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Many automated approaches have been proposed in literature to quantify clinically relevant wound features based on image processing analysis, aiming at removing human subjectivity and accelerate clinical practice. In this work we present a fully automated image processing pipeline leveraging deep learning and a large wound segmentation dataset to perform wound detection and following prediction of the Photographic Wound Assessment Tool (PWAT), automatizing the clinical judgement of the adequate wound healing. Starting from images acquired by smartphone cameras, a series of textural and morphological features are extracted from the wound areas, aiming to mimic the typical clinical considerations for wound assessment. The resulting extracted features can be easily interpreted by the clinician and allow a quantitative estimation of the PWAT scores. The features extracted from the region-of-interests detected by our pre-trained neural network model correctly predict the PWAT scale values with a Spearman's correlation coefficient of 0.85 on a set of unseen images. The obtained results agree with the current state-of-the-art and provide a benchmark for future artificial intelligence applications in this research field.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Benchmarking , Humanos , Procesamiento de Imagen Asistido por Computador , Redes Neurales de la Computación , FotograbarRESUMEN
In this work we propose an index to estimate the gut microbiota biodiversity using a modeling approach with the aim of describing its relationship with health and aging. The gut microbiota, a complex ecosystem that links nutrition and metabolism, has a pervasive effect on all body organs and systems, undergoes profound changes with age and life-style, and substantially contributes to the pathogenesis of age-related diseases. For these reasons, the gut microbiota is a suitable candidate for assessing and quantifying healthy aging, i.e. the capability of individuals to reach an advanced age, avoiding or postponing major age-related diseases. The importance of the gut microbiota in health and aging has been proven to be related not only to its taxonomic composition, but also to its ecological properties, namely its biodiversity. Following an ecological approach, here we intended to characterize the relationship between the gut microbiota biodiversity and healthy aging through the development a parsimonious model of gut microbiota from which biodiversity can be estimated. We analysed publicly available metagenomic data relative to subjects of different ages, countries, nutritional habits and health status and we showed that a hybrid niche-neutral model well describes the observed patterns of bacterial relative abundance. Moreover, starting from such ecological modeling, we derived an estimate of the gut microbiota biodiversity that is consistent with classical indices, while having a higher statistical power. This allowed us to unveil an increase of the gut microbiota biodiversity during aging and to provide a good predictor of health status in old age, dependent on life-style and aging disorders.
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Envejecimiento , Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Modelos Biológicos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Envejecimiento/genética , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Biodiversidad , Niño , Preescolar , Bases de Datos de Ácidos Nucleicos , Femenino , Microbioma Gastrointestinal/genética , Microbioma Gastrointestinal/fisiología , Estado de Salud , Envejecimiento Saludable/genética , Envejecimiento Saludable/fisiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Metagenoma , Persona de Mediana Edad , ARN Ribosómico 16S/genética , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
We perform a statistical study of the distances between successive occurrences of a given dinucleotide in the DNA sequence for a number of organisms of different complexity. Our analysis highlights peculiar features of the CG dinucleotide distribution in mammalian DNA, pointing towards a connection with the role of such dinucleotide in DNA methylation. While the CG distributions of mammals exhibit exponential tails with comparable parameters, the picture for the other organisms studied (e.g. fish, insects, bacteria and viruses) is more heterogeneous, possibly because in these organisms DNA methylation has different functional roles. Our analysis suggests that the distribution of the distances between CG dinucleotides provides useful insights into characterizing and classifying organisms in terms of methylation functionalities.
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Metilación de ADN , Modelos Genéticos , Nucleótidos/genética , Animales , HumanosRESUMEN
Systems Medicine (SM) can be defined as an extension of Systems Biology (SB) to Clinical-Epidemiological disciplines through a shifting paradigm, starting from a cellular, toward a patient centered framework. According to this vision, the three pillars of SM are Biomedical hypotheses, experimental data, mainly achieved by Omics technologies and tailored computational, statistical and modeling tools. The three SM pillars are highly interconnected, and their balancing is crucial. Despite the great technological progresses producing huge amount of data (Big Data) and impressive computational facilities, the Bio-Medical hypotheses are still of primary importance. A paradigmatic example of unifying Bio-Medical theory is the concept of Inflammaging. This complex phenotype is involved in a large number of pathologies and patho-physiological processes such as aging, age-related diseases and cancer, all sharing a common inflammatory pathogenesis. This Biomedical hypothesis can be mapped into an ecological perspective capable to describe by quantitative and predictive models some experimentally observed features, such as microenvironment, niche partitioning and phenotype propagation. In this article we show how this idea can be supported by computational methods useful to successfully integrate, analyze and model large data sets, combining cross-sectional and longitudinal information on clinical, environmental and omics data of healthy subjects and patients to provide new multidimensional biomarkers capable of distinguishing between different pathological conditions, e.g. healthy versus unhealthy state, physiological versus pathological aging.
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Inflamación , Análisis de Sistemas , Biomarcadores , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Neoplasias , Biología de SistemasRESUMEN
We propose a non-equilibrium thermodynamical description in terms of the Chemical Master Equation (CME) to characterize the dynamics of a chemical cycle chain reaction among m different species. These systems can be closed or open for energy and molecules exchange with the environment, which determines how they relax to the stationary state. Closed systems reach an equilibrium state (characterized by the detailed balance condition (D.B.)), while open systems will reach a non-equilibrium steady state (NESS). The principal difference between D.B. and NESS is due to the presence of chemical fluxes. In the D.B. condition the fluxes are absent while for the NESS case, the chemical fluxes are necessary for the state maintaining. All the biological systems are characterized by their "far from equilibrium behavior," hence the NESS is a good candidate for a realistic description of the dynamical and thermodynamical properties of living organisms. In this work we consider a CME written in terms of a discrete Kolmogorov forward equation, which lead us to write explicitly the non-equilibrium chemical fluxes. For systems in NESS, we show that there is a non-conservative "external vector field" whose is linearly proportional to the chemical fluxes. We also demonstrate that the modulation of these external fields does not change their stationary distributions, which ensure us to study the same system and outline the differences in the system's behavior when it switches from the D.B. regime to NESS. We were interested to see how the non-equilibrium fluxes influence the relaxation process during the reaching of the stationary distribution. By performing analytical and numerical analysis, our central result is that the presence of the non-equilibrium chemical fluxes reduces the characteristic relaxation time with respect to the D.B. condition. Within a biochemical and biological perspective, this result can be related to the "plasticity property" of biological systems and to their capabilities to switch from one state to another as is observed during synaptic plasticity, cell fate determination, and differentiation.
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Modelos Químicos , Termodinámica , Entropía , Fosforilación , Proteínas/química , Proteínas/metabolismoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is a common age-related disease, and is a major health concern, particularly in developed countries where the population is aging, including Europe. The multi-scale immune system simulator for the onset of type 2 diabetes (MISSION-T2D) is a European Union-funded project that aims to develop and validate an integrated, multilevel, and patient-specific model, incorporating genetic, metabolic, and nutritional data for the simulation and prediction of metabolic and inflammatory processes in the onset and progression of T2D. The project will ultimately provide a tool for diagnosis and clinical decision making that can estimate the risk of developing T2D and predict its progression in response to possible therapies. Recent data showed that T2D and its complications, specifically in the heart, kidney, retina, and feet, should be considered a systemic disease that is sustained by a pervasive, metabolically-driven state of inflammation. Accordingly, there is an urgent need (1) to understand the complex mechanisms underpinning the onset of this disease, and (2) to identify early patient-specific diagnostic parameters and related inflammatory indicators. OBJECTIVE: We aim to accomplish this mission by setting up a multi-scale model to study the systemic interactions of the biological mechanisms involved in response to a variety of nutritional and metabolic stimuli and stressors. METHODS: Specifically, we will be studying the biological mechanisms of immunological/inflammatory processes, energy intake/expenditure ratio, and cell cycle rate. The overall architecture of the model will exploit an already established immune system simulator as well as several discrete and continuous mathematical methods for modeling of the processes critically involved in the onset and progression of T2D. We aim to validate the predictions of our models using actual biological and clinical data. RESULTS: This study was initiated in March 2013 and is expected to be completed by February 2016. CONCLUSIONS: MISSION-T2D aims to pave the way for translating validated multilevel immune-metabolic models into the clinical setting of T2D. This approach will eventually generate predictive biomarkers for this disease from the integration of clinical data with metabolic, nutritional, immune/inflammatory, genetic, and gut microbiota profiles. Eventually, it should prove possible to translate these into cost-effective and mobile-based diagnostic tools.
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Many biochemical networks have complex multidimensional dynamics and there is a long history of methods that have been used for dimensionality reduction for such reaction networks. Usually a deterministic mass action approach is used; however, in small volumes, there are significant fluctuations from the mean which the mass action approach cannot capture. In such cases stochastic simulation methods should be used. In this paper, we evaluate the applicability of one such dimensionality reduction method, the quasi-steady state approximation (QSSA) [L. Menten and M. Michaelis, "Die kinetik der invertinwirkung," Biochem. Z 49, 333369 (1913)] for dimensionality reduction in case of stochastic dynamics. First, the applicability of QSSA approach is evaluated for a canonical system of enzyme reactions. Application of QSSA to such a reaction system in a deterministic setting leads to Michaelis-Menten reduced kinetics which can be used to derive the equilibrium concentrations of the reaction species. In the case of stochastic simulations, however, the steady state is characterized by fluctuations around the mean equilibrium concentration. Our analysis shows that a QSSA based approach for dimensionality reduction captures well the mean of the distribution as obtained from a full dimensional simulation but fails to accurately capture the distribution around that mean. Moreover, the QSSA approximation is not unique. We have then extended the analysis to a simple bistable biochemical network model proposed to account for the stability of synaptic efficacies; the substrate of learning and memory [J. E. Lisman, "A mechanism of memory storage insensitive to molecular turnover: A bistable autophosphorylating kinase," Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 82, 3055-3057 (1985)]. Our analysis shows that a QSSA based dimensionality reduction method results in errors as big as two orders of magnitude in predicting the residence times in the two stable states.
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Modelos Biológicos , Procesos Estocásticos , Cinética , Monoéster Fosfórico Hidrolasas/química , Monoéster Fosfórico Hidrolasas/metabolismo , Fosfotransferasas/química , Fosfotransferasas/metabolismoRESUMEN
Dual phospho/dephosphorylation cycles, as well as covalent enzymatic-catalyzed modifications of substrates are widely diffused within cellular systems and are crucial for the control of complex responses such as learning, memory, and cellular fate determination. Despite the large body of deterministic studies and the increasing work aimed at elucidating the effect of noise in such systems, some aspects remain unclear. Here we study the stationary distribution provided by the two-dimensional chemical master equation for a well-known model of a two step phospho/dephosphorylation cycle using the quasi-steady state approximation of enzymatic kinetics. Our aim is to analyze the role of fluctuations and the molecules distribution properties in the transition to a bistable regime. When detailed balance conditions are satisfied it is possible to compute equilibrium distributions in a closed and explicit form. When detailed balance is not satisfied, the stationary non-equilibrium state is strongly influenced by the chemical fluxes. In the last case, we show how the external field derived from the generation and recombination transition rates, can be decomposed by the Helmholtz theorem, into a conservative and a rotational (irreversible) part. Moreover, this decomposition allows to compute the stationary distribution via a perturbative approach. For a finite number of molecules there exists diffusion dynamics in a macroscopic region of the state space where a relevant transition rate between the two critical points is observed. Further, the stationary distribution function can be approximated by the solution of a Fokker-Planck equation. We illustrate the theoretical results using several numerical simulations.
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Biocatálisis , Fosforilación , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Cinética , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos QuímicosRESUMEN
We analyze the effects of noise correlations in the input to, or among, Bienenstock-Cooper-Munro neurons using the Wigner semicircular law to construct random, positive-definite symmetric correlation matrices and compute their eigenvalue distributions. In the finite dimensional case, we compare our analytic results with numerical simulations and show the effects of correlations on the lifetimes of synaptic strengths in various visual environments. These correlations can be due either to correlations in the noise from the input lateral geniculate nucleus neurons, or correlations in the variability of lateral connections in a network of neurons. In particular, we find that for fixed dimensionality, a large noise variance can give rise to long lifetimes of synaptic strengths. This may be of physiological significance.
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Biofisica/métodos , Red Nerviosa , Neuronas/patología , Algoritmos , Animales , Simulación por Computador , Cuerpos Geniculados/patología , Humanos , Modelos Neurológicos , Modelos Estadísticos , Modelos Teóricos , Plasticidad Neuronal , Transmisión Sináptica , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
Recently, the network paradigm, an application of graph theory to biology, has proven to be a powerful approach to gaining insights into biological complexity, and has catalyzed the advancement of systems biology. In this perspective and focusing on the immune system, we propose here a more comprehensive view to go beyond the concept of network. We start from the concept of degeneracy, one of the most prominent characteristic of biological complexity, defined as the ability of structurally different elements to perform the same function, and we show that degeneracy is highly intertwined with another recently-proposed organizational principle, i.e. 'bow tie architecture'. The simultaneous consideration of concepts such as degeneracy, bow tie architecture and network results in a powerful new interpretative tool that takes into account the constructive role of noise (stochastic fluctuations) and is able to grasp the major characteristics of biological complexity, i.e. the capacity to turn an apparently chaotic and highly dynamic set of signals into functional information.
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Sistema Inmunológico/metabolismo , Modelos Inmunológicos , Animales , Humanos , Complejo de la Endopetidasa Proteasomal/metabolismo , Receptores Toll-Like/metabolismoRESUMEN
We show that a 2-step phospho/dephosphorylation cycle for the alpha-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazole proprionic acid receptor (AMPAR), as used in in vivo learning experiments to assess long-term potentiation (LTP) induction and establishment, exhibits bistability for a wide range of parameters, consistent with values derived from biological literature. The AMPAR model we propose, hence, is a candidate for memory storage and switching behavior at a molecular-microscopic level. Furthermore, the stochastic formulation of the deterministic model leads to a mesoscopic interpretation by considering the effect of enzymatic fluctuations on the Michelis-Menten average dynamics. Under suitable hypotheses, this leads to a stochastic dynamical system with multiplicative noise whose probability density evolves according to a Fokker-Planck equation in the Stratonovich sense. In this approach, the probability density associated with each AMPAR phosphorylation state allows one to compute the probability of any concentration value, whereas the Michaelis-Menten equations consider the average concentration dynamics. We show that bistable dynamics are robust for multiplicative stochastic perturbations and that the presence of both noise and bistability simulates LTP and long-term depression (LTD) behavior. Interestingly, the LTP part of this model has been experimentally verified as a result of in vivo, one-trial inhibitory avoidance learning protocol in rats, that produced the same changes in hippocampal AMPARs phosphorylation state as observed with in vitro induction of LTP with high-frequency stimulation (HFS). A consequence of this model is the possibility of characterizing a molecular switch with a defined biochemical set of reactions showing bistability and bidirectionality. Thus, this 3-enzymes-based biophysical model can predict LTP as well as LTD and their transition rates. The theoretical results can be, in principle, validated by in vitro and in vivo experiments, such as fluorescence measurements and electrophysiological recordings at multiple scales, from molecules to neurons. A further consequence is that the bistable regime occurs only within certain parametric windows, which may simulate a "history-dependent threshold". This effect might be related to the Bienenstock-Cooper-Munro theory of synaptic plasticity.
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Hipocampo/fisiología , Potenciación a Largo Plazo/fisiología , Plasticidad Neuronal/fisiología , Algoritmos , Animales , Calcio/metabolismo , Cinética , Depresión Sináptica a Largo Plazo/fisiología , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Neurológicos , Método de Montecarlo , Fosforilación , Probabilidad , Ratas , Receptores AMPA/metabolismoRESUMEN
Gene amplification and copy number changes play a pivotal role in malignant transformation and progression of human tumor cells by mediating the activation of genes and oncogenes, which are involved in many different cellular processes including development of drug resistance. Since doxorubicin (DX) and methotrexate (MTX) are the two most important drugs for high-grade osteosarcoma (OS) treatment, the aim of this study was to identify genes gained or amplified in six DX- and eight MTX-resistant variants of the human OS cell lines U-2OS and Saos-2, and to get insights into the mechanisms underlying the amplification processes. Comparative genomic hybridization techniques identified amplification of MDR1 in all six DX-resistant and of DHFR in three MTX-resistant U-2OS variants. In addition, progressive gain of MLL was detected in the four U-2OS variants with higher resistance levels either to DX or MTX, whereas gain of MYC was found in all Saos-2 MTX-resistant variants and the U-2OS variant with the highest resistance level to DX. Fluorescent in situ hybridization revealed that MDR1 was amplified in U-2OS and Saos-2/DX-resistant variants manifested as homogeneously staining regions and double minutes, respectively. In U-2OS/MTX-resistant variants, DHFR was amplified in homogeneously staining regions, and was coamplified with MLL in relation to the increase of resistance to MTX. Gene amplification was associated with gene overexpression, whereas gene gain resulted in up-regulated gene expression. These results indicate that resistance to DX and MTX in human OS cell lines is a multigenic process involving gene copy number and expression changes.
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Antineoplásicos/farmacología , Resistencia a Antineoplásicos/genética , Amplificación de Genes , Osteosarcoma/genética , Subfamilia B de Transportador de Casetes de Unión a ATP , Miembro 1 de la Subfamilia B de Casetes de Unión a ATP/genética , Miembro 1 de la Subfamilia B de Casetes de Unión a ATP/metabolismo , Línea Celular Tumoral , Hibridación Genómica Comparativa , Doxorrubicina/farmacología , Dosificación de Gen , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica , Genes Relacionados con las Neoplasias , Genes myc , N-Metiltransferasa de Histona-Lisina , Humanos , Hibridación Fluorescente in Situ , Metotrexato/farmacología , Proteína de la Leucemia Mieloide-Linfoide/genética , Análisis de Secuencia por Matrices de Oligonucleótidos , Osteosarcoma/metabolismo , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Tetrahidrofolato Deshidrogenasa/genética , Tetrahidrofolato Deshidrogenasa/metabolismoRESUMEN
A large part of the aging phenotype, including immunosenescence, is explained by an imbalance between inflammatory and anti-inflammatory networks, which results in the low grade chronic pro-inflammatory status we proposed to call inflammaging. Within this perspective, healthy aging and longevity are likely the result not only of a lower propensity to mount inflammatory responses but also of efficient anti-inflammatory networks, which in normal aging fail to fully neutralize the inflammatory processes consequent to the lifelong antigenic burden and exposure to damaging agents. Such a global imbalance can be a major driving force for frailty and common age-related pathologies, and should be addressed and studied within an evolutionary-based systems biology perspective. Evidence in favor of this conceptualization largely derives from studies in humans. We thus propose that inflammaging can be flanked by anti-inflammaging as major determinants not only of immunosenescence but eventually of global aging and longevity.
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Envejecimiento/fisiología , Mediadores de Inflamación/fisiología , Inflamación/fisiopatología , Longevidad/fisiología , HumanosRESUMEN
In many regions of the brain, including the mammalian cortex, the strength of synaptic transmission can be bidirectionally regulated by cortical activity (synaptic plasticity). One line of evidence indicates that long-term synaptic potentiation (LTP) and long-term synaptic depression (LTD), correlate with the phosphorylation/dephosphorylation of sites on the alpha-Amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid (AMPA) receptor subunit protein GluR1. Bidirectional synaptic plasticity can be induced by different frequencies of presynaptic stimulation, but there is considerable evidence indicating that the key variable is calcium influx through postsynaptic N-methyl-d-aspartate (NMDA) receptors. Here, we present a biophysical model of bidirectional synaptic plasticity based on [Ca2+]-dependent phospho/dephosphorylation of the GluR1 subunit of the AMPA receptor. The primary assumption of the model, for which there is wide experimental support, is that the postsynaptic calcium concentration, and consequent activation of calcium-dependent protein kinases and phosphatases, is the trigger for phosphorylation/dephosphorylation at GluR1 and consequent induction of LTP/LTD. We explore several different mathematical approaches, all of them based on mass-action assumptions. First, we use a first order approach, in which transition rates are functions of an activator, in this case calcium. Second, we adopt the Michaelis-Menten approach with different assumptions about the signal transduction cascades, ranging from abstract to more detailed and biologically plausible models. Despite the different assumptions made in each model, in each case, LTD is induced by a moderate increase in postsynaptic calcium and LTP is induced by high Ca2+ concentration.
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Calcio/metabolismo , Modelos Neurológicos , Plasticidad Neuronal/fisiología , Receptores AMPA/metabolismo , Transducción de Señal/fisiología , Animales , Cinética , Potenciación a Largo Plazo/fisiología , Depresión Sináptica a Largo Plazo/fisiología , Mamíferos , Fosfoproteínas Fosfatasas/metabolismo , Fosforilación , Proteínas Quinasas/metabolismoRESUMEN
The influx of calcium ions into the dendritic spines through the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) channels is believed to be the primary trigger for various forms of synaptic plasticity. In this paper, the authors calculate analytically the mean values of the calcium transients elicited by a spiking neuron undergoing a simple model of ionic currents and back-propagating action potentials. The relative variability of these transients, due to the stochastic nature of synaptic transmission, is further considered using a simple Markov model of NMDA receptors. One finds that both the mean value and the variability depend on the timing between presynaptic and postsynaptic action potentials. These results could have implications for the expected form of the synaptic-plasticity curve and can form a basis for a unified theory of spike-time-dependent, and rate-based plasticity.
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Potenciales de Acción/fisiología , Señalización del Calcio/fisiología , Modelos Neurológicos , N-Metilaspartato/fisiología , Plasticidad Neuronal/fisiología , Neuronas/fisiología , Médula Espinal/fisiología , Transmisión Sináptica/fisiología , Calcio/metabolismo , Simulación por Computador , Activación del Canal Iónico/fisiología , Modelos Estadísticos , Procesos EstocásticosRESUMEN
Methotrexate (MTX) is one of the most important drugs for osteosarcoma (OS) treatment. To identify genetic aberrations associated with the development of MTX resistance in OS cells, in addition to the previously reported expression changes of dihydrofolate reductase (DHFR) and reduced folate carrier (RFC) genes, comparative genomic hybridization (CGH)-based techniques were used. The direct comparison between MTX-resistant variants of U-2OS or Saos-2 human OS cell lines with their respective parental cell lines by CGH on chromosomes revealed that development of MTX resistance was associated with gain of the chromosomal regions 5q12-q15 and 11q14-qter in U-2OS variants, and with gain of 8q22-qter in Saos-2 variants. Further analyses by CGH on microarrays demonstrated a progressively increasing gain of mixed lineage leukemia (MLL) gene (11q23) in U-2OS MTX-resistant variants, which was also confirmed by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH), in addition to gain of FGR (1p36), amplification/overexpression of DHFR, and slight decrease of RFC expression. In Saos-2 MTX-resistant variants, gain of MYC (8q24.12-q24.13) was detected, together with a remarkable decrease of RFC expression. Further analyses of DHFR, MLL, MYC, and RFC gene status in four additional human OS cell lines revealed that only gain of DHFR and MLL were associated with an inherent lower sensitivity to MTX. These data demonstrate that genetic analyses with complementary techniques are helpful for the identification of new candidate genes, which might be considered for an early identification of MTX unresponsive tumors.
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Neoplasias Óseas/genética , Resistencia a Antineoplásicos/genética , Metotrexato/farmacología , Osteosarcoma/genética , Tetrahidrofolato Deshidrogenasa/genética , Antineoplásicos/farmacología , Neoplasias Óseas/tratamiento farmacológico , Aberraciones Cromosómicas , Cromosomas Humanos/genética , Humanos , Cariotipificación , Proteínas de Transporte de Membrana/genética , Hibridación de Ácido Nucleico , Análisis de Secuencia por Matrices de Oligonucleótidos , Osteosarcoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Ploidias , Proteína Portadora de Folato Reducido , Células Tumorales CultivadasRESUMEN
Different mechanisms that could form the molecular basis for bi-directional synaptic plasticity have been identified experimentally and corresponding biophysical models can be constructed. However, such models are complex and therefore it is hard to deduce their consequences to compare them to existing abstract models of synaptic plasticity. In this paper we examine two such models: a phenomenological one inspired by the phenomena of AMPA receptor insertion, and a more complex biophysical model based on the phenomena of AMPA receptor phosphorylation. We show that under certain approximations both these models can be mapped on to an equivalent, calcium-dependent, differential equation. Intracellular calcium concentration varies locally in each postsynaptic compartment, thus the plasticity rule we extract is a single-synapse rule. We convert this single synapse plasticity equation to a multi-synapse rule by incorporating a model of the NMDA receptor. Finally we suggest a mathematical embodiment of metaplasticity, which is consistent with observations on NMDA receptor properties and dependence on cellular activity. These results, in combination with some of our previous results, produce converging evidence for the calcium control hypothesis including a dependence of synaptic plasticity on the level of intercellular calcium as well as on the temporal pattern of calcium transients.