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1.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 6289, 2024 Jul 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39060259

RESUMEN

Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. For the 2021-22 and 2022-23 influenza seasons, 26 forecasting teams provided national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predictions of weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions for one-to-four weeks ahead. Forecast skill is evaluated using the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), relative WIS, and coverage. Six out of 23 models outperform the baseline model across forecast weeks and locations in 2021-22 and 12 out of 18 models in 2022-23. Averaging across all forecast targets, the FluSight ensemble is the 2nd most accurate model measured by WIS in 2021-22 and the 5th most accurate in the 2022-23 season. Forecast skill and 95% coverage for the FluSight ensemble and most component models degrade over longer forecast horizons. In this work we demonstrate that while the FluSight ensemble was a robust predictor, even ensembles face challenges during periods of rapid change.


Asunto(s)
Predicción , Hospitalización , Gripe Humana , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Predicción/métodos , Modelos Estadísticos
2.
Retina ; 44(2): e16-e17, 2024 Feb 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37783041
3.
Retina ; 43(7): 1198-1199, 2023 07 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32649490

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To describe a novel technique of internal limiting membrane retrieval. METHODS: A 25-gauge vitrectomy was performed in all patients. After internal limiting membrane (ILM) peeling (after brilliant blue dye staining), the ILM was held with the forceps in the midvitreous cavity and a 25-gauge cannula mounted on a 2 mL of balanced salt solution-filled syringe was introduced. When the tip of the cannula made contact with the ILM, mild suction was applied, and the ILM was retrieved in the syringe. RESULTS: Internal limiting membrane retrieval was successful in the all the patients attempted. CONCLUSION: To conclude, bimanual technique of membranous tissue removal using a soft tip cannula under direct visualization is a safe and efficient technique that makes membrane retrieval a predictable process.


Asunto(s)
Membrana Epirretinal , Perforaciones de la Retina , Humanos , Membrana Epirretinal/cirugía , Retina , Coloración y Etiquetado , Cloruro de Sodio , Vitrectomía/métodos , Membrana Basal/cirugía , Perforaciones de la Retina/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos
4.
medRxiv ; 2023 Dec 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38168429

RESUMEN

Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. Forecasting teams were asked to provide national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predictions of weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions for one through four weeks ahead for the 2021-22 and 2022-23 influenza seasons. Across both seasons, 26 teams submitted forecasts, with the submitting teams varying between seasons. Forecast skill was evaluated using the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), relative WIS, and coverage. Six out of 23 models outperformed the baseline model across forecast weeks and locations in 2021-22 and 12 out of 18 models in 2022-23. Averaging across all forecast targets, the FluSight ensemble was the 2nd most accurate model measured by WIS in 2021-22 and the 5th most accurate in the 2022-23 season. Forecast skill and 95% coverage for the FluSight ensemble and most component models degraded over longer forecast horizons and during periods of rapid change. Current influenza forecasting efforts help inform situational awareness, but research is needed to address limitations, including decreased performance during periods of changing epidemic dynamics.

6.
Br J Ophthalmol ; 105(8): 1043-1048, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32788327

RESUMEN

Focal choroidal excavation (FCE) is defined as an area of concavity in choroid detected on optical coherence tomography. These are mostly present in macular region without evidence of accompanying scleral ectasia or posterior staphyloma. Though initially considered to be congenital, increasing number of cases have been identified in association with other choroidal pathologies such as central serous choroidopathy, choroidal neovascularisation, polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy, choroiditis, choroidal tumours. In this review article, we aim to elaborate on the morphology, pathogenesis and differential diagnosis of FCE and specifically discuss the spectrum of diseases with known association along with the impact of their treatment on FCE.


Asunto(s)
Coroides/anomalías , Anomalías del Ojo/etiología , Anomalías del Ojo/diagnóstico por imagen , Humanos , Tomografía de Coherencia Óptica
7.
BMJ Case Rep ; 13(12)2020 Dec 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33370997

RESUMEN

A young man presented with bilateral diminution of vision after acute coronary syndrome. Fundus showed dark wedge-shaped perifoveal lesions in both eyes. Fundus fluorescein angiography and indocyanine angiography were normal. Optical coherence tomography showed characteristic findings of outer nuclear layer thinning and disruption of ellipsoid zone. Optical coherence tomography angiography showed flow voids in deep capillary plexus. A diagnosis of acute macular neuroretinopathy was made. The multimodal imaging findings and pathophysiology of such a scenario are presented.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Coronario Agudo/etiología , Taquicardia Ventricular/complicaciones , Síndromes de Puntos Blancos/diagnóstico , Angiografía con Fluoresceína , Humanos , Mácula Lútea/diagnóstico por imagen , Masculino , Imagen Multimodal/métodos , Tomografía de Coherencia Óptica , Agudeza Visual , Síndromes de Puntos Blancos/etiología , Adulto Joven
8.
Indian J Ophthalmol ; 68(8): 1693-1695, 2020 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32709827

RESUMEN

A 45-year-old male presented with diminution of vision in both eyes since the last 2 years. The best-corrected visual acuity was 20/200 in his right eye and 20/600 in left eye. BE fundi had changes of chronic CSCR with PED and NSD in the RE and subretinal fibrosis in the left eye. Both eyes had peripheral pigmentary changes. Multimodal imaging showed peripheral avascular retina in both eyes with neovascularization at disc in the right eye which promptly resolved with a single injection of anti-VEGF. Retinal neovascularization is an unusual finding in the setting of CSCR and has not been reported in the literature.


Asunto(s)
Coriorretinopatía Serosa Central , Neovascularización Retiniana , Coriorretinopatía Serosa Central/complicaciones , Coriorretinopatía Serosa Central/diagnóstico , Angiografía con Fluoresceína , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neovascularización Retiniana/complicaciones , Neovascularización Retiniana/diagnóstico , Tomografía de Coherencia Óptica , Agudeza Visual
14.
Indian J Ophthalmol ; 66(9): 1335-1336, 2018 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30127164

RESUMEN

A 10 year old girl present with both eyes central cataract with posterior lenticonus. Intraoperative, she was noted to have both eyes persistent fetal vasculature (PFV). To the best of our knowledge, association of bilateral posterior lenticonus and PFV has not been reported before. This supports the hypothesis that PFV has a role in pathogenesis of posterior lenticonus.


Asunto(s)
Vasos Sanguíneos/anomalías , Enfermedades del Cristalino/diagnóstico , Cristalino/anomalías , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Enfermedades del Cristalino/congénito , Cristalino/irrigación sanguínea , Microscopía Acústica , Agudeza Visual
15.
BMJ Case Rep ; 20162016 Feb 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26907824

RESUMEN

A 25-year-old man with X-linked retinoschisis presented with multiple giant optic nerve head drusen and multiple retinal drusenoid deposits in one eye. There was an area of coarse pigmentation in the lower half of the retina, with convex upper borders extending on either side of the optic disc, suggestive of a spontaneously resolved retinal detachment. The possible aetiopathogenesis of such occurrence is discussed.


Asunto(s)
Drusas del Disco Óptico/patología , Drusas Retinianas/patología , Retinosquisis/patología , Adulto , Fondo de Ojo , Humanos , Masculino , Drusas del Disco Óptico/complicaciones , Drusas del Disco Óptico/diagnóstico por imagen , Drusas Retinianas/complicaciones , Drusas Retinianas/diagnóstico por imagen , Retinosquisis/complicaciones , Retinosquisis/diagnóstico por imagen , Tomografía de Coherencia Óptica
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