Beyond malignancy risk stratification: FNAC report anticipates thyroid cancer staging. Insights from recent studies.

Fine-needle-aspiration-cytology (FNAC) is safe and cost-effective procedure for evaluating thyroid nodules. The non-negligible rate of indeterminate cytology (ITN), warrants diagnostic surgery for histological assessment, in some cases. Two recent studies (from Europe and the U.S.) reported that the clinical behavior of a histologically proven thyroid cancer (TC) varies according to its pre-surgical FNAC results. Despite differences in study design, inclusion criteria, and the use of different cytology classification systems (Italian and Bethesda), the overall results were comparable. In order to further discuss these results and to provide additional perspective on the topic, the senior authors of the two studies invited other thyroid experts and cytologists not involved in the previous studies to participate in the present commentary. The strong, consistent clinical message that emerges, especially regarding PTC, is that TC with an initial diagnosis of ITN has a less aggressive clinical presentation, lower rates of: i) lymph-node metastasis; ii) more aggressive variants; iii) BRAFV600E mutations, as compared with DTC with an initial diagnosis of "suspicious for malignancy" or "malignant". These results were consistent in both studies and strongly point toward a more indolent clinical phenotype of DTC with a preoperative diagnosis of ITN as opposed to suspicious for malignancy or malignant. Further understanding the clinical implications of these data appears of clinical relevance and will be discussed from both the endocrinologist and cytologist point of view. The here overviewed data provide the foundation for beginning to examine the impact of less aggressive therapies for TC with an initial ITN diagnosis.

Defining the Functional Sensitivity for the Siemens Atellica Calcitonin Assay: Insight From a Single-Center Study.

BACKGROUND: Detectable, and especially rising postthyroidectomy serum calcitonin and carcinoembryonic antigen levels, as per American Thyroid Association guidelines, indicate potential disease presence, requiring frequent calcitonin measurement or imaging for early detection of persistent or recurrent medullary thyroid carcinoma. Thus, defining the clinical cutoff value of detection of calcitonin assays relative to imaging and clinical status is crucial for patient care. This study aimed to evaluate postoperative calcitonin levels using the new Siemens Atellica assay system to determine the most appropriate levels for clinical decision-making. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using Siemens Atellica for calcitonin testing on 56 samples from 40 patients between September 27, 2022 and August 11, 2023. Only calcitonin results performed at least 3 months post-total thyroidectomy were included. Imaging studies, within 6 months of the calcitonin report, were assessed. Carcinoembryonic antigen results were also reviewed. RESULTS: Precision analysis at 2.94 and 5.24 pg/mL revealed coefficients of variation at 16.49% and 8.87%, respectively. For the evidence of post-total thyroidectomy persistent or recurrent medullary thyroid carcinoma confirmed by imaging, using a 1.89 pg/mL cutoff for calcitonin yielded 43% sensitivity and 67% specificity. Using a 5.00 pg/mL cutoff resulted in 0% sensitivity and 100% specificity. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate the potential suitability of a 5 pg/mL calcitonin cutoff on the Siemens Atellica platform for evaluating tumor persistence or recurrence in post-thyroidectomy patients in our institution. However, individual laboratories should establish their own clinical cutoff value when evaluating calcitonin levels for monitoring tumor recurrence post-thyroidectomy.

Ultrasound Features and Performance of Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier in Cytologically Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

Background: Cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) pose a management challenge. Here we analyze if adding ultrasound characteristics to Afirma Genome Sequence Classifier (GSC) results increases GSC diagnostic performance. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 237 GSC-tested Bethesda III/IV ITNs between July 2017 and December 2019 and classified them by American Thyroid Association (ATA) and the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TIRADS) of the American College of Radiology. Results: The benign call rate was higher in Bethesda III ITNs with TIRADS <5 vs TIRADS 5 (89% vs 68%. P = .015). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of GSC in ATA high-risk Bethesda III ITNs vs lower were 100% vs 80% (P = 1), 89.5% vs 91.5% (P = .67), 66.7% vs 25% (P = .13), and 100% vs 99.2% (P = 1), respectively, and for TIRADS 5 vs <5 were 100% vs 80% (P = 1), 88.2% vs 91.4% (P = .65), 71.4% vs 23.5% (P = .06), and 100% vs 99.3% (P = 1). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of GSC in high-risk ATA Bethesda IV ITNs vs lower were 66.7% vs 100% (P = .42), 83.3% vs 85.7% (P = 1), 66.7% vs 64.3% (P = 1), and 83.3% vs 100% (P = .3), respectively, and for TIRADS 5 vs <5 were 66.7% vs 90% (P = .42), 88.9% vs 83.8% (P = 1), 66.7% vs 60% (P = 1), and 88.9% vs 96.9% (P = .39). Conclusion: Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV of GSC were not significantly different in ATA high-risk and TIRADS 5 ITNs compared to ATA < high-risk and TIRADS 1-4 ITNs.

Indolent Behavior of Malignant Bethesda III Nodules Compared to Bethesda V/VI Nodules.

BACKGROUND: The Bethesda system classifies all fine-needle aspiration specimens into 1 of 6 categories. We speculated that cancers within each Bethesda category would have distinct clinical behavior. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of patients from a single academic medical center with a histologic diagnosis of thyroid cancer who had an initial diagnosis of Bethesda III, IV, V, or VI cytology. RESULTS: A total of 556 cases were included, with 87 cases of Bethesda III, 109 cases of IV, 120 cases of V, and 240 cases of VI. Bethesda III showed similarities with V/VI compared to IV with a predominance of papillary thyroid cancer. The interval from diagnosis to surgery was longer in Bethesda III compared to Bethesda V/VI (median 78 vs 41 days, P < .001) (Fig. 1). Yet, patients with Bethesda III had a higher probability of achieving remission (62% vs 46%, P < .03), a lower possibility of recurrence (8% vs 24%, P < .001), and a shorter interval to achieve remission (median 1218 vs 1682 days, P = .02) compared to Bethesda V/VI, which did not change after adjusting for age, sex, radioactive iodine therapy, mode of surgery, and tumor size. More than 70% of Bethesda III that later presented with recurrence had T3/T4 disease or distant metastasis. CONCLUSION: Cancers with Bethesda III cytology had a less aggressive clinical phenotype with better prognosis compared to V/VI despite histological similarities. The time to remission was shorter in Bethesda III despite a longer interval between diagnosis and surgery. The initial cytological diagnosis may guide management.

Effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on surgery for indeterminate thyroid nodules (THYCOVID): a retrospective, international, multicentre, cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Since its outbreak in early 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has diverted resources from non-urgent and elective procedures, leading to diagnosis and treatment delays, with an increased number of neoplasms at advanced stages worldwide. The aims of this study were to quantify the reduction in surgical activity for indeterminate thyroid nodules during the COVID-19 pandemic; and to evaluate whether delays in surgery led to an increased occurrence of aggressive tumours. METHODS: In this retrospective, international, cross-sectional study, centres were invited to participate in June 22, 2022; each centre joining the study was asked to provide data from medical records on all surgical thyroidectomies consecutively performed from Jan 1, 2019, to Dec 31, 2021. Patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules were divided into three groups according to when they underwent surgery: from Jan 1, 2019, to Feb 29, 2020 (global prepandemic phase), from March 1, 2020, to May 31, 2021 (pandemic escalation phase), and from June 1 to Dec 31, 2021 (pandemic decrease phase). The main outcomes were, for each phase, the number of surgeries for indeterminate thyroid nodules, and in patients with a postoperative diagnosis of thyroid cancers, the occurrence of tumours larger than 10 mm, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastases, vascular invasion, distant metastases, and tumours at high risk of structural disease recurrence. Univariate analysis was used to compare the probability of aggressive thyroid features between the first and third study phases. The study was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05178186. FINDINGS: Data from 157 centres (n=49 countries) on 87 467 patients who underwent surgery for benign and malignant thyroid disease were collected, of whom 22 974 patients (18 052 [78·6%] female patients and 4922 [21·4%] male patients) received surgery for indeterminate thyroid nodules. We observed a significant reduction in surgery for indeterminate thyroid nodules during the pandemic escalation phase (median monthly surgeries per centre, 1·4 [IQR 0·6-3·4]) compared with the prepandemic phase (2·0 [0·9-3·7]; p<0·0001) and pandemic decrease phase (2·3 [1·0-5·0]; p<0·0001). Compared with the prepandemic phase, in the pandemic decrease phase we observed an increased occurrence of thyroid tumours larger than 10 mm (2554 [69·0%] of 3704 vs 1515 [71·5%] of 2119; OR 1·1 [95% CI 1·0-1·3]; p=0·042), lymph node metastases (343 [9·3%] vs 264 [12·5%]; OR 1·4 [1·2-1·7]; p=0·0001), and tumours at high risk of structural disease recurrence (203 [5·7%] of 3584 vs 155 [7·7%] of 2006; OR 1·4 [1·1-1·7]; p=0·0039). INTERPRETATION: Our study suggests that the reduction in surgical activity for indeterminate thyroid nodules during the COVID-19 pandemic period could have led to an increased occurrence of aggressive thyroid tumours. However, other compelling hypotheses, including increased selection of patients with aggressive malignancies during this period, should be considered. We suggest that surgery for indeterminate thyroid nodules should no longer be postponed even in future instances of pandemic escalation. FUNDING: None.

Features of Cytologically Indeterminate Molecularly Benign Nodules Treated With Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Most cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) with benign molecular testing are not surgically removed. The data on clinical outcomes of these nodules are limited. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed all ITNs where molecular testing was performed either with the Afirma gene expression classifier or Afirma gene sequencing classifier between 2011 and 2018 at a single institution. RESULTS: Thirty-eight out of 289 molecularly benign ITNs were ultimately resected. The most common reason for surgery was compressive symptoms (39%). In multivariable modeling, patients aged <40 years, nodules ≥3 cm, presence of an Afirma suspicious nodule other than the index nodule, and compressive symptoms were associated with higher surgery rates with hazard ratios for surgery of 3.5 (P < 0.001), 3.2 (P < 0.001), 16.8 (P < 0.001), and 7.31 (P < 0.001), respectively. Of resected nodules, 5 were malignant. False-negative rate (FNR) was 1.7%, presuming all unresected nodules were truly benign and 13.2% restricting analysis to resected cases. The FNR was significantly higher in nodules with a high-risk sonographic appearance for cancer (American Thyroid Association high-risk classification and American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems score of 5) compared with nodules with all other sonographic categories (11.8% vs 1.1%; P = 0.03 and 11.1% vs 1.1%; P = 0.02, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Younger age, larger nodule size, presence of an Afirma suspicious nodule other than the index nodule, and compressive symptoms were associated with a higher rate of surgery. The FNR of benign Afirma was significantly higher in nodules with high-risk sonographic features.

Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier Compared with Gene Expression Classifier in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules.

Background: The Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) has been used to further characterize cytologically indeterminate (cyto-I) thyroid nodules into either benign or suspicious categories. However, its relatively low positive predictive value (PPV) limited its use as a classifier for patients with suspicious results. The Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed to improve PPV while maintaining a high negative predictive value (NPV), yet real-world assessment of its performance is lacking. Methods: We analyzed all patients who had cyto-I nodules and molecular testing with either GEC or GSC between 2011 and 2018 at a single academic medical center. Clinical information was obtained for 343 GEC-tested nodules and 164 GSC-tested nodules. Results: The GSC had a statistically significant higher benign call rate (76.2% vs. 48.1%, p < 0.001), PPV (60.0% vs. 33.3%, p = 0.01), and specificity (94.3% vs. 61.4%, p < 0.001) than the GEC. Improvement was statistically significant in both Bethesda III and Bethesda IV nodules. In particular, the benign call rate of GSC was significantly higher in nodules with Hürthle cell changes (88.8% vs. 25.7%, p < 0.01). The rate of surgical intervention in the indeterminate nodule cohort has decreased by 66.4% since switching to the GSC; 52.5% of indeterminate nodules went to surgery while using the GEC compared with 17.6% with the GSC (p < 0.001). This reduction was statistically significant in nodules with Bethesda III diagnoses, demonstrating a 70.9% decrease (GEC 51.3% vs. GSC 14.9%, p < 0.001), and in nodules with Bethesda IV cytology, a 39.2% decrease was noted (GEC 54.8% vs. GSC 33.3%, p = 0.003). Conclusions: Data from a single academic tertiary center show an improved specificity and PPV while maintaining high sensitivity and NPV for GSC compared with GEC. A statistically significant increase in benign call rates was observed in GSC compared with GEC, likely indicating fewer false positive results. After implementation of GSC, surgical interventions have been reduced by 68%.