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1.
Arch Dermatol Res ; 316(6): 328, 2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38824251

ABSTRACT

Observational studies have revealed associations between various dietary factors and skin conditions. However, the causal relationship between diet and skin condition is still unknown. Data on 17 dietary factors were obtained from the UK Biobank. Data on four skin conditions were derived from the UK Biobank and another large-scale GWAS study. Genetic predictions suggested that the intake of oily fish was associated with a lower risk of skin aging (OR: 0.962, P = 0.036) and skin pigmentation (OR: 0.973, P = 0.033); Tea intake was associated with a lower risk of skin pigmentation (OR: 0.972, P = 0.024); Salad/raw vegetables intake was associated with a lower risk of keratinocyte skin cancer (OR: 0.952, P = 0.007). Coffee intake was associated with increased risk of skin aging (OR: 1.040, P = 0.028); Pork intake was associated with increased risk of skin aging (OR: 1.134, P = 0.020); Beef intake was associated with increased risk of cutaneous melanoma (OR: 1.013, P = 0.016); Champagne plus white wine intake was associated with increased risk of cutaneous melanoma (OR: 1.033, P = 0.004); Bread intake was associated with increased risk of keratinocyte skin cancer (OR: 1.026, P = 0.013). Our study results indicate causal relationships between genetically predicted intake of oily fish, tea, salad/raw vegetables, coffee, pork, beef, champagne plus white wine, and bread and skin conditions.


Subject(s)
Diet , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Skin Neoplasms , Humans , Diet/adverse effects , Diet/statistics & numerical data , Skin Neoplasms/genetics , Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology , Skin Neoplasms/etiology , Skin Aging/genetics , Skin Pigmentation/genetics , Coffee/adverse effects , Genome-Wide Association Study , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Tea/adverse effects , Risk Factors
2.
Lancet Healthy Longev ; 5(6): e422-e430, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38824957

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The ε4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene (APOE4) plays a role in neurodegeneration and in cardiovascular disease, but findings on its association with mortality are inconsistent. We aimed to examine the association between APOE4 and mortality, and the role of dementia in this association. METHODS: In this pooled analysis, data on White participants aged 45-90 years who underwent APOE genotyping were drawn from two population-based cohorts: the Whitehall II study (UK), which began in 1985 and is ongoing, and the Three-City study (France), initiated in 1999 and ended in 2012. In the Three-City study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the national registry of death Institut National de la Statistique des Études économiques, and dementia was ascertained via a neuropsychological evaluation and validation of diagnoses by an independent committee of neurologists and geriatricians. In the Whitehall II study, vital status was ascertained through linkage to the UK national mortality register, and dementia cases were ascertained by linkage to three national registers. Participants with prevalent dementia at baseline and participants missing an APOE genotype were excluded from analyses. Cox regression proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of APOE4 with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality. The role of dementia in the association between APOE4 status and mortality was examined by excluding participants who developed dementia during follow-up from the analyses. An illness-death model was then used to examine the role of incident dementia in these associations. FINDINGS: 14 091 participants (8492 from the Three-City study and 5599 from the Whitehall II study; 6668 [47%] of participants were women and 7423 [53%] were men), with a median follow-up of 15·4 years (IQR 10·6-21·2), were included in the analyses. Of these participants, APOE4 carriers (3264 [23%] of the cohort carried at least one ε4 allele) had a higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with non-carriers, with hazard ratios (HR) of 1·16 (95% CI 1·07-1·26) for heterozygotes and 1·59 (1·24-2·06) for homozygotes. Compared with APOE3 homozygotes, higher cardiovascular mortality was observed in APOE4 carriers, with a HR of 1·23 (1·01-1·50) for heterozygotes, and no association was found between APOE4 and cancer mortality. Excluding cases of incident dementia over the follow-up resulted in attenuated associations with mortality in homozygotes but not in heterozygotes. The illness-death model indicated that the higher mortality risk in APOE4 carriers was not solely attributable to dementia. INTERPRETATION: We found a robust association between APOE4 and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality but not cancer mortality. Dementia explained a significant proportion of the association with all-cause mortality for APOE4 homozygotes, while non-dementia factors, such as cardiovascular disease mortality, are likely to play a role in shaping mortality outcomes in APOE4 heterozygotes. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Subject(s)
Apolipoprotein E4 , Dementia , Humans , Female , Apolipoprotein E4/genetics , Male , Aged , Dementia/genetics , Dementia/mortality , Dementia/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Cause of Death , Cardiovascular Diseases/genetics , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Genotype , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Alleles
3.
BMC Med ; 22(1): 224, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38831391

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes is associated with a variety of complications, including micro- and macrovascular complications, neurological manifestations and poor wound healing. Adhering to a Mediterranean Diet (MED) is generally considered an effective intervention in individuals at risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, little is known about its effect with respect to the different specific manifestations of T2DM. This prompted us to explore the effect of MED on the three most significant microvascular complications of T2DM: diabetic retinopathy (DR), diabetic kidney disease (DKD), and vascular diabetic neuropathies (DN). METHODS: We examined the association between the MED and the incidence of these microvascular complications in a prospective cohort of 33,441 participants with hyperglycemia free of microvascular complications at baseline, identified in the UK Biobank. For each individual, we calculated the Alternate Mediterranean Diet (AMED) score, which yields a semi-continuous measure of the extent to which an individual's diet can be considered as MED. We used Cox proportional hazard models to analyze hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for demographics, lifestyle factors, medical histories and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: Over a median of 12.3 years of follow-up, 3,392 cases of microvascular complications occurred, including 1,084 cases of diabetic retinopathy (DR), 2,184 cases of diabetic kidney disease (DKD), and 632 cases of diabetic neuropathies (DN), with some patients having 2 or 3 microvascular complications simultaneously. After adjusting for confounders, we observed that higher AMED scores offer protection against DKD among participants with hyperglycemia (comparing the highest AMED scores to the lowest yielded an HR of 0.79 [95% CIs: 0.67, 0.94]). Additionally, the protective effect of AMED against DKD was more evident in the hyperglycemic participants with T2DM (HR, 0.64; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.83). No such effect, however, was seen for DR or DN. CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective cohort study, we have demonstrated that higher adherence to a MED is associated with a reduced risk of DKD among individuals with hyperglycemia. Our study emphasizes the necessity for continued research focusing on the benefits of the MED. Such efforts including the ongoing clinical trial will offer further insights into the role of MED in the clinical management of DKD.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Diabetic Nephropathies , Diet, Mediterranean , Hyperglycemia , Humans , Prospective Studies , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Diabetic Nephropathies/diet therapy , Diabetic Nephropathies/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diet therapy , Aged , Hyperglycemia/epidemiology , Hyperglycemia/complications , Adult , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Diabetic Retinopathy/epidemiology , Diabetic Retinopathy/diet therapy , Incidence , Diabetic Neuropathies/epidemiology , Diabetic Neuropathies/diet therapy , Risk Factors
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1485, 2024 Jun 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38831431

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of, and risk factors for, genital Human Papillomavirus (HPV) infections within the young adult population are well-established; the same is not known for oral HPV. This observational study aimed to determine oral HPV prevalence and abundance within a UK young adult population, and examine if sexual practices and established risk factors of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas (OPSCCs) (such as smoking and alcohol consumption) influenced HPV prevalence. METHODS: Convenience sampling was used to recruit a small sample of 452 UK-based young adults studying at a higher education (HE) institution to the study; the study was not powered. A highly sensitive real-time PCR HPV screening method was developed for the detection of multiple HPV subtypes from oral swabs. HPV-positive samples were subsequently screened by qPCR for viral subtypes HPV-6, HPV-11, HPV-16, HPV-18. Results were analysed by univariate and multivariate methods and stratified for gender, with lifestyle behaviour data collected via questionnaire. Socio-economic status was not captured within the questionnaire. RESULTS: We found a high oral HPV prevalence of 22.79%, with a dominance of high-risk viral type HPV-16 (prevalence 19.12%; abundance average 1.08 × 105 copies/million cells) detected within healthy young adults. Frequent smoking (p = .05), masturbation (p = .029), and engagement in multiple sexual activities (p = .057), were found to be associated with oral HPV prevalence, and HPV-16 prevalence, whilst behaviours traditionally associated with genital HPV were not. CONCLUSIONS: Our results strengthen the link between sexual practices and oral HPV transmission. We suggest that young adults should be considered high-risk for the contraction of oral HPV, although acknowledge that this sample of HE students may not be representative of the wider population. We show that high-risk HPV-16 is prevalent in the healthy population, as well as dominating within OPSCC; this study is one of the first to determine the dominance of oral HPV-16 prevalence and abundance within this population, presenting a clear need for greater awareness of oral HPV infections, and the risk factors for HPV-positive OPSCC within young adults.


Subject(s)
Papillomavirus Infections , Sexual Behavior , Humans , Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology , Male , Female , Risk Factors , Prevalence , Young Adult , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Sexual Behavior/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Adolescent , Oropharyngeal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Oropharyngeal Neoplasms/virology , Papillomaviridae/isolation & purification , Papillomaviridae/genetics , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction , Human Papillomavirus Viruses
5.
BMJ Open Gastroenterol ; 11(1)2024 Jun 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830687

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Patients with coeliac disease (CD) need to follow a strict gluten-free diet to manage symptoms and prevent complications. Restrictions imposed by the diet can be challenging and affect quality of life (QoL). We explored sources of variation in QoL among patients with CD. DESIGN: We conducted an online survey of coeliac patients in the UK, including a CD-specific QoL tool (CD-QOL V.1.0), questions on diet adherence and an optional comment box at the end. The survey was disseminated via social media and went live between January and March 2021. We performed multiple linear regression and free text analysis. RESULTS: We found a median CD-QOL score of 61 (IQR 44-76, range 4-100, n=215) suggesting good QoL (Good >59); however, the individual QoL scores varied significantly. Regression analyses showed that people who found diet adherence difficult and people adhering very strictly had a lower QoL. Free text comments suggested that people who adhered very strictly may do so because they have symptoms with minimal gluten exposure. People who found diet adherence difficult may be people who only recently started the diet and were still adjusting to its impact. Comments also highlighted that individuals with CD often perceive a lack of adequate follow-up care and support after diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Better support and follow-up care is needed for people with CD to help them adjust to a gluten-free diet and minimise the impact on their QoL. Better education and increased awareness are needed among food businesses regarding cross-contamination to reduce anxiety and accidental gluten exposure.


Subject(s)
Celiac Disease , Diet, Gluten-Free , Patient Compliance , Quality of Life , Humans , Celiac Disease/diet therapy , Celiac Disease/psychology , Quality of Life/psychology , Diet, Gluten-Free/psychology , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Surveys and Questionnaires , Patient Compliance/statistics & numerical data , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Aged , Young Adult , Adolescent
6.
Clin Respir J ; 18(6): e13775, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830831

ABSTRACT

Pulmonary heart disease (PHD) involves altered structure and function of the right ventricle caused by an abnormal respiratory system that causes pulmonary hypertension. However, the association between changes in plasma proteomics and PHD remains unclear. Hence, we aimed to identify causal associations between genetically predicted plasma protein levels and PHD. Mendelian randomization was performed to test the target proteins associated with PHD. Summary statistics for the human plasma proteome and pulmonary heart disease were acquired from the UK Biobank (6038 cases and 426 977 controls) and the FinnGen study (6753 cases and 302 401 controls). Publicly available pQTLs datasets for human plasma proteins were obtained from a largescale genome-wide association study in the INTERVAL study. The results were validated using a case-control cohort. We first enrolled 3622 plasma proteins with conditionally independent genetic variants; three proteins (histo-blood group ABO system transferase, activating signal cointegration 1 complex subunit 1, and calcium/calmodulin-dependent protein kinase I [CAMK1]) were significantly associated with the risk of pulmonary heart disease in the UK Biobank cohort. Only CAMK1 was successfully replicated (odds ratio: 1.1056, 95% confidence interval: 1.019-1.095, p = 0.0029) in the FinnGen population. In addition, the level of CAMK1 in 40 patients with PHD was significantly higher (p = 0.023) than that in the control group. This work proposes that CAMK1 is associated with PHD, underscoring the importance of the calcium signaling pathway in the pathophysiology to improve therapies for PHD.


Subject(s)
Genome-Wide Association Study , Mendelian Randomization Analysis , Proteome , Pulmonary Heart Disease , Humans , Mendelian Randomization Analysis/methods , Genome-Wide Association Study/methods , Male , Female , Proteome/metabolism , Case-Control Studies , Pulmonary Heart Disease/genetics , Pulmonary Heart Disease/blood , Pulmonary Heart Disease/epidemiology , Middle Aged , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Blood Proteins/genetics , Blood Proteins/metabolism , ABO Blood-Group System/genetics , Aged , Proteomics/methods , Adult , Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
7.
J Hypertens ; 42(6): 1066-1074, 2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38690905

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The evidence regarding the associations of circulating metabolic biomarkers with hypertension risk is scarce. We aimed to examine the associations between circulating metabolites and risk of hypertension. METHODS: We included 49 422 individuals free of hypertension at baseline with a mean (SD) age of 53.5 (8.0) years from the UK Biobank. Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy was used to quantify 143 individual metabolites. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During a mean (SD) follow-up of 11.2 (1.8) years, 2686 incident hypertension cases occurred. Out of 143 metabolites, 76 were associated with incident hypertension, among which phenylalanine (hazard ratio: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.24-1.58) and apolipoprotein A1 (hazard ratio: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.66-0.87) had the strongest association when comparing the highest to the lowest quintile. In general, very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) particles were positively, whereas high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particles were inversely associated with risk of hypertension. Similar patterns of cholesterol, phospholipids, and total lipids within VLDL and HDL particles were observed. Triglycerides within all lipoproteins were positively associated with hypertension risk. Other metabolites showed significant associations with risk of hypertension included amino acids, fatty acids, ketone bodies, fluid balance and inflammation markers. Adding 10 selected metabolic biomarkers to the traditional hypertension risk model modestly improved discrimination (C-statistic from 0.745 to 0.752, P < 0.001) for prediction of 10-year hypertension incidence. CONCLUSION: Among UK adults, disturbances in metabolic biomarkers are associated with incident hypertension. Comprehensive metabolomic profiling may provide potential novel biomarkers to identify high-risk individuals.


Subject(s)
Biological Specimen Banks , Biomarkers , Hypertension , Humans , Hypertension/blood , Hypertension/epidemiology , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Biomarkers/blood , Male , Female , Adult , Risk Factors , Aged , UK Biobank
8.
Environ Geochem Health ; 46(6): 188, 2024 May 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696021

ABSTRACT

To investigate the associations of physical activity (PA), low-level air pollution, and interaction on cardiovascular diseases (CVD) incidence based on the UK Biobank. PA was measured by the International Physical Activity Questionnaire and five air pollutants were estimated using Land Use Regression. All association estimates were based on Cox regression. Dose-response relationship was explored by restricted cubic spline, while multiplicative and additive interaction were examined by Pinteraction and relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). As deviating proportional hazards assumption, we analyzed data as follow-up < 4 years and ≥ 4 years, separately. PA with 1000-4000 Metabolic Equivalent Task (MET) min/week showed the strongest protective impact on CVD incidence, while only low-level nitrogen dioxides (NO2) showed negative impact among five air pollutants and was considered for further analysis. Multiplicative interaction between PA and NO2 was observed during ≥ 4 years follow-up (Pinteraction = 0.049) while not during < 4 years (Pinteraction = 0.290). Positive additive interactions were found for high PA and low NO2 (< 20 µg/m3) group (RERI: 0.07, 95% confidence intervals: 0.02-0.11) during < 4 years, and for moderate PA with NO2 at 40- µg/m3 (0.07, 0.02-0.13) and < 20 µg/m3 (0.07, 0.02-0.12), while high PA showed similar results with NO2 at 40-, 20- and < 20 µg/m3 during ≥ 4 years. PA about 1000-4000 METs min/week showed the lowest CVD risk. Possibility of interaction with PA and NO2 is more likely to present with the increase in follow-up duration. We call for the optimal thresholds of PA, and exploring interaction thoroughly by considering types of PA.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Air Pollution , Cardiovascular Diseases , Exercise , Nitrogen Dioxide , Humans , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Air Pollution/adverse effects , Male , Prospective Studies , Middle Aged , Female , Nitrogen Dioxide/analysis , Aged , Adult , Biological Specimen Banks , Environmental Exposure/adverse effects , Incidence , Proportional Hazards Models , UK Biobank
9.
Vet Rec ; 194 Suppl 1: 7-8, 2024 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700162

ABSTRACT

With more and more dogs being imported to the UK, and no requirement for preimport screening for Brucella canis, veterinary teams are now encountering canine brucellosis on an increasingly regular basis. At BVA Live Mark Moreton and Elizabeth McLennan-Green will reflect on their experiences of developing guidance to help practices manage the risks associated with this zoonotic pathogen.


Subject(s)
Brucellosis , Dog Diseases , Dogs , Animals , Brucellosis/veterinary , Brucellosis/diagnosis , Dog Diseases/diagnosis , Dog Diseases/microbiology , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Humans , Brucella canis/isolation & purification , Veterinary Medicine
10.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3707, 2024 May 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38697980

ABSTRACT

Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-based plasma fatty acids are objective biomarkers of many diseases. Herein, we aim to explore the associations of NMR-based plasma fatty acids with the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and chronic liver disease (CLD) mortality in 252,398 UK Biobank participants. Here we show plasma levels of n-3 poly-unsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) and n-6 PUFA are negatively associated with the risk of incident HCC [HRQ4vsQ1: 0.48 (95% CI: 0.33-0.69) and 0.48 (95% CI: 0.28-0.81), respectively] and CLD mortality [HRQ4vsQ1: 0.21 (95% CI: 0.13-0.33) and 0.15 (95% CI: 0.08-0.30), respectively], whereas plasma levels of saturated fatty acids are positively associated with these outcomes [HRQ4vsQ1: 3.55 (95% CI: 2.25-5.61) for HCC and 6.34 (95% CI: 3.68-10.92) for CLD mortality]. Furthermore, fibrosis stage significantly modifies the associations between PUFA and CLD mortality. This study contributes to the limited prospective evidence on the associations between plasma-specific fatty acids and end-stage liver outcomes.


Subject(s)
Biological Specimen Banks , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular , Fatty Acids , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/mortality , Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/blood , Liver Neoplasms/mortality , Liver Neoplasms/blood , Male , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Fatty Acids/blood , Risk Factors , Liver Diseases/blood , Liver Diseases/mortality , Adult , Chronic Disease , Fatty Acids, Omega-6/blood , Liver Cirrhosis/blood , Liver Cirrhosis/mortality , Fatty Acids, Omega-3/blood , UK Biobank
11.
Age Ageing ; 53(5)2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38727581

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Substantial evidence supports the inverse association between adherence to healthy dietary patterns and frailty risk. However, the role of plant-based diets, particularly their quality, is poorly known. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of two plant-based diets with incidence of physical frailty in middle-aged and older adults. DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING: United Kingdom. SUBJECTS: 24,996 individuals aged 40-70 years, followed from 2009-12 to 2019-22. METHODS: Based on at least two 24-h diet assessments, we built two diet indices: (i) the healthful Plant-based Diet Index (hPDI) and (ii) the unhealthful Plant-based Diet Index (uPDI). Incident frailty was defined as developing ≥3 out of 5 of the Fried criteria. We used Cox models to estimate relative risks (RR), and their 95% confidence interval (CI), of incident frailty adjusted for the main potential confounders. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 6.72 years, 428 cases of frailty were ascertained. The RR (95% CI) of frailty was 0.62 (0.48-0.80) for the highest versus lowest tertile of the hPDI and 1.61 (1.26-2.05) for the uPDI. The consumption of healthy plant foods was associated with lower frailty risk (RR per serving 0.93 (0.90-0.96)). The hPDI was directly, and the uPDI inversely, associated with higher risk of low physical activity, slow walking speed and weak hand grip, and the uPDI with higher risk of exhaustion. CONCLUSIONS: In British middle-age and older adults, greater adherence to the hPDI was associated with lower risk of frailty, whereas greater adherence to the uPDI was associated with higher risk.


Subject(s)
Diet, Vegetarian , Frailty , Humans , Aged , Middle Aged , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Male , Female , Frailty/epidemiology , Frailty/diagnosis , Frailty/prevention & control , Prospective Studies , Incidence , Adult , Biological Specimen Banks , Diet, Healthy/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors , Frail Elderly/statistics & numerical data , Diet, Plant-Based , UK Biobank
12.
Lancet Healthy Longev ; 5(5): e346-e355, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38705152

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Following the introduction of an algorithm aiming to maximise life-years gained from liver transplantation in the UK (the transplant benefit score [TBS]), donor livers were redirected from younger to older patients, mortality rate equalised across the age range and short-term waiting list mortality reduced. Understanding age-related prioritisation has been challenging, especially for younger patients and clinicians allocating non-TBS-directed livers. We aimed to assess age-related prioritisation within the TBS algorithm by modelling liver transplantation prioritisation based on data from a UK transplant unit and comparing these data with other regions. METHODS: In this population-based modelling study, serum parameters and age at liver transplantation assessment of patients attending the Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Edinburgh, UK, between December, 2002, and November, 2023, were combined with representative synthetic data to model TBS survival predictions, which were compared according to age group (25-49 years vs ≥60 years), chronic liver disease severity, and disease cause. Models for end-stage liver disease (UKELD [UK], MELD [Eurotransplant region], and MELD 3.0 [USA]) were used as validated comparators of liver disease severity. FINDINGS: Of 2093 patients with chronic liver disease, 1808 (86%) had complete datasets and liver disease parameters consistent with eligibility for the liver transplant waiting list in the UK (UKELD ≥49). Disease severity as assessed by UKELD, MELD, and MELD 3.0 did not differ by age (median UKELD scores of 56 for patients aged ≥60 years vs 56 for patients aged 25-49 years; MELD scores of 16 vs 16; and MELD 3.0 scores of 18 vs 18). TBS increased with advancing age (R=0·45, p<0·0001). TBS predicted that transplantation in patients aged 60 years or older would provide a two-fold greater net benefit at 5 years than in patients aged 25-49 years (median TBS 1317 [IQR 1116-1436] in older patients vs 706 [411-1095] in younger patients; p<0·0001). Older patients were predicted to have shorter survival without transplantation than younger patients (263 days [IQR 144-473] in older patients vs 861 days [448-1164] in younger patients; p<0·0001) but similar survival after transplantation (1599 days [1563-1628] vs 1573 days [1525-1614]; p<0·0001). Older patients could reach a TBS for which a liver offer was likely below minimum criteria for transplantation (UKELD <49), whereas many younger patients were required to have high-urgent disease (UKELD >60). US and Eurotransplant programmes did not prioritise according to age. INTERPRETATION: The UK liver allocation algorithm prioritises older patients for transplantation by predicting that advancing age increases the benefit from liver transplantation. Restricted follow-up and biases in waiting list data might limit the accuracy of these benefit predictions. Measures beyond overall waiting list mortality are required to fully capture the benefits of liver transplantation. FUNDING: None.


Subject(s)
Liver Transplantation , Waiting Lists , Humans , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Middle Aged , Adult , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Male , Age Factors , Female , End Stage Liver Disease/surgery , End Stage Liver Disease/mortality , Aged , Algorithms , Severity of Illness Index , Transplant Recipients/statistics & numerical data
14.
BMJ Open Respir Res ; 11(1)2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38692709

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Asthma remains a common cause of hospital admissions across the life course. We estimated the contribution of key risk factors to asthma-related hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions in children, adolescents and adults. METHODS: This was a UK-based cohort study using linked primary care (Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum) and secondary care (Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care) data. Patients were eligible if they were aged 5 years and older and had been diagnosed with asthma. This included 90 989 children aged 5-11 years, 114 927 adolescents aged 12-17 years and 1 179 410 adults aged 18 years or older. The primary outcome was asthma-related hospital admissions from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2019. The secondary outcome was asthma-related ICU admissions. Incidence rate ratios adjusted for demographic and clinical risk factors were estimated using negative binomial models. Population attributable fraction (PAF) was estimated for modifiable risk factors. RESULTS: Younger age groups, females and those from ethnic minority and lower socioeconomic backgrounds had an increased risk of asthma-related hospital admissions. Increasing medication burden, including excessive use of short-acting bronchodilators, was also strongly associated with the primary outcome. Similar risk factors were observed for asthma-related ICU admissions. The key potentially modifiable or treatable risk factors were smoking in adolescents and adults (PAF 6.8%, 95% CI 0.9% to 12.3% and 4.3%, 95% CI 3.0% to 5.7%, respectively), and obesity (PAF 23.3%, 95% CI 20.5% to 26.1%), depression (11.1%, 95% CI 9.1% to 13.1%), gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (2.3%, 95% CI 1.2% to 3.4%), anxiety (2.0%, 95% CI 0.5% to 3.6%) and chronic rhinosinusitis (0.8%, 95% CI 0.3% to 1.3%) in adults. CONCLUSIONS: There are significant sociodemographic inequalities in the rates of asthma-related hospital and ICU admissions. Treating age-specific modifiable risk factors should be considered an integral part of asthma management, which could potentially reduce the rate of avoidable hospital admissions.


Subject(s)
Asthma , Hospitalization , Intensive Care Units , Primary Health Care , Secondary Care , Humans , Asthma/epidemiology , Female , Male , Child , Adolescent , Risk Factors , Secondary Care/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Child, Preschool , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Young Adult , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Cohort Studies , Middle Aged , Aged
15.
Curr Psychiatry Rep ; 26(5): 229-239, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700836

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The goal of this paper was to highlight the degree to which sleep, behavioral health, and leader involvement were interrelated using data from militaries in five English-speaking countries: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK, and the United States. RECENT FINDINGS: Many service members reported sleeping fewer than the recommended 7 h/night: 34.9%, 67.2%, and 77.2% of respondents from New Zealand, Canada, and the United States, respectively. Countries reporting shorter sleep duration also reported fewer insomnia-related difficulties, likely reflecting higher sleep pressure from chronic sleep loss. Across all countries, sleep problems were positively correlated with behavioral health symptoms. Importantly, leader promotion of healthy sleep was positively correlated with more sleep and negatively correlated with sleep problems and behavioral health symptoms. Insufficient sleep in the military is ubiquitous, with serious implications for the behavioral health and functioning of service members. Leaders should attend to these risks and examine ways to promote healthy sleep in service members.


Subject(s)
Military Personnel , Humans , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Military Personnel/psychology , New Zealand , United States/epidemiology , Australia/epidemiology , Canada/epidemiology , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Sleep Deprivation , Leadership
16.
BMJ Open ; 14(5): e082501, 2024 May 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38719289

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prosthetic joint infections (PJIs) are a serious negative outcome of arthroplasty with incidence of about 1%. Risk of PJI could depend on local treatment policies and guidelines; no UK-specific risk scoring is currently available. OBJECTIVE: To determine a risk quantification model for the development of PJI using electronic health records. DESIGN: Records in Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD and AURUM of patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty between January 2007 and December 2014, with linkage to Hospital Episode Statistics and Office of National Statistics, were obtained. Cohorts' characteristics and risk equations through parametric models were developed and compared between the two databases. Pooled cohort risk equations were determined for the UK population and simplified through stepwise selection. RESULTS: After applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, 174 905 joints (1021 developed PJI) were identified in CPRD AURUM and 48 419 joints (228 developed PJI) in CPRD GOLD. Patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty in both databases exhibited different sociodemographic characteristics and medical/drug history. However, the quantification of the impact of such covariates (coefficients of parametric models fitted to the survival curves) on the risk of PJI between the two cohorts was not statistically significant. The log-normal model fitted to the pooled cohorts after stepwise selection had a C-statistic >0.7. CONCLUSIONS: The risk prediction tool developed here could help prevent PJI through identifying modifiable risk factors pre-surgery and identifying the patients most likely to benefit from close monitoring/preventive actions. As derived from the UK population, such tool will help the National Health Service reduce the impact of PJI on its resources and patient lives.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Prosthesis-Related Infections , Humans , Prosthesis-Related Infections/epidemiology , Male , Female , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Aged , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment/methods , Databases, Factual , Electronic Health Records , Adult , Aged, 80 and over
17.
J Prev Alzheimers Dis ; 11(3): 739-748, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38706290

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cognitive reserve (CR) contributes to preserving cognition when facing brain aging and damage. CR has been linked to dementia risk in late life. However, the association between CR and cognitive changes and brain imaging measures, especially in midlife, is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to explore the association of CR with cognitive decline and structural brain differences in middle and older age. DESIGN: This longitudinal study was from the UK Biobank project where participants completed baseline surveys between 2006 to 2010 and were followed (mean follow-up: 9 years). SETTING: A population-based study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 42,301 dementia-free participants aged 40-70 were followed-up to detect cognitive changes. A subsample (n=34,041) underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging scans. MEASUREMENTS: We used latent class analysis to generate a CR indicator (categorized as high, moderate, and low) based on education, occupation, and multiple cognitively stimulating activities. Cognitive tests for global and domain-specific cognition were administrated at baseline and follow-up. Total brain, white matter, grey matter, hippocampal, and white matter hyperintensity volumes (TBV, WMV, GMV, HV, and WMHV) were assessed at the follow-up examination. Data were analyzed using mixed-effects models and analysis of covariance. RESULTS: At baseline, 16,032 (37.9%), 10,709 (25.3%), and 15,560 (36.8%) participants had low, moderate, and high levels of CR, respectively. Compared with low CR, high CR was associated with slower declines in global cognition (ß [95% confidence interval]: 0.10 [0.08, 0.11]), prospective memory (0.10 [0.06, 0.15]), fluid intelligence (0.07 [0.04, 0.10]), and reaction time (0.04 [0.02, 0.06]). Participants with high CR had lower TBV, WMV, GMV, and WMHV, but higher HV when controlling for global cognition (corrected P <0.01 for all). The significant relationships between CR and cognition and TBV were present among both middle-aged (<60 years) and older (≥60 years) participants. The CR-cognition association remained significant despite reductions in brain structural properties. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CR is associated with slower cognitive decline, higher HV, and lower microvascular burden, especially in middle age. Individuals with high CR could tolerate smaller brain volumes while maintaining cognition. The benefit of CR for cognition is independent of structural brain differences. Our findings highlight the contribution of enhancing CR to helping compensate for neuroimaging alterations and ultimately prevent cognitive decline.


Subject(s)
Biological Specimen Banks , Brain , Cognitive Dysfunction , Cognitive Reserve , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Humans , Cognitive Reserve/physiology , Middle Aged , Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnostic imaging , Male , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Female , Aged , Longitudinal Studies , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain/pathology , Adult , Neuropsychological Tests , UK Biobank
18.
Age Ageing ; 53(5)2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38706391

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (sCJD) is a rapidly progressive neurodegenerative disease with public health implications. Mean age of onset is 68 years. Age-specific incidence declines after 80 years. This may arise from under-ascertainment or other biological features of the disease. Accurate characterisation of late-onset sCJD is important for early diagnosis, avoiding unnecessary investigations and improving ascertainment for public health purposes. OBJECTIVE: To phenotype the clinical features and investigation profile of sCJD in adults >80 years. METHODS: We analysed all probable and definite sCJD cases identified by the UK National CJD Research & Surveillance Unit over a 10-year period (2011-2021). Individuals were grouped by age of onset. Clinical features and investigation profiles were compared. RESULTS: 10.3% (123/1196) had an age of onset over 80. Median survival was shorter (3.2 vs 4.3 months; P < 0.001). Pyramidal signs (48.3% vs 34.2%; P = 0.008) and akinetic mutism (55.1% vs 33.2%; P < 0.001) were more frequent. Psychiatric symptoms (26.3% vs 39.6%; P = 0.01) and cerebellar signs (65.4% vs 78.6%, P = 0.007) were less frequent. Cognitive impairment and myoclonus were highly prevalent regardless of age. Between age groups, the diagnostic sensitivity of cerebrospinal fluid real-time quaking-induced conversion (CSF RT-QuIC) (92.9% vs 91.9%, P = 0.74) was comparable, electroencephalography was superior (41.5% vs 25.4%; P = 0.006) and MRI was inferior (67.8% vs 91.4%; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Late-onset sCJD has distinct clinical features, shorter survival and a different profile of investigation sensitivity. CSF RT-QuIC, MRI brain and specialist CJD review is recommended in older adults with a rapidly progressive neurological disorder. Autopsy is valuable when the cause remains elusive.


Subject(s)
Age of Onset , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome , Humans , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/epidemiology , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/diagnosis , Creutzfeldt-Jakob Syndrome/mortality , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Male , Female , Aged, 80 and over , Incidence , Phenotype , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Electroencephalography
19.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0300362, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709751

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is unclear what biopsychosocial factors influence the impact of NAFLD on health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and if these factors are equally important predictors between different nationalities. METHODS: HRQoL (CLDQ) was measured in both Southern European (Spain, n = 513) and Northern European (United Kingdom -UK-, n = 224) cohorts of patients with NAFLD in this cross-sectional study. For each cohort, participant data were recorded on histological grade of steatohepatitis, stage of fibrosis and biopsychosocial variables. Regression analysis was used to explore which of these variables predicted HRQoL. Moderated mediation models were conducted using SPSS PROCESS v3.5 macro. RESULTS: Participants with severe fibrosis reported more fatigue, systemic symptoms and worry, and lower HRQoL than those with none/mild fibrosis, regardless of place of origin. In addition, body mass index (BMI) and gender were found to be significant predictors of HRQoL in both Spanish and UK participants. Female gender was associated with worse emotional function, higher BMI and more fatigue, which predicted lower participants' HRQoL. UK participants showed more systemic symptoms and worry than Spanish participants, regardless of liver severity. The negative effects of gender on HRQoL through emotional function, BMI and fatigue were reported to a greater degree in UK than in Spanish participants. CONCLUSIONS: UK participants showed a greater impairment in HRQoL as compared to Spanish participants. Higher fibrosis stage predicted lower HRQoL, mainly in the Spanish cohort. Factors such as female gender or higher BMI contributed to the impact on HRQoL in both cohorts of patients and should be considered in future multinational intervention studies in NAFLD.


Subject(s)
Cross-Cultural Comparison , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease , Quality of Life , Humans , Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/psychology , Male , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Female , Spain/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Cross-Sectional Studies , Adult , Body Mass Index , Fatigue/psychology
20.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303254, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709776

ABSTRACT

One of the key tools to understand and reduce the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is testing. The total number of tests, the number of positive tests, the number of negative tests, and the positivity rate are interconnected indicators and vary with time. To better understand the relationship between these indicators, against the background of an evolving pandemic, the association between the number of positive tests and the number of negative tests is studied using a joint modeling approach. All countries in the European Union, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and Norway are included in the analysis. We propose a joint penalized spline model in which the penalized spline is reparameterized as a linear mixed model. The model allows for flexible trajectories by smoothing the country-specific deviations from the overall penalized spline and accounts for heteroscedasticity by allowing the autocorrelation parameters and residual variances to vary among countries. The association between the number of positive tests and the number of negative tests is derived from the joint distribution for the random intercepts and slopes. The correlation between the random intercepts and the correlation between the random slopes were both positive. This suggests that, when countries increase their testing capacity, both the number of positive tests and negative tests will increase. A significant correlation was found between the random intercepts, but the correlation between the random slopes was not significant due to a wide credible interval.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Testing , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/virology , SARS-CoV-2/isolation & purification , United Kingdom/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing/methods , Norway/epidemiology , Models, Statistical , Switzerland/epidemiology , Pandemics , European Union
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