Priority setting and migration health policies for European countries.

The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) agenda has committed to 'ensuring that no one is left behind'. Applying the right to health of non-citizens and international migrants is challenging in today's highly polarized political discourse on migration governance and integration. We explore the role of a priority setting approach to help support better, fairer and more transparent policy making in migration health. A priority setting approach must also incorporate migration health for more efficient and fair allocation of scarce resources. Explicitly recognizing the trade-offs as part of strategic planning, would circumvent ad hoc decision-making during crises, not well-suited for fairness. Discussions surrounding decisions about expanding services to migrants or subgroups of migrants, which services and to whom should be transparent and fair. We conclude that a priority setting approach can help better inform policy making by being more closely aligned with the practical challenges policy makers face towards the progressive realization of migration health.

Fair pathways to net-zero healthcare.

Over the past decade, it has become clear that the health sector is not only at risk from climate change but also a major polluter of greenhouse gases. In November 2021, the World Health Organization and partners launched the COP26 Health Programme for sustainable, climate-resilient and low-carbon health systems, and have since established the Alliance for Transformative Action on Climate and Health to support its implementation. Given the wide variation in health financing, carbon emissions and unmet health needs across the world, fair sharing of the remaining carbon budget and health gains will be critical. In this Perspective, we explore the challenges and opportunities of healthcare decarbonization, outlining the principles of fair pathways to net-zero healthcare that are attentive to health and socioeconomic inequalities within and between countries.

Balancing the health benefits and climate mortality costs of haemodialysis.

Extensive work is underway to quantify the carbon footprint of specific healthcare interventions and identify ways to minimise healthcare-related emissions; however, it remains unclear how to balance the relative benefits from delivering healthcare with the harm from the associated carbon footprint. To estimate emissions-related harms, we used the Mortality Cost of Carbon, a recently developed metric from environmental economics, which presents the impacts of carbon emissions in the form of excess deaths. We convert deaths into years of life lost and compare this with the healthy life years gained, under two temperature scenarios: 'Dynamic Integrated Climate Economy Model with an Endogenous Mortality Response' (DICE-EMR) (2.4°C) and 'DICE-Baseline' (4.1°C). As a case study, we use haemodialysis, a life-prolonging intervention with a large carbon footprint. We estimate that 19-53 and 10-25 healthy life years are gained from haemodialysis per year of life lost from the associated emissions in the DICE-EMR and DICE-Baseline scenarios, respectively, depending on the country and treatment regimen. This brings the distribution of harms, benefits and tradeoffs inherent to the decarbonisation of healthcare into sharper focus. More fully accounting for the harm imposed by carbon emissions could result in better value investments to lower the carbon footprint of interventions and support the implementation of the net-zero healthcare agenda.

The global temperature-related mortality impact of earlier decarbonization for the Australian health sector and economy: A modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Sustained elevated concentration of GHGs is predicted to increase global mortality. With the Australian health sector responsible for 7% of the nation's GHG emissions, the benefits and costs of various decarbonisation trajectories are currently being investigated. To assist with this effort, we model the impact earlier decarbonisation has on temperature-related mortality. DESIGN: We used DICE-EMR, an Integrated Assessment Model with an endogenous mortality response, to simulate Australian GHG trajectories and estimate the temperature-related mortality impact of early decarbonisation. We modelled a linear decline of the Australian health sector's and economy's GHG annual emissions to net-zero targets of 2040 and 2050. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Deaths averted and monetary-equivalent welfare gain. RESULTS: Decarbonisation of the Australian health sector by 2050 and 2040 is projected to avert an estimated 69,000 and 77,000 global temperature-related deaths respectively in a Baseline global emissions scenario. Australian economy decarbonisation by 2050 and 2040 is projected to avert an estimated 988,000 and 1,101,000 global deaths respectively. Assuming a low discount rate and high global emissions trajectory, we estimate a monetary equivalent welfare gain of $151 billion if the Australian health sector decarbonises by 2040, only accounting for the benefits in reducing temperature-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Earlier decarbonisation has a significant impact on temperature-related mortality. Many uncertainties exist and health impacts other than temperature-related mortality are not captured by this analysis. Nevertheless, such models can help communicate the health risk of climate change and improve climate policy decision making.