A Machine Learning-Based Web Tool for the Severity Prediction of COVID-19.

Predictive tools provide a unique opportunity to explain the observed differences in outcome between patients of the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this study was to associate individual demographic and clinical characteristics with disease severity in COVID-19 patients and to highlight the importance of machine learning (ML) in disease prognosis. The study enrolled 344 unvaccinated patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Data collected by integrating questionnaires and medical records were imported into various classification machine learning algorithms, and the algorithm and the hyperparameters with the greatest predictive ability were selected for use in a disease outcome prediction web tool. Of 111 independent features, age, sex, hypertension, obesity, and cancer comorbidity were found to be associated with severe COVID-19. Our prognostic tool can contribute to a successful therapeutic approach via personalized treatment. Although at the present time vaccination is not considered mandatory, this algorithm could encourage vulnerable groups to be vaccinated.

Performance of an anaerobic plug-flow reactor treating agro-industrial wastes supplemented with lipids at high organic loading rate.

This study evaluated the performance of a plug-flow reactor (PFR) for high-rate anaerobic co-digestion of complex agro-industrial wastes and used cooking oil or animal fat. The PFR was successfully operated up to an organic loading rate (OLR) of 21 g L-1 d-1, yielding biogas at 0.35 L g-1 chemical oxygen demand (COD) influent. During the study period, supernatant COD at the PFR effluent remained between 4 and 7 g L-1, with negligible volatile fatty acids' concentrations (<500 mg L-1) and no presence of foaming incidents. The biomass concentration inside the PFR, expressed as total suspended solids, remained between 30 and 60 g L-1. Moreover, the above-mentioned anaerobic digestion technology has been currently scaled-up at 50 m3 PFR, while a full-scale facility of 240 kW-el is under construction in the region of north-eastern Greece.

Falls from height due to accident and suicide attempt in Greece. A comparison of the injury patterns.

BACKGROUND: Falls from height are a common cause of death and disability. Falls from height can be divided between accidental and suicide attempts. The aim of this study is to ascertain the demographic characteristics of these patients, and to identify the fracture patterns. METHODS: In this retrospective cross sectional comparative study we present 244 patients who sustained injuries as a result of a fall from height. They were divided into those with accidental falls (n = 180, group I) and those with suicide attempts (n = 64, group II). Data collected included age, gender, associated trauma, injury severity score (ISS), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), haemodynamic status, length of intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital stay. The diagnosis of mental disorder was ascertained by psychiatric specialists using the criteria of the International Classification of Disease Ninth Version Clinical Modification (ICD - 9CM). Postoperative follow-up ranged from 12 months to 10 years. RESULTS: The injuries sustained were as follows: Abdominal trauma in 9 cases (5 in group I, 4 in II), thoracic trauma in 81 cases (49 in group I, 32 in II), head injury in 23 cases (7 in group I, 16 in II), 383 extremities fractures (184 in group I, 199 in II) and 133 spinal fractures (101 in group I, 32 in II). Twenty-one patients died in hospital while 223 patients survived to hospital discharge. The mean height from which the fall occurred was 5.4 m (range, 3 - 25 m). The mean Injury Severity Score was 19 (range, 6 to 58) for all fall victims. CONCLUSIONS: Patients following an accidental high fall mostly had upper limb fractures. Patients following a suicidal high fall mostly had lower limb fractures, pelvis, spinal fractures and head injuries. Spinal fractures are common either when the fall is accidental or following suicide attempt.

Effects of Different Antidiabetic Medications on Endothelial Glycocalyx, Myocardial Function, and Vascular Function in Type 2 Diabetic Patients: One Year Follow-Up Study.

BACKGROUND: Poor glycaemic control affects myocardial function. We investigated changes in endothelial function and left ventricular (LV) myocardial deformation in poorly controlled type 2 diabetics before and after glycaemic control intensification. METHODS: In 100 poorly-controlled diabetic patients (age: 51 ± 12 years), we measured at baseline and at 12 months after intensified glycaemic control: (a) Pulse wave velocity (PWV, Complior); (b) flow-mediated dilatation (FMD, %) of the brachial artery; (c) perfused boundary region (PBR) of the sublingual arterial micro-vessels (side-view dark-field imaging, Glycocheck); (d) LV global longitudinal strain (GLS), peak twisting (pTw), peak twisting velocity (pTwVel), and peak untwisting velocity (pUtwVel) using speckle tracking echocardiography, where the ratio of PWV/GLS was used as a marker of ventricular-arterial interaction; and (e) Malondialdehyde (MDA) and protein carbonyls (PCs) plasma levels. RESULTS: Intensified 12-month antidiabetic treatment reduced HbA1c (8.9 ± 1.8% (74 ± 24 mmol/mol) versus 7.1 ± 1.2% (54 ± 14 mmol/mol), p = 0.001), PWV (12 ± 3 versus 10.8 ± 2 m/s), PBR (2.12 ± 0.3 versus 1.98 ± 0.2 µm), MDA, and PCs; meanwhile, the treatment improved GLS (-15.2 versus -16.9%), PWV/GLS, and FMD% (p < 0.05). By multi-variate analysis, incretin-based agents were associated with improved PWV (p = 0.029), GLS (p = 0.037), PBR (p = 0.047), and FMD% (p = 0.034), in addition to a reduction of HbA1c. The patients with a final HbA1c ≤ 7% (≤ 53 mmol/mol) had greater reduction in PWV, PBR, and markers of oxidative stress, with a parallel increase in FMD and GLS, compared to those who had HbA1c > 7% (> 53 mmol/mol). CONCLUSIONS: Intensified glycaemic control, in addition to incretin-based treatment, improves arterial stiffness, endothelial glycocalyx, and myocardial deformation in type 2 diabetes after one year of treatment.

Effects of 6-month treatment with the glucagon like peptide-1 analogue liraglutide on arterial stiffness, left ventricular myocardial deformation and oxidative stress in subjects with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Incretin-based therapies are used in the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity. We investigated the changes in arterial stiffness and left ventricular (LV) myocardial deformation after 6-month treatment with the GLP-1 analogue liraglutide in subjects with newly diagnosed T2DM. METHODS: We randomized 60 patients with newly diagnosed and treatment-naive T2DM to receive either liraglutide (n = 30) or metformin (n = 30) for 6 months. We measured at baseline and after 6-month treatment: (a) carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) (b) LV longitudinal strain (GLS), and strain rate (GLSR), peak twisting (pTw), peak twisting velocity (pTwVel) and peak untwisting velocity (pUtwVel) using speckle tracking echocardiography. LV untwisting was calculated as the percentage difference between peak twisting and untwisting at MVO (%dpTw-UtwMVO), at peak (%dpTw-UtwPEF) and end of early LV diastolic filling (%dpTw-UtwEDF) (c) Flow mediated dilatation (FMD) of the brachial artery and percentage difference of FMD (FMD%) (d) malondialdehyde (MDA), protein carbonyls (PCs) and NT-proBNP. RESULTS: After 6-months treatment, subjects that received liraglutide presented with a reduced PWV (11.8 ± 2.5 vs. 10.3 ± 3.3 m/s), MDA (0.92 [0.45-2.45] vs. 0.68 [0.43-2.08] nM/L) and NT-proBNP (p < 0.05) in parallel with an increase in GLS (- 15.4 ± 3 vs. - 16.6 ± 2.7), GLSR (0.77 ± 0.2 vs. 0.89 ± 0.2), pUtwVel (- 97 ± 49 vs. - 112 ± 52°, p < 0.05), %dpTw-UtwMVO (31 ± 10 vs. 40 ± 14), %dpTw-UtwPEF (43 ± 19 vs. 53 ± 22) and FMD% (8.9 ± 3 vs. 13.2 ± 6, p < 0.01). There were no statistically significant differences of the measured markers in subjects that received metformin except for an improvement in FMD. In all subjects, PCs levels at baseline were negatively related to the difference of GLS (r = - 0.53) post-treatment and the difference of MDA was associated with the difference of PWV (r = 0.52) (p < 0.05 for all associations) after 6-month treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Six-month treatment with liraglutide improves arterial stiffness, LV myocardial strain, LV twisting and untwisting and NT-proBNP by reducing oxidative stress in subjects with newly diagnosed T2DM. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT03010683.