Older Veteran Experiences of using Technology during a Multicomponent Telerehabilitation Program: A Convergent Mixed Methods Study.

Less than half of U.S. veterans meet physical activity guidelines. Even though changing physical activity can be challenging, prior studies have demonstrated that it is possible. Older adults are using technology to aid in such behavior change. However, research that explores the mechanisms of how technology can aid in behavior change is lacking, especially among older veterans. Thus, the purpose of this secondary, convergent mixed methods study was to explore how older veterans engaged with technologies that were used during a multicomponent telerehabilitation program. The study included veterans aged ≥60 years with ≥3 chronic medical conditions and physical function limitation. Quantitative data were collected during the primary randomized controlled trial, and qualitative data were collected via individual interviews following completion of the telerehabilitation program. Data were merged and then analyzed by high vs. low technology engagement groups. Key similarities and differences between groups were identified in five domains: satisfaction with the virtual environment, coping self-efficacy, perceptions of Annie (automated text messaging platform), experiences using the activity monitor, and self-management skills. Findings can help inform the successful integration of similar technologies into physical rehabilitation programs. Further study is warranted to understand additional factors and mechanisms that influence technology engagement in telerehabilitation.

Trunk and pelvis movement compensation in people with multiple sclerosis: Relationships to muscle function and gait performance outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Problems with gait are common in people with multiple sclerosis (MS), but little is known about pelvis and trunk kinematics, especially in the frontal plane. RESEARCH QUESTION: Are pelvis and trunk kinematics in people with MS related to muscle function, spatiotemporal parameters, and gait performance? METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 20 people with MS (Expanded Disability Status Scale 1.5-5.5) and 10 people with comparable age and sex (CTL) underwent threedimensional gait analysis, muscle function assessments (hip and trunk strength and endurance), and gait performance measures (Timed 25-Foot Walk - T25FW, 2-Minute Walk Test - 2MWT). Frontal and sagittal plane pelvis and trunk excursion during the stance period of walking were compared between groups; and in the MS group, associations were determined between kinematic variables, muscle function, spatiotemporal parameters, and gait performance. RESULTS: Compared to the CTL group, the MS group had significantly greater sagittal plane trunk and pelvis excursion for both the stronger (p = 0.031) and weaker (p = 0.042) sides; less frontal plane trunk and pelvis excursion for both the stronger (p = 0.008) and weaker (p = 0.024) sides; and more sagittal plane trunk excursion for the stronger side (p = 0.047) during stance phase. There were low-to-moderate correlations in the MS group for sagittal plane pelvis excursion with muscle function (p = 0.019 to 0.030), spatiotemporal parameters (p < 0.001 to 0.005), and gait performance (p = < 0.001 to 0.001). Using linear regression, frontal and sagittal plane pelvis excursion were significant predictors of both T25FW and 2MWT, explaining 34 % and 46 % of the variance of each gait performance measure, respectively. SIGNIFICANCE: Rehabilitation interventions may consider addressing pelvis movement compensations in order to improve spatiotemporal parameters and gait performance in people with MS.

Long-term comparative safety analysis of the risks associated with adding or switching to a sulfonylurea as second-line Type 2 diabetes mellitus treatment in a US veteran population.

AIM: To examine the risks of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events associated with adding vs switching to second-line therapies in a comparative safety study of people with Type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using an as-treated analysis of people served by the Veterans Health Administration who were on metformin and subsequently augmented this treatment or switched to other oral glucose-lowering treatments between 1998 and 2012. This study included 145 250 people with long follow-up. Confounding was addressed through several strategies, involving weighted propensity score models with rich confounder adjustment and strict inclusion criteria, coupled with an incident-user design. RESULTS: Second-line use of sulfonylureas was related to higher mortality (hazard ratio 1.39, 95% CI 1.14, 1.70) and cardiovascular risks (hazard ratio 1.19, 95% CI 1.09, 1.30) compared with thiazolidinedione therapy. Differential hazards were associated with discontinuing or not discontinuing metformin; switching to sulfonylurea therapy was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events compared with all other therapies. Furthermore, add-on sulfonylurea therapy was associated with an elevated risk for both outcomes when compared with thiazolidinedione add-on therapy. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study may inform decisions on whether to augment or discontinue metformin; when considering the long-term risks, switching to a sulfonylurea appears unfavourable compared with other therapies. Instead, adding a thiazolidinedione to existing metformin therapy appears to be superior to adding or switching to a sulfonylurea.

MR relaxometry for the facial ageing assessment: the preliminary study of the age dependency in the MR relaxometry parameters within the facial soft tissue.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the location-specific tissue properties and age-related changes of the facial fat and facial muscles using quantitative MRI (qMRI) analysis of longitudinal magnetization (T1) and transverse magnetization (T2) values. METHODS: 38 subjects (20 males and 18 females, 0.5-87 years old) were imaged with a mixed turbo-spin echo sequence at 1.5 T. T1 and T2 measurements were obtained within regions of interest in six facial fat regions including the buccal fat and subcutaneous cheek fat, four eyelid fat regions (lateral upper, medial upper, lateral lower and medial lower) and five facial muscles including the orbicularis oculi, orbicularis oris, buccinator, zygomaticus major and masseter muscles bilaterally. RESULTS: Within the zygomaticus major muscle, age-associated T1 decreases in females and T1 increases in males were observed in later life with an increase in T2 values with age. The orbicularis oculi muscles showed lower T1 and higher T2 values compared to the masseter, orbicularis oris and buccinator muscles, which demonstrated small age-related changes. The dramatic age-related changes were also observed in the eyelid fat regions, particularly within the lower eyelid fat; negative correlations with age in T1 values (p<0.0001 for age) and prominent positive correlation in T2 values in male subjects (p<0.0001 for male×age). Age-related changes were not observed in T2 values within the subcutaneous cheek fat. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates proof of concept using T1 and T2 values to assess age-related changes of the facial soft tissues, demonstrating tissue-specific qMRI measurements and non-uniform ageing patterns within different regions of facial soft tissues.

Hepatitis C testing practices and prevalence in a high-risk urban ambulatory care setting.

Approximately 3.2 million persons are chronically infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) in the U.S.; most are not aware of their infection. Our objectives were to examine HCV testing practices to determine which patient characteristics are associated with HCV testing and positivity, and to estimate the prevalence of HCV infection in a high-risk urban population. The study subjects were all patients included in the baseline phase of the Hepatitis C Assessment and Testing Project (HepCAT), a serial cross-sectional study of HCV screening strategies. We examined all patients with a clinic visit to Montefiore Medical Center from 1/1/08 to 2/29/08. Demographic information, laboratory data and ICD-9 diagnostic codes from 3/1/97-2/29/08 were extracted from the electronic medical record. Risk factors for HCV were defined based on birth date, ICD-9 codes and laboratory data. The prevalence of HCV infection was estimated assuming that untested subjects would test positive at the same rate as tested subjects, based on risk-factors. Of 9579 subjects examined, 3803 (39.7%) had been tested for HCV and 438 (11.5%) were positive. The overall prevalence of HCV infection was estimated to be 7.7%. Risk factors associated with being tested and anti-HCV positivity included: born in the high-prevalence birth-cohort (1945-64), substance abuse, HIV infection, alcohol abuse, diagnosis of cirrhosis, end-stage renal disease, and alanine transaminase elevation. In a high-risk urban population, a significant proportion of patients were tested for HCV and the prevalence of HCV infection was high. Physicians appear to use a risk-based screening strategy to identify HCV infection.

Epidemiology of and surveillance for postpartum infections.

We screened automated ambulatory medical records, hospital and emergency room claims, and pharmacy records of 2,826 health maintenance organization (HMO) members who gave birth over a 30-month period. Full-text ambulatory records were reviewed for the 30-day postpartum period to confirm infection status for a weighted sample of cases. The overall postpartum infection rate was 6.0%, with rates of 7.4% following cesarean section and 5.5% following vaginal delivery. Rehospitalization; cesarean delivery; antistaphylococcal antibiotics; diagnosis codes for mastitis, endometritis, and wound infection; and ambulatory blood or wound cultures were important predictors of infection. Use of automated information routinely collected by HMOs and insurers allows efficient identification of postpartum infections not detected by conventional surveillance.

Predicting the cumulative risk of false-positive mammograms.

BACKGROUND: The cumulative risk of a false-positive mammogram can be substantial. We studied which variables affect the chance of a false-positive mammogram and estimated cumulative risks over nine sequential mammograms. METHODS: We used medical records of 2227 randomly selected women who were 40-69 years of age on July 1, 1983, and had at least one screening mammogram. We used a Bayesian discrete hazard regression model developed for this study to test the effect of patient and radiologic variables on a first false-positive screening and to calculate cumulative risks of a false-positive mammogram. RESULTS: Of 9747 screening mammograms, 6. 5% were false-positive; 23.8% of women experienced at least one false-positive result. After nine mammograms, the risk of a false-positive mammogram was 43.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 36.6%-53.6%). Risk ratios decreased with increasing age and increased with number of breast biopsies, family history of breast cancer, estrogen use, time between screenings, no comparison with previous mammograms, and the radiologist's tendency to call mammograms abnormal. For a woman with highest-risk variables, the estimated risk for a false-positive mammogram at the first and by the ninth mammogram was 98.1% (95% CI = 69.3%-100%) and 100% (95% CI = 99.9%-100%), respectively. A woman with lowest-risk variables had estimated risks of 0.7% (95% CI = 0.2%-1.9%) and 4.6% (95% CI = 1. 1%-12.5%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The cumulative risk of a false-positive mammogram over time varies substantially, depending on a woman's own risk profile and on several factors related to radiologic screening. By the ninth mammogram, the risk can be as low as 5% for women with low-risk variables and as high as 100% for women with multiple high-risk factors.

Enrollees' perceptions of participating in the education of medical students at an academically affiliated HMO.

PURPOSE: Little is known about how enrollees in health maintenance organizations (HMOs) perceive the benefits and risks of participating in the education of medical students. This case study elicited the views of enrollees of one academically affiliated HMO about the education of medical students. METHOD: Data from focus groups were used to design two questionnaires that were mailed to 488 adult patients and 298 parents or guardians of pediatric patients. A sample of non-respondents was followed up by telephone. Descriptive analyses were performed on the responses to the questionnaires. RESULTS: Response rates were 46% (adult) and 43% (parent or guardian). More than 75% of the respondents thought the HMO should be involved in teaching, most because teaching contributes to the training of better doctors and increases the skills of teacher-clinicians. Of those who responded, 28% of adults were concerned about risks to confidentiality and 18% were concerned about increased costs for enrollees. Nearly 50% of adults would be uncomfortable with students participating in visits involving "internal" examinations or emotional problems. Of those who responded, 56% of adults and 33% of parents or guardians were uncomfortable about a student's conducting an unsupervised history and physical examination. A total of 52% of adults preferred that the preceptor and student discuss their case in their presence. Respondents who had seen students previously were more comfortable with student activities associated with their care. CONCLUSIONS: The respondents thought the HMO should be involved in teaching, but they had specific concerns about the effects of student participation. Educators in other settings may wish to explore these concerns among their patient populations and develop policies to maximize the "enrollee-friendliness" of medical education in HMOs. While the study provides a first look at how enrollees at one HMO viewed participation in medical students' education, further research is needed at HMOs elsewhere to determine the representativeness of the study's findings.

Medical profiling: improving standards and risk adjustments using hierarchical models.

The conclusions from a profile analysis to identify performance extremes can be affected substantially by the standards and statistical methods used and by the adequacy of risk adjustment. Medically meaningful standards are proposed to replace common statistical standards. Hierarchical regression methods can handle several levels of random variation, make risk adjustments for the providers' case-mix differences, and address the proposed standards. These methods determine probabilities needed to make meaningful profiles of medical units based on standards set by all appropriate parties.

The effect of medical student teaching on patient satisfaction in a managed care setting.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the effect on patient satisfaction of medical student participation in care and the presence of medical student teaching. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Eight outpatient internal medicine departments of a university-affiliated HMO in Massachusetts. PATIENTS: Two hundred seven patients seen on teaching days (81 patients who saw a medical student-preceptor dyad and 126 patients who saw the preceptor alone), and 360 patients who saw the preceptor on nonteaching days. Five hundred (88%) of 567 eligible patients responded. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Thirteen closed-response items on a written questionnaire, measuring satisfaction with specific dimensions of care and with care as a whole. Visit satisfaction was similar among patients on teaching and nonteaching days. Ninety-one percent of patients seeing a medical student, 93% of patients seeing the preceptor alone on teaching days, and 93% of patients on nonteaching days were satisfied or very satisfied with their visit; less than 2% of patients in each group were dissatisfied with their visit. Satisfaction on all measured dimensions of care was similar for patients seeing a medical student, patients seeing the preceptor alone on teaching days, and patients seeing the preceptor on nonteaching days. CONCLUSIONS: Medical student participation and the presence of medical student teaching had little effect on patient satisfaction. Concerns about patient satisfaction should not prevent managed care organizations from participating in primary care education.

Fever in pediatric primary care: occurrence, management, and outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology, management, and outcomes of children with fever in pediatric primary care practice. PATIENTS: A cohort of 20 585 children 3 to 36 months of age cared for in 11 pediatric offices of a health maintenance organization between 1991 and 1994. METHODS: Using automated medical records we identified all office visits with temperatures >/=38 degrees C for a random sample of 5000 children, and analyzed diagnoses conferred, laboratory tests performed, and antibiotics prescribed. We also determined the frequency of in-person and telephone follow-up after initial visits for fever. Finally, we reviewed hospital claims data for the entire cohort of 20 585 to identify cases of meningitis, meningococcal sepsis, and death from infection. RESULTS: Among 3819 initial visits of an illness episode, 41% of children had no diagnosed bacterial or specific viral source. Of these, 13% with a temperature of 38 degrees C to 39 degrees C and 36% with a temperature of >/=39 degrees C received laboratory testing. Almost half (43%) received some documented follow-up care in the subsequent 7 days. Among the 26 970 child-years of observation in the entire cohort, 15 children (56 per 100 000 child-years) were treated for bacterial meningitis or meningococcal sepsis. Five had an office visit for fever in the week before hospitalization, but only 1 had documented fever >/=39 degrees C and received neither laboratory testing for occult bacteremia nor treatment with an antibiotic. CONCLUSION: The majority of febrile children in ambulatory settings were diagnosed with a bacterial infection and treated with an antibiotic. Of highly febrile children without a source, 36% received laboratory testing consistent with published expert recommendations, and short-term follow-up was common. Meningitis or death after an office visit for fever without a source was predictably rare. These data suggest that increased testing and/or treatment of febrile children beyond the rates observed here are unlikely to affect population rates of meningitis substantially.

Timeliness and quality of care for elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction under health maintenance organization vs fee-for-service insurance.

BACKGROUND: A commonly voiced concern is that health maintenance organizations (HMOs) may withhold or delay the provision of urgent, essential care, especially for vulnerable patients like the elderly. OBJECTIVE: To compare the quality of emergency care provided in Minnesota to elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) who are covered by HMO vs fee-for-service (FFS) insurance. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of 2304 elderly Medicare patients who were admitted with AMI to 20 urban community hospitals in Minnesota (representing 91% of beds in areas served by HMOs) from October 1992 through July 1993 and from July 1995 through April 1996. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Use of emergency transportation and treatment delay (>6 hours from symptom onset); time to electrocardiogram; use of aspirin, thrombolytics, and beta-blockers among eligible patients; and time from hospital arrival to thrombolytic administration (door-to-needle time). RESULTS: Demographic characteristics, severity of symptoms, and comorbidity characteristics were almost identical among HMO (n = 612) and FFS (n = 1692) patients. A cardiologist was involved as a consultant or the attending physician in the care of 80% of HMO patients and 82% of FFS patients (P = .12). The treatment delay, time to electrocardiogram, use of thrombolytic agents, and door-to-needle times were almost identical. However, 56% of HMO patients and 51% of FFS patients used emergency transportation (P = .02); most of this difference was observed for patients with AMIs that occurred at night (60% vs 52%; P = .02). Health maintenance organization patients were somewhat more likely than FFS patients to receive aspirin therapy (88% vs 83%; P = .03) and beta-blocker therapy (73% vs 62%; P = .04); these differences were partly explained by a significantly larger proportion of younger physicians in HMOs who were more likely to order these drug therapies. All differences were consistent across the 3 largest HMOs (1 staff-group model and 2 network model HMOs). Logistic regression analyses controlling for demographic and clinical variables produced similar results, except that the differences in the use of beta-blockers became insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: No indicators of timeliness and quality of care for elderly patients with AMIs were lower under HMO vs FFS insurance coverage in Minnesota. However, two indicators of quality care were slightly but significantly higher in the HMO setting (use of emergency transportation and aspirin therapy). Further research is needed in other states, in different populations, and for different medical conditions.

Screening for colorectal cancer with flexible sigmoidoscopy by nonphysician endoscopists.

PURPOSE: Screening with sigmoidoscopy reduces the risk of death from colorectal cancer. Only 30% of eligible patients have undergone sigmoidoscopy, in part because of a limited supply of endoscopists. We evaluated the performance and safety of screening sigmoidoscopic examinations by trained nonphysician endoscopists in comparison with board-certified gastroenterologists. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Asymptomatic patients 50 years or older without evidence of fecal occult blood and no personal history or family history of a first-degree relative with colorectal cancer under age 55 years were offered sigmoidoscopy. All examinations were performed either by a gastroenterologist or a trained nonphysician endoscopist at a staff model health maintenance organization. Outcomes included the depth of examination, number and histology of polyps, and complications. RESULTS: Nonphysicians performed 2,323 sigmoidoscopic examinations, and physicians performed 1,378 examinations. The mean (+/-SD) depth of sigmoidoscopy examinations performed by nonphysicians was 52 +/- 10 cm compared with 55 +/- 9 cm (P <0.001) in physicians. Nonphysicians detected neoplastic polyps in a greater proportion of patients (7.8%) than physicians (5.8%), but this difference was not significant after adjusting for differences in the age, sex, and family history of the patients (P = 0.35). No major complications occurred. The cost per examination, including the nonphysician training cost, was lower for nonphysicians ($186 per examination) than for physicians ($283 per examination). CONCLUSIONS: Appropriately trained nonphysicians may be capable of performing safe and effective screening for colorectal cancer with flexible sigmoidoscopy. An increased use of nonphysicians to perform sigmoidoscopy may increase the availability and reduce the cost of the procedure.

The public's willingness to discuss their preference for organ donation with family members.

We sought to assess the public's willingness to discuss their preference for organ donation with family members and to identify factors associated with willingness to discuss donation. We categorized individuals (N = 4365) with a preference for donation according to their willingness to discuss donation and used ordinal logistic regression analysis to identify factors related to their level of willingness. About half of those who want to donate have discussed this with a family member. Others were at various stages with respect to their commitment to discuss donation. Those in the more committed stages were more likely than others to have signed an organ donor card, to have seen information about organ donation, to be male, to be white or Hispanic, to know about donation issues, and to be comfortable with the idea of their own death. The decision to donate is ultimately made by family members of a suitable candidate for donation, yet nearly half of those who wish to donate have not made their wishes known. Interventions targeted to individuals at different stages of commitment are needed so that more family members can respond in accordance with their loved one's wishes.

A method for estimating solid organ donor potential by organ procurement region.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to develop a methodology for estimating potential solid organ donors and measuring donation performance in a geographic region based on readily available data on the hospitals in that region. METHODS: Medical records were reviewed in a stratified random sample of 89 hospitals from 3 regions to attain a baseline of donor potential. Data on a range of hospital characteristics were collected and tested as predictors of donor potential through the use of hierarchical Poisson regression modeling. RESULTS: Five hospital characteristics predicted donor potential: hospital deaths, hospital Medicare case-mix index, total hospital staffed beds, medical school affiliation, and trauma center certification. Regional estimates were attained by aggregating individual hospital estimates. Confidence intervals for these regional estimates indicated that actual donations represented from 28% to 44% of the potential in the regions studied. CONCLUSIONS: This methodology accurately estimates organ donor potential within 3 geographic regions and lays the foundation for evaluating organ donation effectiveness nationwide. Additional research is needed to test the validity of the model in other geographic regions and to further explore organ donor potential in hospitals with fewer than 50 beds.

The influence of propofol and midazolam/halothane anesthesia on hepatic SvO2 and gastric mucosal pH during cardiopulmonary bypass.

OBJECTIVE: Because propofol is known to reduce vascular resistance, the objective of this study was to compare the indices of hepatosplanchnic circulation and oxygenation during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) in patients anesthetized with either propofol or midazolam/halothane. DESIGN: A prospective, randomized, nonblinded study. SETTING: A university hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Twenty patients undergoing cardiac surgery with CPB. INTERVENTIONS: Nine patients were anesthetized with propofol/fentanyl/pancuronium and 11 patients were anesthetized with midazolam/halothane/fentanyl/pancuronium. All patients had a nasogastric tonometer tube and two fiberoptic thermodilution catheters inserted; one in the pulmonary artery and one in the upper right hepatic vein. During bypass, SvO2s were measured from the venous line of the heart-lung machine. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Gastric mucosal pH (pHi) was measured prebypass, 30 minutes after the start of CPB, and just before weaning off CPB. Hepatic SvO2 (HSvO2) values were recorded every 5 minutes. The pH gap was less at 30 minutes of hypothermic CPB in the propofol group. In the midazolam/halothane group, the HSvO2 decreased after the start of rewarming, whereas in the propofol group the values remained almost at the prebypass levels. At the end of rewarming, the HSvO2 was almost identical in the two groups. CONCLUSION: Propofol preserved the HSvO2 during CPB and produced a more optimal relationship between the hepatosplanchnic blood flow and oxygen consumption.

Preoperative renal risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: After cardiac surgery, acute renal failure (ARF) requiring dialysis develops in 1% to 5% of patients and is strongly associated with perioperative morbidity and mortality. Prior studies have attempted to identify predictors of ARF but have had insufficient power to perform multivariable analyses or to develop risk stratification algorithms. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of 43 642 patients who underwent coronary artery bypass or valvular heart surgery in 43 Department of Veterans Affairs medical centers between April 1987 and March 1994. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of ARF requiring dialysis. A risk stratification algorithm derived from recursive partitioning was constructed and was validated on an independent sample of 3795 patients operated on between April and December 1994. The overall risk of ARF requiring dialysis was 1.1%. Thirty-day mortality in patients with ARF was 63.7%, compared with 4.3% in patients without ARF. Ten clinical variables related to baseline cardiovascular disease and renal function were independently associated with the risk of ARF. A risk stratification algorithm partitioned patients into low-risk (0.4%), medium-risk (0.9% to 2.8%), and high-risk (> or = 5.0%) groups on the basis of several of these factors and their interactions. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of ARF after cardiac surgery can be accurately quantified on the basis of readily available preoperative data. These findings may be used by physicians and surgeons to provide patients with improved risk estimates and to target high-risk subgroups for interventions aimed at reducing the risk and ameliorating the consequences of this serious complication.

How low birthweight and gestational age contribute to increased inpatient costs for multiple births.

The dramatic rise in the number of multiple gestation births has led to concerns about heavy resource use by these newborns and the design of cost-effective interventions. This study uses medical records data to compare single and multiple births in terms of hospital charges by cost center, length of stay, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) days, and discharge status. Potential mediators examined were gestational age and birthweight. These factors, respectively, accounted for 50% and 40% of the increase in total charges due to multiple gestation. The remaining "direct effect" was due primarily to longer hospital stays among twins and higher daily charges among higher-order multiples. Room and board charges were higher for multiples, while charges in other categories were actually lower, after controlling for birthweight and gestational age. Birthweight and gestational age accounted fully for the increased use of NICU services among multiples. These results show that while prevention of multiple gestation, where possible, is of paramount importance, strategies that decrease preterm delivery and/or increase birthweight should attenuate the adverse economic impact of multiple gestation pregnancies.

Improving the statistical approach to health care provider profiling.

This paper reviews and compares existing statistical methods for profiling health care providers. It recommends improvements that are based on the use of better statistical models and the adoption of more realistic, medically based criteria for judging the performance of health care providers. Unlike most profiling methods, the proposed hierarchical models allow the probability of acceptable provider performance to be calculated; thus, they can answer such questions as, "What is the probability that a given hospital's true mortality rate for cardiac surgery patients exceeded 3.33% last year?" The commonly encountered problems of regression-to-the-mean bias and small caseloads can be handled by using hierarchical models to extract more information from profiling data.