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1.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e082417, 2024 May 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38754884

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate whether a significant trend regarding inpatient falls in Swiss acute care hospitals between 2011 and 2019 could be confirmed on a national level, and whether the trend persists after risk adjustment for patient-related fall risk factors. DESIGN: A secondary data analysis was conducted based on annual multicentre cross-sectional studies carried out between 2011 and 2019. SETTING: All Swiss acute care hospitals were obliged to participate in the surveys. Except for emergency departments, outpatient wards and recovery rooms, all wards were included. PARTICIPANTS: All inpatients aged 18 or older who had given their informed consent and whose data were complete and available were included. OUTCOME MEASURE: Whether a patient had fallen in the hospital was retrospectively determined on the survey day by asking patients the following question: Have you fallen in this institution in the last 30 days? RESULTS: Based on data from 110 892 patients from 222 Swiss hospitals, a national inpatient fall rate of 3.7% was determined over the 9 survey years. A significant linear decreasing trend (p=0.004) was observed using the Cochran-Armitage trend test. After adjusting for patient-related fall risk factors in a two-level random intercept logistic regression model, a significant non-linear decreasing trend was found at the national level. CONCLUSIONS: A significant decrease in fall rates in Swiss hospitals, indicating an improvement in the quality of care provided, could be confirmed both descriptively and after risk adjustment. However, the non-linear trend, that is, an initial decrease in inpatient falls that flattens out over time, also indicates a possible future increase in fall rates. Monitoring of falls in hospitals should be maintained at the national level. Risk adjustment accounts for the observed increase in patient-related fall risk factors in hospitals, thus promoting a fairer comparison of the quality of care provided over time.


Subject(s)
Accidental Falls , Humans , Accidental Falls/statistics & numerical data , Switzerland , Cross-Sectional Studies , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Aged, 80 and over , Inpatients/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Risk Adjustment/methods , Logistic Models , Young Adult , Adolescent
2.
Surg Endosc ; 38(6): 3195-3203, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38632118

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We aimed to study the impact of operative time on textbook outcome (TO), especially postoperative complications and length of postoperative stay in minimally invasive esophagectomy. METHODS: Patients undergoing esophagectomy for curative intent within a prospectively maintained database from 2016 to 2022 were retrieved. Relationships between operative time and outcomes were quantified using multivariable mixed-effects models with medical teams random effects. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) plotting was used to characterize correlation between operative time and the odds for achieving TO. RESULTS: Data of 2210 patients were examined. Median operative time was 270 mins (interquartile range, 233-313) for all cases. Overall, 902 patients (40.8%) achieved TO. Among non-TO patients, 226 patients (10.2%) had a major complication (grade ≥ III), 433 patients (19.6%) stayed postoperatively longer than 14 days. Multivariable analysis revealed operative time was associated with higher odds of major complications (odds ratio 1.005, P < 0.001) and prolonged postoperative stay (≥ 14 days) (odds ratio 1.003, P = 0.006). The relationship between operative time and TO exhibited an inverse-U shape, with 298 mins identified as the tipping point for the highest odds of achieving TO. CONCLUSIONS: Longer operative time displayed an adverse influence on postoperative morbidity and increased lengths of postoperative stay. In the present study, the TO displayed an inverse U-shaped correlation with operative time, with a significant peak at 298 mins. Potential factors contributing to prolonged operative time may potentiate targets for quality metrics and risk-adjustment process.


Subject(s)
Esophagectomy , Hospitals, High-Volume , Length of Stay , Operative Time , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Esophagectomy/methods , Esophagectomy/adverse effects , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Aged , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Hospitals, High-Volume/statistics & numerical data , Esophageal Neoplasms/surgery , Treatment Outcome , Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures/methods , Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , Minimally Invasive Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Risk Adjustment/methods , Laparoscopy/statistics & numerical data , Laparoscopy/methods , Laparoscopy/adverse effects
3.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 9633, 2024 04 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38671182

ABSTRACT

In the current study, we demonstrate the use of a quality framework to review the process for improving the quality and safety of the patient in the health care department. The researchers paid attention to assessing the performance of the health care service, where the data is usually heterogeneous to patient's health conditions. In our study, the support vector machine (SVM) regression model is used to handle the challenge of adjusting the risk factors attached to the patients. Further, the design of exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts is proposed based on the residuals obtained through SVM regression model. Analyzing real cardiac surgery patient data, we employed the SVM method to gauge patient condition. The resulting SVM-EWMA chart, fashioned via SVM modeling, revealed superior shift detection capabilities and demonstrated enhanced efficacy compared to the risk-adjusted EWMA control chart.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures , Support Vector Machine , Humans , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/methods , Risk Factors , Risk Adjustment/methods
4.
Surgery ; 175(6): 1554-1561, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38523020

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Few objective, real-time measurements of surgeon performance exist. The risk-adjusted cumulative sum is a novel method that can track surgeon-level outcomes on a continuous basis. The objective of this study was to demonstrate the feasibility of using risk-adjusted cumulative sum to monitor outcomes after colorectal operations and identify clinically relevant performance variations. METHODS: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was queried to obtain patient-level data for 1,603 colorectal operations at a high-volume center from 2011 to 2020. For each case, expected risks of morbidity, mortality, reoperation, readmission, and prolonged length of stay were estimated using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program risk calculator. Risk-adjusted cumulative sum curves were generated to signal observed-to-expected odds ratios of 1.5 (poor performance) and 0.5 (exceptional performance). Control limits were set based on a false positive rate of 5% (α = 0.05). RESULTS: The cohort included data on 7 surgeons (those with more than 20 cases in the study period). Institutional observed versus expected outcomes were the following: morbidity 12.5% (vs 15.0%), mortality 2.5% (vs 2.0%), prolonged length of stay 19.7% (vs 19.1%), reoperation 11.1% (vs 11.3%), and 30-day readmission 6.1% (vs 4.8%). Risk-adjusted cumulative sum accurately demonstrated within- and between-surgeon performance variations across these metrics and proved effective when considering division-level data. CONCLUSION: Risk-adjusted cumulative sum adjusts for patient-level risk factors to provide real-time data on surgeon-specific outcomes. This approach enables prompt identification of performance outliers and can contribute to quality assurance, root-cause analysis, and incentivization not only at the surgeon level but at divisional and institutional levels as well.


Subject(s)
Feasibility Studies , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Surgeons/statistics & numerical data , Surgeons/standards , Quality Improvement , Risk Adjustment/methods , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Aged , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Clinical Competence/statistics & numerical data , Reoperation/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Risk Assessment/methods
5.
Circ Cardiovasc Interv ; 17(3): e012834, 2024 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38258562

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Current metrics used to adjust for case mix complexity in congenital cardiac catheterization are becoming outdated due to the introduction of novel procedures, innovative technologies, and expanding patient subgroups. This study aims to develop a risk adjustment methodology introducing a novel, clinically meaningful adverse event outcome and incorporating a modern understanding of risk. METHODS: Data from diagnostic only and interventional cases with defined case types were collected for patients ≤18 years of age and ≥2.5 kg at all Congenital Cardiac Catheterization Project on Outcomes participating centers. The derivation data set consisted of cases performed from 2014 to 2017, and the validation data set consisted of cases performed from 2019 to 2020. Severity level 3 adverse events were stratified into 3 tiers by clinical impact (3a/b/c); the study outcome was clinically meaningful adverse events, severity level ≥3b (3bc/4/5). RESULTS: The derivation data set contained 15 224 cases, and the validation data set included 9462 cases. Clinically meaningful adverse event rates were 4.5% and 4.2% in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The final risk adjustment model included age <30 days, Procedural Risk in Congenital Cardiac Catheterization risk category, and hemodynamic vulnerability score (C statistic, 0.70; Hosmer-Lemeshow P value, 0.83; Brier score, 0.042). CONCLUSIONS: CHARM II (Congenital Heart Disease Adjustment for Risk Method II) risk adjustment methodology allows for equitable comparison of clinically meaningful adverse events among institutions and operators with varying patient populations and case mix complexity performing pediatric cardiac catheterization.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Catheterization , Heart Defects, Congenital , Child , Humans , Infant , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , Cardiac Catheterization/adverse effects , Cardiac Catheterization/methods , Heart Defects, Congenital/diagnosis , Heart Defects, Congenital/therapy , Hemodynamics , Risk Adjustment/methods
6.
Health Serv Res ; 59(3): e14272, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38205638

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To study diagnosis coding intensity across Medicare programs, and to examine the impacts of changes in the risk model adopted by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) for 2024. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SETTING: Claims and encounter data from the CMS data warehouse for Traditional Medicare (TM) beneficiaries and Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees. STUDY DESIGN: We created cohorts of MA enrollees, TM beneficiaries attributed to Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs), and TM non-ACO beneficiaries. Using the 2019 Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) software from CMS, we computed HCC prevalence and scores from base records, then computed incremental prevalence and scores from health risk assessments (HRA) and chart review (CR) records. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: We used CMS's 2019 random 20% sample of individuals and their 2018 diagnosis history, retaining those with 12 months of Parts A/B/D coverage in 2018. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Measured health risks for MA and TM ACO individuals were comparable in base records for propensity-score matched cohorts, while TM non-ACO beneficiaries had lower risk. Incremental health risk due to diagnoses in HRA records increased across coverage cohorts in line with incentives to maximize risk scores: +0.9% for TM non-ACO, +1.2% for TM ACO, and + 3.6% for MA. Including HRA and CR records, the MA risk scores increased by 9.8% in the matched cohort. We identify the HCC groups with the greatest sensitivity to these sources of coding intensity among MA enrollees, comparing those groups to the new model's areas of targeted change. CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with previous literature, we find increased health risk in MA associated with HRA and CR records. We also demonstrate the meaningful impacts of HRAs on health risk measurement for TM coverage cohorts. CMS's model changes have the potential to reduce coding intensity, but they do not target the full scope of hierarchies sensitive to coding intensity.


Subject(s)
Accountable Care Organizations , Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S. , Clinical Coding , Medicare , Risk Adjustment , Humans , United States , Risk Adjustment/methods , Male , Aged , Female , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Accountable Care Organizations/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over , Medicare Part C/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment , Insurance Claim Review , Reimbursement, Incentive/statistics & numerical data
7.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 23(1): 1334, 2023 Dec 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38041081

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The recent rising health spending intrigued efficiency and cost-based performance measures. However, mortality risk adjustment methods are still under consideration in cost estimation, though methods specific to cost estimate have been developed. Therefore, we aimed to compare the performance of diagnosis-based risk adjustment methods based on the episode-based cost to utilize in efficiency measurement. METHODS: We used the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service-National Patient Sample as the data source. A separate linear regression model was constructed within each Major Diagnostic Category (MDC). Individual models included explanatory (demographics, insurance type, institutional type, Adjacent Diagnosis Related Group [ADRG], diagnosis-based risk adjustment methods) and response variables (episode-based costs). The following risk adjustment methods were used: Refined Diagnosis Related Group (RDRG), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), National Health Insurance Service Hierarchical Condition Categories (NHIS-HCC), and Department of Health and Human Service-HCC (HHS-HCC). The model accuracy was compared using R-squared (R2), mean absolute error, and predictive ratio. For external validity, we used the 2017 dataset. RESULTS: The model including RDRG improved the mean adjusted R2 from 40.8% to 45.8% compared to the adjacent DRG. RDRG was inferior to both HCCs (RDRG adjusted R2 45.8%, NHIS-HCC adjusted R2 46.3%, HHS-HCC adjusted R2 45.9%) but superior to CCI (adjusted R2 42.7%). Model performance varied depending on the MDC groups. While both HCCs had the highest explanatory power in 12 MDCs, including MDC P (Newborns), RDRG showed the highest adjusted R2 in 6 MDCs, such as MDC O (pregnancy, childbirth, and puerperium). The overall mean absolute errors were the lowest in the model with RDRG ($1,099). The predictive ratios showed similar patterns among the models regardless of the  subgroups according to age, sex, insurance type, institutional type, and the upper and lower 10th percentiles of actual costs. External validity also showed a similar pattern in the model performance. CONCLUSIONS: Our research showed that either NHIS-HCC or HHS-HCC can be useful in adjusting comorbidities for episode-based costs in the process of efficiency measurement.


Subject(s)
Insurance, Health , Risk Adjustment , Female , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Risk Adjustment/methods , Comorbidity , Diagnosis-Related Groups , Linear Models
8.
J Gen Intern Med ; 38(15): 3303-3312, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37296357

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Methods to accurately predict the risk of in-hospital mortality are important for applications including quality assessment of healthcare institutions and research. OBJECTIVE: To update and validate the Kaiser Permanente inpatient risk adjustment methodology (KP method) to predict in-hospital mortality, using open-source tools to measure comorbidity and diagnosis groups, and removing troponin which is difficult to standardize across modern clinical assays. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using electronic health record data from GEMINI. GEMINI is a research collaborative that collects administrative and clinical data from hospital information systems. PARTICIPANTS: Adult general medicine inpatients at 28 hospitals in Ontario, Canada, between April 2010 and December 2022. MAIN MEASURES: The outcome was in-hospital mortality, modeled by diagnosis group using 56 logistic regressions. We compared models with and without troponin as an input to the laboratory-based acute physiology score. We fit and validated the updated method using internal-external cross-validation at 28 hospitals from April 2015 to December 2022. KEY RESULTS: In 938,103 hospitalizations with 7.2% in-hospital mortality, the updated KP method accurately predicted the risk of mortality. The c-statistic at the median hospital was 0.866 (see Fig. 3) (25th-75th 0.848-0.876, range 0.816-0.927) and calibration was strong for nearly all patients at all hospitals. The 95th percentile absolute difference between predicted and observed probabilities was 0.038 at the median hospital (25th-75th 0.024-0.057, range 0.006-0.118). Model performance was very similar with and without troponin in a subset of 7 hospitals, and performance was similar with and without troponin for patients hospitalized for heart failure and acute myocardial infarction. CONCLUSIONS: An update to the KP method accurately predicted in-hospital mortality for general medicine inpatients in 28 hospitals in Ontario, Canada. This updated method can be implemented in a wider range of settings using common open-source tools.


Subject(s)
Inpatients , Risk Adjustment , Adult , Humans , Risk Adjustment/methods , Hospital Mortality , Retrospective Studies , Ontario/epidemiology , Troponin
9.
Int J Health Econ Manag ; 23(2): 303-324, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36859652

ABSTRACT

Health insurance markets with community-rated premiums typically use risk equalization (RE) to compensate insurers for predictable profits on people in good health and predictable losses on those with a chronic disease. Over the past decades RE models have evolved from simple demographic models to sophisticated health-based models. Despite the improvements, however, non-trivial predictable profits and losses remain. This study examines to what extent the Dutch RE model can be further improved by redesigning one key morbidity adjuster: the Diagnosis-based Cost Groups (DCGs). This redesign includes (1) revision of the underlying hospital diagnoses and treatments ('dxgroups'), (2) application of a new clustering procedure, and (3) allowing multi-qualification. We combine data on spending, risk characteristics and hospital claims for all individuals with basic health insurance in the Netherlands in 2017 (N = 17 m) with morbidity data from general practitioners (GPs) for a subsample (N = 1.3 m). We first simulate a baseline RE model (i.e., the RE model of 2020) and then modify three important features of the DCGs. In a second step, we evaluate the effect of the modifications in terms of predictable profits and losses for subgroups of consumers that are potentially vulnerable to risk selection. While less prominent results are found for subgroups derived from the GP data, our results demonstrate substantial reductions in predictable profits and losses at the level of dxgroups and for individuals with multiple dxgroups. An important takeaway from our paper is that smart design of morbidity adjusters in RE can help mitigate selection incentives.


Subject(s)
Multimorbidity , Risk Adjustment , Humans , Risk Adjustment/methods , Insurance, Health , Netherlands , Cluster Analysis
10.
J Am Coll Surg ; 235(5): 736-742, 2022 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36102549

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To ensure validity and acceptance of NSQIP risk-adjusted benchmarking, it is important that adjustments adequately control for hospitals that vary in their proportions of lower- or higher-risk operations (combined risk for procedure and patient). This issue was addressed in separate empirical and simulation studies. STUDY DESIGN: For the empirical study, potential miscalibration bias favoring hospitals that do lower-risk operations or disfavoring hospitals that do higher-risk operations was evaluated for 14 modeled outcomes using NSQIP data. A determination was also made as to whether there was a relationship between mean hospital operation risk and benchmarking results (log odds ratio). In the simulation study of the same 14 outcomes, hospital benchmarked performance was evaluated when sampled cases were reconstituted to include either a larger proportion of lower-risk operations or a larger proportion of higher-risk operations. RESULTS: Miscalibration favoring either lower- or higher-risk operations was absent, as were important associations between operative risk and hospital log odds ratios (most model R 2 less than 0.01). In the simulation, there were no substantial changes in log odds ratios when greater percentages of either lower- or higher-risk operations were included in a hospital's sample (nonsignificant p values and effect sizes less than 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: These results should enhance NSQIP participants' confidence in the adequacy of NSQIP patient and procedure risk-adjustment methods. NSQIP participants may rely on benchmarking findings, and implement quality improvement efforts based on them, without concern that they are biased by a preponderance of lower or higher risk operations.


Subject(s)
Benchmarking , Postoperative Complications , Benchmarking/methods , Diagnosis-Related Groups , Humans , Quality Improvement , Risk Adjustment/methods , United States
11.
PLoS One ; 17(7): e0270468, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35802678

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study assessed risk adjustment performance of six comorbidity indices in two categories of comorbidity measures: diagnosis-based comorbidity indices and medication-based ones in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study. Data used in this study were sourced from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. The study population comprised all patients who were hospitalized due to COPD for the first time in the target year of 2012. Each qualified patient was individually followed for one year starting from the index date to assess two outcomes of interest, medical expenditures within one year after discharge and in-hospital mortality of patients. To assess how well the added comorbidity measures would improve the fitted model, we calculated the log-likelihood ratio statistic G2. Subsequently, we compared risk adjustment performance of the comorbidity indices by using the Harrell c-statistic measure derived from multiple logistic regression models. RESULTS: Analytical results demonstrated that that comorbidity measures were significant predictors of medical expenditures and mortality of COPD patients. Specifically, in the category of diagnosis-based comorbidity indices the Elixhauser index was superior to other indices, while the RxRisk-V index was a stronger predictor in the framework of medication-based codes, for gauging both medical expenditures and in-hospital mortality by utilizing information from the index hospitalization only as well as the index and prior hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, this work has ascertained that comorbidity indices are significant predictors of medical expenditures and mortality of COPD patients. Based on the study findings, we propose that when designing the payment schemes for patients with chronic diseases, the health authority should make adjustments in accordance with the burden of health care caused by comorbid conditions.


Subject(s)
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Risk Adjustment , Comorbidity , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Adjustment/methods
12.
Neurosurgery ; 91(1): 123-131, 2022 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35550453

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) hierarchical condition category (HCC) coding is a risk adjustment model that allows for the estimation of risk-and cost-associated with health care provision. Current models may not include key factors that fully delineate the risk associated with spine surgery. OBJECTIVE: To augment CMS HCC risk adjustment methodology with socioeconomic data to improve its predictive capabilities for spine surgery. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample was queried for spinal fusion, and the data was merged with county-level coverage and socioeconomic status variables obtained from the Brookings Institute. We predicted outcomes (death, nonroutine discharge, length of stay [LOS], total charges, and perioperative complication) with pairs of hierarchical, mixed effects logistic regression models-one using CMS HCC score alone and another augmenting CMS HCC scores with demographic and socioeconomic status variables. Models were compared using receiver operating characteristic curves. Variable importance was assessed in conjunction with Wald testing for model optimization. RESULTS: We analyzed 653 815 patients. Expanded models outperformed models using CMS HCC score alone for mortality, nonroutine discharge, LOS, total charges, and complications. For expanded models, variable importance analyses demonstrated that CMS HCC score was of chief importance for models of mortality, LOS, total charges, and complications. For the model of nonroutine discharge, age was the most important variable. For the model of total charges, unemployment rate was nearly as important as CMS HCC score. CONCLUSION: The addition of key demographic and socioeconomic characteristics substantially improves the CMS HCC risk-adjustment models when modeling spinal fusion outcomes. This finding may have important implications for payers, hospitals, and policymakers.


Subject(s)
Risk Adjustment , Spinal Fusion , Aged , Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S. , Humans , Length of Stay , Medicare , Risk Adjustment/methods , United States/epidemiology
13.
Eur J Health Econ ; 23(9): 1437-1453, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35129731

ABSTRACT

Most countries that apply risk-equalization in their health insurance market(s) perform risk-equalization on medical claims but do not include other components of the insurance premium, such as administrative costs. Using fixed effects panel regressions from individual insurers in Australia, Germany, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the US, we find evidence that health insurers with a high morbidity population on average have higher administrative costs. We argue that administrative costs should also be included in risk-equalization and we show that such equalization results in additional equalization payments nontrivial in size. Using examples from Germany and the US, we show how in practice policymakers can include administrative costs in risk-equalization. We are skeptical about applying risk-equalization to other components of the insurance premium, such as profits or costs related to solvency requirements of insurers.


Subject(s)
Insurance, Health , Risk Adjustment , Humans , Risk Adjustment/methods , Insurance Carriers , Costs and Cost Analysis , Morbidity
14.
Health Econ ; 31(5): 784-805, 2022 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35137476

ABSTRACT

Health insurance markets with community-rated premiums typically include risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate selection problems. Over the past decades, RA systems have evolved from simple demographic models to sophisticated morbidity-based models. Even the most sophisticated models, however, tend to overcompensate people with persistently low spending and undercompensate those with persistently high spending. This paper compares three methods that exploit spending-level persistence for improving health plan payment systems: (1) implementation of spending-based risk adjustors, (2) implementation of high-risk pooling for people with multiple-year high spending, and (3) indirect use of spending persistence via constrained regression. Based on incentive measures for risk selection and cost control, we conclude that a combination of the last two options can substantially outperform the first, which is currently used in the health plan payment system in the Netherlands.


Subject(s)
Health Expenditures , Insurance, Health , Humans , Medical Assistance , Morbidity , Risk Adjustment/methods , United States
16.
Isr Med Assoc J ; 24(1): 11-14, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35077039

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Emergency surgical repair is the standard approach to the management of an incarcerated abdominal wall hernia (IAWH). In cases of very high-risk patients, manual closed reduction (MCR) of IAWH may prevent the need for emergency surgery. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the safety, success rate, and complications of MCR in the management of IAWH conducted in an emergency department. METHODS: The data of all patients who underwent MCR between 2012 and 2018 were retrospectively collected. Patient demographics, presenting symptoms, clinical parameters, and management during the hospitalization were retrieved from the medical charts. RESULTS: Overall, 548 patients underwent MCR during the study period. The success rate was 25.4% (139 patients). One patient had a complication that required a laparotomy 2 days after his discharge. A recurrent incarceration occurred in 23%, 60% of them underwent successful repeated MCR and the others underwent emergency surgery. Six patients (1.4%) had a bowel perforation after a failed MCR. CONCLUSIONS: MCR can be performed safely in the emergency department and should be consider as an option to treat IAWH, especially in high operative risk patients.


Subject(s)
Hernia, Abdominal , Herniorrhaphy , Intestinal Perforation , Laparotomy , Postoperative Complications , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Female , Hernia, Abdominal/complications , Hernia, Abdominal/diagnosis , Hernia, Abdominal/epidemiology , Hernia, Abdominal/surgery , Herniorrhaphy/adverse effects , Herniorrhaphy/methods , Herniorrhaphy/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Intestinal Perforation/diagnosis , Intestinal Perforation/etiology , Intestinal Perforation/surgery , Israel/epidemiology , Laparotomy/adverse effects , Laparotomy/methods , Male , Middle Aged , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/surgery , Reoperation/methods , Reoperation/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Risk Adjustment/methods , Risk Factors
17.
CNS Drugs ; 36(2): 143-165, 2022 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35006557

ABSTRACT

Apathy is a highly prevalent symptom of dementia. Despite its association with faster cognitive and functional decline, decreased quality of life and increased mortality, no therapies are currently approved to treat apathy. The objective of this review was to summarize the drugs that have been studied for apathy treatment in patients with dementia (specifically Alzheimer's disease [AD], Huntington's disease [HD] and Parkinson's disease [PD] dementia; dementia with Lewy bodies [DLB]; vascular dementia [VaD]; and frontotemporal dementia [FTD]) based on their putative mechanisms of action. A search for relevant studies was performed using ClinicalTrials.gov and PubMed. Eligible studies were randomized controlled trials that were available in English and included at least one drug intervention and an apathy measure scale. A total of 52 studies that included patients with AD (n = 33 studies), PD (n = 5), HD (n = 1), DLB (n = 1), FTD (n = 3), VaD (n = 1), VaD and AD (n = 4), VaD and mixed dementia (n = 1), and AD, VaD and mixed dementia (n = 3) were eligible for inclusion. These studies showed that methylphenidate, olanzapine, cholinesterase inhibitors, choline alphoscerate, citalopram, memantine, and mibampator are the only beneficial drugs in AD-related apathy. For PD-related apathy, only methylphenidate, rotigotine and rivastigmine showed benefits. Regarding FTD- and DLB-related apathy, initial studies with agomelatine and rivastigmine showed benefits, respectively. As for HD- and only-VaD-related apathy, no drugs demonstrated benefits. With regards to mixed populations, memantine, galantamine and gingko biloba showed effects on apathy in the AD plus VaD populations and nimodipine in the VaD plus mixed dementia populations. Of the drugs with positive results, some are already prescribed to patients with dementia to target other symptoms, some have characteristics-such as medical contraindications (e.g., cardiovascular) and adverse effects (e.g., gastrointestinal disturbances)-that limit their clinical use and some require further study. Future studies should investigate apathy as a primary outcome, making use of appropriate sample sizes and study durations to ensure durability of results. There should also be a consensus on using scales with high test/retest and interrater reliabilities to limit the inconsistencies between clinical trials. In conclusion, there are currently no US FDA-approved drugs that target apathy in dementia, so there is an ongoing need for the development of such drugs.


Subject(s)
Apathy/drug effects , Central Nervous System Stimulants/pharmacology , Dementia , Dementia/classification , Dementia/drug therapy , Dementia/psychology , Dopamine Agonists/pharmacology , Drug Development , Humans , Patient Selection , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Risk Adjustment/methods , Selective Serotonin Reuptake Inhibitors/pharmacology
18.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 163(1): 28-35.e1, 2022 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32331819

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether there is an association between prehospital transfer distance and surgical mortality in emergency thoracic aortic surgery. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using a national clinical database in Japan was conducted. Patients who underwent emergency thoracic aortic surgery from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2016, were included. Patients with type B dissection were excluded. A multilevel logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association between prehospital transfer distance and surgical mortality. In addition, an instrumental variable analysis was performed to address unmeasured confounding. RESULTS: A total of 12,004 patients underwent emergency thoracic aortic surgeries at 495 hospitals. Surgical mortality was 13.8%. The risk-adjusted mortality odds ratio for standardized distance (mean 12.8 km, standard deviation 15.2 km) was 0.94 (95% confidence interval, 0.87-1.01; P = .09). Instrumental variable analysis did not reveal a significant association between transfer distance and surgical mortality as well. CONCLUSIONS: No significant association was found between surgical mortality and prehospital transfer distance in emergency thoracic aortic surgery cases. Suspected cases of acute thoracic aortic syndrome may be transferred safely to distant high-volume hospitals.


Subject(s)
Aorta, Thoracic/surgery , Aortic Diseases , Emergency Medical Services , Thoracic Surgical Procedures , Triage , Acute Disease , Aged , Aortic Diseases/diagnosis , Aortic Diseases/mortality , Aortic Diseases/physiopathology , Aortic Diseases/surgery , Emergencies/epidemiology , Emergency Medical Services/organization & administration , Emergency Medical Services/statistics & numerical data , Female , Health Services Accessibility/statistics & numerical data , Hospitals, High-Volume , Humans , Japan , Male , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Retrospective Studies , Risk Adjustment/methods , Risk Factors , Thoracic Surgical Procedures/methods , Thoracic Surgical Procedures/mortality , Thoracic Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , Time-to-Treatment/standards , Time-to-Treatment/statistics & numerical data , Triage/organization & administration , Triage/standards
19.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 163(1): 16-23.e7, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32334886

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Spinal cord ischemia (SCI) is a devastating complication of thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm repair. We aim to characterize current practices pertaining to SCI prevention and treatment across Canada. METHODS: Two questionnaires were developed by the Canadian Thoracic Aortic Collaborative and the Canadian Cardiovascular Critical Care Society targeting aortic surgeons and intensivists. A list of experts in the management of patients at risk of SCI was developed, with representation from each of the Canadian centers that perform complex aortic surgery. RESULTS: The response rate was 91% for both intensivists (21/23), and from cardiac and vascular surgeons (39/43). Most surgeons agreed that staging is important during endovascular repair of extent II thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (60%) but not for open repair (34%). All of the surgeons felt prophylactic lumbar drains were effective in reducing SCI, whereas only 66.7% of intensivists felt that lumbar drains were effective (P < .001). There was consensus among surgeons over when to employ lumbar drains. A majority of surgeons preferred to keep the hemoglobin over 100 g/L if the patient demonstrated loss of lower-extremity function, whereas most intensivists felt a target of 80 g/L was adequate (P < .001). Management of perioperative antihypertensives, use of intraoperative adjuncts, and management of venous thromboembolism prophylaxis in the presence of a lumbar drain, were highly variable. CONCLUSIONS: We observed some consensus but considerable variability in the approach to SCI prevention and management across Canada. Future studies focused on the areas of variability may lead to more consistent and improved care for this high-risk population.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use , Aortic Aneurysm, Thoracic/surgery , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation , Drainage/methods , Endovascular Procedures , Lumbosacral Region , Postoperative Complications , Spinal Cord Ischemia , Aged , Attitude of Health Personnel , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects , Blood Vessel Prosthesis Implantation/methods , Canada/epidemiology , Consensus , Endovascular Procedures/adverse effects , Endovascular Procedures/methods , Female , Hemoglobins/analysis , Humans , Lumbosacral Region/pathology , Lumbosacral Region/surgery , Male , Paraparesis/diagnosis , Paraparesis/etiology , Paraparesis/prevention & control , Perioperative Care/methods , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/physiopathology , Postoperative Complications/prevention & control , Postoperative Complications/therapy , Risk Adjustment/methods , Spinal Cord Ischemia/blood , Spinal Cord Ischemia/etiology , Spinal Cord Ischemia/physiopathology , Spinal Cord Ischemia/prevention & control
20.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 163(1): 69-77, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32387164

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The femoral artery is the preferred vascular access to perform transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). However, the optimal alternative approach has not been elucidated in patients who are not candidates for a transfemoral (TF) access. The objective of this study was to compare the outcomes of TAVR performed by the transcarotid (TC) compared with the TF approach. METHODS: This was a single-center study that included 526 consecutive patients who underwent TAVR between 2015 and 2019. TC-TAVR was performed in 127 and TF-TAVR in 399 patients. Postprocedural and 30-day clinical events were evaluated according to main access (TC vs TF) using a multivariate logistic regression model. One-year survival and freedom from neurological events were also evaluated. RESULTS: The prevalence of diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary artery disease, and peripheral vascular disease was higher in the TC group. In-hospital mortality (3.2% vs 2.0%, adjusted odds ratio, 1.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-7.15; P = .39), and 30-day stroke (2.4% vs 3.3%; odds ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.21-3.41; P = .81), were similar between groups as were other outcomes: procedural success (98.4% vs 97.0%; P = .52), 30-day cumulative mortality (4.8% vs 2.8%; P = .26), major vascular complication (2.4% vs 4.5%; P = .25), and major/life-threatening bleeding (4.7% vs 6.0%; P = .41) (TC vs TF, respectively). No differences were found among groups regarding survival or neurological events at 1-year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The TC approach is a safe alternate-access strategy for TAVR, and is associated with similar outcomes compared with TF-TAVR, despite a higher disease burden in TC patients.


Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis , Carotid Arteries/surgery , Catheterization, Peripheral/methods , Femoral Artery/surgery , Hemorrhage , Postoperative Complications , Stroke , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology , Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery , Canada/epidemiology , Female , Hemorrhage/diagnosis , Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Hemorrhage/etiology , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care , Postoperative Complications/diagnosis , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/mortality , Risk Adjustment/methods , Risk Factors , Stroke/diagnosis , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/etiology , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/adverse effects , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/methods , Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/statistics & numerical data
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