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1.
Rev Col Bras Cir ; 51: e20243734, 2024.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38808820

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Trauma primarily affects the economically active population, causing social and economic impact. The non-operative management of solid organ injuries aims to preserve organ function, reducing the morbidity and mortality associated with surgical interventions. The aim of study was to demonstrate the epidemiological profile of patients undergoing non-operative management in a trauma hospital and to evaluate factors associated with mortality in these patients. METHODS: This is a historical cohort of patients undergoing non-operative management for solid organ injuries at a Brazilian trauma reference hospital between 2018 and 2022. Included were patients with blunt and penetrating trauma, analyzing epidemiological characteristics, blood transfusion, and association with the need for surgical intervention. RESULTS: A total of 365 patients were included in the study. Three hundred and forty-three patients were discharged (93.97%), and the success rate of non-operative treatment was 84.6%. There was an association between mortality and the following associated injuries: hemothorax, sternal fracture, aortic dissection, and traumatic brain injury. There was an association between the need for transfusion and surgical intervention. Thirty-eight patients required some form of surgical intervention. CONCLUSION: The profile of patients undergoing non-operative treatment consists of young men who are victims of blunt trauma. Non-operative treatment is safe and has a high success rate.


Subject(s)
Wounds, Nonpenetrating , Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Brazil/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/therapy , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/epidemiology , Adolescent , Retrospective Studies , Blood Transfusion/statistics & numerical data , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Aged , Trauma Centers
2.
J Surg Res ; 298: 169-175, 2024 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615550

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic created difficulties in access to care. There was also increased penetrating trauma in adults, which has been attributed to factors including increased firearm sales and social isolation. However, less is known about the relationship between the pandemic and pediatric trauma patients (PTPs). This study aimed to investigate the national incidence of penetrating trauma in PTPs, hypothesizing a higher rate with onset of the pandemic. We additionally hypothesized increased risk of complications and death in penetrating PTPs after the pandemic versus prepandemic. METHODS: We included all PTPs (aged ≤17-years-old) from the 2017-2020 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database, dividing the dataset into two eras: prepandemic (2017-2019) and pandemic (2020). We performed subset analyses of the pandemic and prepandemic penetrating PTPs. Bivariate analyses and a multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: Of the 474,524 PTPs, 123,804 (26.1%) were from the pandemic year. The pandemic era had increased stab wounds (3.3% versus 2.8%, P > 0.001) and gunshot wounds (5.5% versus 4.0%, P < 0.001) compared to the prepandemic era. Among penetrating PTPs, the rates and associated risk of in-hospital complications (2.6% versus 2.8%, P = 0.23) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.79-1.02, P = 0.11) and mortality (4.9% versus 5.0%, P = 0.58) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.78-1.03, P = 0.12) were similar between time periods. CONCLUSIONS: This national analysis confirms increased penetrating trauma, particularly gunshot wounds in pediatric patients following onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite this increase, there was no elevated risk of death or complications, suggesting that trauma systems adapted to the "dual pandemic" of COVID-19 and firearm violence in the pediatric population.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Child , Female , Male , Adolescent , Child, Preschool , Wounds, Gunshot/epidemiology , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Incidence , Retrospective Studies , Wounds, Penetrating/epidemiology , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , United States/epidemiology , Pandemics , Infant , Databases, Factual
3.
Dis Esophagus ; 37(6)2024 Jun 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38366609

ABSTRACT

Trauma-related esophageal injuries (TEIs) are a rare but highly lethal condition. The presentation of TEIs is very diverse depending on the location and mechanism of injury (blunt vs. penetrating), as well as the presence or absence of concurrent injuries. The aim of the present systematic review and meta-analysis is to delineate the clinical features impacting TEI management. A systematic review of the Medline, Embase, and web of science databases was undertaken for studies reporting on patients with TEIs. A random effects model was employed in the meta-analysis of aggregated data. Eleven studies, incorporating 4605 patients, were included, with a pooled mortality rate of 19% (95% confidence interval (CI) 13-25%). Penetrating injuries were 34% more likely to occur (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.49-0.89, P = 0.01), predominantly in the neck compartment. Surgery was employed in 53% of cases (95% CI 32-73%), with 68% of patients having associated injuries (95% CI 43-94%). In terms of choice of surgical repair technique, primary suture repair was most frequently reported, irrespective of injury location. Postoperative drainage was employed in 27% of the cases and was more common following repair of thoracic esophageal injuries. The estimated dependence on mechanical ventilation was 5.91 days (95% CI 5.1-6.72 days), while the length of stay in the intensive care unit averaged 7.89 days (95% CI 7.14-8.65 days). TEIs are uncommon injuries in trauma patients, associated with considerable mortality and morbidity. Open suture repair of ensuing esophageal defects is by large the most employed approach, while stenting may be indicated in carefully selected cases.


Subject(s)
Esophagus , Wounds, Penetrating , Humans , Esophagus/injuries , Esophagus/surgery , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery , Female , Male , Adult , Middle Aged , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/therapy , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Drainage/methods , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Young Adult , Suture Techniques , Aged , Adolescent
4.
BMC Emerg Med ; 24(1): 32, 2024 Feb 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38413939

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Globally, chest trauma remain as a prominent contributor to both morbidity and mortality. Notably, patients experiencing blunt chest trauma exhibit a higher mortality rate (11.65%) compared to those with penetrating chest trauma (5.63%). AIM: This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the mortality rate and its determinants in cases of traumatic chest injuries. METHODS: The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) checklist guided the data synthesis process. Multiple advanced search methods, encompassing databases such as PubMed, Africa Index Medicus, Scopus, Embase, Science Direct, HINARI, and Google Scholar, were employed. The elimination of duplicate studies occurred using EndNote version X9. Quality assessment utilized the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and data extraction adhered to the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) format. Evaluation of publication bias was conducted via Egger's regression test and funnel plot, with additional sensitivity analysis. All studies included in this meta-analysis were observational, ultimately addressing the query, what is the pooled mortality rate of traumatic chest injury and its predictors in sub-Saharan Africa? RESULTS: Among the 845 identified original articles, 21 published original studies were included in the pooled mortality analysis for patients with chest trauma. The determined mortality rate was nine (95% CI: 6.35-11.65). Predictors contributing to mortality included age over 50 (AOR 3.5; 95% CI: 1.19-10.35), a time interval of 2-6 h between injury and admission (AOR 3.9; 95% CI: 2.04-7.51), injuries associated with the head and neck (AOR 6.28; 95% CI: 3.00-13.15), spinal injuries (AOR 7.86; 95% CI: 3.02-19.51), comorbidities (AOR 5.24; 95% CI: 2.93-9.40), any associated injuries (AOR 7.9; 95% CI: 3.12-18.45), cardiac injuries (AOR 5.02; 95% CI: 2.62-9.68), the need for ICU care (AOR 13.7; 95% CI: 9.59-19.66), and an Injury Severity Score (AOR 3.5; 95% CI: 10.6-11.60). CONCLUSION: The aggregated mortality rate for traumatic chest injuries tends to be higher in sub-Saharan Africa. Factors such as age over 50 years, delayed admission (2-6 h), injuries associated with the head, neck, or spine, comorbidities, associated injuries, cardiac injuries, ICU admission, and increased Injury Severity Score were identified as positive predictors. Targeted intervention areas encompass the health sector, infrastructure, municipality, transportation zones, and the broader community.


Subject(s)
Thoracic Injuries , Wounds, Nonpenetrating , Wounds, Penetrating , Humans , Middle Aged , Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Observational Studies as Topic , Prevalence , Thoracic Injuries/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality
5.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 96(5): 702-707, 2024 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38189675

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Military experience has demonstrated mortality improvement when advanced resuscitative care (ARC) is provided for trauma patients with severe hemorrhage. The benefits of ARC for trauma in civilian emergency medical services (EMS) systems with short transport intervals are still unknown. We hypothesized that ARC implementation in an urban EMS system would reduce in-hospital mortality. METHODS: This was a prospective analysis of ARC bundle administration between 2021 and 2023 in an urban EMS system with 70,000 annual responses. The ARC bundle consisted of calcium, tranexamic acid, and packed red blood cells via a rapid infuser. Advanced resuscitative care patients were compared with trauma registry controls from 2016 to 2019. Included were patients with a penetrating injury and systolic blood pressure ≤90 mm Hg. Excluded were isolated head trauma or prehospital cardiac arrest. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome of interest. RESULTS: A total of 210 patients (ARC, 61; controls, 149) met the criteria. The median age was 32 years, with no difference in demographics, initial systolic blood pressure or heart rate recorded by EMS, or New Injury Severity Score between groups. At hospital arrival, ARC patients had lower median heart rate and shock index than controls ( p ≤ 0.03). Fewer patients in the ARC group required prehospital advanced airway placement ( p < 0.001). Twenty-four-hour and total in-hospital mortality were lower in the ARC group ( p ≤ 0.04). Multivariable regression revealed an independent reduction in in-hospital mortality with ARC (odds ratio, 0.19; 95% confidence interval, 0.05-0.68; p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Early ARC in a fast-paced urban EMS system is achievable and may improve physiologic derangements while decreasing patient mortality. Advanced resuscitative care closer to the point of injury warrants consideration. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic/Care Management; Level IV.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Prospective Studies , Patient Care Bundles/methods , Resuscitation/methods , Middle Aged , Injury Severity Score , Urban Health Services/organization & administration , Registries , Hemorrhage/therapy , Hemorrhage/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/therapy , Wounds and Injuries/mortality
6.
Clin Otolaryngol ; 47(1): 44-51, 2022 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34323008

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To report the experience of civilian penetrating neck trauma (PNT) at a UK level I trauma centre, propose an initial management algorithm and assess the degree of correlation between clinical signs of injury, operative findings and radiological reports. DESIGN: Retrospective case note review. SETTING: UK level I trauma centre April 2012-November 2017. PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred ten cases of PNT were drawn from electronic patient records. Data were extracted on hard and soft signs of vascular or aerodigestive tract injury, clinical management, radiological imaging and patient outcomes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patient demographics, mechanism of injury, morbidity and mortality. The correlation between clinical signs, and radiological reports to internal injury on surgical exploration. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one (87.4%) male and 39 (13.6%) female patients with a mean age of 36 years (16-87) were identified. The most common causes of injury were assault 171 (55.2%) and deliberate self-harm 118 (38%). A knife was the most common instrument 240 (77.4%). Past psychiatric history was noted in 119 (38.4%), and 60 (19.4%) were intoxicated. 50% were definitively managed in theatre with a negative exploration rate of 38%, and 50% were managed in ED. Pre-operative radiological reports correlated with operative reports in 62% of cases with venous injury the most common positive and negative finding. Multivariate correlation was r = 0.89, p = 0.045, between hard signs plus positive radiology findings and internal injury on neck exploration. CONCLUSIONS: Management of PNT by clinical and radiological signs is safe and effective, and can be streamlined by a decision-making algorithm as proposed here.


Subject(s)
Neck Injuries/diagnostic imaging , Neck Injuries/surgery , Trauma Centers , Wounds, Penetrating/diagnostic imaging , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Algorithms , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Neck Injuries/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , United Kingdom , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Young Adult
7.
Am Surg ; 88(3): 455-462, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34797198

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Trauma patients are at high risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Opportunity for chemical VTE prophylaxis improvement was identified and practice was altered to start chemoprophylaxis on admission in most patients. The purpose of this study was to determine if early VTE prophylaxis is safe and reduces VTE. METHODS: The trauma registry was queried over a 12-month period for patients admitted greater than 1 day for traumatic injury. The study spanned 6 months on either side of instituting aggressive chemoprophylaxis. Patients were risk adjusted on demographics, Injury Severity Score, transfusions, procedure type, length of stay, and mortality. Pre-intervention patients were then compared to patients in the aggressive cohort with the primary outcome of VTE. Secondary outcomes included transfusions, mortality, and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: 1597 patients were identified over the study period with 754 (47%) patients in the aggressive period. There were no differences in age, sex, Injury Severity Score, transfusions, procedures, or LOS between cohorts. Pre-algorithm patients were more likely to have penetrating mechanism (9.3% vs 6.6%; P = .009) and longer time to VTE prophylaxis (23.3 vs 13.9 hours; P < .001). No differences were noted in anticoagulant, VTE rate (2.0% vs 1.2%; P = .195), or mortality. Linear regression analysis identified time to chemical prophylaxis as significant predictor of VTE (ß = 43.9, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Early aggressive chemical VTE prophylaxis is safe without increasing transfusions. Venous thromboembolism rates were decreased, but did not reach statistical significance.


Subject(s)
Anticoagulants/therapeutic use , Time-to-Treatment , Venous Thromboembolism/prevention & control , Wounds and Injuries/complications , Adult , Aged , Algorithms , Anticoagulants/administration & dosage , Blood Transfusion , Colorado/epidemiology , Enoxaparin/administration & dosage , Enoxaparin/therapeutic use , Female , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Length of Stay , Male , Middle Aged , Registries , Regression Analysis , Retrospective Studies , Venous Thromboembolism/mortality , Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology , Wounds and Injuries/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/complications , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/epidemiology , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/complications , Wounds, Penetrating/epidemiology , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality
8.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 80: 158-169, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34752854

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The inferior vena cava is the most frequently injured vascular structure in penetrating abdominal trauma. We aimed to review inferior vena cava injury cases treated at a limited resources facility and to discuss the surgical management for such injures. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of patients with inferior vena cava injuries who were treated at a single center between January 2011 and January 2020. Data pertaining to the following were assessed: demographic parameters, hypovolemic shock at admission, the distance that the patient had to be transported to reach the hospital, affected anatomical segment, treatment, concomitant injuries, complications, and mortality. Non-parametric data were analyzed using Fisher's exact, Chi-square, Mann-Whitney, or Kruskal-Wallis test, as applicable. The Student's t-test was used to assess parametric data. Moreover, multiple logistic regression analyses (including data of possible death-related variables) were performed. Statistical significance was set at P <0.05. RESULTS: Among 114 patients with inferior vena cava injuries, 90.4% were male, and the majority were aged 20-29 years. Penetrating injuries accounted for 98.2% of the injuries, and the infrarenal segment was affected in 52.7% of the patients. Suturing was perfomed in 69.5% and cava ligation in 29.5% of the patients, and 1 patient with retrohepatic vena cava injury was managed non-operatively. The overall mortality was 52.6% with no case of compartment syndrome in the limbs. A total of 7.9% of the patients died during surgery. CONCLUSION: The inferior vena cava is often injured by penetrating mechanisms, and the most frequently affected segment was the infrarenal segment. A higher probability of death was not associated with injury to a specific anatomical segment. Additionally, cava ligation was not related to an increased probability of compartment syndrome in the leg; therefore, prophylactic fasciotomy was not supported.


Subject(s)
Abdominal Injuries/surgery , Vascular System Injuries/surgery , Vena Cava, Inferior/injuries , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery , Abdominal Injuries/mortality , Adolescent , Adult , Brazil , Child , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Postoperative Complications , Retrospective Studies , Vascular System Injuries/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality
9.
P R Health Sci J ; 40(3): 120-126, 2021 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34792925

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Although the lack of health insurance has been linked to poor health outcomes in several diseases, this relationship is still understudied in trauma. There exist differences between the Puerto Rico health care system and that of the United States. We therefore aimed to assess mortality disparities related to insurance coverage at the Puerto Rico Trauma Hospital (PRTH). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of patients who sustained penetrating injuries (presenting at the PRTH from 2000 to 2014) was performed. Individuals were classified by their insurance status. Study variables comprised demographics, clinical characteristics and outcomes. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the association between health insurance status and risk of dying. RESULTS: Patients with public health insurance experienced more complications than did individuals who had private health insurance (PrHI) or who were uninsured. This group had longer durations of mechanical ventilation and spent more time in the hospital than did patients who had PrHI or who were uninsured. However, uninsured patients with gunshot wounds were 54% (adjusted odds ratio = 1.54; 95% CI: 1.01, 2.36) more likely to die than were their counterparts who had PrHI. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that having health insurance could reduce a given patient mortality risk in trauma settings. More studies with larger samples are warranted to confirm these findings. If these findings hold true, then providing equitable access to health services for the entire population could prevent patients suffering trauma from having premature, preventable deaths.


Subject(s)
Healthcare Disparities , Insurance Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Insurance, Health , Medically Uninsured/statistics & numerical data , Quality of Health Care , Wounds, Penetrating/ethnology , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Critical Care/economics , Female , Hispanic or Latino/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Male , Puerto Rico/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/diagnosis , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy
10.
Rev. cir. (Impr.) ; 73(5): 592-601, oct. 2021. graf, tab
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: biblio-1388884

ABSTRACT

Resumen Introducción: Los traumatismos están entre las diez principales causas de muerte a nivel mundial y son la primera en jóvenes. El traumatismo torácico (TT) está presente en un alto porcentaje de las muertes por traumatismos y es la segunda causa de muerte después del traumatismo encefalocraneano. Objetivos: Analizar las variables asociadas a mortalidad, las causas principales y la distribución temporal de la mortalidad en hospitalizados fallecidos con TT. Materiales y Método: Estudio observacional de hospitalizados con TT, período enero de 1981 a diciembre de 2018. Revisión de protocolos prospectivos de TT y base de datos. Se consignaron las causas de muerte sindromáticas principales y se realizó una regresión logística para variables asociadas a mortalidad. Se utilizó SPSS25® con pruebas chi-cuadrado para comparar clasificación, tipo de TT y su distribución temporal, considerando significativo p < 0,05. Resultados: Total 4.297 TT, mortalidad global de 120 (2,8%) casos. Las principales variables independientes asociadas a mortalidad fueron el deterioro fisiológico al ingreso, el hemotórax masivo y el TT por arma de fuego. La principal causa de muerte fue el shock hipovolémico, con diferencias significativas según tipo de TT en las primeras 4 y 24 horas. En la distribución temporal se observó que las muertes con TT penetrante y aislado fueron más precoces y no se evidenció un nuevo peak en la mortalidad luego de la primera semana. Conclusiones: Se observaron variables independientes asociadas a mortalidad en hospitalizados con TT, siendo el deterioro fisiológico al ingreso el factor más importante. Además, existen diferencias significativas en las causas de muerte y distribución temporal de la mortalidad entre diferentes subgrupos de hospitalizados con TT.


Background: Trauma is one of the ten leading causes of death worldwide and the first among the youth. Thoracic trauma (TT) is present in a high percentage of deaths due to trauma and is the second leading cause of death after traumatic brain injury. Aim: To analyze the mortality associated variables, major causes and temporal distribution of mortality among dead hospitalized patients with TT. Materials and Method: Observational study in hospitalized patients with TT, period January 1981 to December 2018. Review of prospective TT protocols and data base. Major syndromic causes of death were recorded and a logistic regression for variables associated with mortality was made. SPSS25® with chi-quadrat tests was used to compare classification, type of TT and temporal distribution. A p value < 0,05 was considered significant. Results: Total 4.297 TT and global mortality was 120 (2,8%) cases. The main independent variables associated with mortality were the physiological decline upon admission, massive hemothorax and TT by firearms. The leading cause of death was hypovolemic shock, with significant differences according to the type of TT in the first 4 and 24 hours. In the temporal distribution was observed that, the deaths with penetrating and isolated TT were earlier and that there was no second peak of mortality following the first week. Conclusions: Independent variables associated with mortality were observed among hospitalized patients with TT, being physiological deterioration the most important factor. Besides, there are significant differences in the death causes and temporal distribution of mortality among the different subgroups of hospitalized patients with TT.


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Thoracic Injuries/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Thoracic Injuries/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Cause of Death
11.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(4): 621-626, 2021 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34225345

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Injury Severity Score (ISS) is a widely used metric for trauma research and center verification; however, it does not account for age-related physiologic parameters. We hypothesized that a novel age-based injury severity metric would better predict mortality. METHODS: Adult patients (≥18 years) sustaining blunt trauma (BT) or penetrating trauma (PT) were abstracted from the 2010 to 2016 National Trauma Data Bank. Admission vitals, Glasgow Coma Scale, ISS, mechanism, and outcomes were analyzed. Patients with incomplete/non-physiologic vital signs were excluded. For each age: (1) a cut point analysis was used to determine the ISS with the highest specificity and sensitivity for predicting mortality and (2) a linear discriminant analysis was performed using ISS, ISS greater than 16, Trauma and Injury Severity Score, and Revised Trauma Scale to compare each scoring system's mortality prediction. A novel injury severity metric, the trauma component score (TCS), was developed for each age using significant (p < 0.05) variables selected from Abbreviated Injury Scale scores, Glasgow Coma Scale, vital signs, and gender. Receiver operator curves were developed and the areas under the curve were compared between the TCS and other systems. RESULTS: There 777,794 patients studied (BT, 91.1%; PT, 8.9%). Blunt trauma patients were older (53.6 ± 21.3 years vs. 34.4 ± 13.8 years), had higher ISS scores (11.1 ± 8.5 vs. 8.5 ± 8.9), and lower mortality (2.9% vs. 3.4%) than PT patients (p < 0.05). When assessing the entire PT and BT cohort the optimal ISS cut point was 16. The optimal ISS was between 20 and 25 for BT younger than 70 years. For those older than 70 years, the optimal BT ISS steadily declined as age increased PT's cut point was 16 or less for all ages assessed. When the injury metrics were compared by area under the curve, our novel TCS more accurately predicted mortality across all ages in both BT and PT (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Injury Severity Score is a poor mortality predictor in older patients and those sustaining penetrating trauma. The age-based TCS is a superior metric for mortality prediction across all ages. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Clinical outcomes, Level IV.


Subject(s)
Glasgow Coma Scale , Injury Severity Score , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Sex Factors , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/diagnosis , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/therapy , Wounds, Penetrating/diagnosis , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Young Adult
12.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(2S Suppl 2): S186-S193, 2021 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34324473

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Quantification of medical interventions administered during prolonged field care (PFC) is necessary to inform training and planning. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of Department of Defense Trauma Registry casualties with maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) score of 2 or greater and prehospital records during combat operations 2007 to 2015; US military nonsurvivors were linked to Armed Forces Medical Examiner System data. Medical interventions administered to survivors of 4 hours to 72 hours of PFC and nonsurvivors who died prehospital were compared by frequency-matching on mechanism (explosive, firearm, other), injury type (penetrating, blunt) and injured body regions with MAIS score of 3 or greater. Covariates for adjustment included age, sex, military Service, shock, Glasgow Coma Scale, transport team, MAIS and Injury Severity Score (ISS). Sensitivity analysis focused on US military subgroup with AIS/ISS assigned to nonsurvivors after autopsy. RESULTS: The total inception cohort included 16,202 casualties (5,269 US military, 10,809 non-US military), 64% Afghanistan, 36% Iraq. Of US military, 734 deaths occurred within 30 days, nearly 90% occurred within 4 hours of injury. There were 3,222 casualties (1,111 US military, 2,111 non-US military) documented for prehospital care and died prehospital (691) or survived 4 hours to 72 hours of PFC (2,531). Twenty-five percent (815/3,222) received advanced airway, 18% (583) ventilatory support, 9% (281) tourniquet. Twenty-three percent (725) received blood transfusions within 24 hours. Of the matched cohort (1,233 survivors, 490 nonsurvivors), differences were observed in care (survivors received more warming, intravenous fluids, sedation, mechanical ventilation, narcotics, antibiotics; nonsurvivors received more intubations, tourniquets, intraosseous fluids, cardiopulmonary resuscitation). Sensitivity analysis focused on US military (732 survivors, 379 nonsurvivors) showed no significant differences in prehospital interventions. Without autopsy information, the ISS of nonsurvivors significantly underestimated injury severity. CONCLUSION: Tourniquets, blood transfusion, airway, and ventilatory support are frequently required interventions for the seriously injured. Prolonged field care should direct resources, technology, and training to field technology for sustained resuscitation, airway, and breathing support in the austere environment. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic, Level III.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services/statistics & numerical data , War-Related Injuries/mortality , Abbreviated Injury Scale , Adult , Age Factors , Blast Injuries/mortality , Blast Injuries/therapy , Case-Control Studies , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Female , Glasgow Coma Scale , Humans , Male , Registries , Retrospective Studies , Sex Factors , Survival Analysis , United States , War-Related Injuries/therapy , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Wounds, Gunshot/therapy , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/therapy , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Young Adult
13.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(3): 501-506, 2021 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34137746

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma requires that all level I trauma centers have cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) capabilities immediately available. Despite this mandate, there are limited data on the utilization and clinical outcomes among trauma patients requiring CPB in the management of injuries. The aim of this study was to evaluate the current use of CPB in the care of trauma patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the National Trauma Data Bank from 2010 to 2015. Adult patients sustaining cardiothoracic injuries who underwent surgical repair within the first 24 hours of admission were included. Propensity score matching was used to compare outcomes (in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit LOS, and complications) between patients who underwent CPB within the first 24 hours of admission and those with similar injuries who did not receive CPB. RESULTS: A total of 28,481 patients who met the inclusion criteria were identified, of whom 319 underwent CPB. Three-hundred three CPB patients were matched to 895 comparison patients who did not undergo CPB. Overall in-hospital mortality was 35%. Patients who were not treated with CPB had a significantly higher in-hospital mortality compared with those treated with CBP (odds ratio, 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-2.12; p = 0.003); however, complications were significantly lower in those who did not receive CPB (odds ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.86; p = 0.003). Hospital LOS (non-CPB: mean, 13.4 ± 16.3 days; CPB: mean, 14.7 ± 15.1 days; p = 0.23) and intensive care unit LOS (non-CPB: mean, 9.9 ± 10.7 days; CPB: mean, 10.1 ± 9.7 days; p = 0.08) did not differ significantly between groups. CONCLUSION: The use of CPB in the initial management of select cardiothoracic injuries is associated with a survival benefit. Further investigation is required to delineate which specific injuries would benefit the most from the use of CPB. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic, level IV.


Subject(s)
Cardiopulmonary Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Thoracic Injuries/surgery , Vascular System Injuries/surgery , Adult , Databases, Factual , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Intensive Care Units , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Propensity Score , Retrospective Studies , Survival Rate , Thoracic Injuries/mortality , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology , Vascular System Injuries/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/surgery , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery , Young Adult
14.
Am Surg ; 87(10): 1594-1599, 2021 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34128407

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: It remains unclear whether an increased mortality risk in uninsured patients exists across Injury Severity Score (ISS) classifications. We hypothesized that penetrating trauma self-pay patients would have a similarly increased mortality risk across all ISS categories. METHODS: The National Trauma Data Bank (2013-2015) was queried for patients presenting with penetrating firearm, explosive, or stab wound injuries. 115 651 patients were identified and a stratified multivariable logistic regression model was used. RESULTS: In the >15 ISS group, self-pay patients had a lower median total hospital Length of Stay (LOS) (3 vs 8, P < .001), lower median Intensive Care Unit LOS (1 vs 3, P < .001), and lower median ventilator days (0 vs 1, P < .001). Self-pay patients had an increased risk for mortality compared to patients with private insurance in both the ≤15 ISS group (OR 2.68, P < .001) and >15 ISS group (OR 1.56, P < .001). CONCLUSION: Uninsured patients have an increased mortality risk in both low and high ISS groups. A higher mortality risk among uninsured patients in the high ISS group can be explained by decreased resource availability and lower ICU days and ventilator time. However, more studies are needed to determine why there is an even greater mortality risk among uninsured patients with mild ISS.


Subject(s)
Medically Uninsured , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Adult , Aged , Databases, Factual , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology
15.
Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med ; 29(1): 80, 2021 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34120631

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The management of penetrating wounds is a rare challenge for trauma surgeons in Germany and Central Europe as a result of the low incidence of this type of trauma. In Germany, penetrating injuries are reported to occur in 4-5 % of the severely injured patients who are enrolled in the TraumaRegister DGU® (trauma registry of the German Trauma Society). They include gunshot injuries, knife stab injuries, which are far more common, and penetrating injuries of other origin, for example trauma caused by accidents. The objective of this study was to assess the epidemiology and outcome of penetrating injuries in Germany, with a particular focus on the level of care provided by the treating trauma centre to gain more understanding of this trauma mechanism and to anticipate the necessary steps in the initial treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Since 2009, the TraumaRegister DGU® has been used to assess not only whether a trauma was penetrating but also whether it was caused by gunshot or stabbing. Data were taken from the standard documentation forms that participating German hospitals completed between 2009 and 2018. Excluded were patients with a maximum abbreviated injury scale (MAIS) score of 1 with a view to obtaining a realistic idea of this injury entity, which is rare in Germany. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2018, there were 1123 patients with gunshot wounds, corresponding to a prevalence rate of 0.5 %, and 4333 patients with stab wounds (1.8 %), which were frequently caused by violent crime. The high proportion of intentionally self-inflicted gunshot wounds to the head resulted in a cumulative mortality rate of 41 % for gunshot injuries. Stab wounds were associated with a lower mortality rate (6.8 %). Every fourth to fifth patient with a gunshot or stab wound presented with haemorrhagic shock, which is a problem that is seen during both the prehospital and the inhospital phase of patient management. Of the patients with penetrating injuries, 18.3 % required transfusions. This percentage was more than two times higher than that of the basic group of patients of the TraumaRegister DGU®, which consists of patients with a MAIS ≥ 3 and patients with a MAIS of 2 who died or were treated on the intensive care unit. CONCLUSIONS: In Germany, gunshot and stab wounds have a low incidence and are mostly caused by violent crime or attempted suicides. Depending on the site of injury, they have a high mortality and are often associated with major haemorrhage. As a result of the low incidence of these types of trauma, further data and analyses are required in order to provide the basis for evaluating the long-term quality of the management of patients with stab or gunshot wounds.


Subject(s)
Wounds, Gunshot/epidemiology , Wounds, Gunshot/therapy , Wounds, Stab/epidemiology , Wounds, Stab/therapy , Accidents/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Blood Transfusion/methods , Europe , Female , Germany/epidemiology , Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Humans , Incidence , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Prospective Studies , Registries , Shock, Hemorrhagic/epidemiology , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/epidemiology , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Wounds, Stab/mortality , Young Adult
16.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 76: 193-201, 2021 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34153491

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Penetrating injuries to the inferior vena cava and/or iliac veins are a source of hemorrhage but may also predispose patients to venous thromboembolism (VTE). We sought to determine the relationship between iliocaval injury, VTE and mortality. METHODS: The National Trauma Data Bank was queried for penetrating abdominal trauma from 2015-2017. Univariate analyses compared baseline characteristics and outcomes based on presence of iliocaval injury. Multivariable analyses determined the effect of iliocaval injury on VTE and mortality. RESULTS: Of 9,974 patients with penetrating abdominal trauma, 329 had iliocaval injury (3.3%). Iliocaval injury patients were more likely to have a firearm mechanism (83% vs. 43%, P < 0.001), concurrent head (P = 0.036), spinal cord (P < 0.001), and pelvic injuries (P < 0.001), and higher total injury severity score (median 20 vs. 8.0, P < 0.001). They were more likely to undergo 24-hr hemorrhage control surgery (69% vs. 17%, P < 0.001), but less likely to receive VTE chemoprophylaxis during admission (64% vs. 68%, P = 0.04). Of patients undergoing iliocaval surgery, 64% underwent repair, 26% ligation, and 10% unknown. Iliocaval injury patients had higher rates of VTE (12% vs. 2%), 24-hr mortality (23% vs. 2.0%) and in-hospital mortality (33% vs. 3.4%) (P < 0.001 for all). VTE rates were similar following repair (14%) and ligation (17%). Iliocaval injury patients also had higher rates of cardiac complications (10.3% vs. 1.4%), acute kidney injury (8.2% vs. 1.3%), extremity compartment syndrome (4.0 vs. 0.2%), and unplanned return to OR (7.9% vs. 2.5%) (P < 0.001 for all). In multivariable analyses, iliocaval injury was independently associated with risk of VTE (OR 2.12; 95% CI, 1.29-3.48; P = 0.003), and in-hospital mortality (OR = 9.61; 95% CI, 4.96-18.64; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Iliocaval injuries occur in <5% of penetrating abdominal trauma but are associated with more severe injury patterns and high mortality rates. Regardless of repair type, survivors should be considered high risk for developing VTE.


Subject(s)
Abdominal Injuries/epidemiology , Iliac Vein/injuries , Vascular System Injuries/epidemiology , Vena Cava, Inferior/injuries , Venous Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Wounds, Penetrating/epidemiology , Abdominal Injuries/diagnosis , Abdominal Injuries/mortality , Abdominal Injuries/surgery , Adult , Databases, Factual , Female , Humans , Iliac Vein/surgery , Ligation , Male , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , United States/epidemiology , Vascular Surgical Procedures , Vascular System Injuries/diagnosis , Vascular System Injuries/mortality , Vascular System Injuries/surgery , Vena Cava, Inferior/surgery , Venous Thromboembolism/diagnosis , Venous Thromboembolism/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/diagnosis , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery , Young Adult
17.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(2S Suppl 2): S226-S232, 2021 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34039922

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Penetrating cervical carotid artery injury is an uncommon but high-stake scenario associated with stroke and death. The objective of this study was to characterize and compare penetrating carotid injury in the military and civilian setting, as well as provide considerations for management. METHODS: Cohorts with penetrating cervical carotid artery injury from the Department of Defense Trauma Registry (2002-2015) and the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma Prospective Observation Vascular Injury Treatment Registry (2012-2018) were analyzed. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator multivariate analysis using random forest-based imputation was performed to identify risk factors affecting stroke and mortality. RESULTS: There were a total of 157 patients included in the study, of which 56 (35.7%) were military and 101 (64.3%) were civilian. The military cohort was more likely to have been managed with open surgery (87.5% vs. 44.6%, p < 0.001) and to have had any procedure to restore or maintain flow to the brain (71.4% vs. 35.6%, p < 0.001), while the civilian cohort was more likely to undergo nonoperative management (45.5% vs. 12.5%, p < 0.001). Stroke rate was higher within the military cohort (41.1% vs. 13.9%, p < 0.001); however, mortality did not differ between the groups (12.5% vs. 17.8%, p = 0.52). On multivariate analysis, predictors for stroke were presence of a battle injury (log odds, 2.1; p < 0.001) and internal or common carotid artery ligation (log odds 1.5, p = 0.009). For mortality outcome, protective factors included a high Glasgow Coma Scale on admission (log odds, -0.21 per point; p < 0.001). Increased admission Injury Severity Score was a predictor of mortality (log odds, 0.05 per point; p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: The stroke rate was higher in the military cohort, possibly reflecting complexity of injury; however, there was no difference in mortality between military and civilian patients. For significant injuries, concerted efforts should be made at carotid reconstruction to reduce the occurrence of stroke. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective cohort analysis, level III.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Injuries/epidemiology , Wounds, Penetrating/epidemiology , Adult , Carotid Artery Injuries/complications , Carotid Artery Injuries/mortality , Carotid Artery Injuries/surgery , Carotid Artery, Common/surgery , Carotid Artery, Internal/surgery , Female , Glasgow Coma Scale , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Male , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Registries , Retrospective Studies , Stroke/etiology , Wounds, Penetrating/complications , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/surgery
18.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(4): 599-604, 2021 10 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33871405

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The equivalent Injury Severity Score (ISS) cutoffs for severe trauma vary between adult (ISS, >16) and pediatric (ISS, >25) trauma. We hypothesized that a novel injury severity prediction model incorporating age and mechanism of injury would outperform standard ISS cutoffs. METHODS: The 2010 to 2016 National Trauma Data Bank was queried for pediatric trauma patients. Cut point analysis was used to determine the optimal ISS for predicting mortality for age and mechanism of injury. Linear discriminant analysis was implemented to determine prediction accuracy, based on area under the curve (AUC), of ISS cutoff of 25 (ISS, 25), shock index pediatric adjusted (SIPA), an age-adjusted ISS/abbreviated Trauma Composite Score (aTCS), and our novel Trauma Composite Score (TCS) in blunt trauma. The TCS consisted of significant variables (Abbreviated Injury Scale, Glasgow Coma Scale, sex, and SIPA) selected a priori for each age. RESULTS: There were 109,459 blunt trauma and 9,292 penetrating trauma patients studied. There was a significant difference in ISS (blunt trauma, 9.3 ± 8.0 vs. penetrating trauma, 8.0 ± 8.6; p < 0.01) and mortality (blunt trauma, 0.7% vs. penetrating trauma, 2.7%; p < 0.01). Analysis of the entire cohort revealed an optimal ISS cut point of 25 (AUC, 0.95; sensitivity, 0.86; specificity, 0.95); however, the optimal ISS ranged from 18 to 25 when evaluated by age and mechanism. Linear discriminant analysis model AUCs varied significantly for each injury metric when assessed for blunt trauma and penetrating trauma (penetrating trauma-adjusted ISS, 0.94 ± 0.02 vs. ISS 25, 0.88 ± 0.02 vs. SIPA, 0.62 ± 0.03; p < 0.001; blunt trauma-adjusted ISS, 0.96 ± 0.01 vs. ISS 25, 0.89 ± 0.02 vs. SIPA, 0.70 ± 0.02; p < 0.001). When injury metrics were assessed across age groups in blunt trauma, TCS and aTCS performed the best. CONCLUSION: Current use of ISS in pediatric trauma may not accurately reflect injury severity. The TCS and aTCS incorporate both age and mechanism and outperform standard metrics in mortality prediction in blunt trauma. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective review, level IV.


Subject(s)
Injury Severity Score , Shock/diagnosis , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Adolescent , Age Factors , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Male , ROC Curve , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Reproducibility of Results , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Shock/etiology , Shock/mortality , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/complications , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/diagnosis , Wounds, Penetrating/complications , Wounds, Penetrating/diagnosis
19.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(1): 130-140, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33675330

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Prehospital procedures (PHP) by emergency medical services (EMS) are performed regularly in penetrating trauma patients despite previous studies demonstrating no benefit. We sought to examine the influence of PHPs on outcomes in penetrating trauma patients in urban locations where transport to trauma center is not prolonged. We hypothesized that patients without PHPs would have better outcomes than those undergoing PHP. METHODS: This was an Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma-sponsored, multicenter, prospective, observational trial of adults (18+ years) with penetrating trauma to the torso and/or proximal extremity presenting at 25 urban trauma centers. The impact of PHPs and transport mechanism on in-hospital mortality were examined. RESULTS: Of 2,284 patients included, 1,386 (60.7%) underwent PHP. The patients were primarily Black (n = 1,527, 66.9%) males (n = 1,986, 87.5%) injured by gunshot wound (n = 1,510, 66.0%) with 34.1% (n = 726) having New Injury Severity Score of ≥16. A total of 1,427 patients (62.5%) were transported by Advanced Life Support EMS, 17.2% (n = 392) by private vehicle, 13.7% (n = 312) by police, and 6.7% (n = 153) by Basic Life Support EMS. Of the PHP patients, 69.1% received PHP on scene, 59.9% received PHP in route, and 29.0% received PHP both on scene and in route. Initial scene vitals differed between groups, but initial emergency department vitals did not. Receipt of ≥1 PHP increased mortality odds (odds ratio [OR], 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.83; p = 0.04). Logistic regression showed increased mortality with each PHP, whether on scene or during transport. Subset analysis of specific PHP revealed that intubation (OR, 10.76; 95% CI, 4.02-28.78; p < 0.001), C-spine immobilization (OR, 5.80; 95% CI, 1.85-18.26; p < 0.01), and pleural decompression (OR, 3.70; 95% CI, 1.33-10.28; p = 0.01) had the highest odds of mortality after adjusting for multiple variables. CONCLUSION: Prehospital procedures in penetrating trauma patients impart no survival advantage and may be harmful in urban settings, even when performed during transport. Therefore, PHP should be forgone in lieu of immediate transport to improve patient outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic, level III.


Subject(s)
Emergency Medical Services/statistics & numerical data , Trauma Centers/statistics & numerical data , Wounds, Gunshot/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Adult , Emergency Medical Services/methods , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , United States/epidemiology , Urban Health Services , Wounds, Gunshot/therapy , Wounds, Penetrating/therapy , Young Adult
20.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 91(1): 93-99, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33755641

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Classic risk assessment tools often treat patients' risk factors as linear and additive. Clinical reality suggests that the presence of certain risk factors can alter the impact of other factors; in other words, risk modeling is not linear. We aimed to use artificial intelligence (AI) technology to design and validate a nonlinear risk calculator for trauma patients. METHODS: A novel, interpretable AI technology called Optimal Classification Trees (OCTs) was used in an 80:20 derivation/validation split of the 2010 to 2016 American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program database. Demographics, emergency department vital signs, comorbidities, and injury characteristics (e.g., severity, mechanism) of all blunt and penetrating trauma patients 18 years or older were used to develop, train then validate OCT algorithms to predict in-hospital mortality and complications (e.g., acute kidney injury, acute respiratory distress syndrome, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, sepsis). A smartphone application was created as the algorithm's interactive and user-friendly interface. Performance was measured using the c-statistic methodology. RESULTS: A total of 934,053 patients were included (747,249 derivation; 186,804 validation). The median age was 51 years, 37% were women, 90.5% had blunt trauma, and the median Injury Severity Score was 11. Comprehensive OCT algorithms were developed for blunt and penetrating trauma, and the interactive smartphone application, Trauma Outcome Predictor (TOP) was created, where the answer to one question unfolds the subsequent one. Trauma Outcome Predictor accurately predicted mortality in penetrating injury (c-statistics: 0.95 derivation, 0.94 validation) and blunt injury (c-statistics: 0.89 derivation, 0.88 validation). The validation c-statistics for predicting complications ranged between 0.69 and 0.84. CONCLUSION: We suggest TOP as an AI-based, interpretable, accurate, and nonlinear risk calculator for predicting outcome in trauma patients. Trauma Outcome Predictor can prove useful for bedside counseling of critically injured trauma patients and their families, and for benchmarking the quality of trauma care.


Subject(s)
Artificial Intelligence , Decision Support Techniques , Smartphone , Wounds, Nonpenetrating/mortality , Wounds, Penetrating/mortality , Adult , Aged , Databases, Factual , Emergencies , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Injury Severity Score , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors , United States/epidemiology
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