RESUMEN
The white-backed planthopper, Sogatella furcifera (Horváth), is a destructive migratory pest in east and southeast Asia. Huge populations stemming from annual migrations by this insect have caused a series of devastating losses to rice production. There have been numerous early immigrations in five of the past 10 yr but few early immigrations in the others. The annual fluctuation in early immigration is evident, but the mechanism behind these annual fluctuations is unclear. This research aimed to determine the underlying causes for the annual fluctuations in early immigration. We used trajectory analysis to explore the source areas and investigated the meteorological conditions to determine the reason for the annual fluctuations. The results showed that 1) the source areas of S. furcifera are mainly located west of Guangdong and east of Guangxi; 2) the annual fluctuations of the immigrant population size is significantly correlated with the frequency of prevailing winds; and 3) early immigration is influenced by both winter and spring temperatures in the south central Indochina peninsula. These results indicated that an allopatric prediction and sustainable management of rice planthoppers would be difficult to implement within one country. International cooperation and information exchange about this pest between China and other countries in Southeast Asia should be implemented.
