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1.
Int J Rheum Dis ; 23(7): 945-957, 2020 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32420701

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Most Thai patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) have diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) unlike most Caucasians and some Asians. A longitudinal cohort study among Thai dcSSc is needed. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the overall clinical characteristics, define the clinical difference between limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) and dcSSc, and ascertain the mortality rate and the factors associated with mortality. METHOD: We conducted a cohort study including 566 Thai adult SSc patients between January 2013 and June 2019. Clinical difference between lcSSc and dcSSc was investigated using generalized estimating equations (GEE). RESULTS: Females presented more than males (356 vs 210 cases). The majority of cases were dcSSc (411; 72.6%). The median duration of disease at the time of pulmonary fibrosis (PF) detection was 2.5 years, pulmonary arterial hypertension 8.1 years, and renal crisis 4.1 years. By GEE analysis, dcSSc was significantly associated with salt-and-pepper skin, hand deformity, and every 1-point increase in modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS). A greater mortality risk was associated with age at onset >60 years (hazards ratio [HR] 5.5), a World Health Organization functional class (FC) III (HR 5.1), FC IV (HR 34.8), edematous skin (HR 11.4), early onset of PF (HR 1.7), each 5-point increase in the mRSS (HR 4.5), and ≥2 internal organ involvements (HR 10.1). CONCLUSION: dcSSc is a common SSc subset among Thais. PF was an early complication in SSc and earlier PF detection was associated with a poorer prognosis. Elderly onset, high FC, severe skin tightness, and multiple organ involvements were associated with a greater mortality risk.


Subject(s)
Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Limited/mortality , Adolescent , Adult , Age of Onset , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Pulmonary Fibrosis/mortality , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Limited/diagnosis , Thailand/epidemiology , Time Factors , Young Adult
2.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 72(3): 465-476, 2020 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31682743

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To describe the associations between autoantibodies, clinical presentation, and outcomes among patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in order to develop a novel SSc classification scheme that would incorporate both antibodies and the cutaneous disease subset as criteria. METHODS: Demographic and clinical characteristics, including cutaneous subset, time of disease and organ complication onset, and autoantibody specificities, were determined in a cohort of SSc subjects. Survival analysis was used to assess the effect of the autoantibodies on organ disease and death. RESULTS: The study included 1,325 subjects. Among the antibody/skin disease subsets, anticentromere antibody-positive patients with limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) (n = 374) had the highest 20-year survival (65.3%), lowest incidence of clinically significant pulmonary fibrosis (PF) (8.5%) and scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) (0.3%), and lowest incidence of cardiac SSc (4.9%), whereas the frequency of pulmonary hypertension (PH) was similar to the mean value in the SSc cohort overall. The anti-Scl-70+ groups of patients with lcSSc (n = 138) and patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) (n = 149) had the highest incidence of clinically significant PF (86.1% and 84%, respectively, at 15 years). Anti-Scl-70+ patients with dcSSc had the lowest survival (32.4%) and the second highest incidence of cardiac SSc (12.9%) at 20 years. In contrast, in anti-Scl-70+ patients with lcSSc, other complications were rare, and these patients demonstrated the lowest incidence of PH (6.9%) and second highest survival (61.8%) at 20 years. Anti-RNA polymerase antibody-positive SSc patients (n = 147) had the highest incidence of SRC (28.1%) at 20 years. The anti-U3 RNP+ SSc group (n = 56) had the highest incidence of PH (33.8%) and cardiac SSc (13.2%) at 20 years. Among lcSSc patients with other autoantibodies (n = 295), the risk of SRC and cardiac SSc was low at 20 years (2.7% and 2.4%, respectively), while the frequencies of other outcomes were similar to the mean values in the full SSc cohort. Patients with dcSSc who were positive for other autoantibodies (n = 166) had a poor prognosis, demonstrating the second lowest survival (33.6%) and frequent organ complications. CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the importance of autoantibodies, cutaneous subset, and disease duration when assessing morbidity and mortality in patients with SSc. Our novel classification scheme may improve disease monitoring and benefit future clinical trial designs in SSc.


Subject(s)
Autoantibodies/blood , Outcome Assessment, Health Care/classification , Pulmonary Fibrosis/classification , Scleroderma, Diffuse/classification , Scleroderma, Systemic/classification , Adult , Antibodies, Antinuclear/blood , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Pulmonary Fibrosis/diagnosis , Pulmonary Fibrosis/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Systemic/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Systemic/mortality , Skin/pathology , Survival Analysis
3.
Arthritis Res Ther ; 21(1): 86, 2019 04 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30944015

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Data on survival and prognosis factors in incident cohorts are scarce in systemic sclerosis (SStc). To describe survival, standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and prognosis factors in systemic sclerosis (SSc), we analyzed a multicenter French cohort of incident patients and performed a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis. METHODS: A multicenter, French cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2013. Patients were followed-up until July 1, 2016. A systematic review of the literature was carried out in MEDLINE and EMBASE up to July 2017. Meta-analysis was performed using all available data on SMR and hazard ratios of prognosis factors. RESULTS: A total of 625 patients (493 females, 446 lcSSc) were included. During the study period, 104 deaths (16.6%) were recorded and 133 patients were lost to follow-up. Overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years from diagnosis were 98.0%, 92.5%, 85.9%, and 71.7% respectively in the French cohort. Overall SMR was 5.73 (95% CI 4.68-6.94). Age at diagnosis > 60 years, diffuse cutaneous SSc, scleroderma renal crisis, dyspnea, 6-min walking distance (6MWD), forced vital capacity < 70%, diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide < 70%, pulmonary hypertension (PH), telangiectasia, valvular disease, malignancy, anemia, and CRP > 8 mg/l were associated with a poorer survival after adjustment. Eighteen studies (11,719 patients) were included in the SMR meta-analysis and 36 studies (26,187 patients) in the prognosis factor analysis. Pooled SMR was 3.45 (95%CI 3.03-3.94). Age at disease onset, male sex, African origin, diffuse cutaneous SSc, anti-Scl70 antibodies, cardiac and renal involvement, interstitial lung disease, PH, and malignancy were significantly associated with a worse prognosis. Anti-centromere antibodies were associated with a better survival. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our study highlights a high mortality rate in SSc patients and confirms previously described prognosis factors related to skin extension and organ involvement while identifying additional prognosis factors such as autoantibody status, telangiectasia, 6MWD, and valvular disease.


Subject(s)
Multicenter Studies as Topic , Scleroderma, Diffuse/epidemiology , Scleroderma, Systemic/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Systemic/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Systemic/mortality , Survival Rate
4.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 78(5): 648-656, 2019 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30852552

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether progressive skin fibrosis is associated with visceral organ progression and mortality during follow-up in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). METHODS: We evaluated patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research database with dcSSc, baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7, valid mRSS at 12±3 months after baseline and ≥1 annual follow-up visit. Progressive skin fibrosis was defined as an increase in mRSS >5 and ≥25% from baseline to 12±3 months. Outcomes were pulmonary, cardiovascular and renal progression, and all-cause death. Associations between skin progression and outcomes were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Of 1021 included patients, 78 (7.6%) had progressive skin fibrosis (skin progressors). Median follow-up was 3.4 years. Survival analyses indicated that skin progressors had a significantly higher probability of FVC decline ≥10% (53.6% vs 34.4%; p<0.001) and all-cause death (15.4% vs 7.3%; p=0.003) than non-progressors. These significant associations were also found in subgroup analyses of patients with either low baseline mRSS (≤22/51) or short disease duration (≤15 months). In multivariable analyses, skin progression within 1 year was independently associated with FVC decline ≥10% (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.65) and all-cause death (HR 2.58, 95% CI 1.31 to 5.09). CONCLUSIONS: Progressive skin fibrosis within 1 year is associated with decline in lung function and worse survival in dcSSc during follow-up. These results confirm mRSS as a surrogate marker in dcSSc, which will be helpful for cohort enrichment in future trials and risk stratification in clinical practice.


Subject(s)
Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/pathology , Skin Diseases/mortality , Skin Diseases/physiopathology , Skin/pathology , Adult , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Disease Progression , Europe , Female , Fibrosis , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Lung/physiopathology , Male , Middle Aged , Scleroderma, Diffuse/complications , Severity of Illness Index , Skin Diseases/etiology , Survival Analysis , Time Factors
5.
J Clin Rheumatol ; 25(4): 181-185, 2019 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29912771

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a multisystemic autoimmune disease. Few studies have focused on the outcomes of SSC patients who require intensive care unit (ICU) admission, largely due to the absence of protocols for the optimal management of this disease during an ICU stay. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to describe the outcomes of a series of SSc patients admitted to the ICU at a single center in Cali, Colombia. METHODS: Case series of SSc patients admitted to the ICU were reviewed. The main outcome was ICU mortality. Statistical analysis was performed with measures of central tendency and proportions. RESULTS: All the patients (n = 14) were female and either middle-aged or elderly; 9 (64%) were diagnosed with diffuse cutaneous sclerosis, and the remaining 5 patients with limited cutaneous sclerosis. Some were readmitted; therefore, the total number of ICU admissions was 21. The principal causes of ICU admissions were non-SSc-related causes (n = 15 [71.4%]). The respiratory system was the most involved on ICU admissions. The ICU mortality rate was 43% (n = 6). CONCLUSIONS: The severity of the disease at ICU admission and comorbidity are independently associated with ICU-related mortality. Furthermore, the optimal management of SSc patients includes accurate detection of SSc-associated organ involvement. More studies involving this category of patients are needed to establish the best effective protocols.


Subject(s)
Critical Care , Respiratory Tract Diseases , Scleroderma, Diffuse , Scleroderma, Limited , Aged , Clinical Protocols/standards , Colombia/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Critical Care/methods , Critical Care/standards , Critical Care/statistics & numerical data , Female , Health Services Needs and Demand , Humans , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Diseases/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/therapy , Scleroderma, Limited/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Limited/mortality , Scleroderma, Limited/therapy
6.
Z Rheumatol ; 78(2): 195-201, 2019 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29869154

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the overall and sex- and disease subtype-specific standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). METHODS: We surveyed studies examining overall and sex- and disease subtype-specific SMRs in patients with SSc compared with the general population using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases and manual searches. A meta-analysis of the overall and sex- and disease subtype-specific SMRs in patients with SSc was then performed. RESULTS: Overall, 22 reports including 13,214 patients with SSc, with 4218 deaths, met the inclusion criteria. Compared to that in the general population, overall SMR was increased in patients with SSc (SMR 2.823, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.219-3.591, p < 0.001). Stratification by region showed a significant increase in SMR in European, North American, Asian, and Oceanian populations. Sex-specific meta-analysis revealed a significant increase in overall SMR in women and men (SMR 2.929, 95% CI 2.504-3.427, p < 0.001; SMR 3.523, 95% CI 2.933-4.232, p < 0.001), with no difference in the SMR between men and women. Disease subtype-specific meta-analysis revealed a significant increase in SMR in limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) and diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), however, the SMR was higher in dcSSc (SMR 4.865, 95% CI 3.863-6.127, p < 0.001) than in lcSSc (SMR 2.020, 95% CI 1.570-2.599, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that patients with SSc have 2.82-fold higher mortality rates than the general population and that the overall SMR does not depend on sex, region, and disease subtype, however, mortality is significantly higher in dcSSc than in lcSSc.


Subject(s)
Scleroderma, Diffuse , Scleroderma, Systemic , Cause of Death , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Male , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Systemic/mortality
7.
Rheumatol Int ; 38(3): 363-374, 2018 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29322341

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the clinical characteristics of patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) in the setting of a large cohort of systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients, and to analyse the differences according to the SSc subtype (following the modification of classification criteria of the American College of Rheumatology for SSc proposed by LeRoy and Medsger), factors are associated with moderate-to-severe impairment of lung function, as well as mortality and causes of death. METHODS: A descriptive study was performed, using the available data from the Spanish Scleroderma Study Group. RESULTS: Twenty-one referral centers participated in the registry. By April 2014, 1374 patients with SSc had been enrolled, and 595 of whom (43%) had ILD: 316 (53%) with limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc), 240 (40%) with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), and 39 (7%) with SSc sine scleroderma (ssSSc). ILD in the lcSSc and the ssSSc subsets tended to develop later, and showed a less impaired forced vital capacity (FVC) and a ground glass pattern on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) less frequently, compared with the dcSSc subset. Factors related to an FVC < 70% of predicted in the multivariate analysis were: dcSSc, positivity to anti-topoisomerase I antibodies, a ground glass pattern on HCRT, an active nailfold capillaroscopy pattern, lower DLco, older age at symptoms onset, and longer time between symptoms onset and ILD diagnosis. Finally, SSc-associated mortality and ILD-related mortality were highest in dcSSc patients, whereas that related to pulmonary arterial hypertension was highest in those with lcSSc-associated ILD. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates that ILD constitutes a remarkable complication of SSc with significant morbidity and mortality, which should be borne in mind in all three subgroups (lcSSc, dcSSc, and ssSSc).


Subject(s)
Lung Diseases, Interstitial , Lung , Scleroderma, Diffuse , Scleroderma, Limited , Adult , Aged , Cause of Death , Chi-Square Distribution , Female , Heart Diseases/mortality , Heart Diseases/physiopathology , Humans , Hypertension, Pulmonary/mortality , Hypertension, Pulmonary/physiopathology , Logistic Models , Lung/diagnostic imaging , Lung/pathology , Lung/physiopathology , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/diagnosis , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/mortality , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/physiopathology , Lung Diseases, Interstitial/therapy , Male , Microscopic Angioscopy , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Odds Ratio , Prevalence , Prognosis , Registries , Risk Factors , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/physiopathology , Scleroderma, Diffuse/therapy , Scleroderma, Limited/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Limited/mortality , Scleroderma, Limited/physiopathology , Scleroderma, Limited/therapy , Severity of Illness Index , Skin/pathology , Spain/epidemiology , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Vital Capacity
8.
Rheumatol Int ; 37(12): 2087-2094, 2017 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29027012

ABSTRACT

Inception cohort study regarding the causes of death and risk factors for mortality in patients with early systemic sclerosis (SSc), especially diffuse SSc (dcSSc) has not been well elucidated. Therefore, the aim of our study was to determine the causes of death, survival rates, and risk factors for mortality in Thai patients with early SSc of whom the majority belonged to the dcSSc subset. We used an inception cohort of early-SSc patients seen between January 2010 and August 2014. All patients were evaluated for clinical and laboratory data at the study entry and then every 6 months. A total of 115 patients (68 female, 91 dcSSc) were enrolled. The mean ± SD age at onset, duration of disease, and duration of follow-up were 52.5 ± 8.5 years, 12.3 ± 9.2 months, and 27.5 ± 16.4 months, respectively. During the follow-up, 11(9.6%) SSc patients died. The mortality rate was 4.17 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2.31, 7.53). The leading cause of SSc-related death was dilated cardiomyopathy (27.2%). Infection was the most common cause of non-SSc-related death (18.2%). Survival rates at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years after the study entry were 93, 91, 88, and 88%, respectively. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, ESR ≥ 40 mm/h [HR 8.65 (95% CI 1.66,45.17)], hemoglobin < 10 mg/dL [HR 4.57 (95% CI 1.14,18.34)], and mRSS [HR 1.09 (95% CI 1.03,1.15)] were independent risk factors for mortality. Our data suggest that dilated cardiomyopathy was the most common SSc-related cause of death in Thai patients with early SSc, of whom majority was dcSSc subset. Elevated ESR, anemia, and increased mRSS predicted poor outcome.


Subject(s)
Disease Progression , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Adult , Blood Sedimentation , Cause of Death , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Heart Diseases/mortality , Humans , Lung Diseases/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors , Scleroderma, Diffuse/blood , Scleroderma, Diffuse/physiopathology , Severity of Illness Index , Survival Rate , Thailand/epidemiology
9.
Bone Marrow Transplant ; 52(1): 53-58, 2017 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27548467

ABSTRACT

We retrospectively evaluated the efficacy of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) in 18 patients with rapidly progressive diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (rp-dcSSc), and compared their disease outcomes with those of 36 demographically- and clinically-matched patients treated with conventional therapies. Cutaneous involvement, by performing modified Rodnan skin score (mRss), lung diffusion capacity, by measuring diffusing capacity of lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO), and disease activity, by applying the European Scleroderma Study Group (ESSG) scoring system, were the outcome variables measured at the baseline time and then every 12 months for the following 60 months in both the AHSCT-treated patients and the control group. In the AHSCT group, treatment-related mortality was 5.6%. In this group, both mRss and ESSG scores showed a significant reduction 1 year after AHSCT (P<0.002); and these results were maintained until the end of follow-up. Conversely, DLCO values remained stable during the whole period of follow-up. Survival rate of AHSCT group was much higher than that observed in the whole control group (P=0.0005). The probability that the ESSG score and mRss would remain at a high level, and DLCO could decrease, was significantly higher in the control group as a whole and in the subgroup of control patients treated with cyclophosphamide than in the AHSCT group. This study confirms that the AHSCT is effective in prolonging survival, as well as in inducing a rapid reduction of skin involvement and disease activity, and preserving lung function in patients with rp-dcSSc.


Subject(s)
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/therapy , Adult , Autografts , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate
10.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 68(4): 993-1003, 2016 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26554637

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Although diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) is associated with a reduction in life expectancy, there are no validated prognostic models for determining 5-year mortality in patients with dcSSc. The objective of this study was to derive and validate a rule for predicting 5-year mortality in patients with early dcSSc. METHODS: We studied an inception cohort of 388 US Caucasian patients with early dcSSc (<2 years from the appearance of the first symptom). Predefined baseline variables were analyzed in a stepwise logistic regression model in order to identify factors independently associated with 5-year all-cause mortality. We rounded the beta weights to the nearest integer and summed the points assigned to each variable in order to stratify patients into low-risk (<0 points), moderate-risk (1-2 points), and high-risk (≥3 points) groups. We then applied this rule to an external validation cohort of 144 Caucasian patients with early dcSSc from the Royal Free Hospital cohort and compared stratum-specific 5-year mortality. RESULTS: Six independent predictors (rounded beta weight) comprised the model: age at first visit (points allotted: -1, 0, or 1), male sex (points allotted: 0 or 1), tendon friction rubs (points allotted: 0 or 1), gastrointestinal involvement (points allotted: 0 or 1), RNA polymerase III antibodies (points allotted: 0 or 1), and anemia (points allotted: 0 or 1). The 3-level risk stratification model performed well, with no significant differences between the US derivation cohort and the UK validation cohort. CONCLUSION: We derived and externally validated, in US and UK cohorts, an easy-to-use 6-variable prediction rule that assigns low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk categories for 5-year mortality in patients with early dcSSc. Only history, physical examination, and basic laboratory assessments are required.


Subject(s)
Anemia/epidemiology , Decision Support Techniques , Gastrointestinal Diseases/epidemiology , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Adult , Autoantibodies/immunology , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , RNA Polymerase III/immunology , Reproducibility of Results , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Scleroderma, Diffuse/immunology , Sex Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
11.
Arthritis Rheumatol ; 66(6): 1616-24, 2014 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24470430

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a reduction in life expectancy, but there are no validated prognostic models for determining short-term mortality. The objective of this study was to derive and validate a prediction rule for 2-year mortality in patients with early diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc). METHODS: We studied a prospectively enrolled cohort of 387 US Caucasian patients with early dcSSc (<2 years from the appearance of the first symptom), randomly divided into a derivation cohort (n = 260) and a validation cohort (n = 127). Predefined baseline predictor variables were analyzed in a stepwise multivariable logistic regression model in order to identify factors independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality using a cutoff of P < 0.05. We rounded the beta values to the nearest integer and summed the points assigned to each variable in order to stratify patients into low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups. We then applied this rule to an external validation cohort of 110 Caucasian patients with early dcSSc from a single UK center and compared stratum-specific mortality using chi-square statistics. RESULTS: Four independent predictor variables (with assigned integer values) comprised the model: age at first visit (points allotted: -1, 0, or 1), skin thickness progression rate (points allotted: 0 or 1), gastrointestinal tract severity (points allotted: 0, 1, or 2), and anemia (points allotted: 0 or 2). The prediction model performed well, with no significant differences between the derivation cohort and the US or UK validation cohorts in the low-risk and moderate-risk groups. CONCLUSION: We derived a 4-variable prediction rule that can be used to stratify patients with early dcSSc into groups by risk of 2-year mortality, and we validated that prediction rule in US and UK cohorts.


Subject(s)
Models, Statistical , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Adult , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Retrospective Studies , Scleroderma, Diffuse/epidemiology , Survival Rate , Time Factors , United Kingdom/epidemiology , United States/epidemiology
12.
Clin Exp Rheumatol ; 31(2 Suppl 76): 166-71, 2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23910619

ABSTRACT

Diffuse systemic sclerosis carries a high morbidity and mortality. The Prospective Registry of Early Systemic Sclerosis (PRESS), a multicentre incident cohort study of patients with early diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis, has the goal of advancing the understanding of disease pathogenesis and identifying novel biomarkers. In this review, PRESS investigators discuss the evidence pertaining to the more commonly used treatments for early diffuse SSc skin disease including methotrexate, mycophenolate, cyclophosphamide, azathioprine, and intravenous immunoglobulin. This review highlights the unmet need for effective treatment in early diffuse SSc as well as its more rigorous study. Nonetheless, the PRESS investigators aim to decrease intra- and inter-institutional variability in prescribing in order to improve the understanding of the clinical course of early diffuse SSc skin disease.


Subject(s)
Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/drug therapy , Biomarkers/metabolism , Early Diagnosis , Humans , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality
16.
Medicine (Baltimore) ; 92(4): 191-205, 2013 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23793108

ABSTRACT

Experience suggests that African Americans may express autoimmune disease differently than other racial groups. In the context of systemic sclerosis (scleroderma), we sought to determine whether race was related to a more adverse expression of disease. Between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2009, a total of 409 African American and 1808 white patients with scleroderma were evaluated at a single university medical center. While the distribution by sex was virtually identical in both groups, at 82% female, African American patients presented to the center at a younger mean age than white patients (47 vs. 53 yr; p < 0.001). Two-thirds of white patients manifested the limited cutaneous subset of disease, whereas the majority of African American patients manifested the diffuse cutaneous subset (p < 0.001). The proportion seropositive for anticentromere antibody was nearly 3-fold greater among white patients, at 34%, compared to African American patients (12%; p < 0.001). Nearly a third of African American (31%) patients had autoantibodies to topoisomerase, compared to 19% of white patients (p = 0.001). Notably, African American patients experienced an increase in prevalence of cardiac (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-2.2), renal (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.1), digital ischemia (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2), muscle (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.3-2.3), and restrictive lung (OR, 6.9; 95% CI, 5.1-9.4) disease. Overall, 700 (32%) patients died (159 African American; 541 white). The cumulative incidence of mortality at 10 years was 43% among African American patients compared to 35% among white patients (log-rank p = 0.0011). Compared to white patients, African American patients experienced an 80% increase in risk of mortality (relative risk [RR], 1.8; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2), after adjustment for age at disease onset and disease duration. Further adjustment by sex, disease subtype, and scleroderma-specific autoantibody status, and for the socioeconomic measures of educational attainment and health insurance status, diminished these risk estimates (RR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.6). The heightened risk of mortality persisted in strata defined by age at disease onset, diffuse cutaneous disease, anticentromere seropositivity, decade of care at the center, and among women. These findings support the notion that race is related to a distinct phenotypic profile in scleroderma, and a more unfavorable prognosis among African Americans, warranting heightened diagnostic evaluation and vigilant care of these patients. Further, we provide a chronologic review of the literature regarding race, organ system involvement, and mortality in scleroderma; we furnish synopses of relevant reports, and summarize findings.


Subject(s)
Black or African American , Scleroderma, Systemic/ethnology , Female , Humans , Lung/physiopathology , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Risk Assessment , Scleroderma, Diffuse/ethnology , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Localized/ethnology , Scleroderma, Systemic/mortality , Scleroderma, Systemic/physiopathology , Social Class , Survival Analysis , United States/epidemiology
18.
Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken) ; 65(8): 1385-9, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23371412

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Palpable tendon friction rubs (TFRs) in systemic sclerosis (SSc; scleroderma) have been associated with diffuse skin thickening, increased disability, and poor survival. Our objective was to quantify the prognostic implications of palpable TFRs on the development of disease complications and longer-term mortality in an incident cohort of early diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) patients. METHODS: We identified early dcSSc patients (disease duration <2 years from the first SSc symptom) first evaluated at the University of Pittsburgh Scleroderma Center between 1980 and 2006 and found to have palpable TFRs. These patients were matched 1:1 with the next consecutive early dcSSc patient without TFRs as a control. All had ≥2 clinic visits and 5 years of followup from the first visit. RESULTS: A total of 287 early dcSSc patients with TFR were identified and matched to 287 controls. The median disease duration was 0.83 years in TFR patients and 1.04 years in controls. The median followup was 10.1 years in TFR patients and 7.9 years in controls. Over the course of their illness, patients with TFRs had a >2-fold risk of developing renal crisis and cardiac and gastrointestinal disease complications, even after adjustment for other known risk factors. Patients with TFRs had poorer 5- and 10-year survival rates. CONCLUSION: Patients with early dcSSc having ≥1 TFRs are at an increased risk of developing renal, cardiac, and gastrointestinal involvement before and after their first Scleroderma Center visit and have reduced survival. Patients presenting with TFRs should be carefully monitored for serious internal organ involvement.


Subject(s)
Scleroderma, Diffuse/diagnosis , Tendons/physiopathology , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/physiopathology , United States/epidemiology
20.
Lancet ; 381(9872): 1116-24, 2013 Mar 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23363664

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Autologous haemopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT) benefits patients with systemic sclerosis but has been associated with significant treatment-related mortality and failure to improve diffusion capacity of carbon monoxide (DLCO). We aimed to assess efficacy of HSCT and use of rigorous cardiac screening in this group. METHODS: We assessed patients with diffuse systemic sclerosis or limited systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease who were treated with HSCT as part of a study or on a compassionate basis at Northwestern University (Chicago, IL, USA) or the University of São Paulo (Ribeirão Preto, Brazil). Unselected peripheral blood stem cells were harvested with cyclophosphamide (2 g/m(2)) and filgrastim. The transplant regimen was a non-myeloablative regimen of cyclophosphamide (200 mg/kg) and rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (rATG; 4·5-6·5 mg/kg). We followed patients up to 5 years for overall survival, relapse-free survival, modified Rodnan skin score, and pulmonary function tests. FINDINGS: Five (6%) of 90 patients died from treatment-related causes. Despite standard guidelines that recommend echocardiogram for screening before transplantation, four treatment-related deaths occurred because of cardiovascular complications (one constrictive pericarditis, two right heart failures without underlying infection, and one heart failure during mobilisation), and one death was secondary to sepsis without documented underlying heart disease. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed survival was 78% at 5 years (after eight relapse-related deaths) and relapse-free survival was 70% at 5 years. Compared with baseline, we noted improvements after HSCT in modified Rodnan skin scores at 1 year (58 patients; p<0·0001), 2 years (42 patients; p<0·0001), and 3 years (27 patients; p<0·0001) and forced vital capacity at 1 year (58 patients; p=0·009), 2 years (40 patients; p=0·02), and 3 years (28 patients; p=0·004), but total lung capacity and DLCO were not improved significantly after HSCT. Overall mean DLCO was significantly improved in patients with normal baseline echocardiograms (p=0·005) or electrocardiographs (p=0·05). INTERPRETATION: Autologous HSCT with a non-myeloablative regimen of cyclophosphamide and rATG with a non-selected autograft results in sustained improvement in skin thickness and forced vital capacity. DLCO is affected by baseline cardiac function. Guidelines for cardiac screening of patients with systemic sclerosis to assess treatment-related risk from pulmonary artery hypertension, primary cardiac involvement, or pericardial disease should be reconsidered and updated. FUNDING: None.


Subject(s)
Cause of Death , Heart Failure/mortality , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/mortality , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Pericarditis, Constrictive/mortality , Peripheral Blood Stem Cell Transplantation/mortality , Peripheral Blood Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Scleroderma, Diffuse/mortality , Scleroderma, Diffuse/therapy , Scleroderma, Limited/mortality , Scleroderma, Limited/therapy , Sepsis/mortality , Transplantation Conditioning , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Compassionate Use Trials , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Pulmonary Diffusing Capacity/physiology , Retrospective Studies , Scleroderma, Diffuse/physiopathology , Scleroderma, Limited/physiopathology , Total Lung Capacity , Transplantation, Autologous , Vital Capacity/physiology , Young Adult
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