Young drivers' early access to their own car and crash risk into early adulthood: Findings from the DRIVE study.

INTRODUCTION: Car ownership at early licensure for young drivers has been identified as a crash risk factor, but for how long this risk persists is unknown. This study examined crash hazard rates between young drivers with their own vehicle and those who shared a family vehicle at early licensure over 13 years. METHODS: The DRIVE study, a 2003/04 survey of 20,806 young novice drivers in New South Wales, Australia was used to link to police crash, hospital and death records up to 2016. The first police-reported crash and crash resulting in hospitalisation/death was modelled via flexible parametric survival analysis by type of vehicle access at baseline (own vs. shared family vehicle). RESULTS: After adjusting for covariates, drivers with their own vehicle at early licensure had an almost 30 % increased hazard rate for any crash after one year (95 % CI:1.16-1.42) compared with those who only had access to a family car and this attenuated but remained significantly higher until year 7 (HR: 1.1, 95 % CI: >1.00-1.20). For crashes resulting in hospitalisation or death, an almost 15-times higher hazard (95 % CI: 1.40-158.17) was observed at the start of follow up, remaining 50 % to year 3 (95 % CI:1.01-2.18). CONCLUSIONS: Parents and young drivers should be aware of the increased risks involved in car ownership at early licensure. Development of poorer driving habits has been associated with less parental monitoring at this time. Graduated Driving Licensing educators, researchers and stakeholders should seek to address this and to identify improved safety management options.

Learning With a Supervisor Who has Traffic Offences and Young Driver Crashes: The DRIVE Study 13-Year Follow-Up.

PURPOSE: Young learner drivers commonly must record substantial supervised practice driving before independent licensure. Supervisory driver requirements can be limited or highly regulated, yet research is lacking on the effectiveness of different approaches. The current objective was to explore whether young drivers who were mostly supervised by someone who they perceived had traffic offences versus no offences had different crash records over a period of 13 years postlicensing. METHODS: DRIVE is an Australian prospective cohort study of more than 20,000 drivers who were aged 17-24 years and newly licensed during 2003-2004. They completed detailed baseline questionnaires, including whether the person they identified as supervising their learner driving the most had perceived traffic offences in the past 12 months. Responses were linked to their state crash, hospitalization, and death records to 2016. A parametric survival model was created to calculate hazard ratios of time to crash for those reporting that their supervisor had 0 versus 1 and 0 versus 2+ perceived offences, adjusting for the participants' prior crash history and other covariates. RESULTS: After adjusting for covariates, 369 participants reporting supervisory drivers with 2+ perceived offences, compared to 15,451 participants reporting no such offences, had up to 1.67 (95% confidence interval 1.10-2.53 at 6 months) times the rate of any crash for the first 2.5 years and up to 2.01 (95% confidence interval 1.26-3.19 at 3.5 years) times the rate of crashes resulting in injury for 5.5 years. DISCUSSION: Although overall supervision by a driver with two or more perceived offences was low, further attention is needed to ensure improved supervised driving experiences, with mentoring programs and professional instructor partnerships worthy of exploration.

Electroencephalography in young onset dementia.

BACKGROUND: Young onset dementia (YOD) is a major diagnostic and management problem. METHODS: We set out to explore if electroencephalography (EEG) might be useful in the diagnosis of young onset Alzheimer's disease (YOAD) and young onset frontotemporal dementia (YOFTD). The ARTEMIS project is a 25-year prospective study of YOD based in Perth, Western Australia. 231 participants were included: YOAD: n = 103, YOFTD: n = 28, controls: n = 100. EEGs were performed prospectively, with 30-minute recording time for each subject, without knowledge of diagnosis or other diagnostic data. RESULTS: 80.9% of patients with YOD had abnormal EEGs (P < 0.00001). Slow wave changes were more frequent in YOAD that YOFTD (P < 0.00001), but no difference in the frequency of epileptiform activity (P = 0.32), with 38.8% of YOAD and 28.6% of YOFTD patients having epileptiform activity. Slow wave changes were more generalized in YOAD (P = 0.001). Slow wave changes and epileptiform activity were not sensitive to the diagnosis of YOD, but highly specific (97-99%). The absence of slow wave changes and epileptiform activity had a 100% negative predictive value and likelihood radio 0.14 and 0.62 respectively, meaning that those without slow wave changes or epileptiform activity had low probability of having YOD. No relationship was established between EEG findings and the patient's presenting problem. Eleven patients with YOAD developed seizures during the study, and only one with YOFTD. CONCLUSIONS: The EEG is highly specific for the diagnosis of YOD with the absence of slow wave changes and epileptiform phenomena making the diagnosis unlikely, with 100% negative predictive value and with low probability for the dementia diagnosis.

A global online study of haematopoietic stem cell transplantation in multiple sclerosis and other neurodegenerative disorders.

Background: The objective of this study was to understand the uptake of hemopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in neuroimmunological disorders like multiple sclerosis (MS). Method: An independent University affiliated research organization conducted a global online survey of people having had HSCT, examining demographics, treatment protocol, and effectiveness. Results: Of 271 participants, useful data were available in 223; women aged 35-54 accounted for 73.5%. Most had a household income greater than US$50,000, and the majority of participants were from Australia and the United States. Nearly 94.6% of people suffer from MS. Most had their treatment in Russia (38.7%) and 78.1% had nonmyeloablative transplants. Nearly half of the participants spent between US$50,000 to US$74,999. There were 54.5% of neurologists who did not support their patients having HSCT. Around 85.5% of participants believed HSCT helped them manage their disease from weeks to years after transplantation, and treatment was recommended by 9.5% of participants. The average reduction in Expanded Disability Status Score after transplantation was 1.2 (95% CI: 0.97-1.41; N = 197; p < 0.01; t: 10.7, df: 196). Conclusion: Participants were supportive of HSCT despite the costs and would recommend it to others. The data suggest some benefit in minimizing disability in MS and provides justification for large randomized controlled trials.

Acculturation and risk of traffic crashes in young Asian-born Australian drivers.

The study examines changes over time in crash risk differences between young Australian drivers born in Asia and those born in Australia.Data from the 2003 baseline survey of the DRIVE cohort of 20 806 young drivers aged 17-24 years were linked to police, hospital and death data up until 2016. The association between country of birth and crash was investigated using flexible parametric survival models adjusted for confounders.Six months after baseline, the crash risk in Asian-born drivers was less than half that of their Australian-born counterparts (mean HR, MHR 0.41; 95% CI 0.29 to 0.57), only to increase steadily over time to resemble that of Australian-born drivers 13 years later (MHR 0.94; 95% CI 0.66 to 1.36).This is likely to be associated with acculturation and the adoption by young Asian-born Australian drivers of driving behaviour patterns akin to those born locally. This needs to be considered in future road safety campaigns.

Alzheimer's disease, Huntington's disease and cancer.

Neurodegenerative disorders and cancer are two of the most common groups of conditions in our world. Some studies have proposed that neurodegenerative disorders may be protective of the development of cancer. We tested this hypothesis using two neurodegenerative disorders with different molecular pathophysiology - Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Huntington's disease (HD) - to see if the inverse relationship between cancer and neurodegeneration was generalizable. Five-year cancer incidence was determined in two large datasets: AD using the C-Path Online Date Repository (CODR) database (n = 6383) and HD using the ENROLL-HD database (n = 2608). Cancer incidence was determined in the populations and compared to normal population data for Australia, United Kingdom and the United States of America. Age-sex standardized rates of cancer were determined and expressed as 95% confidence intervals. We describe an age-sex standardized cancer rate of 1179.6/per 100,000 population to 1253.7/per 100,000 population in normal populations. The rate in AD was 815.2/per 100,000 population (95% CI 813.32-817.5/per 100,000 population) and for HD 1296.6/per 100,000 population (95% CI 1288-1308.2/per 100,000 population). We conclude that patients with AD have a reduced age-sex standardized rate of developing cancer not shared with HD, a finding that hints at different molecular mechanisms.

A comparison of the Cox model to the Fine-Gray model for survival analyses of re-fracture rates.

We compared the Cox model with the Fine-Gray model when assessing the risk of low-trauma re-fractures. The risk of re-fracture was consistently higher when using the Cox model compared with the Fine-Gray model. The Fine-Gray model more accurately assesses the risk of re-fracture when a competing risk is present. PURPOSE: Compared with the Kaplan-Meier and Cox model, the Fine-Gray competing risk model was developed to take competing risks into account, which provides a better estimation for the risk of the main outcome of interest when one or more competing risks are presented. To date, it remains underused. This study aims to use a case study to illustrate why and how the Fine-Gray model should be used and interpreted, especially when a competing risk is present. METHODS: Using a cohort of patients who presented to a NSW hospital with a non-trauma-related fracture between 2013/2014 and 2017/2018, the cumulative incidence and rate of re-fracture were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier and the Cox model, and by the Fine-Gray model when deaths present as competing events. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of re-fracture at day 1825 (5 years) was 20.7% when using the Kaplan-Meier model and was 17.7% when using the Fine-Gray model. The estimations of cumulative incidence or rate of re-fracture were consistently higher by traditional survival analyses (Kaplan-Meier or Cox) compared with the Fine-Gray model. For patients aged 90 years and older, the re-fracture incidence at year 5 was estimated to be 66% vs. 28% whereas patients with a history of osteoporosis were 44% vs. 31%. Similarly, compared with patients without osteoporosis history, the estimated re-fracture rate for those with osteoporosis was 9.2 times higher by the Cox model but only 2.6 times higher by the Fine-Gray model. CONCLUSION: The Fine-Gray model more accurately estimates the cumulative incidence of re-fracture and the effect of covariates on the hazard rate than the Kaplan-Meier and Cox models in the presence of a competing risk. This accuracy improves the larger the rate of a competing event.

Is the weekend effect really ubiquitous? A retrospective clinical cohort analysis of 30-day mortality by day of week and time of day using linked population data from New South Wales, Australia.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the associations between day of week and time of admission and 30-day mortality for six clinical conditions: ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, acute myocardial infarction, pneumonia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and congestive heart failure. DESIGN: Retrospective population-based cohort analyses. Hospitalisation records were linked to emergency department and deaths data. Random-effect logistic regression models were used, adjusting for casemix and taking into account clustering within hospitals. SETTING: All hospitals in New South Wales, Australia, from July 2009 to June 2012. PARTICIPANTS: Patients admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis for one of the six clinical conditions examined. OUTCOME MEASURES: Adjusted ORs for all-cause mortality within 30 days of admission, by day of week and time of day. RESULTS: A total of 148 722 patients were included in the study, with 17 721 deaths within 30 days of admission. Day of week of admission was not associated with significantly higher likelihood of death for five of the six conditions after adjusting for casemix. There was significant variation in mortality for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease by day of week; however, this was not consistent with a strict weekend effect (Thursday: OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.48; Friday: OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.44; Saturday: OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.37; Sunday OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.22; compared with Monday). There was evidence for a night effect for patients admitted for stroke (ischaemic: OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.45; haemorrhagic: OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.78). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality outcomes for these conditions, adjusted for casemix, do not vary in accordance with the weekend effect hypothesis. Our findings support a growing body of evidence that questions the ubiquity of the weekend effect.

The Role of Ethnicity in Alzheimer's Disease: Findings From The C-PATH Online Data Repository.

BACKGROUND: Ethnic minorities seem to be at an increased risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, little is known about ethnic differences and the risks of early onset AD (EOAD). OBJECTIVE: Cognitive function changes over time and odds of EOAD by ethnicity were analyzed by the mixed model and the logistic regression. METHODS: Information on demographics, self-reported co-morbidities, cognitive functions (MMSE and ADAS-COG), and ApoE genotypes were collected for 6,500 subjects with AD obtained from the placebo arm of clinical trials; this data was examined by ethnicities: Caucasian, Asian, African American, Hispanic, and other minorities--including Native Alaskans, Americans, and Hawaiians. RESULTS: Of the total subjects, Caucasians accounted for 89.0% , followed by 4.7% Asians, 2.7% African Americans, 2.4% Hispanics, and 1.2% Native Americans, Alaskans, and Hawaiians. Age, gender, EOAD status, co-morbidities, family history of AD, and ApoE genotypes were significantly different by ethnicity. ApoE ɛ2 allele is possibly overrepresented in the Native Americans, Africans, Hawaiians, and African Americans. A significant interaction with time, ethnicity, and cognitive performance was found, indicating more cognitive deterioration in other minorities than Caucasians for mini-mental state (p <  0.01). After adjusting for co-morbidities and gender, the odds of EOAD among African Americans (OR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.1-2.4) and Native Alaskans, Americans, and Hispanics (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.2-3.5) were significantly higher, compared with Caucasians. CONCLUSIONS: Ethnicity may impact AD through age of onset, co-morbidities, family history, ApoE gene status, and cognitive change over time. The greater odds of EOAD among African Americans, Alaskans, and Hawaiians suggest that some ethnicities may be at risk of AD at a younger age.

High alcohol use a strong and significant risk factor for repetitive self-harm in female and male youth: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Deliberate self-harm (DSH) is reported by between 5 and 17% of youth aged 14-25 years. Current management measures focus on repetition prevention in high-risk groups. OBJECTIVES: To examine risk factors and predictors of DSH and DSH repetition in a community sample, by gender. METHODS: A prospective cohort of 20,822 young adults (aged 17-24 years) was recruited when obtaining their driving license. A random sample of 5000 was approached for follow-up 12-18 months; 2991 (60%) responded and formed the cohort for this analysis. Patterns of self-harm, using a modified Beck Suicide Inventory, were investigated with logistic regression. RESULTS: DSH was reported by 4.1% (123/2991) at baseline. Over the following 12 months, 3.0% (90/2991) reported new instances of DSH which included 20% (25) respondents who had engaged in DSH at baseline. Psychological distress was a risk factor for engaging in DSH in the past 12 months, OR 3.55 (95% CI 2.06-6.14). Although several clinical risk factors differed between genders, high alcohol use, OR 23.6 (95% CI 3.64-153) and psychological distress, OR 4.97 (95% CI 1.08-22.9) were significant risk factors for repeat DSH in both males and females. CONCLUSION: In this community cohort, 1 in 25 youth had self-harmed in the year prior; of these, 4 in 5 did not repeat DSH over the following year. High alcohol use stands out as a strong risk factor for DSH repetition. Assessing alcohol use may help clinicians identify those who are at greatest risk for repetitive self-harm.

Statins and memory loss: An Australian experience.

BACKGROUND: Statins are a first-line drug treatment for hypercholesterolaemia. Recently there has been general public and media interest surrounding uses and side effects of statins, including memory loss. AIMS: We analysed an Australian experience in statin usage in an attempt to improve understanding of the relationship between statins and memory-related adverse events. METHODS: Total adverse events (TAE) and adverse events with single suspected medicines (SSM) for memory loss and other memory-related adverse events were searched for statin compounds from January 1992 to May 2013, using the Medicare Australia and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) websites and Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) adverse events data. TAE and SSM were compared to the number of prescriptions by item number searched using the PBS. The process was repeated for non-statin cholesterol-lowering drugs. RESULTS: The most common adverse event was amnesia (167 events for statins and six for non-statins). There were 239 TAE (incidence rate=0.88) listed for statins and 10 for non-statins (incidence rate=0.53). There were 217 SSM events listed for the statins (incidence rate = 0.08) and eight for the alternatives (incident rate=0.04). The differences between TAE and SSM incidence rates between statins and non-statins drugs were not significant (both p values >0.05). CONCLUSION: We found that there were no differences in memory-related adverse events between statins and other cholesterol-lowering medications using Australian PBS and TGA adverse events data.

Factors influencing the clinical expression of intermediate CAG repeat length mutations of the Huntington's disease gene.

Our aim is to elucidate the clinical variables associated with the development of manifest HD in patients with intermediate CAG repeat lengths. 2,167 participants were seen throughout 44 research sites in the United States, Canada or Australia over a five-year natural history observational study (2006-2011) (Trial # NCT00313495). The Chi-square test and a generalised linear model were used to examine the differences in demographics and cognitive tests among three groups of CAG repeat length. The mixed model was then used to examine the time effect on cognitive assessments by CAG groups. No patient with CAG repeat length 27-35 developed manifest HD, whereas three patients with 36-39 did. Total motor score, maximal chorea score and maximal dystonia score were significantly different at baseline (p < 0.001) for each measure between those patients with a repeat length 27-35 versus those 36-39; as were total functional assessment, independence scale and total functional capacity (p < 0.001). Being aged 65 years or more (OR 5.81, 95 % CI 0.37-90.58, p = 0.02) and smoking (OR 13.99, 95 % CI 2.03-96.44, p = 0.007) were related to manifest HD in patients with CAG 36-39; those with an associated university degree or higher education were less frequently diagnosed as manifest HD (OR 0.10, 95 % CI 0.02-0.54, p = 0.007). Age, smoking and lower education achievement were found to be significantly associated with higher odds of manifest HD in patients with intermediate CAG repeat length mutations.

The patterns of inheritance in early-onset dementia: Alzheimer's disease and frontotemporal dementia.

AIM: To investigate the patterns of inheritance and gene mutation status in early-onset dementia (EOD). METHODS: Data were collected on 202 consecutive patients presenting to an EOD clinic. Early-onset Alzheimer's disease (EOAD, n = 120) and early-onset frontotemporal dementia (EOFTD, n = 82) were studied. RESULTS: The majority of participants, 72.5% with EOAD and 74.4% with EOFTD, did not have a positive family history of dementia. An autosomal dominant pattern of inheritance was observed in 14.2% of patients with EOAD and 13.4% of patients with FTD. Of those with an autosomal dominant pattern of inheritance, 11.8% of EOAD and 45.5% of FTD probands had known pathogenic mutations. Only 1.6% of the total population of EOAD and 7.3% of EOFTD possessed known gene mutations. CONCLUSION: Early-onset dementia does not appear to be a strongly inherited autosomal dominant condition. The majority of patients were sporadic. Known mutations were uncommon and do not explain the total autosomal dominant burden.

Multidisciplinary care: experience of patients with complex needs.

The rapidly increasing prevalence of diabetes with its high morbidity and mortality raises the need for an integrated multidisciplinary service from health care providers across health sectors. The aim of this study was to explore the diabetic patients' experience of multidisciplinary care, in particular their perceptions, perceived barriers and facilitators. Thirteen patients with type-2 diabetes admitted to the emergency department of a local hospital in NSW were interviewed and completed a demographic questionnaire. Results showed that patients found it inconvenient to be referred to many health professionals because of multiple physical and psychosocial barriers. Separate sets of instructions from different health professionals were overwhelming, confusing and conflicting. Lack of a dedicated coordinator of care, follow up and support for self-management from health professionals were factors that contributed to patients' challenges in being actively involved in their care. The presence of multiple co-morbidities made it more difficult for patients to juggle priorities and 'commitments' to many health professionals. In addition, complex socioeconomic and cultural issues, such as financial difficulties, lack of transport and language barriers, intensified the challenge for these patients to navigate the health system independently. Few patients felt that having many health professionals involved in their care improved their diabetes control. Communication among the multidisciplinary care team was fragmented and had a negative effect on the coordination of care. The patients' perspective is important to identify the problems they experience and to formulate strategies for improving multidisciplinary care for patients with diabetes.

Assessing the test-retest repeatability of the Vietnamese version of the National Eye Institute 25-item Visual Function Questionnaire among bilateral cataract patients for a Vietnamese population.

AIM: To determine the test-retest repeatability of the National Eye Institute 25-item Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI VFQ-25) for use with older Vietnamese adults with bilateral cataract. METHODS: The questionnaire was translated into Vietnamese and back-translated into English by two independent translators. Patients with bilateral cataract aged 50 and older completed the questionnaire on two separate occasions, one to two weeks after first administration of the questionnaire. Test-retest repeatability was assessed using the Cronbach's α and intraclass correlation coefficients. RESULTS: The average age of participants was 67 ± 8 years and most participants were female (73%). Internal consistency was acceptable with the α coefficient above 0.7 for all subscales and intraclass correlation coefficients were 0.6 or greater in all subscales. CONCLUSION: The Vietnamese NEI VFQ-25 is reliable for use in studies assessing vision-related quality of life in older adults with bilateral cataract in Vietnam. We propose some modifications to the NEI-VFQ questions to reflect activities of older people in Vietnam.

Differences between early and late onset Alzheimer's disease.

Previous studies comparing early-onset Alzheimer's disease (EOAD) and late-onset AD (LOAD) have been limited by cross-sectional design and a focus on isolated clinical variables. This study aims to explore differentials in clinical features between EOAD and LOAD and to examine longitudinally trends in cognitive function. Data from 3,747 subjects with AD from C-Path Online Data Repository was used to compare demographics, body mass index (BMI), mean arterial pressure (MAP), biochemistry and cognitive assessments, including mini-mental state examination (MMSE) and Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-Cog), between EOAD and LOAD. The baseline differences were examined by binominal proportion test and t-test. The trends of cognitive functions, evaluating by MMSE and ADAS-Cog, were examined by the mixed model, controlling for the effect of repeated measures of the same person. No significant difference was found in BMI and MAP. C-reactive protein, creatinine and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (p<0.05) were significantly higher in LOAD. The APOE ε4 alleles was more likely to be found among LOAD compared to APOE ε2 or APOE ε3. EOAD had significantly lower MMSE at baseline and this difference significantly increased over time. Despite an insignificant differential in ADAS-Cog between EOAD and LOAD at baseline, the differential was enlarged gradually and became more significant with time. Our findings suggest that elevated inflammatory markers, impaired renal function and APOE ε4 alleles are overrepresented in LOAD, possibly indicating that different factors determine the development of EOAD and its more rapid cognitive deterioration.

Health reform: is routinely collected electronic information fit for purpose?

OBJECTIVE: Little has been reported about the completeness and accuracy of data in existing Australian clinical information systems. We examined the accuracy of the diagnoses of some chronic diseases in an ED information system (EDIS), a module of the NSW Health electronic medical record (EMR), and the consistency of the reports generated by the EMR. METHODS: A list of ED attendees and those admitted was generated from the EDIS, using specific (e.g. angina) and possible clinical terms (e.g. chest pain) for the selected chronic diseases. This EDIS list was validated with an audit of discharge summaries, and compared with a list generated, using similar specific and possible Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine-Clinical Terms (SNOMED-CT), from the underlying EMR database. RESULTS: Of the 33,115 ED attendees, 2559 had diabetes mellitus (DM), cardiovascular disease or asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; of these 2559, 876 were admitted. Discharge summaries were missing for 12-15% of patients. Only three-quarters or fewer of the diagnoses were confirmed by the discharge summary audit, best for DM and worst for cardiovascular disease. Proportion of agreement between the lists generated from the EDIS and EMR was best for DM and worst for asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Possible reasons for this discrepancy are technical, such as use of different extraction terms or system inconsistency; or clinical, such as data entry, decision-making, professional behaviour and organizational performance. CONCLUSIONS: Variations in information quality and consistency of the EDIS/EMR raise concerns about the 'fitness for purpose' of the information for care and planning, information sharing, research and quality assurance.

Risky driving behavior and road traffic crashes among young Asian Australian drivers: findings from the DRIVE study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine differences in risky driving behavior and likelihood of traffic crash according to the country of birth of recently licensed young drivers. The groups examined include those born in Australia, those born in Asia, and those born in other countries. DESIGN AND SETTING: The DRIVE study is a prospective cohort study of drivers aged 17-24 years holding their first-year provisional driver license in New South Wales, Australia. Information obtained from 20,822 participants who completed a baseline questionnaire was linked to police-reported traffic crashes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Self-reported risky driving behaviors and police-reported traffic crashes in young drivers. RESULTS: Young drivers who were born in Asian countries were less likely to report engaging in risky driving behaviors than their Australian-born counterparts. The proportion of participants reporting a high level of risky driving was 31.5 percent (95% confidence intervale [CI], 30.8-32.1) among Australian-born drivers compared to 25.6 percent (95% CI, 23.1-28.2) among Asian-born drivers and 30.4 percent (95% CI, 28.4-32.5) among those born in other regions. Asian-born participants had half the risk of a crash as a driver than their Australian-born counterparts (relative risk [RR] 0.55; 95% CI, 0.41-0.75) after adjusting for a number of demographic factors and driving and risk-taking behaviors. The comparative risk was even lower among those aged 17 years (RR 0.29; 95% CI, 0.29-0.75). Risk estimates for people born in other regions did not differ to those for Australian-born respondents. CONCLUSIONS: The study highlights the lower level of risky driving and significantly reduced crash risk for Australian drivers born in Asian countries relative to those born locally. Further research is needed to examine factors underlying this reduced risk and the impact of the length of residence in the host country.

Young driver education programs that build resilience have potential to reduce road crashes.

OBJECTIVE: The research aimed to explore associations between participation in 2 education programs for school-based learner drivers and subsequent road traffic offenses and crashes among a large cohort of newly licensed drivers. METHODS: DRIVE is a prospective cohort study of 20822 first-year drivers aged 17 to 24 in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. Participants completed a detailed questionnaire and consented to data linkage in 2003-2004. Questionnaire items included year of participation in 2 specific education programs: a 1-day workshop-only program focusing on driving risks ("driver-focused") and a whole-of-community program also including a 1-day workshop but also longer term follow-up activities and a broader focus on reducing risk-taking and building resilience ("resilience-focused"). Survey data were subsequently linked to police-reported crash and offense data for 1996-2005. Poisson regression models that adjusted for multiple confounders were created to explore offenses and crashes as a driver (dichotomized as 0 vs >or=1) after program participation. RESULTS: Offenses did not differ between groups; however, whereas the driver-focused program was not associated with reduced crash risk, the resilience-focused program was associated with a 44% reduced relative risk for crash (0.56 [95% confidence interval: 0.34-0.93]). CONCLUSIONS: The large effect size observed and complementary findings from a comparable randomized, controlled trial in the United States suggest programs that focus more generally on reducing risks and building resilience have the potential to reduce crashes. A large, representative, randomized, controlled trial is urgently needed to confirm road safety benefits and ensure evidence-based spending and practitioner recommendations in this field.