Aetiology of pleural effusions in children living in a high TB endemic setting.

Confirming the aetiology of pleural effusion in children may be difficult in TB-endemic settings. We investigated the role of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and routine biochemical tests in discriminating pleural effusion caused by bacteria from other aetiologies.This is a cross-sectional post-hoc analysis among children with pleural effusion in a tertiary hospital in South Africa, incorporating new data from PCR testing of stored pleural fluid. Aetiological classification was defined by microbiological confirmation.Ninety-one children were enrolled; the median age 31 months (IQR 12-102). The aetiology of pleural effusion was 40% (36/91) bacteria, 11% (10/91) TB, 3% (3/91) viruses, 11% (10/91) polymicrobial and 35% (32/91) had no pathogen identified. The most common pathogen was Staphylococcus aureus (27/91, 30%) with similar yields on culture and PCR, followed by Streptococcus pneumoniae (12/91, 13%), detected more commonly by PCR. PCR reduced the number of children with unconfirmed aetiologies from 48 to 32. Characteristics of children with no pathogen most resembled those with TB. Pleural fluid lactate dehydrogenase ≥1,716 U/L best discriminated bacterial pleural effusion from other aetiologies (sensitivity of 86%; specificity 95%).PCR improved detection of pathogens and reduced number of children with unconfirmed aetiologies in presumed exudative pleural effusion..

Impact assessment of self-medication on COVID-19 prevalence in Gauteng, South Africa, using an age-structured disease transmission modelling framework.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of self-medication on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 across different age groups, examine the interplay of vaccination and self-medication in disease spread, and identify the age group most prone to self-medication. METHODS: We developed an age-structured compartmentalized epidemiological model to track the early dynamics of COVID-19. Age-structured data from the Government of Gauteng, encompassing the reported cumulative number of cases and daily confirmed cases, were used to calibrate the model through a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework. Subsequently, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses were conducted on the model parameters. RESULTS: We found that self-medication is predominant among the age group 15-64 (74.52%), followed by the age group 0-14 (34.02%), and then the age group 65+ (11.41%). The mean values of the basic reproduction number, the size of the first epidemic peak (the highest magnitude of the disease), and the time of the first epidemic peak (when the first highest magnitude occurs) are 4.16499, 241,715 cases, and 190.376 days, respectively. Moreover, we observed that self-medication among individuals aged 15-64 results in the highest spreading rate of COVID-19 at the onset of the outbreak and has the greatest impact on the first epidemic peak and its timing. CONCLUSION: Studies aiming to understand the dynamics of diseases in areas prone to self-medication should account for this practice. There is a need for a campaign against COVID-19-related self-medication, specifically targeting the active population (ages 15-64).

Contextual determinants of multiple sexual partnerships amongst young people in South Africa: a multilevel analysis.

BACKGROUND: Risky sexual behaviour (RSB), particularly multiple sexual partnerships (MSP) continues to be a major public health concern and has been linked to the increasing STIs, including HIV/AIDS in many parts of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), suggesting that there is an association between contextual factors and multiple sexual partnering. However, in South Africa, this association is not well established in recent literature. Hence, this study examined the contextual factors contributing to multiple sexual partnerships among young people in South Africa. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data was extracted from the 2016 South Africa Demographics and Health Survey (2016 SADHS). A cross-sectional study of 3889 never-married young people. Descriptive and inferential statistics as well as multilevel logistic regression were used to analyse the data on never-married young people aged 15 to 24 years. RESULTS: The results indicated that at the individual level, young males (61.7%) were significantly more likely than their female counterparts (56.1%) to engage in multiple sexual partners, although, the difference was not as significant as expected. At the community level clustering, the likelihood of exposure to multiple sexual partnerships significantly increased among females (OR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.25-1.73) but decreased among their male counterparts (OR = 0.73; 95% CI: 0.58-0.92), in particular, family disruption, residential instability, and ethnic diversity led young people to engage in multiple sexual partnerships. CONCLUSIONS: There is a need to intensify programmes aimed at considering appropriate policy options to reduce the prevalence of multiple sexual partnerships. Adopting the implications of these findings is essential for a developmental strategy towards achieving the sustainable development goal of ending STIs among young people in South Africa.

Morbidity amongst South African Hajj pilgrims in 2023-a retrospective cohort study.

South Africans are not accustomed to the dry arid climate and sweltering heat in Saudi Arabia. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to identify the common health conditions pre-Hajj, during the 5 days of Hajj and on return to South Africa from Hajj amongst the 2023 pilgrims. A QR code and a mobile link to a self-administered questionnaire was sent to all 3500 South African pilgrims. Five hundred and seventy-seven pilgrims returned the completed surveys. Mean age of the participants was 48 years (SD 12) with a higher female representation (3:2). Forty eight percent (279) had pre-existing chronic conditions. Forty five percent (259) reported being ill during their stay in the Kingdom, 20% (115) reported having an illness during the main 5 days, whilst 51% (293) reported having an illness within 7 days of returning to South Africa. Only six pilgrims were admitted to hospital after their return home. Respiratory tract linked symptoms were the most frequently reported (95% pre Hajj and 99% post Hajj). Participants who reported having a chronic condition (AOR 1.52 95% CI 1.09-2.11) and engaging in independent exercising prior to Hajj (AOR 1.52-1.07-2.10) were at an increased likelihood of developing an illness within 7 days of returning home. Post travel surveillance swabs to identify potential pathogens that the returning pilgrims are incubating should be explored to guide further interventions.

Occupational Health Barriers in South Africa: A Call for Ubuntu.

Many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) grapple with shortages of health workers, a crucial component of robust health systems. The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the imperative for appropriate staffing of health systems and the occupational health (OH) threats to health workers. Issues related to accessibility, coverage, and utilization of OH services in public sector health facilities within LMICs were particularly accentuated during the pandemic. This paper draws on the observations and experiences of researchers engaged in an international collaboration to consider how the South African concept of Ubuntu provides a promising way to understand and address the challenges encountered in establishing and sustaining OH services in public sector health facilities. Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, the collaborators actively participated in implementing and studying OH and infection prevention and control measures for health workers in South Africa and internationally as part of the World Health Organizations' Collaborating Centres for Occupational Health. The study identified obstacles in establishing, providing, maintaining and sustaining such measures during the pandemic. These challenges were attributed to lack of leadership/stewardship, inadequate use of intelligence systems for decision-making, ineffective health and safety committees, inactive trade unions, and the strain on occupational health professionals who were incapacitated and overworked. These shortcomings are, in part, linked to the absence of the Ubuntu philosophy in implementation and sustenance of OH services in LMICs.

Pancreaticoduodenectomy for distal cholangiocarcinoma at a South African centre.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) offers the only chance for cure and long-term survival. The current literature provides limited data regarding the surgical management and long-term outcomes of dCCA. This study aims to describe the presentation, management, and outcomes of dCCA at a large academic referral centre in South Africa. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed of all patients who underwent curative-intended surgery for dCCA at Groote Schuur Hospital from 2000 to 2020. RESULTS: Over 21 years, 25 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for dCCA. Most patients were male (68%), and the mean age was 56.8 years. Of the patients, 22 (84%) underwent preoperative biliary drainage (PBD). There were 29 recorded complications in 25 patients; postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and surgical site infection (SSI) each occurred in 24% of the cohort. The mean hospital stay was 17.2 days without perioperative mortality. With none lost to follow-up, the 1, 3, 5, 10, and 20-year survival rates were 84%, 24%, 16%, 12%, and 4%, respectively. Only T3 status was associated with significantly lower overall survival (OS). Age, albumin levels, PBD, margin status (R0 vs. R1), and nodal status (N0 vs. N1/N2) did not influence OS. CONCLUSION: This is the first study detailing the management and outcomes of dCCA from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Despite the complete resection of dCCA, the prognosis is poor, and the long-term survival rate in our study is equivalent to that reported in the literature. T3 disease is an important prognostic factor and is associated with poor OS. Surprisingly, nodal disease and margin status did not affect OS in the cohort of patients.

Association between chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer at a central hospital in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of histological chronic pancreatitis (CP) evidence in the resident pancreas of resected periampullary cancers (PACs) has never been studied in Africa. This study aims to describe the spectrum of pathology and outcomes of pancreatic surgeries and address this deficit from a South African central hospital cohort. METHODS: A retrospective audit of patients undergoing pancreatic surgery at Inkosi Albert Luthuli Central Hospital (IALCH) between 2003 and 2023 was conducted. The patient demographics, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, histological subtypes, type and extent of surgery, and 30-day and overall mortality were captured from medical records. The presence of CP in the resident pancreas of patients resected for pancreatic and PAC was obtained from the pathology reports. RESULTS: Of the cohort, 72% were Africans, presenting at an earlier average age than other races. Surgery was performed on 126 (107 for cancer, 19 for CP) patients. Of these, 77 were pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), of which 34 were for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The prevalence of CP in the resident pancreas was 29.9%, and 55.9% in PDAC. Age was the only factor significantly associated with 30-day mortality, as well as long-term survival amongst patients with pancreatic and PAC. The overall median survival for patients with PAC was seven months; 11 patients are alive. CONCLUSION: In a predominantly African cohort undergoing pancreatic surgery, PDAC presents at a younger age. The high perioperative mortality and low overall survival (OS) in the setting of high CP prevalence in the resident pancreas requires further investigation of its role in the aetiopathogenesis and prognosis in PDAC.

Liver resection for hepatocellular and fibrolamellar carcinoma in a South African tertiary referral centre - an observational cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: More than 80% of global hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) occur in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and South- East Asia. Compared with the rest of the world, HCC in SSA has the lowest resection and survival rates. This study assessed outcome following liver resection for HCC and fibrolamellar carcinoma (FLC) at a tertiary referral centre in South Africa. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was done of all liver resections for HCC and FLC at Groote Schuur Hospital and the University of Cape Town Private Academic Hospital between January 1990 and December 2021. Three groups were compared, (i) HCC occurring in normal livers, (ii) HCC occurring in cirrhotic livers, and (iii) fibrolamellar carcinoma. Postoperative complications were classified as per the expanded accordion severity grading system. Median overall survival (OS) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients were included in the study, 25 for HCC in non-cirrhotic livers, 15 in cirrhotic livers and eight for FLC. Thirty-six patients (75%) underwent a major resection. No mortality occurred but 16 patients (33%) developed grade 1 to 4 complications postoperatively. Thirty-three patients (69%) developed recurrence of HCC following their initial resection of whom 29 (60%) ultimately died. Median overall survival (OS) for the total cohort after surgery was 57.2 months, 95% CI (29.7-84.6), 64.2 months (29.7-84.6), 61.9 months (28.1-95.6), and 31.7 months (1.5-61.8) for patients with HCC in non-cirrhotic livers, FLC and HCC in cirrhotic livers respectively. CONCLUSION: Liver resection for HCC and FLC was safe with no mortality, but one-third of patients had associated postoperative morbidity. The high long-term recurrence rate remains a major obstacle in achieving better survival results after resection.

Associations between HIV stigma and health-related quality-of-life among people living with HIV: cross-sectional analysis of data from HPTN 071 (PopART).

People living with HIV (PLHIV) report lower health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) than HIV-negative people. HIV stigma may contribute to this. We explored the association between HIV stigma and HRQoL among PLHIV. We used cross-sectional data from 3991 randomly selected PLHIV who were surveyed in 2017-2018 for HPTN 071 (PopART), a cluster randomised trial in Zambia and South Africa. Participants were 18-44 years, had laboratory-confirmed HIV infection, and knew their status. HRQoL was measured using the EuroQol-5-dimensions-5-levels (EQ-5D-5L) questionnaire. Stigma outcomes included: internalised stigma, stigma experienced in the community, and stigma experienced in healthcare settings. Associations were examined using logistic regression. Participants who had experienced community stigma (n = 693/3991) had higher odds of reporting problems in at least one HRQoL domain, compared to those who had not (adjusted odds ratio, aOR: 1.51, 95% confidence interval, 95% Cl: 1.16-1.98, p = 0.002). Having experienced internalised stigma was also associated with reporting problems in at least one HRQoL domain (n = 552/3991, aOR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.54-2.54, p < 0.001). However, having experienced stigma in a healthcare setting was less common (n = 158/3991) and not associated with HRQoL (aOR: 1.04, 95% CI: 0.68-1.58, p = 0.850). A stronger focus on interventions for internalised stigma and stigma experienced in the community is required.

Time trends in the mortality of testicular cancer across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019.

Testicular cancer (TCa) is a rare but impactful malignancy that primarily affects young men. Understanding the mortality rate of TCa is crucial for improving prevention and treatment strategies to reduce the risk of death among patients. We obtained TCa mortality data by place (5 countries), age (20-79 years), and year (1990-2019) from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the net drift, local drift, age effects, period and cohort effects. In 2019, the global mortality of TCa increased to 10842 (95% UI 9961, 11902), with an increase of 50.08% compared to 1990.The all-age mortality rate for TCa in 2019 increased from 0.17/100,000 (95% UI 0.13, 0.20) in China to 0.48/100,000 (95% UI 0.38, 0.59) in Russian Federation, whereas the age-standardized mortality rate in 2019 was highest in the South Africa 0.47/100,000 (95% UI 0.42, 0.53) and lowest in the China 0.16/100,000 (95% UI 0.13, 0.19). China's aging population shifts mortality patterns towards the elderly, while in Russian Federation, young individuals are primarily affected by the distribution of deaths. To address divergent TCa mortality advancements in BRICS countries, we propose a contextually adaptive and resource-conscious approach to prioritize TCa prevention. Tailoring strategies to contextual diversity, including policy frameworks, human resources, and financial capacities, will enhance targeted interventions and effectiveness in reducing TCa mortality.

Cardiovascular risk among community members in three communities in the Cape Metropole of the Western Cape.

BACKGROUND:  Cardiovascular diseases pose a risk to population health in South Africa and are responsible for almost one in six deaths (17.3%). AIM:  To determine the cardiovascular risk among community members who attended a community outreach programme. SETTING:  Three communities in the Cape Metropole of the Western Cape. METHODS:  A health survey was conducted with 783 participants, 18 years and older, conveniently sampled. The survey included questions about cardiovascular risk factors, and biometric measurements of blood pressure (BP), height and weight were conducted. RESULTS:  A total of 777 participants were included in the study. Most participants were female (529, 68.1%), with an average age of 42.3 years (s.d. 14.2). Risk behaviours reported included smoking (216, 27.8%), consuming more than two drinks of alcohol daily (78, 10%), low physical activity (384, 49.4%), being stressed on most days (436, 56.1%) and unhealthy eating habits (253, 32.6%). More than half of the participants (402, 51.7%) had a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30, 26.0% (202) had a systolic BP of ≥ 140 mm Hg and 22.4% (174) had a diastolic BP of ≥ 90 mm Hg; 16.6% (130) had a cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk of 10-20 and 19.3% (150) had a CVD risk of 20%. CONCLUSION:  Nearly a fifth of the participants had a significant probability of developing heart disease or experiencing a stroke over the next 10 years.Contribution: There is an urgent need for comprehensive health promotion and behaviour change interventions focused on reducing CVD risk factors at the community level.

Burnout among community service doctors in South Africa.

BACKGROUND:  Burnout in doctors is an important issue with far-reaching consequences. Community service doctors may be particularly vulnerable because of their specific roles (rural settings, junior positions and reduced supervision). AIM:  This study aimed to determine the prevalence of burnout among community service doctors in South Africa (SA), the potential contributory and protective factors and the consequences thereof. SETTING:  This was a national study of community service doctors in SA. METHODS:  A quantitative, descriptive cross-sectional study was performed. The Maslach Burnout Inventory was used to measure burnout. The online questionnaire also included demographic data, workplace and individual characteristics. RESULTS:  Of the 208 community service doctors analysed, 89% and 94% had high emotional exhaustion and depersonalisation, respectively, while 97% had a low personal accomplishment. Mental illness, financial difficulties, unmanageable volume of patients and female gender were found to be potential contributory factors. Having manageable patient volumes, satisfaction with their decision to study medicine, talking to colleagues and feeling supported by healthcare facility management were among the significant potential protective factors. Significant potential consequences of burnout included: leaving the government sector, ever being diagnosed with a mental illness, using alcohol as a coping mechanism and possible current major depression. CONCLUSION:  Burnout among community service doctors in SA is highly prevalent with significant potential consequences. There are a number of modifiable possible contributory and protective factors identified that may be targets for mental health interventions.Contribution: Healthcare burnout research is lacking in the African and specifically SA context. This void includes community service doctors.

Prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV service interruptions amid COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND:  The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused global disruptions in healthcare service delivery. The prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) of human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV) services were also interrupted, threatening the attainment of Sustainable Development Goal 3. This article describes the PMTCT service interruptions experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic in Tshwane healthcare facilities. METHODS:  A descriptive phenomenological design was used to explore and describe the experiences of healthcare providers offering PMTCT services during COVID-19 in the Tshwane district, Gauteng province. Purposive sampling was used to recruit participants. Data were collected through in-depth interviews with 16 participants, and Colaizzi's data analysis steps were followed in analysing the findings. RESULTS:  Participants reported interruptions in PMTCT service delivery during the pandemic. Non-adherence to scheduled visits resulted in patients defaulting or not adhering to treatment regimens, high viral loads and mother-infant pairs' loss to follow-up. Other features of service disruption included late antenatal bookings, low client flow and delays in conducting deoxyribonucleic acid-polymerase chain reaction (DNA-PCR) testing in HIV-exposed babies. In addition, staff shortages occurred because of re-assignments to COVID-19-related activities. Study participants were psychologically affected by the fear of contracting COVID-19 and worked in a frustrating and stressful environment. CONCLUSION:  Improved community-based follow-up services are critical to enhance PMTCT service outcomes and prevent infant HIV infections.Contribution: The findings may influence policymakers in developing strategies to curb HIV infections among mothers and children during pandemics.

The utility of computed tomography at a district-level public hospital in Cape Town.

BACKGROUND:  Computed tomography (CT) has become an invaluable aid in medical diagnostic workup, and its global usage has been shown to be consistently increasing across all departments. While typically located in regional or central hospitals in South Africa, its recent introduction at the district level has many foreseeable benefits. We evaluated its utility at one of the first district hospitals in the Western Cape to obtain a CT suite. OBJECTIVES:  This study aimed to describe the type of CT scans ordered, the clinical indications, the prevalence of significant abnormal findings and the agreement between the clinical opinion and radiological diagnosis. METHODS:  A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted over a 1-year period at Khayelitsha Hospital, an entry-level hospital just outside of Cape Town. RESULTS:  A total of 3242 CT scans were analysed. The mean age of patients was 46 years; 51.4% were males. A mean of 13 scans were performed per working day. The head and neck area were the most scanned region (n = 1841, 52.3%). Predominantly requested by the Emergency Centre (n = 1382, 42.6%), indications were mainly for general medical conditions workup (n = 2151, 66.4%). Most scans showed abnormalities (n = 2710, 83.6%), with 2115 (65.2%) considered relevant ('positive yield'). Clinical and CT diagnoses agreed in 1610 (49.7%) cases. CONCLUSION:  Computed tomography usage at the district level demonstrated positive yield rates comparable to that of tertiary centres. This implies an appropriate utilisation of the service with a potential decrease in the burden on the referral centre.Contribution: Computed tomography scanners at district-level facilities are appropriately utilised and can provide greater access to care while potentially decreasing the burden on referral centres.

Coping mechanisms used by caregivers of HIV/AIDS orphans in North West province, South Africa.

BACKGROUND:  Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) is a pandemic that has affected families and left many children orphaned worldwide. After the death of their parents, HIV/AIDS orphans are often taken care of by caregivers who are faced with overwhelming challenges that affect their capabilities to perform caring tasks. It has been reported that caregivers of HIV/AIDS orphans use different coping mechanisms to deal with the challenges faced during caring. Coping mechanisms play an integral role in maintaining individuals' physical and mental well-being, particularly those caring for orphans. This study explored coping mechanisms used by caregivers of HIV/AIDS orphans. METHODS:  A qualitative design was adopted, and individual semi-structured interviews were used to collect data from 13 caregivers of HIV/AIDS orphans in North West province. Non-probability purposive sampling was used to select the participants. Thematic analysis was used to analyze data. Rigor was maintained throughout the study. RESULTS:  Three main themes were identified with eight subthemes. The first theme includes support from significant others, and subthemes are family support, neighbour support, and life partner support. The second main theme emerged from this study was religious practices and two subthemes namely singing gospel songs and using prayer to cope. The third main theme identified includes the use of social support services, and subthemes were government support, support from local schools, and stokvels and social clubs. CONCLUSION:  The identified coping mechanisms in this study improved caregiving skills of caregivers to better care for children orphaned by HIV/AIDS.

The role of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography in the treatment of hepatic cystic Echinococcus in a high HIV prevalence population: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is a useful, minimally invasive intervention in managing complicated hepatic cystic echinococcosis (HCE). This study aims to assess the use of ERCP in a South African HCE cohort with and without human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) co-infection. METHODS: An analysis was performed of patients with HCE who were assessed for surgery and underwent ERCP at a tertiary hospital in South Africa between 2011 and 2023. Demographics, clinical data, imaging characteristics, operative management, and postoperative complications were compared between HIV-negative (HIV-) and HIV-positive (HIV+) cohorts. RESULTS: Of the 91 patients assessed, 45 (mean age 34.6 years, 73.3% females, 23 HIV+) required ERCP. HIV status did not significantly affect cyst characteristics or surgical outcomes. HIV+ patients had a higher incidence of intraoperative bile leaks (p = 0.025). There were 18 patients who underwent preoperative ERCPs, mainly for biliary-cyst complications primarily causing obstructive jaundice. A total of 40 patients required postoperative ERCPs, mainly for bile leaks. There were no ERCP-related mortalities and only one case of pancreatitis. ERCP success rates were comparable in both cohorts, with an overall success rate of 86.7%. CONCLUSION: HIV co-infection did not significantly impact the clinical course or outcomes of cystic echinococcosis (CE) patients undergoing ERCP. Perioperative ERCP proved effective in managing biliary complications of HCE as well as postoperative complications, regardless of HIV status. This study underscores the importance of endoscopic interventions in the comprehensive management of CE.

The impact of colistin-based regimens on mortality compared to other antimicrobials in patients with carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales bacteremia in South African hospitals: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) infections in low-resource settings is challenging particularly due to limited treatment options. Colistin is the mainstay drug for treatment; however, nephrotoxicity and neurotoxicity make this drug less desirable. Thus, mortality may be higher among patients treated with alternative antimicrobials that are potentially less efficacious than colistin. We assessed mortality in patients with CRE bacteremia treated with colistin-based therapy compared to colistin-sparing therapy. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study using secondary data from a South African national laboratory-based CRE bacteremia surveillance system from January 2015 to December 2020. Patients hospitalized at surveillance sentinel sites with CRE isolated from blood cultures were included. Multivariable logistic regression modeling, with multiple imputations to account for missing data, was conducted to determine the association between in-hospital mortality and colistin-based therapy versus colistin-sparing therapy. RESULTS: We included 1 607 case-patients with a median age of 29 years (interquartile range [IQR], 0-52 years) and 53% (857/1 607) male. Klebsiella pneumoniae caused most of the infections (82%, n=1 247), and the most common carbapenemase genes detected were blaOXA-48-like (61%, n=551), and blaNDM (37%, n=333). The overall in-hospital mortality was 31% (504/1 607). Patients treated with colistin-based combination therapy had a lower case fatality ratio (29% [152/521]) compared to those treated with colistin-sparing therapy 32% [352/1 086]) (p=0.18). In our imputed model, compared to colistin-sparing therapy, colistin-based therapy was associated with similar odds of mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-1.33, p=0.873). CONCLUSION: In our resource-limited setting, the mortality risk in patients treated with colistin-based therapy was comparable to that of patients treated with colistin-sparing therapy. Given the challenges with colistin treatment and the increasing resistance to alternative agents, further investigations into the benefit of newer antimicrobials for managing CRE infections are needed.

Determinants of psychological distress among individuals who are aware of their HIV serostatus in South Africa: findings from the 2017 national HIV prevalence, incidence, behavior, and communication survey.

Introduction: Psychological distress is a growing public health challenge among people living with HIV. This study investigated the prevalence of psychological distress among individuals who know their HIV positive or negative serostatus in South Africa using 2017 data from a nationwide cross-sectional household-based population survey. Methods: The data for this secondary analysis was collected using a multi-stage stratified cluster randomized sampling design. Multivariable backward stepwise generalized linear regression models were fitted to determine factors associated with psychological distress as measured by the Kessler Scale (K10) among HIV-positive and HIV-negative individuals who know their serostatus in South Africa. Results: Of 18,662 participants, psychological distress was 27.4% (95% CI: 25.3-29.7) among those HIV-positive and 20.1% (95% C: 18.8-21.4) among those HIV-negative. The odds of psychological distress were significantly higher among HIV-positive individuals who rated their health as fair/poor [AOR = 1.22 (95% CI: 1.09-1.35), p < 0.001], and the odds were lower among those residing in rural formal/farm areas [AOR = 0.85 (95% CI: 0.78-0.93), p < 0.001], and those with tertiary education level [AOR = 0.88 (95% CI: 0.78-0.99), p = 0.033]. The odds of psychological distress in HIV-negative individuals were significantly higher among females than males [AOR = 1.09 (95% CI: 1.05-1.14), p < 0.001], high-risk alcohol drinkers [AOR = 1.26 (95% CI: 1.02-1.57), p = 0.035] and hazardous alcohol drinkers [AOR = 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01-1.18), p = 0.028] than abstainers and those who rated their health as fair/poor rather than excellent/good [AOR = 1.18 (95% CI: 1.10-1.26), p < 0.001]. Conclusion: The study underscores the importance of addressing, alcohol misuse and socio-structural inequalities linked to gender and race-based disparities, such as low educational attainment and unemployment, as critical factors associated with psychological distress in the study population.

Modeling the effect of imported malaria on the elimination programme in KwaZulu-Natal province of South Africa.

Introduction: with imported malaria cases in a given population, the question arises as to what extent the local cases are a consequence of the imports or not. We perform a modeling analysis for a specific area, in a region aspiring for malaria-free status. Methods: data on malaria cases over ten years is subjected to a compartmental model which is assumed to be operating close to the equilibrium state. Two of the parameters of the model are fitted to the decadal data. The other parameters in the model are sourced from the literature. The model is utilized to simulate the malaria prevalence with or without imported cases. Results: in any given year the annual average of 460 imported cases, resulted in an end-of-year season malaria prevalence of 257 local active infectious cases, whereas without the imports the malaria prevalence at the end of the season would have been fewer than 10 active infectious cases. We calculate the numerical value of the basic reproduction number for the model, which reveals the extent to which the disease is being eliminated from the population or not. Conclusion: without the imported cases, over the ten seasons of malaria, 2008-2018, the KwaZulu-Natal province would have been malaria-free over at least the last 7 years of the decade indicated. This simple methodology works well even in situations where data is limited.