Air Pollution Exposure and Interstitial Lung Features in SPIROMICS Participants with COPD.

RATIONALE: It is unknown whether air pollution is associated with radiographic features of interstitial lung disease in individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). OBJECTIVES: To determine whether air pollution increases prevalence of interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) or percent high-attenuation area (HAA) on computed tomography (CT) in individuals with a heavy smoking history and COPD. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study of SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study), focused on current or former smokers with COPD. 10-year exposure to particulate matter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen oxides (NOx), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) prior to enrollment CTs (completed between 2010-2015) were estimated with validated spatiotemporal models at residential addresses. We applied adjusted multivariable modified Poisson regression and linear regression to investigate associations between pollution exposure and relative risk of ILA or increased percent HAA (between -600 and -250 Hounsfield units) respectively. We assessed for effect modification by MUC5B-promoter polymorphism (GT/TT vs GG at rs3705950), smoking status, sex, and percent emphysema. RESULTS: Among 1272 participants with COPD assessed for HAA, 424 were current smokers, 249 were carriers of the variant MUC5B allele (GT/TT). 519 participants were assessed for ILA. We found no association between pollution exposure and ILA or HAA. Associations between pollutant exposures and risk of ILA were modified by the presence of MUC5B polymorphism (p-value interaction term for NOx = 0.04 and PM2.5 = 0.05) and smoking status (p-value interaction term for NOx = 0.05, NO2 = 0.01, and O3 = 0.05). With higher exposure to NOx and PM2.5, MUC5B variant carriers had increased risk of ILA (Relative Risk [RR] per 26ppb NOx 2.41; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.97 to 6.0) and RR per 4 µg·m-3 PM2.5 1.43; 95% CI 0.93 to 2.2). With higher exposure to NO2, former smokers had increased risk of ILA (RR per 10ppb 1.64; 95% CI 1.0 to 2.7). CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to ambient air pollution was not associated with interstitial features on CT in this population of heavy smokers with COPD. MUC5B modified the association between pollution and ILA, suggesting that gene-environment interactions may influence prevalence of interstitial lung features in COPD.

Nephrology Provider Surprise Question Response and Hospitalizations in Older Adults with Advanced CKD.

BACKGROUND: Older adults with advanced non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD) face a high risk of hospitalization and related adverse events. METHODS: This prospective cohort study followed nephrology clinic patients ≥60 years old with NDD-CKD stages 4-5. After an eligible patient's office visit, study staff asked the patient's provider to rate the patient's risk of death within the next year using the surprise question ("Would you be surprised if this patient died in the next 12 months?") with a 5-point Likert scale response (1, "definitely not surprised" to 5, "very surprised"). We used a statewide database to ascertain hospitalization during follow-up. RESULTS: There were 488 patients (median age 72 years, 51% female, 17% black) with median estimated glomerular filtration rate 22 mL/min/1.73 m2. Over a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the rates of hospitalization per 100 person-years in the respective response groups were 41 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 34-50), "very surprised"; 65 (95% CI: 55-76), "surprised"; 98 (95% CI: 85-113), "neutral"; 125 (95% CI: 107-144), "not surprised"; and 120 (95% CI: 94-151), "definitely not surprised." In a fully adjusted cumulative probability ordinal regression model for proportion of follow-up time spent hospitalized, patients whose providers indicated that they would be "definitely not surprised" if they died spent a greater proportion of follow-up time hospitalized compared with those whose providers indicated that they would be "very surprised" (odds ratio 2.4, 95% CI: 1.0-5.7). There was a similar association for time to first hospitalization. CONCLUSION: Nephrology providers' responses to the surprise question for older patients with advanced NDD-CKD were independently associated with proportion of future time spent hospitalized and time to first hospitalization. Additional studies should examine how to use this information to provide patients with anticipatory guidance on their possible clinical trajectory and to target potentially preventable hospitalizations.

The Surprise Question and Self-Rated Health Are Useful Screens for Frailty and Disability in Older Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease.

Background: Self-rated health (SRH) and the surprise question (SQ) capture perceptions of health and are independent risk factors for poor outcomes. Little is known about their association with physiologic and functional decline. Objective: Determine the association of SRH and SQ with frailty and functional status in older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and their utility as screening tools. Design: Prospective cohort study. Setting/Subjects: Two hundred seventy-two adults, age ≥60 years, with advanced CKD seen in nephrology clinic. Measurements: Patients completed SRH and were evaluated for frailty (Fried criteria and Clinical Frailty Scale [CFS]) and functional status (Katz and Lawton indices of activities of daily living [ADLs] and instrumental ADLs [iADLs]). Providers completed the SQ. Correlations were evaluated using Spearman's rho. Results: Fifteen percent of patients were frail, 8% had ≥1 ADL deficit, and 29% had ≥1 iADL deficit. SRH and SQ were moderately correlated with frailty and iADLs. A SRH of excellent, very good, or good was predictive of nonfrail status (Fried negative predictive value [NPV]: 0.92; CFS NPV: 0.92) and preserved ADL function (NPV for ≥1 deficit: 0.96). A SQ response of 5, 4, or 3 (i.e., surprised) was predictive of nonfrail status and preserved ADL function (CFS NPV: 0.90; ADL ≥1 deficit NPV: 0.95). A SQ response of 1 or 2 had a positive predictive value of 0.64 for ≥1 iADL deficit. Conclusions: Subjective health measures may be useful screening tools for frailty and functional status.