The Sylvia Lawry Centre for Multiple Sclerosis Research (SLCMSR)--Critical review facing the 20 anniversary.

The SLCMSR was formed as an international Multiple Sclerosis Trials, Research and Resource Center to identify clinical MRI and other predictors of the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) based on a large database of natural history and clinical trial data. Using an elaborate validation concept several key findings were published, challenging established outcome parameters and their assessment in MS such as disability ratings with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), relapses and MRI endpoints. Sustained increase of EDSS appeared to be an invalid outcome for 2-3 year clinical trials at least in patients with relapsing-remitting MS. The number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions and T2-lesion load on MRI were shown not to have a meaningful additional predictive value for the disease course. These issues risen some 15 years ago had triggered controversial discussions which have also been noticed by regulatory authorities and they all have not been resolved. In addition the SLCMSR contributed to the development of new outcomes such as real-world walking speed as an attractive, ecologically valid tool based on a wearable device. A so-called evidence-based-decision-support tool was constructed to provide individual prognostic estimates based on a matching algorithm to a given database. This paper condensates the findings of 20 years of critical MS research.

Use of fermentation processes for improving the dissolution of phosphorus and its recovery from waste activated sludge.

Recycling phosphorus from waste activated sludge has attracted a lot of interest to tackle the problem of phosphorus stocks depletion and the increase in food demand. In this study, the use of fermentation processes was investigated to enhance phosphorus dissolution from waste activated sludge to improve its recycling. Two fermentation processes, bioacidification and dark fermentation, were used on two different sludges fermented with wheat starch syrup in continuous operating conditions. Hydrogen yield from the co-substrate fermentation with waste activated sludge reached 3.9 mmolH2.gCODcosubstrate-1 yield during dark fermentation process and was negligible during bioacidification. Dissolved phosphorus in the waste activated sludge increased by 68% during bioacidification and by 43% during dark fermentation. In both processes, phosphorus dissolution was accompanied by iron, calcium and magnesium dissolution. Results show that fermentation enhances phosphorus dissolution in waste activated sludge to improve its recovery along with hydrogen and organic acids.

Considerations for development of an evidence dossier to support the use of mobile sensor technology for clinical outcome assessments in clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Mobile sensors offer enormous potential for the collection of informative clinical endpoints in clinical trials to support regulatory decision making and product labelling. There are currently no specific guidelines on the information needed to enable regulators to review and accept proposed endpoints derived from mobile sensors for use in drug development trials. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this working group report is to recommend the structure and content of an evidence dossier intended to support whether a clinical endpoint derived from mobile sensor data is fit-for-purpose for use in regulatory submissions for drug approvals. EVIDENCE DOSSIER: The structure and content of a dossier to provide evidence supporting the use of a sensor-derived clinical endpoint is described. Sections include clinical endpoint definition and positioning, the concept of interest, the context of use, clinical validation and interpretation, study implementation, and analytical validity with sensor performance verification in support of the selected sensor. CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of definitive regulatory guidance, this report provides a considered approach to compiling a comprehensive body of evidence to justify acceptance of mobile sensors for support of new drug applications.

Low clinical conversion rate in clinically isolated syndrome patients - diagnostic benefit of McDonald 2010 criteria?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: New diagnostic criteria of multiple sclerosis (MS) increase the number of patients being diagnosed with MS whilst a substantial part might not convert to clinically definite MS (CDMS). The diagnostic accuracy of the McDonald 2005 and 2010 criteria for conversion to CDMS was evaluated in an unselected cohort of patients in whom an MS diagnostic work-up was decided. METHODS: Clinical, magnetic resonance imaging and cerebrospinal fluid data were analysed for all patients who presented with symptoms suspicious for MS at the university based MS outpatient clinic between 2006 and 2010 (n = 165). RESULTS: Follow-up was available for 131 patients. During the mean follow-up period of 2 years, 19% of patients developed CDMS whereas 64% of the patients fulfilling McDonald 2010 criteria did not convert to CDMS. CONCLUSION: The low clinical conversion rate indicates that the new diagnostic criteria may increase the incidence of MS cases with a less active disease course.

The relationship of age with the clinical phenotype in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The multiple sclerosis (MS) clinical course and relapses frequency before progression vary widely. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the influence of age on the MS phenotype. METHODS: Among 751 primary progressive (PP = 217) and secondary progressive (SP = 534) MS patients from the London Ontario database, we assessed the relationship of age on the relapse frequency and on the progressive phase evolution, and the impact of relapses on the age at onset of progression. RESULTS: Age at onset did not influence the early attacks frequency, but patients younger at onset had larger number of total attacks before progression (age = 27.4, 31.0 and 32.8 mean years; ⩾4, 2-3 and 1 relapses, respectively) and longer latency to SP. Although frequent early relapses predicted younger age at SP onset, patients with no attacks (primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS)), or 1, 2-3 and ⩾4 relapses during the relapsing-remitting phase started progressing at similar age (38.6, 41.3, 41.4 and 39.2 mean years, respectively). The age at onset of progressive phase did not affect its evolution. CONCLUSIONS: Age strongly influences the phenotype before progression. Relapsing-remitting patients younger at onset are more likely to display a predominantly inflammatory course, yet relapses number does not affect the age at onset of progression.

Contribution of APOBEC3G/F activity to the development of low-abundance drug-resistant human immunodeficiency virus type 1 variants.

Plasma drug-resistant minority human immunodeficiency virus type 1 variants (DRMVs) increase the risk of virological failure to first-line non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor antiretroviral therapy (ART). The origin of DRMVs in ART-naive patients, however, remains unclear. In a large pan-European case-control study investigating the clinical relevance of pre-existing DRMVs using 454 pyrosequencing, the six most prevalent plasma DRMVs detected corresponded to G-to-A nucleotide mutations (V90I, V106I, V108I, E138K, M184I and M230I). Here, we evaluated if such DRMVs could have emerged from apolipoprotein B mRNA editing enzyme, catalytic polypeptide 3G/F (APOBEC3G/F) activity. Out of 236 ART-naive subjects evaluated, APOBEC3G/F hypermutation signatures were detected in plasma viruses of 14 (5.9%) individuals. Samples with minority E138K, M184I, and M230I mutations, but not those with V90I, V106I or V108I, were significantly associated with APOBEC3G/F activity (Fisher's P < 0.005), defined as the presence of > 0.5% of sample sequences with an APOBEC3G/F signature. Mutations E138K, M184I and M230I co-occurred in the same sequence as APOBEC3G/F signatures in 3/9 (33%), 5/11 (45%) and 4/8 (50%) of samples, respectively; such linkage was not found for V90I, V106I or V108I. In-frame STOP codons were observed in 1.5% of all clonal sequences; 14.8% of them co-occurred with APOBEC3G/F signatures. APOBEC3G/F-associated E138K, M184I and M230I appeared within clonal sequences containing in-frame STOP codons in 2/3 (66%), 5/5 (100%) and 4/4 (100%) of the samples. In a re-analysis of the parent case control study, the presence of APOBEC3G/F signatures was not associated with virological failure. In conclusion, the contribution of APOBEC3G/F editing to the development of DRMVs is very limited and does not affect the efficacy of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor ART.

Ecological validity of walking capacity tests in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Ecological validity implicates in how far clinical assessments refer to real life. Short clinical gait tests up to ten meters and 2- or 6-Minutes Walking Tests (2MWT/6MWT) are used as performance-based outcomes in Multiple Sclerosis (MS) studies and considered as moderately associated with real life mobility. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the ecological validity of 10 Meter Walking Test (10mWT), 2MWT and 6MWT. METHODS: Persons with MS performed 10mWT, 6MWT including 2MWT and 7 recorded days by accelerometry. Ecological validity was assumed if walking tests represented a typical walking sequence in real-life and correlations with accelerometry parameters were strong. RESULTS: In this cohort (n=28, medians: age=45, EDSS=3.2, disease duration=9 years), uninterrupted walking of 2 or 6 minutes occurred not frequent in real life (2.61 and 0.35 sequences/day). 10mWT correlated only with slow walking speed quantiles in real life. 2MWT and 6MWT correlated moderately with most real life walking parameters. CONCLUSION: Clinical gait tests over a few meters have a poor ecological validity while validity is moderate for 2MWT and 6MWT. Mobile accelerometry offers the opportunity to control and improve the ecological validity of MS mobility outcomes.

Full genome ultra-deep pyrosequencing associates G-to-A hypermutation of the hepatitis B virus genome with the natural progression of hepatitis B.

Human APOBEC3 (A3) cytosine deaminases are antiviral restriction factors capable of editing the genome the hepatitis B virus (HBV). Despite the importance of the human A3 protein family for the innate immune response little is known about the clinical relevance for hepatitis B. The aim of this study was to utilize ultra-deep pyrosequencing (UDPS) data to analyse the phenomenon of G-to-A hypermutation of the complete HBV genome and to relate it to fundamental characteristics of patients with chronic hepatitis B. By analysing the viral population of 80 treatment naïve patients (47 HBeAg-positive and 33 HBeAg-negative), we identified an unequal distribution of G-to-A hypermutations across the genome. Our data indicate that G-to-A hypermutation occurs predominantly in a region between nucleotide positions 600 and 1800 a region which is usually single stranded in matured HBV particles. This implies that A3 likely edits HBV in the virion. Hypermutation rates for HBeAg-negative patients were more than 10-fold higher than those of HBeAg-positive patients. For HBeAg-negative patients higher hypermutation rates were significantly associated with the degree of fibrosis. Additionally, we found that for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis G-to-A hypermutation rates were significantly associated with the relative prevalence of the G1764A mutation, which is related to HBeAg seroconversion. In total, our data imply an important association of hypermutation mediated by A3 deaminases with the natural progression of chronic hepatitis B infections both in terms of HBeAg seroconversion and disease progression towards cirrhosis.

Patients at risk for peritoneal surface malignancy of colorectal cancer origin: the role of second look laparotomy.

Peritoneal surface malignancy (PSM) is a frequent occurrence in the natural history of colorectal cancer (CRC). Although significant advances have been made in screening of CRC, similar progress has yet to be made in the early detection of PSM of colorectal cancer origin. The fact that advanced CRC can be confined to the peritoneal surface without distant dissemination forms the basis for aggressive multi-modality therapy consisting of cytoreductive surgery (CRS) plus hyperthermic intra-peritoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC), and neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant systemic therapy. Reported overall survival with complete CRS+HIPEC exceeds that of systemic therapy alone for the treatment of PSM from CRC, underscoring the advantage of this multi-modality therapeutic approach. Patients with limited peritoneal disease from CRC can undergo complete cytoreduction, which is associated with the best reported outcomes. As early or limited peritoneal carcinomatosis is undetectable by conventional imaging modalities, second look laparotomy is an important means to identify disease in high-risk patients at a stage most amenable to complete cytoreduction. This review focuses on the identification of patients at risk for PSM from CRC and discusses the role of second look laparotomy.

A web-based tool for personalized prediction of long-term disease course in patients with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The Evidence-Based Decision Support Tool in Multiple Sclerosis (EBDiMS) is the first web-based prognostic calculator in multiple sclerosis (MS) capable of delivering individualized estimates of disease progression. It has recently been extended to provide long-term predictions based on the data from a large natural history cohort. METHODS: We compared the predictive accuracy and consistency of EBDiMS with that of 17 neurologists highly specialized in MS. RESULTS: We show that whilst the predictive accuracy was similar, neurologists showed a significant intra-rater and inter-rater variability. CONCLUSIONS: Because EBDiMS was consistent, it is of superior utility in a specialist setting. Further field testing of EBDiMS in non-specialist settings, and investigation of its usefulness for counselling patients in treatment decisions, is warranted.