Systolic blood pressure time in target range within 24 hours and incident heart failure: insights from the real-world setting.

Systolic blood pressure (SBP) time in target (TTR) over months were associated with lower risk of adverse clinical outcomes in hypertensive patients, whether short-term of 24-h SBP TTR was effective in predicting heart failure (HF) risk in the general population remained unclear. This prospective study aimed to investigate the association of 24-h SBP TTR with HF in the real-world settings. Based on Kailuan study, 24-h SBP target range defined as 110-140 mmHg was calculated with linear interpolation. Among 5152 participants included in the analysis, 186 (3.61%) cases of incident HF occurred during a median follow-up of 6.96 years. Compared with participants with SBP TTR of 0 to <25%, those with TTR of 75% to 100% had 47% lower risk of HF (hazard ratio [HR], 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.89). The restricted spline curve depicted an inverse relationship between SBP TTR and incident HF. Additionally, the addition of SBP TTR, rather than mean SBP and SBP variation, to a conventional risk model had an incremental effect on the predictive value for HF, with integrated discrimination improvement value of 0.31% (P = 0.0003) and category-free net reclassification improvement value of 19.79% (P = 0.0081). Higher SBP TTR was associated with a lower risk of incident HF. Efforts to attain SBP within 110 to 140 mmHg may be an effective strategy to prevent HF.

Chinese visceral adipose index is more closely associated with risk of arterial stiffness than traditional obesity indicators: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) is a new index to evaluate visceral adipose tissue in the Chinese population. Arterial stiffness (AS) is a kind of degeneration of the large arteries, and obesity is an essential contributing factor to AS. Our study aimed to explore the longitudinal association between CVAI and the risk of AS and to compare the predictive power of CVAI, body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (WC) for AS. METHODS: Between 2010 and 2020, a total of 14,877 participants participating in at least two brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurements from the Kailuan study were included. The Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed to evaluate the longitudinal association between CVAI and the risk of AS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to compare the predictive power of CVAI, BMI, and WC for AS. RESULTS: After adjusting for potential confounding factors, CVAI was significantly associated with the risk of AS. Compared with the first CVAI quartile, the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI of the second, third, and fourth quartiles were 1.30 (1.09-1.56), 1.37 (1.15-1.63), and 1.49 (1.24-1.78), respectively. The area under ROC curve of CVAI was 0.661, significantly higher than BMI (AUC: 0.582) and WC (AUC: 0.606). CONCLUSION: CVAI may be a reliable indicator to identify high-risk groups of AS in the Chinese general population, and the predictive power of CVAI for AS was better than BMI and WC.

Statin use and development and progression of non-alcohol fatty liver disease based on ultrasonography: a cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Non-alcohol fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a public health issue, while no drugs have been specifically approved for treatment. This study aimed to examine the association between statin use and NAFLD occurrence, progression, and regression. METHODS: A cohort study was designed based on the Kailuan Study and electronic medical records (EMRs) from the Kailuan General Hospital. Participants aged 18 years with statin indication, including statin and non-statin users, were enrolled in 2010-2017. Propensity score-matched cohorts were also used. RESULTS: In the entire cohort, 21 229 non-NAFLD and 22 419 NAFLD patients (including 12 818 mild NAFLD) were included in the final analysis. After a median follow-up of about four years, the incidence of NAFLD occurrence and progression for statin users were lower than those for non-statin users (occurrence: 84.7 vs. 106.5/1000 person-years; progression: 60.7 vs. 75.5/1000 person-years). Compared with non-statin users, the risk of NAFLD occurrence (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70-0.87) and regression (HR [95%CI], 0.71[0.60-0.84]) was decreased in statin users. The significantly negative association was only observed in those with cumulative statin duration ≥ 2 years (HR [95%CI] for occurrence 0.56 [0.46-0.69] vs. 0.52 [0.30-0.90] for progression) and those with low or moderate ASCVD-risk (HR [95%CI] for occurrence 0.74 [0.66-0.82] vs. 0.68 [0.57-0.80] for progression). No significant correlation was observed between statin use, statin use duration, and NAFLD regression. The PS-matched cohort had similar results. CONCLUSION: Taking statin may decrease the risk of NAFLD occurrence and progression in the population with statin indication, suggesting the potential role of statin in both primary and secondary prevention strategies for NAFLD, especially among those with low or moderate ASCVD risk.

Causal Association of Arterial Stiffness With the Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease.

Background: Previous studies on the direction of the association between arterial stiffness (AS) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) were inconsistent, leaving a knowledge gap in understanding the temporal sequence of the association. Objectives: This study sought to assess the temporal and longitudinal relationship between AS and CKD. Methods: The temporal relationship between AS measured by brachial ankle pulse wave velocity and CKD measured by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was analyzed among 7,753 participants with repeated examinations in the Kailuan study using cross-lagged panel analysis. The longitudinal associations of AS status and vascular aging (VA) phenotype with incident CKD were analyzed among 10,535 participants. Results: The adjusted cross-lagged path coefficient (ß 1 = -0.03; 95% CI: -0.06 to -0.01; P < 0.0001) from baseline brachial ankle pulse wave velocity to follow-up eGFR was significantly greater than the path coefficient (ß 2 = -0.01; 95% CI: -0.02 to 0.01; P = 0.6202) from baseline eGFR to follow-up brachial ankle pulse wave velocity (P < 0.0001 for the difference). During a median follow-up of 8.48 years, 953 cases of incident CKD (9.05%) occurred. After adjustment for confounders, borderline (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.08-1.38) and elevated AS (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.12-1.72) was associated a higher risk of CKD, compared with normal AS. Consistently, supernormal VA (HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.66-0.86) was associated with a decreased and early VA (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.29-1.43) was associated with an increased risk of CKD, compared with normal VA. Conclusions: AS appeared to precede the decrease in eGFR. Additionally, increased AS and early VA were associated with an increased risk of incident CKD.

Perceived Taste and Olfactory Dysfunctions and Subsequent Stroke Risk.

Background: Taste and olfactory dysfunction are commonly associated with neurodegenerative diseases and cardiovascular risk factors, but their specific associations with stroke risk remain uncertain. Objectives: The purpose of this paper was to explore whether perceived taste and olfactory dysfunctions were associated with stroke risk. Methods: Included were 85,656 participants (mean age 51.0 ± 15.3 years) of the Kailuan study. Perceived olfactory and taste dysfunctions were assessed via a questionnaire at baseline (in 2014-2016). Incident stroke cases were confirmed by review of medical records. Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate associations of perceived olfactory and taste dysfunctions with stroke risk, and mediation analysis was used to estimate the mediating effect of chronic disease statuses. Results: We documented 2,198 incident stroke cases during a mean of 5.6 years of follow-up. Perceived taste dysfunction was associated with a doubled risk of developing total stroke (adjusted HR: 2.03; 95% CI: 1.36-3.04; P < 0.001) even with adjustment of lifestyle factors, biomarkers (ie, blood lipids, blood glucose, blood pressure, and uric acid), and other potential confounders. However, perceived olfactory dysfunction (adjusted HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 0.79-1.90; P = 0.34) was not significantly associated with a high risk of total stroke. Similar results of both perceived taste and olfactory dysfunctions were observed for ischemic stroke. Presence of chronic diseases, including hypertension, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and overweight/obesity, mediated 4% to 5% of the association of perceived taste dysfunction with both total stroke and ischemic stroke. Conclusions: In this large cohort study, perceived taste dysfunction was associated with a high risk of developing stroke.

Association of hyperuricemia with risk of cardiovascular disease according to the number of risk factors within target range.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk factor modification may decrease the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether risk factor modification can mitigate the effect of hyperuricemia on CVD is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the risk of CVD among individuals with hyperuricemia, according to risk factors on target, compared with controls without hyperuricemia. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective study included 91,722 participants free of CVD at baseline (2006-2007) of the Kailuan study. Individuals with hyperuricemia were categorized according to the number of seven selected risk factors within the guideline-recommended target range (nonsmoking, physical activity, healthy diet, guideline-recommended levels of body mass index, blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, and total cholesterol). During a median follow-up of 13.00 years, 671 out of 6740 individuals (9.96%) with hyperuricemia and 6301 out of 84,982 control subjects (7.41%) had incident CVD. Compared with control subjects without hyperuricemia, individuals with hyperuricemia who had 4 or 5 to 7 risk factors on target had no significant excess CVD risk, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence internal [CI]) was 0.93 (0.79-1.10) and 0.88 (0.71-1.10), respectively. Among individuals with hyperuricemia, excess CVD risk decreased stepwise for a higher number of risk factors on target, the HR of CVD associated with per additional risk factor within target range was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.77-0.87). Similar results were yielded for CVD subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with hyperuricemia, excess CVD risk decreased stepwise for a higher number of risk factors within target.

Physical Activity Modifies the Risk of Incident Cardiac Conduction Disorders Upon Inflammation: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence suggests a central role for inflammation in cardiac conduction disorder (CCD). It is unknown whether habitual physical activity could modulate the inflammation-associated risks of incident CCD in the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: This population-based cohort was derived from the China Kailuan study, including a total of 97 192 participants without prior CCD. The end points included incident CCD and its subcategories (atrioventricular block and bundle-branch block). Systemic inflammation was indicated by the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR). Over a median 10.91-year follow-up, 3747 cases of CCD occurred, with 1062 cases of atrioventricular block and 2697 cases of bundle-branch block. An overall linear dose-dependent relationship was observed between MLR and each study end point (all P-nonlinearity≥0.05). Both higher MLR and physical inactivity were significantly associated with higher risks of conduction block. The MLR-associated risks of developing study end points were higher in the physically inactive individuals than in those being physically active, with significant interactions between MLR levels and physical activity for developing CCD (P-interaction=0.07) and bundle-branch block (P-interaction<0.05) found. Compared with those in MLR quartile 2 and being physically active, those in the highest MLR quartile and being physically inactive had significantly higher risks for all study end points (1.42 [95% CI, 1.24-1.63], 1.62 [95% CI, 1.25-2.10], and 1.33 [95% CI, 1.13-1.56], respectively, for incident CCD, atrioventricular block, and bundle-branch block). CONCLUSIONS: MLR should be a biomarker for the risk assessment of incident CCD. Adherence to habitual physical activity is favorable for reducing the MLR-associated risks of CCD.

Mediating effect of diabetes on the relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study explored the mediating effect of diabetes on the relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). METHODS: In this prospective community cohort study, 82 975 participants were enrolled, with the primary outcome being the incidence of new-onset ASCVD. Using the Cox proportional hazards model, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for ASCVD occurrence were computed between NAFLD and non-NAFLD groups. The correlation between NAFLD and diabetes was assessed using a binary logistic regression model, and that between NAFLD, diabetes and ASCVD using a mediation model. RESULTS: During follow-up, 9471 ASCVD cases were observed. Compared with individuals without NAFLD, those with NAFLD showed an increased ASCVD risk (HR: 1.424; 95% CI: 1.363-1.488; P < 0.001). Stratifying NAFLD based on metabolic subphenotypes revealed a higher ASCVD risk in the NAFLD combined with diabetes subgroup than in the non-NAFLD subgroup (HR: 1.960; 95% CI: 1.817-2.115; P < 0.001). NAFLD was positively associated with baseline diabetes (odds ratio: 2.983; 95% CI: 2.813-3.163; P < 0.001). Furthermore, NAFLD severity was positively correlated with diabetes risk. Mediation analysis indicated that diabetes partially mediated the effect of NAFLD on ASCVD incidence, accounting for 20.33% of the total effect. CONCLUSION: NAFLD is an independent predictor of increased ASCVD risk, which may be slightly mediated by diabetes in patients with NAFLD. Evaluating NAFLD and diabetes may be crucial in the early screening and prevention of ASCVD.

Association of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Trajectories with Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Populations with Normal or Mildly Impaired Renal Function.

Introduction: The association between the longitudinal patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function is not well characterized. We sought to explore the eGFR trajectories in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function and their association with AF. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 62,407 participants who were free of AF, cardiovascular diseases, and moderate to severe renal insufficiency (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) before 2010. The eGFR trajectories were developed using latent mixture modeling based on examination data in 2006, 2008, and 2010. Incident AF cases were identified in biennial electrocardiogram assessment and a review of medical insurance data and discharge registers. We used Cox regression models to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident AF. Results: According to survey results for the range and changing pattern of eGFR during 2006-2010, four trajectories were identified: high-stable (range, 107.47-110.25 mL/min/1.73 m2; n = 11,719), moderate-increasing (median increase from 83.83 to 100.37 mL/min/1.73 m2; n = 22,634), high-decreasing (median decrease from 101.72 to 89.10 mL/min/1.73 m2; n = 7,943), and low-stable (range, 73.48-76.78 mL/min/1.73 m2; n = 20,111). After an average follow-up of 9.63 years, a total of 485 cases of AF were identified. Compared with the high-stable trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratios of AF were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.09-2.66) for the moderate-increasing trajectory, 1.92 (95% CI, 1.18-3.13) for the high-decreasing trajectory, and 2.28 (95% CI, 1.46-3.56) for the low-stable trajectory. The results remained consistent across a number of sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: The trajectories of eGFR were associated with subsequent AF risk in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function.

The relation between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) within the normal or mildly impaired range and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in former studies is controversial, and data on longitudinal pattern of eGFR in such topic is sparse. In this cohort study, we identified 4 trajectories of eGFR in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function. Relative to populations with high-stable pattern of eGFR, those with low-stable pattern, high-decreasing pattern and moderate-increasing pattern were associated with 128%, 92%, and 70% higher risk of AF, respectively. These findings suggested that monitoring eGFR trajectories is an important approach for AF prediction in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function. Decreasing and consistently low eGFR trajectories within the currently designated normal or mildly impaired range may still significantly increase the risk of AF.

Association between body mass index combined with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and the risk of postmenopausal breast cancer: A prospective cohort study.

The present study aimed to assess the risk of postmenopausal breast cancer in women based on a combination of body mass index (BMI) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels. A total of 20,400 participants were investigated as part of the 'Kailuan Study' clinical trial. Participants were classified into four groups based on BMI (BMI ≥24 or <24 kg/m2) and hs-CRP level (hs-CRP ≥3 or <3 mg/l). Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between the combination of BMI and hs-CRP and the risk of postmenopausal breast cancer. A total of 19,540 participants met the inclusion criteria. The median follow-up time was 14.97 years, with a cumulative follow-up period of 283,599.43 person-years. Among the participants, 269 individuals were diagnosed with postmenopausal breast cancer. Individuals with a high BMI (BMI ≥24 kg/m2) and a high hs-CRP level (hs-CRP ≥3 mg/) had a greater risk of postmenopausal breast cancer compared with individuals with a low BMI (BMI <24 kg/m2) and a low hs-CRP level (<3 mg/l) (hazard ratio, 1.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-2.47). The sensitivity analysis showed findings consistent with the primary results. In conclusion, the combination of high BMI and high hs-CRP level is associated with an increased risk of postmenopausal breast cancer. The present study is part of the Kailuan Study. Trial registration number: ChiCTRTNCR11001489 (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=8050). Date of registration: 19/07/2015.

Hypertriglyceridemia, Hypercholesterolemia, Body Mass Index, and the Risk of Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this work was to check the connection between parameters of lipid profile and body mass index (BMI) in relation to the occurrence of acute pancreatitis within a sample of adults from northern China. METHODOLOGY: A total of 123,214 participants from the Kailuan Group were incorporated into this prospective study. The subjects were categorized into quartiles on the basis of their initial levels of triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). On the basis of BMI classification, the individuals in the study were divided into three distinct groups: normal weight, overweight, and obese. The data were analyzed to explore the correlation between lipid profile and BMI with acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Over a period of 12.59 ± 0.98 years, during the median follow-up duration, a total of 410 new patients with acute pancreatitis were recorded. The occurrence rate and total occurrence of acute pancreatitis demonstrated an upward trend in correlation with elevated levels of TG, TC, and BMI. Following adjustment for multiple variables, it was observed that individuals in the fourth quartile of TG and TC levels demonstrated the highest likelihood of developing acute pancreatitis. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that a proportion of 19.29% of the correlation between BMI and the likelihood of experiencing acute pancreatitis can be attributed to the influence of elevated TG levels, whereas 12.69% of the association was mediated by higher TC. CONCLUSIONS: We found that hypertriglyceridemia, hypercholesterolemia, and obesity were risk factors for acute pancreatitis, especially in young and middle-aged men.TG and TC were the mediating factors between BMI and the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Associations of uric acid with the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality among individuals with chronic kidney disease: the Kailuan Study.

AIMS: The relationship between uric acid (UA) concentrations and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), especially for subtypes of CVD among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is not well understood. This study aimed to investigate whether uric acid concentration was associated with subtypes of CVD and all-cause mortality among individuals with CKD. METHODS: A total of 27,707 individuals with CKD, free of CVD at recruitment from the Kailuan Study, were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 11-12 years, we documented 674 myocardial infarctions, 1197 heart failures, 2406 strokes, and 5676 total deaths. Among participants with CKD, compared with those in the lowest tertile of UA, the HRs (95% CIs) of participants in the highest UA tertile were 1.38 (1.13-1.67) for myocardial infarction, 1.60 (1.38-1.85) for heart failure, 1.01 (0.91-1.12) for stroke, and 1.29 (1.21-1.38) for all-cause mortality. Subgroup analyses showed that the associations between UA and heart failure and all-cause mortality were stronger in individuals with eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73m2 compared to their counterparts (Pinteraction<0.05). Additionally, the association between UA and all-cause mortality was stronger among individuals without diabetes than those with diabetes (Pinteraction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In individuals with CKD, a higher concentration of UA was associated with a higher risk of myocardial infarction, heart failure, and all-cause mortality, following a dose-response relationship. Our data underscore the importance of UA screening among individuals with CKD for CVD and premature death prevention.

This study investigated the relationship between uric acid (UA) concentrations and the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) using the Kailuan Study. A higher concentration of UA was associated with a higher risk of myocardial infarction, heart failure, and all-cause mortality among individuals with CKD, following a dose-response manner.The associations between concentrations of UA and the risk of heart failure and all-cause mortality were more pronounced in individuals with severe kidney impairment (estimated glomerular filtration rate <45 mL/min/1.73m2). Furthermore, the association between UA and all-cause mortality was stronger among individuals without diabetes compared to those with the condition.

Discordance between Remnant Cholesterol and Low-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Predicts Cardiovascular Disease: the Kailuan Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that remnant cholesterol (RC) was associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). The study aim to identify the association of RC and the discordance between RC and lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with CVD. METHODS: Data was obtained from the Kailuan study. RC was calculated as the non high-density lipoprotein cholesterol minus LDL-C. Discordant RC and LDL-C were defined by percentile difference and clinical cutoff points. Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the association of RC and the discordance between RC and LDL-C with CVD. RESULTS: Total of 96,769 participants were inclued, with the median age of 51.61 years, 79.56% of male. There was a significant association between RC levels and the risk of CVD, with an HR of 1.10 (95% CI, 1.08-1.13) in the continuous analysis. The discordantly high RC group had a significant increase in CVD, MI, and stroke risk, with HRs of 1.18 (95%CI, 1.10-1.26), 1.23 (1.06-1.43), and 1.15 (1.07-1.24), respectively. Compared to the group with low LDL-C and low RC, the group with low LDL-C and high RC had significantly higher incidences of CVD (HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.26-1.40]), MI (HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.41-1.80]), and stroke (HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.20-1.35]). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated levels of RC and discordantly high RC with LDL-C both were associated with the risk of CVD, MI, and stroke. These findings demonstrate the clinical significance of identifying residual risk related to RC.

The Combination of Hyperuricemia and Elevated High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein Increased the Risk of Cardiac Conduction Block.

Objective: This study aimed to explore the impact of a combination of hyperuricemia (HUA) and excessive high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels on the likelihood of developing cardiac conduction block (CCB). Additionally, it sought to assess whether the influence of uric acid (UA) on CCB is mediated by hs-CRP. Methods: A prospective study was executed utilizing data from the Kailuan cohort, including 81,896 individuals initially free from CCB. The participants were categorized into four groups depending on the existence of HUA and low-grade inflammation (hs-CRP>3 mg/L). Cox regression analysis was employed to ascertain hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of incident CCB. A mediation analysis was performed to determine if hs-CRP functioned as a mediator in the connection between UA levels and the incidence of CCB. Results: During a median observation period of 11.8 years, we identified 3160 cases of newly occurring CCB. Compared with the low UA/low CRP group, the combination of HUA and low-grade inflammation elevated the CCB risks (HR:1.56, 95% CI:1.22-1.99), atrioventricular block (AVB) (HR:1.88, 95% CI:1.27-2.77), and right bundle branch block (HR:1.47, 95% CI:1.02-2.12), respectively. Mediation analysis revealed that in the HUA group, compared with the non-HUA group, the risk of CCB elevated by 14.0%, with 10.3% of the increase mediated through hs-CRP. Conclusion: HUA combined with elevated hs-CRP increased the risk of CCB, especially AVB. The connection between UA and the CCB risk was partly mediated by hs-CRP.

Dual-trajectory of TyG levels and lifestyle scores and their associations with ischemic stroke in a non-diabetic population: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a surrogate marker of insulin resistance, has been implicated in the risk of ischemic stroke. However, the interplay between TyG levels, lifestyle factors, and their collective impact on stroke risk in non-diabetic populations remains inadequately explored. This study aims to evaluate the association of ischemic stroke with the joint development of the TyG index and lifestyle in the non-diabetic population. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, data was collected across three consecutive biennial surveys of the Kailuan Study from 2006 to 2011. The dual-trajectory model was used to determine the temporal development of TyG levels and lifestyle scores. Statistical analysis involved Cox regression models to evaluate the association between TyG-lifestyle trajectories and ischemic stroke risk, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: A total of 44,403 participants were included, with five distinct TyG levels and lifestyle scores trajectory subtypes identified. In the multivariable-adjusted analyses, significant differences in ischemic stroke risk among the trajectory subtypes. Group 5, characterized by the highest TyG levels and moderate lifestyle scores, exhibited the greatest ischemic stroke risk (HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.51-2.18), while group 4, with moderate TyG levels and higher lifestyle scores, demonstrated the lowest risk (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.37), compared with group 3. Participants with elevated TyG levels were at an increased risk of ischemic stroke in cases of pronounced insulin resistance, even with a healthy lifestyle. CONCLUSIONS: This study reveals the significant associations between the identified TyG and lifestyle trajectories and the stratification of ischemic stroke risk among non-diabetics. The TyG index is a valuable indicator for assessing insulin resistance. However, the potential benefits of lifestyle changes for those with significantly high TyG levels need to be clarified by more research to develop more effective stroke prevention strategies.

An Early Accumulation of Serum Uric Acid Confers More Risk of Heart Failure: A 10-year Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the longitudinal association of serum uric acid (SUA) with the risk of heart failure (HF) was limited and controversial. This study aimed to investigate the associations of cumulative SUA (cumSUA), incorporating its time course of accumulation, with the risk of HF. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled 54,606 participants from the Kailuan study. The magnitude of SUA accumulation was expressed as cumSUA, exposure duration, and cumulative burden from baseline to the third survey, with cumSUA, calculated by multiplying mean values between consecutive examinations by time intervals between visits, as the primary exposure. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.00 years, 1,260 cases of incident HF occurred. A higher risk of HF was observed in participants with the highest versus the lowest quartile of cumSUA (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.29-1.84), 6-years (6 years) versus 0-year exposure duration (aHR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.43-2.45), cumulative burden >0 versus =0 (aHR, 1.55; 95 CI, 1.29-1.86), and those with a negative versus positive SUA slope (aHR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25). When cumSUA was incorporated with its time course, those with cumSUA≥median and a negative SUA slope had the highest risk of HF (aHR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.29-1.86). CONCLUSIONS: Incident HF risk was associated with the magnitude and time course of cumSUA accumulation. Early accumulation resulted in a greater risk of HF than later accumulation, indicating the importance of optimal SUA control earlier in life.

Association of triglyceride-glucose index and its related parameters with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: evidence from a 15-year follow-up of Kailuan cohort.

BACKGROUND: Triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and its related parameters have been introduced as cost-effective surrogate indicators of insulin resistance, while prospective evidence of their effects on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remained scattered and inconsistent. We aimed to evaluate the association of TyG and its related parameters with new-onset ASCVD, and the predictive capacity were further compared. METHOD: A total of 95,342 ASCVD-free participants were enrolled from the Kailuan study. TyG and its related parameters were defined by fasting blood glucose, triglyceride, body mass index (BMI), waist circumstance (WC) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). The primary outcome was incident ASCVD, comprising myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke (IS). Cox proportional hazard models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were adopted to investigate the association between each index and ASCVD. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used for comparison of their predictive value for ASCVD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 15.0 years, 8,031 new cases of ASCVD were identified. The incidence rate of ASCVD increased along with elevated levels of each index, and the relationships were found to be nonlinear in the RCS analyses. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for ASCVD was 1.39 (1.35, 1.43), 1.46 (1.41, 1.50), 1.50 (1.46, 1.55), and 1.52 (1.48, 1.57) per 1 IQR increase of baseline TyG, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR, respectively, and the association were more pronounced for females and younger individuals aged < 60 years (Pfor interaction<0.05). Using the updated mean or time-varying measurements instead of baseline indicators did not significantly alter the primary findings. Additionally, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR showed better performance in predicting risk of ASCVD than TyG, with the IDI (95% CI) of 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and 0.004 (0.001, 0.004) and the category-free NRI (95% CI) of 0.120 (0.025, 0.138) and 0.143 (0.032, 0.166), respectively. Similar findings were observed for MI and IS. CONCLUSIONS: Both the TyG index and its related parameters were significantly and positively associated with ASCVD. TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR had better performance in predicting incident ASCVD than TyG, which might be more suitable indices for risk stratification and enhance the primary prevention of ASCVD.

Associations of serum uric acid variability with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive decline: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between variation in serum uric acid (SUA) levels and brain health is largely unknown. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in SUA levels with neuroimaging metrics and cognitive function. METHODS: This study recruited 1111 participants aged 25-83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study. The SUA concentrations were measured every two years from 2006 to 2018. We measured the intraindividual SUA variability, including the direction and magnitude of change by calculating the slope value. The associations of SUA variability with neuroimaging markers (brain macrostructural volume, microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity, and the presence of cerebral small vessel disease) and cognitive function were examined using generalized linear models. Mediation analyses were performed to assess whether neuroimaging markers mediate the relationship between SUA variation and cognitive function. RESULTS: Compared with the stable group, subjects with increased or decreased SUA levels were all featured by smaller brain white matter volume (beta = - 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] - 0.39 to - 0.11 and beta = - 0.15, 95% CI - 0.29 to - 0.02). Participants with progressively increased SUA exhibited widespread disrupted microstructural integrity, featured by lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = - 0.24, 95% CI - 0.38 to - 0.10), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.28) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.19, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.31). Elevated SUA was also associated with cognitive decline (beta = - 0.18, 95% CI - 0.32 to - 0.04). White matter atrophy and impaired brain microstructural integrity mediated the impact of SUA increase on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS: It is the magnitude of SUA variation rather than the direction that plays a critical negative role in brain health, especially for participants with hyperuricemia. Smaller brain white matter volume and impaired microstructural integrity mediate the relationship between increased SUA level and cognitive function decline. Long-term stability of SUA level is recommended for maintaining brain health and preventing cognitive decline.