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1.
J Coll Physicians Surg Pak ; 34(6): 688-692, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38840352

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To determine the survival rates of colorectal cancer (CRC) in the Pakistani population and determine the prognostic factors for survival among the CRC patients. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. Place and Duration of the Study: The cancer registry of the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan, from 2010 to 2016. METHODOLOGY: The abstracted data from the cancer registry was cleaned and updated regarding the vital status at the last follow-up. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using a cox regression model to assess the prognostic factors for survival. RESULTS: The overall proportion of late-onset CRC (>50 years of age) was 55.3% and early-onset CRC (<=50 years of age) was higher than expected (45.7%). A high level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (>5 ng/ml) was associated with poor survival compared to patients with CEA levels of ≤5 ng/ml (aHR = 1.68, 95% CI = 1.04, 2.72). Patients, who experienced recurrence, showed poorer survival (aHR = 4.27, 95% CI = 2.55, 7.14). Patients, who did not undergo surgery, showed significantly poorer survival compared to those who underwent surgery (aHR = 5.53, 95% CI = 2.35, 13.03). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that monitoring CEA levels, ensuring prompt surgical treatment and follow-up care for recurrent cases can improve survival outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer. KEY WORDS: Colorectal cancer (CRC), Surgery, Recurrence, Grade, Cancer registry.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Registries , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality , Pakistan/epidemiology , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Prognosis , Adult , Survival Rate , Aged , Carcinoembryonic Antigen/blood , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Kaplan-Meier Estimate
2.
Zhonghua Bing Li Xue Za Zhi ; 53(6): 592-597, 2024 Jun 08.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38825905

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the expression of DARS2 and its clinical significance in colorectal cancer. Methods: In this study, bioinformatics tools, especially gene expression profile interactive analysis 2 (GEPIA2), were used to conduct an in-depth analysis of DARS2 expression in colorectal cancer tissues. Immunohistochemical staining was carried out in 108 colorectal cancer specimens and 30 normal colorectal tissues obtained from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China. Colorectal cancer cell lines (HCT116 and SW480) were transfected with small interfering RNA (siRNA) and DARS2 overexpression plasmid to examine the effects of DARS2 knockdown and overexpression on cell function. To assess the effects on cell function, CCK8 and transwell migration assays were used to assess proliferation and cell motility, respectively. Additionally, protein immunoblotting was employed to scrutinize the expression of proteins associated with the epithelial-mesenchymal transition of colorectal cancer cells. Results: DARS2 exhibited a pronounced upregulation in expression within colorectal cancer tissues compared to their normal epithelial counterparts. Furthermore, DARS2 expression was higher in colorectal cancer of stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ than those of stage Ⅰ-Ⅱ, exhibiting a significant correlation with N staging, M staging, and pathological staging (P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analyses showed a decreased overall survival rate in colorectal cancer with DARS2 expression compared to those without DARS2 expression (P<0.05). In the siRNA transfection group, there was a significant reduction in cell proliferation and migration (P<0.01 and P<0.05, respectively). Conversely, the transfection of DARS2 overexpression plasmids substantially increased both cell proliferation and migration (P<0.05). Additionally, immunoblotting revealed that DARS2 knockdown led to an upregulation of E-cadherin expression and a downregulation of N-cadherin and vimentin expression. In contrast, DARS2 overexpression resulted in increased N-cadherin and vimentin expression, coupled with reduction in E-cadherin expression. Conclusions: There is a strong association between DARS2 expression and colorectal cancer progression. Silencing DARS2 inhibits cell proliferation and migration, exerting a discernible influence on the epithelial-mesenchymal transition process.


Subject(s)
Cell Movement , Cell Proliferation , Colorectal Neoplasms , Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition , RNA, Small Interfering , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Colorectal Neoplasms/metabolism , Colorectal Neoplasms/genetics , RNA, Small Interfering/genetics , Cell Line, Tumor , Vimentin/metabolism , Vimentin/genetics , Cadherins/metabolism , Cadherins/genetics , Survival Rate , HCT116 Cells , Neoplasm Staging , Up-Regulation , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic , Clinical Relevance
3.
Sultan Qaboos Univ Med J ; 24(2): 203-208, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38828257

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study aimed to report the demographic features, clinical presentation, pathological types and long-term outcomes of patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer (EC) in Oman. EC is the sixth most common cancer in women worldwide and the fifth most common cancer in women in Oman. Survival outcomes of EC have not been reported previously from Oman. Methods: This retrospective study was carried out on consecutive patients treated at the Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman, between 2008 and 2020. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan and Meier method. Results: A total of 50 patients with EC were included. The median age was 61 years (range: 31-86 years), and 72% of the patients had type I histology. Most patients were diagnosed with stage IA and IB EC (49% and 20%, respectively), and the majority had grade 1 or 2 tumours (40% and 34%, respectively). Overall, the 5-year survival and 10-year survival rates were estimated to be 70% and 56%, respectively. Weight (>75 kg) and body mass index (>30 kg/m2) were significantly associated with better survival. Tumour histology (type I versus type II or carcinosarcoma), grade (1 versus 2 versus 3) and stage (IA or IB versus II-IV) were associated with better overall survival (P = 0.007, P <0.0001 and P <0.0003, respectively). Patients diagnosed with EC with co-morbidities, other than obesity, had inferior survival compared to those without co-morbidities. Conclusion: Median age at presentation, histological sub-type, clinical stage and outcomes are comparable to the published literature. Almost two-thirds of the patients were obese. These data could be used as a benchmark for outcomes of EC in the region.


Subject(s)
Endometrial Neoplasms , Humans , Female , Endometrial Neoplasms/pathology , Endometrial Neoplasms/mortality , Endometrial Neoplasms/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Oman/epidemiology , Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Neoplasm Staging/methods , Survival Rate , Kaplan-Meier Estimate
4.
S Afr J Surg ; 62(2): 18-22, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38838114

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Jaundice is a marker of advanced disease and poor outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to describe and analyse the management and outcomes of jaundiced HCC patients at a large academic referral centre in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). METHODS: Treatment-naïve adult HCC patients who presented with jaundice between 1990 and 2023 were analysed. RESULTS: During the inclusion period, 676 HCC patients were treated at Groote Schuur Hospital. The mean age of the 126 (18.6%) who were jaundiced was 48.8 (± 13.2) years. Eighty-nine (70.6%) were male. Ninety-four (74.6%) patients with jaundice secondary to diffuse tumour infiltration had best supportive care (BSC) only. Thirty-two had obstructive jaundice (OJ); four were excluded because of missing hospital records. In 28 of these patients, 16 underwent biliary drainage (BD) and 12 received BSC only. The mean overall survival (OS) of the 126 patients was 100.5 (± 242.3) days. The patients with diffuse tumour infiltration had an OS of 105.9 (± 273.3) days. The patients with OJ survived 86.5 (± 135.0) days. There was no significant difference in OS between the three patient groups (p = 0.941). In the OJ group, patients who underwent BD survived longer than the BSC group (117.9 ± 166.4 vs. 29.2 ± 34.7 days, p = 0.015).


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Jaundice, Obstructive , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/complications , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/therapy , Male , Liver Neoplasms/complications , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Female , Middle Aged , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Adult , Jaundice, Obstructive/etiology , Jaundice, Obstructive/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Jaundice/etiology , Survival Rate , Treatment Outcome , Aged
5.
S Afr J Surg ; 62(2): 39-43, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38838118

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) offers the only chance for cure and long-term survival. The current literature provides limited data regarding the surgical management and long-term outcomes of dCCA. This study aims to describe the presentation, management, and outcomes of dCCA at a large academic referral centre in South Africa. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed of all patients who underwent curative-intended surgery for dCCA at Groote Schuur Hospital from 2000 to 2020. RESULTS: Over 21 years, 25 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for dCCA. Most patients were male (68%), and the mean age was 56.8 years. Of the patients, 22 (84%) underwent preoperative biliary drainage (PBD). There were 29 recorded complications in 25 patients; postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and surgical site infection (SSI) each occurred in 24% of the cohort. The mean hospital stay was 17.2 days without perioperative mortality. With none lost to follow-up, the 1, 3, 5, 10, and 20-year survival rates were 84%, 24%, 16%, 12%, and 4%, respectively. Only T3 status was associated with significantly lower overall survival (OS). Age, albumin levels, PBD, margin status (R0 vs. R1), and nodal status (N0 vs. N1/N2) did not influence OS. CONCLUSION: This is the first study detailing the management and outcomes of dCCA from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Despite the complete resection of dCCA, the prognosis is poor, and the long-term survival rate in our study is equivalent to that reported in the literature. T3 disease is an important prognostic factor and is associated with poor OS. Surprisingly, nodal disease and margin status did not affect OS in the cohort of patients.


Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms , Cholangiocarcinoma , Pancreaticoduodenectomy , Humans , Male , Cholangiocarcinoma/surgery , Cholangiocarcinoma/mortality , Middle Aged , Female , South Africa/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Bile Duct Neoplasms/surgery , Bile Duct Neoplasms/mortality , Aged , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Survival Rate , Adult , Treatment Outcome
6.
S Afr J Surg ; 62(2): 13-17, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38838113

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: More than 80% of global hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) occur in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and South- East Asia. Compared with the rest of the world, HCC in SSA has the lowest resection and survival rates. This study assessed outcome following liver resection for HCC and fibrolamellar carcinoma (FLC) at a tertiary referral centre in South Africa. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was done of all liver resections for HCC and FLC at Groote Schuur Hospital and the University of Cape Town Private Academic Hospital between January 1990 and December 2021. Three groups were compared, (i) HCC occurring in normal livers, (ii) HCC occurring in cirrhotic livers, and (iii) fibrolamellar carcinoma. Postoperative complications were classified as per the expanded accordion severity grading system. Median overall survival (OS) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients were included in the study, 25 for HCC in non-cirrhotic livers, 15 in cirrhotic livers and eight for FLC. Thirty-six patients (75%) underwent a major resection. No mortality occurred but 16 patients (33%) developed grade 1 to 4 complications postoperatively. Thirty-three patients (69%) developed recurrence of HCC following their initial resection of whom 29 (60%) ultimately died. Median overall survival (OS) for the total cohort after surgery was 57.2 months, 95% CI (29.7-84.6), 64.2 months (29.7-84.6), 61.9 months (28.1-95.6), and 31.7 months (1.5-61.8) for patients with HCC in non-cirrhotic livers, FLC and HCC in cirrhotic livers respectively. CONCLUSION: Liver resection for HCC and FLC was safe with no mortality, but one-third of patients had associated postoperative morbidity. The high long-term recurrence rate remains a major obstacle in achieving better survival results after resection.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Hepatectomy , Liver Neoplasms , Tertiary Care Centers , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/surgery , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , South Africa/epidemiology , Male , Female , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Adult , Aged , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Liver Cirrhosis/surgery , Survival Rate , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
7.
Cancer Rep (Hoboken) ; 7(6): e2101, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38831124

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the stomach (HAS) is a rare and aggressive subtype of gastric cancer (GC), accounting for less than 1% of all cases. It is characterized by frequent liver metastasis recurrence and a poorer prognosis than conventional GC. However, established treatment guidelines for HAS are currently not available.In this report, we present the results of a clinicopathological study of 19 patients diagnosed with HAS, including seven patients with liver metastasis, conducted by the Hiroshima Surgical Study Group of Clinical Oncology (HiSCO) between 2016 and 2018. AIMS: The aim of the study was to retrospectively observe the outcomes of HAS with gastrectomy and hepatectomy for liver metastasis and determine relevant prognostic factor. We also examined the criteria and outcomes of hepatectomy for liver metastasis and aimed to suggest the optimal treatment for HAS, including chemotherapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 2147 patients underwent gastrectomy for GC at HiSCO-affiliated institutions during the study period; 19 patients, all male with a mean age of 70.9 years, were diagnosed with HAS by hematoxylin-eosin and immunohistochemical staining. Patients underwent gastrectomy at varying pathological stages: six at Stage I, three at Stage II, seven at Stage III, and three at Stage IV. Ten patients received postoperative chemotherapy and the 5-year survival rate was 67.7% after gastrectomy. Among the seven patients with pre or postoperative liver metastasis, five patients underwent hepatectomy. Although one patient had recurrence, the 3-year survival rate was 100% after hepatectomy. CONCLUSION: Contrary to previous reports suggesting a 3-year survival rate of approximmately 30% for HAS, our findings indicate that the prognosis for HAS may not be as poor as reported previously. This study contributes valuable insights into the management and potential treatment strategies for HAS.


Subject(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Gastrectomy , Hepatectomy , Liver Neoplasms , Stomach Neoplasms , Humans , Male , Stomach Neoplasms/pathology , Stomach Neoplasms/mortality , Stomach Neoplasms/therapy , Stomach Neoplasms/surgery , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Middle Aged , Adenocarcinoma/pathology , Adenocarcinoma/mortality , Adenocarcinoma/therapy , Adenocarcinoma/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Prognosis , Survival Rate , Aged, 80 and over , Neoplasm Staging , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Female
8.
Cancer Immunol Immunother ; 73(8): 142, 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38832989

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is an ongoing debate as to whether sex could be associated with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) benefit. Existing literature data reveal contradictory results, and data on first-line immune combinations are lacking. METHOD: This was a real-world, multicenter, international, observational study to determine the sex effects on the clinical outcomes in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients treated with immuno-oncology combinations as first-line therapy. RESULTS: A total of 1827 mRCC patients from 71 cancer centers in 21 countries were included. The median OS was 38.7 months (95% CI 32.7-44.2) in the overall study population: 40.0 months (95% CI 32.7-51.6) in males and 38.7 months (95% CI 26.4-41.0) in females (p = 0.202). The median OS was higher in males vs. females in patients aged 18-49y (36.9 months, 95% CI 29.0-51.6, vs. 24.8 months, 95% CI 16.8-40.4, p = 0.426, with + 19% of 2y-OS rate, 72% vs. 53%, p = 0.006), in the clear cell histology subgroup (44.2 months, 95% CI 35.8-55.7, vs. 38.7 months, 95% CI 26.0-41.0, p = 0.047), and in patients with sarcomatoid differentiation (34.4 months, 95% CI 26.4-59.0, vs. 15.3 months, 95% CI 8.9-41.0, p < 0.001). Sex female was an independent negative prognostic factor in the sarcomatoid population (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.15 - 2.57, p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Although the female's innate and adaptive immunity has been observed to be more active than the male's, women in the subgroup of clear cell histology, sarcomatoid differentiation, and those under 50 years of age showed shorter OS than males.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Renal Cell , Kidney Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/mortality , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/immunology , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/pathology , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Kidney Neoplasms/mortality , Kidney Neoplasms/immunology , Kidney Neoplasms/drug therapy , Kidney Neoplasms/pathology , Adult , Aged , Young Adult , Adolescent , Sex Factors , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Prognosis , Immunotherapy/methods , Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use , Survival Rate , Aged, 80 and over
9.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(6): e2413004, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833253

ABSTRACT

Importance: It is essential to identify inequitable cancer care for ethnic minority groups, which may allow policy change associated with improved survival and decreased mortality and morbidity. Objective: To investigate ethnic disparities in survival and mortality among New Zealand (NZ) patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) and the association of other variables, including socioeconomic status, tumor stage, and age at diagnosis, with survival rates. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted among NZ patients diagnosed with specific HNCs from 2010 to 2020. Anonymized data were obtained from the NZ Cancer Registry, including patients diagnosed from International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes C00-C14 and C30-C32. Data were analyzed from July 2020 through January 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Censored Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to analyze survival distribution. Cox regression models were used to estimate the association of age, tumor stage at diagnosis, and socioeconomic status with survival rates. Age-standardized mortality rates were assessed. Results: Among 6593 patients with HNCs (4590 males [69.6%]; 4187 patients aged 51-75 years [63.5%]), there were 706 Maori individuals (10.7%) and 5887 individuals with other ethnicity (89.3%), including 4327 NZ European individuals (65.6%; defined as New Zealanders of European descent). Maori individuals had a decreased survival proportion at all years after diagnosis compared with individuals with other ethnicity (eg, 66.1% [95% CI, 62.6%% to 69.8%] vs 71.2% [95% CI, 70.0% to 72.4%] at 2 years). At 1 year after diagnosis, Maori individuals did not have a significantly increased mortality rate compared with 5795 individuals with other ethnicity with data (193 deaths [27.3%] vs 1400 deaths [24.2%]; P = .06), but the rate was significantly increased at 5 years after diagnosis (277 deaths [39.3%] vs 2034 deaths [35.1%]; P = .03); there was greater disparity compared with NZ European individuals (1 year: 969 deaths [22.4%]; P = .003; 5 years: 1441 deaths [33.3%]; P = .002). There were persistent age-adjusted mortality rate disparities: 40.1% (95% CI, -25.9% to 71.2%) for Maori individuals and 18.8% (95% CI, -15.4% to 24.4%) for individuals with other ethnicity. Maori individuals were diagnosed at a mean age of 58.0 years (95% CI, 57.1-59.1 years) vs 64.3 years. (95% CI, 64.0-64.7 years) for individuals with other ethnicity, or 5 to 7 years younger, and died at mean age of 63.5 years (95% CI, 62.0-64.9 years) compared with 72.3 years (95% CI, 71.8-72.9 years) for individuals with other ethnicity, or 7 to 10 years earlier. Maori individuals presented with proportionally more advanced disease (only localized disease, 102 patients [14.5%; 95% CI, 12.0%-17.4%] vs 1413 patients [24.0%; 95% CI, 22.9%-25.1%]; P < .001) and showed an increase in regional lymph nodes (276 patients [39.1%; 95% CI, 35.5%-42.9%] vs 1796 patients [30.5%; 95% CI, 29.3%-31.8%]; P < .001) at diagnosis compared with individuals with other ethnicity. Socioeconomic status was not associated with survival. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that Maori individuals experienced worse survival outcomes and greater mortality rates from HNC in NZ and presented with more advanced disease at a younger age. These findings suggest the need for further research to alleviate these disparities, highlight the importance of research into minority populations with HNC globally, and may encourage equity research for all cancers.


Subject(s)
Head and Neck Neoplasms , Humans , New Zealand/epidemiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Head and Neck Neoplasms/mortality , Head and Neck Neoplasms/ethnology , Head and Neck Neoplasms/therapy , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Survival Rate , Health Status Disparities , Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology
10.
Cancer Immunol Immunother ; 73(8): 158, 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38834790

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The liver function reserve has a significant impact on the therapeutic effects of anti-programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the ability of liver-function-based indicators to predict prognosis and construct a novel prognostic score for HCC patients with anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. METHODS: Between July 2018 and January 2020, patients diagnosed with HCC who received anti-PD-1 treatment were screened for inclusion in the study. The valuable prognostic liver-function-based indicators were selected using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to build a novel liver-function-indicators-based signature (LFIS). Concordance index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were utilized to access the predictive performance of LFIS. RESULTS: A total of 434 HCC patients who received anti-PD-1 treatment were included in the study. The LFIS, based on alkaline phosphatase-to-albumin ratio index, Child-Pugh score, platelet-albumin score, aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-lymphocyte ratio index, was constructed and identified as an independent risk factor for patient survival. The C-index of LFIS for overall survival (OS) was 0.692, which was higher than the other single liver-function-based indicator. The AUC of LFIS at 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month were 0.74, 0.714, 0.747, and 0.865 for OS, respectively. Patients in the higher-risk LFIS group were associated with both worse OS and PFS. An online and easy-to-use calculator was further constructed for better application of the LFIS signature. CONCLUSION: The LFIS score had an excellent prognosis prediction ability superior to every single liver-function-based indicator for anti-PD-1 treatment in HCC patients. It is a reliable, easy-to-use tool to stratify risk for OS and PFS in HCC patients who received anti-PD-1 treatment.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/drug therapy , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Male , Female , Prognosis , Middle Aged , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Programmed Cell Death 1 Receptor/antagonists & inhibitors , Aged , Liver Function Tests/methods , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Liver/pathology , Immunotherapy/methods , Biomarkers, Tumor , Adult
11.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 24(1): 191, 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38834942

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Type C hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), which is based on decompensated cirrhosis, has different laboratory tests, precipitating events, organ failure and clinical outcomes. The predictors of prognosis for type C HBV-ACLF patients are different from those for other subgroups. This study aimed to construct a novel, short-term prognostic score that applied serological indicators of hepatic regeneration and noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis to predict outcomes in patients with type C HBV-ACLF. METHOD: Patients with type C HBV-ACLF were observed for 90 days. Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent prognostic factors and develop a novel prognostic scoring system. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the performance of the model. RESULTS: A total of 224 patients with type C HBV-ACLF were finally included. The overall survival rate within 90 days was 47.77%. Age, total bilirubin (TBil), international normalized ratio (INR), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), white blood cell (WBC), serum sodium (Na), and aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index (APRI) were found to be independent prognostic factors. According to the results of the logistic regression analysis, a new prognostic model (named the A3Twin score) was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.851 [95% CI (0.801-0.901)], the sensitivity was 78.8%, and the specificity was 71.8%, which were significantly higher than those of the MELD, IMELD, MELD-Na, TACIA and COSSH-ACLF II scores (all P < 0.001). Patients with lower A3Twin scores (<-9.07) survived longer. CONCLUSIONS: A new prognostic scoring system for patients with type C HBV-ACLF based on seven routine indices was established in our study and can accurately predict short-term mortality and might be used to guide clinical management.


Subject(s)
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure , Aspartate Aminotransferases , Biomarkers , alpha-Fetoproteins , Humans , Male , Female , alpha-Fetoproteins/analysis , alpha-Fetoproteins/metabolism , Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/blood , Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/mortality , Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Adult , Biomarkers/blood , Aspartate Aminotransferases/blood , ROC Curve , Platelet Count , Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications , Hepatitis B, Chronic/blood , Liver Cirrhosis/blood , Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis , Liver Cirrhosis/mortality , Liver Cirrhosis/complications , Survival Rate , Predictive Value of Tests , Logistic Models
12.
J Cancer Res Clin Oncol ; 150(6): 288, 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38834932

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Neuroendocrine neoplasm is a rare cancer of head and neck. This study aimed to evaluate clinical features, treatment outcomes, and prognostic factors of neuroendocrine neoplasm of head and neck treated at a single institution. METHODS: Between Nov 2000 and Nov 2021, ninety-three patients diagnosed with neuroendocrine neoplasms of head and neck treated at our institution were reviewed retrospectively. The initial treatments included chemotherapy (induction, adjuvant, or concurrent) combined with radiotherapy in 40 patients (C + RT group), surgery followed by post-operative RT in 34 (S + RT group), and surgery plus salvage therapy in 19 patients (S + Sa group). RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 64.5 months. 5-year overall survival rate (OS), progression-free survival rate (PFS), loco-regional relapse-free survival free rate (LRRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival rate (DMFS) were 64.5%, 51.6%, 66.6%, and 62.1%, respectively. For stage I-II, the 5-year LRRFS for patients' treatment regimen with or without radiotherapy (C + RT and S + RT groups versus S + Sa group) was 75.0% versus 12.7% (p = 0.015) while for stage III-IV, the 5-year LRRFS was 77.8% versus 50.0% (p = 0.006). The 5-year DMFS values for patients with or without systemic therapy (C + RT group versus S + RT or S + Sa) were 71.2% and 51.5% (p = 0.075). 44 patients (47.3%) experienced treatment failure and distant metastasis was the main failure pattern. CONCLUSIONS: Radiotherapy improved local-regional control and played an important role in the management of HNNENs. The optimal treatment regimen for HNNENs remains the combination of local and systemic treatments.


Subject(s)
Head and Neck Neoplasms , Neuroendocrine Tumors , Humans , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Head and Neck Neoplasms/therapy , Head and Neck Neoplasms/pathology , Head and Neck Neoplasms/mortality , Adult , Aged , Neuroendocrine Tumors/therapy , Neuroendocrine Tumors/pathology , Neuroendocrine Tumors/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Prognosis , Young Adult , Survival Rate , Treatment Outcome , Combined Modality Therapy , Follow-Up Studies , Adolescent
13.
BMC Womens Health ; 24(1): 324, 2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38834997

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Whether patients with cT1 - 2N1M0 breast cancer can benefit from postoperative radiotherapy (RT) after receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been controversial. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to explore whether postoperative RT can benefit this group of patients in terms of survival. METHODS: We used Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data to conduct a retrospective review of women with cT1 - 2N1M0 breast cancer diagnosed between 20 and 80 years of age who received NAC between 2010 and 2015. Our study compared the impact of postoperative RT on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in breast cancer patients using propensity score matching (PSM) and performed subgroup analysis. RESULTS: This study finally included 1092 cT1 - 2N1M0 breast cancer patients. Regardless of the patient's PSM status, postoperative RT was significantly associated with OS of cT1-2N1M0 breast cancer patients who received NAC. Specifically, the 10-year OS rate was 78.7% before PSM matching, compared with 71.1% in patients who did not receive postoperative RT, and the difference was more significant after PSM matching, which was 83.1% and 71.1% respectively. However, postoperative RT did not significantly benefit CSS in patients with cT1 - 2N1M0 breast cancer who received NAC. The 10-year CSS rate was 81.4% VS 76.2% (P = 0.085) before PSM matching and 85.8% VS 76.2%(P = 0.076) after matching. Due to the intersection of OS and CSS curves, this restricted mean survival time (RMST) method was chosen as a supplement. After 60 months, the OS difference in RMST between the postoperative RT group and the non-radiotherapy (noRT) group was 7.37 months (95%CI: 0.54-14.21; P = 0.034), and the CSS difference was 5.18 months (95%CI: -1.31-11.68; P = 0.118). Subgroup analysis found that in patients with right-sided breast cancer, postoperative RT improved the patient's OS (HR = 0.45, 95%CI: 0.21-0.95, P = 0.037) and CSS (HR = 0.42, 95%CI: 0.18-0.98, P = 0.045). CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that additional postoperative RT improved the OS of cT1 - 2N1M0 breast cancer patients who received NAC, but failed to improve their CSS. It is worth noting that in the subgroup analysis of patients with right-sided breast cancer, we observed significant improvements in OS and CSS. And further prospective studies are still needed to verify the effect of postoperative RT in different subgroups.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Neoadjuvant Therapy , SEER Program , Humans , Female , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Breast Neoplasms/drug therapy , Neoadjuvant Therapy/methods , Neoadjuvant Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Aged , Radiotherapy, Adjuvant , Neoplasm Staging , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant/methods , Postoperative Period , Aged, 80 and over , Propensity Score , Survival Rate , Young Adult
14.
Cancer Med ; 13(11): e7250, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38826090

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Since June 2020, boron neutron capture therapy (BNCT) has been a health care service covered by health insurance in Japan to treat locally advanced or recurrent unresectable head and neck cancers. Therefore, we aimed to assess the clinical outcomes of BNCT as a health insurance treatment and explore its role among the standard treatment modalities for head and neck cancers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from patients who were treated using BNCT at Kansai BNCT Medical Center, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, between June 2020 and May 2022. We assessed objective response rates based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1, and adverse events based on the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 5.0. Additionally, we conducted a survival analysis and explored the factors that contributed to the treatment results. RESULTS: Sixty-nine patients (72 treatments) were included in the study, with a median observation period of 15 months. The objective response rate was 80.5%, and the 1-year locoregional control, progression-free survival, and overall survival rates were 57.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 43.9%-68.3%), 42.2% (95% CI: 30.1%-53.8%), and 75.4% (95% CI: 62.5%-84.5%), respectively. Locoregional control was significantly longer in patients with earlier TNM staging and no history of chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: BNCT may be an effective treatment option for locally advanced or recurrent unresectable head and neck cancers with no other definitive therapies. If definitive surgery or radiation therapy are not feasible, BNCT should be considered at early disease stages.


Subject(s)
Boron Neutron Capture Therapy , Head and Neck Neoplasms , Humans , Boron Neutron Capture Therapy/methods , Male , Female , Head and Neck Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Head and Neck Neoplasms/therapy , Head and Neck Neoplasms/mortality , Japan , Middle Aged , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Adult , Aged, 80 and over , Treatment Outcome , Insurance, Health , Survival Rate
15.
Open Heart ; 11(1)2024 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38843905

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is increasing awareness that patients without standard modifiable risk factors (SMuRFs; diabetes, hypercholesterolaemia, hypertension and smoking) may represent a unique subset of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We aimed to investigate the prevalence and outcomes of patients with SMuRF-less ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with those with SMuRFs. METHODS: We analysed data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI Registry. Patients with coronary artery disease were excluded. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included in-hospital and 30-day events. Long-term mortality was investigated using Cox-proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: From 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2020, 2727/18 988 (14.4%) patients were SMuRF less, with the proportion increasing over time. Mean age was similar for patients with and without SMuRFs (63 years), and fewer females were SMuRF-less (19.8% vs 25.4%, p<0.001). SMuRF-less patients were more likely to present with cardiac arrest (6.6% vs 3.9%, p<0.001) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (59.1% vs 50.8%, p<0.001) and were more likely to experience postprocedural cardiogenic shock (4.5% vs 3.6%, p=0.019) and arrhythmia (11.2% vs 9.9%, p=0.029). At 30 days, mortality, myocardial infarction, revascularisation and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events did not differ between the groups. During median follow-up of 7 years, SMuRF-less patients had an adjusted 13% decreased rate of mortality (HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.97)). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of SMuRF-less patients increased over time. Presentation was more often a devastating cardiac event compared with those with SMuRFs. No difference in 30-day outcomes was observed and SMuRF-less patients had lower hazard for long-term mortality.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention , Registries , Humans , Acute Coronary Syndrome/therapy , Acute Coronary Syndrome/mortality , Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology , Acute Coronary Syndrome/surgery , Female , Male , Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/adverse effects , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Aged , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome , Time Factors , Risk Assessment/methods , Retrospective Studies , Follow-Up Studies , Survival Rate/trends , Hospital Mortality/trends , Victoria/epidemiology
16.
Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue ; 36(5): 538-542, 2024 May.
Article in Chinese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38845503

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) related outcomes during hospitalization during the intensive care unit (ICU) in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with high body mass index (BMI, > 25 kg/m2) undergoing lung transplantation with ECMO support. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted. IPF patients who received ECMO during lung transplantation admitted to the Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from 2019 to 2020 were enrolled. Preoperative indicators including, demographics, comorbidities, arterial blood gas, and laboratory indicators; intraoperative indicators, such as lung lobe volume reduction, surgical type, surgical time, cold ischemia time, blood loss and transfusion volume; immediate indicators upon admission to the ICU, such as blood gas analysis and laboratory indicators; ECMO related outcomes, such as ECMO mode, ECMO support time, ECMO related complications (bleeding at the catheterization site, intraductal thrombosis, lower limb ischemia), and the length of ICU stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, and 30-day survival rate were collected. According to BMI, patients were divided into three groups: light weight group (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2), normal weight group (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2), and overweight group (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2). Mainly to compare the relevant outcomes of ECMO among patients during ICU. RESULTS: A total of 114 IPF patients who received ECMO support during lung transplantation were collected, including 23 cases in the light weight group, 63 cases in the normal weight group, and 28 cases in the overweight group. Compared with patients with underweight and normal weight, overweight patients were more likely to have hypertension (46.4% vs. 8.7%, 23.8%, P < 0.01) and coronary heart disease (32.1% vs. 4.3%, 20.6%, P < 0.05) before surgery, which was consistent with international guidelines for obesity. Other clinical data (preoperative, intraoperative, ICU characteristics) showed no statistically significant differences and were comparable. There was no statistically significant difference in terms of ECMO related outcomes, such as ECMO related complications [veno-venous (V-V) mode: 78.3%, 77.8%, 78.6%, veno-arterial (V-A) mode: 21.7%, 22.2%, 21.4%], ECMO support time (hours: 61.70±20.03, 44.57±5.76, 41.77±7.26), ECMO related complications (bleeding at the catheterization site: 4.3%, 7.9%, 14.3%; intraductal thrombosis: 8.7%, 12.7%, 17.9%; lower limb ischemia: 8.7%, 12.7%, 14.3%), and the length of ICU stay (days: 11±3, 7±1, 9±1), duration of mechanical ventilation [days: 2 (2, 11), 2 (2, 6), 3 (2, 8)] among the light weight group, normal weight group, and overweight group (all P > 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the 30-day cumulative survival rate among the three groups (Log-Rank test: χ 2 = 0.919, P = 0.632). CONCLUSIONS: High BMI does not worsen ECMO-related outcomes or adversely affect early prognosis in IPF patients undergoing lung transplantation. BMI as a single parameter should not be a contraindication for the use of ECMO in lung transplantation surgery for IPF patients.


Subject(s)
Body Mass Index , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis , Intensive Care Units , Lung Transplantation , Humans , Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/methods , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Male , Female , Treatment Outcome , Survival Rate , Middle Aged , Length of Stay
17.
Radiat Oncol ; 19(1): 70, 2024 Jun 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38849839

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the efficacy of 125I seed brachytherapy for non-central pelvic recurrence of cervical cancer after external beam radiotherapy, and to analyze the clinical influential factors. METHODS: Between June 2015 and April 2022, 32 patients with 41 lesions were treated with 125I seed brachytherapy. The seeds were implanted under the guidance of CT and/or 3D-printed template images at a median dose of 100 Gy (range, 80-120 Gy), and the local control rate (LCR) and survival rates were calculated. We used multivariate logistic regression to identify prognosis predictors, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 48.52 months (range, 4-86 months), and the 6-, 12-, and 24-month LCR was 88.0%, 63.2%, and 42.1%, respectively. The 1- and 2-year survival rates were 36% and 33%, respectively, and the median survival time was 13.26 months. No significant adverse events occurred. Multivariate regression analysis showed that tumor diameter, tumor stage, and LCR were independent factors influencing survival. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for tumor diameter and D90 were 0.765 and 0.542, respectively, with cut-off values of 5.3 cm and 108.5 Gy. CONCLUSIONS: The present findings indicate that 125I seed brachytherapy is feasible for treating non-central pelvic recurrence of cervical cancer after external beam radiotherapy. Further, tumor diameter < 5.3 cm and immediate postoperative D90 > 108.5 Gy were associated with better efficacy.


Subject(s)
Brachytherapy , Iodine Radioisotopes , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms , Humans , Brachytherapy/methods , Female , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/pathology , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/mortality , Iodine Radioisotopes/therapeutic use , Middle Aged , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/radiotherapy , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Aged , Adult , Survival Rate , Retrospective Studies , Pelvic Neoplasms/radiotherapy , Pelvic Neoplasms/pathology , Pelvic Neoplasms/mortality , Prognosis , Radiotherapy Dosage , Follow-Up Studies , Aged, 80 and over
18.
World J Surg Oncol ; 22(1): 151, 2024 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38849854

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Small bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA) is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy forwhich survival is hampered by late diagnosis, complex responses to treatment, and poor prognosis. Accurate prognostic tools are crucial for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with SBA and compare it to traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. METHODS: We analyzed data from 2,064 patients diagnosed with SBA between 2010 and 2020 from the SEER database. Patients were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts (7:3 ratio). Kaplan‒Meier survival analysis, Cox multivariate regression, and nomograms were constructed for analysis of 3-year and 5-year CSS. The performance of the nomograms was evaluated using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: Multivariate Cox regression identified sex, age at diagnosis, marital status, tumor site, pathological grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, retrieval of regional lymph nodes (RORLN), and chemotherapy as independent covariates associated with CSS. In both the training and validation cohorts, the developed nomograms demonstrated superior performance to that of the AJCC staging system, with C-indices of 0.764 and 0.759, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) values obtained by ROC analysis for 3-year and 5-year CSS prediction significantly surpassed those of the AJCC model. The nomograms were validated using calibration and decision curves, confirming their clinical utility and superior predictive accuracy. The NRI and IDI indicated the enhanced predictive capability of the nomogram model. CONCLUSION: The SEER-based nomogram offers a significantly superior ability to predict CSS in SBA patients, supporting its potential application in clinical decision-making and personalized approaches to managing SBA to improve survival outcomes.


Subject(s)
Adenocarcinoma , Intestinal Neoplasms , Nomograms , SEER Program , Humans , Male , Female , SEER Program/statistics & numerical data , Adenocarcinoma/mortality , Adenocarcinoma/pathology , Adenocarcinoma/therapy , Middle Aged , Survival Rate , Aged , Intestinal Neoplasms/mortality , Intestinal Neoplasms/pathology , Intestinal Neoplasms/therapy , Intestinal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Prognosis , Follow-Up Studies , Neoplasm Staging , Intestine, Small/pathology , ROC Curve , Adult , Retrospective Studies
19.
J Cancer Res Clin Oncol ; 150(6): 298, 2024 Jun 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38850403

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The International Union for Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/AJCC) rT staging is not clinically practical for recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (rNPC). The aim of this study was to establish a new rT staging to guide the treatment of rNPC. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 175 patients diagnosed with rNPC between January 2012 and December 2020, using ROC curve analysis to evaluate its effectiveness. RESULTS: We analyzed the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival(PFS) of patients diagnosed with rNPC according to the 8th (UICC/AJCC) rT staging, and found that the overall survival of rT1 and rT2 patients (OS; 29.98% vs. 27.09%, p = 0.8059) and progression-free survival (PFS; 28.48% vs. 26.12%, p = 0.4045) had no significant difference. In rT1 and rT2 patients of this study, overall survival(OS; 30.44% vs. 24.91%, p = 0.0229) and progression-free survival(PFS 29.12% vs. 24.03%, p = 0.0459) had a significant difference. Smoking, family history, and time interval of initial recurrence were independent prognostic factors for OS and PFS. CONCLUSION: The new rT staging of this study has a better predictive value for survival of rNPC patients than the 8th (UICC/AJCC) rT staging.


Subject(s)
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma , Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local , Neoplasm Staging , Humans , Male , Female , Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma/pathology , Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma/mortality , Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma/therapy , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/pathology , Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/mortality , Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms/therapy , Adult , Aged , Young Adult , Prognosis , Survival Rate
20.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 13232, 2024 Jun 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38853169

ABSTRACT

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy with poor survival and requires long-term follow-up. Hence, we collected information on patients with Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and EndResults (SEER) database. We used this information to establish a deep learning with a multilayer neural network (the NMTLR model) for predicting the survival rate of patients with Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma. HCC patients pathologically diagnosed between January 2011 and December 2015 in the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database of the National Cancer Institute of the United States were selected as study subjects. We utilized two deep learning-based algorithms (DeepSurv and Neural Multi-Task Logistic Regression [NMTLR]) and a machine learning-based algorithm (Random Survival Forest [RSF]) for model training. A multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards (CoxPH) model was also constructed for comparison. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a test set in a 7:3 ratio. The training dataset underwent hyperparameter tuning through 1000 iterations of random search and fivefold cross-validation. Model performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), Brier score, and Integrated Brier Score (IBS). The accuracy of predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and Area Under the Curve (AUC). The primary outcomes were the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates. Models were developed using DeepSurv, NMTLR, RSF, and Cox Proportional Hazards regression. Model differentiation was evaluated using the C-index, calibration with concordance plots, and risk stratification capability with the log-rank test. The study included 2197 HCC patients, randomly divided into a training cohort (70%, n = 1537) and a testing cohort (30%, n = 660). Clinical characteristics between the two cohorts showed no significant statistical difference (p > 0.05). The deep learning models outperformed both RSF and CoxPH models, with C-indices of 0.735 (NMTLR) and 0.731 (DeepSurv) in the test dataset. The NMTLR model demonstrated enhanced accuracy and well-calibrated survival estimates, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.824 for 1-year survival predictions, 0.813 for 3-year, and 0.803 for 5-year survival rates. This model's superior calibration and discriminative ability enhance its utility for clinical prognostication in Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma. We deployed the NMTLR model as a web application for clinical practice. The NMTLR model have potential advantages over traditional linear models in prognostic assessment and treatment recommendations. This novel analytical approach may provide reliable information on individual survival and treatment recommendations for patients with primary liver cancer.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Deep Learning , Liver Neoplasms , SEER Program , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology , Female , Male , Middle Aged , Aged , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , United States/epidemiology , Databases, Factual , Survival Rate , Neural Networks, Computer
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