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1.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(6): e2415917, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38857052

ABSTRACT

This prognostic study analyzes the accuracy of the Phoenix Sepsis Score for the classification of attributable mortality risk in children with cancer presenting to the intensive care.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms , Sepsis , Humans , Neoplasms/mortality , Child , Female , Male , Sepsis/mortality , Child, Preschool , Adolescent , Infant , Severity of Illness Index , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors
2.
Medicina (Kaunas) ; 60(5)2024 Apr 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38792893

ABSTRACT

Background and Objectives: The risks of uveitis development among pediatric patients with Down syndrome (DS) remain unclear. Therefore, we aimed to determine the risk of uveitis following a diagnosis of DS. Materials and Methods: This multi-institutional retrospective cohort study utilized the TriNetX database to identify individuals aged 18 years and younger with and without a diagnosis of DS between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2023. The non-DS cohort consisted of randomly selected control patients matched by selected variables. This included gender, age, ethnicity, and certain comorbidities. The main outcome is the incidence of new-onset uveitis. Statistical analysis of the uveitis risk was reported using hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Separate analyses of the uveitis risk among DS patients based on age groups and gender were also performed. Results: A total of 53,993 individuals with DS (46.83% female, 58.26% white, mean age at index 5.21 ± 5.76 years) and 53,993 non-DS individuals (45.56% female, 58.28% white, mean age at index 5.21 ± 5.76 years) were recruited from the TriNetX database. Our analysis also showed no overall increased risk of uveitis among DS patients (HR: 1.33 [CI: 0.89-1.99]) compared to the non-DS cohort across the 23-year study period. Subgroup analyses based on different age groups showed that those aged 0-1 year (HR: 1.36 [CI: 0.68-2.72]), 0-5 years (HR: 1.34 [CI: 0.75-2.39]), and 6-18 years (HR: 1.15 [CI: 0.67-1.96]) were found to have no association with uveitis risk compared to their respective non-DS comparators. There was also no increased risk of uveitis among females (HR: 1.49 [CI: 0.87-2.56]) or males (HR: 0.82 [CI: 0.48-1.41]) with DS compared to their respective non-DS comparators. Conclusions: Our study found no overall increased risk of uveitis following a diagnosis of DS compared to a matched control population.


Subject(s)
Down Syndrome , Uveitis , Humans , Down Syndrome/complications , Male , Female , Uveitis/epidemiology , Uveitis/diagnosis , Uveitis/etiology , Child , Retrospective Studies , Child, Preschool , Adolescent , Infant , Databases, Factual , Incidence , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data
3.
Medicina (Kaunas) ; 60(5)2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38792958

ABSTRACT

Background and Objectives: Screening for type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2) aims to identify asymptomatic individuals who may be at a higher risk, allowing proactive interventions. The objective of this study was to predict the incidence of DM2 and prediabetes in the Saudi population over the next five years. Materials and Methods: The study was conducted in the Aseer region through August 2023 using a cross-sectional survey for data collection. A multistage stratified random sampling technique was adopted, and data were collected through face-to-face interviews using the validated Arabic version of the Australian Type 2 Diabetes Risk Assessment Tool (AUSDRISK). Results: In total, 652 individuals were included in the study. Their mean age was 32.0 ± 12.0 years; 53.8% were male, 89.6% were from urban areas, and 55.8% were single. There were statistically significant differences between males and females in AUSDRISK items, including age, history of high blood glucose, use of medications for high blood pressure, smoking, physical activity, and measurements of waist circumference (p < 0.05). Based on AUSDRISK scores, 46.2% of the included participants were predicted to develop impaired glucose tolerance within the coming five years (65.8% among females vs. 23.6%), and 21.9% were predicted to develop DM2 (35.6% among males vs. 6.0% among females); this difference was statistically significant (p = 0.0001). Conclusions: Urgent public health action is required to prevent the increasing epidemic of DM2 in Saudi Arabia.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Prediabetic State , Humans , Saudi Arabia/epidemiology , Male , Female , Prediabetic State/epidemiology , Prediabetic State/diagnosis , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Incidence , Risk Factors , Mass Screening/methods , Mass Screening/statistics & numerical data
4.
Biometrics ; 80(2)2024 Mar 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38819308

ABSTRACT

Multi-gene panel testing allows many cancer susceptibility genes to be tested quickly at a lower cost making such testing accessible to a broader population. Thus, more patients carrying pathogenic germline mutations in various cancer-susceptibility genes are being identified. This creates a great opportunity, as well as an urgent need, to counsel these patients about appropriate risk-reducing management strategies. Counseling hinges on accurate estimates of age-specific risks of developing various cancers associated with mutations in a specific gene, ie, penetrance estimation. We propose a meta-analysis approach based on a Bayesian hierarchical random-effects model to obtain penetrance estimates by integrating studies reporting different types of risk measures (eg, penetrance, relative risk, odds ratio) while accounting for the associated uncertainties. After estimating posterior distributions of the parameters via a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm, we estimate penetrance and credible intervals. We investigate the proposed method and compare with an existing approach via simulations based on studies reporting risks for two moderate-risk breast cancer susceptibility genes, ATM and PALB2. Our proposed method is far superior in terms of coverage probability of credible intervals and mean square error of estimates. Finally, we apply our method to estimate the penetrance of breast cancer among carriers of pathogenic mutations in the ATM gene.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Genetic Predisposition to Disease , Penetrance , Humans , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/genetics , Ataxia Telangiectasia Mutated Proteins/genetics , Breast Neoplasms/genetics , Female , Fanconi Anemia Complementation Group N Protein/genetics , Computer Simulation , Markov Chains , Neoplasms/genetics , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Tumor Suppressor Proteins/genetics , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Monte Carlo Method , Meta-Analysis as Topic , Germ-Line Mutation , Models, Statistical
5.
Biometrics ; 80(2)2024 Mar 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38819314

ABSTRACT

The five discussions of our paper provide several modeling alternatives, extensions, and generalizations that can potentially guide future research in meta-analysis. In this rejoinder, we briefly summarize and comment on some of those points.


Subject(s)
Meta-Analysis as Topic , Neoplasms , Penetrance , Humans , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Models, Statistical , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Genetic Predisposition to Disease
6.
J Affect Disord ; 359: 182-188, 2024 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768825

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Detecting potential depression and identifying the critical predictors of depression among older adults with chronic diseases are essential for timely intervention and management of depression. Therefore, risk prediction models (RPMs) of depression in elderly people should be further explored. METHODS: A total of 3959 respondents aged 60 years or over from the wave four survey of the China Health and Retired Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included in this study. We used five machine learning (ML) algorithms and three data balancing techniques to construct RPMs of depression and calculated feature importance scores to determine which features are essential to depression. RESULTS: The prevalence of depression was 19.2 % among older Chinese adults with chronic diseases in the wave four survey. The random forest (RF) model was more accurate than the other models after balancing the data using the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) algorithm, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.957 and 0.920, respectively, a balanced accuracy of 0.891 and a sensitivity of 0.875. Furthermore, we further identified several important predictors between male and female patients via constructed sex-stratified models. LIMITATIONS: Further research on the clinical impact studies of our models and external validation are needed. CONCLUSIONS: After several techniques were used to address class imbalance issues, most RPMs achieved satisfactory accuracy in predicting depression among elderly people with chronic diseases. RPMs may thus become valuable screening tools for both older individuals and healthcare practitioners to assess the risk of depression.


Subject(s)
Depression , Machine Learning , Humans , Female , Male , Aged , Chronic Disease , Longitudinal Studies , China/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Depression/epidemiology , Depression/psychology , Prevalence , Algorithms , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Sex Factors
7.
Int J Med Sci ; 21(6): 994-1002, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38774753

ABSTRACT

Background: Complications of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) had been widely discussed. However, whether TKA influence risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in osteoarthritis patients remained uncertain. We intend to evaluate the risk of RA in osteoarthritis patients underwent TKA. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, data was retrieved from the US collaborative networks in TriNetX research network. Within the study period between 2005 and 2017, osteoarthritis patients underwent TKA were enrolled as case cohort whereas osteoarthritis patients never underwent TKA were enrolled as control cohort. Covariates were matched via propensity score matching. Risk of RA in TKA patients were valuated under various follow-up time and sensitivity models. Results: Under 1-year, 3-year and 5-year of follow-up, TKA patients were associated with significantly elevated risk of RA, especially under 1-year follow-up (HR=1.74; 95% CI, 1.39-2.18). Subgroup analysis demonstrated a significant increase in the risk of RA following TKA in the female subgroup (HR=1.42; 95% CI, 1.24-1.63), the subgroup aged 18-64 years (HR=1.48; 95% CI, 1.11-1.97), and the subgroup aged greater than 65 years old (HR=1.38; 95% CI, 1.21-1.58) based on 5-year follow-up. Conclusion: Clinicians should be concerned about uncharted association between TKA and RA reported our current study. Additional prospective studies and in-depth mechanistic inquiries were warranted to determine the causation.


Subject(s)
Arthritis, Rheumatoid , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Osteoarthritis, Knee , Humans , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , Arthritis, Rheumatoid/surgery , Arthritis, Rheumatoid/complications , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Osteoarthritis, Knee/surgery , Osteoarthritis, Knee/epidemiology , Osteoarthritis, Knee/etiology , Adult , Risk Factors , Young Adult , Adolescent , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Follow-Up Studies , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment/methods
8.
Int J Med Sci ; 21(6): 1091-1102, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38774760

ABSTRACT

Objectives: To create a nomogram using single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging and 18F-FDG positron emissions tomography (PET) gated myocardial metabolism imaging to forecast major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in chronic total occlusion (CTO) patients treated with optimal medical therapy (OMT). Methods: A total of 257 patients who received OMT between January 2016 and December 2021 were included in this retrospective study. Patients were randomly divided into development (n=179) and validation (n=78) cohorts. A thorough evaluation was conducted, encompassing clinical features and imaging analysis, which involved assessing myocardial perfusion and metabolism. Independent risk factors were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the clinical usefulness. Results: In the development cohort, 53 patients (29.6%) experienced MACE out of 179 patients, while in the validation cohort, MACE occurred in 23 (29.5%) patients out of 78. The PET-left ventricular end-systolic volume (P-ESV) (HR 1.01; 95% CI 1.003-1.017; p=0.003), hibernating myocardium / total perfusion defect (HM/TPD) (HR 1.053; 95% CI 1.038-1.069; p<0.001), PET-left ventricular ejection fraction (P-LVEF) (HR 0.862; 95% CI 0.788-0.943; p=0.001), and left anterior descending branch (LAD) (HR 2.303; 95% CI 1.086-4.884; p=0.03) were significantly associated with MACE and were used to develop the nomogram. The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination with C-indexes of 0.931 and 0.911 in the development and validation cohorts. DCA determined that the model exhibited a considerably superior net advantage in predicting MACE. Conclusion: A new nomogram integrating clinical factors and imaging features was created to predict the risk of MACE in patients with CTO.


Subject(s)
Coronary Occlusion , Myocardial Perfusion Imaging , Nomograms , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Coronary Occlusion/diagnostic imaging , Coronary Occlusion/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Myocardial Perfusion Imaging/methods , Chronic Disease , Positron-Emission Tomography , Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon , Risk Factors , Fluorodeoxyglucose F18/administration & dosage , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment/methods
9.
Int J Med Sci ; 21(6): 1103-1116, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38774759

ABSTRACT

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) has a high morbidity and mortality. Ferroptosis is a phenomenon in which metabolism and cell death are closely related. The role of ferroptosis-related genes in the progression of CRC is still not clear. Therefore, we screened and validated the ferroptosis-related genes which could determine the prevalence, risk and prognosis of patients with CRC. Methods: We firstly screened differentially expressed ferroptosis-related genes by The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Then, these genes were used to construct a risk-score model using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm. The function and prognosis of the ferroptosis-related genes were confirmed using multi-omics analysis. The gene expression results were validated using publicly available databases and qPCR. We also used publicly available data and ferroptosis-related genes to construct a prognostic prediction nomogram. Results: A total of 24 differential expressed genes associated with ferroptosis were screened in this study. A three-gene risk score model was then established based on these 24 genes and GPX3, CDKN2A and SLC7A11 were selected. The significant prognostic value of this novel three-gene signature was also assessed. Furthermore, we conducted RT-qPCR analysis on cell lines and tissues, and validated the high expression of CDKN2A, GPX3 and low expression of SLC7A11 in CRC cells. The observed mRNA expression of GPX3, CDKN2A and SLC7A11 was consistent with the predicted outcomes. Besides, eight variables including selected ferroptosis related genes were included to establish the prognostic prediction nomogram for patients with CRC. The calibration plots showed favorable consistency between the prediction of the nomogram and actual observations. Also, the time-dependent AUC (>0.7) indicated satisfactory discriminative ability of the nomogram. Conclusions: The present study constructed and validated a novel ferroptosis-related three-gene risk score signature and a prognostic prediction nomogram for patients with CRC. Also, we screened and validated the ferroptosis-related genes GPX3, CDKN2A, and SLC7A11 which could serve as novel biomarkers for patients with CRC.


Subject(s)
Amino Acid Transport System y+ , Biomarkers, Tumor , Colorectal Neoplasms , Ferroptosis , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic , Nomograms , Humans , Ferroptosis/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Prognosis , Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics , Amino Acid Transport System y+/genetics , Male , Female , Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16/genetics , Phospholipid Hydroperoxide Glutathione Peroxidase/genetics , Phospholipid Hydroperoxide Glutathione Peroxidase/metabolism , Middle Aged , Gene Expression Profiling , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Aged
10.
J Clin Anesth ; 95: 111472, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38613938

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Evidence for red blood cell (RBC) transfusion thresholds in the intraoperative setting is limited, and current perioperative recommendations may not correspond with individual intraoperative physiological demands. Hemodynamics relevant for the decision to transfuse may include peripheral perfusion index (PPI). The objective of this prospective study was to assess the associations of PPI and hemoglobin levels with the risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. DESIGN: Multicenter cohort study. SETTING: Bispebjerg and Hvidovre University Hospitals, Copenhagen, Denmark. PATIENTS: We included 741 patients who underwent acute high risk abdominal surgery or hip fracture surgery. INTERVENTIONS: No interventions were carried out. MEASUREMENTS: Principal values collected included measurements of peripheral perfusion index and hemoglobin values. METHODS: The study was conducted using prospectively obtained data on adults who underwent emergency high-risk surgery. Subjects were categorized into high vs. low subgroups stratified by pre-defined PPI levels (PPI: > 1.5 vs. < 1.5) and Hb levels (Hb: > 9.7 g/dL vs. < 9.7 g/dL). The study assessed mortality and severe postoperative complications within 90 days. MAIN RESULTS: We included 741 patients. 90-day mortality was 21% (n = 154), frequency of severe postoperative complications was 31% (n = 231). Patients with both low PPI and low Hb had the highest adjusted odds ratio for both 90-day severe postoperative complications (2.95, [1.62-5.45]) and 90-day mortality (3.13, [1.45-7.11]). A comparison of patients with low PPI and low Hb to those with high PPI and low Hb detected significantly higher 90-day mortality risk in the low PPI and low Hb group (OR 8.6, [1.57-162.10]). CONCLUSION: High PPI in acute surgical patients who also presents with anemia was associated with a significantly better outcome when compared with patients with both low PPI and anemia. PPI should therefore be further investigated as a potential parameter to guide intraoperative RBC transfusion therapy.


Subject(s)
Anemia , Hemoglobins , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Female , Male , Anemia/epidemiology , Aged , Prospective Studies , Hemoglobins/analysis , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/mortality , Perfusion Index , Erythrocyte Transfusion/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over , Hip Fractures/surgery , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Abdomen/surgery , Intraoperative Complications/epidemiology , Intraoperative Complications/etiology , Intraoperative Complications/diagnosis , Intraoperative Complications/blood , Intraoperative Complications/mortality
11.
World J Gastroenterol ; 30(15): 2128-2142, 2024 Apr 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38681988

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the presence of cirrhosis is unfavourable, primarily attributable to the high incidence of recurrence. AIM: To develop a machine learning model for predicting early recurrence (ER) of post-hepatectomy HCC in patients with cirrhosis and to stratify patients' overall survival (OS) based on the predicted risk of recurrence. METHODS: In this retrospective study, 214 HCC patients with cirrhosis who underwent curative hepatectomy were examined. Radiomics feature selection was conducted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and recursive feature elimination methods. Clinical-radiologic features were selected through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Five machine learning methods were used for model comparison, aiming to identify the optimal model. The model's performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve [area under the curve (AUC)], calibration, and decision curve analysis. Additionally, the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curve was used to evaluate the stratification effect of the model on patient OS. RESULTS: Within this study, the most effective predictive performance for ER of post-hepatectomy HCC in the background of cirrhosis was demonstrated by a model that integrated radiomics features and clinical-radiologic features. In the training cohort, this model attained an AUC of 0.844, while in the validation cohort, it achieved a value of 0.790. The K-M curves illustrated that the combined model not only facilitated risk stratification but also exhibited significant discriminatory ability concerning patients' OS. CONCLUSION: The combined model, integrating both radiomics and clinical-radiologic characteristics, exhibited excellent performance in HCC with cirrhosis. The K-M curves assessing OS revealed statistically significant differences.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatectomy , Liver Cirrhosis , Liver Neoplasms , Machine Learning , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Male , Female , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnostic imaging , Liver Cirrhosis/surgery , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/epidemiology , Aged , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Prognosis , Predictive Value of Tests , ROC Curve , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Adult , Liver/diagnostic imaging , Liver/pathology , Liver/surgery , Risk Factors , Radiomics
12.
Int J Dermatol ; 63(6): 799-805, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644522

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients with hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) often suffer from comorbid diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and hyperlipidemia and, therefore, are susceptible to the development of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Moreover, systemic inflammation plays a vital role in the development of atherosclerosis. The creation of atherosclerotic plaque is characterized by endothelial dysfunction driven by elevated concentrations of interleukin (IL)-1, IL-6, and IL-18 among others, as well as tumor necrosis factor (TNF) alpha. METHODS: This study aimed to assess the risk of HS patients developing CVDs. We performed a large-scale, propensity-matched global retrospective cohort study analyzing the risk of development of CVDs in patients suffering from HS. The analysis included 144,100 HS patients with 144,100 healthy controls (HC). The cohorts were matched regarding demographics and history of diseases relevant to CVDs, e.g., diabetes, obesity, and nicotine dependence. A total of 90 cardiovascular disorders were identified. The identification of cardiovascular disorders was based on ≥1% appearance of the event, based on absolute numbers, in both cohorts. RESULTS: Before the matching, HS patients displayed a higher frequency in excess weight or obesity (25 vs. 14.4%, respectively), nicotine dependence, and diabetes mellitus, but lower odds of primary hypertension in comparison to healthy controls. A total of 47 CVDs are associated with an increased risk of onset in HS patients. Although the highest hazard ratio (HR; 2.1; 95% CI: 1.95-2.269) was found for unspecified heart failure, the HS cohort was exceptionally predisposed to developing myocardial infarction (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.88-2.27) and an acute embolism and deep vein thrombosis of the lower extremity (HR: 1.93; 95% CI: 1.74-2.14). CONCLUSIONS: This is the most extensive study on the association of HS with CVDs. We demonstrated that HS patients are at significantly greater risk of developing various CVDs compared to matched controls, with heart failure being the most common one.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Hidradenitis Suppurativa , Propensity Score , Humans , Hidradenitis Suppurativa/complications , Hidradenitis Suppurativa/epidemiology , Hidradenitis Suppurativa/blood , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Adult , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Middle Aged , Obesity/complications , Obesity/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/complications , Young Adult , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Risk Factors , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Heart Failure/etiology
13.
J Affect Disord ; 356: 483-491, 2024 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38640979

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: A reliable, user-friendly, and multidimensional prediction tool can help to identify children at high risk for ADHD and facilitate early recognition and family management of ADHD. We aimed to develop and validate a risk nomogram for ADHD in children aged 3-17 years in the United States based on clinical manifestations and complex environments. METHODS: A total of 141,356 cases were collected for the prediction model. Another 54,444 cases from a new data set were utilized for performing independent external validation. The LASSO regression was used to control possible variables. A final risk nomogram for ADHD was established based on logistic regression, and the discrimination and calibration of the established nomogram were evaluated by bootstrapping with 1000 resamples. RESULTS: A final risk nomogram for ADHD was established based on 13 independent predictors, including behavioral problems, learning disabilities, age, intellectual disabilities, anxiety symptoms, gender, premature birth, maternal age at childbirth, parent-child interaction patterns, etc. The C-index of this model was 0.887 in the training set, and 0.862 in the validation set. Internal and external validation proved that the model was reliable. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram, a statistical prediction tool that assesses individualized ADHD risk for children is helpful for the early identification of children at high risk for ADHD and the construction of a conceptual model of society-family-school collaborative diagnosis, treatment, and management of ADHD.


Subject(s)
Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity , Nomograms , Humans , Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity/diagnosis , Attention Deficit Disorder with Hyperactivity/epidemiology , Child , Female , Male , Adolescent , Child, Preschool , Risk Factors , Reproducibility of Results , United States , Logistic Models , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data
14.
Actas urol. esp ; 48(3): 210-217, abr. 2024. tab, graf
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-231926

ABSTRACT

Objetivo Comparar el desempeño de las calculadoras de riesgo del European Randomised Study for Screening of Prostate Cancer (ERSPC-RC) y el Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG-RC) en predecir el riesgo de presentar cáncer de próstata clínicamente significativo. Material y métodos Retrospectivamente, se identificó a los pacientes que fueron sometidos a biopsia prostática en el Sanatorio Allende Cerro, Ciudad de Córdoba, Argentina, desde enero de 2018 a diciembre de 2021. Se calculó la probabilidad de tener cáncer de próstata con las dos calculadoras por separado y luego se compararon los resultados para establecer cuál de las dos tuvo mejor desempeño. Para esto, se analizaron áreas bajo la curva (ABC). Resultados Se incluyeron 250 pacientes, 140 (56%) presentaron cáncer de próstata, de los cuales 92 (36,8%) tuvieron cáncer de próstata clínicamente significativo (Score de Gleason ≥7). Los pacientes que presentaron cáncer tenían mayor edad, mayor valor de antígeno prostático específico (PSA) y menor tamaño prostático. El ABC para predecir la probabilidad de tener cáncer de próstata clínicamente significativo fue de 0,79 y 0,73 para PBCG-RC y ERSPC-RC, respectivamente (p=0,0084). Conclusión En esta cohorte de pacientes, ambas calculadoras de riesgo de cáncer de próstata mostraron un buen desempeño para predecir el riesgo de cáncer de próstata clínicamente significativo, si bien el PBCG-RC mostró mejor exactitud. (AU)


Objective To compare the performance of the risk calculators of the European Randomized Study for Screening of Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) and the Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG) in predicting the risk of presenting clinically significant prostate cancer. Material and methods Retrospectively, patients who underwent prostate biopsy at Sanatorio Allende Cerro, Ciudad de Córdoba, Argentina, were identified from January 2018 to December 2021. The probability of having prostate cancer was calculated with the two calculators separately and then the results were compared to establish which of the two performed better. For this, areas under the curve (AUC) were analyzed. Results 250 patients were included, 140 (56%) presented prostate cancer, of which 92 (65.71%) had clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason score ≥7). The patients who presented cancer were older, had a higher prostate-specific antigen (PSA) value, and had a smaller prostate size. The AUC to predict the probability of having clinically significant prostate cancer was 0.79 and 0.73 for PBCG-RC and ERSPC-RC respectively (p=0.0084). Conclusion In this cohort of patients, both prostate cancer risk calculators performed well in predicting clinically significant prostate cancer risk, although the PBCG-RC showed better accuracy. (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Prostatic Neoplasms , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Biopsy/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies
15.
J Tissue Viability ; 33(2): 248-253, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38493047

ABSTRACT

AIM: This study was carried out to determine the prevalence of pressure injury and risk factors in patients hospitalized in a university hospital's level 3 intensive care unit. DESIGN: It is a descriptive, prospective, observational type study. METHOD: The sample of the study consisted of 176 patients aged 18 and over who were admitted to the intensive care units of a University Hospital for at least 24 h. Patient Information Form and Braden Risk Assessment Scale, Glasgow Coma Scale were used to collect data. IBM SPSS Statistics 20 program was used to analyze the data. RESULTS: Presence of chronic disease in the development of pressure injury (22.7%), high-risk patients according to the Glasgow Coma Scale (21%), high-risk patients according to the Braden Risk Assessment Scale (84.2%), low hemoglobin (31%), low albumin levels (32.4%) and duration of stay in the intensive care unit until the day of evaluation were found to be independent risk factors (p < 0.05). The prevalence of pressure injury was determined to be 32.4%, and the rate of pressure injury due to medical devices was 7.4%. CONCLUSION: Pressure injuries are still common in adult intensive care patients. In terms of patient safety, it is important to give more space to care standards and awareness-raising research and training to prevent pressure injuries.


Subject(s)
Intensive Care Units , Pressure Ulcer , Humans , Pressure Ulcer/epidemiology , Pressure Ulcer/etiology , Intensive Care Units/organization & administration , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Male , Female , Risk Factors , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Cross-Sectional Studies , Adult , Aged , Prevalence , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment/standards , Adolescent , Glasgow Coma Scale/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over
16.
J Tissue Viability ; 33(2): 243-247, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38458956

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To determine the prevalence, risk, and determinants of pressure ulcer risk in a large cohort of hospitalized patients. DESIGN: A prospective cross-sectional study with data collection in January 2023. METHODS: Registered nurses collected data from 798 patients admitted to 27 health care units of an Italian hospital. The pressure ulcer risk was assessed using the Braden scale. The presence of comorbidities was collected from clinical reports. Obesity was assessed according to international indicators (Body Mass Index). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of different Braden scores for identifying participants with pressure ulcers. RESULTS: The prevalence of pressure ulcers was 9.5%, and 57.4% of the sample were at risk of developing pressure ulcers. The area under the ROC curve was 0.88. The best sensitivity and specificity were found for a Braden cutoff score of 15.5 (sensibility = 0.76; specificity = 0.85). The determinants of lower Braden scores were older age (p < 0.001), comorbidities (p < 0.001), wounds of other nature (p = 0.001), urinary incontinence (p < 0.001), fecal incontinence (p < 0.001), and urinary catheterization (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Several demographic factors and specific clinical indicators have been identified as determinants of the risk of developing pressure ulcers, which are easily ascertainable by healthcare providers; thus, they may routinely complement the Braden Scale in the assessment of pressure ulcer risk in order to reinforce and accelerate clinical judgment.


Subject(s)
Pressure Ulcer , Humans , Pressure Ulcer/epidemiology , Pressure Ulcer/etiology , Male , Italy/epidemiology , Female , Cross-Sectional Studies , Aged , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Assessment/standards , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Risk Factors , Prevalence , Adult , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , ROC Curve
17.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 368, 2024 02 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38311723

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Modified Framingham Stroke Risk Score (MFSRS) is a widely utilized stroke risk assessment algorithm usually applied in international comparison. The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) is the only known African-specific stroke risk assessment algorithm. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To compare stroke risk estimates from the SIREN and the MFSRS in an African community. METHODS: This was a population-based cross-sectional survey involving consecutively recruited 310 consenting adult residents (mean age = 37.21 ± 15.84 years) of a Nigerian community. Risk factors of stroke were assessed among the participants and were utilized in calculating stroke risk estimates on the MFSRS and the SIREN. The obtained data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and the Spearman-rank order correlation test at an alpha level of 0.05. RESULTS: The percentage stroke risk scores estimated by the SIREN and the MFSRS were 34.5% and 6.79% respectively. The most prevalent risk factors among the participants were hypertriglyceridemia (100.0%), raised waist-hip ratio (50.6%), hypercholesterolemia (45.5), physical inactivity (43.2%), psychological stress (41.3%), and hypertension (37.7%). Only two (hypertriglyceridemia and high blood pressure) out of the six factors considered in the MFSRS were rated among the first 10 most impactful risks by the SIREN. There was a weak correlation between the total scores on the MFSRS and the SIREN (rho = 0.39; p < 0.01) suggesting that the two ratings were discordant. CONCLUSION: There were disagreements between the risk estimates on the SIREN and MFSRS with SIREN having a higher estimate that corresponded with the literature; this may be suggesting a poorer estimation of stroke risks by the MFSRS in an African environment. There is a need for large African-based quality control studies to determine and address these lapses.


Subject(s)
Stroke , West African People , Adult , Humans , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Hypertension/epidemiology , Hypertension/complications , Hypertriglyceridemia , Risk Factors , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/ethnology , Stroke/etiology , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Nigeria/epidemiology , West African People/statistics & numerical data
20.
J Tissue Viability ; 33(2): 152-159, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38326162

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recent trends indicate a rise in the number of elderly and bedridden patients enrolled in home care programs, leading to an increased occurrence of complications such as pressure ulcers within the home health care setting. OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of this research was to ascertain the prevalence of pressure ulcers and identify the associated factors in adults who were recipients of home health care services. METHOD: This study, adopting a cross-sectional design, encompassed a sample of 566 patients who sought services from the Home Health Care Unit in a specific province in Turkey. The timeframe for data collection spanned from August to November 2022, during which two primary instruments were employed: the "Demographic Characteristics Form" and two specific scales - the "Braden Pressure Ulcer Risk Assessment Scale" and the "ITAKI Falls Risk Scale." FINDINGS: In this study, the average age of patients receiving home health care services was identified as 75.9 years, with a standard deviation of 15.1 years. Furthermore, 73.7 % of these patients were classified as being at risk for developing pressure ulcers. The study identified a direct correlation between the risk of BRADEN pressure ulcers and the escalation in scores across several parameters. These parameters included "Addiction Status," delineated as a spectrum from addicted to non-addicted, the "Number of Medical Diagnoses," quantified on a scale, the "State of Consciousness," categorized from clear to confused, and the scores derived from the "ITAKI" scale. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study highlight the significance of pressure ulcers as a critical health issue among patients receiving home care services. It underscores the necessity for home care nurses to be acutely aware of the risk factors associated with pressure ulcers among high-risk patients.


Subject(s)
Home Care Services , Pressure Ulcer , Humans , Pressure Ulcer/epidemiology , Pressure Ulcer/etiology , Home Care Services/statistics & numerical data , Home Care Services/standards , Home Care Services/trends , Male , Female , Cross-Sectional Studies , Aged , Turkey/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Risk Factors , Prevalence , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Adult
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