Incidence Rates and Outcomes of Nodular and Superficial Spreading Melanoma along the Rural-Urban Continuum in Kentucky and Their Relationship to Provider Care Access.

OBJECTIVES: This study compared incidence rates, stage at presentation, and cause-specific mortality of nodular and superficial spreading melanoma along the rural-urban continuum in Kentucky. We compared resulting patterns in our data with sample demographic and other potential factors, including population by county and primary care provider rate. METHODS: Retrospective patient data were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2010 through 2017. These data were supplemented by environmental, demographic, and socioeconomic data derived from publicly accessible databases. Correlation and χ2 analyses were used to test for significant differences in outcome variables by US Department of Agriculture Rural-Urban Continuum Code (RUCC) categories and other potential predictor variables. RESULTS: Incidence rates by Kentucky county were not associated with RUCC or population; likewise, there was no relationship between stage at presentation and RUCC category. There was, however, a highly significant association between cause-specific mortality and RUCC; patients from rural areas were significantly more likely to die from melanoma than those in urban areas. This overall difference was due to differences in mortality for superficial spreading melanoma. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that a disparity in patients' ability or tendency to access primary care and/or specialist providers postdiagnosis may be critical factors in determining the ultimate outcome of a melanoma diagnosis. Further studies should explore the availability of dermatologists and/or treatment options for melanoma in rural areas. Our data also provide additional support for inclusion of melanoma subtype in the American Joint Committee on Cancer guidelines.

Joinpoint regression analysis of recent trends in desmoplastic malignant melanoma incidence and mortality: 15-year multicentre retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Recent data reveal a marked rise in the detection and mortality rates of Desmoplastic Malignant Melanoma (DMM). This trend underscores the imperative for an in-depth analysis of DMM's epidemiology, which is crucial for the formulation of precise medical and public health strategies. This investigation seeks to elucidate the variations in the incidence and mortality of DMM over a 15-year period (2005-2019). METHODS: Data on DMM patients was sourced from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Both incidence and incidence-based mortality rates (IBM) were directly extracted from the SEER database. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze and calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2019, 3,384 DMM cases were identified, boasting an age-adjusted incidence rate of 36.3 cases per 1000,000 person-years (95% CI 3.51-3.76) and an IBM of 1.65cases per 1000,000 person-years (95% CI 1.57-1.74). Of these, 2,353 were males (69.53%) and 1,031 were females (30.47%). There were 1894 patients (55.97%) who were over 70 years old. Predominantly, DMM lesions manifested in exposed areas: Limbs (955, 28.22%), Face (906, 26.77%), and Scalp and Neck (865, 25.56%). The incidence of DMM increased significantly at a rate of APC = 0.9% during 2005-2019, while the incidence-based mortality showed a significant upward trend (APC = 7%) during 2005-2012, and slowly increasing trend (APC = 0.6%) during 2012-2019. In contrast to the modest upward trajectory in female incidence and mortality, male incidence initially surged, later declining, while male mortality peaked and stabilized post-2012. The primary sites for incidence and mortality were chronically sun-exposed areas: Face, Scalp and Neck, and Limbs. CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, the incidence and incidence-based mortality of DMM have significantly increased. Each subgroup analysis has different trends, and these trends can provide better support for our exploration of DMM.

Low skeletal muscle mass predicts melanoma-specific survival in melanoma patients treated with adjuvant immune checkpoint blockade.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant immunotherapy with immune checkpoint blockade(ICB) has greatly reduced the risk of recurrence and metastatic spread in early and advanced melanoma. However, not all patients benefit from adjuvant treatment: many patients show disease recurrence despite therapy, while those without recurrence harbor the risk for potentially irreversible adverse events. Biomarkers to select patients benefitting most from adjuvant therapy are currently lacking. As body composition assessment using CT images has shown promising results as a prognostic biomarker in stage IV melanoma, we aim to study the applicability of body composition parameters also in adjuvant melanoma treatment. METHODS: We analyze body composition features via CT scans in a retrospective cohort of 109 patients with resected stage IIB-IV melanoma receiving an adjuvant first-line treatment with ICB in our department. In this analysis, we focus on the impact of body composition, especially the presence of low skeletal muscle mass (LSMM), on patients' survival and occurrence of adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: In uni- and multivariate analyses, we identify an association between CT-measured LSMM and melanoma-specific survival in patients treated with adjuvant ICB. Furthermore, LSMM is associated with a lower risk for therapy-related AEs, especially hypothyroidism, fatigue, and xerostomia. Conventional serological biomarkers e.g. S100 and LDH and measures of adipose tissue compartments did not show a correlation with survival or the occurrence of AEs. CONCLUSIONS: LSMM constitutes a novel biomarker for melanoma-specific survival in patients treated with adjuvant ICB.

The Impact of Primary Tumor Site on Survival in Mycosis Fungoides.

Mycosis fungoides (MF) is the most common cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL), but little is known about the influence of anatomic location of the primary disease site on overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). The purpose of this study was to examine the significance of primary tumor site on survival in MF. A search of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was conducted for patients with a diagnosis of MF with a specified primary site from 2000 to 2019. Prognostic factors including demographic and tumor characteristics were examined using Cox regression models. Further research is needed to fully investigate primary disease site as a prognostic indicator, including a deeper dive into MF of all stages and subtypes.

Lymph node metastasis in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to assess the impact of parotid lymph nodes (LNs) on the prognosis of patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck (HNcSCC), and to develop an alternative LN assessment method to enhance locoregional control (LRC) and overall survival (OS) stratification. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled patients with surgically treated HNcSCC. Primary outcome variables were LRC and OS. The influence of parotid LNs and different LN assessment methods on prognosis was analyzed using Cox models, and comparisons were made using the C-index, Akaike Information Criterion, and Bayesian Information Criterion. RESULTS: A total of 126 patients were included. Both intraparotid and periparotid LN statuses significantly linked with prognosis. The presence of extranodal extension (ENE) in cervical LNs, rather than parotid LNs, was predictive of decreased LRC and OS. In the Cox analysis, only N3 of the AJCC N classification, when compared to N0, showed reduced LRC and OS. In comparison to N0P1, only N0P3/N1P1 and N2P2/N2P3 of the O'Brien staging system tended to predict poorer LRC, with no subgroup emerging as an independent predictor for OS. The proposed LN assessment method, based on the number of metastatic LNs and ENE status in cervical LNs, demonstrated superior performance in terms of C-index, Akaike Information Criterion, and Bayesian Information Criterion compared to other systems. CONCLUSION: Parotid LNs were significant determinants of prognosis in metastatic HNcSCC. The novel LN assessment method proposed (1-2 vs. 3-4 vs. 5 + or ENE) displayed similar survival stratification to the AJCC N and O'Brien staging systems.

Long-term survival after anti-PD-1 discontinuation in advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC): a proof of concept of benefit of concomitant cemiplimab and radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: In a princeps study we conducted in patients with advanced cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma treated with concomitant anti-Programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) and radiotherapy, we demonstrated a clinico radiological response to cemiplimab that appeared to persist over time, 1 year after treatment discontinuation. METHOD: We conducted a single-center descriptive study at Caen Hospital from September 1, 2021 to September 2023, in 14 patients with advanced carcinoma treated with cemiplimab until September 1, 2021. The aim of this update is to examine clinical and radiological follow-up 2 years after discontinuation of cemiplimab. RESULTS: Of the 12 patients with a partial or complete response, we report 8 (66.7%) persistent responses 2 years after stopping cemiplimab, with only 2 patients progressing to distant disease, one lost to follow-up, and one death a priori unrelated to the disease. CONCLUSION: Our study confirms a long-term and persistent effect despite discontinuation of cemiplimab at least up to 2 years later.

Clinical outcomes of adjuvant nivolumab in resected stage III melanoma: comparison of CheckMate 238 trial and real-world data.

OBJECTIVES: Nivolumab is approved as adjuvant therapy for resected stage III/IV melanoma based on the phase 3 CheckMate 238 trial. This analysis compared outcomes from CheckMate 238 with those from the real-world Flatiron Health electronic health record-derived de-identified database in patients with resected stage III melanoma (per AJCC-8) treated with adjuvant nivolumab. MATERIALS: Outcomes included baseline characteristics, overall survival (OS) in the CheckMate 238 cohort (randomization until death or last known alive), and real-world overall survival (rwOS) in the Flatiron Health cohort (nivolumab initiation until death or data cutoff). rwOS was compared with OS using unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was combined with the adjusted model to reduce baseline discrepancies. RESULTS: The CheckMate 238 and real-world cohorts included 369 and 452 patients, respectively (median age, 56.0 and 63.0 years; median follow-up, 61.4 vs. 25.5 months). rwOS was not different from OS in the unadjusted (hazard ratio [HR] 1.27; 95% CI 0.92-1.74), adjusted (HR 1.01; 95% CI 0.67-1.54), and adjusted IPTW (HR 1.07; 95% CI 0.70-1.63) analyses. In the adjusted analysis, 2-year OS and rwOS rates were 84%. Median OS and rwOS were not reached. After IPTW, OS and rwOS were not different (HR 1.07; 95% CI 0.70-1.64). CONCLUSIONS: In this comparative analysis, OS in the CheckMate 238 trial was similar to rwOS in the Flatiron Health database after adjustments in patients with resected stage III melanoma (per AJCC-8) treated with adjuvant nivolumab, validating the trial results.

Mortality trend of cutaneous melanoma in Montenegro from 1990-2018.

OBJECTIVE: Every year, melanoma claims over 20,000 lives in Europe. In Montenegro, as in Europe, numerous campaigns have been initiated to raise public awareness about the importance of melanoma prevention and its early detection. Thus, accompanying current diagnostic and therapeutic protocols, new methods of melanoma diagnosis and treatment have been implemented. Studying the trend enables the identification of the groups most burdened by mortality and assesses whether there has been a change in trends based on interventions aiming to reduce mortality. The objective of this study is to evaluate the mortality trend from cutaneous melanoma in Montenegro for the period 1990-2018. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We have utilized national data on the causes of death from melanoma, code 179 from the ninth and C43 from the tenth revision of the International Classification of Diseases, categorized by gender and age groups. The study utilized various regression techniques, including Joinpoint regression in the Joinpoint Program, Poisson regression, and linear regression in the SPSS 26th Program, to describe the trend. RESULTS: In Montenegro, during the period from 1990 to 2018, a total of 281 individuals died (51.6% male and 48.4% female). This ranks as the 13th leading cancer in terms of mortality among all cancers. The average age-standardized rate was 1.1 deaths per 100,000 (1.2 for males and 1.0 for females).  The number of death cases has been increasing on average by 3.3% annually [average annual percentage change (AAPC) (95% CI) = 3.3 (1.7-4.9); p<0.001] on an overall level and by 5.4% annually among males [AAPC (95% CI) = 5.4 (3.6-7.3); p<0.001] due to the rises in the age groups 55-64 years and 65-74 years with an average annual percent change of respectively 3.2% [AAPC (95% CI) = 3.2 (0.8-5.8); p=0.012] and 5.4% [AAPC (95% CI) = 5.4 (2.7-8.1); p<0.001] overall level, and 4.8% [AAPC (95% CI) = 4.8 (2.4-7.3); p<0.001] and 7.5% [AAPC (95% CI) = 7.5 (4.9-10.2); p<0.001] among males. For females, an increase of 1.1% was recorded, which was not statistically significant [AAPC (95% CI) = 1.1 (-0.8-3.0); p=0.255]. Furthermore, there was a noted increase in the rates at an overall level [ß (95% CI) = 0.027 (0.008-0.046); p=0.007] and in the age group 65-74 years [ß (95% CI) = 0.249 (0.090-0.407); p=0.003], as well as among males at an overall level [ß (95% CI) = 0.052 (0.025-0.079); p<0.001] and for age groups 45-54 years [ß (95% CI) = 0.102 (0.011-0.193); p=0.030] and 65-74 [ß (95% CI) = 0.410 (0.144-0.676); p=0.004]. In contrast, the rates for females remained constant. The three age groups most burdened by melanoma skin cancer mortality are 65-74 years (23.5%), 55-64 years (21.7%) and 75-84 years  (19.2%). CONCLUSIONS: The results of regression analyses indicate a significant rise in both the number of death cases and mortality rates overall, specifically among males in Montenegro. In females, however, the increase in the number of death cases and rates is not statistically significant. Preventive campaign activities should be redirected towards the most vulnerable groups in terms of mortality, namely males and the elderly population.

Development of a biomarker signature associated with anoikis to predict prognosis and immunotherapy response in melanoma.

Skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM) is malignant cancer known for its high aggressiveness and unfavorable prognosis, particularly in advanced tumors. Anoikis is a specific pattern of programmed cell death associated with tumor regeneration, migration, and metastasis. Nevertheless, limited research has been conducted to investigate the function of anoikis in SKCM. Anoikis-related genes (ARGs) were extracted from Genecards to identify SKCM subtypes and to explore the immune microenvironment between the different subtypes. Prognostic models of SKCM were developed by LASSO COX regression analysis. Subsequently, the predictive value of risk scores in SKCM and the association with immunotherapy were further explored. Finally, the expression of 6 ARGs involved in the model construction was detected by immunohistochemistry and PCR. This study identified 20 ARGs significantly associated with SKCM prognosis and performed disease subtype analysis of samples based on these genes, different subtypes exhibited significantly different clinical features and tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) landscapes. The risk score prognostic model was generated by further screening and identification of the six ARGs. The model exhibited a high degree of sensitivity and specificity to predict the prognosis of individuals with SKCM. These high- and low-risk populations showed different immune statuses and drug sensitivity. Further immunohistochemical and PCR experiments identified significant differential expression of the six ARGs in tumor and normal samples. Anoikis-based features may serve as novel prognostic biomarkers for SKCM and may provide important new insights for survival prediction and individualized treatment development.

COLUMBUS 7-year update: A randomized, open-label, phase III trial of encorafenib plus binimetinib versus vemurafenib or encorafenib in patients with BRAF V600E/K-mutant melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Treatment with encorafenib plus binimetinib and encorafenib monotherapy is associated with improved progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with vemurafenib in patients with BRAF V600E/K-mutant metastatic melanoma. We report results from the 7-year analysis of COLUMBUS part 1 (NCT01909453) at 99.7 months (median duration between randomization and data cutoff). METHODS: 577 patients with locally advanced unresectable or metastatic BRAF V600E/K-mutant melanoma who were treatment-naive or progressed after first-line immunotherapy were randomized 1:1:1 to encorafenib 450 mg once daily (QD) plus binimetinib 45 mg twice daily (BID) (n = 192), vemurafenib 960 mg BID (n = 191), or encorafenib monotherapy 300 mg QD (n = 194). No prior BRAF/MEK inhibitor was allowed. RESULTS: Seven-year PFS and OS rates (95 % CI) were 21.2 % (14.7-28.4 %) and 27.4 % (21.2-33.9%) in the encorafenib plus binimetinib arm and 6.4 % (2.1-14.0 %) and 18.2 % (12.8-24.3 %) in the vemurafenib arm, respectively. Median melanoma-specific survival (95 % CI) was 36.8 months (27.7-51.5 months) in the encorafenib plus binimetinib arm and 19.3 months (14.8-25.9 months) in the vemurafenib arm. Thirty-four long-term responders (complete/partial response ongoing at 7 years) were identified across arms. CONCLUSIONS: This is the longest follow-up from a phase III trial of BRAF/MEK inhibitor combination in BRAF V600E/K-mutant metastatic melanoma. Safety results were consistent with the known tolerability profile of encorafenib plus binimetinib. Results support the long-term efficacy and known safety of encorafenib plus binimetinib in this population and provide new insights on long-term responders. Interactive data visualization is available at the COLUMBUS dashboard (https://clinical-trials.dimensions.ai/columbus7/).

Global burden and prediction study of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma from 1990 to 2030: A systematic analysis and comparison with China.

Background: China has the highest number of new cancer cases and deaths globally. Due to particularly low scores in health care quality for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), the country's cSCC burden requires greater awareness. Consequently, we aimed to evaluate and predict the trend of the cSCC burden globally and in China from 1990 to 2030. Methods: We retrieved data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study, which provided estimates of the incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of cSCC from 1990 to 2019. We set up joint-point analyses and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models to predict the disease burden of cSCC up to 2030. Results: In 2019, China reported age-standardised rates of cSCC prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs of 2.54, 2.12, 0.88, and 16.76 per 100 000 population, respectively. The country's prevalence and incidence rates from 1990 to 2019 were lower than the global levels, but its mortality and DALY rates were higher. The age-standardised rates were higher for males, and the disease burden increased with each age group globally and in China. Moreover, the average annual percentage change showed all indicators were growing faster than the global levels. According to the BAPC model, there will be an upward trend in the prevalence and incidence globally and in China between 2020 and 2030, with a decrease in mortality and DALYs. Conclusions: We observed an upward trend in the cSCC burden over the past 30 years in China. Prevalence and incidence are expected to continue at a higher rate than the global average in the next decade, while mortality and DALYs are predicted to decrease. As the Chinese population ages, efforts toward managing and preventing cSCC should be targeted towards the elderly population.

Prognostic Value of the Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio, Platelet-to- lymphocyte Ratio and Monocyte-to-lymphocyte Ratio in Melanoma Patients: A Cohort Study.

The prognostic value of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio in patients with melanoma has yielded controversial results in the literature. A retrospective single-centre cohort study was conducted from 1998 to 2020, including patients diagnosed with invasive melanoma. A total of 2,721 patients were included in the study. The median follow-up was 8.23 years (IQR 4.41-13.25). The median baseline neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio values increased significantly (p < 0.001) with the increasing American Joint Committee on Cancer stage. The optimal cut-off values for neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio were determined as 2.1, 184 and 0.2, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, high levels of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (≥ 2.1), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (≥ 184) and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (≥ 0.2) were independently associated with significantly shorter melanoma-specific survival (neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.06-1.60, p = 0.013; platelet-lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.06-1.76, p = 0.014; monocyte- lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.05-1.58, p = 0.015) and overall survival (neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.19-1.64, p < 0.001; platelet- lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.19-1.74, p < 0.001; monocyte-lymphocyte ratio: HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.21-1.66, p < 0.001). High levels of neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio were also associated with poor relapse-free survival, while platelet-lymphocyte ratio was not. In conclusion, baseline neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio were identified as independent predictors for the prognosis of melanoma.

Experimentally validated oxidative stress -associated prognostic signatures describe the immune landscape and predict the drug response and prognosis of SKCM.

Background: Skin Cutaneous Melanoma (SKCM) incidence is continually increasing, with chemotherapy and immunotherapy being among the most common cancer treatment modalities. This study aims to identify novel biomarkers for chemotherapy and immunotherapy response in SKCM and explore their association with oxidative stress. Methods: Utilizing TCGA-SKCM RNA-seq data, we employed Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA) and Protein-Protein Interaction (PPI) networks to identify six core genes. Gene co-expression analysis and immune-related analysis were conducted, and specific markers associated with oxidative stress were identified using Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA). Single-cell analysis revealed the expression patterns of Oxidative Stress-Associated Genes (OSAG) in the tumor microenvironment. TIDE analysis was employed to explore the association between immune therapy response and OSAG, while CIBERSORT was used to analyze the tumor immune microenvironment. The BEST database demonstrated the impact of the Oxidative Stress signaling pathway on chemotherapy drug resistance. Immunohistochemical staining and ROC curve evaluation were performed to assess the protein expression levels of core genes in SKCM and normal samples, with survival analysis utilized to determine their diagnostic value. Results: We identified six central genes associated with SKCM metastasis, among which the expression of DSC2 and DSC3 involved in the oxidative stress pathway was closely related to immune cell infiltration. DSC2 influenced drug resistance in SKMC patients. Furthermore, downregulation of DSC2 and DSC3 expression enhanced the response of SKCM patients to immunotherapy. Conclusion: This study identified two Oxidative Stress-Associated genes as novel biomarkers for SKCM. Additionally, targeting the oxidative stress pathway may serve as a new strategy in clinical practice to enhance SKCM chemotherapy and sensitivity.

The immune response-related genomic alterations in patients with malignant melanoma.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) significantly improve the survival outcomes of patients with advanced melanoma. However, response varies among from patient to patient and predictive biomarkers are urgently needed. We integrated mutational profiles from next-generation sequencing (NGS) data and clinicopathologic characteristics of melanoma patients to investigate whether tumor genomic profiling contribute to clinical benefit of ICIs treatment. The majority of genes identified with high mutation frequency have all been reported as well-known immunotherapy-related genes. Thirty-five patients (43.2%) had at least 1 BRAF/RAS/NF1 mutation. The other 46 (56.8%) melanomas without BRAF/RAS/NF1 mutation were classified as Triple-WT. We identified mutational signature 6 (known as associated with defective DNA mismatch repair) among cases in this cohort. Compared to patients with PD-L1 expression (TPS < 1%), patients with PD-L1 expression (TPS ≥ 1%) had significantly higher median progression-free survival (mPFS), but no significantly higher durable clinical benefit (DCB) rate. In contrast, FAT1, ATM, BRCA2, LRP1B, and PBRM1 mutations only occurred frequently in patients with DCB, irrespective of PD-L1 expression status. Our study explored molecular signatures of melanoma patients who respond to ICIs treatment and identified a series of mutated genes that might serve as predictive biomarker for ICIs responses in melanoma.

Identification of an anoikis-related gene signature and characterization of immune infiltration in skin cutaneous melanoma.

Anoikis is considered strongly associated with a biological procession of tumors. Herein, we utilized anoikis-related genes (ARGs) to predict the prognosis and immunotherapeutic efficacy for skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM). RNA-seq data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus databases. After dividing patients into novel subtypes based on the expression of prognostic ARGs, K-M survival was conducted to compare the survival status. Subsequently, differentially expressed ARGs were identified and the predictive model was established. The predictive effects were validated using the areas under the curve about the receiver operating characteristic. Moreover, tumor mutation burden, the enriched functional pathway, immune cells and functions, and the immunotherapeutic response were also analyzed and compared. The distribution of model genes at cell level was visualized by the single-cell seq with tumor immune single-cell hub database. Patients of The Cancer Genome Atlas-SKCM cohort were divided into 2 clusters, the cluster 1 performed a better prognosis. Cluster 2 was more enriched in metabolism-related pathways whereas cluster 1 was more associated with immune pathways. A predictive risk model was established with 6 ARGs, showing the areas under the curves of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year ROC were 0.715, 0,720, and 0.731, respectively. Moreover, risk score was negatively associated with tumor mutation burden and immune-related pathways enrichment. In addition, patients with high-risk scores performed immunosuppressive status but the decreasing scores enhanced immune cell infiltration, immune function activation, and immunotherapeutic response. In this study, we established a novel signature in predicting prognosis and immunotherapy. It can be considered reliable to formulate the complex treatment for SKCM patients.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the specific mortality risk of melanoma in upper limbs based on the SEER database.

For patients with upper limb melanoma, the significance of specific death is more important than that of all-cause death, and traditional survival analysis may overestimate the mortality rate of patients. Therefore, the nomogram model for predicting the specific mortality risk of melanoma in the upper limbs was developed. A population with melanoma in the upper limbs, diagnosed from 2010 to 2015, were selected from the National Cancer Institute database of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). The independent predictive factors of specific death were confirmed by the competing risk model of one-factor analysis and multi-factor analysis, and the nomogram was constructed according to the independent predictive factors. 17,200 patients with upper limb melanoma were enrolled in the study (training cohort: n = 12,040; validation cohort: n = 5160). Multi-factor analysis of the competing risk model showed that age, marital status, gender, tumor stage, T stage, M stage, regional lymph node surgery information, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, mitotic cell count, ulcer and whether there were multiple primary cancers, were independent factors affecting the specific death of upper limb melanoma patients (P < 0.05). The nomogram has good predictive ability regarding the specific mortality risk of melanoma in the upper limbs, and could be of great help to formulate prognostic treatment strategies and follow-up strategies that are conducive to survival.

Interferon-gamma signature as prognostic and predictive marker in macroscopic stage III melanoma.

BACKGROUND: A substantial proportion of patients with macroscopic stage III melanoma do not benefit sufficiently from adjuvant anti-PD-1 therapy, as they either recur despite therapy or would never have recurred. To better inform adjuvant treatment selection, we have performed translational analyses to identify prognostic and predictive biomarkers. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two cohorts of patients with macroscopic stage III melanoma from an ongoing biobank study were included. Clinical data were compared between an observation cohort (cohort 1) and an adjuvant intention cohort (cohort 2). RNA sequencing for translational analyses was performed and treatment subgroups (cohort 1A and cohort 2A) were compared for possible biomarkers, using a cut-off based on the treatment-naïve patients. In addition, two validation cohorts (Melanoma Institute Australia (MIA) and University Medical Centre Utrecht (UMCU)) were obtained. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 26 months of the 98 patients in our discovery set, median recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly longer for the adjuvant intention cohort (cohort 2, n=49) versus the observation cohort (cohort 1, n=49). Median overall survival was not reached for either cohort, nor significantly different. In observation cohort 1A (n=24), RFS was significantly longer for patients with high interferon-gamma (IFNγ) score (p=0.002); for adjuvant patients of cohort 2A (n=24), a similar trend was observed (p=0.086). Patients with high B cell score had a longer RFS in cohort 1A, but no difference was seen in cohort 2A. The B cell score based on RNA correlated with CD20+ cells in tumor area but was not independent from the IFNγ score. In the MIA validation cohort (n=44), longer RFS was observed for patients with high IFNγ score compared with low IFNγ score (p=0.046), no difference in RFS was observed according to the B cell score. In both the observation (n=11) and the adjuvant (n=11) UMCU validation cohorts, no difference in RFS was seen for IFNγ and B cell. CONCLUSIONS: IFNγ has shown to be a prognostic marker in both patients who were and were not treated with adjuvant therapy. B cell score was prognostic but did not improve accuracy over IFNγ. Our study confirmed RFS benefit of adjuvant anti-PD-1 for patients with macroscopic stage III melanoma.