Magnitude of Viral Load Suppression and Associated Factors among HIV-positive Patients Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Viral load assessment is the preferred method for diagnosing and confirming virologic failure for patients on antiretroviral therapy. This study aimed to assess the proportion of viral load suppression and identify associated factors among HIV-positive patients receiving antiretroviral therapy at the Pokhara academy of health science in Nepal. METHODS: This institution-based retrospective cohort study was conducted at Pokhara academy of health science in Pokhara, Nepal. The study included 567 HIV patients who were enrolled between January 2016 and December 2019 and had their viral load measured within a one-year period. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA version 13.0. The proportions of viral load suppression and non-suppression were determined. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify factors associated with viral load suppression. Statistical significance was determined at a 95% confidence interval and p < 0.05 Results: Out of the 567 HIV patients, 95.76 % (95% CI: 94.10-97.42) achieved viral suppression. In multivariate analysis, longer duration of antiretroviral therapy treatment (> 3 years) was independently associated with higher odds of achieving viral suppression compared to those on antiretroviral therapy for less than 6 months (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 11.98, 95% confidence interval: 1.32-108.81, p < 0.0027). Conversely, individuals in second-line treatment had significantly lower odds of viral suppression compared to those in first-line treatment (aOR = 0.19, 95% CI: 0.05-0.66, p < 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated a high rate of viral suppression among HIV patients receiving antiretroviral therapy, exceeding the UNAIDS 90-90-90 target. Longer duration of antiretroviral therapy and being in second-line treatment were identified as factors influencing viral load suppression. These findings emphasize the importance of early initiation and adherence to first-line treatment for optimal outcomes.

Comparison of Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Children Hospitalized for Myocarditis with and Without COVID-19.

We used a nationally representative database of the US, which included 1995 myocarditis cases, among whom 620 children had COVID-19. While the risk of in-hospital mortality was not higher, illness severity and length of hospital stay were higher in patients with myocarditis and COVID-19 than those without COVID-19.

Impact of congenital heart disease on outcomes among pediatric patients hospitalized for COVID-19 infection.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 infection is generally regarded as an acute self-limiting illness in children, but it can cause significant morbidity and mortality in both healthy and high-risk children. There are limited data on the outcomes of children with congenital heart disease (CHD) and COVID-19. This study aimed to examine the risks of mortality, in-hospital cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular complications in this patient population. METHODS: We analyzed data from hospitalized pediatric patients from 2020 using the nationally representative National Inpatient Sample (NIS). Children hospitalized for COVID-19 were included, and weighted data were used to compare in-hospital mortality and morbidities between children with and without CHD. RESULTS: Out of 36,690 children admitted with a diagnosis of COVID-19 infection(ICD-10 code:U07.1 and B97.29) during calendar year 2020, 1240 (3.4%) had CHD. The risk of mortality in children with CHD was not significantly higher than those without CHD(1.2% vs. 0.8%, p = 0.50), with adjusted OR (aOR) of 1.7 (95% CI: 0.6-5.3). Tachyarrhythmias and heart block were more likely in CHD children with an aOR of 4.2 (95% CI: 1.8-9.9) and aOR of 5.0 (95% CI: 2.4-10.8), respectively. Similarly, respiratory failure [aOR = 2.0 (1.5-2.8)], respiratory failure requiring non-invasive mechanical ventilation [aOR = 2.7 (1.4-5.2)] and invasive mechanical ventilation [aOR = 2.6 (1.6-4.0)], and acute kidney injury [aOR = 3.4 (2.2-5.4)] were all significantly higher among patients with CHD. Median length of hospital stay in children with CHD was longer than those without CHD [5 days (IQR: 2-11) vs. 3 days (IQR: 2-5), p = < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Children with CHD hospitalized with COVID-19 infection were at increased risk of serious cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular adverse clinical outcomes. They also had increased length of hospital stay and utilization of healthcare resources.

Environmental Determinants of Malaria Prevalence and the Adaptation Strategies in Western Nepal.

BACKGROUND: Current literatures seem devoted only on relating climate change with malaria. Overarching all possible environmental determinants of malaria prevalence addressed by scanty literature in Nepal is found apposite research at this moment. This study aims to explore the environmental determinants of malaria prevalence in western Nepal. METHODS: Cross-sectional data collected from community people were used to identify the environmental determinants of malaria prevalence in western Nepal. Probit and logistic regressions are used for identifying determinants. RESULTS: The results reveal that environmental variables: winter temperature (aOR: 2.14 [95% CI: 1.00-4.56]), flooding (aOR: 2.45 [CI: 1.28-4.69]), heat waves (aOR: 3.14 [CI: 1.16-8.46]) and decreasing river water level (aOR: 0.25 [CI: 0.13-0.47]) are found major factors to influence malaria prevalence in western Nepal. Besides, pipeline drinking water (aOR: 0.37 [0.17-0.81]), transportation facility (aOR: 1.18 [1.07-1.32]) and awareness programs (aOR: 2.62 [0.03-6.65]) are exigent social issues to influence malaria prevalence in Nepal. To be protected from disease induced by environmental problems, households have used extra season specific clothes, iron nets and mosquito nets, use of insecticide in cleaning toilet and so on. CONCLUSIONS: Adaptation mechanism against these environmental issues together with promoting pipeline drinking water, transportation facility and awareness programs are the important in malaria control in Nepal. Government initiation with incentivized adaptation mechanism for the protection of environment with caring household attributes possibly help control malaria in western Nepal.

Prevalence and risk factors associated with chronic kidney disease in Nepal: evidence from a nationally representative population-based cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine population-based prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its associated factors in Nepal. STUDY DESIGN: The study was a nationwide population-based cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Cross-sectional survey conducted in a nationally representative sample of 12 109 Nepalese adult from 2016 to 2018 on selected chronic non-communicable diseases was examined. Multistage cluster sampling with a mix of probability proportionate to size and systematic random sampling was used for the selection of individuals aged 20 years and above. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome in this study was population-based prevalence of CKD in Nepal. A participant was considered to have CKD if the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio was greater than or equal to 30 mg/g and/or estimated glomerular filtration rate is less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline and in follow-up using modification of diet in renal disease study equations. The secondary outcome measure was factors associated with CKD in Nepal. The covariate adjusted association of risk factors and CKD was calculated using multivariable binary logistic regression. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of CKD in Nepal was 6.0% (95% CI 5.5 to 6.6). Factors independently associated with CKD included older age (adjusted OR (AOR) 2.6, 95% CI 1.9 to 3.6), Dalit caste (AOR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.3), hypertension (AOR 2.4, 95% CI 2.0 to 3.0), diabetes mellitus (AOR 3.2, 95% CI 2.5 to 4.1), raised total cholesterol (AOR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.6) and increased waist-to-hip ratio (AOR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.3). CONCLUSION: This nationally representative study shows that the prevalence of CKD in the adult population of Nepal is substantial, and it is independently associated with several cardiometabolic traits. These findings warrant longitudinal studies to identify the causes of CKD in Nepal and effective strategies to prevent it.

In-Hospital Outcomes in Fontan Completion Surgery According to Age.

Actual timing of the Fontan operation is variable. Our aim was to evaluate the impact of age at the time of Fontan operation on mortality and clinical outcome and characterize patients with worse outcomes. We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study on the Fontan operation using nationally representative databases from 2003 to 2016 and categorized the patient into 1 of 5 groups according to their age at the time of surgery: <2, 2, 3, 4, and ≥5 years. Survey-weighted logistic regression models were used to compare the outcomes of the different age groups. A total of 6,647 children underwent the Fontan completion procedure during the study period with median age 3 (interquartile range 2 to 4) years. The in-hospital mortality was 2.1%. In logistic regression models, in-hospital mortality, respiratory failure, acute kidney injury, chylothorax, arrhythmias, and sudden cardiac arrest were similar among the 5 age groups. Compared with children >2 years, those <2 years were less likely to be admitted for surgery on an elective basis (73.5% vs 90.4%, p <0.001), more likely to have chromosomal anomalies (2.7% vs 1.7%), and more likely to have repair of atrioventricular valves (8.5% vs 6.0%, p = 0.027). Mortality was higher in those with an underlying atrioventricular septal defect (AVSD) adjusted odds ratio 4.3 (2.4 to 7.9, p <0.001). Repair of AV valves was more common in the AVSD group compared with those in non-AVSD (14.3% vs 5.5%, p <0.001). In conclusion, age at Fontan completion does not adversely affect the in-hospital outcomes. Our focus should be on optimizing essential factors that are crucial for successful Fontan completion.

Household Food Security Access and Nutritional Status among Early Adolescents in a Poor Neighborhood of Sinamangal, Nepal.

BACKGROUND: Early adolescence is an important period of the life cycle wherein the food system plays a critical role in protecting food security as well as the nutritional needs essential for a healthy transition from childhood to adulthood. Despite the surging concerns regarding the food and nutrition security of adolescents throughout the nation, people in a poor neighborhood are often neglected and considered the most vulnerable. OBJECTIVES: This research aims to assess the status of household food security and nutritional status among early adolescents living in a poor neighborhood of Kathmandu, Nepal. METHODS: Using a cross-sectional study design, data was collected with the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale (HFIAS) tool. Nutritional status was measured using the WHO Child Growth Standard Reference 2007 Statistical Software for Social Science (SPSS) macro package based on BMI-for-age z-score, height-for-age z-score, and weight-for-age z-score, respectively. Data were entered in a predetermined format of SPSS version 20.0 and imported into STATA version 13.1 for univariate and bivariate analyses. Ethical approval was sought from the Ethical Review Board of Nepal Health Research Council (NHRC) prior to the study. RESULTS: More than one-fifth (21%) of the households were food insecure. Based on BMI-for-age, 5.5% of the adolescents were found to be moderately undernourished and 2.6% were severely undernourished. The percentage of moderately and severely stunted adolescents were 8.4% and 5.8%, respectively, based on height-for-age. Based on weight-for-age, moderately and severely underweight adolescents accounted for 13.0% and 1.3% of the total. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of underweight, stunting, and wasting among early adolescents was high. The households in a poor neighborhood were also experiencing some form of food insecurity. This calls for targeted efforts to address malnutrition and improve the nutritional status of early adolescents, particularly in poor neighborhoods.

Machine Learning for Mortality Prediction in Pediatric Myocarditis.

Background: Pediatric myocarditis is a rare disease. The etiologies are multiple. Mortality associated with the disease is 5-8%. Prognostic factors were identified with the use of national hospitalization databases. Applying these identified risk factors for mortality prediction has not been reported. Methods: We used the Kids' Inpatient Database for this project. We manually curated fourteen variables as predictors of mortality based on the current knowledge of the disease, and compared performance of mortality prediction between linear regression models and a machine learning (ML) model. For ML, the random forest algorithm was chosen because of the categorical nature of the variables. Based on variable importance scores, a reduced model was also developed for comparison. Results: We identified 4,144 patients from the database for randomization into the primary (for model development) and testing (for external validation) datasets. We found that the conventional logistic regression model had low sensitivity (~50%) despite high specificity (>95%) or overall accuracy. On the other hand, the ML model struck a good balance between sensitivity (89.9%) and specificity (85.8%). The reduced ML model with top five variables (mechanical ventilation, cardiac arrest, ECMO, acute kidney injury, ventricular fibrillation) were sufficient to approximate the prediction performance of the full model. Conclusions: The ML algorithm performs superiorly when compared to the linear regression model for mortality prediction in pediatric myocarditis in this retrospective dataset. Prospective studies are warranted to further validate the applicability of our model in clinical settings.