Risk of invasive cervical cancer after three consecutive negative Pap smears.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the factors that influence risk of cervical cancer after three consecutive negative Pap smears. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted using data from the British Columbia Cervical Cancer Screening Program and British Columbia Cancer Registry. Analysis was based on a one percent sample of women aged 20-69 years with Pap smears enriched with all invasive cervical cancer cases diagnosed between 1994-99. Screening intervals, after three negative screens, were created with the following variables: age at beginning of interval, interval length, previous cytologic abnormality and previous cervical procedure. The risk of cervical cancer by histologic type was calculated using survival analysis methods. RESULTS: The sample consisted of 10,509 women, who contributed 28,309 intervals, and 371 cervical cancer cases. The incidence rate of invasive squamous cervical cancer increased with time since last screen up to six years. Women with a history of dysplasia remained at elevated risk for squamous cancer, hazard ratio=2.6 (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.9, 3.4) but age or previous procedure were not related to risk. No relationship between time since last screen and non-squamous cancer risk was found although history of a previous procedure was significant. The marginal effectiveness of Pap smears declined with increasing frequency of use. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed the preventive effect of Pap smear screening and its dependency on frequency of use. Women with a history of dysplasia, prior to three consecutive negatives, were at increased risk of developing invasive squamous cervical cancer compared with women with no such history.

History and international developments in cancer staging.

OBJECTIVE: To inform the reader of the objectives of staging classification, and review history of the development of modern staging classifications in cancer. DESIGN: Review of the literature documenting the development of modern cancer staging systems with the emphasis on the history of the development of the TNM classification by the UICC and the history of the Canadian Committee on Cancer Staging. The underlying principles of the TNM system have been reviewed in the context of modern cancer practice. CONCLUSION: In the era of the multidisciplinary approach to cancer management, staging allows precision in documenting disease extent, thereby enhancing the quality of patient care. The recording of cancer stage at diagnosis is necessary to optimise patient care and provides a valuable means for recording patterns of disease presentation and monitoring advances in diagnosis and therapy. The objectives of staging described in the TNM staging system are as valid today as when implemented almost 50 years ago.

Comparison of risk factors for cervical cancer in different populations.

The incidence of cervical cancer has been found to vary between populations. Risk factors of cervical cancer include early age at first marriage, multiple marriages and antibodies to herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2). The interrelatedness of these risk factors was examined by comparing data collected from 428 cancer cases and 947 control women selected from 6 populations having standardized cervical cancer incidence rates varying from 9.3 to 85.1 per 100,000. Logistic regression analysis revealed that multiple marriages, early age at first marriage or pregnancy and HSV-2 antibodies were all associated with significant risk when all 3 factors were entered into the model. Cervical cancer incidence rates were best predicted by the occurrence of HSV-2 antibodies among control women. To further assess the relation between cervical cancer rates and HSV-2 antibody, 2,306 additional sera representing an 0.8% random sample of females over 9 years of age residing in the Republic of Panama were assayed for antibodies to the virus, and the occurrence of antibodies was correlated with invasive cervical cancer rates specific to each Province. Data from both the random sample and the other study populations yielded a linear relation between the occurrence of HSV-2 antibodies and the incidence of cervical cancer. An exception was found for women living in Herrera Province, Republic of Panama, who had a higher cancer rate than predicted by HSV-2 antibody occurrence. The data suggested that infection with HSV-2 is a co-variable of venereal factors, although a role for the virus in the genesis of a certain proportion of cervical cancers is not excluded.