new public health threats. METHODS: The study utilized a mixed-methods design consisting of quantitative and qualitative methods. Quantitative assessment of the performance in IDSR core functions was conducted at multiple levels of the tiered health system through a standardized questionnaire and analysis of health data. Qualitative data were also collected through observations, focus groups and open-ended questions. Data were collected at the North Kivu provincial public health office, five health zones, 66 healthcare facilities, and from community health workers in 15 health areas. RESULTS: Thirty-six percent of health facilities had no case definition documents and 53% had no blank case reporting forms, limiting identification and reporting. Data completeness and timeliness among health facilities were 53% and 75% overall but varied widely by health zone. While these indicators seemingly improved at the health zone level at 100% and 97% respectively, the health facility data feeding into the reporting structure were inconsistent. The use of electronic Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response is not widely implemented. Rapid response teams were generally available, but functionality was low with lack of guidance documents and long response times. CONCLUSION: Support is needed at the lower levels of the public health system and to address specific zones with low performance. Limitations in materials, resources for communication and transportation, and workforce training continue to be challenges. This assessment highlights the need to move from outbreak-focused support and funding to building systems that can improve the long-term functionality of the routine disease surveillance system.


Subject(s)
Disease Outbreaks , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola , Humans , Democratic Republic of the Congo/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/epidemiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Population Surveillance/methods
7.
Ann Epidemiol ; 94: 64-71, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38677568

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: As crises of drug-related maternal harms escalate, US public health surveillance capacity remains suboptimal for drug-related maternal morbidities. Most state hospital discharge databases (HDDs) are encounter-based, and thus limit ascertainment of morbidities to delivery visits and ignoring those occurring during the 21 months spanning pregnancy and postpartum year. This study analyzes data from a state that curates person-centered HDD to compare patterns of substance use disorder (SUD) diagnoses at delivery vs. the full 21 pregnancy/postpartum months, overall and by maternal social position. METHODS: Among people who experienced an in-hospital birth in New York State between 9/1/2016 and 1/1/2018 (N = 330,872), we estimated SUD diagnosis (e.g., opioids, stimulants, benzodiazepines, cannabis) prevalence at delivery; across the full 9 months of pregnancy and 12 postpartum months; and by trimester and postpartum quarter. Risk ratio and risk difference estimated disparities by race/ethnicity, age, rurality, and payor. RESULTS: The 21-month SUD prevalence rate per 100,000 was 2671 (95% CI 2616-2726), with 31% (29.5%-31.5%) missing SUD indication when ascertained at delivery only (1866; 95% CI 1820-1912). Quarterly rates followed a roughly J-shaped trajectory. Structurally marginalized individuals suffered the highest 21-month SUD prevalence (e.g., Black:White risk ratio=1.80 [CI:1.73-1.88]). CONCLUSION: By spanning the full 21 months of pregnancy/postpartum, person-centered HDD reveal than the maternal SUD crisis is far greater than encounter-based delivery estimates had revealed. Generating person-centered HDD will improve efforts to tailor interventions to help people who use drugs survive while pregnant and postpartum, and eliminate inequities.


Subject(s)
Drug Overdose , Patient Discharge , Pregnancy Complications , Substance-Related Disorders , Humans , Female , Pregnancy , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Adult , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Patient Discharge/statistics & numerical data , Pregnancy Complications/epidemiology , New York/epidemiology , Young Adult , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Prevalence , Adolescent , Postpartum Period
8.
Public Health ; 231: 31-38, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38603977

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Currently, there is no comprehensive picture of the global surveillance landscape. This survey examines the current state of surveillance systems, levels of integration, barriers and opportunities for the integration of surveillance systems at the country level, and the role of national public health institutes (NPHIs). STUDY DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional survey of NPHIs. METHODS: A web-based survey questionnaire was disseminated to 110 NPHIs in 95 countries between July and August 2022. Data were descriptively analysed, stratified by World Health Organization region, World Bank Income Group, and self-reported Integrated Disease Surveillance (IDS) maturity status. RESULTS: Sixty-five NPHIs responded. Systems exist to monitor notifiable diseases and vaccination coverage, but less so for private, pharmaceutical, and food safety sectors. While Ministries of Health usually lead surveillance, in many countries, NPHIs are also involved. Most countries report having partially developed IDS. Surveillance data are frequently inaccessible to the lead public health agency and seldomly integrated into a national public health surveillance system. Common challenges to establishing IDS include information technology system issues, financial constraints, data sharing and ownership limitations, workforce capacity gaps, and data availability. CONCLUSIONS: Public health surveillance systems across the globe, although built on similar principles, are at different levels of maturity but face similar developmental challenges. Leadership, ownership and governance, supporting legal mandates and regulations, as well as adherence to mandates, and enforcement of regulations are critical components of effective surveillance. In many countries, NPHIs play a significant role in integrated disease surveillance.


Subject(s)
Global Health , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Global Health/statistics & numerical data , Surveys and Questionnaires , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Systems Integration
9.
Public Health ; 231: 71-79, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38636279

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Public health surveillance systems are critical for detecting and responding to health threats. This review aims to analyze international literature on the performance of these systems in terms of core, support, and attributes of surveillance system. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review. METHODS: Following the preregistered protocol (PROSPERO: CRD42022366051), a systematic search was conducted on PubMed/MEDLINE, CINHAL, CABI, Web of Science, and Google Scholar for articles evaluating Public Health Surveillance System performance from inception to July 21, 2023. Various study designs were included, and quality assessment was performed. Thematic analysis categorized findings into key surveillance system functions. RESULTS: Nine studies from different countries assessed core and supportive functions, as well as surveillance attributes. Performance varied among countries, with some excelling overall and others showing poor performance in specific areas. Many countries' surveillance systems had inadequate performance in key measures in terms of the core and supportive functions, as well as the attributes of the surveillance system. CONCLUSION: This review shows significant variations in the performance of public health surveillance systems across countries. Further research is needed to understand underperformance reasons and inform global policymaking for strengthening surveillance systems.


Subject(s)
Global Health , Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Public Health Surveillance/methods
10.
Curr Opin Psychiatry ; 37(4): 270-276, 2024 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38587019

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: New psychoactive substances (NPS) continue to emerge globally and present a threat to public health. This article summarizes the most recent literature on approaches for monitoring NPS use and adverse events related to use. RECENT FINDINGS: A variety of approaches have recently been employed for surveillance of NPS use and associated harms, including the use of toxicology testing of patients in emergency departments, surveys of sentinel populations, drug checking and syringe services programs, wastewater-based epidemiology, and retrospective analyses of clinical samples and toxicology reports. These studies cover a range of time periods and NPS examined across numerous countries. SUMMARY: Areas of particular interest for future research include the use of data from drug checking services to inform surveillance efforts of the illicit drug supply and the development of methods for wastewater-based monitoring of NPS. Studies that combine self-report data with toxicology testing in particular are important for capturing unintentional or unknown exposure to NPS including fentanyls and drugs like xylazine. Given the limitations associated with individual indicators of drug use and associated harms, the harmonization of multiple data sources can help present a more complete picture of both trends involving NPS to better inform public health responses.


Subject(s)
Illicit Drugs , Psychotropic Drugs , Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Psychotropic Drugs/adverse effects , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Illicit Drugs/adverse effects , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Substance Abuse Detection/methods
12.
PLoS One ; 18(7): e0288808, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37471346

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent of Covid-19, is shed from infected persons in respiratory droplets, feces, and urine. Using quantitative PCR (qPCR), our group hypothesized that we could detect SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater samples collected on a university campus prior to the detection of the virus in individuals on campus. Wastewater samples were collected 3 times a week from 5 locations on the main campus of the University of North Carolina Wilmington (UNCW) from July 24, 2020 to December 21, 2020. Post-collection, total RNA was extracted and SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the samples was detected by qPCR. SARS-CoV-2 signal was detected on campus beginning on August 19 as classes began and the signal increased in both intensity and breadth as the Fall semester progressed. A comparison of two RNA extraction methods from wastewater showed that SARS-CoV-2 was detected more frequently on filter samples versus the direct extracts. Aligning our wastewater data with the reported SARS-CoV-2 cases on the campus Covid-19 dashboard showed the virus signal was routinely detected in the wastewater prior to clusters of individual cases being reported. These data support the testing of wastewater for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 and may be used as part of a surveillance program for detecting the virus in a community prior to an outbreak occurring and could ultimately be incorporated with other SARS-CoV-2 metrics to better inform public health enabling a quick response to contain or mitigating spread of the virus.


Subject(s)
Public Health Surveillance , RNA, Viral , SARS-CoV-2 , Wastewater , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , RNA, Viral/isolation & purification , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , Universities , Wastewater/virology , Public Health Surveillance/methods , North Carolina/epidemiology
13.
Am J Public Health ; 113(9): 943-946, 2023 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37410981

ABSTRACT

We describe a collaboration between a health system and public health department to create a mortality surveillance system. The collaboration enabled the health system to identify more than six times the number of deaths identified through local system medical records alone. This powerful epidemiological process, combining the nuanced data captured through clinical care in health systems with subsequent data on mortality, drives quality improvement, scientific research, and epidemiology that can be of particular benefit to underserved communities. (Am J Public Health. 2023;113(9):943-946. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2023.307335).


Subject(s)
Medical Records , Mortality , Public Health , Cooperative Behavior , Delivery of Health Care , Humans , Public Health Practice , Public Health Surveillance/methods
14.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e44649, 2023 05 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37204833

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mass gatherings (MGs; eg, religious, sporting, musical, sociocultural, and other occasions that draw large crowds) pose public health challenges and concerns related to global health. A leading global concern regarding MGs is the possible importation and exportation of infectious diseases as they spread from the attendees to the general population, resulting in epidemic outbreaks. Governments and health authorities use technological interventions to support public health surveillance and prevent and control infectious diseases. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to review the evidence on the effectiveness of public health digital surveillance systems for infectious disease prevention and control at MG events. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in January 2022 using the Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and Scopus databases to examine relevant articles published in English up to January 2022. Interventional studies describing or evaluating the effectiveness of public health digital surveillance systems for infectious disease prevention and control at MGs were included in the analysis. Owing to the lack of appraisal tools for interventional studies describing and evaluating public health digital surveillance systems at MGs, a critical appraisal tool was developed and used to assess the quality of the included studies. RESULTS: In total, 8 articles were included in the review, and 3 types of MGs were identified: religious (the Hajj and Prayagraj Kumbh), sporting (the Olympic and Paralympic Games, the Federation International Football Association World Cup, and the Micronesian Games), and cultural (the Festival of Pacific Arts) events. In total, 88% (7/8) of the studies described surveillance systems implemented at MG events, and 12% (1/8) of the studies described and evaluated an enhanced surveillance system that was implemented for an event. In total, 4 studies reported the implementation of a surveillance system: 2 (50%) described the enhancement of the system that was implemented for an event, 1 (25%) reported a pilot implementation of a surveillance system, and 1 (25%) reported an evaluation of an enhanced system. The types of systems investigated were 2 syndromic, 1 participatory, 1 syndromic and event-based, 1 indicator- and event-based, and 1 event-based surveillance system. In total, 62% (5/8) of the studies reported timeliness as an outcome generated after implementing or enhancing the system without measuring its effectiveness. Only 12% (1/8) of the studies followed the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines for evaluating public health surveillance systems and the outcomes of enhanced systems based on the systems' attributes to measure their effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of the review of the literature and the analysis of the included studies, there is limited evidence of the effectiveness of public health digital surveillance systems for infectious disease prevention and control at MGs because of the absence of evaluation studies.


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases , Public Health , Humans , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Mass Gatherings , Public Health Surveillance/methods
15.
Internet resource in English, Spanish, French, Portuguese | LIS -Health Information Locator | ID: lis-49301

ABSTRACT

À medida que a pandemia da COVID-19 entra em seu terceiro ano na Região das Américas, o diretor da Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde (OPAS), Jarbas Barbosa, pediu aos países que fortaleçam a vigilância e reduzam as lacunas na cobertura vacinal para acabar com a emergência e se preparar melhor para futuras crises de saúde.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/prevention & control , Americas/epidemiology , COVID-19 Vaccines , Public Health Surveillance/methods
16.
PLoS One ; 18(2): e0282101, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36827297

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Communicable diseases pose a severe threat to public health and economic growth. The traditional methods that are used for public health surveillance, however, involve many drawbacks, such as being labor intensive to operate and resulting in a lag between data collection and reporting. To effectively address the limitations of these traditional methods and to mitigate the adverse effects of these diseases, a proactive and real-time public health surveillance system is needed. Previous studies have indicated the usefulness of performing text mining on social media. OBJECTIVE: To conduct a systematic review of the literature that used textual content published to social media for the purpose of the surveillance and prediction of communicable diseases. METHODOLOGY: Broad search queries were formulated and performed in four databases. Both journal articles and conference materials were included. The quality of the studies, operationalized as reliability and validity, was assessed. This qualitative systematic review was guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. RESULTS: Twenty-three publications were included in this systematic review. All studies reported positive results for using textual social media content to surveille communicable diseases. Most studies used Twitter as a source for these data. Influenza was studied most frequently, while other communicable diseases received far less attention. Journal articles had a higher quality (reliability and validity) than conference papers. However, studies often failed to provide important information about procedures and implementation. CONCLUSION: Text mining of health-related content published on social media can serve as a novel and powerful tool for the automated, real-time, and remote monitoring of public health and for the surveillance and prediction of communicable diseases in particular. This tool can address limitations related to traditional surveillance methods, and it has the potential to supplement traditional methods for public health surveillance.


Subject(s)
Communicable Diseases , Social Media , Humans , Reproducibility of Results , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Public Health
17.
JAMA ; 329(9): 761-763, 2023 03 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36795390

ABSTRACT

This study examines the available data used to surveil state-level drug overdoses and characterizes them based on their timeliness, drug involvement, and specification of nonfatal outcomes.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid , Disclosure , Drug Overdose , Opioid-Related Disorders , Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects , Drug Overdose/epidemiology , Drug Overdose/etiology , Opioid-Related Disorders/complications , Opioid-Related Disorders/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology , Public Health Surveillance/methods
18.
Annu Rev Public Health ; 44: 55-74, 2023 04 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36626834

ABSTRACT

Public health surveillance is defined as the ongoing, systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of health data and is closely integrated with the timely dissemination of information that the public needs to know and upon which the public should act. Public health surveillance is central to modern public health practice by contributing data and information usually through a national notifiable disease reporting system (NNDRS). Although early identification and prediction of future disease trends may be technically feasible, more work is needed to improve accuracy so that policy makers can use these predictions to guide prevention and control efforts. In this article, we review the advantages and limitations of the current NNDRS in most countries, discuss some lessons learned about prevention and control from the first wave of COVID-19, and describe some technological innovations in public health surveillance, including geographic information systems (GIS), spatial modeling, artificial intelligence, information technology, data science, and the digital twin method. We conclude that the technology-driven innovative public health surveillance systems are expected to further improve the timeliness, completeness, and accuracy of case reporting during outbreaks and also enhance feedback and transparency, whereby all stakeholders should receive actionable information on control and be able to limit disease risk earlier than ever before.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Artificial Intelligence , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Geographic Information Systems , Risk Assessment , Population Surveillance/methods , Public Health
19.
Public Health Rep ; 138(3): 410-415, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35686292

ABSTRACT

During 2014-2019, the Utah Department of Health (UDOH) enhanced its surveillance program for acute hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections by mandating electronic reporting of negative HCV test results in 2015 and liver function test results in 2016. UDOH also engaged with blood and plasma donation centers beginning in 2014 and syringe exchange programs in 2018 to encourage manual reporting of negative HCV test results from facilities without electronic reporting capabilities. UDOH hepatitis surveillance staff also provided training for case investigations in 2017. The number of cases detected increased 14-fold, from 9 during 2012 to 127 during 2019. In 2019, of 127 cases, 55% (n = 70) were detected through negative HCV test results reported electronically before positive test results (ie, recent seroconversions), 25% (n = 32) through positive HCV test results and elevated liver function test results, 18% (n = 23) through manually reported negative HCV test results, and 2% (n = 2) through positive HCV test results and clinical evidence. Challenges to surveillance included accessing patients for investigations and engaging donation centers in reporting negative test results. Utah's experience demonstrates practical considerations for improving surveillance of acute HCV infections.


Subject(s)
Disease Notification , Hepatitis C , Mandatory Reporting , Public Health Surveillance , Humans , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Acute Disease , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Public Health Practice , Liver Function Tests , Utah/epidemiology
20.
Arq. ciências saúde UNIPAR ; 26(3): 693-704, set-dez. 2022.
Article in Portuguese | LILACS | ID: biblio-1399328

ABSTRACT

INTRODUÇÃO: A dengue é considerada uma das principais arboviroses mundiais, caracterizada no Brasil pelo aumento de casos graves e óbitos. OBJETIVO: realizar análise espacial dos casos prováveis de dengue em São Luís - MA. MÉTODOS: Estudo ecológico de base populacional dos casos prováveis de dengue, notificados no Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação (SINAN) em 2015 e 2016, ocorridos no município de São Luís ­ MA. Foram georreferenciados 4.681 casos prováveis de dengue por setores censitários, calculadas as taxas de incidência e ajustadas através do estimador bayesiano empírico local. Foi utilizado o estimador de densidade de Kernel e Moran Global e Local para a análise espacial. RESULTADOS: Evidenciou-se através do estimador de densidade de Kernel, áreas quentes (alta-densidade) nos setores censitários da região noroeste do município. As taxas de incidência foram ajustadas pela aplicação do método bayesiano empírico local, identificando-se maior quantidade de setores com média e alta incidência. A partir do índice de Moran global foi evidenciada autocorrelação espacial positiva estatisticamente significativa para as taxas de incidência de dengue (I=0,69; p<0,001) e para as taxas de incidência ajustadas pelo método bayesiano (I=0,80; p<0,001). De acordo com o índice de Moran local, identificou-se clusters de setores de alta incidência de dengue em áreas com alta densidade populacional na região nordeste e noroeste do município. CONCLUSÃO: A pesquisa demonstrou que os estimadores bayesianos ajudaram a minimizar os problemas de subnotificação e da influência do tamanho populacional nos setores censitários.


INTRODUCTION: Dengue is considered one of the main arboviruses in the world, characterized in Brazil by the increase in severe cases and deaths. OBJECTIVE: to perform spatial analysis of probable dengue cases in São Luís - MA. METHODS: Population-based ecological study of probable dengue cases, reported in the Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) in 2015 and 2016, which took place in the city of São Luís - MA. 4,681 probable dengue cases were georeferenced by census sectors, incidence rates were calculated and adjusted using the local empirical Bayesian estimator. The Kernel and Moran Global and Local density estimator was used for spatial analysis. RESULTS: Hot areas (high-density) in the census sectors of the northwest region of the municipality were evidenced through the Kernel density estimator. Incidence rates were adjusted by applying the local empirical Bayesian method, identifying a greater number of sectors with medium and high incidence. From the global Moran index, statistically significant positive spatial autocorrelation was evidenced for the dengue incidence rates (I = 0.69; p <0.001) and for the incidence rates adjusted by the Bayesian method (I = 0.80; p <0.001). According to the local Moran index, clusters of sectors with a high incidence of dengue were identified in areas with high population density in the northeast and northwest regions of the municipality. CONCLUSION: The research demonstrated that Bayesian estimators helped to minimize the problems of underreporting and the influence of population size on census tracts.


INTRODUCCIÓN: El dengue es considerado una de las principales arbovirosis a nivel mundial, caracterizada en Brasil por el aumento de casos graves y muertes. OBJETIVO: Realizar un análisis espacial de los casos probables de dengue en São Luís - MA. MÉTODOS: Estudio ecológico de base poblacional de los casos probables de dengue, notificados en el Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação (SINAN) en 2015 y 2016, ocurridos en el municipio de São Luís - MA. Se georreferenciaron 4.681 casos probables de dengue por sectores censales, se calcularon las tasas de incidencia y se ajustaron mediante el estimador empírico bayesiano local. Para el análisis espacial se utilizó el estimador de densidad Kernel y Moran global y local. RESULTADOS: Se evidenció a través del estimador de densidad Kernel, áreas calientes (de alta densidad) en los sectores censales de la región noroeste del municipio. Las tasas de incidencia se ajustaron mediante la aplicación del método bayesiano empírico local, identificándose una mayor cantidad de setores con incidencia media y alta. A partir del índice global de Moran se evidenció una autocorrelación espacial positiva estadísticamente significativa para las tasas de incidencia de dengue (I=0,69; p<0,001) y para las tasas de incidencia ajustadas por el método bayesiano (I=0,80; p<0,001). Según el índice local de Moran, se identificaron clusters de sectores de alta incidencia de dengue en áreas con alta densidad de población en las regiones noreste y noroeste del municipio. CONCLUSIÓN: La investigación demostró que los estimadores bayesianos ayudaron a minimizar los problemas de infradeclaración y la influencia del tamaño de la población en los sectores censales.


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Incidence , Dengue/prevention & control , Public Health Surveillance/methods , Spatial Analysis , Public Health/statistics & numerical data , Population Density , Epidemiological Monitoring , Health Information Systems/instrumentation , Census Tract
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